03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 169
References
ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics). 2005. Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia 2004–05. Canberra. Available at www.abs.gov.au (accessed April 12, 2007).
Adams, R. M., C. Rosenzweig, R. Peart, J. Ritchie, B. McCarl, J. Glyer, B. Curry, J. Jones,
K. Boote, and L. Allen. 1990. Global Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture. Nature (May):
219–24.
Adams, Richard M., Bruce A. McCarl, Kathleen Segerson, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Kelly J.
Bryant, Bruce L. Dixon, Richard Conner, Robert E. Evenson, and Dennis Ojima. 1999.
Economic Effects of Climate Change on US Agriculture. In The Impact of Climate Change
on the United States Economy, ed. Robert Mendelsohn and James E. Neumann. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Avila, Antonio Flavio Dias, Luiz José Maria Irias, and Magda Aparecida de Lima. 2006.
Global Warming Effects on the Brazilian Agriculture: Economic Impact Assessment on
Land Values. World Bank, Washington. Photocopy (December).
BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 2006. National Income and Product Accounts. Washington:
US Department of Commerce. Available at www.bea.gov (accessed June 29, 2006).
Boer, G., G. Flato, and D. Ramsden. 2000. A Transient Climate Change Simulation with
Greenhouse Gas and Aerosol Forcing: Projected Climate to the Twenty-First Century.
Climate Dynamics 16, no. 6 (June): 427–50.
Cap, Eugenio, and Jorge Lozanoff. 2006. El Impacto del Cambio Climatico sobre la
Agricultura Argentina: Un Estudio Económico. World Bank, Washington. Photocopy
(December).
CEA (Council of Economic Advisers). 1994. Economic Report of the President. Washington.
Cline, William R. 1992. The Economics of Global Warming. Washington: Peterson Institute for
International Economics.
Cline, William R. 1996. The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: Comment. American
Economic Review 86, no. 5 (December): 1309–11.
Cline, William R. 2004. Climate Change. In Global Crises, Global Solutions, ed. Bjørn Lomborg.
Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Darwin, Roy, Marinos Tsigas, Jan Lewandrowski, and Anton Raneses. 1995. World Agriculture and Climate Change. Agricultural Economic Report no. 703 (June). Washington: US
Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
Darwin, R. F. 1999. A FARMer’s View of the Ricardian Approach to Measuring Agricultural
Effects of Climate Change. Climatic Change 41: 371–411.
169
03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 170
Darwin, R. F., and D. Kennedy. 2000. Economic Effects of CO2 Fertilization of Crops: Transforming Changes in Yield into Changes in Supply. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 5, no. 3:157–68.
Deininger, Klaus. 1999. Making Negotiated Land Reform Work: Initial Experiences from Brazil,
Colombia, and South Africa. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 2040 (January). Washington: World Bank.
Dinar, Ariel, Robert Mendelsohn, Robert Evenson, Jyoti Parikh, Apurva Sanghi, Kavi
Kumar, James McKinsey, and Stephen Lonergan. 1998. Measuring the Impact of Climate
Change on Indian Agriculture. World Bank Technical Paper no. 402 (March). Washington:
World Bank.
Emori, S., T. Nozawa, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Numaguti, M. Kimoto, and T. Nakajima. 1999. Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model Experiments of Future Climate Change with an Explicit
Representation of Sulfate Aerosol Scattering. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan
77: 1299–307.
EPA (Environmental Protection Agency). 1989. The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change
on the United States, eds. Joel B. Smith and Dennis Tirpak. Washington.
ERS (Economic Research Service). 2006a. China Agricultural and Economic Data. Washington:
US Department of Agriculture. Available at www.ers.usda.gov/data/china (accessed
June 29, 2006).
ERS (Economic Research Service). 2006b. Data Sets: International Food Consumption Patterns.
Washington: US Department of Agriculture.
FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2005. Compendium of Food and Agriculture Indicators 2005. Rome. Available at www.fao.org (accessed June 29, 2006).
FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2006a. World Census of Agriculture: Results by
Country. Rome. Available at www.fao.org (accessed June 29, 2006).
FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2006b. FAO Country Profiles and Mapping Information System. Rome. Available at www.fao.org.
Federal Register. 2006. US Government. Federal Register 71, no. 158 (August 16).
Fischer, Günther, Harrij vanVelthuizen, Mahendra Shah, and Freedy Nachteergaele. 2002.
Global Agro-Ecological Assessment for Agriculture in the 21st Century: Methodology and Results. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
Flato, G. M., and G. J. Boer. 2001. Warming Asymmetry in Climate Change Experiments. Geophysical Research Letters 28: 195–98.
