FORUM FINANCE Middle East, Turkey and North Africa Winning Strategies in Wealth Management 5th Edition In 2010, Bain & Company launched the 'Financial Majlis': a series of events bringing together a small group of selected executives from the Financial Services world for informal discussions on industry issues. We provide a platform with knowledge and on-theground experience presented by the best experts and help facilitate an off-the-record discussion among peers on the topics relating to burning questions for the region. The 'Financial Majlis' is also an opportunity to meet other leaders in financial services, most facing similar challenges, and expand your existing network - all in a very informal and friendly environment. If you are interested in attending, please contact: Dana Jaber, Marketing Manager dana.jaber@bain.com Bain & Company’s Forum Finance is a quarterly publication that focuses on the critical issues facing banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions in the Middle East, Turkey and North Africa. Should you want to subscribe to this free publication, please contact: Caroline Detalle, Director of Business Development & Public Relations caroline.detalle@bain.com Forum Finance Newsletter 5th Edition, January — April 2012 Copyright © 2012 Bain & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. Content: Philippe DeBacker, Julien Faye, Emmanuel Yoo, Bianca Leodari, Saeeda Jaffar, Graham Eckert, Paul de Montmorin EDITORIAL | FORUM FINANCE In this issue of Forum Finance, we examine current trends in the Middle Eastern wealth management market. With several forces of market disruption in action – dissatisfied customers, new regulations, heightened competitive pressures – the region’s wealth managers face significant opportunities and challenges. We will discuss seven key success factors to develop a robust wealth management strategy and “delight” customers, without compromising on risk. This issue also features an interview with Abdulkareem Abu Alnasr of The National Commercial Bank. At the helm of the largest bank in the Kingdom, Mr. Alnasr shares his views on current trends and opportunities in the Saudi financial services sector. We welcome your feedback and questions. Philippe De Backer Partner Head of Global Financial Services Practice philippe.debacker@bain.com POINT OF VIEW | SEVEN WINNING STRATEGIES FOR MIDDLE EASTERN WEALTH MANAGERS SEVEN WINNING STRATEGIES FOR MIDDLE EASTERN WEALTH MANAGERS wealth includes deposits, fixed income securities, money market funds, mutual funds, direct equities and some alternatives (PE, hedge fund, REITs) after removing such non-investible wealth as equity in businesses and personal homes. Of this total, highnet-worth individuals in the largest markets hold approximately 40-50% offshore. Julien Faye Partner, Middle East Financial Services Practice Saeeda Jaffar Manager, Middle East Financial Services Practice julien.faye@bain.com saeeda.jaffar@bain.com The Middle Eastern wealth management market is once more growing rapidly, but it also faces discontinuities in terms of client attitude, changing regulation and competitive pressures. The region’s wealth managers today face significant rewards and risks in a fastchanging business landscape. The prosperity of wealthy regional households has bounced back strongly in the wake of the global financial crisis. Indeed, households with greater than US $1 million in assets increased their wealth at a 10% annual rate from 2008 to 2010, reaching a total estimated at US $1.7 trillion today. As shown in Fig. 1, the proportion of money placed offshore varies considerably based on the wealth of the investor. If we were to look at Saudi Arabia, the portion would range from a low of 10% for affluent households to a peak of 75-80% for high-net-worth households above the US $25 million threshold. '' Passive investments – deposits, unmediated investments and real estate – remain the overwhelming regional favorites '' Such brisk expansion should continue over the next several years. For example, in the large Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) markets, Bain pegs growth to increase to 12% annually, with 7% coming from new money. At this pace, wealth will double in less than seven years and create many new clients. Yet that trend is one more thing that is changing. Looking again at Saudi Arabia, the wealth management market’s on-shore share grew from less than 30% two decades ago to 55% today. Developed-economy benchmarks, where approximately 88% of wealth is held in-country, also suggest greater room for regional growth. The investible wealth represents about 40-50% of total wealth – or as much as US $850 billion. Investible In terms of asset allocation, passive investments – such as deposits, unmediated investments and real estate POINT OF VIEW | SEVEN WINNING STRATEGIES FOR MIDDLE EASTERN WEALTH MANAGERS Figure 1: About half of UAE investible wealth is held on-shore Investible wealth 100% $45B $35B $80B $50B $110B 80 $320B Onshore 60 40 Offshore 20 0 >$50M $25-50M $5-25M $1-5M $100K-1M Total Investible wealth per household (2010) Source: Analyst Reports; Literature Search; Bain & Company Analysis – remain the overwhelming regional favorites. In the UAE, deposits represent more than 50% of investible onshore wealth. This