FTES Trends -- California Community Colleges
Institutional Research 1/8/2015
By Region
Most Northern Colleges saw peak enrollments in 2009-2010. All of these Northern Colleges, except Lake Tahoe, have experienced declining
enrollments since then through 2013-2014. The map depicts the Northern Schools included in this summary, which go as far south as Solano.
FTES changes
2009-10 to 2013-14
-33.1%
-30.9%
-29.5%
-27.2%
-22.8%
-21.6%
-19.8%
-18.5%
-16.9%
-16.8%
-15.5%
-14.8%
-14.6%
-12.7%
-11.9%
-11.5%
-8.3%
0.6%
Northern College
Yuba
Redwoods
Shasta
Woodland
Solano
Sacramento City
American River
Cosumnes River
Feather River
Folsom Lake
Siskiyous
Napa
Mendocino
Lassen
Sierra
Butte
Santa Rosa
Lake Tahoe
Small (< 6,000 FTES) Northern California Colleges
Three schools with steady FTES decline experienced an increase from 2012-13 to 2013-14 (Napa, Yuba, Woodland). Lake Tahoe also increased
from 12-13 to 13-14. Redwoods, Folsom Lake, Siskiyous, and Feather River declined from 2012-13 to 2013-14, and Mendocino remained stable.
12,000.00
10,000.00
8,000.00
Siskiyous
Woodland
Yuba
6,000.00
Feather River
Folsom Lake
4,000.00
Lake Tahoe
Lassen
Mendocino
2,000.00
Napa
Redwoods
0.00
Larger (>6,000 FTES) Northern California Colleges
30,000.00
25,000.00
20,000.00
American River
Santa Rosa
15,000.00
Sacramento City
Sierra
10,000.00
Butte
Cosumnes River
5,000.00
Solano
Shasta
0.00
District Stats: All California Community College Districts
The following summary looks at the 72 Districts in California. The 24 smallest districts were most impacted by declining enrollments.
Largest 24 districts
Mid-size districts: 25-48
Smallest districts: 49-72
Average FTES Change
(09-10 to 13-14)
-8.8%
-12.1%
-18.9%
Unemployment rates were about the same in districts with the largest gain compared to the largest decline. Population growth was larger in
districts with a gain than a decline, but not by a large amount.
Colleges with largest FTES decline
Unemployment Rate
Change
2009 to 2013
-3.5%
-1.0%
-0.8%
-2.8%
-3.2%
-3.6%
-2.1%
-3.3%
-2.5%
Population Change
April 1 2010 to
July 1 2013
2.60%
2.00%
3.30%
1.20%
4.00%
-4.70%
-0.10%
1.40%
1.21%
2009
2013
Barstow city
16.1%
12.6%
Citrus
6.1%
5.1%
Monterey
5.3%
4.5%
Yuba
14.6%
11.8%
San Fran
8.9%
5.7%
Palo Verde
16.0%
12.4%
Redwoods
10.9%
8.8%
Shasta
12.8%
9.5%
Average
Colleges with FTES gain
Rancho
Santiago
13.90%
10%
-3.9%
2.90%
Santa Barbara
8.40%
6.80%
-1.6%
2.30%
Antelope
16.20%
13.90%
-2.3%
1.80%
Mira Costa
9.10%
7.20%
-1.9%
3.40%
Lake Tahoe
15.10%
11.70%
-3.4%
-0.10%
Average
-2.6%
2.06%
Note: Service regions of these Districts were approximated by city/county.
FTES Change by District Size & Accreditation Status
Districts with the largest drop in enrollment had more sanctions imposed by the ACCJC. This difference is greatest for Probation and Show Cause.
Only 3 of the 25 districts with an enrollment gain/small decline were issued Probation or Show Cause, whereas 13 of the 25 districts with the
largest drop in enrollments were issued these more serious sanctions.
