Walk the line: station context, corridor type and bus rapid transit walk access in Jinan, China The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. Citation Jiang, Yang, P. Christopher Zegras, and Shomik Mehndiratta. “Walk the Line: Station Context, Corridor Type and Bus Rapid Transit Walk Access in Jinan, China.” Journal of Transport Geography 20, no. 1 (January 2012): 1–14. As Published http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2011.09.007 Publisher Elsevier Version Author's final manuscript Accessed Fri May 27 00:13:12 EDT 2016 Citable Link http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/100709 Terms of Use Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License Detailed Terms http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Title Page (WITH Author Details) Click here to view linked References Walk the Line: Station Context, Corridor Type and Bus Rapid Transit Walk Access in Jinan, China Yang Jiang a,1, P. Christopher Zegras b, Shomik Mehndiratta c a China Sustainable Transportation Center. CITIC Building, Room 1903, No.19 Jianguomenwai Daijie, Beijing P. R. CHINA, 100004 b Department of Urban Studies and Planning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Room 10-403, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States c The World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433, United States 1 Corresponding author. Tel: +86 10 85261955 ext. 103. Fax: +86 10 85262200. E-mail addresses: yangjiang@chinastc.org (Yang Jiang), czegras@mit.edu (P. Christopher Zegras), smehndiratta@worldbank.org (Shomik Mehndiratta). *Blinded Manuscript (WITHOUT Author Details) 1 Introduction Bus rapid transit (BRT) represents likely one of the most widespread urban public transportation “revolutions” of recent decades. Although plans (largely unrealized) for BRT-type systems can be found in United States urban contexts as far back as the late 1930s(Levinson, et al., 2003), BRT first became widely recognized in the transportation community with the pioneering “southern” case of Curitiba (Brazil) (Zegras & Birk, 1994). Essentially, what has generally become known as BRT aims to emulate more up-front-capital-intensive rail-based systems on key performance characteristics – including reliability, comfort, and speed – by utilizing measures like segregated and dedicated rights of way, paybefore-boarding at dedicated stations/stops, advanced traffic control and management measures for bus priority, and enhanced system marketing and branding. BRT’s popularity has increased globally, due to its promise for delivering a relatively low-cost, rapidly implemented, flexible, and high service quality solution to developing cities’ transportation needs(Wright & Hook, 2007). Public transportation will almost certainly play an important role in moving towards more sustainable urban futures for our planet. In that sense, BRT offers various opportunities and challenges, including several related to integrating BRT with the built urban environment. Can BRT deliver on possibilities for transit-oriented development? How can BRT corridors and stations be integrated into the urban fabric to induce ridership? Does the urban environment have an effect users’ willingness to walk for system access? In this paper we endeavor to shed light on answers to these questions. Specifically, using a recently implemented BRT system in the city of Jinan, China, we examine built environment factors which apparently influence station walk access distances. The remainder of this paper includes five additional sections. The following section introduces the concept of transit station area catchment and examines the possible role of the built environment. Section 3 describes the research context and approach, including a description of the user survey. Section 4 presents the results of the survey analysis, including users’ perceptions of walking conditions, descriptive statistics, and multivariate regression attempting to identify factors influencing station walk access distances. Section 5 discusses some planning implications of, and limitations to, the analysis. Section 6 concludes. 2 Backdrop: The transit station catchment area and the role of the built environment Most basically, a station “catchment area” represents the geographical area served by a particular transit station (hereafter, we use “transit” as shorthand for “public transportation”) within a particular distance or time, often some empirically determined “maximum” walk distance or area within which a majority of users arrive by foot (Chalermpong & Wibowo, 2007). In fact, different catchment areas may be defined for walk access/egress, feeder modes, automobile park-and-ride, and so forth. For urban transit systems (as opposed to, say, suburban systems like commuter rail), the walking catchment area tends to be particularly important, since walking is typically the primary access/egress mode for urban stations (e.g., Hsiao, et al., 1997). As a continuously growing base of research consistently reveals associations between walking behavior and the built environment(Ewing & Cervero, 2001; Greenwald & Boarnet, 2001; Guo, et al., 2007; Handy, et al., 2006), we would thus intuitively expect the built environment to exert some influence on a transit station’s walk-based catchment area. Theoretically, people make transit use decisions based on the expected benefit of the trip (i.e., whether the system gets a user to a desired destination) and the relative (to other available modes) disutility of realizing the trip, which includes price, in-vehicle time, wait times, transfer times, and access/egress times – all of which may vary by the users’ socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Each different time component of a trip also includes two elements: actual and perceived (subjective) times, with the latter influenced by comfort levels (e.g., vehicle crowding, wait time uncertainty, amenities). In this way, we can formally understand the role that the station area built environment might play in determining the effective catchment area for walk/access egress. The surrounding street and path networks impact actual distances and times – by determining, for example, directness of routes and number of stops, crossings, and other interferences – while these same networks’ conditions and other elements of the built environment, such as density and diversity of different land uses, impact perceived times – by affecting, for example, the overall walking experience. Knowing the size of a station catchment area is important to transit system planning and operations since the station area largely determines the number of final origins and destinations, thus potential demand, the system will serve. However, even in a single city, actual station catchment areas may vary