Equilibrium Form of Horizontally Retreating, Soil-Mantled Hillslopes: Model Development and Application to a Groundwater Sapping Landscape The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. Citation Perron, J. Taylor, and Jennifer L. Hamon. “Equilibrium Form of Horizontally Retreating, Soil-mantled Hillslopes: Model Development and Application to a Groundwater Sapping Landscape.” Journal of Geophysical Research 117.F1 (2012). ©2012. American Geophysical Union As Published http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011jf002139 Publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU) Version Final published version Accessed Wed May 25 22:00:10 EDT 2016 Citable Link http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/74033 Terms of Use Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. Detailed Terms JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, F01027, doi:10.1029/2011JF002139, 2012 Equilibrium form of horizontally retreating, soil-mantled hillslopes: Model development and application to a groundwater sapping landscape J. Taylor Perron1 and Jennifer L. Hamon1 Received 30 June 2011; revised 23 January 2012; accepted 24 January 2012; published 20 March 2012. [1] We present analytical solutions for the steady state topographic profile of a soil-mantled hillslope retreating into a level plain in response to a horizontally migrating base level. This model applies to several scenarios that commonly arise in landscapes, including widening valleys, eroding channel banks, and retreating scarps. For a sediment transport law in which sediment flux is linearly proportional to the topographic slope, the steady state profile is exponential, with an e-folding length, L, proportional to the ratio of the sediment transport coefficient to the base level migration speed. For the case in which sediment flux increases nonlinearly with slope, the solution has a similar form that converges to the linear case as L increases. We use a numerical model to explore the effects of different base level geometries and find that the one-dimensional analytical solution is a close approximation for the hillslope profile above an advancing channel tip. We then compare the analytical model with hillslope profiles above the tips of a groundwater sapping channel network in the Florida Panhandle. The model agrees closely with hillslope profiles measured from airborne laser altimetry, and we use a predicted log linear relationship between topographic slope and horizontal distance to estimate L for the measured profiles. Mapping 1/L over channel tips throughout the landscape reveals that adjacent channel networks may be growing at different rates and that south facing slopes experience more efficient hillslope transport. Citation: Perron, J. T., and J. L. Hamon (2012), Equilibrium form of horizontally retreating, soil-mantled hillslopes: Model development and application to a groundwater sapping landscape, J. Geophys. Res., 117, F01027, doi:10.1029/2011JF002139. 1. Introduction [2] Channel networks drive the evolution of most continental landscapes, but the vast majority of the land surface consists of hillslopes. Hillslope form reflects the processes that produce and transport sediment, the physical and chemical properties of the underlying material, and boundary conditions that induce relative changes in elevation. Hillslope topography can therefore be a sensitive indicator of the processes that drive mass transport over Earth’s surface. In addition, because hillslopes respond to channels that form their base level, hillslope form can also record channel network development. [3] Most studies exploring these relationships have focused on vertical rates of base level change [e.g., Kirkby, 1971; Hirano, 1975; Fernandes and Dietrich, 1997]. This is a reasonable approximation in many scenarios involving erosional processes driven by gravity, but there are also settings in which hillslopes experience dominantly horizon1 Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. Copyright 2012 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/12/2011JF002139 tal base level migration. Examples include bank erosion by rivers that migrate or widen faster than they incise vertically [e.g., Hooke, 1980; Lawler, 1993], retreating coasts, escarpments and cliffs [e.g., Gilbert, 1928; Koons, 1955; Anderson et al., 1999; Hanks, 2000], headward advance of channel networks [e.g., Dunne, 1980], and the lateral expansion of karst features. Situations such as these present opportunities to test the predictions of hillslope transport laws, constrain rates of sediment transport and hillslope development, and examine spatial trends within evolving landscapes. [4] Horizontally retreating slopes figured prominently in some early studies of landscape evolution. Penck’s [1924] conceptual model of parallel slope retreat, in which slopes migrate laterally while maintaining a constant form, and Gilbert’s [1928] observations of scarp retreat driven by base level migration challenged Davis’s [1899] notion of the inevitable relaxation of topography through slope decline. King’s [1953] studies of escarpments in South Africa involved models of lateral slope retreat that were similar to Penck’s. Later studies of bedrock slopes in arid environments discussed evidence of slope retreat, and proposed geometric models of