Nest Predation and Nest Sites Thomas E. Martin BioScience, Vol. 43, No. 8. (Sep., 1993), pp. 523-532. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0006-3568%28199309%2943%3A8%3C523%3ANPANS%3E2.0.CO%3B2-X BioScience is currently published by American Institute of Biological Sciences. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/about/terms.html. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/journals/aibs.html. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. The JSTOR Archive is a trusted digital repository providing for long-term preservation and access to leading academic journals and scholarly literature from around the world. The Archive is supported by libraries, scholarly societies, publishers, and foundations. It is an initiative of JSTOR, a not-for-profit organization with a mission to help the scholarly community take advantage of advances in technology. For more information regarding JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. http://www.jstor.org Fri Sep 21 11:01:59 2007 Nest Predation and Nest Sites New perspectives on old patterns Thomas E. Martin I dentifying causes of general patterns of habitat selection, species coexistence, and life-history traits are central issues in evolutionary ecology. Many organisms have been studied to address these issues, but no group has had a greater influence on current perspectives than birds (Konishi et al. 1989). Rapid advances came a few decades ago with work by Lack (1948, 1954),Hutchinson (1957,1959), and MacArthur (1958, 1972) and his associates (Cody and Diamond 1975). These investigators argued that competition and food limitation were the major underlying influences of habitat selection, species coexistence, and life-history traits among birds (reviewed in Martin 1986, 1987). In recent years, the ubiquity and importance of competition and food limitation have been debated (Salt 1983, Wiens 1989). Nonetheless, although the competition paradigm has been challenged, alternative explanations are rarely explored for birds. New hypotheses need to be developed and examined, and they need to be directed at old and long-standing patterns that have been interpreted in the conventional perThomas E. Martin is an associate professor and assistant unit leader at the US Fish and Wildlife Service, Arkansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR 72701. His current address is the Montana Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, M T 59812. September 1 993 Nesting season can be a critical period for maintenance of bird populations Habitat selection and species coexistence More t h a n three decades ago, MacArthur (1958) published a study, widely cited in general biology textbooks, showing that five coexisting warbler species differed in their foraging locations and methods (Figure la). This partitioning of resources among coexisting species is an old and wellstudied pattern that has long been considered necessary for coexistence (reviewed in Schoener 1974, 1986). MacArthur and others also showed spectives of competition and food limitation. In this article, I focus on nest predation as a process and nest sites as a resource. Predation is considered an important process in many systems (e.g., aquatic systems), but it has been neglected as an evolutionary process in avian systems (Martin 1988c, 1992b, Sih et a1 1985).This neglect of nest predation as an evolutionary force is surprising because population studies indicate that nest predation is pervasive; nest predation has been observed to be the primary source-ofnest losses across a wide diversity of species, habitats, and geographic locations, accounting for 80% of nest losses on average (Martin 1992a, 1993, Ricklefs 1969). Natural selection should favor birds that choose habitats, communities, and life-history traits that reduce the negative effects of nest predation given the importance of reproductive success to fitness. I will show how nest predation and nest sites can provide viable alternative hypotheses for long-standing patterns of habitat selection, spe- The colors of this female orange-crowned cies coexistence, and life-history traits warbler, as it stands on the edge of a nest that traditionally have been attrib- under a maple stem, are similar to the uted to food limitation and competi- colors of the plants and litter surroundtion. ing the nest site. Photos: Thomas E. Martin. Birds are often inconspicuous in their nests in the sites they choose for nrs~1115.lhis female orange-crowned warbler (center of photo) has nested in a site without woody vegetation. that numbers of coexisting bird species increase with vegetation density and spatial heterogeneity (Karr and Roth 1971, MacArthur et al. 1962, Willson 1974), a pattern that exists in many other animal foraging systems, including lizards, mammals, freshwater fish, and marine intertidal organisms. These two well-documented patterns generate two questions: Why is foliage density important to choice of habitats? Why do increasing numbers of species coexist in habitats with more foliage and greater structural heterogeneity? Historically, these questions have been explained in terms of food limitation and competition: birds were thought to choose habitats with greater foliage density because more foliage provided more food, and more species were thought to coexist in habitats with greater structural heterogeneity because there were more types of foraging sites to partition to minimize competition (MacArthur 1958, 1972, MacArthur et al. 1962; see Martin 1986). Yet, evidence of competition and food limitation was indirect or absent, and other processes were not examined. Habitat selection. Dense foliage and increased structural heterogeneity can affect habitat choice by reducing risk of predation in aquatic systems (e.g., Sihet al. 1985, Werner and Hall 1988). Birds may similarly choose habitats with dense vegetation to reduce the probability of nest predation. Foliage next to the nest can reduce the probability of predation by concealing the nest. Indeed, predation rates were lower at nests with greater concealment in 29 of 36 studies (Martin 1992a). At a larger spatial scale, foliage in the patch (5-meter radius circle) surrounding the nest may also influence predation risk; dense and complex vegetation may impede the ability of mobile predators to locate sedentary prey (e.g., nests), even when the prey are poorly concealed. The latter result is expected primarily if predators are searching vegetation randomly. However, bird species (and sedentary organisms) usually specialize on individual plant species for nesting and, thus, do not use vegetation randomly. In such cases, predators waste time and effort if vegetation is searched randomly. Instead, predators should only search substrate types that represent potential sites for encountering prey. As a result, pfedation risk