preponderance of deposits has historically stemmed from UAE requirements and a dearth of quality local investment products. Recently, though, a noticeable shift has occurred toward investment products, including equities, mutual funds, discretionary portfolio management, private equity funds and structured notes. UNDERSTANDING THE FORCES OF MARKET DISRUPTION Local banks currently dominate the on-shore wealth pool due to their vast branch networks and deep corporate relationships. But three developments are reshuffling the market for incumbents and challengers, alike: dissatisfied customers, new regulations, and heightened competitive pressures. Clients are exhibiting a newfound willingness to switch investment advisors. According to a recent survey, at least 40% of high-net-worth clients recently switched providers, or plan to switch. Overall, only 25% of customers in the region remain happy with their advisor’s services. Changing local regulations, particularly in Saudi Arabia, are also shifting the sands. Domestic financial institutions must now separate deposit/lending activities (regulated by SAMA) from investment activities (regulated by SCA), thereby incurring extra costs for wealth management divisions, which typically span these two activities. Meanwhile, international players are experiencing increasing regulatory pressure to ensure that their onshore presence is not an “empty shell” meant to solicit offshore business. With other parts of the world gripped by the lingering recession, it is not surprising that the Middle East wealth management market has also attracted an increasing number of competitors. In the UAE, alone, more than 50 major wealth managers now vie for customers. They represent a wide variety of business models, including local and international boutiques, domestic banks’ investment arms and bulge-bracket banks. POINT OF VIEW | SEVEN WINNING STRATEGIES FOR MIDDLE EASTERN WEALTH MANAGERS Figure 2: Deposits represent a large share of asset allocation at all wealth levels On-shore investment by category 100% $11B Other $12B $36B $28B $65B $150B Alt Equities 80 Discretionary Portfolio Management 60 Mutual Funds 40 Deposits 20 >$50M $25-50M $5-25M $1-5M $100K-1M Total Investible wealth per household (2010) Source: Analyst Reports; Literature Search; Bain & Company Analysis '' Three developments are reshuffling the market for incumbents and challengers alike: dissatisfied customers, new regulations, and heightened competitive pressures today’s growth opportunities and regional market disruptions. Designed to be adopted and aligned together, they represent a seven-step winning formula: Offer a holistic, best-in-class, open-architecture platform of products and services. In other words, products and services should be continuously revised and updated to reflect the latest market opportunities. '' Product offerings have also become vastly more competitive, with upgraded product breadth and quality, increased specialization, blended on-shore/offshore products and opened distribution architectures. KEY FACTORS FOR SUCCESS In our experience, seven critical practices can help wealth management firms craft profitable and sustainable business models to take advantage of Tailor distinctive “hook” offerings for targeted client segments. Continuous product innovation attracts new clients while also deepening existing relationships. So-called hook products have recently gained greater prominence locally, with a good example being the capital-protected products offered by some local banks. Develop distinctive approaches for reaching client segments. While wealth-based segmentation is already prevalent, firms need to use other lenses – such as ethnic, needsbased, and behavioral viewpoints – in order to design effective offerings. To a limited degree, firms have begun this market slicing, most notably in developing products for Islamic and female segments. But no firm has yet developed a comprehensive segmentation. POINT OF VIEW | SEVEN WINNING STRATEGIES FOR MIDDLE EASTERN WEALTH MANAGERS Recruit and retain top talent. As the public face of an institution, relationship managers (RMs) are critical in building trust with clients. Their motivation, recruitment, and retention must be a constant concern, and can be improved by offering optimal financial compensation, competitive rewards and recognition and best-in-class training. This represents one of the most pressing issues in the region today amidst a fierce talent war characterized by RMs frequently changing jobs, resulting in the loss of 30-50% of total book assets in the most competitive markets. Enforce a disciplined sales management process. Senior managers should develop a rigorous sales process, incorporating realistic top-down targets and rewards for positive performance. Unfortunately, the link between key performance indicators (KPIs) and incentives is still largely absent in the region. Coordinate marketing to reach mass and targeted customers. Above-the-line (ATL) communications employ broadcast and published media to reach to mass audiences; below-the-line (BTL) communications use media that are more niche-focused. In the region’s wealth-management setting, ATL marketing should be used to distinguish wealth management divisions, while BTL campaigns should be