due in part to physical characteristics: highly walkable station area surroundings will, all else equal, increase the expected distance that people will walk to access/egress the system by reducing the real and perceived time (disutility) of the walk. Therefore, knowing the relationship between a station’s effective catchment area and its built environment could improve ridership forecasts and also inform how changes in the built environment might increase the catchment area. This suggests a potentially mutually reinforcing relationship between urban design and transit demand via transit-oriented development (TOD). Unsurprisingly, no consensus exists among practitioners or researchers regarding a uniform standard for, nor uniform approach to estimating, catchment area size. For light rail transit (LRT) system planning and rail-based TOD, the walking distance guidelines range from 300-900m in Canada with variation across cities, compared to 400-800m in the USA (Canepa, 2007; Ewing, 1999; O'Sullivan &Morrall, 1996).For bus stops, 400m walking distance is usually considered(Ammons, 2001; Levinson, 1992). To empirically test the relationship between the local built environment and transit ridership/ transit choice, (Ryan & Frank, 2009) use 800m radii in calculating catchment-related attributes for San Diego’s Metropolitan Transit (bus) system. In similar studies focusing on BRT systems, Estupinan& Rodriguez (2008) use 250m radii for Bogota’s BRT (Colombia), whereas Cervero, et al. (2009) use 800m radii for Los Angeles County’s BRT (USA). A number of empirical studies on transit access walking distances exists (Alshalalfah&Shalaby, 2007; Ker & Ginn, 2003; Loutzenheiser, 1997; O'Sullivan & Morrall, 1996; Olszewski & Wibowo, 2005; Rastogi & Rao, 2003). Results show that actual walk access distances vary across cities and countries, and with respect to a series of factors (see Table 1). Without accounting for these factors, uniform standards or calculated catchment-related indexes are simplistic and possibly misleading. Recently, scholars have questioned the legitimacy of a priori catchment standards, instead calling for more advanced analytical techniques (Biba, et al., 2010; Canepa, 2007; Cheng & Agrawal, 2010; Foda & Osman, 2010; Landex & Hansen, 2006; Maghelal, 2011; Zhao, et al., 2003). Table 1. Factors Influencing Transit Walk Access Distance in the Empirical Literature Note: √ refers to significant factors; × refers to not significant factors; V.O. refers to vehicle ownership; * refers to studies focusing on the walk share within a certain catchment rather than the walk access distance Much of the existing catchment area research focuses on rail systems and factors of influence such as station function or levels of service, the relative location of the station, and trip maker characteristics (Table 1). Although some studies have focused specifically on the role of built environment, none has explicitly modeled walk distance. Examining the walk access share of the BART rail stations in San Francisco (USA), Loutzenheiser (1997) found that walking trips are influenced primarily by individual characteristics, with urban design and station area characteristics (retail-oriented environment) playing a modest role. Of more direct regional relevance to us, Olszewksi&Wibowo (2005) study mass rail transit station access in Singapore and find that, besides walking distance, the number of ascending steps, number of road crossings, and number of traffic conflicts around stations reduce the likelihood of walk access. Chalermpong&Wibowo (2007) examine walk access choice (within a pre-defined 2 km catchment area) to rail transit stations in Bangkok and find varying effects across different stations in the system; while they do not attempt to quantify the built environment characteristics related to these station-specific effects, they qualitatively describe some station-specific conditions that might be influencing the walk access choice. Finally, Maghelal(2011)models the walking percentage to light rail stations in Dallas (USA) for quarter-mile and half-mile distances and finds that sidewalk density is positively associated with percent walking to transit at both distances. Besides the absence of directly measured walk access distances, these studies also do not account for confounding factors such as transit station function, station location, and trip-specific characteristics. In addition, we have found no studies focusing on BRT walk access and catchment area identification. In the China context, although transit infrastructure development has boomed in recent years and transit tends to have a significant mode share in most cities(Darido, et al., 2010), walk access distances to transit – especially to the relatively new BRT systems –have rarely been explored. Cervero& Day (2008)and Pan, et al. (2009) each use a 1-km threshold in models to estimate (rail) transit proximity effects on travel behavior and accessibility of residents in specific neighborhoods, yet neither study offers evidence to support the selection of this threshold. We have reason to suspect that station catchment areas may be very context- and culture-specific. Data comparing average walking distance and times across countries suggest that residents of some Chinese cities may have a higher tolerance for walking(Rastogi & Rao, 2003), although comparing results across contexts should be done with caution due to the need to control for how trips are defined in the original data sources, trip purposes studied, socio-demographic and economic variables of influence, the transport system modes and performance, broader urban context, climate, etc. Mateo-Babiano&Ieda (2007), for example, present some evidence that average pedestrian speeds in countries of developing Asia are lower than in the West (and Japan). Those authors emphasize the socio-cultural underpinnings of pedestrian behavior and the important role of street space use. The willingness to walk to/from transit stations and the average walk access/egress distance are likely influenced by such factors. Furthermore, particular urban characteristics of Chinese cities may have relatively unique transit access effects. For example, China has a somewhat special urban form due to a clearly hierarchical street network. Particularly for BRT systems, different corridor types (arising in part from the street network hierarchy), may impose varying influences on the individual stations along a corridor due to trunk road design, station location setting, associated surrounding urban fabric (e.g., side streets), intersection design, and overall scale. In this paper, we examine the relationships between corridor type and station context on the effective walk catchment areas of BRT stations in a specific Chinese city, with the objective of answering the following questions: What BRT corridor types exist in China and are they perceived differently, in terms of walkability, by users? What are the walk access/egress distances to BRT stations and do they vary according to the station area built environment and BRT corridor type? We attempt to answer these questions by looking at Jinan’s BRT system which, in summer 2009, operated on three corridors in the city. We expect the findings to improve understanding of how the functions and forms of different types of urban roads affect people’s accessibility to public transport, regardless of the quality of public transport services themselves. We also hope to inform the design of BRT infrastructure (stations and corridors) to increase both walking to/from stations and overall system patronage. 