WWS 594d Promoting Foreign Investment in Developing Countries Spring Semester 2011, Session II Wednesdays, 1-4:00 pm Robertson 015 Visiting Professor: Joshua Bolten Robertson 305, x8-9663 jbolten@princeton.edu Faculty Assistant: Bernadette Yeager Robertson 423D, x8-4830 byeager@princeton.edu Research Assistant: Yan Bennett Bendheim 118, x8-1642 ybennett@princeton.edu COURSE DESCRIPTION AND REQUIREMENTS With the efficacy of foreign aid increasingly called into question and the appetite in developed countries for spending on aid dwindling, much public policy attention is focusing on promoting foreign investment as a path to growth in developing countries. This halfterm seminar first examines the link between foreign investment and development, then reviews policies and practices designed to promote investment in least developed countries, especially in Africa. The first two weeks of the course provide an overview of the role of foreign investment in development and of the economic context in Africa today. The following four weeks cover specific policies designed to promote foreign investment. In each of those weeks, there will be two sets of two-student presentations reviewing and analyzing a specific policy area. In addition to a class presentation, each student will prepare a final paper, limited to 4,000 words, analyzing and making recommendations on proposals in the area of their presentation. (Students may choose to write on an area different from the one assigned for class presentation, but will need the professor’s approval.) Grading will be weighted as follows: -- Class presentation 25% -- Other class participation 25% -- Final paper 50% CLASS SCHEDULE, TOPICS, AND ASSIGNMENTS Class #1 (March 23): Promoting Growth in an Era of Diminished Aid Topics: Overview. The moral, economic, and security rationales for promoting development. The relative merits of aid vs investment. What works, where and why? Readings: World Bank, Globalization, Growth and Poverty – Building an Inclusive World Economy (2002) (Overview pp 1 – 18) http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/EXTPRRS/0,,c ontentMDK:22310205~pagePK:478097~piPK:477636~theSitePK:477633~isCURL:Y, 00.html The Growth Report: Strategies for Sustained Development and Inclusive Growth (2010) (Overview: pp 1-12; Africa: pp 71-77) http://www.growthcommission.org/index.php?Itemid=169&id=96&option=com_cont ent&task=view Dani Rodrik, Diagnostics Before Prescription (2009) http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/drodrik/Research%20papers/Diagnostics%20before %20prescription.pdf Jeffrey Sachs, The End of Poverty (2005) (Chpt 14: Global Compact to End Poverty) Dambisa Moyo, Dead Aid (2009) (Foreword and Chpt 4: The Silent Killer of Growth) Ted Moran, Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development? (2005) http://www.social-sciences-andhumanities.com/PDF/White_House_and_the_World.pdf#page=134 Rod Hunter, “Into Africa,” Weekly Standard (2009) http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=6393 Class #2 (March 30): The Economic Context in Africa Today Topics: Growth trends in Africa. Aid vs investment inflows. Why has Asia developed while Africa lags? Manufacturing vs extractives. Readings: Africa Trade Policy Center, Dupasquier and Osakwe, FDI in Africa: Performances, Challenges and Responsibilities (2005) http://www.uneca.org/atpc/Work%20in%20progress/21.pdf African Center for Economic Transformation, Strategic Lessons for Africa’s Economic Transformation (2009) http://acetforafrica.org/site/wpcontent/uploads/2009/10/working_paper_1_overview.pdf McKinsey Global Institute, Lions on the Move (2010) (Exec Summary) http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/publications/progress_and_potential_of_african_econ omies/pdfs/MGI_african_economies_ExecSumm.pdf McKinsey, Podcast of Lions on the Move (19 minutes); http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/publications/assets/progress_and_potential_of_africa n_economies/index.asp Ethan Kapstein, “Africa’s Capitalist Revolution,” Foreign Affairs (2009) Ramachandran, Africa's Private Sector: What's Wrong with the Business Environment and What to Do About It (2009) (Summary and Chpt 2) http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/1421340 Class #3 (April 6): Trade & Investment: the International Legal Framework Readings: USAID, Trade and Investment: A Policy Overview http://www.eldis.org/vfile/upload/1/document/0708/DOC9844.pdf William Cline, Trade and Global Poverty (2004) (pp ___) http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/2908 Globe and Mail (http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industrynews/energy-and-resources/ontarios-green-policy-questioned-in-eu-tradetalks/article1762603/) Ted Moran, Harnessing Foreign Direct Investment: Policies for Developed and Developing Economies (2010) (Chpts 1-2) Dan Price, “Keep International Protections,” Washington Times (2009) http://www.ofii.org/docs/Price_Article_05092009.pdf Student presentations: 1. Free Trade Areas and the WTO. What role for trade agreements in promoting foreign investment and growth generally? What more is possible in trade policy today? 