Annual General Meeting November 1, 2012 Prepared by Aon Hewitt Consulting Presentation to U of S 1999 Academic Pension Plan Aon Hewitt and the University of Saskatchewan Two decade relationship Services provided for the 1999 Academic Plan – – – – – – Performance Measurement Performance Reporting—How are we doing? Investment Manager Reporting and Evaluation—How are our Managers doing? Investment Policy Reviews—What should we invest in? General Investment Research—What should we know ? Anything the Committee asks for! 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 1 Market Update Globally investors were largely risk-averse early in the year. The tepid GDP growth in the United States weighed heavily on investors, as did the poor growth in the Eurozone and slowing growth in China. The U.S. Fed announced QE3 and the Euro Bank announced a bond buying program. Both programs are intended to keep borrowing rates low, restore investors confidence and help alleviate the unemployment situations in the U.S. and the Eurozone. Contribution to Global GDP Growth* 1600 1400 Billions of international $ 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Euro Zone *Nominal GDP (based on PPP exchange rates). Estimates Start After 2011. Source : International Monetary Fund, Aon Hewitt. 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 2 China 2006 2008 United States 2010 2012 2014 Market Update The chart below shows the uncertainty created by the sovereign debt of countries such as Greece, Portugal and Spain. For the past several quarters, the borrowing rates of Greece and Portugal have exceeded even those of Brazil’s. The uncertainty of some countries had a positive impact on the bonds of more stable countries such as Canada. When paired with an expansionist monetary policy, the desire for stability creates an environment with low short- and long-term interest rates. 10 -y ea r b o n d s yiel d s C hina US Ger ma ny F rance I taly C anad a Po rtu gal Sp ain Greece 3 S ep-12 Jun-12 M ar-1 2 D ec-11 S ep-11 Jun -11 M ar-1 1 D ec-10 S ep -1 0 B r azil So urc e: Blo om berg, Aon H ewi tt. 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 Ju n-1 0 0% Mar-10 5% 0% D ec-09 5% Sep -0 9 10% Ju n-0 9 10% Ma r-09 15% D e c-08 15% Se p-08 20% J un-08 20% Ma r-08 25% D ec-0 7 25% Jun -07 30% S ep-07 30% M ar-0 7 35% D ec-06 35% S ep-06 40% Jul-06 40% A pr-06 45% D ec-05 45% Market Update Stock markets generated strong returns in the third quarter, despite economic news that cast some doubt on the sustainability of the recovery. Overall in the first nine months of 2012 markets were positive The problems in Europe continued to slowly spread, with the Euro Bank’s actions buying more time to address the issues. Financial Markets Performance Review Financial Markets Performance Review 3-Month Period Ending September 30, 2012 9-Month Period Ending September 30, 2012 Day T-Bill 0 .2 % DEX 91-Day T-Bill DEX Universe Bond rse Bond 1 .2 % DEX Long Term Bond 1.9% S&P GSCI Light Energy (CAD) dividend) 17.5% 3.1% ite (USD) 2 .3 % 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 8.2% gy (CAD) 6.2% 0% 9.2% ed (CAD) 1 .8 % HFR Funds of Funds Composite (USD) 6.4% dividend) 4.0% FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed (CAD) 12.5% dividend) 3.2% 3.0% MSCI Emerging Markets (CAD) (Net dividend) 5.4% 00 (CAD) 2.6% MSCI World (CAD) (Net dividend) 5.0% omposite 7.0% MSCI EAFE (CAD) (Net dividend) 3.3% erm Bond S&P/TSX Composite S&P 500 (CAD) 0.7% 5% 10% 15% 4 3.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Plan Structure By Asset Class Asset Class Equities Canadian equities U.S. equities Non-North American equities Total Foreign Equities Total Equities Fixed Income Bonds Short-term investments Total Fixed Income Total Fund 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 December 31, 2011 Market Value $000s Percent September 30, 2012 Market Value $000s Percent Policy Asset Mix % Min Benchmark Max 23,407 30,043 26,378 56,421 79,828 16.3 20.9 18.3 39.2 55.5 23,510 32,725 27,817 60,543 84,053 15.8 22.0 18.7 40.6 56.4 15.0 15.0 15.0 30.0 50.