landform development that emphasized the role of stratified rock [Koons, 1955; Oberlander, 1977, 1989]. F01027 1 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES [5] Some of the earliest quantitative models of landform development focused on hillslope form [e.g., Culling, 1960; Scheiddeger, 1961; Kirkby, 1971; Hirano, 1975; Ahnert, 1976]. These studies sought to relate hillslope topographic profiles to sediment transport expressions through conservation of mass. But most models that have incorporated base level effects have restricted their analyses to a base level with a fixed horizontal position. This includes both the wellknown parabolic solution for steady state, sediment-mantled hillslopes evolving in response to a lowering base level with a sediment flux linearly proportional to the local topographic gradient [e.g., Culling, 1963; Kirkby, 1971; Hirano, 1975] and analogous solutions for transport laws in which sediment flux increases nonlinearly with slope [Roering et al., 2007; Perron, 2011]. [6] A few studies have emphasized the importance of considering both vertical and lateral components of erosion at the hillslope scale [e.g., Mudd and Furbish, 2005; Stark, 2010], and physically based expressions for hillslope forms produced by horizontal base level migration have been proposed for linear sediment transport laws [e.g., Hanks, 2000]. Yet, unlike the case of vertical base level change, these expressions have not been widely tested through comparisons with field sites. The goals of this paper are to derive expressions for the steady form of horizontally retreating hillslopes subject to linear and nonlinear sediment transport laws, test the ability of these expressions to predict hillslope form in a field site where horizontal base level migration is known to occur, and demonstrate their utility for identifying spatial patterns of channel network growth recorded in the surrounding hillslopes. [7] In the sections that follow, we consider the case of soil-mantled slopes evolving in response to a base level that advances horizontally through an otherwise level plateau. In section 2, we derive one-dimensional analytical expressions for the steady state topographic profiles of slopes on which soil flux depends either linearly or nonlinearly on the topographic gradient. In section 3, we compare these expressions with a numerical model, and show how a measured hillslope profile can be used to estimate the ratio of the transport coefficient to the base level migration speed, even if the migrating base level takes the form of a point, such as an advancing channel tip, rather than a linear boundary perpendicular to the transport direction. We then use the analytical solutions in section 4 to estimate this ratio for many channel tips in a valley network formed by groundwater sapping in the Florida Panhandle, yielding a map that reveals spatial trends in channel growth rates and hillslope transport coefficients. 2. Analytical Model of a Retreating Hillslope [8] We consider a one-dimensional hillslope that retreats because of horizontal migration of a base level with fixed elevation (Figure 1). The coordinate system moves with the base level at a horizontal speed v in the positive x direction, with the base level always located at x = 0, z = 0. The hillslope is assumed to be retreating into a flat, level plain with an elevation z∞ that extends infinitely in the positive x direction. The hillslope surface rises in the positive x direction, approaching z∞ as x → ∞. Soil or sediment is transported downslope with a volume flux per unit width q(x). F01027 We seek an equilibrium topographic profile, such that z = z(x), independent of time. To maintain an equilibrium profile, conservation of mass requires that the mass flux at x equals the total mass flux from upslope as the hillslope erodes into the plain, rs qðxÞ ¼ ðz∞ zÞ rv; ð1Þ is the average where rs is soil or sediment bulk density and r bulk density of the material in the plain between z and z∞. To derive an expression for an equilibrium profile, a transport law relating q to the topography is required. We consider two cases for soil-mantled hillslopes: one in which q is linearly proportional to slope, and another in which q increases nonlinearly with slope. 2.1. Linear Transport Law [9] On soil-mantled hillslopes with low to moderate gradients, it has been proposed from simple arguments [Culling, 1960, 1963, 1965] and demonstrated through field measurements [Monaghan et al., 1992; McKean et al., 1993; Small et al., 1999] that soil volume flux per unit width is linearly proportional to, and opposite in direction from, the topographic gradient, qðxÞ ¼ D dz ; dx ð2Þ where D is a transport coefficient. Although recent studies suggest that equation (2) may be at best an approximation for the true pattern of mass transport [Heimsath et al., 2005; Furbish et al., 2009; Foufoula-Georgiou et al., 2010; Tucker and Bradley, 2010], numerous studies of hillslope evolution and topography have shown it to be a useful approximation. Substituting equation (2) into equation (1) and solving for dz/dx yields an expression for slope as a function of elevation above the base level, v r dz ¼ ðz∞ zÞ: dx rs D ð3Þ , rs and D are Separating variables and assuming that r independent of x and z yields Z v r dz ¼ z∞ z r s D Z dx; ð4Þ which we integrate to