3 Research context and design 3.1 National context China’s ongoing urbanization, economic growth, and motorization have transformed the nation’s urban landscape over the past decade. Transportation infrastructures have undergone rapid and massive change, including through new and expanded arterial roads, boulevards, ring roads, and access-controlled expressways. In recent years, authorities in many Chinese cities have increasingly recognized the importance of improving public transport conditions, including via investments in rail-based mass transit and, increasingly, in bus rapid transit (BRT). Since at least 1999, Chinese cities have started providing (or planning to provide) “advanced” bus rapid transit (BRT) services (Fig. 1). However, the lack of upfront integration of road design, public transportation planning, land-use planning and early-stage public consultation has created challenges to providing high quality public transport services on many new urban corridors. Fig.1.BRT development in China 1999-2008. Sources: data extracted from ITDP (2009) and ChinaBus.Info (2008). 3.2 Jinan context Jinan is the capital of Shandong Province. The city’s urban area expanded from 117 km2 in 1986 to 295 km2 in 2009(Jinan Statistics Bureau, 2009) and, according to the Jinan city master plan, the urban district will expand to a built-area of 410 km2 by 2020. The city’s population of 3.5 million people is expected to increase by an additional 1 million people by 2020(Jinan Urban Planning Bureau, 2005). To cope with increasing travel demand and urban growth, Jinan has been aggressively developing a BRT system since 2005.The Chinese central government named Jinan a “BRT Demonstration City”(SDUTC, 2008). As of summer 2009, the city had 3 BRT lines on 3 corridors –Jingshi Road, Beiyuan Road, and Lishan Road – running a total of 34kmswith 34 stations (seeFig.2). According to plans, by the end of 2015, Jinan will have over 120 kms of a BRT network(SDUTC, 2010). This ambitious plan carries important policy and planning relevance for the city. For corridors still in the early planning stages, analysis of the existing system could inform corridor and station planning and design, enhancing demand forecasts and potentially increasing catchment area size and system utilization. For predetermined corridor types (i.e., where the corridor type is already fixed), analysis of the existing system and its stations could still help improve ridership forecasts and understanding of the catchment area. Fig.2.JinanBRT system at the end of 2009. Source: Wang, et al. (2010, p.4). The Jinan BRT case provides the possibility to examine the effect of three different corridor types, representing different walking environments which are common in Chinese cities, while controlling for city-specific variation. As summarized in Figure 3, in the Jinan case we observe: 1) The “arterial-edge” type corridor (Jingshi Rd), with mid-block curb-side BRT stations and dedicated lanes on a ten-lane arterial. This represents a popular corridor type in China, with the most famous one likely being Chang’an Avenue passing Tian’anmen Square in Beijing. Corridors of this type tend to have super-wide arterials along with superblock development. Cities sometimes create these high profile corridors to enhance city image, providing a window into efforts to convey modernity(Tao, et al., 2010). Nonetheless, the public life along these roads (including side streets) tends to be lacking, and people must walk additional distances from intersections to the typically mid-block located stations. 2) The “integrated-boulevard” type corridor (Lishan Rd), with median BRT lanes and large treeshaded sidewalks, which usually have small setbacks and an active street-edge with retail. Side streets tend to have similar human-scale built environment conditions as the corridor due to small street blocks and ground-floor retail concentrations. 3) The “below-expressway” type corridor (Beiyuan Rd), with median-lane BRT right-of-way under the viaduct and stations at major intersections. Many cities have elevated ring roads of the type running above this BRT corridor. This corridor type and its side-streets tend to be car-oriented, lacking a human-scale and being chaotic with little landscaping, since these often run along existing poor settlements at the urban fringe which are partly being replaced by newly developed superblock projects. The unified BRT service planning and operation on three corridors in a single city provide a possibility to control for other factors influencing system performance. Currently, the three BRT lines operationally overlap each other on the three corridors, with similar speeds and station spacing. The system allows free transfers between BRT lines at transfer stations. Therefore, even with some corridor-specific characteristics within system/service operations, BRT riders tend to experience different corridors and the associated system/service effect in one single BRT trip. Thus, Jinan’s BRT provides a unique opportunity to somewhat control for overall quality of transit services when exploring how the functions and forms of different types of urban roads affect people’s accessibility to the system. Fig. 3. Major typologies of BRT corridor walkaccess environments in China and examples from Jinan 3.3 Research design We collected BRT walk access information by interviewing people at BRT stations over a 4-day period in late August 2009. Table 2shows the variation in the characteristics comprising the station-based sampling frame. Although the initial sample was randomly chosen, approximately one third of respondents was in a hurry and refused the survey, leading to a possible response bias towards people with a lower value of time. The survey was conducted from 7 to 10 AM and 4 to7 PM each day from Wednesday to Saturday, in an attempt to cover peak, non-peak, weekday and weekend periods. Nineteen BRT stations along the three BRT corridors constituted our sampling frame (Fig. 4, Table 2). Fig.4. Surveyed