Charitable Giving and Taxation: Should the Government Give Tax Breaks to the Rich for Making Charitable Contributions? Kimberley Scharf University of Warwick London School of Economics Fifth Workshop on Foundations Torino October 16, 2015 Supporting minority interests in tough times I There are lots of questions in tough times I I I I I I What should government do? Balance the budget? Balance through taxes or spending? Increase taxes? Decrease spending? There are lots of answers Good times/tough times I In good times, the budget is more relaxed ⇒ tax incentives more affordable I Politicians are more relaxed ⇒ supporting minority interests more viable I Not so in tough times – possibly even if the tax incentives are for giving and the minority interests are those of wealthy donors Two questions 1 Would a reduction in tax incentives improve the budget? I I The answer is . . . maybe It depends on how donors respond in terms of their total giving (aggregate response) 2 Should the government use tax incentives to support the minority interests of rich donors? I I The answer is . . . maybe It depends on how donors respond in terms of the bundle of causes to which they give (compositional response) Very Important I All answers are completely independent of ideology – this is all about the economics Tax incentives I Different kinds in different countries (e.g. mortgage interest payment relief, pensions, donations) I They are costly for government I Contributions to private activities produce a private benefit ⇒ there are no direct implications for public spending I Contributions to charity affect the private provision of a public good or service (which to some degree substitutes for public provision) ⇒ there may be implications for government budget How people respond to tax incentives affects the government budget I Suppose, for the sake of argument, that someone has a total amount of before tax income (Y) and this is divided so that Y =P +T +D I P is private stuff like a house, clothing, entertainment (private yacht, upkeep of mansion, etc. if rich) I T is taxes I D is donations to charity One way people might respond to a reduction in tax expenditures Y = P ↓ +T ↑ + D I Y doesn’t change, T goes up, P goes down, nothing happens to D I Thinking is a bit naive I It assumes that donors are inert with respect to the donation decision I Ample evidence that donors are not, they will respond I They may change their aggregate donations Another equally plausible response Y =P +T ↑+D ↓ I Y doesn’t change, T goes up, money going into P could be “spoken for” and so P can’t change ⇒ the increase in T would be have to absorbed by a reduction in D ⇒ if government has to step in to exactly make up for the shortfall in D ⇒ effect on the budget would be zero Another equally plausible response Y ↓ = P ↑ +T ↑↓ + D ↓ I Y goes down, T goes up or down, donor gets irritated and increases P ⇒ the fall in Y, increase in T and increase in P would then have to be more than fully absorbed by a reduction in D ⇒ if government has to step in to make up for the shortfall in D ⇒ effect on the budget would be negative Which of these scenarios is the right one depends on what people actually do I Economists look at this in terms of the effect of policy changes on the ‘price of giving I Just like the price of candy affects how much candy people buy, the ‘price of giving’ affects how much people donate and a change in tax relief (or tax rates) changes this price I So whether or not revenue goes up by more than the fall in spending (or down by more or stays the same), depends on how responsive donors are to changes in the ‘price of giving’ Measuring donor responses to changes in the price of giving I The price elasticity of giving is a number that measures the sensitivity of donor responses to changes in the price of giving I Evidence about it is limited and mostly based on US data I Best UK evidence suggests that reducing tax relief might make private consumption bigger for wealthier donors ⇒ donations might fall by more than the increase in taxes ⇒ fewer donations in aggregate ⇒ as a result, government might have to spend more on financing the incentive, than charities receive ⇒ not an effective use of public funds Conclusion about Question 1 – Would a reduction in tax incentives improve the budget? I Depends on the evidence I Donors react to changes in tax expenditures by changing aggregate donations I These aggregate donation responses matter for budgetary outcomes I Public policy should take them into account ⇒ they need evidence I It also needs evidence if there are political concerns about using public money to finance minority interests I This does not depend upon political ideology, as we will see Question 2. Tax incentives used to support the minority interests of rich? I The rich donate a lot of money to charity and claim disproportionate share of tax relief * Charitable*giving*and*tax*relief*in*America*(2010)* Source:*Congressional*Budget*Office,*US*Government* Total*donations* D*$212bn* Tax*relief*paid* out*D*$39bn* 76%*of*total*went to*taxpayers*with** income*over* $100,000* 43%*from* taxpayers*with* income*less*than* $100,000* $33bn*claimed*by* taxpayers*with* income*over* $100,000* * The interests of the rich I The rich have different interests than do the majority (education, culture, ballet e.g.) Contributions by Income and Subsector, 2005, as Percent of Total (U.S.A.) Income Less than $100,000 $100,000 to $200,000 23.7 3.0 3.