and patch choice may be influenced by numbers of potential prey sites rather than foliage density per se, thereby creating two mechanistic hypotheses. The total-foliage hypothesis states that reda at ion risk decreaseswith increases in total vegetation in the nest patch because greater foliage density inhibits transmission of visual, chemical, or auditory cues by prey. The potential-prey-site hypothesis states that increases in the density of plants of the type used by prey reduces the probability of predation because it increases the number of potential prey sites that must be searched and can cause the predator to give up before finding the occupied site. I tested the response of predators to numbers of unoccupied and occupied sites using artificial nests baited with quail (Coturnix coturnix) eggs (Martin 1988b). I put out seven nests per patch and varied the number of eggcontaining nests in each patch (one, three, or seven of the seven nests contained eggs). Each of the three experimental treatments was represented by ten patches. Predation rates for any nest in a ~ a t c hdecreased with increases in ;he number of nests that were unoccupied (Martin 1988b).Such results show that predators can respond to numbers of unoccupied and occupied prey sites, at least in an artificial setting. Potential prey sites are represented in a natural setting by plants of the species and size used for nesting. Nest predation should decrease with increased number of these ~ l a n t under s one of the simplest situations of the potential-prey-site hypothesis. Under the total-foliage hypothesis, predation should decrease with increases in numbers of total stems rather than the subset of stems of the type used for nesting. These predictions were tested on study sites in high-elevation snowmelt drainages in Arizona (Martin 1988a) by counting the number of stems in a 5-meter-radius circle surrounding nests. Analyses of hermit thrushes (Catharus guttatus) and MacGillivray's warblers (Oporomis tolmiei) support the potential-preysite hypothesis; nest predation was reduced when the nest patch contained more potential nest sites (FigBioScience Vol. 43 No. 8 ure 2). The total foliage hypothesis was rejected for both species; predation rates were not reduced at nests surrounded by more total vegetation stems (Figure2; also Martin and Roper 1988). predation risk is not necessarily always high in small patches (few potential prey sites);if birds only used large patches, then predators should ignore small patches in the same way they ignore unused substrate types, and anv bird that used a small ~ a t c h would escape predation. Of course, predators would learn to explore small patches as numbers of prey using them increased. and vredation rates would quickly ekala& because of the low search time in small patches. This arms race should ultimatelv level off with birds using patches in proportion to their relative abundance and the amount of time it takes the predator to search them. Thus, some birds (conspecifics or a different species) should use small patches; in Arizona, greentailed towhees (Pioilo chlorurus) choose small patchei of firs, whereaH hermit thrushes and MacGillivray7s warblers mostly choose large patches. If birds select nesting patches that reduce predation risk, then they should choose patches with greater numbers of ~otentialnest sites in situations in wgich these are the patches with the least risk of predation (e.g., hermit thrush and MacGillivray's warbler). Patches used for nestine were compared to unused patches :entered on a stem of the same type used for the nest (nonuse patches). These comparisons showed that patches used for nesting by MacGillivray7swarblers and hermit thrushes did indeed have more potential prey sites, but not more total vegetation, than nonuse patches (Martin and Roper 1988).' Such choices minimize predation risk given the patterns of predation found for these two species (i.e., Figure 2). Moreover, some species, such as the hermit thrush, do not forage in vegetation of the type used for nesting, so abundance of foraging sites can be eliminated as a basis for these nest patch choices (see Martin and Roper 1988). Thus, birds choose nest sites and patches with reduced risk of nest predation. Predation risk can increase with prey density (Martin 1 9 8 8 ~but ) ~such 'T.E. Martin, 1993, unpublished data. September 1993 The colors of this female red-faced warbler, sitting on its nest, match some df the colors of the general area-even the orange color of the bird's face resembles the color of some leaf elements in the surrounding litter. The color and brightness of this site contrasts with that of the orange-crowned warbler (see photo page 523). effects could be offset by greater numbers of potential prey sites, given that the latter apparently reduce predation risk. Consequently, numbers of individuals and species may increase with foliage density due to increasing numbers of potential nest sites (Martin 1988a), rather than the historical argument of greater .numbers of foraging sites (e.g., MacArthur 1972, MacArthur et al. 1962). I tested this possibility by reanalyzing a classic study by Willson (1974); she showed that bird species numbers increased with the addition of shrub and tree layers, but she questioned the importance of foragingsubstrates to this result. I reanalyzed her data by classifying species based on nesting versus foraging sites and found that more of the species that were added with shrub and tree foliage layers were species that nested in those layers than species that foraged in them (Martin 1988a). Moreover, examination of the correlation between number of species and density of foliage in these above-ground layers showed that almost 20% more of the variation in species numbers was explained based on nesting preferences than on foraging preferences. Similar results were obtained for my sites in Arizona (Martin 1988a). Thus, availability of nest sites with low risk of predation provides a strong alternative explanation for the long- standing relationship between bird species numbers and foliage profiles. Of course, such effects do not eliminate the possibility that food limitation and competition are also operating, but the results challenge the priority of the latter processes and show that they certainly are not the only explanations for these patterns. Coexistence of species. Nest predation may also affect the types of species that successfully coexist, based on similarity of their nest sites. When different species use the same site for nesting, then density of potential prey sites is held constant but prey density for that site is increased by coexistence (Figure 3b). If predation risk increases with cumulative prey density, then predation risk should increase for all species using similar nest sites and thus exert negative selection on coexistence (Martin 1988c; also see Holt 1977,1984). If these species use different nesting sites, then the predator must search more substrates, thereby reducing search efficiency and reducing the cost of coexistence (Figure 3a). When nest site differences are sufficiently large to make searching both sites too costly to the predator, then coexistence should not affect predation rates. Such effects can favor coexistence of species that use different nest sites (Martin 1988b,c). These nest site differences can occur in two horizontal nesting space. The 12 species on the Arizona sites were dispersed vertically, with four species nesting on the ground, three species nesting in the shrub layer, two species nesting in the subcanopy, and three species in the ~ a n o p y .Data ~ from other avian communities also showed that birds were, moreover, dispersed vertically based on their nesting sites than on their foraging sites (Martin 1988~). species within a vegetation layer differed in nest substrates and microhabitats along a short moisture gradient in the Arizona snow-melt drainages (Figure lb). Each of the four ground-nesting species places nests at the base of different plant species (Figure 5) that occur at different abunA red squirrel (Tamiasciurushudsonicus) dances along the moisture gradient robs a bird nest. This photo was taken by (Figure lb). The three shrub-nesting an automated camera. species overlap in substrate use (all use small firs), but they chose these spatial dimensions: vertical (i.e., firs in different microhabitats along among vegetation layers) and hori- the moisture gradient; green-tailed zontal (i.e., among substrates or mi- towhees chose small firs in drier sites crohabitats in the same vegetation where New Mexican locust was more layer). abundant. whereas MacGillivrav's I used artificial nests to experimen- warblers chose small firs in patc6es tally test the prediction that predation with more maple, and hermit thrushes favors nest site differences among co- chose small firs in patches with more existing species (Martin 1988b). Nests small firs than the other two specie^.^ were placed in positions that simu- These differences in nest site use among lated nesting locations of four species coexisting species are greater than for occurring on the study sites in Ari- foraging sites because birds specialize zona. Nests were divided among the (use a site more than 60% of the time) sites of these four species in one treat- on nest sites that differ among species ment to simulate coexistence of four (e.g., Figure 5), whereas birds are species that use different nest sites much less specialized and overlapmore (Figure 3a). In a second treatment, based on foraging sites (Figure la). nests were placed at the same total If nest predation favors this use of density but were placed in only one of different nest sites by coexisting spethe four sites to simulate all four spe- cies (or favors coexistence of species cies using the same site (Figure 3b). that already use different sites based Predation rates were ~redictedto in- on their evolutionary histories), precrease when cumulative density of dation rates should be greater for spenests increased in a particular nest site cies that use nest sites that are similar due to overlapping use by coexisting to those used by other species. Indeed, species (Martin 1 9 8 8 ~ )Indeed, . nest predation rates were greater for guilds predation rates were much greater (shrub nesters) and species within a when the simulated species used the guild that placed a greater proportion same site than when they used differ- of their nests in sites that were similar ent nest sites (Figure 4). Thus, these to other coexisting species.' The cost of using nest sites that are experiments indicate that nest predators exhibit behaviors that can favor similar to other coexisting species is nest site differences among coexisting clearly shown by MacGillivray's warblers. They place their nests in small species. Examination of nest site use by birds on my Arizona sites indicated =Seefootnote 1. that they do in fact differ in where 'See footnote 1. they place their nests in vertical and 'See footnote 1. firs or short maple thickets. Small firs are also used as nest sites bv hermit thrushes and green-tailed {owhees, whereas MacGillivray's warbler is the only species that uses the short maple thickets on these sites. As a result, cumulative nest density in small firs is slightly more than four times as great as in the maple. If predators respond to cumulative densities, predation rates should be greater for MacGillivrav's warblers nests in small firs than thbse in maple. ~ndeed,daily mortality rates were significantly greater in firs than in maple (Figure 6), and total percentage of nests lost to predation was substantially greater in firs (78.3%) than in maple (39.0%). Moreover, experiments with artificial nests showed that this trend could be reversed by increasing the cumulative density of nests in maple compared with small firs: when nests in m a ~ l e were four times as dense as nests in small firs, daily mortality rates of nests in maple were much higher than for nests in small firs (compare striped bar of maple with open bar of fir in Figure 4). Such results show that differences in reda at ion rates between these substrites are from differences in density of nests rather than differences in the substrates. In summary, artificial and real nests show that risk of nest predation increases with overlap in nest site use among coexisting species and thereby provides a strong alternative hypothesis to food-based competition for resource partitioning among coexisting species. Indeed, partitioning of microhabitats among coexisting species is much greater when based on nest sites (Figures 1b and 5) than on foraging sites (Figure 1a). Moreover, the results show a direct fitness cost (i.e., increased nest predation) with overlap in nest site use among coexisting species, whereas fitness costs of overlap in foraging sites are largely undocumented. Constraints of evolved nest placement on local success Predation may favor nest site specialization within species because use of new sites may either overlap sites already used by other coexisting species or because species may not be adapted to new sites in terms of, for example, cryptic coloration or physiological BioScience Vol. 43 No. 8 Cape May warbler Blackburnian warbler Black-throated green warbler Bay-breasted warbler Myrtle warbler ,Green-tailed towhee Giilivray's warbler Hermit thrush Figure 1. a. Foraging locations of five species of warblers coexisting in northeastern spruce woods (modified from MacArthur 1958). The diagram indicates six vertical and three horizontal zones in trees that are most frequently used by each warbler species. The zones of most concentrated activity are shaded such that at least 60% of the