Accreditation Sanction
Imposed
(2009 – 2014)
25 Districts with
largest decline
25 districts with
growth/smallest decline
16
12
5
12
3
0
Warning
Probation
Show Cause
Districts with Largest Enrollment Decline (Top 25)
District
Barstow CCD
FTES
2009-2010
FTES
2013-2014
FTES Change
09-10 to 13-14
Size Rank
(1=largest)
ACCJC Sanction Imposed (2009 - 2014)
4,476.00
2,479.34
-44.6%
67
Citrus CCD
11,850.60
6,783.74
-42.8%
55
Monterey CCD
11,411.04
6,632.38
-41.9%
57
9,880.66
6,738.21
-31.8%
56
Yuba: Probation 1013, Warning 2014,
Woodland: Warning 2013
40,561.09
2,022.89
27,967.74
1,396.38
-31.0%
-31.0%
10
72
Show Cause 2012
Warning 2011, Probation 2012, Probation 2014
6,086.02
4,204.32
-30.9%
62
Warning 2009, Show Cause 2012, Probation 2013
Shasta Tehama CCD
10,252.53
7,223.90
-29.5%
52
Yosemite CCD
18,749.12
14,205.90
-24.2%
34
Probation 2012
Columbia: Warning 2012, 2013,
Modesto: Probation 2012
Glendale CCD
17,615.75
13,536.06
-23.2%
36
Warning 2011
Yuba CCD
San Francisco CCD
Palo Verde CCD
Redwoods CCD
Warning 2012
District
Solano CCD
FTES
2009-2010
FTES
2013-2014
FTES Change
09-10 to 13-14
Size Rank
(1=largest)
ACCJC Sanction Imposed (2009 - 2014)
Show Cause Jan 2009, Probation June 2009,
Warning 2012
9,903.86
7,645.62
-22.8%
51
San Luis Obispo CCD
10,361.62
8,005.28
-22.7%
49
West Valley CCD
19,867.57
15,376.06
-22.6%
30
Mt. San Jacinto CCD
13,254.90
10,453.05
-21.1%
42
Los Rios CCD
64,882.03
52,023.35
-19.8%
2
Long Beach CCD
23,913.56
19,189.11
-19.8%
21
Warning 2009
5,091.85
4,139.71
-18.7%
63
Probation 2009, Warning 2012
San Jose CCD
16,221.24
13,198.64
-18.6%
37
Evergreen: Warning 2011 , Probation 2014,
San Jose: Probation 2011, 2014
Rio Hondo CCD
15,530.08
12,676.86
-18.4%
38
Warning 2009
Chabot-Las Positas CCD
18,980.05
15,594.27
-17.8%
29
Victor Valley CCD
10,567.62
8,684.85
-17.8%
47
Cabrillo CCD
12,182.27
10,083.38
-17.2%
43
1,907.29
1,585.79
-16.9%
70
Warning 2009
10,730.89
8,984.44
-16.3%
46
Show Cause 2013, Warning 2014
18
Berkeley & Laney: Probation 2010, Warning 2011,
2012; Alameda & Merritt: Warning 2010, Probation
2010, Warning 2011
Marin CCD
Feather River CCD
Sequoias CCD
Peralta CCD
24,251.56
20,343.77
-16.1%
Cuesta: Warning 2009, Probation 2011,
Show Cause 2012, Warning 2013
Mission: Warning 2009, Probation 2014,
West Valley: Probation 2014
Probation 2011, 2013
Districts with Enrollment Growth/Smallest Decline (Top 25)
District
FTES
2009-2010
FTES
2013-2014
FTES Change
09-10 to 13-14
Size Rank
(1=largest)
ACCJC Sanction Imposed (2009 - 2014)
Coastline, Golden West & Orange Coast: Warning
2013
Coast CCD
37,455.43
34,186.74
-8.7%
6
Sonoma CCD
21,579.79
19,779.75
-8.3%
19
Hartnell CCD
7,669.57
7,048.19
-8.1%
53
27,547.37
25,333.90
-8.0%
15
6,023.12
5,558.64
-7.7%
58
16,931.47
15,664.04
-7.5%
28
9,283.91
8,595.86
-7.4%
48
San Diego CCD
41,840.05
39,051.67
-6.7%
4
Compton CCD
5,576.16
5,253.82
-5.8%
61
Los Angeles CCD
South Orange County
CCD
99,515.64
94,323.26
-5.2%
1
27,677.13
26,234.64
-5.2%
14
Irvine Valley & Saddleback: Warning 2011
Pasadena CCD
25,007.51
23,736.77
-5.1%
16
Warning 2012
West Hills CCD
5,781.88
5,532.00
-4.3%
59
Allan Hancock CCD
10,114.77
9,696.38
-4.1%
45
Mt. San Antonio CCD
31,928.66
30,859.77
-3.3%
8
San Bernardino CCD
14,524.45
14,082.57
-3.0%
35
San Mateo CCD
23,049.51
22,500.53
-2.4%
17
Santa Clarita CCD
15,606.95
15,311.78
-1.9%
31
2,686.89
2,667.66
-0.7%
65
41,557.01
41,518.20
-0.1%
3
Lake Tahoe CCD
2,083.60
2,095.87
0.6%
68
MiraCosta CCD
10,996.56
11,092.12
0.9%
40
Antelope CCD
10,652.70
11,345.63
6.5%
39
Santa Barbara CCD
16,689.69
18,517.65
11.0%
23
Warning 2012
Rancho Santiago CCD
33,281.32
38,644.01
16.1%
5
Warning 2009
Santa Monica CCD
Gavilan CCD
San Joaquin Delta CCD
Ohlone CCD
West Kern CCD
North Orange CCD
Probation 2013, Warning 2014
Warning 2011
Miramar: Warning 2011
Closure report in 2007
Various Warnings and Probations
Crafton Hills: Probation 2009
Taft: Warning 2010
Cypress & Fullerton: Warning 2011
Warning 2009