obtain lnðz∞ zÞ ¼ r v x þ C; rs D ð5Þ where C is an integration constant. The boundary condition z(0) = 0 gives C = ln z∞. Using this value and solving equation (5) for the normalized steady state elevation profile z/z∞ gives z ¼ 1 ex=L ; z∞ ð6Þ where the length scale L ¼ ðrs DÞ=ð r vÞ. Hillslopes for which L is small (rapid retreat or small transport coefficient) have steep slopes that rapidly approach z∞, whereas hillslopes for which L is large (slow retreat or large transport coefficient) 2 of 18 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 F01027 flux q increases nonlinearly with the topographic gradient. Several expressions have been proposed, but the most commonly used is that proposed by Andrews and Bucknam [1987] and Roering et al. [1999], in which | q| → ∞ as S approaches a critical slope Sc, qðxÞ ¼ dz K dx dz 2 ; 1 j dx j=Sc ð10Þ with Sc 1. Substituting equation (10) into equation (1) yields Figure 1. Schematic diagram of a hillslope retreating into a level plain with elevation z∞ because of horizontal migration of a base level (point b) at a speed v. The coordinate system moves with the base level, such that point b is always at the origin. At steady state, the point at (x, z) must convey a volume flux per unit width, q, that is proportional to (z∞ z)v. have gentler slopes that gradually approach z∞. Equation (6) is analogous to solutions proposed for depositional landforms such as prograding deltas [Kenyon and Turcotte, 1985] and foreland basins adjacent to thrust belts [Pelletier, 2007], and is identical to the analytical solution of Hanks [2000, equation (25)] for the steady form of a retreating escarpment. [10] When comparing this predicted topographic profile to a measured profile, it is desirable to avoid estimating z∞ directly. The model profile only approaches z∞ far from the base level, and in natural topography, the assumption of a smooth, nearly level surface will usually break down much closer to the steep portion of the profile. There are two simple approaches for determining z∞ indirectly that also provide estimates of L. First, defining S = dz/dx, equation (3) can be written z∞ z S¼ ; L L ð7Þ which predicts a linear relationship between slope and elevation, the slope of the relationship being 1=L ¼ ð rvÞ=ðrs DÞ. Second, differentiating equation (6) with respect to x yields S¼ z∞ x=L ; e L 2 ! v r dz dz 1 ¼ ðz∞ zÞ 1 : dx rs K dx Sc2 A solution to equation (11), which gives a dimensionless steady state hillslope profile, is z LSc pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ¼1 W ðFÞð2 þ W ðFÞÞ; z∞ 2z∞ z∞ x ; L L f ¼ W ðfÞeW ðfÞ ; F¼ 1 4a 2x exp 1 ; L LSc 2 L 2.2. Nonlinear Transport Law [11] If hillslope gradients are sufficiently steep, mechanical arguments [Andrews and Bucknam, 1987; Roering et al., 1999], laboratory experiments [Roering et al., 2001], and field observations [Anderson, 1994; Pierce and Colman, 1986; Roering et al., 1999; Gabet, 2000] indicate that the ð14Þ with 2 0sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi 1 0sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi13 2 2 LSc2 4 @ 2z∞ 2z∞ A5 A ln L 1þ a¼ 1 ⋅ exp@ 1 þ : 4 LSc LSc ð15Þ [12] As with the linear transport law, we seek a way of comparing the profile predicted by the nonlinear transport law with a measured topographic profile that does not require a direct estimate of z∞. The simplest approach is to differentiate equation (11) with respect to x, yielding 2 2 S ð S=S Þ 1 c d z 1 ¼ : dx2 L ðS=Sc Þ2 þ 1 2 which predicts a linear relationship between the logarithm of slope and horizontal distance, with the slope of the relationship again being 1/L. Once L is known, z∞ can be determined from the intercept of equation (7) or (9). ð13Þ and the quantity F is ð8Þ ð9Þ ð12Þ where L ¼ ðrs KÞ=ð r vÞ, W is the Lambert W function, defined by which can be cast as a linear equation, ln S ¼ ln ð11Þ ð16Þ This predicts a linear relationship between the second derivative of hillslope elevation and the quantity involving slope on the right-hand side, with the slope of the relationship being 1/L. Equation (16) is more flexible than equation (7) or (9) because it allows for the potentially nonlinear character of the transport law, but it has the disadvantages that it requires measurements of concavity, which are typically more uncertain than measurements of slope, and requires an estimate of Sc. Note that as S/Sc → 0, equation (16) reduces to the simple form 3 of 18 d2z S ¼ ; dx2 L ð17Þ F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 Figure 2. Steady state profiles of retreating hillslopes with z∞ = 20 m and Sc = 1 for different values of L in (a) dimensionless coordinates and (b) dimensional coordinates. In Figure 2a, the solution for the linear transport law (equation (6), solid black line) is the same for all L. The solution for the nonlinear transport law (equation (12), dashed gray lines) converges to the solution for the linear law as L increases. which is the same result obtained for the linear transport law by differentiating equation (8). 