Annual General Meeting November 1, 2012 Prepared by Aon Hewitt Consulting Presentation to U of S Non-Academic Pension Plan Aon Hewitt and the University of Saskatchewan Two decade relationship Services provided for the Non-Academic Plan – Performance Measurement – Performance Reporting—How are we doing? – Investment Manager Reporting and Evaluation—How are our Managers doing? – Investment Policy Reviews—What should we invest in? – General Investment Research—What should we know ? – Anything the Committee asks for! 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 1 Market Update Globally investors were largely risk-averse early in the year. The tepid GDP growth in the United States weighed heavily on investors, as did the poor growth in the Eurozone and slowing growth in China. The U.S. Fed announced QE3 and the Euro Bank announced a bond buying program. Both programs are intended to keep borrowing rates low, restore investors confidence and help alleviate the unemployment situations in the U.S. and the Eurozone. Contribution to Global GDP Growth* 1600 1400 Billions of international $ 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Euro Zone *Nominal GDP (based on PPP exchange rates). Estimates Start After 2011. Source : International Monetary Fund, Aon Hewitt. 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 2 2004 China 2006 2008 United States 2010 2012 2014 Market Update The chart below shows the uncertainty created by the sovereign debt of countries such as Greece, Portugal and Spain. For the past several quarters, the borrowing rates of Greece and Portugal have exceeded even those of Brazil’s. The uncertainty of some countries had a positive impact on the bonds of more stable countries such as Canada. When paired with an expansionist monetary policy, the desire for stability creates an environment with low short- and long-term interest rates. 10-year bonds yields 45% 45% 40% 40% 35% 35% 30% 30% 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% C hina US Germany France Italy C anada Portugal Spain Greece 3 Sep-12 Jun-12 Mar-12 Dec-11 Sep-11 Jun-11 Mar-11 Dec-10 Sep-10 Jun-10 Mar-10 Dec-09 Brazil Source: Bloomberg, Aon Hewitt. 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 Sep-09 Jun-09 Mar-09 Dec-08 Sep-08 Jun-08 Mar-08 Dec-07 Sep-07 Jun-07 Mar-07 Dec-06 Sep-06 0% Jul-06 0% Apr-06 5% Dec-05 5% Market Update Stock markets generated strong returns in the third quarter, despite economic news that cast some doubt on the sustainability of the recovery. Overall in the first nine months of 2012 markets were positive The problems in Europe continued to slowly spread, with the Euro Bank’s actions buying more time to address the issues. Financial Markets Performance Review Financial Markets Performance Review 3-Month Period Ending September 30, 2012 DEX 91-Day T-Bill 9-Month Period Ending September 30, 2012 Day T-Bill 0.2% DEX Universe Bond 1.2% DEX Long Term Bond S&P/TSX Composite 4.0% 6.2% 2.3% 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 8.2% ed (CAD) S&P GSCI Light Energy (CAD) 0% 9.2% dividend) 1.8% HFR Funds of Funds Composite (USD) 6.4% dividend) 3.0% MSCI Emerging Markets (CAD) (Net dividend) 12.5% dividend) 3.2% MSCI World (CAD) (Net dividend) 5.4% 00 (CAD) 2.6% MSCI EAFE (CAD) (Net dividend) 5.0% omposite 7.0% FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed (CAD) 3.3% erm Bond 1.9% S&P 500 (CAD) 0.7% rse Bond 5% 10% 15% 4 17.5% gy (CAD) 3.1% ite (USD) 3.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Current Plan Structure Pure Specialist Structure Total Fund Asset Class (%) Burgundy Canadian Equity (% of TF) Canadian Equities Global Equities Total Equities Real Estate Bonds Short-Term Investments Total Fixed Income Total Fund 20.0 40.0 60.0 5.0 33.0 2.0 35.0 100.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 CC&L Canadian Equity (% of TF) Harding Global Equity (% of TF) 10.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 5 Sprucegrove Global Equity (% of TF) 20.0 20.0 20.0 PH&N Fixed Income (% of TF) Greystone Real Estate (% of TF) 33.0 2.0 35.0 35.0 5.0 5.0 Plan Structure By Asset Class Asset Class December 31, 2011 Market Value $000s Percent Equities Canadian equities U.S. equities Non-North American equitie Global equities Total Foreign Equities Total Equities Real Estate Fixed Income Bonds Mortgages Short-term investments Total Fixed Income Total Fund 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 September 30, 2012 Market Value $000s Percent Policy Asset Mix % Min Benchmark Max 39,897 39,795 32,531 15,475 87,801 18.0 17.9 14.7 7.0 39.5 44,743 0 0 88,672 88,672 18.9 0.0 0.0 37.5 37.5 10.0 127,698 18,758 57.5 8.1 133,414 19,323 65,505 5,143 6,024 76,672 222,008 29.5 2.3 2.7 34.5 100.0 70,048 8,450 5,242 83,740 236,477 6 30.