The Delaware River Basin Collaborative Environmental Monitoring and Research Initiative (CEMRI) USDA Forest Service • • • • • • • • • • • Richard Birdsey John Hom Yude Pan Rachel Riemann Michael Hoppus Kevin McCullough Ken Stolte Dave Williams Mike Montgomery Rakesh Minocha Walter Shortle USDI Geological Survey • • • • • • • Peter Murdoch Mike McHale Jeff Fischer Dalia Varanka Zhi-Liang Zhu Jeff Eidenshink Greg Lawrence Other Investigators • • Jennifer Jenkins (U. of Vermont) Richard Evans (National Park Service) DRBC Monitoring Advisory Committee Meeting Trenton, New Jersey: April 10, 2003 The Delaware River Basin Collaborative Environmental Monitoring and Research Initiative (CEMRI) Monitoring at Multiple Scales to Link Processes and Observations Intensive Monitoring Sites: 1. Neversink River Basin 2. Delaware Water Gap 3. French Creek State Park Outline of Presentation • Overview • Monitoring design • Delaware River Basin resource issues: – – – – – forest fragmentation carbon sequestration non-native invasive pests calcium depletion and nitrogen deposition Integrated effects on water quality • Products Overview of Delaware River Basin Pilot Monitoring Program • Multi-agency effort to develop an environmental monitoring framework – USGS, FS, NPS, NASA, State and local partners • State-of-the-art application of monitoring technology at multiple scales • Issues: – – – – – forest fragmentation carbon sequestration non-native invasive pests calcium depletion and nitrogen deposition Integrated effects on water quality Sponsors, Partners, Stakeholders • • • • • • • • • • • • USDA Forest Service US Geological Survey NASA Earth Sciences National Park Service State Departments of Environmental Protection Delaware River Basin Commission Environmental education centers NGOs (e.g. Stroud Center, The Nature Conservancy) New York City DEP and State DEC Frost Valley YMCA Several academic institutions Pennsylvania DCNR Summary of Data Sources • Remote sensing – – – – MODIS Landsat TM AVHRR Low-altitude CIR aerial photography • Field data – Operational USFS forest inventory (FIA/FHM) with enhancements for ecosystem carbon – Operational USGS water quality surveys (NAWQA) with enhancements for water transport of carbon – National Atmospheric Deposition Network (NADP) – Historical maps of land use Summary of Models • Biome-BGC – (Steve Running - NPP from MODIS) • FORCARB estimators – (Forest Service - forest carbon budgets) • PnET-CN – (John Aber - ecosystem processes) • SPARROW – (USGS - water quality and carbon transport) • Data processing and scaling – Many different statistical estimators Principal Applications • Integrate operational land, water, air, and soil inventories • Enhance inventory content and accuracy by using new remote sensing products • Provide tools for state and local agencies responsible for planning development • Pilot study for new monitoring programs (e.g. North American Carbon Program) NASA Application Grant Objectives • Integrate estimates of biomass and NPP from MODIS and field monitoring • Characterize patterns of forest fragmentation and land use change, and associated C losses using Landsat TM, CIR aerial photography, and field data • Develop and apply consistent cover type classifications for MODIS, Landsat TM, and field samples • Estimate a complete basin-wide C budget including C loss by water transport Multi-tier Monitoring Design • Tier One – Remote Sensing and Mapping Wall-to-wall coverage; stratification • Tier Two – Extensive Inventories and Surveys Increasing spatial resolution Representative regional statistical sample • Tier Three – Condition Sample (new) Representative of specified condition classes • Tier Four –Intensive Areas Relatively small number of specific sites Increasing temporal resolution Illustration of Multi-tier Concept Example Variable Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Remote Sensing Extensive Inventory Condition Sample Intensive Site Land cover X X X X Leaf area X X X X Disturbance X X X X* X X X Litterfall X X Soil CO2 flux X X Methane flux X X DOC X X Live biomass NEE X * Designed experiments MODIS Land Classification for Delaware River Basin Forest Type Classification for Delaware River Basin Land Cover Classification for Delaware River Basin Comparison of land cover classification from 3 sources: • MODIS/AVHRR • Forest type/AVHRR • NLCD’92/TM Tier 2 – Hydrologic Survey NAWQA indicator and integrator sites located mostly in southern half of river basin. NAWQA is designed to determine the status and trends in the Nation’s groundwater and surfacewater quality, and to determine the human induced causes of waterquality degradation. Tier 2 – Forest Inventory Plots measured with a 5year panel system to characterize forests of the Delaware River Basin. Linked with other sample phases to provide regional-scale monitoring and understanding of issues. Forest Inventory Plots in the Delaware Water Gap Watersheds (Tier 2) Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area (outlined in red) Tier 3 – Condition Sample: Design for Soil CO2 Flux Delaware River Basin Delaware Water Gap Intensive Site Select new sample sites by forest type and moisture class Establish 12 sample locations on lines between subplots FIA plot design Tier 3 – Forest Health Plots and USGS Gage Distribution in the Neversink River Intensive Area The two sets of sample data are used to link forest health indicators with water quality indicators. Tier 4 – Intensive Site in the Delaware Water Gap Index sites closely monitor processes for understanding issues. Paired hemlock and hardwood sample sites with water and forest intensive sampling locations. Issue: Forest Fragmentation of the Delaware River Basin Land cover of Dingman’s Falls watershed derived from various remote sensors Neversink Delaware Water Gap Fragmentation Study Watersheds in the Delaware River Basin – Base Map is NLCD’92 from TM Data • Fragmentation estimates from low-altitude CIR aerial photography French Creek • Water