observed foraging attempts are in the shaded zones (MacArthur only shaded to 50% in his original article). Numbers are the percentage of observed foraging attempts in shaded zones. Note that any zone of concentrated activity in the top three vertical layers (only the myrtle warbler uses lower zones) is usually used as a zone of concentrated activity by at least three species. In fact, the cumulative percentage of time spent in any zone by all species combined is greater than for any individual species that concentrates activity in that zone. In short, species overlap markedly in their use of any foraging zone even when only considering the zones that comprise 60% of the foraging activity. b. Schematic drawing of vegetation and bird distribution along a moisture gradient in snow-melt drainages in Arizona (unpublished data). The lower parts of drainages are moist and characterized by plant species such as canyon maple (Acer grandidentatum) and quaking aspen (Populus tremoloides). The upper sides of drainages are drier and typified by xeric-tolerant plant species such as New Mexican locust (Robinia neomexicana). Small white firs lAbies concolor) were distributed throighout the entire gradient. These gradieAts (i.e., hillsides) are generally only 35-70 m in length. The four ground-nesting bird species (identified underneath the gradient) nest at the base of different plant species that occur at different points along the gradients. When the plant species that comprise 60% of the nest substrates for a species are examined, almost no overlap in nest substrate use occurs among species (see Figure 5 ) . The three shrub-nesting bird species (identified above the gradient) all use small firs but use the firs in different parts of the gradient such that the microhabitat conditions surrounding the firs differ. tolerance to the microclimatic condi- strate type; e.g., Figure 5 ) .Moreover, tions. Indeed, data from Arizona show a review of the literature also revealed nest predation is greater in less fre- that most species are specialized in quently used nest sites,j and most their nesting ~ u b s t r a t e This . ~ specialspecies were substrate specialists ization contrasts with foraging sites (more than 6 0 % of nests in one sub- where species are much less special'See footnote 1. September 1993 6T.E. Martin, 1993, manuscript in preparation. ized and overlap more (Figure l a ) . Specialization may also lead to stereotypy in nest placement. Nest heights of 1 7 warbler species were compared over latitudes differing by as much as 14", and only 4 species shifted heights significantly despite geographic changes in vegetation structure and types of coexisting species (Martin 1 9 8 8 ~ )Moreover, . in many cases, all or most bird species within a genus use the same vegetation layer or general substrate type for nesting. Such results suggest that nest placement often is evolutionarily conservative. Nest placement may be set for a species over a large geographic area based on events during speciation or their evolutionary history. Stereotypy in nest placement could result in poor re~roductivesuccess in some habitats and even select against occupation of those habitats, potentially providing a mechanism for favoring coexistence of species that differ in nest placement. For example, hermit thrushes are subject to more intense predation than any other species on my study sites in Arizona. This intensity of predation is closely related to the use of small firs for nesting. Given that nestinr! is so unsuccessful in small firs, i h y choose such sites? Hermit thrushes may be immigrating t o my sites from other sites where small firs are an appropriate choice for nesting. Firs may elicit a settling response when encountered by dispersing birds, because firs are an appropriate proximate cue over the larger range of the population. Indeed. the race of hermit thrush that occurs on my sites usually uses small conifers for nesting throughout its western range (Harrison 1979). Such sites may be appropriate over most of the range, but inappropriate on my study areas. My study sites are drainages that are located within 8 km of the edge of the Mogollon Rim, an abrupt cliff that represents the southern extension of the Colorado Plateau. The edge of the rim has a narrow band of moist vegetation (e.g., maple) associated with greater precipitation formed by the u ~ w a r ddeflection of air at the rim face. My study sites are in this narrow band of moist vegetation. Red squirrel distribution and densities are associated with maple on these sites (Uphoff 1990). Photos from automated 527 MacGillivray's warbler poses a similar problem: Given that nesting success is so much greater in maple thickets (Figure 6), why use firs? MacGillivray's warbler usually places only approximately one third of nests in small firs (Table 1). This use of conifers again reflects a common pattern throughout their range.s However, small firs may be used when short maple thickets are not available. Many of the territories where small firs are used have less short maple.9 Ma&~ll~vrays warbler 0.100.00.. 0.06.0.04.0) C 0.02- .2 1 0.00- E om- S Herrntt thrush .-% -- -- - -- W e s t e r n Foundation of Vertebrate Zoology, 1993, Los hngeles, C h , unpublished data. ySee footnote 1. 0.05 Moreover, annual differences in nest sites also suggest that availability is important. In the four years before 1988 and 1989, maples were used for approximately two thirds of the nests. In 1988 and 1989, late freezes and a drought, respectively, inhibited leaf development in maples, and MacGillivray's warblers placed two thirds of their nests in small firs (Table 1 ) . The increased use of small firs by MacGillivray's warblers in 1988 and 1989 was associated with significantly greater nest predation in these two years compared with the four previous years. Moreover, predation rates were correlated with the proportion -.-Few Many Few Many Potential nest sites Total stems Figure 2. Daily mortality rate (rate at which nests are lost to predators per day) and its standard error for nests in patches with less (few) or more (many) than the median number of stems that represent potential nest sites or total vegetation (total stems). Z-values were calculated using the z-test of Hensler and Nichols (1981). For the MacGillivray's warbler, 62 nests were observed. For potential nest sites, z = 2.5 (p = 0.006); for total stems, z = 0.9 ( p = 0.19). For the hermit thrush, 109 nests were observed. For potential nest sites, z = 2.5, p = 0.006; for total stems, z < 0, p > 0.5. cameras at artificial nests showed that red squirrels are the major predators on nests and account for more than 80% of nest predation events (Martin 1988b).'Moreover, these maple habitats contain MacGillivray's warblers and green-tailed towhees, both of which use small firs as nest sites and thereby overlap hermit thrushes and increase the cumulative density of nests in firs. If the low nesting success of hermit thrushes in maple drainages is due to the high density of red squirrels and high cumulative density of nests in small firs, then nesting success should be higher in the same nest sites (small firs) in other habitat conditions without coexisting species. Indeed, success of hermit thrush nests in small firs in nearby drainages that d o not contain maple or the other two coexisting species was markedly higher than in maple drainages (Figure 7). -- 'See footnote 1. 