2. Bilateral Investment Treaties; local content, tech transfer, and other investment requirements and protections. Are BIT’s sound policy? Effective in promoting investment? Class #4 (April 13): Underwriting Private Investment – Roles for Government Readings: World Bank, Making Finance Work for Africa (2006) (chapters 1 and 3) http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTAFRSUMAFTPS/Resources/MFWfAFinalNov2.p df Ted Moran, Harnessing Foreign Direct Investment: Policies for Developed and Developing Economies, (2010) (Chapter 5) Ramachandran, Africa's Private Sector: What's Wrong with the Business Environment and What to Do About It (2009) (http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/1421340) Gordon Redding, The Future of Chinese Capitalism: Choices and Chances (2008) (Overview) Student Presentations: 3. Multilateral Development Banks (World Bank, AfDB, et al). What are they doing to promote private investment? Can policies be improved? 4. USG investment and trade promotion agencies (OPIC, ExIm, et al). Who does what? Should and can they be made more effective? Should the US have its own development bank? Class #5 (April 20): Encouraging Investment through Sound Domestic Policies: Good Governance and the Rule of Law Readings: Douglass North, Nobel Prize Lecture: Economic Performance Through Time (1993) http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1993/north-lecture.html Ted Moran, Promoting Universal Transparency in Extractives: How and Why (2011) http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/1424865 John Heilbrunn, Anti-Corruption Commissions – Panacea or Real Medicine to Fight Corruption? (2004) http://siteresources.worldbank.org/WBI/Resources/wbi37234Heilbrunn.pdf Rodrik, Dani, Arvind Subramanian and Francesco Trebbi (2002). “Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development,” NBER Working Paper No. 9305 Transcript from White House Summit on International Development: Panel on Good Governance http://georgewbushwhitehouse.archives.gov/infocus/internationaldevelopment/trans-ids-5.html Doug Johnson, Tristan Zajonc, Can Foreign Aid Create an Incentive for Good Governance? Evidence from the Millennium Challenge Corporation (2006) http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=896293 Student Presentations: 5. Millennium Challenge Corporation. Is incenting better domestic policies working? How to improve? 6. Corruption. The FCPA and foreign analogs; Cardin-Lugar and extractives transparency; the Ibrahim Index and Prize. Are anti-corruption and transparency initiatives useful and effective in promoting investment? Class #6 (April 27): Creative Capitalism: New Financial Tools for Development Readings: John Simon and Barmeier, More Than Money (2010) (pp 1-30) http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/1424593 Social Finance, Toward a new social economy: Blended value creation through Social Impact Bonds (March 2010) http://www.socialfinance.org.uk/sites/default/files/Towards_A_New_Social_Economy _web.pdf Insight at Pacific Community Ventures & the Initiative for Responsible Investing, Impact Investment: A Framework for Policy Design and Analysis (Executive Summary, pp 7-30) http://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/news/publications/impact-investingframework-policy Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala: Homeward Bond http://www.cp-africa.com/2011/03/15/homeward-bond-ngozi-okonjo-iweala-dilipratha-write-diaspora-bonds-2/ Affinity Macrofinance and R4D, Tapping into $1.1 trillion of Domestic Development Aid Funding (2010) (http://www.resultsfordevelopment.org/sites/resultsfordevelopment.org/files/resourc es/Pension%20Fund%20Article.pdf) Student presentations: 7. Bond markets and innovative instruments. What exists in Africa, what can, and why it matters. Social development bonds and diaspora bonds. 8. Impact Investing. What is it? Does it help? How to promote? Rev 3/16/11