Annual issue • October 2015 Socio-economic indicators of Portuguese-speaking Countries Community in charts Land area | Thousand km2 PSC Population | Millions, 2014 PSC 10,709 EU Euro area ASEAN 9,883 Mercosul 12,774 Germany 313 Mercosul 290 Germany 357 China 9,597 China USA 9,629 USA India Japan 378 Russia 17,075 0 10,000 Mercosul 81 1,377 Exports | Goods, EUR, billions, 2014 2,397 1,295 7,814 127 Japan 143 Russia 800 1,200 1,600 Foreign reserves | EUR, billions, 2014 13,112 India Japan 400 2,905 China USA 319 0 514 Germany Russia 20,000 1,863 SADC India 3,288 10,078 ASEAN 625 SADC 13,922 Euro area 332 ASEAN 4,496 SADC 2,059 EU 505 Euro area 2,624 PSC 272 EU 5,500 GDP | EUR, billions, current prices, 2014 1,543 3,475 1,398 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 Internet | Users, as a percentage of total population, 2014 PSC PSC 220 EU 4,638 Euro area 3,564 ASEAN SADC China USA 242 Japan Russia 2,000 4,000 49 87 India 268 91 Russia 318 1,000 18 Japan 1,038 0 86 China USA 358 Russia 375 0 3,212 Japan 515 58 Germany 159 India 15 Mercosul 362 USA 1,220 India 29 SADC 91 China 1,763 78 ASEAN 639 Germany 1,135 78 Euro area 554 Mercosul 298 Germany Euro area 49 EU 990 SADC 155 Mercosul EU ASEAN 975 PSC 342 2,000 3,000 4,000 71 0 20 40 60 80 100 Note: Includes intra-community exports. Key to the charts: PSC – Portuguese-Speaking Countries (Angola, Brazil, Cabo Verde, Guinea-Bissau, Mozambique, Portugal, São Tomé and Príncipe, Timor-Leste); ASEAN – Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam); Mercosul (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, Venezuela); SADC – Southern African Development Community (Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe); EU – European Union (Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom); Euro area (Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain). Avaliable at www.bportugal.pt e www.bcplp.org 2 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Portuguese-speaking Countries in charts Population | Thousands Land area | Thousand km2 Gross Domestic Product | EUR, millions, current prices 24,228 Angola Brazil 8512 13,925 206,078 174,505 Brazil (3196) 514 442 Cabo Verde 27,216 18,276 Mozambique 10,402 10,306 Portugal 2014 São Tomé and Príncipe 186 139 Timor-Leste 1,212 854 2000 Cabo Verde 4 Angola 1247 (799) (107) Mozambique 802 TimorLeste 15 São Tomé and Príncipe 1 Portugal 92 (311) (40) 7,203 2,190 16,096 Mozambique 1,174 410 2000 Cabo Verde Guinea-Bissau 13,127 4,529 26,975 17,340 Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe 3,153 1,700 (2001) São Tomé and Príncipe Timor-Leste 4,928 1,640 Timor-Leste 20000 30000 Note: PPP – Purchasing power parity. A form of currency conversion alternative to market rates. It rests on the comparison of prices in local currency for the same representative basket of goods in different countries (to establish a parity between the purchasing power of the same amount of currency in each country). Frequently used in international comparisons. 