The Australian experience in using tenders for conservation John Rolfe Alternative title: Conservation tenders: Did economists win the battle and lose the war? The rapid rise of conservation tenders • BushTender run in Victoria in 2001 – Single round, sealed bid, discriminatory auction to manage vegetation areas in 2 regions of Victoria – Introduced the use of MBIs to conservation in Australia – Introduced the use of a biodiversity score to evaluate bids • In the 12 years that followed, a number of other programs and trials have taken place Understanding the background • In 1970s to early 80s, key environmental focus was on big ticket items – e.g. Fraser Island, Franklin below Gordon • Then more attention paid to general environmental issues …. + agriculture • Landcare launched in late 1980s – Focus on voluntary actions + cooperation – Lots of small scale issues and limited funding – The ‘vegemite’ approach The key trends from late 1990s • Regional coordination – Established 56 regional bodies for NRM – Mostly aligned with catchment boundaries • Focus on direct incentives – Information and suasion not enough • Major increase in funding – Programs such as National Heritage Trust committed billions to the environment The goals of conservation tenders • Major goal has been to improve funding efficiency • Grants have been major allocation mechanism ……..but widely criticised for inefficiencies • Other goals • Improve rigor of funding process • Provide feedback about opportunity costs • Trial and stimulate new approaches • MBIs trialled as part of the new mix Progress since 2001 • Two rounds of major research program – National Market Based Instruments (2003 – 09) – About 8 CT projects and trials funded • National programs – Environmental Stewardship program (10 rounds) – Tasmanian Forest Conservation Fund (4 rounds) – National hotspots program (counted in regional) • State and Regional programs (c. 48 rounds) – E.g. Bush Tender Key regional programs Some focus on protecting special areas Some on repairing damage Approximate # by State and Year • Victoria is lead state • Activity peaked in 2009 and 2010 • Probably driven by 2 year lead time Share of funding • Average funding in a CT about $620K • Estimated funding over 12 years = $32M – But some put it as high as $200M • Govt spending > $1B per annum on agricEnvironmental schemes – e.g. $700M in Caring for Country grants in 2013-14 • Funding through CT is < 1% of total funding • Key question – Why so low? Auction Design • Most auctions use standard approach – Sealed bid, discriminatory, single round, reserve price – Almost all tenders have worked well • Other variants – Multiple bidding rounds – to achieve coordination, price discovery – Payment/bonuses by outcomes – 2 part bid structures – Combinatorial auctions Metric design • Largest source of variation and experimentation • Three key reasons – Auctions vary in terms of scope – the types and number of environmental benefits that are covered – Vary by Input, Output or Outcome measures – Take varying accounts of the likelihood and risks of outcomes Approaches to metric design • Condition metrics – e.g. Habitat Hectares – Core is an assessment of the condition – Other components incorporated • E.g. scale of management inputs, changes in outputs • Might also include linkage components, etc • Can be additive or multiplicative functions • MCA metrics – Assess different elements separately – Combine into a single index with weightings • Outcome metrics – Assess by likelihood of outcomes Contract design • Feature of CT is that agreements are formalised with contracts / covenants – Grant systems seem less rigorous • Mechanisms largely in place • Some evidence that: – covenants appeal to non-producing groups – producers prefer contracts over covenants – Most prefer medium terms (e.g. 10 years) over short terms (e.g. 2 years). Efficiency gains • Area of major interest and debate • Three lines of evidence about differences between tenders and grants – Bid heterogeneity – Variations in bid selection – Relative efficiency Heterogeneity – almost all tenders produce reverse L-shaped bid functions E.g. Results from Burdekin tender in Qld show large heterogeneity and make the case for selection of the cheapest bids. Early evidence provided by Stoneham et al. 2003; Connor et al. 2007 Variation in bid selection between an output-based measure (metric) and an input based measure (BMP) Rolfe and Windle 2011: Burdekin tender. Measuring differences in efficiency • Most attempts have focused on comparing discriminatory bid selection against uniform price selection (A vs A+B) • Stoneham et al 2003 found that A+B was 7 times bigger than A • Many studies report efficiency gains of 2 – 3 times • But the counterfactual is not strictly accurate • Unlikely that the same bids would be lodged and/or selected in both tender and grant schemes B A Other issues with efficiency gains • Efficiency gains have been limited by small scale of most tenders – Limits the number of bids – High ‘fixed’ costs of design and administration • Burdekin studies show that efficiency gains can be increased by: – Increasing scope of amenities – Increasing areas involved – Increasing scale and attracting participation Participation • Area of particular research focus in Aust. • Participation essential for performance – Shows auctions are successful, – Demonstrates that landholders understand the process, are able to construct bids, and can engage. – High levels of participation also drive competitive pressures and limit rent-seeking Participation - 2 • Many studies report support for landholders in CT to encourage participation – Focus on reducing transaction costs – Some experiments with participation bonuses • Large dropoff from EOI stage to final bids lodged in many CTs • Understanding explanatory factors – Transaction costs – Landholder characteristics and attitudes – Program factors – Relationships between landholders and agencies Other issues • Crowding out – concerns that moves to market incentives reduces voluntary actions • Strategic behaviour – concerns that landholders can capture rents, particularly with repeated auctions – Most CTs held in different areas each round to help avoid this • Perverse incentives – landholders able to make the largest improvements may be the poor managers who have caused most damage – CTs may reward poor behaviour – Also concerns about unsuccessful bidders in CTs Why do agencies prefer grants over tenders? - 1 – Perceptions about the transaction costs involved and the ongoing monitoring costs – The difficulties of assessing the biophysical outcomes of proposals and incorporating them into assessment metrics. – The risks of thin markets or problems with participation – Lack of skills in governments and agencies to implement tenders – Beliefs that landholders are not able to or find it too difficult to construct bids Why do agencies prefer grants over tenders? - 2 – Lack of knowledge about potential gains involved (sometimes coupled with unwillingness to compare gains from different instruments and approaches) – Separation of allocation decisions from the political process and issues, with subsequent loss of control by agencies over outcomes – Mistrust of the competitive process and concern over any perverse incentives or effects on future participation – In line with Public choice theory, agents do not care about improving efficiency of public spending, particularly if gains are not too large. Challenges • Evaluating findings of CTs in a systematic way • Increasing the scale of tender to get efficiency gains without increasing costs of metric design and transactions • Using repeated tenders to capitalise on sunk costs in metric and auction design without causing problems of strategic behaviour • Coordinating bids in a competitive framework • Standardising use of CTs (auctions, metrics and contracts) to limit transaction costs • Demonstrating to policy makers the benefits of CTs over grant mechanisms