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 2.4 35.6 4.5 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 7.9 $200,000 $1 million to $1 million or more Total Subsector Religion Combined Basic needs (1) Health Education Arts Other Total 8.3 4.0 2.1 1.9 11.5 5.4 2.9 36.2 3.4 0.8 0.8 5.1 5.1 3.1 1.9 20.3 Source: Patterns of Household Charitable Giving by Income Group, 2005 (Indianapolis: Center on Philanthropy, Summer 2007), Table 9 (1) Providing food, shelter, or other necessities. Table 4 Share of Tax Returns, Income, and Contributions and Percent Itemizers, by Income, 2008 40.0 8.8 7.5 8.7 18.2 9.1 7.8 100.0 Giving of the rich relative to the poor I For the UK Table&3:&Comparing&rich&donors&to&UK&donors&& Cause$ %$who$donate$to$ each$cause$ Rich UK$ Donors$ Donors$ %$of$the$total$ amount$donated$ Rich$ UK$ Donors$ Donors$ Culture$&$Recreation$ 12%! 4%! 6%! 3%! Education$&$Research$ 47%! 45%! 16%! 21%! Health! 53%! 33%! 8%! 15%! Social$Services! 62%! 43%! 14%! 18%! Environment! 26%! 19%! 7%! 9%! Development$&$Housing$ 21%! 9%! 3%! 3%! International! 59%! 17%! 14%! 10%! Religion! 47%! 13%! 19%! 16%! 11%! 5%! Other! ! ! $ $ Number$of$donations$per$year$ Figure!1!shows!a!histogram!of!the!number!of!donations!individuals!made!per!year.!Since!th histogram!had!a!long!tail!going!out!to!more!than!800!donations,!we!have!grouped!donation Giving tax relief to the rich in good times I Even if tax breaks result in more collective goods in aggregate and at a lower cost, the composition of provision is determined by a rich minority I Might not be such a bad thing in good times. Why? I Argument is that the political system is biased ⇒ gives rise to dictatorship of majority I But subsidising minority tastes offsets this bias ⇒ government support of minority interests is ‘good’ for democracy Giving tax relief to the rich in tough times I But in tough times, subsidising minority interests may not be politically or economically affordable I Majority might not want tax breaks being used to subsidise pet causes of the minority I Government might react by reorganising tax expenditures so that they are restricted to majority interests Is this a good idea? I It is naive to think that the government should stop subsidising minority tastes in order to pursue the priorities of the majority I And this is not an ideological stance I Donors will respond by changing the composition of the causes that they support I This might affect the budget in unintended ways Shifting tax incentives away from minority tastes I Shifting tax incentives away from minority tastes ⇒ price of giving increases for causes supported by minorities and decreases for causes supported by majorities I Rich donors respond by redistributing their donations across the causes that they support I Overall distributional effect will depend upon whether donor thinks causes are complements or substitutes for one another, and that depends on preferences of the rich I Use an example to illustrate One charitable cause is a rescue centre for poodles Rich support a different kind of rescue centre for poodles What should government do? I Should we ban tax breaks on donations to this charity? I Maybe yes. Maybe no. It depends on compositional responses Fancy hairdos for poodles and Cancer Research UK I Suppose big donors to Cancer Research UK are also poodle owners who are keen on rescuing poodles and their fancy hairdos I And who think of poodle hairdos and cancer research as being complementary to each other (like shoes are to shoelaces . . . ) I Then, if relief is chopped for donations to rescue centres for poodles and their fancy hairdos, donations to Cancer Research UK will also fall I This would not alleviate political pressure and might worsen public finances I Government might want to subsidise fancy poodle hairdos, even if they are a minority interest despised by the majority The answer to Question 2? I Depends on the evidence, but there is almost none! Discussion I Non-economists don’t really think about effects of responses to policy I But not thinking about responses could lead policymakers to come to completely wrong conclusions about policy and lead them to develop completely silly policies I But other things matter too . . . Technology choices and donor responses I I Choices of technologies and how those interact with donors’ choices have implications for efficiency and public policy Raises at least two more questions of importance 3 Are donors afraid of charities’ fixed costs? 4 In the presence of fixed costs, can the rich control the charitable agenda? Fixed costs I I In economic terms, fixed costs are costs that do not scale up with output In accounting terms, they can be some kinds of administrative costs or overhead costs or other costs associated with things like I I I I IT systems Financial systems Skills training Salaries in some situations Fixed costs and scale economies I Taking advantage of scale economies ⇒ fixed costs need to be incurred, because that is how scale economies are exploited I This is justified only for a certain scale of operations, otherwise the spend on the machine is wasted I Implications of fixed costs and scale economies for efficiency in the private sector are very well understood and studied Fixed costs and scale economies in the private sector I Fixed costs do not present a challenge for private firms: in private markets, the most cost effective technology will win I For firms that use fixed cost technologies, goods can be offered at a cheaper price ⇒ customers can be stolen from less efficient firms, which are driven out of the marketplace Fixed costs and scale economies in the non-profit sector I In the non-profit sector, even though charitable goods and services