173,044 127,317 Portugal São Tomé e Príncipe 256 83 2014 3,395 423 2000 2014 2000 -0.1 16.7 1.1 -0.3 14.4 83.8 29.6 88.3 Cabo Verde 63.9 2014 15.6 Guinea-Bissau 4.6 2004 44.3 22.5 84.7 74.9 Portugal 3.8 São Tomé and Príncipe 6.4 9.6 -0.1 8 12 35.0 22.5 40.0 Timor-Leste 6.0 (2001) 4 37.4 Angola Mozambique 10.5 0 Note: Figures for Timor-Leste include oil revenues. Brazil -1.0 200,000 Bank deposits | 268.4 -0.4 -4 100,000 As a percentage of GDP 6.4 6.0 Mozambique Portugal 10000 7.5 Brazil 2014 6,324 2,910 1,436 560 Moçambique 0 Angola 8,500 Guinea-Bissau 908 393 (131) Inflation | Consumer Price Index, year-on-year percentage change current prices Brazil Guiné-Bissau 40,000 GDP per capita | USD, in PPP, 0 1,410 584 Timor-Leste Note: Figures in brackets refer to the area of the respective Exclusive Economic Zone. Cabo Verde 1,771,189 697,578 Brasil (503) GuineaBissau 36 (574) 20,000 0 Angola 9,117 Cabo Verde 1,801 1,273 Guinea-Bissau 97,093 Angola 16 20 15.1 0 20 40 60 80 100 3 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Portuguese-speaking Countries in charts Human development index | Business environment | Global competitiveness | Ranking position Ranking position Ranking position 149 161 Angola 2014 79 73 Brazil 2000 123 100 Cabo Verde 120 122 Brazil Cabo Verde 122 125 Cabo Verde 177 167 Guinea-Bissau Mozambique 178 170 Mozambique 41 28 128 Timor-Leste 158 (2002) 100 150 2015 2006 45 153 167 172 174 Timor-Leste 200 0 50 100 150 125 75 66 112 not assessed Guinea-Bissau not assessed 133 121 Mozambique 25 São Tomé and Príncipe 142 119 50 127 137 Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe 0 179 173 not assessed Angola Brazil Guinea-Bissau Portugal 181 155 Angola 38 34 Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe 2006 not assessed Timor-Leste 200 2015 not assessed 122 0 50 100 150 Note: Human Development Index: composite indicator calculated by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), which takes into account life expectancy, educational attainment and income (1: maximum – 175: minimum in 2000; 1: maximum – 187: minimum in 2014). Note: Doing Business Indicators: range of indicators relevant to the business environment regulatory framework, compiled by the World Bank. A composite indicator is calculated to encapsulate the overall quality of the business environment in each country (1: maximum – 175: minimum in 2006; 1: maximum – 189: minimum in 2015). Note: Global Competitiveness Indicator: composite indicator calculated by the World Economic Forum, which encapsulates a wide set of macroeconomic and structural indicators seen as relevant for measuring competitiveness (1: maximum – 125: minimum in 2006; 1: maximum – 144: minimum in 2015). Life expectancy | At birth, years Literacy rate | Adult population (15+) able Internet | Users, as a percentage of to read and write, as a % of total population total population 52 45 Angola Brazil 74 70 Brazil Cabo Verde 75 70 Cabo Verde 54 51 Guinea-Bissau 2013 80 76 66 63 São Tomé and Príncipe Timor-Leste 68 59 Timor-Leste 20 40 60 80 100 2015 41.4 (2000) 2001 58.8 48.2 (2003) 95.7 91.0 Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe 0 59.9 Guinea-Bissau Mozambique Portugal 87.6 80.0 (2004) 74.9 69.5 (2008) 67.5 20 40 60 80 0.1 57.6 Brazil 2.9 40.3 Cabo Verde 1.8 Guinea-Bissau 3.3 0.2 Mozambique 5.9 0.1 100 2014 2000 64.6 Portugal 16.4 São Tomé and Príncipe 24.4 4.6 1.1 0.0 Timor-Leste 37.6 0 21.3 Angola 92.6 86.4 (2000) 2000 50 47 Mozambique 71.1 67.4 