BRT stations and their contexts. In the survey, those BRT users who walked to or from a station were asked to point out on a map their approximate origins or destinations as well as their walking routes. Users also reported socioeconomic, demographic, trip-specific (e.g., purpose), and other travel (e.g., availability of other travel modes) information. Finally, respondents were asked to rate their walk access with respect to a series of related statements. In total 2,155BRT users were surveyed, from which we obtained1406 observations with valid walk access records, among which 1,233 remained valid after excluding responses with incomplete information. We recorded the reported walk paths and geo-coded them in a geographic information system (GIS). We also geo-coded each BRT station’s side street network and calculated relevant distances (e.g., path distances, straight-line distances, total length of side streets within a 600m-radius station area buffer. Table 3 presents the data derived on the physical characteristics related to the corridors and the stations, including the method and units of measurement. Table 2 Station Sampling Frame a. Income and age was collected as category info. Mid-point value for each category is used for average income and age estimation. Table 3 Data Captured on Corridor Type, Station Context and Walkability 4 Research analysis and findings Among valid observations, approximately half were female and almost 92% were between 20 and 60 years old (see Fig. 5, left); 82% reported a household monthly income between 1000RMB and 5000RMB (see Fig. 5, right). This number is consistent with the BRT user profile revealed from another conventional on-board survey, in which 80.8% of respondents fall into the 1000-5000RMB income category (SDUTC, 2010), and with Jinan’s officially reported average monthly income for urban households: 1835 RMB (Jinan Statistics Bureau, 2009). About 85% of surveyed BRT users were employed, 11% were students (see Fig. 6, left), and 43% were reporting on a work trip (see Fig. 6, right) (the low work trip share reflects peak/off-peak reporting periods). The relatively small share of school trips probably results from the survey period – late August, which coincides with China’s school holidays. The degree of BRT “dependency” for the particular trip (i.e., no alternative mode available) attempts to control for the increased likelihood of walking a greater distance when BRT is the only option available: 87% of respondents mentioned they would take conventional bus to make the same trip absent BRT; only 1% of respondents reported having no other choice than BRT. This supports the idea that, in Chinese cities like Jinan, the BRT system mainly attracts former conventional bus users. Fig.5. Distribution of BRT survey respondents by age and income. Fig.6. Distribution of BRT survey respondents by occupation and trip purpose. 4.1 Corridor access walkability We focus on four dimensions of walkability across the BRT corridors: protection, comfort, enjoyment and directness. We evaluate the first three aspects based on survey respondents’ rating of their walk access experiences (see Figure 7). We derive a proxy for the last measure, directness (ds), for station s as: (1), where: is the walking distance from the reported origin/destination of user n to station s; is the associated straight-line distance from the origin/destination of user n to station s; and N is the total number of survey respondents at the station. Note that, technically, the measures are carried out for stations on corridors; attributing them to the corridor presumes transitivity. Protection refers to security against traffic safety risk and against crime. None of the three corridors rated satisfactorily on this point. No more than a third of surveyed BRT users agreed that crossing and walking on sidewalks was safe and easy, although, interestingly, the below-expressway is perceived as safer than the other two corridor types. The low protection rating is not surprising, given our own observations of the corridor conditions. The Jingshi corridor is often quite wide, up to 10 lanes at some crossings, with people having to cross busy traffic with relatively short green-light cycles or using footbridges (Tao et al. (2010) report similar problems with general-purpose arterials in the city of Fushun). The Lishan corridor is narrower in the middle section, but also expands at the crossings. Finally, the Beiyuan corridor has poorly designed or managed light signals at some crossings and presents such serious drainage problems that people often cannot cross the street after a rain; this corridor rates significantly lower than the other two on crossing satisfaction. Comfort refers to the ease of walking (fewer obstacles), including sidewalk quality and street cleanliness. The arterial-edge Jingshi corridor, representing a “city image” project as discussed above, ranks significantly more favorably on comfort indicators than the other two corridors. About 67% of respondents on the Jingshi corridor think the pavement is good, significantly higher than Lishan(50%) and Beiyuan(38%). Similarly, more respondents perceive Jingshi as cleaner and with fewer sidewalk blockages. Enjoyment refers to aesthetic and utilitarian aspects related to the presence of activities and relief from the elements (e.g., shade from sun). On this dimension, the integrated-boulevard corridor, with 70% of respondents agreeing the corridor’s trees on sidewalks make walking pleasant, ranks better than the other two, where less than 50% responded similarly. The scale of the arterial-edge corridor, on the other hand, manifests wide streets and deep building set-backs (see Fig. 8). We dare say that the Jingshi corridor’s “city image” function provides a view more pleasing to drivers than pedestrians. For example, big trees along sections of the corridor, set back from the sidewalk, serve more as a backdrop to the vehicle lanes, impeding on-the-ground store development and interaction between pedestrians and buildings. The below-expressway corridor provides poor pedestrian scale, overwhelmed by the overhead mega-structure. Fig.7.BRT user perceptions of walkability experience on Jinan’s 3 BRT corridors. Note: [ ] refers to “walkability” aspect (see text). Percentage refers to share of surveyed BRT users that agree with walkability-related statements (i.e., scale rating as 4 or 5). All proportions within each aspect significantly different from each other (p<0.05), except ^ (p<0.10), and * (p>0.10). Fig.8.Jingshi corridor’s set-back with trees. One potentially confounding factor in the differences described above is that users’ ratings of the local environment might vary by income levels. A chi-square test revealed no significant relationship between income category and