Snow Hydrology and Modelling in Alpine, Arctic and Forested Basins John Pomeroy and collaborators Richard Essery (Edinburgh), Chris Hopkinson (CGS-NS), Rick Janowicz (Yukon Env), Tim Link (Univ Idaho), Danny Marks (USDA ARS), Phil Marsh (Env Canada), Al Pietroniro (Env Canada), Diana Verseghy (Env Canada), Jean Emmanual Sicart (IRD France and Centre for Hydrology Faculty, Researchers and Students Tom Brown, Kevin Shook, Warren Helgason, Chris DeBeer, Pablo Dornes, Chad Ellis, David Friddell, Warren Helgason, Edgar Herrera, Nicholas Kinar, Jimmy MacDonald, Matt MacDonald, Chris Marsh, Stacey Dumanski, Brad Williams, May Guan Mountain Snow vast water reserves in winter snowpack Snow depth in January summer snow water reserves Snow depth in June Study Elements • Processes – Snow accumulation, structure and observation – Turbulent transfer to snow – Radiation effects on snowmelt under tundra shrubs and evergreen forests • Parameterisations – – – – – – • Blowing snow over complex terrain Irradiance in complex terrain – longwave from terrain, shortwave shadows Forest snow interception, unloading and sublimation Sub-canopy snowmelt SCA Depletion in complex terrain, Contributing area for runoff generation in snowmelt period Prediction – – – – – Wind and atmospheric modelling over complex terrain Level of spatial complexity necessary in models Regionalisation of CLASS parameters Snow modelling contribution to MESH CRHM • • • Arctic and sub-arctic snow hydrology, Wolf Creek & Trail Valley Creek Alpine snow hydrology, Marmot Creek Montane forest snow hydrology, Marmot Creek Blowing Snow in Complex Terrain Inter-basin water transfer Transport of snow to drifts Supports glaciers, late lying snowfields, hydrological contributing areas dSWE S T ES dt SF LiDAR used to develop topography and vegetation DE NF Granger Basin, Wolf Creek, Yukon Territory Essery and Pomeroy, in preparation Computer simulation of wind flow over mountains Windspeed Direction 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 500 1000 3 km Granger Basin, Wolf Creek, Yukon 1500 2000 2500 3000 Simulation of Hillslope Snowdrift 3 km Marmot Creek Research Basin x x x xx x x CRHM Mountain Structure Alpine Hydrological Response Units Sublimation Wind Direction Solar Radiation Snow Deposition South Face (bottom) South Face (top) Ridge Top Snow Transport North Face Forest Sink Source Winter Snow Redistribution Modelling 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 600 400 200 0 Forest SF bottom SF top Blowing Snow Sublimation (mm) SWE Ridgetop NF Transect SWE/Snowfall 200 150 100 50 0 75% 50% 25% 0% Forest SF bottom SF top Blowing Snow Sublimation Ridgetop NF Transect Sublimation/Snowfall Blowing Snow Sublimation/ Snowfall SWE (mm) 800 SWE/Snowfall Winter Snow Redistribution and Sublimation Point Evaluation of Snowmelt Model 2008 2009 Depth (m) 2 1 Measured depth (m) 3 Depth (m) Measured depth (m) Simulated depth (m) 3 0 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun Simulated depth (m) 2 1 0 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun Date (2009) Simulated SWE (mm) Measured SWE (mm) 900 600 300 0 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun Depth (mm) Depth (mm) Date (2008) 600 300 0 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun -15 Simulated active layer T Measured active layer T Simulated lower layer T Measured lower layer T -25 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun Date (2008) Date (2009) Snow temp (°C) Snow temp (°C) Date (2008) -5 Simulated SWE (mm) Measured SWE (mm) 900 0 -5 -10 Simulated active layer T Measured active layer T Simulated lower layer T Measured lower layer T -15 1-Apr 15-Apr 29-Apr 13-May 