528 Case a Case b Figure 3. Schematic drawing of substrate and prey distribution for two experimental nest treatments. In both cases, four types of nest sites are represented by four open symbols. Four bird species are represented by four solid symbols. In the first treatment (case a), each species occupies a different nest site. In the second treatment (case b), density is the same as in case a, but all species occupy the same nest site. The result is that cumulative density in a nest site (e.g., circles) is four times greater when species use the same nest site (case b ) than when each species uses a different nest site (case a). Note that almost all circles are occupied in case b, rewarding predators to continue searching the substrate type but to ignore other substrate types because they are empty. This situation increases predation rates on all species using the substrate type. In contrast, in case a, the predator must search all substrates to encounter the same number of prey, and the increased encounters with unoccupied sites may cause the predator to give up before finding a prey, thereby reducing the cost of coexistence. BioScience Vol. 43 No. 8 an influence on nest-site selection may also indirectly affect other traits (e.g., life-history traits) that are affected by nest sites (Martin 1988d). Life-history traits Maple (1 m) Ground Fir Maple (3m) Nest position Figure 4. Mean (and standard error) in daily mortality rates (rate at which nests are lost to predators per day) for artificial nests when nests were placed among four different types of sites (open bars, case a of Figure 3 ) and when nests were all placed in the same type of sites (striped bars, case b of Figure 3). Density of nests was held constant between the two treatments. A total of 480 nests were used among three replicate sites and over two temporal replicates. The situation of nests placed in the same type of sites was not tested for the 3-meter maple. Data from Martin (1988b). of nests placed in small firs by MacGillivray's warblers among years. Thus, availability of suitable nest sites apparently can influence the success of a population within a habitat by influencing predation risk. In summary, nest predation represents a potentially strong selection pressure and forms a viable alternative hypothesis to food limitation and competition for general patterns such as the increase in numbers of species with foliage density and dispersion, differences in microhabitat use among coexisting species, and differences in nesting success of populations among habitats. The role of nest predation as Orange-crowned warbler 0Virginia's warbler Q) v, 2 Life-history studies represent one area in which nest reda at ion has not been totally ignored. Yet, food limitation is still thought to be the most important influence on life-history traits (Lack 1948, 1954, reviews in Martin 1987, 1992b)and, ironically, the most widely touted example of nest predation effects (large clutch size of cavity-nesting birds) may be incorrect. The large clutch sizes of cavity-nesting birds compared with open-nesting birds have long been considered a consequence of reduced nest predation o n cavity nesters (Lack 1948,1954, Lima 1987, Slagsvold 1982). Nest predation is indeed generally less for cavitynesting than open-nesting birds (Martin and Li 1992; but see Nilsson 1986), but nest ~ r e d a t i o nhas not been directly testkd as the cause of the clutch size pattern. Here, I examine nest predation and two other hypotheses. Recent inters~ecificanalvses demonstrate that adult survival varies inversely with fecundity in both Europe (Bennett and Harvey 1988, Szther 1988) and North America (Martin in press a). This inverse relationship may occur because fecundity derives from adult mortality (e.g., Law 1979), which allows one hypothesis for the clutch size differences between cavity-nesting and open-nesting birds. The winter mortality hypothesis states that a greater proportion of cavity nesters Red-faced warbler Dark-eyed junco 0 % E 0.5 3 u 2 U. 0.0 Firs Maple Locust Nesting substrate Open Figure 5. Frequency that ground nests were placed below the indicated plant species by the four ground-nesting species. Orange-crowned warbler (Vermivora celata; n = 90; black bars), Virginia's warbler (Vermivora virginiae; n = 27; open bars), red-faced warbler (Cardellina rubrifrons; n = 30; shaded bar), and dark-eyed junco (Junco hyemalis; n = 55; cross-hatched bar). September 1993 Percentage of nests built in Year Percentage of nests lost to predation Firs Maple 1984 55 0.33 0.67 u C Q) Table 1. Annual variation in nest predation as a function of variation in use of nesting substrates by MacGillivray's warblers. The increased use of firs in 1988 and 1989 was associated with significantly greater nest predation than in the previous four years (X2 = 6.95, p = 0.008, multiple comparison test of Sauer and Williams 1989). Predation rates were correlated with proportion of nests built in firs (r = 0.89, p < 0.05). than open nesters are residents, and winter mortality is thought to be greater for residents than migrants (Greenberg 1980, von Haartman 1957,1968). Thus, larger clutch sizes of cavity nesters may be a byproduct of greater adult mortality caused by residency habits. Reproductive traits may not derive from adult survival, however. Instead, adult survival may derive from differences in reproductive output (Charnov and Krebs 1974, Williams 1966), affecting two hypotheses. The nest predation hypothesis states that reduced nest predation is thought t o allow more young to be fed over a longer nestling period (Lack 1948, 1954) or more energy to be invested in a single nesting attempt rather than several (e.g., Slagsvold 1982). As a result, reduced nest predation is thought to favor larger clutch size (Lack 1948, 1954, Law 1979, Lima 1987, Slagsvold 1982), which should cause decreased or no change in adult survival. The limited breeding opportunities hypothesis states that when breeding opportunities are limited, birds should invest increased effort in reproduction (i.e., large clutch size) at the cost of reduced survival when they get a chance to breed because they may not get another chance (Martin 1992b, in press b). Hence, cavity nesters whose breeding opportunities are limited by availability of