reported perceptions, except for the comfort-related aspect, “pavement is good.”1 Finally, directness refers to a station’s relative “detour” factor, as measured by equation (1), above. Averaging station-specific detour factors for each corridor type shows the arterial-edge corridor has an average detour factor of 1.59, indicating less directness, whereas the integrated boulevard and belowexpressway corridors have lower values of 1.36 and 1.33, respectively. This reflects the arterial-edge corridor’s access disadvantage due to the stations’ distance from major intersections. Pedestrians have to walk about 17-20% longer to access stations than they would if the stations were closer to crossings. As summarized in Table 4, the three corridors’ distinct physical arrangements, landscape, and street facilities lead to different levels of walkability perceived by BRT users. Overall, the integrated-boulevard corridor seems more walkable than the other two. The next section explores the relationship between corridor type and BRT user walk access distance. Table 4 Qualitative Assessment of Comparative Walkability on 3 BRT Corridors in Jinan 4.2 BRT walk access patterns 4.2.1 Descriptive analysis Figure 9 shows the recorded BRT walk access routes. Purple lines represent walking paths. Blue circles are 600-meter buffers at each station, represented by green dots. The map reveals that the majority of origins/destinations around the three terminal stations extend well beyond the 600m buffer area, suggesting a longer average walk access distance at the terminals. Second, the actual catchment areas of stations on the arterial-edge corridor (the southern E-W route) look smaller than those of stations on the other two corridors. 1 The critical χ² value is 11.07 (5 d.f.) at a p<0.05; the calculated χ² values are: Walking on sidewalks is safe, 7.897; Crossing is safe and easy, 3.027; Pavement is good, 11.656; Streets are clean, 6.429; Few blockages are on sidewalks, 3.313; Trees on sidewalks make walking pleasant, 4.823; Facilities along streets meet my demand, 9.770. Thus we fail to reject the null hypothesis of no association between perceptions and income in all cases but “Pavement is good.” Scrutiny confirms our first impressions. Fig. 10(top) shows the cumulative distributions of walking distance to BRT terminal stations, transfer stations, and typical stations. The distance walked clearly relates to station function, with terminal stations having longer walk distances; 80% of respondents walked farther than 600 m to a terminal station. The average walking distance to a terminal station, 1392 meters, is more than double that to a non-terminal station (Table 5).This might be partly attributable to the station function – a terminal, being the end of a transit line, might deliver higher relative levels of accessibility to the urban system and thus increase walk attractiveness to that station type – and/or to potentially higher concentrations of trip destinations (e.g., shopping) around these station types. Regarding corridor type, Fig.10 (bottom) shows the cumulative distributions of walking distance to BRT stations by corridor. The integrated-boulevard appears to have longer average walk distances (see, also, Table 5). Integrated-boulevard stations have an average walk access distance of 649 meters, compared to 475 meters and 580 meters on the arterial-edge and below-expressway corridors, respectively. The integrated-boulevard may be somehow incentivizing people to walk farther to use the system (despite roughly comparable levels of BRT service quality across the three corridors). The walk route data also enable a comparison of the walk access route patterns. The integrated-boulevard corridor presents a distinct hierarchical walk path pattern (i.e., access flows merge onto a few routes connecting to the stations), whereas the other two corridors display relatively random patterns (Fig. 11). This visual survey suggests that the integrated corridor may have a few walkable side streets, which provide sufficient access means. Station context might also influence walk access distance to the BRT. Beyond the apparent role of station function (i.e., terminal or not), the station’s density gradient may also influence catchment area, although it has been rarely examined. Statistically, controlling for the density gradient is necessary due to its influence on the distribution of the full station-catchment population, from which we randomly drew the survey. A station with a downward sloping density gradient, all else equal, will likely have a shorter average walking distance observed from the survey, not because BRT users around the station are necessarily less willing to walk, but because they do not have to walk as far on average when going to stations. Those individuals are more likely to appear in the survey than people accessing farther away locations. Unfortunately, Jinan has no publicly available geo-coded data on relevant land uses (e.g., business activities) and demographics (e.g., population density). We somewhat crudely identified stylized density gradient patterns, using a three-dimensional map (EDUSHI, 2009): hill pattern (intensive development adjacent to station), flat pattern (constant density emanating out from the station) and valley pattern (low density or vacant land adjacent to station). Figure 12 shows examples of the “hill” and “valley” density patterns. Fig.9. Jinan BRT station’s access/egress walking routes Fig.10.Cumulative frequency diagrams of walking distances at terminal, transfer and typical BRT stations (top) and three corridor types (bottom). Table 5 Walking Distance to BRT Stations by Corridor Type and Station Function a. Based on walk distance to non-terminal stations, since Jinan’s integrated-boulevard corridor has no terminal stations. Fig. 11.Walking path patterns on the three corridors. Fig. 12.Density gradient patterns of Jinan BRT stations. Fig. 13.Average walking distance by household income (top) and alternative mode availability (bottom). We should be cautious about drawing conclusions by directly comparing walk distances across station functions and corridor types. Other potentially confounding factors exist. For example, income may affect people’s willingness to walk, all else equal. Richer people tend to walk less to access BRT stations in Jinan (Fig. 13, top), consistent with the theory of wealthier people having a higher value of time. Also, access to alternative modes for the same trip may also have an influence – people with no choice other than taking BRT walk longer than those with an alternative (Fig. 13, bottom). Those with an alternative available for the trip reveal less variation in walk distances. Other potentially confounding sociodemographic and trip-specific factors include gender, age, occupation, trip purpose, and trip timing. 