Forest Research and Ecosystems of the Western Cascades Thomas Spies USDA Forest Service PNW Research Station Major Research Themes Climate Topography/ soils Disturbance Land management/ Social systems Succession Structure/ composition Function Water Small Watersheds Forest-Stream Interactions Large Dead Trees Long-Term Ecological Research Ecosystem Management Projected Temperature Changes under Climate Change Topographic influences Daly et al. 2010 Portland Portland Eugene Examples of High Elevation at-Risk Tree Species Pinus albicaulis Chamaecyparis nootkatensis Abies procera Dry Douglas-fir/Mixed Conifer/Hardwood-Mixed severity fire Examples of classifications of Douglas-fir stand development Typical Age Oliver and Larson 1990 Franklin et al. 2002 0 Legacy 20 Pioneer Establish Stand initiation 30 Stem exclusion Canopy closure 80 Understory rein. Maturation 150 Old-growth Vertical divers. 300 Horizontal divers. 800-1200 Pioneer loss Legacy/Disturbance HOH Fire Canopy Closure/Competitive Exclusion stages Horizontal Diversity/Pioneer loss 70 Old-Growth Forest Age Distribution Watershed 10, HJA Number of trees 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 575 475 375 275 Tree age (25 yr classes) 175 75 Franklin and Hemstrom 1981 Mixed/High Severity Fire Regimes 80 to >200 year return Interval Fire Synchrony in Western Oregon and Washington Desolation Peak (Agee et al. 1990) Mt. Rainier (Hemstrom & Franklin 1982) Bull Run (Agee & Krusermark 2001) Humbug Creek (Garza 1995) Blue River (Weisberg 1998) Bear-Marten (Weisberg 1997) Coast Range (Impara 1997) Augusta Creek (Cissel et al. 1998) Little River (Van Norman 1998) Oregon Caves (Agee 1991) Percent of Study Area Burned in 25-year Intervals 20–29% 30–49% >50% Impara and Swanson Weisberg and Swanson Occurrence of Low Intensity Fire In Old-Growth Douglas-fir in Washington and Oregon % of Old-growth Stands 100 50 0 R. River NF South Willamette NF Latitude Mt Rainier NP North PDO < 0.5 SD below mean Ring-Width Index PDO > 0.5 SD above mean PDO (MacDonald & Case 2005) 2 in the central western Cascades 0 -2 1800 1900 16 8 0 2000 1800 1900 2000 -4 S -6 Percent of Sampled Trees 1200 6 1300 1400 1500 1600 Year 1700 # of Stands With Cohort Initiation Departure from Mean Ring-Width Index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation of Douglas-fir Trees AAAG 4 Age Distribution Douglas-fir Establishment 4 2 “Super Old Growth” 0 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 Establishment Date Alan Tepley in prep PDO < 0.5 SD below mean Ring-Width Index PDO > 0.5 SD above mean PDO (MacDonald & Case 2005) Ring-Width Index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation 2 0 -2 1800 1900 16 8 0 2000 1800 1900 2000 -4 -6 Percent of Sampled Trees 1200 6 1300 1400 1500 1600 Year 1700 Douglas-fir Establishment 4 2 0 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 Establishment Date # of Stands With Cohort Initiation Departure from Mean 4 Where is the super old growth? Slope Degrees Giglia 2004 Aspect Changing Federal Forest Management Outcomes of Litigation Against Forest Service By National Region 1989-2002 PNW Forest Service National Regions Keele et al. 2006 Change in Timber Harvest On National Timber Harvest on National Forests (Westside) Billion board feet 5 4 14 3 10 7 2 3 1 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year Million cubic meters Forests in the Pacific Northwest (west) Northwest Forest Plan Allocations Blue River Alternative NWF Plan Adaptive Management--Retention Silviculture Current and Future Emphasis Topographic influences on ecosystems and interactions with climate change Ecosystem Services Linkages between science-humanities