cannot be ‘bought’ and ‘sold’ as they are in private markets I But, in order to be cost effective, charities (of all sizes) must incur fixed costs as their scale of operation increases But does not seem to be what we see I This idea of cost effectiveness and fixed costs seems to present special challenges to charities I And this seems very strange for economists who are mainly concerned about efficiency I We see that charities seem to relate to fixed costs differently than do private firms Fixed costs seems to present special challenges for charities I Charities seem to worry about how fixed costs affect their position and viability “There’s an idea out there that a charity is good if it only spends 20% on administration and fundraising and 80% on program costs, and if you’re out of that approximate range, somehow you’re bad or inefficient” (Rosemary McCarney, Plan Canada) Fixed costs seems to present special challenges for charities I There seems to be a perception in the non-profit sector that, for some reason, donors do not want to pay for fixed costs “. . . we believe that a highly efficient charity should be spending just 15% on overhead, so we give our best score to charities that spend 85% or more on programs . . . we give top marks for fundraising organizations that flow 90% or more of their expenditures to other charities, leaving just 10% for overhead” (Moneysense, Charity 100) Challenges have implications for sectoral efficiency I They seem to imply that a ‘good’ charity has a small fraction of fixed costs relative to variable costs I Fixed costs seem to be thought of as being wasteful I Variable costs seem to be interpreted as measuring actual program activities I But this makes no sense from an economics point of view For an economist . . . I It is like saying that research and development expenditures that result in innovations are wasteful Wasteful Even more wasteful The efficiency implications I If donors are reluctant to pay for fixed costs, and if this is the situation that charities are faced with ⇒ no guarantee that the most cost effective charities are selected by donors ⇒ inefficiency in the sector I If charities respond to concerns by adopting inefficient strategies that avoid fixed costs ⇒ innovation slowdown in the sector ⇒ inefficiency in the sector I ⇒ there is an efficiency based economic rationale for government intervention targeted towards fixed costs Our research I We are researching this question and trying to understand underlying mechanisms I Analytical findings are that analysis of performance of the non-profit sector requires different economic tools than the ones we use when analysing performance in the for-profit sector I Preliminary lab experiments suggest that donors do relate to fixed costs in a peculiar way; and one reason for this is that they think of provision that involves relatively large fixed costs as being more ‘risky.’ How subjects relate to fixed costs in the lab I In situations where small groups of subjects have to choose between two options involving fixed costs – a higher fixed cost option which is more efficient and which payoff dominates – for the same money, provision is higher – a less efficient lower fixed cost option . . . I The efficient option is chosen only 63% of the time Evidence points choices being driven by behavioural reasons I Our evidence suggests that subjects think of high-fixed cost option as being ’riskier’ than low-fixed cost option ⇒ poor coordination ⇒ subjects spread out between the two options ⇒ waste/inefficiency through duplication of fixed costs I Our evidence also suggests that this coordination induced inefficiency is more serious, the bigger is the difference in fixed costs between the two options Lab results on performance with two contribution options Conclusions from Question 3 I This is academic research I This underpins more general analysis that studies the role that technology plays in shaping donor coordination problems and competition in the non-profit sector (e.g. contestability) I Our baseline analytical and empirical evidence suggests (1) Donor responses to fixed costs do appear problematic (2) They can cause serious inefficiencies in the sector and innovation slowdown I Both results provide a rationale for corrective government intervention systematically targeted to fixed costs; and have important implications for fundraising and reporting of costs What about Question 4 - In the presence of fixed costs, can the rich control the charitable agenda? I Think about the coordinating role that large donors can play I In situations where you have different charities providing the same services I Donors have to coordinate on something otherwise there is waste I Large donors are naturally coordinated since they can put all of their donations onto one thing I This can be an economically efficient because large donors can trigger coordination by funding fixed costs, and then smaller donors might coordinate around that ⇒ potential for efficiency enhancing coordination on the ‘right’ provider Issues I To the extent that there are different priorities and views about the missions that charities should adopt, then large donors might naturally use their advantage in ‘herding’ donations towards their own favourite cause, which might not be the mission that smaller donors prefer I We have conducted experiments around this and have found evidence that this happens I This is work in progress, but the agenda raises a number of serious issues and there are a number of important implications – including political economy implications THANK YOU!!