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 40.0 56.4 8.2 40.0 0.0 60.0 5.0 70.0 10.0 29.6 3.6 2.2 35.4 100.0 25.0 33.0 50.0 0.0 2.0 35.0 100.0 15.0 60.0 60.0 Plan Structure By Manager Manager December 31, 2011 Market Value $000s Percent Canadian Equities Burgundy CC&L 0.0 0.0 0.0 22,661 22,497 45,159 9.6 9.5 19.1 5.0 5.0 10.0 10.0 15.0 15.0 0 0 15,475 15,475 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 44,277 45,671 0 89,948 18.7 19.3 0.0 38.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 40.0 30.0 30.0 70,910 117,960 188,870 31.9 53.1 85.1 1 82,022 82,023 0.0 34.7 34.7 25.0 35.0 35.0 60.0 17,639 7.9 19,323 8.2 0.0 5.0 10.0 25 0.0 25 0.0 222,008 100.0 236,477 100.0 Real Estate Greystone Operating Fund Total Fund Policy Asset Mix % Min Target Max 0 0 0 Global Equities Harding Sprucegrove Sceptre Balanced / Fixed Income Jarislowsky Frase PH&N September 30, 2012 Market Value $000s Percent 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 7 100.0 Total Plan Investment Performance— Periods Ending September 30 Benchmark Total Fund Total Value Added Total Fund Real Return Annual Returns % 2011 2010 2009 4-Year Annualized Returns % 2012 2011 2010 2009 10-Years 4-Year Std Dev % Quarter 2012 3.0 2.9 -0.2 10.5 11.1 0.6 1.2 -0.1 -1.3 6.1 5.7 -0.4 3.6 5.6 2.0 5.3 5.5 0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.3 1.8 1.5 -0.2 2.1 1.6 -0.5 6.2 6.0 -0.2 7.7 7.8 1.2 2.5 9.8 -3.2 3.7 6.5 4.1 -2.0 -0.2 0.2 4.0 7.6 Blue numbers indicate positive value added. Benchmark consists of: 20% S&P/TSX, 40% MSCI World ex-Cda, 5% IPD, 33% DEX UBI, 2% 91-Day T-Bills from February 2012; 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 8 Total Plan Investment Performance—Key Drivers Year to Date: Total Fund 6.9% to 6.4% Benchmark One-Year Performance: Total Fund 11.1% to 10.5% Benchmark – All markets strong over the year – Above index results in all asset classes over the last 12 months • In Canadian equities – Recent value added by Burgundy & CC&L offset earlier JF and PH&N underperformance • In Global equities – Recent value added by Harding & Sprucegrove offset AllianceBernstein underperformance earlier in the year Four-Year Performance: Total Fund 5.5% to 5.3% Benchmark – Benchmark positive due to most recent year – all major equity markets were positive over four years, although EAFE was just above zero (0.4%) – Bonds up 8.4% (annualized) over period – Real Estate up 7.9% (annualized) over period 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 9 Summary Returns—Periods Ending September 30 Year-to-Date Quartile Return % Year Quartile Return % 4-Year Quartile Return % Total Fund Benchmark 6.9 6.4 2 M 11.1 10.5 1 2 5.5 5.3 3 3 PH&N - Balanced Fund / Fixed Income Benchmark 5.4 5.1 4 4 8.9 8.8 4 4 5.4 5.1 3 4 Canadian Equities Burgundy CC&L S&P/TSX Capped Composite 5.5 na na 5.4 3 na na 3 10.9 na na 9.2 3 na na 4 3.3 na na 4.2 3 na na M 10.3 na na 9.4 2 na na 3 15.6 na na 15.2 2 na na 3 0.5 na na 3.0 4 na na 3 Bonds PH&N DEX Universe Bonds 3.8 4.4 3.3 M 1 4 6.0 6.8 5.5 2 1 3 8.4 9.1 7.4 2 1 4 Real Estate Greystone Investment Property Datab ank 9.5 7.4 na na 15.5 14.8 na na 7.9 7.5 na na Mortgages PH&N DEX Mortgages 2.7 3.5 na na 3.3 5.4 na na 6.3 6.8 na na Global Equities Harding Lovener Sprucegrove MSCI World (ex-Canada) Blue numbers indicate manager equaled or exceeded the index. 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 10 Fee Summary Account Fee Schedule Total Market Value Percentage of Portfolio Estimated Annual Average Retail Mutal Fee (%) Fund Fee (%) $236,477,178 100.0% 0.506% 1.750% PH&N 0.500% 0.300% 0.200% 0.150% 0.100% of the first $5 Million of the next $15 Million of the next $100 Million of the next $380 Million of the balance $82,021,967 34.7% 0.237% 1.500% Greystone 1.000% 0.800% 0.600% 0.500% of the first $10 Million of the next $25 Million of the next $65 Million of the balance $19,322,614 8.2% 0.904% N/A Burgundy 1.250% of the first $2 Million 0.750% of the next $3 Million 0.500% of the balance $22,661,359 9.6% 0.599% 2.000% CC&L 0.500% of the first $5 Million 0.400% of the next $20 Million 0.300% of the balance $22,497,386 9.5% 0.422% 2.000% Harding 1.000% of the first $20 Million 0.500% of the next $80 Million 0.450% of the balance $44,276,541 18.7% 0.726% 2.600% Sprucegrove 0.900% 0.650% 0.550% 0.500% 0.250% 0.200% $45,671,158 19.3% 0.604% 2.600% of the first $5 Million of the next $10 Million of the next $25 Million of the next $35 Million of the next $225 Million of the balance Operating Account 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 $26,153 11 Non-Academic Pension Plan AGM Questions ? 08700/Non-Academic/003/JAk.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 12