EDUCATIONAL PROGRAMS AND INSTITUTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS Enrollment Update Budget and Finance Committee March 23, 2016 I. Spring 2016 Census Enrollment Comparison for Full-Term Classes FTES for full-semester classes, measured at census, is 3.7% lower in Spring 2016 compared to Spring 2015. This information is consistent with trends observed in previous Credit Enrollment Comparison reports. Complete Spring 2016 FTES, which includes FTES in short-term and positive attendance classes, is not yet available. Semester* Spring 2015 Spring 2016 % 2016 of 2015 District 37,451 36,068 96.3% *Census dates: 2016 (2/23/16) and 2015 (2/24/15) The decline in Spring 2016 FTES requires the District to rely more heavily on summer semester FTES to attain its 4.62% growth target. Educational Programs and Institutional Effectiveness has scheduled meetings with all colleges to review enrollment planning and targets in advance of the District’s Second Period FTES Report to the state (due 4/20/16). II. Statewide FTES Projections from First Period CCFS 320 Reports (Exhibit A) FTES growth projections for all districts statewide was compiled from First Period CCFS 320 Reports, available through the California Community Colleges Chancellor’s Office. The accompanying report shows the 2015-16 statewide average growth to be 1.17% and displays significant variation in FTES growth rates by district across the state. California Community Colleges Chancellor's Office Finance and Facilities Division FTES Projections from 2015- 2016 First Period CCFS 320 Reports District Los Angeles Allan Hancock Antelope Valley Barstow Butte Cabrillo Cerritos Chabot-Las Positas Chaffey Citrus Coast Compton Contra Costa Copper Mt. Desert El Camino Feather River Foothill-Deanza Gavilan Glendale Grossmont-Cuyamaca Hartnell Imperial Kern Lake Tahoe Lassen Long Beach Los Rios Marin Mendocino-Lake Merced Miracosta Monterey Peninsula Mt. San Antonio Mt. San Jacinto Napa Valley North Orange County Ohlone Palo Verde Palomar Pasadena Area Peralta Rancho Santiago 2015-16 Base 2015-16 Projection % Growth 104,568 9,475 11,293 2,468 10,596 10,896 17,534 17,197 14,679 11,440 30,924 5,217 24,378 1,424 7,941 19,163 1,611 27,353 5,249 15,462 18,197 7,131 6,865 19,917 1,761 1,761 20,775 52,171 3,808 3,046 9,530 10,801 6,509 30,530 10,745 5,652 35,378 8,133 1,854 19,630 22,698 19,502 28,908 109,180 9,195 11,657 2,487 10,927 10,023 18,131 17,191 15,844 11,845 32,932 6,060 28,368 1,482 8,178 19,539 1,619 27,106 5,440 14,398 18,743 7,451 6,942 20,467 1,862 1,550 20,776 52,199 3,653 2,647 9,754 10,984 6,479 30,993 11,848 5,652 36,399 8,106 1,900 16,622 23,362 20,609 29,291 4.41% -2.96% 3.22% 0.78% 3.13% -8.02% 3.41% -0.03% 7.94% 3.54% 6.49% 16.17% 16.37% 4.06% 2.99% 1.96% 0.49% -0.90% 3.64% -6.88% 3.00% 4.49% 1.13% 2.76% 5.69% -11.95% 0.00% 0.05% -4.07% -13.11% 2.35% 1.69% -0.46% 1.52% 10.27% 0.01% 2.88% -0.33% 2.48% -15.32% 2.93% 5.67% 1.32% Page 1 of 2 California Community Colleges Chancellor's Office Finance and Facilities Division FTES Projections from 2015- 2016 First Period CCFS 320 Reports District Redwoods Rio Hondo Riverside San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Jose-Evergreen San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clarita Santa Monica Sequoias Shasta-Tehama-Trinity Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma South Orange Southwestern State Center Ventura Victor Valley West Hills West Kern West Valley-Mission Yosemite Yuba Statewide Total 2015-16 Base 2015-16 Projection % Growth 3,960 12,676 27,397 14,496 42,244 30,990 15,860 12,371 7,076 17,975 14,346 15,226 21,686 8,869 6,963 14,705 2,541 6,916 17,309 27,799 15,410 27,586 26,025 8,800 5,109 2,528 13,489 16,574 7,626 3,421 12,744 28,511 15,457 43,501 21,291 16,336 12,032 8,270 17,020 13,295 15,771 21,772 9,247 6,775 14,712 2,592 8,576 18,680 24,416 15,428 29,225 26,467 9,246 5,281 2,557 14,897 16,988 7,626 -13.61% 0.53% 4.07% 6.63% 2.97% -31.30% 3.00% -2.75% 16.87% -5.31% -7.33% 3.58% 0.40% 4.27% -2.71% 0.05% 2.00% 24.00% 7.92% -12.17% 0.12% 5.94% 1.70% 5.06% 3.37% 1.15% 10.44% 2.49% 0.00% 1,138,723 1,152,024 1.17% Page 2 of 2