Angola 0 20 40 60 80 4 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Exchange Rates of Portuguese-speaking Countries Average monthly rates against USD 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20000 São Tomé and Príncipe dobra (STD) 16000 12000 8000 700 Guinea-Bissau CFA franc (XOF) 600 500 400 130 110 Angolan kwanza (AOA) 90 Cabo Verde escudo (CVE) 70 50 Mozambican metical (MZN) 30 10 4 Brazilian real (BRL) 3 2 Portugal Euro (EUR) 1 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 5 Exchange Rates of Portuguese-speaking Countries Average monthly rates against EUR 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 27000 São Tomé and Príncipe dobra (STD) 23000 19000 15000 11000 7000 700 Guinea-Bissau CFA franc (XOF) 600 500 400 130 Angolan kwanza (AOA) 110 90 Cabo Verde escudo (CVE) 70 Mozambican metical (MZN) 50 30 10 4 Brazilian real (BRL) 3 2 Timor-Leste US dollar (USD) 1 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Exchange Rates of Portuguese-speaking Countries Nominal effective rates (index 100: january 2001) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Angola 2006 2007 Brazil 2008 2009 Mozambique 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 Timor-Leste 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 2001 2002 2003 2004 Cabo Verde 2005 2006 2007 Guinea-Bissau 2008 2009 Portugal 2010 2011 São Tomé and Príncipe Note: The nominal effective exchange rate index is a geometric weighted average of the bilateral exchange rates against the currencies of the main trading partners, in which the weightings reflect the relative importance of each partner. An increase / decrease in the value of the index corresponds to an appreciation / depreciation of the respective currency. #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Exchange Rates of Portuguese-speaking Countries Real effective rates (index 100: january 2001) 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Angola 2006 2007 Brazil 2008 2009 Mozambique 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 Timor-Leste 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 2001 2002 2003 2004 Cabo Verde 2005 2006 2007 Guinea-Bissau 2008 2009 Portugal 2010 2011 São Tomé and Príncipe Note: The real effective exchange rate index takes into account the effects of appreciation / depreciation of currencies using inflation differentials in the various trading partners, and is calculated as the product of the nominal effective exchange rate and a weighted average (with the same weightings) of relative prices (of the partners compared with domestic prices). An increase / decrease in the value of the index corresponds to an appreciation / depreciation of the respective currency. 7 8 #LUSOFONIA • October 2015 Portuguese-Speaking Countries in tables Gross domestic product | Annual percentage change, at constant prices Angola Brazil Cabo Verde Guinea-Bissau Mozambique Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe Timor-Leste 2001 to 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Est. 2012 Est. 2013 Est. 2014 Est. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 12.0 3.1 5.7 1.7 8.8 1.0 4.7 4.9 22.6 6.0 10.5 3.2 7.4 2.5 6.0 11.7 13.8 5.0 6.7 3.2 6.9 0.2 9.1 14.6 2.4 -0.2 -1.3 3.4 6.4 -3.0 4.0 12.9 3.4 7.6 1.5 4.4 6.7 1.9 4.5 9.4 3.9 3.9 4.0 9.0 7.1 -1.8 4.9 14.7 5.2 1.8 1.1 -2.2 7.2 -4.0 4.5 7.8 6.8 2.7 1.0 0.9 7.1 -1.6 4.0 5.4 4.4 0.2 1.8 2.9 7.2 0.9 4.5 6.6 3.5 -3.0 3.0 4.7 7.0 1.7 5.0 6.8 3.5 -1.0 3.7 4.8 8.2 1.9 5.2 6.9 Inflation | Consumer price index, year-on-year percentage change Angola Brazil Cabo Verde Guinea-Bissau Mozambique Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe Timor-Leste 2001 to 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Est. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 54.6 7.6 2.1 1.3 12.1 2.9 14.1 4.9 11.7 4.5 4.0 9.3 12.1 2.7 27.6 8.6 13.2 5.9 6.7 6.6 11.8 0.8 24.8 7.5 14.0 4.3 -0.4 -4.5 3.0 -0.1 16.1 1.8 15.3 5.9 3.4 5.6 16.6 2.5 12.9 9.2 11.4 6.5 3.6 3.4 5.5 3.6 11.9 17.4 9.0 5.8 4.1 1.7 2.2 1.9 10.4 11.7 7.7 5.9 0.1 -0.1 3.0 0.2 7.1 4.0 7.5 6.4 -0.4 -0.1 1.1 -0.4 6.4 -0.1 9.0 9.3 2.0 2.0 5.5 0.0 5.2 1.9 6.9 5.5 2.5 2.5 5.6 3.4 4.0 2.9 Overall budget balance | As a percentage of GDP, commitment basis Angola Brazil Cabo Verde Guinea-Bissau Mozambique Portugal São Tomé and Príncipe (Domestic primary balance) Timor-Leste 2001 to 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Est. 2013 Est. 2014 Est. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 0.8 -3.6 -5.4 -5.5 -2.9 -4.9 -5.3 4.7 -2.7 1.2 -2.5 -2.0 -3.0 125.4 -8.2 38.2 -5.6 -1.5 -1.6 -4.0 -2.0 -3.8 14.7 -6.2 44.9 -9.6 -3.2 -5.8 3.0 -4.9 -9.8 -18.0 -8.1 34.9 6.8 -2.7 -10.6 0.2 -3.8 -11.2 -10.5 -4.6 40.8 10.2 -2.5 -7.9 -0.5 -4.7 -7.4 -12.6 -3.0 42.6 6.7 -2.6 -10.3 -2.1 -3.8 -5.7 -10.9 -3.3 41.8 0.3 -3.1 -9.4 -1.6 -4.6 -4.8 -2.0 -2.7 53.2 -2.8 -6.2 -7.3 -2.0 -7.8 -7.2 -6.4 -3.6 21.7 -6.8 -7.7 -8.6 -2.2 -5.5 -2.7 -8.9 -2.7 9.5 -1.4 -7.2 -5.4 -2.3 -3.8 -1.8 -1.9 -1.6 9.4 5.0 External current account | As a percentage of GDP Angola Brazil Cabo Verde (Current and capital account) Guinea-Bissau Mozambique (Current and capital account) Portugal (Current and capital account) São Tomé and Príncipe (Current and capital account) Timor-Leste 2001 to 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Est. 2013 Est. 2014 Est. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 3.9 -0.1 -9.6 -3.1 -1.3 -14.5 -2.7 -9.2 -7.5 -31.5 -15.9 2.5 17.5 0.1 -12.9 -11.2 -3.5 -9.7 -3.0 -9.7 -8.7 -44.7 83.0 40.2 8.5 -1.7 -13.7 -12.2 -3.3 -11.9 -7.6 -12.1 -11.2 -50.9 -15.9 46.1 -10.1 -1.5 -14.6 -11.9 -5.7 -10.8 -7.2 -10.4 -9.2 -40.1 3.3 38.7 9.1 -2.2 -13.5 -11.1 -8.3 -10.6 -7.3 -10.1 -8.8 -43.8 -23.1 41.2 12.6 -2.1 -16.3 -15.6 -1.3 -23.3 -20.0 -6.0 -4.6 -42.9 -25.4 40.6 12.2 -2.4 -13.3 -12.6 -7.8 -41.0 -38.0 -2.1 0.0 -38.0 -23.1 40.2 6.7 -3.6 -4.5 -4.2 -4.5 -38.8 -36.2 1.4 3.0 -27.7 -17.9 42.7 -2.9 -4.2 -7.8 -7.3 -1.8 -33.2 -31.1 0.6 2.0 -31.8 -23.0 21.4 -17.6 -4.0 -9.3 -8.9 -1.6 -39.0 -36.0 0.7 3.0 -30.7 -15.0 15.9 -5.6 -3.8 -6.6 -6.3 -4.6 -45.3 -42.8 1.6 3.2 -29.0 -15.2 15.7 Main sources: Central banks, Ministries of Finance and national statistical institutes of Portuguese-speaking countries; Eurostat, European Central Bank (ECB), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), World Bank, United Nations (UN), World Trade Organisation (WTO), CIA Factbook, World Economic Forum. #LUSOFONIA | Annual issue • Banco de Portugal Av. 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