Avian Monitoring in the Lassen and Plumas National Forests Ryan D. Burnett & Diana Stralberg Plumas-Lassen Symposium – 4/10/2009 PRBO Conservation Science PRBO 2008 Northern Sierra Report PRBO Conservation Science http://www.fs.fed.us/r5/hfqlg/monitoring/resource_reports/wildlife/Landbird_Monitoring-2008.pdf or Google – HFQLG wildlife reports PRBO Conservation Science Today’s Focus 5 Treatment Types… PRBO Conservation Science Defensible Fuel Profile Zones PRBO Conservation Science Group Selection PRBO Conservation Science Pre-commercial Thinning PRBO Conservation Science Mastication PRBO Conservation Science Prescribed Fire PRBO Conservation Science Study Area PRBO Conservation Science Eagle Lake DFPZ’s PRBO Conservation Science Brown’s Ravine (Almanor R.D.) PRBO Conservation Science Meadow Valley-Kingsbury Rush PRBO Conservation Science Methods • 50m radius point counts • Almanor, Eagle Lake, and Mt. Hough Ranger Districts • 1194 point count stations • 2002 – 2008 • 2 visits per year PRBO Conservation Science Analysis • • • • • • • • • Abundance indices of 17 species, species richness, Shannon diversity Time since treatment Untreated sites time since treatment (fire = 75, mechanical = 35) Mixed effects models Linear (w/Gaussian Distribution) for species richness/diversity Generalized linear (w/negative binomial distr.) for individual species Covariates (elevation, solar radiation, veg. type, slope, RHCA) Site included as a random effect Treatment effect value set at 1 year post-treatment for predictions PRBO Conservation Science A suite of species as management indicators Species Abundance Olive-sided Flycatcher Chipping Sparrow Hairy Woodpecker Steller's Jay MacGillivray's Warbler Brown Creeper Hammond's Flycatcher Fox Sparrow Western Tanager Red-breasted Nuthatch Golden-crowned Kinglet Nashville Warbler Mountain Chickadee Audubon's Warbler Dusky Flycatcher Oregon Junco Hermit Warbler 0 0.5 1 1.5 Detections/Station/Year 2 2.5 PRBO Conservation Science Species Richness and Diversity Metric DFPZ Group PCThin Mast Burn -0.0025 0.0005 0.0135** 0.0079 -0.0047 Species Richness 0.0033 -0.0131 0.0283*** 0.0175* -0.0086 Shannon Diversity 0.0003 -0.0037 0.0069*** 0.0039* -0.0017 Focal Richness * = p<0.05, ** = p<0.005, *** = p<0.0005 PRBO Conservation Science Summary of Species Responses to Treatment Treatment Positive Response Negative Response No-effect Detected DFPZ 3 4 10 Group Selection 4 1 12 Pre-commercial 1 5 11 Mastication 0 7 10 Prescribed Fire 6 1 10 PRBO Conservation Science DFPZ - Positive 1 Olive-sided Flycatcher *** 0.05 0.8 Audubon's Warbler * 0.04 *** 0.6 * * Predicted Abundance/Point 0.03 0.4 0.02 0.01 *** 0.2 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast DFPZ Group PCT Burn Chipping Sparrow *** 0.1 *** *** *** * 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science DFPZ - Negative 1.2 0.6 Dusky Flycatcher Golden-crowned Kinglet 1 ** 0.8 0.4 * Predicted Abundance/Point 0.6 0.4 *** ** * 0.2 0.2 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT 0.8 Mast Burn DFPZ Group PCT All 1.6 Nashville Warbler 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.8 *** 0.4 0 0 Mast Burn All Burn All Hermit Warbler *** ** 0.2 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast PRBO Conservation Science Group Selection 1.2 Olive-sided Flycatcher *** 0.05 0.6 Dusky Flycatcher 1 MacGillivray's Warbler * ** 0.04 Predicted Abundance/Point * 0.03 0.6 0.02 0.4 0.01 0.4 0.8 *** *** * 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn DFPZ Group PCT Chipping Sparrow Mast Burn DFPZ Group PCT All 0.2 Mast Burn All Hammond's Flycatcher * *** 0.1 *** *** *** * 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science Pre-commercial Thinning 0.4 1 Brown Creeper Audubon's Warbler Chipping Sparrow *** 0.8 0.1 * 0.6 Predicted Abundance/Point 0.2 * * * 0.4 *** *** 0.2 *** 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn DFPZ Group PCT All 1 0.05 0.8 0.04 0.4 Mast Burn Olive-sided Flycatcher *** Western Tanager *** ** 0.6 * 0 0 0.03 0.02 * 0.2 0.01 0 *** 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science Mastication 0.8 1 Nashville Warbler Audubon's Warbler 0.8 0.6 * 0.6 * * Predicted Abundance/Point 0.4 *** 0.4 ** 0.2 0.2 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn DFPZ Group PCT All 0.2 Chipping Sparrow Mast Burn All Fox Sparrow *** 0.1 * *** *** *** *** * 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science Prescribed Fire - Positive 1.2 0.2 Dusky Flycatcher Hammond's Flycatcher 1.4 * Mountain Chickadee 1.2 1 ** ** 1 0.8 * 0.8 0.6 