quality data from USGS NAWQA synoptic sample • 32 watersheds comprise a factorial experiment: urbanization (5 levels) x EPT richness (3 levels) Issue: Carbon Sequestration • Integrate estimates of biomass and productivity from satellite data and field monitoring • Characterize patterns of forest fragmentation and land use change, and associated C losses • Estimate carbon budgets for representative small watersheds: – Neversink – Delaware Water Gap (3 watersheds) – French Creek • Estimate a complete basin-wide C budget including C loss by water transport Variables for Estimating Productivity and Carbon Stocks Tier 1 Variable • Area by cover class Tier 2 Variables • • • • • • Tree species Tree diameter Tree height Growth Removals Mortality Tier 3 Variables • • • • • • • All tier 2 variables Litterfall Coarse woody debris Root production Biomass (local) Soil C flux Dissolved organic C Sample Intensification (Tier 3) at 3 Watersheds in the Delaware River Basin French Creek Intensive Plots Regional Validation Plots Will be used as independent validation of estimates to test scaling methods. The “Three Watershed Study” in the Delaware Water Gap Some of the Intensive Carbon Cycle Measurements Added to Forest Inventory Plots Litterfall collector Foliar sampling Soil temperature logger Dendrometer band Mapping Net Primary Productivity at Two Scales of Resolution Low-resolution mapping from FIA: 1x1 deg. grid cells High-resolution mapping from FIA plus remote sensing Issue: Non-native Invasive Pests of the Delaware River Basin • • • • Gypsy Moth Hemlock Wooly Adelgid Asian Longhorn Beetle (threatening) Plants – various species of: – Trees – Vines – Shrubs – Flowers and grasses Gypsy Moth Defoliation and Susceptible Forests History of Hemlock Wooly Adelgid Invasion of the Delaware River Basin A & B: Hemlock Stands in Two of the Intensive Study Areas Hemlock Condition Displayed on a Landsat Image, Part of Delaware Water Gap, 2001 From Denise Royale Potential Host Forests of Asian Longhorn Beetle Invasive Plant Tally All of the various field crews in the Delaware Water Gap carry a list of invasive plants developed by The Nature Conservancy and the Morris Arboretum (DRIPP). There is also a special study to census invasive plants including rare plants in the Delaware Water Gap (orange triangles). Issue: Calcium Depletion and Nitrogen Deposition What is the threshold of calcium availability below which trees show stress characteristics? Is there a spatial or elevational gradient of calcium depletion? How does Ca depletion affect tree growth and adjacent aquatic ecosystems? What combination of soil characteristics, deposition rates, and forest conditions result in nitrate leaching from forest soils? How much nitrate is exported from forests of the Delaware River Basin? The Calcium Cycle in a Forest Ecosystem NYC water supply Nitrogen Deposition to the Delaware River Basin Used to estimate inputs of N compounds from regional air pollution Can be overlaid with vegetation cover to estimate quantity of N released to streams Carbon/Nitrogen ratios determined from soil samples collected at FIA plots. Contours depict areas sensitive to N loss to aquatic systems (red = sensitive). This information helps land use planners understand impacts of disturbance on water quality. Issue: Integrated Effects of Disturbance on Water Quality and Carbon Sequestration • SPARROW model – Integrate data at different scales – Assess the influence of landscape condition (fragmentation, infestation by pests, reduced forest health, acid deposition) on downstream water quality and water yield – Estimate erosion and sedimentation transport of carbon • PnET model – – – – Integrating data at different scales Incorporate regional stresses such as Ca Depletion Estimate nitrate export from forests Provide regional (mapped) estimates of biomass, productivity, and carbon Net Primary Productivity from 5 PnET Model Scenarios Forest Biomass from 5 PnET Model Scenarios Nitrogen Leaching from 5 PnET Model Scenarios Published Estimates of N Deposition, Retention, and Output from DRB Watersheds Atmospheric inputs and stream N losses in or near the Delaware River Basin Watershed Mean stream output N N Deposition Retentio n (kgN/ha-yr) (kgN/ ha-yr) 1 Benner Run, PA 0.73 15.6 95 1 Rober Run, PA 0.64 15.2 96 1 Linn Run, PA 1.97 15.3 98 1 Balswin Ck, PA 1.97 15.5 87 2 Delaware Bay 1.83 12.65 86 3 Delaware Bay 2.96 12.65 77 3 Delaware Inland 0.16 11.56 98 Model Results 1.47- 2.93 8.85-11.08 1. Gardner et al., 1996 2. Alexander et al. 2000 3. Turner et al. 2000 71-86 Outcome: Improved Water Quality • Identification of areas that are sensitive to additional vegetation disturbance – – – – Deposition level Soil characteristics Vegetation health Fragmentation • Analysis tools for use by land use planners Expected Results and Products • Integrated data sets: vegetation/soils/air/water from ground and space • Analytical tools: models for scenario analysis • “Carbonshed” budgets at several scales • Improved operational inventories • Environmental trend analysis related to identified issues • Process models to link across scales • Project evaluation – has collaborative monitoring delivered better information? • Conservation education • Comparison of estimates from MODIS with ground data • Science applications meeting with Delaware River Basin Commission Integrated Regional Assessment of Effects of Disturbance on Vegetation, Soil, and Water in Forested Landscapes Forest Soil FIA, FHM Air Climate and Human Disturbances Water NAWQA, WRD District QW Survey FIA/FHMUSGS Soil survey Conclusions • The Delaware River Basin collaborative monitoring project is “State-of-the-art” • Link with process research is a major advance and may pave the way for future expansion • Some regional monitoring needs are met • Interagency collaboration facilitates an integrated approach to ecosystem monitoring • New techniques can be readily implemented by ongoing programs (FIA & FHM; NAWQA; State programs)