targeted at specific segments to generate foot traffic. Today, most local players do a good job on ATL marketing and are experimenting with BTL initiatives. Set up a robust platform that supports RMs. Relationship managers can only offer as many products and provide as many services as the firm’s business platform allows. These need to be integrated and seamless, so that RMs can do their job effectively. They must also accommodate client demands for low-cost execution and enable consolidated reporting. While such platforms have been developed by international players, local competitors still lag considerably behind. These seven success strategies are the means to only one end: earning the trust and delight of high-networth clients who receive an experience that far exceeds their expectations. That takes a holistic approach that delivers the right products, services and constant innovation, all without compromising on risk. Figure 3: Seven winning practices of leading WM players 1 Comprehensive and high quality offering Products & advisory Sales & distribution Marketing branding Operational excellence 2 Distinctive “hook” to attract select customers 3 Highly tailored offering for target segments 4 Ability to attract, train and retain quality RMs by offering a compelling value proposition 5 Disciplined sales management process 6 ATL marketing to establish brand and BTL marketing to draw in customers 7 Establish robust, seamless platform to ensure quality and efficiency “Delight the client” experience to exceed client expectations INTERVIEW | ABDULKAREEM ABU ALNASR, THE NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANK Increased competition '' and the likely emergence of specialized players will demand increased skills, new capabilities, and additional infrastructure to serve customers '' INTERVIEW Abdulkareem Abu Alnasr, CEO, The National Commercial Bank INTERVIEW | ABDULKAREEM ABU ALNASR, THE NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANK Philippe De Backer: As the largest bank in the Kingdom, how do you see future growth opportunities and challenges for NCB? Abdulkareem Abu Alnasr: We have a positive outlook on our business for various reasons. We are operating in one of the largest and most attractive markets, with good prospects for future growth as a result of high oil prices and production levels as well as expansionary government fiscal policies. Secondly, the Kingdom is under-banked, and we see positive signs in demographic trends and the policy environment of liberalization and privatization that will drive private sector growth and contribute to further job creation. However, we are living in a challenging environment of low interest rates, which puts a drag on margins, especially given the requirement for further investments to serve new customers. Increased competition and the likely emergence of specialized players – in fields like real estate, auto leasing, and venture capital – will demand increased skills, new capabilities, and additional infrastructure to serve customers. In order to address these challenges, we continue to execute a three-pronged strategy: to strengthen the core of retail and corporate banking; expand our scope of activities in wealth management, project finance, and Islamic Banking; expand regionally and internationally to lock-in growth as the Saudi market matures. PDB: You’ve mentioned previously that NCB evolved from a trade finance house, became a universal bank, and then moved into specialty activities. As you look at the future portfolio, how do you see that mix evolving? Do you think some business lines will take the lion’s share of investment? AA: We see growth opportunities in different ranges. First, core retail banking and corporate banking will continue to grow in line with the economy, driven by macroeconomic and demographic factors. However, we also see above-GDP growth in selected areas, including mortgage finance, project finance, and wealth management. Overall, home ownership per capita is very low in KSA compared to the global benchmarks, with only 40% of Saudis owning their own home which will drive the growth for mortgage finance in the coming years. In project finance, as a result of the government’s fiscal policies, the pipeline of projects remains strong for the next 2-3 years. And finally in wealth management, the Kingdom remains a net exporter of capital, with a high allocation of high- net-worth individuals’ wealth off-shore due to security and advisory concerns. As the advisory skills and product offerings available locally improve, more of this wealth will move back onshore. PDB: One of the challenges for most banks in the region is service level. How do you see average service level evolving — not just in the Kingdom, but in the region at large? AA: It is always challenging to continuously improve service levels, especially for large domestic players like ourselves which deal with a wide range of segments and have a large network of branches, distributed throughout the Kingdom. This is also driven by our dependency upon the infrastructure of external service providers – such as telecoms and electricity – which is not yet fully robust. While an ATM service failure may be due to a communication issue, the customer is unable to separate that responsibility