2.3. Predicted Hillslope Forms [13] Figure 2 compares steady state hillslope profiles for the linear and nonlinear transport laws. In dimensionless form (Figure 2a and equation (6)), the shape of the solution for the linear law is independent of L. In contrast, the shape of the solution for the nonlinear law depends on L (and on z∞ and Sc). For small L, which would correspond to a rapidly retreating base level or a small soil transport coefficient, the profile approaches an angle of repose slope, with a nearly straight lower section with a gradient slightly less than Sc, and a narrow concave-down section near z = z∞. For large L, which would correspond to a slowly retreating base level or a large soil transport coefficient, the profile approaches the solution for the linear transport law, as implied by a comparison of equations (3) and (11), which converge as S/Sc → 0. The reason for the convergence of the solutions is more apparent in dimensional form (Figure 2b): both solutions have gentler slopes for larger L, so the nonlinear transport effects are less important. This transition between hillslope forms predicted by the linear and nonlinear transport laws is qualitatively similar to the case of vertical base level change analyzed by Roering et al. [2007] and Perron [2011]. 3. Numerical Model 3.1. Model Description [14] To test whether the analytical solutions in section 2 can provide a useful description of natural hillslopes that deviate from a strictly one-dimensional form, we created a two-dimensional numerical model of a retreating hillslope. The model solves the equation rs ∂z ∂z v ; þ r ⋅ ðrs qÞ ¼ r ∂t ∂x ð18Þ where q, the vector flux, is given by a two-dimensional version of either the linear transport law, equation (2), or the nonlinear transport law, equation (10). The model coordinate system moves with the hillslope’s base level, and therefore the advection term on the right-hand side of equation (18), 4 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 Figure 3. Steady state numerical solutions for a hillslope retreating in response to (a) a migrating linear base level and (b) an advancing channel tip. Both solutions use the nonlinear transport law with L = 10 m, z∞ = 20 m, Sc = 1, Dx, Dy = 5 m, and Dt = 100 years. (c and d) Profiles through the numerical solutions (black points) compared with the one-dimensional analytical solution (equation (12), black line). which causes the solution to shift in the negative x direction at a speed v, is equivalent to a base level that migrates in the positive x direction in a fixed reference frame. The elevation of the positive x boundary is fixed at z∞, which assumes that it is sufficiently far from the hillslope’s base level that z ≈ z∞. We use the implicit method of Perron [2011] to solve equation (18) forward in time until the topography reaches a static steady state. 3.2. Comparison of Numerical and Analytical Solutions [15] We investigated two cases. In the first case, the y boundaries are periodic, and a base level with a fixed elevation of zero covers half of the grid. This produces a onedimensional hillslope that does not vary in the y direction (Figure 3a). A profile through this solution in the x direction is identical to the one-dimensional analytical solutions in section 2 (Figure 3c). In the second case, the y boundaries have fixed elevations of z∞, the negative x boundary is free, and the base level consists of a channel tip with a fixed elevation of zero extending into the grid in the x direction from the negative x boundary. This case is intended to simulate the topography surrounding a horizontally advancing channel tip, and the solution consists of concave-down hillslopes that wrap around the channel tip (Figure 3b). Because of this convergent topography, points near the channel tip must convey a larger flux at steady state than in the onedimensional case, and the hillslope profile in Figure 3b is therefore steeper and more curved than the profile in Figure 3a. Despite this difference, a profile through the two-dimensional topography deviates only slightly from the one-dimensional analytical solution (Figure 3d). The steady state solutions for both cases are independent of the initial conditions. [16] To investigate the effect of contour curvature on L values inferred from analysis of topographic profiles, we calculated steady state numerical solutions using the boundary conditions in Figure 3b for a range of L, and used the expressions derived in section 2 to determine apparent values of L from profiles through the numerical solutions. All numerical calculations used the nonlinear transport r ¼ 1 , K = 0.01 m2/yr, z∞ = 20 m, Sc = 1, law with rs = and Dx, Dy = 5 m. The speed v ranged from 0.1 mm/yr to 1 mm/yr, such that 10 m ≤ L ≤ 100 m, a range that encompasses most of the hillslopes at the study site investigated in section 4. [17] We extracted a topographic profile from each numerical solution at the location shown in Figure 3b, and approximated dz/dx and d2z/dx2 with second-order finite differences. We then used iteratively reweighted least squares regression to fit the relationships in equations (9) and (16) to the model solution, and determined L from the regression slopes. Figure 4 compares the L values inferred from the regression with the actual values. Because the analytical solutions neglect the effect of convergent topography illustrated in Figure 3, both systematically underestimate L. However, both expressions provide estimates of L that are within 13% of the true value over the range we tested, and within 2% for L = 10 m. Moreover, because the solutions for the two transport laws are similar for L ≳ 10 m (Figure 