Predicted Abundance/Point 0.6 0.4 * 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn 0.2 Chipping Sparrow 0 DFPZ Group PCT All Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Fox Sparrow Mast Burn All Western Tanager 1 *** 0.1 0.8 * 0.4 *** *** *** *** * 0.2 * 0 0 DFPZ Group PCT ** 0.6 Mast Burn All 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science Predicted Abundance/Point Prescribed Fire - Negative 0.6 Golden-crowned Kinglet 0.4 *** ** 0.2 0 DFPZ Group PCT Mast Burn All PRBO Conservation Science Fuel Treatment Effects Summary • Fuel treatments significantly influences abundance of most species investigated • Prescribed fire positive, Mastication & Pc-thin negative • Group selections mostly positive • DFPZ’s have mixed effects PRBO Conservation Science Shaping Future Forests ← Desired Condition → PRBO Conservation Science Landscape Configuration (from Howell & Burnett In review) 1.0 HEWA 500m OSFL 1k DUFL 2k 1.5 Abundance (predicted) Abundance (predicted) 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 GCKI 1k DUFL 2k 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 20 40 60 80 2 4 6 Edge density (contrast weighted) 12 80 100 2.0 WETA 2k GCKI 1k DUFL 2k Abundance (predicted) Abundance (predicted) 10 Patch richness 1.0 0.8 8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 HEWA 500m GCKI 1k DUFL 2k 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 40 60 80 Interspersion/Juxtaposition Index 100 0 20 40 60 Similarity Index PRBO Conservation Science Landscape Cover Variables 2.0 HEWA 500m NAWA 1k MOCH 2k 2.0 Abundance (predicted) Abundance (predicted) 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 HEWA 500m NAWA 1k HAFL 2k 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 Large crown tree cover 40 60 80 100 Medium crown tree cover 2.0 Abundance (predicted) 4 Abundance (predicted) 20 FOSP 500m GCKI 1k DUFL 2k 3 2 1 0 HEWA 500m NAWA 1k DUFL 2k 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 10 20 Shrub cover 30 40 0 20 40 Hardwood cover 60 80 PRBO Conservation Science Land Allocations in the PLAS Allocation N.F. Land in Study Area % of N.F. in Study Area SPOW PAC 117,966 11.49 SPOW Core 204,939 19.95 SOHA 98,812 9.62 NOGO PAC 31,481 3.07 Wilderness 23,738 2.31 Offbase 291,884 28.42 Total 768,819 NA Total - Overlap 581,459 56.62 W/O Core 453,185 44.13 PRBO Conservation Science Landbirds in Spotted Owl Habitat (from Burnett et al. in review) ←Negative Regression Coefficient Positive→ PRBO Conservation Science Olive-sided Flycatcher and Edge Habitat Olive-sided Flycatcher Abundance (predicted) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 Edge Density within a 1000m radius (Contrast Weighted m/ha) 60 PRBO Conservation Science Fox Sparrow and Shrub Cover 8 1.4 R2=0.21, 1.2 Fox Sparrow Abundance (predicted) Mean Abundance/Point 1.6 p<0.0001 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 20 40 60 Shrub Cover 80 100 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 % Shrub/Brush within a 500m radius 40 45 50 PRBO Conservation Science Open Forest and Shrub Limiting Factors • Shrub and other open forest habitats are likely to decline under current management (both HFQLG and SNFPA). - Fire suppression (>90% reduction in area burned – Stephens et al. 2007) -50% of forest is on “closed canopy trajectory” -Fuel reduction treatments retain 40 – 60% canopy cover -Many fuels projects target shrub areas for mastication -Private land plantations inhibit shrubs PRBO Conservation Science Conclusions • Balanced ecosystem approach is necessary to meet the needs of the full compliment of wildlife • Disturbance dependent species should be a priority along with late seral species • Integrate Local & Landscape scales and consider cumulative effects • Look to the past but manage for the future PRBO Conservation Science Next Steps • Incorporate Vegetation Data into models (collect posttreatment data in Meadow Valley in 2009) • Continue monitoring treated sites and subset of untreated in PLAS, Brown’s Ravine, and ELRD • Add more treated DFPZ’s to monitoring in the LNF • Incorporate post-fire habitat monitoring (Storrie, Moonlight, Cub) - landbird abundance in post-fire habitats - cavity use PRBO Conservation Science Acknowledgements Region 5 of the USFS, Lassen National Forest, National Fire Plan, PSW, HFQLG Monitoring Colin Dillingham, John Yembu Ngwembo, Ryan Tompkins, and Sharon Brockman – Plumas National Forest Tom Rickman, Coye Burnett, and Linda Wrenn - Lassen National Forest 40+ field biologists who collected data PRBO Conservation Science