González U., Jorge, Roberto Velasco H., and José Cares G. 2006. Cambio Climático en Sistemas
Agrícolas de Chile: I: Evaluación Preliminar del Efecto de Variables de Clima Sobre el
Valor Económico Estimado del Suelo. World Bank, Washington. Photocopy (December).
Gordon, H. B., and S. P. O’Farrell. 1997. Transient Climate Change in the CSIRO Coupled
Model with Dynamic Sea Ice. Monthly Weather Review 125: 875–907.
Gordon, C., C. Cooper, C. A. Senior, H. T. Banks, J. M. Gregory, T. C. Johns, J. F. B. Mitchell,
and R. A. Wood. 2000. The Simulation of SST, Sea Ice Extents and Ocean Heat Transports
in a Version of the Hadley Centre Coupled Model without Flux Adjustments. Climate
Dynamics 16: 147–68.
Hitz, Sam, and Joel Smith. 2004. Estimating Global Impacts from Climate Change. In The
Benefits of Climate Change Policies: Analytical and Framework Issues. Paris: Organisation for
Economic Cooperation and Development.
IBGE (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística). 2006. Censo Agropecuário de 1995–1996.
Rio de Janeiro. Available at www.ibge.gov.br (accessed June 29, 2006).
IEA (International Energy Agency). 2006. Energy Technology Perspectives: Scenarios and Strategies to 2050. Paris.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1996. Climate Change 1995: Impacts,
Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses, ed. Robert T.
Watson, Marufu C. Zinyuwera, and Richard H. Moss. IPCC Second Assessment Report:
Climate Change 1995. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
170
GLOBAL WARMING AND AGRICULTURE
03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 171
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1999. Guidelines on the Use of Scenario
Data for Climate Impact and Adaptation Assessment, Version 1. Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment (December). Available at http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2001a. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, ed. J. T. Houghton et al. IPCC Third Assessment Report: Climate Change 2001.
Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2001b. Climate Change 2001: Impacts,
Adaptation, and Vulnerability, ed. James J. McCarthy et al. IPCC Third Assessment Report: Climate Change 2001.Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2007a. Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to IPCC
Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007. Geneva.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2007b. Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Working Group
II Contribution to IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007. Geneva
(April 6).
IMF (International Monetary Fund). 2006. International Financial Statistics. Washington.
Jativa, Pablo, and S. Niggol Seo. 2006. A Cross-Sectional Examination of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture in Ecuador. World Bank, Washington. Photocopy (December).
Jorgenson, Dale W., Richard J. Goettle, Brian H. Hurd, and Joel B. Smith. 2004. U.S. Market
Consequences of Global Climate Change. Arlington, VA: Pew Center on Global Climate
Change (April).
Knutson, T. R., T. L. Delworth, K.W. Dixon, and R. J. Stouffer. 1999. Model Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends (1949–1997). Journal of Geophysical Research 104:
30981–96.
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep, and Shane Rosenthal. 2003. Climate Change and Agriculture. World
Bank Environment Department Paper no. 91 (June). Washington: World Bank.
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep, Robert Mendelsohn, Rashid Hassan, James Benhin, Temesgen
Deressa, Mbaye Diop, Helmy Mohamed Eid, K. Yerfi Fosu, Glwadys Gbetibouo, Suman
Jain, Ali Mahamadou, Renneth Mano, Jane Kabubo-Mariara, Samia El-Marsafawy,
Ernest Molua, Samiha Ouda, Mathieu Ouedraogo, Isidor Sène, David Maddison, S. Niggol Seo, and Ariel Dinar. 2006. Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change? World
Bank Economic Review, no. 21 (October).
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep, and Robert Mendelsohn. 2006. A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact
of Climate Change on African Cropland. CEEPA Discussion Paper no. 8 (July). Pretoria,
South Africa: Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa.
Li, Yi-Fan. 1996. Global Population Distribution Database. Downsview, Ontario: Environment
Canada (August 12). Available at http://grid.cr.usgs.gov.
Long, Stephen P., Elizabeth A. Ainsworth, Andrew D. B. Leakey, and Patrick B. Morgan. 2005.
Global Food Insecurity: Treatment of Major Food Crops with Elevated Carbon Dioxide
or Ozone under Large-scale Fully Open-Air Conditions Suggests Recent Models May
Have Overestimated Future Yields. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 360:
2011–20.