27-May 10-Jun 24-Jun Date (2009) Frequency Distributions of SWE from LiDAR Depths and Measured Density N facing slope SWE measurements 0.1 0.05 0.25 0.25 SWE SWE measurements measurements Theoretical 0.2 0.2 f (SWE) Theoretical distribution 0.15 0.15 0.1 distribution Theoretical distribution 0.15 0.1 0.05 00 15 50 13 00 12 50 0 10 90 SWE (mm) SWE distribution within HRU fit log-normal density distribution 00 15 50 13 00 12 50 10 0 90 0 75 0 60 0 45 0 0 15 0 0 75 0 60 0 45 0 30 15 0 SWE (mm) 0 30 00 15 50 13 00 12 50 0 10 90 0 75 0 60 0 0 30 0 15 45 SWE (mm) 0.05 0 0 0 0 f (SWE) 0.2 0.3 f (SWE) 0.25 S facing slope 0.3 Snowcovered Area from Oblique Terrestrial Photographs, Aerial Photographs and LiDAR DEM Snow-covered Area Depletion Modelling Four HRU (NF, SF, EF, VB) with modelled melt applied to SWE frequency distributions. SCA fraction Fully distributed Uniform Variable snowmelt Variable SWE dist. Observed 1 0.5 0 10-May 20-May 30-May 9-Jun 19-Jun 29-Jun 9-Jul Date (2007) SCA fraction Fully distributed Uniform Variable snowmelt Variable SWE dist. Observed 1 0.5 0 10-May 20-May 30-May 9-Jun Date (2008) 19-Jun 29-Jun 9-Jul Observed – using oblique photography Uniform – spatially uniform SWE distributions and applied melt rates for each HRU Variable SWE dist. – each HRU has a distinct distribution of SWE Variable snowmelt – each HRU has a distinct melt rate applied Fully distributed – each HRU has a distinct distribution of SWE and applied melt rate Snowmelt Runoff Intensity by HRU South facing slope Area fraction 1 0.5 0 25-Apr Area fraction 1 5-May 15-May 25-May 4-Jun Date (2008) 14-Jun North facing slope Area fraction 1 5-May 1 15-May 25-May 4-Jun Date (2008) 14-Jun East facing slope 5-May 15-May 25-May 4-Jun Date (2008) 14-Jun Overall alpine basin 5-May 24-Jun 0 - 5 mm/day 5 - 10 mm/day 10 - 20 mm/day >20 mm/day 0.5 0 25-Apr 24-Jun 0 - 5 mm/day 5 - 10 mm/day 10 - 20 mm/day >20 mm/day 0.5 0 25-Apr 24-Jun 0 - 5 mm/day 5 - 10 mm/day 10 - 20 mm/day >20 mm/day 0.5 0 25-Apr Area fraction 0 - 5 mm/day 5 - 10 mm/day 10 - 20 mm/day >20 mm/day 15-May 25-May 4-Jun Date (2008) 14-Jun 24-Jun Visualisation of Snowmelt Runoff Intensity Early Snowmelt Period - 2008 26-Apr 29-Apr 02-May 05-May 0-5 Melt rates (mm/day) 5-10 10-20 bare forest cliff Snow Interception & Sublimation Net Radiation to Forests: Slope Effects South Face Clearing North & South Face Forests North Face Clearing Forest Snow Regime on Slopes 200 level 30o north-sloping 30o south-sloping SWE [kg m-2] 150 100 50 0 10/1/07 Open slopes highly sensitive to irradiation difference, forests are not 11/1/07 12/1/07 1/1/08 SWE [kg m-2] 3/1/08 4/1/08 5/1/08 6/1/08 7/1/08 8/1/08 5/1/08 6/1/08 7/1/08 8/1/08 Date (M/D/YY) 100 80 2/1/08 level 30o north-sloping 30o south-sloping 60 40 20 0 10/1/07 11/1/07 12/1/07 1/1/08 2/1/08 3/1/08 4/1/08 HRU Delineation • Driving meteorology: temperature, humidty, wind speed, snowfall, rainfall, radiation • Blowing snow, intercepted snow • Snowmelt and evapotranspiration • Infiltration & groundwater • Stream network Model Structure Model Tests - SWE Streamflow Prediction 2006 Mean Bias = -0.13 all parameters estimated from basin data Streamflow Prediction 2007 Mean Bias = -0.068 all parameters estimated from basin data Conclusions • Appropriate process based models driven by enhanced remote sensing and good observations can be used to achieve adequate hydrological prediction in the alpine. • Model process and spatial structure must be appropriate to the complexity of the energy and mass exchange processes as they operate on the landscape. • It is possible to test for the most appropriate structure for balance between model complexity and predictive ability.