CR Revenue Forecast @ Feb 2012 Preliminary Draft - Tentative, No Final Decisions 2011-12 Student FTES (Resident/Funded) 2012-13 Best case 2012-13 Worst case 4,811 4,811 4,548 Tier 1 Mid year cut Tier 2 Mid year cut Total Cut 140,070 336,167 476,237 336,167 336,167 140,070 336,167 476,237 2010-11 FTES Growth (Over the 6-30-2011 budget) Governor's Jan 2012 Bgt CO Deficit Factor, net of tier 1 cut 771,600 (167,098) - (167,098) 1,200,000 - 169,069 1,509,139 REVENUE CUT 1,247,837 Note: This is a preliminary revenue estimate based on the Governor's January, 2012 budget proposal. The Governor will provide a May Revised Proposal in May, 2012. 2012-13 Best case CR Expenditure Forecast @ Feb 2012 Preliminary Draft - Tentative, No Final Decisions Cancel Arcata Kitchen Lease Health Insurance Retirement Contributions Unemployment Insurance Workers Compensation All Other Step Step CSEA 2011-12 COLA guarantee (1.5%) Police Academy Fire Svc VP Instruction Human Resources Director (8,500) 181,000 34,000 50,000 486,000 215,000 315,000 60,000 45,000 170,000 150,000 EXPENDITURE INCREASE 1,697,500 2012-13 Best case CR Transfers Forecast @ Feb 2012 Preliminary Draft Refinance COPs from Empl Benefit Trust* Transfer to Employee Benefits Trust* TRANSFERS INCREASE 2012-13 Worst case (8,500) 181,000 34,000 50,000 486,000 215,000 315,000 60,000 45,000 170,000 150,000 1,697,500 2012-13 Worst case 80,000 25,000 80,000 25,000 105,000 105,000 * In 2011-12, existing COP payment is being refinanced, so no payment in 2011-12, but payment must be added back to 2012-13. District needs to increase transfers to the employee benefits trust to properly fund this obligation. TOTAL BUDGET SHORTFALL 1,971,569 2012-13 Best case CR Bgt Potential Solutions @ Feb 2012 Preliminary Draft - Tentative, No Final Decisions 3,311,639 2012-13 Worst case 101 Corridor Sites (Lease + operating costs) Transfer Auxiliary Support (Bookstore, Dining, Housing, Parking) TLUs (Course Section Funding)* Reduce operating expenditures (BPC recommendations) Revenue increase (275,000) (300,000) (200,000) (80,000) (275,000) (300,000) (275,000) (200,000) (80,000) TOTAL OPERATING SOLUTIONS (855,000) (1,130,000) Retirement Holds, Reductions, Reorganization Estimates: Administration, Management Faculty Staff (435,000) (800,000) (650,000) (435,000) (800,000) (650,000) (1,885,000) (1,885,000) TOTAL PAYROLL SOLUTIONS Accreditation Budget TLUs for 51 growth FTES (Over the 6-30-2011 budget) Payroll Concessions (Negotiations) Unallocated 100,000 75,000 REMAINING BUDGET SHORTFALL (Spring Reallocation) 100,000 75,000 (450,000) (21,639) (593,431) - * About $400,000 TLU savings could be realized if the entire $1.2 million revenue cut also reduces CR's enrollment cap, which is called a "workload reduction". However, the $700K in retirement savings includes some faculty retirements, so the estimated TLU is adjusted to avoid doublecounting the potential savings. 2/26/2012 10:03 AM 1 2012-13 CR Budget Forecast5.xlsx Sheet1