Long, Stephen P., Elizabeth A. Ainsworth, Andrew D. B. Leakey, Josef Nösberger, and Donald R. Ort. 2006. Food for Thought: Lower-than-Expected Crop Yield Stimulation with
Rising CO2 Concentrations. Science 312 (June 30): 1918–21.
Mendelsohn, Robert, William D. Nordhaus, and Daigee Shaw. 1994. The Impact of Global
Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis. American Economic Review 84, no. 4 (September): 753–71.
Mendelsohn, Robert, and James E. Neumann, eds. 1999. The Impact of Climate Change on the
United States Economy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
REFERENCES
171
03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 172
Mendelsohn, Robert, and William D. Nordhaus. 1999. The Impact of Global Warming on
Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis: Reply. American Economic Review 89, no. 4 (September): 1053–55.
Mendelsohn, Robert, and Michael E. Schlesinger. 1999. Climate Response Functions. Ambio
28, no. 4 (June): 362–66.
Mendelsohn, Robert, Wendy Morrison, Michael E. Schlesinger, and Natalia G. Andronova.
2000. Country-Specific Market Impacts of Climate Change. Climatic Change 45: 553–69.
Mendelsohn, Robert, Ariel Dinar, and Apurva Sanghi. 2001. The Effect of Development on
the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture. Environment and Development Economics 6: 85–101.
Mendelsohn, Robert, and Ariel Dinar. 2003. Climate, Water, and Agriculture. Land Economics
79, no. 3 (August): 328–41.
Mendelsohn, Robert, and Michelle Reinsborough. 2007. A Ricardian Analysis of US and
Canadian Farmland. Yale University, New Haven, CT. Photocopy.
Nakićenović, N., and R. Swart, eds. 2000. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
NAST (National Assessment Synthesis Team). 2001. Climate Change Impacts on the United
States: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change. Report to the US
Global Change Research Program. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). 2007. Comparative Climatic
Data: Data Tables. Washington: US Department of Commerce. Available at http://
ols.nndc.noaa.gov (accessed March 29, 2007).
Nordhaus, William D., and Joseph Boyer. 2000. Warming the World: Economic Models of Global
Warming. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development). 2004. The Benefits of Climate Change Policies: Analytical and Framework Issues. Paris.
OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development). 2005. OECD in Figures,
2005 Edition. Paris. Available at http://ocde.p4.siteinternet.com (accessed June 29, 2006).
Pacheco, Rafael, Luisa Caraballo, and S. Niggol Seo. 2006. Global Warming and Agriculture
in Venezuela: An Economic Valuation. World Bank, Washington. Photocopy (December).
Parry, M., C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, G. Fischer, and M. Livermore. 1999. Climate Change
and World Food Security: A New Assessment. Global Environmental Change 9: S51–S67.
Parry, M., C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, M. Livermore, and G. Fischer. 2004. Effects of Climate
Change on Global Food Production under SRES Emissions and Socio-Economic Scenarios. Global Environmental Change 11, no. 3: 1–3.
Parry, Martin, Cynthia Rosenzweig, and Matthew Livermore. 2005. Climate Change, Global
Food Supply and Risk of Hunger. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 360:
2125–38 (October 24).
Quiggin, John, and John K. Horowitz. 1999. The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A
Ricardian Analysis: Comment. American Economic Review 89, no. 4 (September): 1044–45.
Reilly, J., N. Hohmann, and S. Kane. 1994. Climate Change and Agricultural Trade: Who
Benefits, Who Loses? Global Environmental Change 4, no. 1: 24–36.
Reilly, John M., and 22 coauthors. 1996. Agriculture in a Changing Climate: Impacts and
Adaptation. In Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change,
ed. Robert T. Watson, Marufu C. Zinyuwera, and Richard H. Moss. Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press.
Reilly, John M., and 19 coauthors. 2001. Agriculture: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the United States. US National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change, US Global Change Research Program. New
York: Cambridge University Press.
Reinsborough, Michelle J. 2003. A Ricardian Model of Climate Change in Canada. Canadian
Journal of Economics 36, no. 1 (February): 21–40.
172
GLOBAL WARMING AND AGRICULTURE
03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 173
Rocha, Jorge Granados, Irma Baquero Haeberlin, Margarita Ramírez Gómez, and Fabiola
Gómez. 2006. Efectos del Cambio Climático Global en la Agricultura Colombiana.
World Bank, Washington. Photocopy (December).
Roeckner, E., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Christoph, M. Claussen, L. Dümenil, M. Esch,
M. Giorgetta, U. Schlese, and U. Schulzweida. 1996. The Atmospheric General Circulation
Model ECHAM-4: Model Description and Simulation of Present-Day Climate. Max-Planck
Institute for Meteorology Report no. 218. Hamburg, Germany: Max-Planck Institute for
Meteorology.