4.2.2 Regression analysis To isolate the influence of BRT corridor type and station walking conditions on the measured actual station walking distances, we specify an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression of the basic form: (2), where: = = = = = = BRT station walk access distance of trip maker i, a vector of socio-economic status variables of trip maker i, a vector of trip-specific variables of trip maker i, a vector of station context variables associated with trip maker i, the BRT corridor type (dummy) on which trip maker i is interviewed, and a random error term. Table 6 presents the regression results. The “control model” includes only the trip maker ( and trip2 related ( variables. Note the very low goodness-of-fit as evidenced by the adjusted R (0.012); these variables alone account for very little variation in individual BRT station walk access. The “full model” includes the corridor type dummies and several station context variables and shows a large improvement in goodness-of-fit, as measured by the adjusted R2(0.223), relative to the “control model.”The coefficient on the integrated-boulevard corridor variable is positive and significant. This suggests that, all else equal, BRT users on the integrated-boulevard corridor walk an average 158 meters longer to the BRT stations than those on the arterial-edge and below-expressway corridors. This may reflect the superiority of the integrated-boulevard corridor in terms of its walkability perceived by BRT users, as discussed earlier. Most station context variables are also significant. Compared to those at typical stations, walking access distances at terminal stations are 373 meters longer. Transfer stations have the opposite effect, with walk access distances 126 meters shorter than typical stations. One explanation for this result may be that the BRT transfer stations are also usually well connected with conventional bus routes/stops, reducing the number of longer walk access trips. In terms of the stylized density gradients, the “hill pattern” has a lower walk distance relative to the “flat pattern,” as expected, while the “valley pattern” has a higher walk distance, also as expected. The relative location of the station in the city also has a significant effect: stations farther from the city center have longer walk access distance (for each kilometer from the city center, a station has approximately 75 meters of additional walk access distance), all else equal. This is a reasonable result: presuming the city center represents the point of highest accessibility in the city, the farther away from the city an individual is (and subsequently the lower her relative accessibility at that location), the more likely she will be willing to walk farther to access the BRT system. Trip maker and trip-specific characteristics remain mostly insignificant in explaining walking access distance (consistent with Chalermpong and Wibowo (2007)’s findings for walk choice access to rail transit in Bangkok). In the “full model,” low income people walk 165 meters longer on average compared to median income people, yet high income people walk as long as the median income people. Occupation and gender have no significant relationship with walk access distance; nor do car ownership, frequency of BRT use, weekend trip-making, or group trip-making. Table 6 OLS Regression Models Predicting BRT Walk Access Distance *p<.10, ** p<.05 The age effect remains interesting. On the one hand, people aged 40 to 60 walk less than people from the other age groups surveyed. On the other hand, the other age groups show no statistically significant differences in their walk distances, meaning older adults (over 60) seem to walk as far people aged under20 to 40. This result should be interpreted with some caution. For example, older adults may have a lower value of time, seat privileges on the system, and enjoy benefits of a free ticket policy which give them an incentive to walk more; but, older adults’ presence in the sample may be biased. The older adults surveyed were ambulatory – if they had trouble walking, they would have a lower likelihood of being in our sample. Anecdotally, from the survey implementation, we observed that some “super-healthy” older adults even regarded walking to the BRT as exercise. 5 Implications and limitations 5.1 Research implications This research has several implications. First, cities pursuing transit-oriented development should recognize a unique opportunity around terminal BRT stations. Our analysis finds that the average radial distance of the walk catchment area for such stations may be as large as 1350 m, meaning that the walk catchment area, or pedestrian zone, of a BRT terminal station maybe up to five times larger than the coverage area with the conventionally assumed 600m radial distance. However, the location of BRT stations, if not close to road intersections, can reduce catchment area size, due to walk “detour” effects. Second, for travel demand analysis, accounting for corridor type and station context may improve BRT ridership forecasts in the China context. Conventional travel demand models assume that transit riders, particularly choice users, are mostly sensitive to a bus stop’s service quality and fare levels. Given the likelihood of a varying catchment area sizes, demand analysis should explicitly incorporate station type and context, including walk-route connectivity, street crossing, and the like. Third, for urban planning more generally, flexible catchment area definitions are needed, reflecting corridor type and station context. Based on the model results, we develop initial guidelines for radial distance walk catchment areas around BRT stations. Applying the relevant model coefficients yields the expected average walk distance: (3) The final radial distance should be further discounted by a detour factor which is station-location dependent. For example, the arterial-edge corridor in Jinan suggests a “discount” of up to 30% for this corridor type. Table 7 presents rough estimates of radial distance catchment areas by corridor type and station function. Finally, from a public finance perspective, our analysis suggests investment should prioritize a few pedestrian access routes to cost-effectively enlarge BRT station catchment areas. Evidently, the station context along the Jinan integrated-boulevard corridor includes a few walking-friendly routes intensively used by the majority of surveyed BRT riders accessing those stations. In addition, when investing in an access route, particular attention should be paid to improving the “enjoyment” factor. On Jinan’s arterial corridor, the handsome and apparently comfortable conditions do not incentivize walking farther, perhaps due to the lack of attractions and/or pedestrian-oriented functionality. Table 7 Estimated Variations in Catchment Area Distance Guidelines The lessons and implications above, while specifically applicable to Jinan, can guide similar analyses in other cities and help them develop more public transport-friendly urban road infrastructures, including by helping to prioritize bus-priority measures based on corridor type, identify walk-friendly station-area characteristics, and highlight possibilities for retrofitting facilities. 