United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station Sierra Nevada Research Center Response of Subalpine Conifers to 20th Century Climate Variability in the Sierra Nevada: Meadow invasion, snowfield colonization, and changes in growth, form, and genetic diversity--complex and threshold reactions to warming climates challenge current assumptions. The Research: Using tree-ring methods, ecological plot evaluation, and genetic analysis, we are investigating multiple and independent indicators of vegetation response in subalpine conifers to 20th century climate change. To date we have studied annual internode growth in krummholz (stunted) whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis); release of vertical branches in krummholz whitebark pine; invasion of whitebark and lodgepole (P. contorta) pines into retreating snowfields, and invasion of lodgepole pine into upper montane meadows. We plan next to investigate patterns of stand expansion over elevational gradients, response to frost events, rate of stripbark formation, and crown release in diverse whitebark pine zones. We correlate these responses with regional climate parameters to identify individual tree, stand, and biome level responses to interannual, decadal (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation), and centurylong patterns. Responses have been strongly related to climate despite variability among sites in environmental and land-use histories, indicating non-linear, unique, and threshold effects. Objectives: Evaluate temporal responses in tree growth and stand dynamics of high-elevation pine forests during the past 200 years relative to interannual, decadal, and century long climate change. Assess 20th century climate influences on subalpine vegetation relative to other natural and human-induced (livestock grazing, fire suppression) forces. Our Mission: Sierra Nevada Ecosystems are complex and our knowledge of them is incomplete. As a result, the long term outcome of any given land and resource management strategy is uncertain. We will provide assistance to land managers and policy makers by addressing this management dilemma through targeted research, emphasizing an integrated, ecoregional approach to examine particular physical, ecological, and socioeconomic issues, across a range of appropriate spatial and temporal scales specific to each issue. Application of Research Results: This unit will represent the collective research expertise and interests of scientists located in Fresno, Davis and Albany as well as other scientists within the Pacific Southwest Research Station. With a full spectrum of research, from long term, fundamental research to short-term, tactical applications, this Center is intended to support conservation, restoration, and sustainable utilization of the lands within the Sierra Nevada ecoregion. Publications: USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station Sierra Nevada Research Center For further information contact: Dr. Connie Millar cmillar@fs.fed.us Dr. Peter Stine, Program Manager Subalpine forests are considered at high risk under current and future conditions of warming climates. This concern derives from an assumption that warming climates will force high-elevation vegetation ever higher where habitat diminishes in extent and finally off the tops of mountains. Research information is needed about their potential responses that are occurring already under changing climates of the 20th and early 21st centuries so that effective conservation measures may be taken. Our research indicates that subalpine forest response is far more complex than has been widely assumed, and threshold, disequilibrium, reversible, and interacting forces determine actual behavior. Conservation and management strategies must be built with reliable information about what how forests are responding at present. Location: High central and eastern Sierra Nevada, between Mammoth Lakes and Bridgeport, CA. PDFs available at: http://www.fs.fed.us/psw/programs/snrc/staff/millar • Millar, C.I., Graumlich, L.J., King, J.C., Delany, D.L., and Westfall, R.D. 2004. Response of subalpine conifers in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA to twentieth-century warming and decadal climate variability. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 36(2):181-200. • Millar, C.I., R. Neilson, D. Batchelet, R. Drapek, and J. Lenihan. In press. Climate change at multiple scales. Chapter 3 in Salwasser, H. and M. Cloughesy (eds). Forests, Carbon, and Climate Change. Oregon Forest Resources Institute Publication. • Millar, C.I. and L.B. Brubaker. 2006. Climate change and paleoecology: New contexts for restoration ecology. Chapter 15 in M. Palmer, D. Falk, and J. Zedler (eds) Restoration Science. Island Press. pp315-340. • Westfall, RD and Millar, CI. 2004. Genetic Consequences of Forest Population Dynamics Influenced by Historic Climatic Variability in the Western USA. Forest Ecology and Management. 197: 157-168. • Poster: Millar, CI; Westfall, RD; Delany, DL; King, JC; and Alden, HA. 2004. Climate as an Ecosystem Architect; Responses of High-Elevation Conifers to Past Climate Variability. • Poster: Millar, CI; Westfall, RD; Delany, DL; King, JC; and Alden, HA. 2004. HighElevation Response of Conifers to Climate Change in the Sierra Nevada and Western Great Basin, USA: Treeline Elevation is Not the Primary Effect. http://www.fs.fed.us/psw/programs/snrc Albany Location: 800 Buchanan Street Albany, CA 94710 Mailing Address: P.O. Box 245 Berkeley, CA 94701 Phone: 510-559-6300 Fax: 510-559-6440 Davis Location: 2121 Second Street Suite A101 Davis, CA 95616 Phone: 530-759-1700 Fax: 530-747-0241 Fresno Location: 2081 E. Sierra Avenue Fresno, CA 93710 Phone: 559-323-3200 Fax: 559-297-3355