nest holes should have larger clutch sizes, causing lower survival, than open-nesting birds. Greenberg (1980) concluded that residents suffered higher adult mortality than migrants (represented by 529 Fir Maple Nest substrate type Figure 6 . Daily mortality rates (and standard errors) for nests of MacGillivray's warblers in small white firs and canyon maple. Daily mortality rates were much greater ( z = 2.85, p = 0.0022) for nests in firs than for nests in maple. There were 30 nests in firs and 32 nests in maple. the combined data in Figure 8). However, he confounded migrant classification and nest type. I reanalyzed the data and separated nest type from migration habits. Analysis of variance showed that adult survival did not differ between migrants and residents within a nest type (i.e., open nesters; Figure 8). O n the other hand, survival differed between nest types (open nesters versus cavity nesters) within residents. The same results are obtained when based on a larger data set with even finer division in migration habits (Figure 9); survival does not differ among migration classifications within a nest type, but it does differ between nest types within a migration classification when body mass effects are controlled through two-factor analysis of covariance. The similar adult survival of residents and migrants when nest type is controlled (i.e., within open nesters and nonexcavators) falsifies the winter-mortality hypothesis, which predicts that residents suffer greater adult mortality than migrants. Moreover, not all resident cavitv nesters suffer greater adult mortality than open nesters; resident cavity-nesting species that excavate their own nest holes (excavators) have adult survival rates that are greater (0.65 2 .028 [standard error], n = 5 ) than for either resident nonexcavators (species that do not excavate but instead use existing holes) or resident open nesters (Figure 9 ) with body mass controlled (ANCOVA, F = 12.73, p < 0.0001). The evidence also favors rejection of the nest-predation hypothesis. Nest 530 mortality predictably averages much ,,, less for excavators (13% of nests are , lost) than nonexcavators (36% loss; 5 Martin and Li 1992). Yet, excavators 7 0.55 have smaller clutches (Martin and Li 2 1992) and greater adult survival (Fig- - o.,5 ure 9) than nonexcavators, counter to 4 the nest-predation hypothesis, which a 0.35 predicts that excavators with reduced Combined Open Cavity nest predation should have larger Nest type clutch size and lower or similar adult survival c o m p a r e d w i t h nonex- Figure 8. Annual adult survival for resicavators. Moreover, analysis of life- dent (open bars) versus migrant birds history traits for 110 species of North (shaded bars) when nest type is combined American birds shows that clutch sizes or separated. Data are from Greenberg of nonexcavators are outliers for their (1980). Numbers in parentheses reprenest predation rates (Martin in press sent numbers of species. Midpoints were used for data presented with ranges. Cava). Such results indicate that the large " clutch sizes of nonexcavating cavity ity nesters include only species that do not excavate their own cavities. Data for nesters cannot be explained by the blue tit (Parus caeruleus) on Canary Isnest predation hypothesis. Plus, the land were excluded because island DODUpatterns are not explained by phylo- lations are known to exhibit higher surgenetic effects (Martin in press b, vival than mainland populations. Data Martin and Li 1992). for brown-headed cowbird (Molothrus The data are consistent with the ater) also were excluded because this limited-breeding-opportunities hy- species lays its eggs in the nests of other pothesis. Nest sites are much more species. Analysis of variance showed that limited for cavity-nesting birds that adult survival did not differ (F = 0.98, L L p > 0.10) between migrants and residents within a nest type (i.e., open nesters). On the other hand, survival differed (F = 13.14, p = 0.002) between nest types (open nesters versus cavity nesters) within residents.an influence on nest-site selection may also indirectly affect other traits (e.g., life-history traits) that are affected by nest sites (Martin 1988d). depend on finding an existing hole (nonexcavators) than for open nesters Maple Maple Nonmaple (Martin and Li 1992, von Haartman (1989, 1991) (1989, 1991) (All years) 1957,1968), and nonexcavators have Drainage type larger clutches and lower adult surFigure 7. Nesting success of hermit vival than open nesters, as predicted thrushes in maple drainages pooled across by the limited-breeding-opportunities eight years (1984-1991) and in two years hypothesis. In addition, nest sites are (1989, 1991) when both maple and also more limited for nonexcavators nonmaple drainages were studied. Maple than excavators, because excavators drainages are the snow-melt drainages can create their own cavities (Westhat have been the focus of my studies in Arizona. Nonmaple drainages are nearby olowski 1983)andnonexcavators have drainages that have small firs but do not larger clutches and lower adult surcontain maple. Total nesting success (per- vival than excavators, again as precentage of nests that fledge at least one dicted by the hypothesis. Thus, comyoung) was 8.0% (out of 195 nests) for p a r i s o n of a d u l t m o r t a l i t y for maple drainages in 1984-1991; 8.7% nonexcavators versus both open nest(out of 103 nests) for maple drainages in ers and excavators supports the lim1989 and 1991; and 38.9% (out of 1 7 ited-breeding-opportunities hypothnests) for nonmaple drainages in 1989 esis and rejects the two alternative and 1991. The success of nests in hypotheses. nonmaples drainages was markedly higher Excavators as a group provide adthan in maple drainages either in the ditional support for the hypothesis. same study years (X2= 10.9, p = 0.001) or compared to nest success pooled across Excavators vary in their abilities to excavate holes because of morphoyears (X2= 15.2, p = 0.0001). BioScience Vol. 43 No. 8 logical differences, and species with weaker excavating morphology depend on existing holes more; such species potentially are more limited in their nesting opportunities, and clutch sizes increase with this dependence on existing holes as expected under the limited-breeding-opportunities hypothesis (Martin in press b). Moreover, excavators that use old holes apparently suffer greater nest predation (Nilsson et al. 1989j, and, hence, the larger clutch sizes of these species is further evidence against the traditional nest predation hypothesis. Predation may contribute to clutch size differences indirectly by influencing nest site preferences, nest size, or number of broods (Lima 1987, Martin 1988d, in press a, Martin and Li 1992, Moller 1987, 1989, Slagsvold 1982). However, nest site attributes apparently are more important to