Rosenberg, Norman J., and Pierre R. Crosson. 1991. Processes for Identifying Regional Influences
of and Responses to Increasing Atmospheric CO2 and Climate Change: The MINK Project—An
Overview. DOE/RL/01830T-H5 (August). Washington: US Department of Energy.
Rosenzweig, C., M. L. Parry, G. Fischer, and K. Frohberg. 1993. Climate Change and World Food
Supply. Research Report no. 3. Oxford: University of Oxford, Environmental Change
Unit. Available at www.ciesin.org (accessed August 9, 2006).
Rosenzweig, Cynthia, and Ana Iglesias, eds. 1994. Implications of Climate Change for International Agriculture: Crop Modeling Study. EPA 230-B-94-003. Washington: US Environmental Protection Agency.
Rosenzweig, C., and M. L. Parry. 1994. Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food
Supply. Nature 367: 133–38.
Rosenzweig, C., M. Parry, and G. Fischer. 1995. World Food Supply. In As Climate Changes:
International Impacts and Implications, ed. K. M. Strzepek and J. B. Smith. Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press.
Rosenzweig, Cynthia, and Ana Iglesias. 2006. Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World
Food Supply: Data Sets from a Major Crop Modeling Study. New York: Goddard Institute
for Space Studies, Columbia University. Available at http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu
(accessed August 9, 2006).
Sanghi, Apurva, Robert Mendelsohn, and Ariel Dinar. 1998. The Climate Sensitivity of Indian Agriculture. In Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Indian Agriculture, by
Dinar et al. World Bank Technical Paper no. 402 (March). Washington: World Bank.
Statistics Canada. 2007. Agriculture 2001 Census: Data Tables. Ottawa. Available at www.
statcan.ca.
Stern Review. 2006. Stern Review Report on the Economics of Climate Change, by Nicholas Stern.
Prepublication edition available at www.hm-treasury.gov.uk. Published edition available as The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge
University Press, 2007.
Tol, Richard S. J. 2002. Estimates of Damage Costs of Climate Change. Environmental and Resource Economics 21: 47–73.
Tubiello, F. N., C. Rosenzweig, R. A. Goldberg, S. Jagtap, and J. W. Jones. 2002. Effects of Climate Change on US Crop Production: Simulation Results Using Two Different GCM
Scenarios. Part I: Wheat, Potato, Maize, and Citrus. Climate Research 20 (April): 259–70.
Tubiello, Francesco N., Jeffrey S. Amthor, Kenneth J. Boote, Marcello Donatelli, William Easterling, Gunther Fischer, Roger M. Gifford, Mark Howden, John Reilly, and Cynthia
Rosenzweig. 2007. Crop Response to Elevated CO2 and World Food Supply. (A Comment on “Food for Thought” by Long et al., 2006, Science 312: 1918–21.) European Journal of Agronomy 26: 215–23.
United Nations. 2006. World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision Population Database. New
York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
USDA (US Department of Agriculture). 2004. 2002 Census of Agriculture: Summary and State
Data, volume 1. Geographic Area Series, Part 51 (June). Washington.
USDA (US Department of Agriculture). 2005. Cotton and Wool Outlook (December 12).
Washington.
REFERENCES
173
03--References--169-174
6/15/07
10:54 AM
Page 174
USDA (US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service). 2006. World Agricultural Production. WAP 09-06 (September). Washington.
Washington, W. M., J. W. Weatherly, G. A. Meehl, A. J. Semtner Jr., T. W. Bettge, A. P. Craig,
W. G. Strand Jr., J. Arblaster, V. B. Wayland, R. James, and Y. Zhang. 2000. Parallel
Climate Model (PCM): Control and Transient Solutions. Climate Dynamics 16, no. 10-11
(October): 755–74.
World Bank. 1978. World Development Report 1978. Washington.
World Bank. 1984. World Development Report 1984. Washington.
World Bank. 2005. World Development Indicators 2005. Washington.
World Bank. 2006. World Development Indicators 2006. Washington.
Worldwatch Institute. 1998. United States Leads World Meat Stampede. Washington (July 1).
Zhang, X-H., J. M. Oberhuber, A. Bacher, and E. Roeckner. 1998. Interpretation of Interbasin
Exchange in an Isopycnal Ocean. Climate Dynamics 14: 725–40.
174
GLOBAL WARMING AND AGRICULTURE