5.2 Research limitations This research has a number of limitations. First, different aspects of corridor type may affect walk access distances in different ways. Unfortunately we could not examine them due to the limited number of BRT corridors (only 3) operating at the time in Jinan and the lack of walk-route-specific built environment characteristics. The latter could be overcome via detailed field work characterizing specific walk route attributes. The findings regarding variations by corridor type should thus be viewed tentatively because corridor characteristics are “bundled” with local access conditions which may confound effects. Second, the other end of each BRT trip sampled was not taken into account in the statistical analysis; presumably riders consider both access and egress together when making trip decisions. Third, the model does not include more accurate station context factors (e.g., actual density, land use mix), due to lack of data. Fourth, we do not know whether walk access distances vary by season because the survey was conducted in the summer; people may walk less in the cold winter. Finally, the survey implementation technique certainly resulted in some biases, perhaps over- (or under-) estimating actual walk catchment areas. 6 Conclusions We examined BRT station walk access patterns in rapidly urbanizing China, where BRT implementation has been on the rise. Urban form features and station context and right-of-way configurations may influence users’ willingness to walk to BRT and, thus, the walk access catchment area. We tested this hypothesis with data from a user survey, conducted at 19 BRT stations along the city of Jinan’s three existing (as of summer 2009) BRT corridors. We applied ordinary least squares regression to estimate the relationship between walk access distances and aggregate station- and corridor-area characteristics, controlling for individual- and trip-specific attributes. The results suggest that people walk farther to BRT stations when the walking environment has certain features (median transit-way station location, shaded corridors, busy and interesting). Among Jinan’s three BRT corridors, stations on the integrated-boulevard corridor (Li-shan Road) have a 160 meter longer average walk access distance than those on the arterial-edge and below-expressway corridors.BRT users also perceive the integrated-boulevard corridor as the most walkable environment, although it shares a safety problem with the other two corridor types. Compared to the station and corridor contexts, trip and trip maker characteristics play a relatively minor role in defining BRT walk access distance. Only low income and BRT-captive people walk more than average. Older adults do not necessarily walk less to access BRT stations, although this result may be affected by sampling bias. Women are willing to walk as long as men. Occupation, car ownership, trip purpose and time do not affect walk access distance among the BRT users surveyed. Our findings have several implications. For urban planners, BRT stations offer an important opportunity for transit-oriented development; our analysis suggests a need, and method, to account for and subsequently influence walk access catchment area. For travel demand modelers, considering corridor type and station context may improve BRT ridership demand analysis. Transit planners should use flexible catchment area definitions, reflecting the corridor type and location station context. Finally, for transit investment decision-makers, providing a few critical pedestrian access routes to stations may be a cost-effective way to enlarge catchment areas. Acknowledgements The funding for this project was provided by the Transport Unit of the World Bank, Beijing Office. We acknowledge the contribution of Asst. Prof. Zhang Ruhua and Mr. Wu Xiangguo from Shandong University, who helped in survey organization and data collection, and Mr. Zhang Tao from Beijing Normal University, who helped in GIS digitalization of the survey data. 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Integrated--Boulevard Corrid dor Corridor Trees on sidewalk LishanRd. 3. Below-Exp pressway Corrido or Corridor Beiy yuan Rd. Fig. 3 Major ty ypologies of BRT T corridor walkacccess environmentts in China and ex xamples from Jinnan. Figure4 Fig.4. Surveyed BRT stations and their contexts. Figure5 Age (Years) Household Income (RMB/Mo) 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% 5% <20 8% 20‐30 26% 30‐40 22% <600 11% 40‐50 57% 50‐60 1000‐2000 2000‐5000 56% >60 Fig.5. Distribution of BRT survey respondents by age and income. 600‐1000 5000‐10000 >10000 Figure6 Occupation 2% 1% 4% 2% 6% 11% Trip Purpose Teacher 5% Work Student 12% Worker 13% 9% 47% Government official Company employee Service/self‐ employed 10% 43% 2% Shopping 10% 8% Recreation 12% 3% Fig.6. Distribution of BRT survey respondents by occupation and trip purpose. School Figure7 [Protection] Walking on sidewalks is safe. 26%* 28%* 32% [Protection] Crossing is safe and easy. 29%* 26%*^ 21%^ 69% [Comfort] Pavement is good. 50% 38% 47% [Comfort] Streets are clean. 33%* 35%* 45% [Comfort] Few blockages are on sidewalks. 24%* 27%* 48% [Enjoyment] Trees on sidewalks make walking pleasant. 70% 39% 33% [Enjoyment] Facilities along streets meet my demand. 58% 49% 0% Arterial-edge 20% Integrated-boulevard 40% 60% 80% 100% Below-expressway Fig.7.BRT user perceptions of walkability experience on Jinan’s 3 BRT corridors. Note: [ ] refers to “walkability” aspect (see text). Percentage refers to share of surveyed BRT users that agree with walkability-related statements (i.e., scale rating as 4 or 5). All proportions within each aspect significantly different from each other (p<0.05), except ^ (p<0.10), and * (p>0.10). Figure8 Fig.88.Jingshi corrridor’s set-back with trees.. Figure9 (surveyed only) Fig.9. Jinan BRT station’s access/egress walking routes. 