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 52.0 70.0 61,360 2,679 64,039 42.7 1.9 44.5 62,454 2,583 65,037 41.9 1.7 43.6 30.0 0.0 39.0 1.0 40.0 45.0 5.0 143,867 100.0 149,089 100.0 5 100.0 Plan Structure By Manager Manager December 31, 2011 Market Value $000s Percent September 30, 2012 Market Value $000s Percent Policy Asset Mix % Min Target Max Balanced Manager Jarislowsky Fraser 49,523 34.4 49,890 33.5 35.0 41.0 50.0 Non-North American Manager Tweedy Browne 15,904 11.1 17,541 11.8 7.0 10.0 13.0 Index Manager BlackRock - U.S. BlackRock - Bonds 17,050 61,360 11.9 42.7 19,185 62,454 12.9 41.9 7.0 30.0 10.0 39.0 13.0 45.0 Operating Account Operating Account 29 0.0 19 0.0 143,867 100.0 149,089 100.0 Total Fund 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 6 100.0 Plan Structure By Manager Plan Structure Balanced plus Specialty managers Three managers engaged by Plan Jarislowsky Fraser – Canadian, U.S. and NNA equities – – – – – Provides a diversified equity mandate Can tactically shift between markets Growth at a Reasonable Price focus Counter cyclical due to a cap on resources stocks Good in down markets Tweedy Browne – NNA equities – Deep value manager – Will invest in small companies and emerging markets (Croatia, Brazil, etc.) – Terrific in down markets, BlackRock – U.S. equities and bonds – Passive manager, objective is to match the mandate’s benchmark – Used where opportunity for value added is low – Cheap fees 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 7 Total Plan Investment Performance— Periods Ending September 30 Benchmark consists of: -20% S&P/TSX Capped Composite -20% S&P 500, -20% MSCI EAFE - 39% DEX UBI -1% 91-Day T-Bills Benchmark Consists of: 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 8 Total Plan Investment Performance—Key Drivers Year to Date: Total Fund 7.2% to 6.3% Benchmark One-Year Performance: Total Fund 11.6% to 10.1% Benchmark – Global equity markets were strong in the year – Tweedy outperformed in NNA equities – stock selection, sector selection, country allocation all contributed – JF outperformed in all equity classes Four-Year Performance: Total Fund 6.6% to 5.4% Benchmark – Benchmark positive due to most recent year – all major equity markets were positive over four years, although EAFE was just above zero (0.4%) – Bonds up 7.4% (annualized) over period – the strongest asset class – Tweedy outperformed in NNA equities – deep value style during turbulent four-year period – JF outperformed in NNA equities – bias to mega cap names and global industry leaders – Asset mix: overweight bonds during the market crash of 2008 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 9 Portfolio Analysis – JF Canadian Equities 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 10 Portfolio Analysis – JF U.S. Equities 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 11 Portfolio Analysis – JF NNA Equities 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 12 Portfolio Analysis – Tweedy NNA Equities 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 13 Summary Returns—Periods Ending September 30 Yr-To-Date Quartile Return % Year Return % Quartile 4-Year Quartile Return % Total Fund Benchmark 7.2 6.3 1 3 11.6 10.1 1 2 6.6 5.4 1 3 Jarislowsky Fraser - Balanced Fund Benchmark 9.1 7.3 1 1 15.3 11.8 1 1 5.2 3.9 4 4 Canadian Equities Jarislowsky Fraser 5.6 3 11.5 2 4.7 2 5.4 3 9.2 4 4.3 2 13.2 12.5 2 2 23.7 23.0 2 2 5.9 5.8 2 2 12.5 2 22.9 2 5.7 2 12.4 10.6 1 1 15.2 12.6 1 1 4.6 6.7 1 1 6.4 4 7.4 4 0.4 3 Bonds BlackRock (passive) 3.4 3 5.5 3 7.4 4 DEX Universe Bonds 3.3 4 5.5 3 7.4 4 S&P/TSX Capped Composite U.S. Equities Jarislowsky Fraser BlackRock (passive) S&P 500 Non-North American Equities Jarislowsky Fraser Tweedy Browne MSCI EAFE Blue numbers indicate manager equaled or exceeded the index. 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 14 Fee Summary Account Fee Schedule Total Jarislowsky Fraser* 0.500% 0.200% 0.180% 0.170% 0.160% 0.150% 0.050% and 0.700% of the first $5 Million of the next $5 Million of the next $15 Million of the next $25 Million of the next $50 Million of the next $100 Million of the balance Market Value (ex-Accruals) Percentage of Portfolio Estimated Annual Average Retail Mutual Fee (%) Fund Fee (%) $149,089,173 100.0% 0.337% 1.750% $49,890,206 33.5% 0.312% 2.000% on International Equities BlackRock 0.150% on the balance $81,638,800 54.8% 0.150% 0.600% Tweedy Browne 1.500% on all assets (ex-Cash) $17,541,030 11.8% 1.299% 2.600% $19,137 0.0% Operating Account * Jarislowsky Fraser's fees are calculated based on the above fee schedule and the total market value of all University of Saskatchewan accounts. Fees for the U o fS 1999 account are estimated based on a portion of the total. 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 15 1999 Academic Pension Plan AGM Questions ? 08700/Academic/003/JAK.ppt-336-J9-29575 Nov 2012 16