from the bank’s responsibility. The new generation of customers is on Twitter and Facebook, continuously communicating and evaluating you every second of the day. In order to address these service trends, we have created redundancies and put in place new capabilities to monitor and respond to customer service issues that appear on social media. '' The new generation of customers is on Twitter and Facebook, continuously communicating and evaluating you every second of the day '' PDB: Why is there no direct bank in the Kingdom to provide retail banking services? AA: I think it will happen. Overall, banks will continue to draw a large number of new customers in the coming years, including unbanked Saudis, who have opened bank accounts to receive unemployment assistance through HAFIZ, as well as expatriates. These and similar trends may offer an opportunity for the direct bank model. However, I think there INTERVIEW | ABDULKAREEM ABU ALNASR, THE NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANK are several challenges. One is brand trust, which has been an issue for all emerging small players in the Kingdom. In the Saudi market you cannot have a distribution based on clicks only; the advantage of large established banks is that they can maintain the trust of customers, even if a large percentage of their business is online. Today, for example, we do 88% of our transactions electronically, but our large network builds trust. Another issue is building scale, because direct banks need to be able to invest in technology and people in order to get operations up and running. Finally, in order for a purely electronic channel strategy to work, you need to ensure that service providers – such as telecoms and electrical utilities – are working dependably since customers have no other avenue to reach you. PDB: Do you think that M&A activity is inevitable in the Kingdom? AA: I think M&A is inevitable in the capital markets and insurance sectors because a lot of the startups that remained after the brokerage and insurance license gold rushes have failed to build scale and lost a lot of money. In the banking sector, I don’t see domestic consolidation happening in the near future for a couple of reasons. First, the Kingdom is under-banked and under-branched, so regulators are keen to have adequate coverage throughout the Kingdom. Second, the public is very sensitive to the issues of monopoly or oligopoly and wants to see more competition. '' I think M&A is inevitable in the capital markets and insurance sectors '' PDB: In markets where consolidation at the equity level is not possible, banks have been able to find operational synergies through consolidating operating platforms, including Société Générale and Crédit Agricole in France and Emirates NBD in the UAE. Do you see this as an opportunity on the minds of bankers today in the Kingdom? the next couple of '' Over years where interest rates are expected to remain low, productivity will also be high on the agendas of executives '' It’s a little bit of both. On the one hand, SAMA has been very effective in bringing together banks to collaborate. Examples include the SPAN network for POS and ATM, and the credit bureau SIMAH. There are also discussions ongoing exploring the need for shared operational capabilities, because the service providers in the Kingdom tend to be few and at times unreliable. Over the next couple of years where interest rates are expected to remain low, productivity will also be high on the agendas of executives. But I think consolidated operating platforms will only be adopted in opportunistic cases where there is a clear benefit, because the business environment is not yet ready for this strategy. Bain's business is helping make companies more valuable. Bain & Company is the management consulting firm that the world's business leaders come to when they want results. Bain advises clients on strategy, operations, technology, organization, private equity and mergers and acquisition, developing practical insights that clients act on and transferring skills that make change stick. The firm aligns its incentives with clients by linking its fees to their results. 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For more information visit: www.bain.com Follow us on Twitter @BainMiddleEast Contact information for Bain Middle East, Turkey and North Africa Financial Services Practice Julien Faye Partner Bain & Company Telephone: +971 4 365 7350 julien.faye@bain.com Philippe De Backer Partner Bain & Company Telephone: +971 4 365 7360 philippe.debacker@bain.com Emmanuel Yoo Partner Bain & Company Telephone: +971 4 365 7380 emmanuel.yoo@bain.com Karaca Kestelli Partner Bain & Company (Turkey) Telephone: +90 532 3377 670 karaca.kestelli@bain.com For more information, please visit www.bain.com Amsterdam • Atlanta • Bangkok • Beijing • Boston • Brussels • Buenos Aires • Chicago • Copenhagen • Dallas • Dubai • Düsseldorf Frankfurt • Helsinki • Hong Kong • Houston • Istanbul • Johannesburg • Kuala Lumpur • Kyiv • London • Los Angeles • Madrid Melbourne • Mexico City • Milan • Moscow • Mumbai • Munich • New Delhi • New York • Oslo • Palo Alto • Paris • Perth Rio de Janeiro • Rome • San Francisco • São Paulo • Seoul • Shanghai • Singapore • Stockholm • Sydney • Tokyo • Toronto • Zurich