differences in clutch size and adult survival among cavity-nesting bird species than are differences in nest predation or food limitation (Martin and Li 1992, Martin in Dress bj. These risults emphasize the importance of examining new hypotheses rather than blindly accepting longstanding dogmas. Indeed, although nest predation appears t o be less important to life histories of cavity-nesting birds, nest predation apparently influences life-history traits among many groups of birds for which food limitation traditionally has been considered to be more important (Kulesza 1990, Martin 1993, in press a). Conservation implications The pervasive nature of nest predation and the influence of nest sites on oredation risk indicates that nest sites are important habitat components and that the nesting season can be a critical veriod for maintenance of bird populations. Conservation of species depends on knowing their breeding biology and identifying and preserving the habitat features that affect breeding productivity and survival (Martin 1992a). Yet, insufficient information is available for most suecies with regard to their habitat neehs, reproduction, and survival. Nest predation has gained considerable attention in conservation studies because nest predation can increase with fragmentation (e.g., u September 1993 nest site preferences, and these preferences may be fixed. Habitat fragAll estimation methods mentation can cause direct loss of O.=T habitat features needed by some species and thereby cause loss of those species (Martin 1992a). Even in large forest tracts without edge problems, alteration of conditions by grazing, lumber production, or other anthropogenic activities can potentially cause loss of necessary habitat conditions for some species. m, esf Jolly-Seber methods Moreover, habitat degradation may reduce the diversity of nesting sites available and cause increased predation on species that still use such habitats because they are forced to use similar (overlapping) nest sites and increase cumulative nest density, or because species are forced to use poorquality nest sites. Residents SD LD migrants migrants Such effects added to increased predation along edges (Wilcove 1985) Figure 9. Annual survival rate for North American bird species separated by mi- may cause many populations to regration habits and nest type (open nests, produce well below levels necessary open bars; cavity nests, shaded bars). for maintaining populations. Indeed, Numbers in parentheses are numbers of a number of bird species are showing species. Data are from Martin and Li alarming population declines (Robbins (1991). Cavity nesters include only et al. 1989). Correction of such popunonexcavators. Four methods of estimat- lation problems will depend on detering adult survival, all based on recapture1 mining the habitat features that allow recovery, were used by the studies. The successful reproduction by a variety Jolly-Seber method is the most rigorous estimation method; it is separated to test of species on their breeding grounds, any potential bias due to differences In as well as habitats needed for survival estimation methods. The patterns for the on the wintering grounds. Given the Jolly-Seber estimates are identical to the importance of nest predation and nest patterns for all methods combined. Sur- sites to nest success, much greater vival does not differ among migration attention is needed for these issues, 2 V) - classifications within a nest type (F = 0.72, p > 0.10) but does differ between nest types within a migration classification (F = 15.32, p c 0,0001) when body mass effects are controlled through twofactor analysis of covariance. Wilcove 1985) and potentially cause loss of species (local extinction) from fragments. Such effects have been considered primarily in terms of the increase in predators along edges of habitat fragments (Wilcove 1985 and many others). Yet, nest predation cannot fully explain losses of species from fragments (see Martin 1992a), and some assumptions regarding vulnerability of species t o nest predation are incorrect (Martin 1993j. Other ecological requirements of species are undoubtedly important to their loss. For example, the arguments and evidence presented here suggest that species commonly differ in their Acknowledgments I appreciate comments and thoughts on this manuscript by E. Bokman, W. Etges, S. Foster, S. Garner, R. L. Hutto, M. Newton, L. Petit, and anonymous reviewers. I thank a large number of field assistants for help in finding and monitoring nests. I thank the Blue Ridge Ranger Station of the US Forest Service for their support and permission to work on their forest. My work has been supported by grants from the National Science Foundation (BSR8614598 and BSR-906320). References cited Bennett, 1'. M., and P. H. Harvey. 1988. How fecundity balances mortality in birds. Nature 333: 216. Charnov, E. L., and J. R. Krebs. 1974. On clutch slze and fitness. Ibis 116: 217-219. Cody, M. L., and J. M. Diamond. 1975. Ecology and Evolutron of Communrties. Har- 531 vard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Greenberg, R. 1980. Demographic aspects of long-distance migration. Pages 493-504 in A. 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Ontogenetic habitat shifts in bluegill: the foraging rate-predation risk trade-off. Ecology 69: 1352-1366. Wesolowski, T. 1983. Conjectures, venturous suggestions or "Evolution of hole-nesting in birds"? Ornis Scand. 14: 63-65. Wiens, J. A. 1989. The Ecology of Bird Communities. vols. 1and 2. Cambridge University Press, New York. Wilcove, D. S. 1985. Nest predation in forest tracts and the decline of migratory songbirds. Ecology 66: 1211-1214. Williams, G. C. 1966. Natural selection, the costs of reproduction and a refinement of Lack's principle. Am. Nut. 100: 687-690. Willson, M . F. 1974. Aviancommunity organization and habitat structure. Ecology 55: 1017-1029. BioScience Vol. 43 No. 8 http://www.jstor.org LINKED CITATIONS - Page 1 of 5 - You have printed the following article: Nest Predation and Nest Sites Thomas E. Martin BioScience, Vol. 43, No. 8. (Sep., 1993), pp. 523-532. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0006-3568%28199309%2943%3A8%3C523%3ANPANS%3E2.0.CO%3B2-X This article references the following linked citations. If you are trying to access articles from an off-campus location, you may be required to first logon via your library web site to access JSTOR. Please visit your library's website or contact a librarian to learn about options for remote access to JSTOR. References cited Spatial Heterogeneity, Indirect Interactions, and the Coexistence of Prey Species Robert D. Holt The American Naturalist, Vol. 124, No. 3. (Sep., 1984), pp. 377-406. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28198409%29124%3A3%3C377%3ASHIIAT%3E2.0.CO%3B2-S Homage to Santa Rosalia or Why Are There So Many Kinds of Animals? G. E. Hutchinson The American Naturalist, Vol. 93, No. 870. (May - Jun., 1959), pp. 145-159. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28195905%2F06%2993%3A870%3C145%3AHTSROW%3E2.0.CO%3B2-D Vegetation Structure and Avian Diversity in Several New World Areas James R. Karr; Roland R. Roth The American Naturalist, Vol. 105, No. 945. (Sep. - Oct., 1971), pp. 423-435. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28197109%2F10%29105%3A945%3C423%3AVSAADI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-1 Contributions of Bird Studies to Biology Masakazu Konishi; Stephen T. Emlen; Robert E. Ricklefs; John C. Wingfield Science, New Series, Vol. 246, No. 4929. (Oct. 27, 1989), pp. 465-472. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0036-8075%2819891027%293%3A246%3A4929%3C465%3ACOBSTB%3E2.0.CO%3B2-A http://www.jstor.org LINKED CITATIONS - Page 2 of 5 - Optimal Life Histories Under Age-Specific Predation Richard Law The American Naturalist, Vol. 114, No. 3. (Sep., 1979), pp. 399-417. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28197909%29114%3A3%3C399%3AOLHUAP%3E2.0.CO%3B2-R Clutch Size in Birds: A Predation Perspective Steven L. Lima Ecology, Vol. 68, No. 4. (Aug., 1987), pp. 1062-1070. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28198708%2968%3A4%3C1062%3ACSIBAP%3E2.0.CO%3B2-P Population Ecology of Some Warblers of Northeastern Coniferous Forests Robert H. MacArthur Ecology, Vol. 39, No. 4. (Oct., 1958), pp. 599-619. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28195810%2939%3A4%3C599%3APEOSWO%3E2.0.CO%3B2-A On Bird Species Diversity. II. Prediction of Bird Census from Habitat Measurements Robert H. MacArthur; John W. MacArthur; James Preer The American Naturalist, Vol. 96, No. 888. (May - Jun., 1962), pp. 167-174. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28196205%2F06%2996%3A888%3C167%3AOBSDIP%3E2.0.CO%3B2-0 Food as a Limit on Breeding Birds: A Life-History Perspective Thomas E. Martin Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, Vol. 18. (1987), pp. 453-487. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0066-4162%281987%2918%3C453%3AFAALOB%3E2.0.CO%3B2-0 Habitat and Area Effects on Forest Bird Assemblages: Is Nest Predation an Influence? Thomas E. Martin Ecology, Vol. 69, No. 1. (Feb., 1988), pp. 74-84. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28198802%2969%3A1%3C74%3AHAAEOF%3E2.0.CO%3B2-O http://www.jstor.org LINKED CITATIONS - Page 3 of 5 - On the Advantage of Being Different: Nest Predation and the Coexistence of Bird Species Thomas E. Martin Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 85, No. 7. (Apr. 1, 1988), pp. 2196-2199. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0027-8424%2819880401%2985%3A7%3C2196%3AOTAOBD%3E2.0.CO%3B2-B Nest Placement: Implications for Selected Life-History Traits, with Special Reference to Clutch Size Thomas E. Martin The American Naturalist, Vol. 132, No. 6. (Dec., 1988), pp. 900-910. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28198812%29132%3A6%3C900%3ANPIFSL%3E2.0.CO%3B2-5 Nest Predation Among Vegetation Layers and Habitat Types: Revising the Dogmas Thomas E. Martin The American Naturalist, Vol. 141, No. 6. (Jun., 1993), pp. 897-913. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28199306%29141%3A6%3C897%3ANPAVLA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-8 Evolutionary Determinants of Clutch Size in Cavity-Nesting Birds: Nest Predation or Limited Breeding Opportunities? Thomas E. Martin The American Naturalist, Vol. 142, No. 6. (Dec., 1993), pp. 937-946. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28199312%29142%3A6%3C937%3AEDOCSI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-8 Life History Traits of Open- vs. Cavity-Nesting Birds Thomas E. Martin; Pingjun Li Ecology, Vol. 73, No. 2. (Apr., 1992), pp. 579-592. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28199204%2973%3A2%3C579%3ALHTOOV%3E2.0.CO%3B2-4 Nest Predation and Nest-Site Selection of a Western Population of the Hermit Thrush Thomas E. Martin; James J. Roper The Condor, Vol. 90, No. 1. (Feb., 1988), pp. 51-57. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0010-5422%28198802%2990%3A1%3C51%3ANPANSO%3E2.0.CO%3B2-I http://www.jstor.org LINKED CITATIONS - Page 4 of 5 - Sources, Sinks, and Population Regulation H. Ronald Pulliam The American Naturalist, Vol. 132, No. 5. (Nov., 1988), pp. 652-661. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28198811%29132%3A5%3C652%3ASSAPR%3E2.0.CO%3B2-X Population Declines in North American Birds that Migrate to the Neotropics Chandler S. Robbins; John R. Sauer; Russell S. Greenberg; Sam Droege Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 86, No. 19. (Oct. 1, 1989), pp. 7658-7662. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0027-8424%2819891001%2986%3A19%3C7658%3APDINAB%3E2.0.CO%3B2-4 Resource Partitioning in Ecological Communities Thomas W. Schoener Science, New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4145. (Jul. 5, 1974), pp. 27-39. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0036-8075%2819740705%293%3A185%3A4145%3C27%3ARPIEC%3E2.0.CO%3B2-I Predation, Competition, and Prey Communities: A Review of Field Experiments Andrew Sih; Philip Crowley; Mark McPeek; James Petranka; Kevin Strohmeier Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, Vol. 16. (1985), pp. 269-311. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0066-4162%281985%2916%3C269%3APCAPCA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-P Adaptation in Hole-Nesting Birds Lars von Haartman Evolution, Vol. 11, No. 3. (Sep., 1957), pp. 339-347. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0014-3820%28195709%2911%3A3%3C339%3AAIHB%3E2.0.CO%3B2-T Ontogenetic Habitat Shifts in Bluegill: The Foraging Rate-Predation Risk Trade-off Earl E. Werner; Donald J. Hall Ecology, Vol. 69, No. 5. (Oct., 1988), pp. 1352-1366. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28198810%2969%3A5%3C1352%3AOHSIBT%3E2.0.CO%3B2-0 http://www.jstor.org LINKED CITATIONS - Page 5 of 5 - Nest Predation in Forest Tracts and the Decline of Migratory Songbirds David S. Wilcove Ecology, Vol. 66, No. 4. (Aug., 1985), pp. 1211-1214. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28198508%2966%3A4%3C1211%3ANPIFTA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-M Natural Selection, the Costs of Reproduction, and a Refinement of Lack's Principle George C. Williams The American Naturalist, Vol. 100, No. 916. (Nov. - Dec., 1966), pp. 687-690. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0147%28196611%2F12%29100%3A916%3C687%3ANSTCOR%3E2.0.CO%3B2-G Avian Community Organization and Habitat Structure Mary F. Willson Ecology, Vol. 55, No. 5. (Late Summer, 1974), pp. 1017-1029. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0012-9658%28197422%2955%3A5%3C1017%3AACOAHS%3E2.0.CO%3B2-5