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Terminal Station Transfer Station Typical Station 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 1200 1350 1500 1650 1800 1950 2100 2250 2400 2550 2700 2850 3000 3150 3300 3450 3600 3750 3900 Percentage of BRT riders Figure10 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Arterial‐Edge Integrated‐Boulevard Below‐Expressway 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 1200 1350 1500 1650 1800 1950 2100 2250 2400 2550 2700 2850 3000 3150 3300 3450 3600 3750 3900 Percentage of BRT riders Access/Egress Walking Distance (m) Access/Egress Walking Distance (m) Fig.10.Cumulative frequency diagrams of walking distances at terminal, transfer and typical BRT stations (top) and three corridor types (bottom). Figure11 Arterial- Edge (Jingshi St.) Integrated- Boulevard (Lishan Rd.) Fig. 11.Walking path patterns on the three corridors. Below- Expressway (Beiyuan St.) Figure12 Station 3 Station 8 BRT BRT Valley Pattern (concave) Valley Pattern (concave) Pattern (convex) HillHill Pattern (convex) Fig. 12.Density gradient patterns of Jinan BRT stations. Source: Adapted from (EDUSHI, 2009). Figure13 900 Avg Walking Distance (m) 800 771 781 646 700 647 639 600 509 500 400 300 200 100 0 <600 600‐1000 1000‐2000 2000‐5000 5000‐10000 >10000 Household Income (RMB/Mon) Avg Walking Distance (m) 1025 1000 800 600 591 667 616 679 733 615 554 400 200 0 Mode Alternative for the Same Trip Fig. 13.Average walking distance by household income (top) and alternative mode availability (bottom). Table1 Table 1. Factors Influencing Transit Walk Access Distance in the Empirical Literature Station Station Trip maker Trip Built Transit function location features features environment system (level of service) Purpose MultiTransit type√ CBD√ Gender× × × mode Route Age × Length √ √ systems frequency Transit Pass Transfer√ (Toronto, Dwell type× Canada) √ V.O. × Occupation √ Rail Suburb (Perth,Aust rilia) DownRail (Bay Gender√ Density× √ √ area, USA) town√ Age Retail √ Ethnicity Income× √ Light rail Terminal Gender× CBD√ √ (Calgary, Transit type Canada) Road Rail Transit type√ Gender√ √ × (Singapore) crossings Age Traffic conflicts√ Ascending steps√ √ Rail Income (Mumbai, V.O.√ India) × Specific-station Rail Gender √ × (Bangkok, dummy Age Thailand) V.O.× × Income Occupation× Sidewalk Light rail Income√ √ √ (Dallas, density Ethnic USA) Housing density× Land use mix× Author(s) Alshalalfah& Shalaby(2007 ) Ker &Ginn, (2003) Loutzenheiser (1997)* O'Sullivan& Morrall(1996 ) Olszewksi& Wibowo (2005)* Rastogi&Rao (2003) Chalermpong &Wibowo (2007)* Maghelal (2011)* Note: √ refers to significant factors; × refers to not significant factors; V.O. refers to vehicle ownership; * refers to studies focusing on the walk share within a certain catchment rather than the walk access distance Table2 Table 2 Station Sampling Frame Station Station Distance to Road Length in # Feeder Respondent Respondent ID Function City Center 500m Bus Average Income Average (km) Catchment (km) Routes (RMB/month)a Age a Typical 1.9 15.3 2 3733 36 1 Typical 1.5 16.7 6 4768 36 2 Typical 2.4 15.4 1 4050 31 3 Typical 2.8 18.2 3 3430 29 4 Terminal 4.5 13.3 10 3066 33 5 Transfer 1.6 15.9 6 3740 31 6 Transfer 2.0 15.4 12 2542 30 7 Transfer 2.4 13.2 1 3041 37 8 Transfer 3.1 15.5 10 3447 34 9 Transfer 4.2 16.1 6 4570 28 10 Transfer 3.6 18.6 6 3699 26 11 Transfer 3.2 15.8 0 2127 29 12 Transfer 2.7 12.5 3 3845 29 13 Typical 2.9 20.2 4 4011 29 14 Typical 3.2 22.2 0 3180 33 15 Typical 3.6 20.3 20 2479 27 16 Typical 4.3 18.6 3 2214 27 17 Terminal 6.2 13.6 5 2682 29 18 Terminal 5.9 13.6 4 3234 28 19 a. Income and age was collected as category info. Mid-point value for each category is used for average income and age estimation. Table3 Table 3 Data Captured on Corridor Type, Station Context and Walkability Data Item Description Method Unit of Measure Corridor type Visual Categorical Walkability Visual (pictures and Ordinal (Likert-scale):1-stongly videos); Rating on disagree, 5-strongly agree statements Station density gradient Read from local 3D map Categorical Station function Read from local BRT map Categorical Length of side streets Measured in GIS Kilometers Distance to city center Measured in GIS Kilometers Number of bus lines to station Count from local bus map Numbers Table4 Table 4 Qualitative Assessment of Comparative Walkability on 3 BRT Corridors in Jinan Corridor Type (Name) Walkability Perceptions from BRT Users Protection Comfort Enjoyment Arterial-Edge(Jingshi) poor good poor Directness poor Integrated-Boulevard(Lishan) poor average good good Below-Expressway(Beiyuan) poor poor average good Table5 Table 5 Walking Distance to BRT Stations by Corridor Type and Station Function Corridor Typea Statistics Station Function Arterial- IntegratedBelowEdge Boulevard Expressway Typical Transfer Terminal Mean 475 649 580 549 586 1392 Median 412 520 458 435 458 1311 Maximum 1635 2023 2738 2738 2067 5114 Minimum 102 47 36 102 37 97 95% Confidence Interval for Mean (Lower Bound) 444 599 546 516 555 1234 95% Confidence Interval for Mean (Upper Bound) 505 699 613 578 619 1496 No. of Valid Observations 332 271 631 627 607 172 a. Based on walk distance to non-terminal stations, since Jinan’s integrated-boulevard corridor has no terminal stations. Table6 Table 6 OLS Regression Models Predicting BRT Walk Access Distance Control Model Variable Coefficient T-test BRT Trip Maker & Trip Characteristics Income <2000RMB 120.371* 1.69 Income 2000-10000RMB ref Income >10000RMB -133.728 -1.08 Occupation: Professional 24.397 0.58 Occupation: Blue Collar 105.998 1.40 Occupation: Service/ Self-employed 15.386 0.28 Gender: Female -29.701 -0.99 Age <20 2.552 0.04 Age 20-40 ref Age 40-60 -36.600 -0.79 Age >60 200.407** 2.20 BRT-Dominant User 19.723 0.63 Car Ownership -26.006 -0.62 Trip Purpose: Commuting/ Schooling ref Trip Purpose: Shopping -68.515 -1.37 Trip Purpose: Recreation/ Social 53.361 1.21 Trip Purpose: Personal Business/ Other -59.678 -1.55 No Alternative Mode Available 470.689** 2.55 Trip Time: Weekend -7.556 -0.22 In Group 13.516 0.39 BRT Corridor Type Integrated-Boulevard (Lishan Rd) Below-Expressway (Beiyuan Rd) Arterial-Edge (JingshiRd) BRT Station Context Terminal Station Transfer Station Typical Station Density Gradient: Hill Density Gradient: Flat Density Gradient: Valley Number of Feeder Bus Routes Distance to City Center (km) Feeder Road Length in 600m Catchment Area (Constant) No. Observations (df) F Adjusted R2 *p<.10, ** p<.05 640.032** 12.27 1,233 (18,1214) 1.882* 0.012 Full Model Coefficient T-test 165.651** ref -54.418 -9.133 -43.635 -48.788 2.330 -72.527 ref -73.832* 26.446 42.035 6.414 ref -46.560 22.799 -21.551 415.598** -26.062 28.053 2.60 -0.49 -0.24 -0.64 -1.00 0.08 -1.14 -1.75 0.32 1.47 0.17 -1.04 0.58 -0.62 2.53 -0.85 0.90 158.810** -20.432 ref 2.60 -0.32 372.886** -126.453** ref -156.771** ref 153.714** 0.583 75.926** -11.127 3.52 -2.34 597.833** 1,233 (27,1205) 14.576** 0.223 -4.15 3.52 0.18 2.40 -1.16 3.06 Table7 Table 7 Estimated Variations in Catchment Area Distance Guidelines Radial Distance (meters) Terminal Station Non-terminal Station Arterial-Edge 600-1000 300-600 Integrated-Boulevard 1000-1500 600-1000 Below-Expressway 800-1200 400-800 Corridor Type