Document 12084338

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EDUCATIONAL PROGRAMS AND INSTITUTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS
Enrollment Update
Budget and Finance Committee
March 23, 2016
I. Spring 2016 Census Enrollment Comparison for Full-Term Classes
FTES for full-semester classes, measured at census, is 3.7% lower in Spring 2016 compared to Spring
2015. This information is consistent with trends observed in previous Credit Enrollment Comparison
reports. Complete Spring 2016 FTES, which includes FTES in short-term and positive attendance
classes, is not yet available.
Semester*
Spring 2015
Spring 2016
% 2016 of 2015
District
37,451
36,068
96.3%
*Census dates: 2016 (2/23/16) and 2015 (2/24/15)
The decline in Spring 2016 FTES requires the District to rely more heavily on summer semester FTES
to attain its 4.62% growth target. Educational Programs and Institutional Effectiveness has scheduled
meetings with all colleges to review enrollment planning and targets in advance of the District’s
Second Period FTES Report to the state (due 4/20/16).
II. Statewide FTES Projections from First Period CCFS 320 Reports (Exhibit A)
FTES growth projections for all districts statewide was compiled from First Period CCFS 320 Reports,
available through the California Community Colleges Chancellor’s Office. The accompanying report
shows the 2015-16 statewide average growth to be 1.17% and displays significant variation in FTES
growth rates by district across the state.
California Community Colleges Chancellor's Office
Finance and Facilities Division
FTES Projections from 2015- 2016 First Period CCFS 320 Reports
District
Los Angeles
Allan Hancock
Antelope Valley
Barstow
Butte
Cabrillo
Cerritos
Chabot-Las Positas
Chaffey
Citrus
Coast
Compton
Contra Costa
Copper Mt.
Desert
El Camino
Feather River
Foothill-Deanza
Gavilan
Glendale
Grossmont-Cuyamaca
Hartnell
Imperial
Kern
Lake Tahoe
Lassen
Long Beach
Los Rios
Marin
Mendocino-Lake
Merced
Miracosta
Monterey Peninsula
Mt. San Antonio
Mt. San Jacinto
Napa Valley
North Orange County
Ohlone
Palo Verde
Palomar
Pasadena Area
Peralta
Rancho Santiago
2015-16 Base
2015-16 Projection
% Growth
104,568
9,475
11,293
2,468
10,596
10,896
17,534
17,197
14,679
11,440
30,924
5,217
24,378
1,424
7,941
19,163
1,611
27,353
5,249
15,462
18,197
7,131
6,865
19,917
1,761
1,761
20,775
52,171
3,808
3,046
9,530
10,801
6,509
30,530
10,745
5,652
35,378
8,133
1,854
19,630
22,698
19,502
28,908
109,180
9,195
11,657
2,487
10,927
10,023
18,131
17,191
15,844
11,845
32,932
6,060
28,368
1,482
8,178
19,539
1,619
27,106
5,440
14,398
18,743
7,451
6,942
20,467
1,862
1,550
20,776
52,199
3,653
2,647
9,754
10,984
6,479
30,993
11,848
5,652
36,399
8,106
1,900
16,622
23,362
20,609
29,291
4.41%
-2.96%
3.22%
0.78%
3.13%
-8.02%
3.41%
-0.03%
7.94%
3.54%
6.49%
16.17%
16.37%
4.06%
2.99%
1.96%
0.49%
-0.90%
3.64%
-6.88%
3.00%
4.49%
1.13%
2.76%
5.69%
-11.95%
0.00%
0.05%
-4.07%
-13.11%
2.35%
1.69%
-0.46%
1.52%
10.27%
0.01%
2.88%
-0.33%
2.48%
-15.32%
2.93%
5.67%
1.32%
Page 1 of 2
California Community Colleges Chancellor's Office
Finance and Facilities Division
FTES Projections from 2015- 2016 First Period CCFS 320 Reports
District
Redwoods
Rio Hondo
Riverside
San Bernardino
San Diego
San Francisco
San Joaquin
San Jose-Evergreen
San Luis Obispo
San Mateo
Santa Barbara
Santa Clarita
Santa Monica
Sequoias
Shasta-Tehama-Trinity
Sierra
Siskiyou
Solano
Sonoma
South Orange
Southwestern
State Center
Ventura
Victor Valley
West Hills
West Kern
West Valley-Mission
Yosemite
Yuba
Statewide Total
2015-16 Base
2015-16 Projection
% Growth
3,960
12,676
27,397
14,496
42,244
30,990
15,860
12,371
7,076
17,975
14,346
15,226
21,686
8,869
6,963
14,705
2,541
6,916
17,309
27,799
15,410
27,586
26,025
8,800
5,109
2,528
13,489
16,574
7,626
3,421
12,744
28,511
15,457
43,501
21,291
16,336
12,032
8,270
17,020
13,295
15,771
21,772
9,247
6,775
14,712
2,592
8,576
18,680
24,416
15,428
29,225
26,467
9,246
5,281
2,557
14,897
16,988
7,626
-13.61%
0.53%
4.07%
6.63%
2.97%
-31.30%
3.00%
-2.75%
16.87%
-5.31%
-7.33%
3.58%
0.40%
4.27%
-2.71%
0.05%
2.00%
24.00%
7.92%
-12.17%
0.12%
5.94%
1.70%
5.06%
3.37%
1.15%
10.44%
2.49%
0.00%
1,138,723
1,152,024
1.17%
Page 2 of 2
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