2), the regression based on the linear transport law estimates L with accuracy comparable to the regression based on the nonlinear law (and even slightly better, because the linear law predicts a steeper, more curved profile that mimics the two-dimensional effect). For sites in which L falls in the range tested here, it is therefore possible to obtain good estimates of L from hillslope profiles by using equation (9), which avoids the potentially noisy measurements of profile curvature required for equation (16). While the specific errors plotted in Figure 4 do not apply to all of 5 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES Figure 4. Comparison of L values inferred from regression analysis of topographic profiles through numerical solutions like that in Figure 3b. Values marked with circles were determined from equation (16) for the nonlinear transport law, and those marked with crosses were determined from equation (9) for the linear transport law. our results, the magnitudes should be similar, and our interpretations in sections 4 and 5 are based largely on relative measures of L, which are not significantly influenced by these systematic errors. 4. Application to Sapping Valley Networks of the Florida Panhandle [18] To test the analytical model, and to use the associated predictions to examine spatial variability in v or K, we sought a landscape with a large number of measurable hillslope profiles subject to boundary conditions similar to those assumed in section 2: a base level migrating horizontally at a constant rate into a level plain. We also sought a site with minimal spatial variability in transport processes or the mechanical characteristics of the substrate, such that hillslope form is likely to be a sensitive indicator of rates of sediment transport and base level migration. We selected a site in the Florida Panhandle where groundwater sapping channel networks have created hundreds of hillslopes that satisfy most of these criteria. 4.1. Site Description [19] The Western Highlands of the Florida Panhandle are built from the highly permeable Plio-Pleistocene sands of the Citronelle Formation [Sellards and Gunter, 1918]. The highlands surface rises a few tens of meters above sea level, slopes gently toward the Gulf Coast, and is locally very planar. In some locations adjacent to rivers or water bodies, the subdued highlands topography is interrupted by steepsided valley networks containing perennial, spring-fed streams. The valley networks typically have straight main F01027 stems and short tributaries with nearly orthogonal junction angles. Tributary valleys terminate abruptly upstream in steep, roughly semicircular headwalls known colloquially as “steepheads” [Means, 1981]. The near absence of channel incision upslope of the valley heads and the alignment of major valleys with the average direction of groundwater flow led early investigators to conclude that the valley networks were incised by groundwater sapping at the spring sites. Sapping valleys are thought to form through a positive feedback in which the focusing of flow toward a spring leads to accelerated erosion where the spring emerges from the ground, which in turn advances the channel tip and causes the groundwater flow to converge more strongly [Dunne, 1980; Howard and McLane, 1988; Howard, 1988]. Early studies suggested that sapping valleys in Florida may also have been influenced by low-permeability clay beds in the Citronelle Formation that direct groundwater flow and enhance this focusing effect, or by indurated layers near the surface that inhibit erosion [Sellards and Gunter, 1918], but subsequent studies have found no evidence of such layers [Schumm et al., 1995; Abrams et al., 2009]. [20] We focused on a cluster of sapping valley networks incised into bluffs on the east side of the Apalachicola River near Bristol, Florida (Figure 5). Several lines of evidence, including surveys of groundwater table elevations [Abrams et al., 2009; Petroff et al., 2011], analyses of valley longitudinal profiles [Devauchelle et al., 2011], cross sections [Lobkovsky et al., 2007], and head shapes [Petroff et al., 2011], comparisons with laboratory experiments [Howard, 1988; Lobkovsky et al., 2007], and measurements of channel bifurcation angles [Petroff, 2011] support the inference that the valley networks were formed by dominantly horizontal migration of groundwater sapping sites through the sandy bluffs. As the springs at the tips of the channel network have advanced through the nearly level surface that sits approximately 50 m above the Apalachicola River, they have created boundary conditions very similar to the scenario in Figure 1. The case of perennial, spring-fed channels bounded by highly permeable slopes that experience little overland flow is also consistent with the sharp boundary between hillslope and fluvial domains assumed in section 2. The many valley heads across the site therefore provide an opportunity to test the analytical solutions presented in section 2, and to obtain a snapshot of the evolution of the valley network by measuring relative rates of hillslope retreat. [21] Although the level surface of the bluffs has been clear-cut, the sapping valleys remain forested, with conifers and a few hardwoods dominating the higher elevations of the valley walls, and abundant magnolia, beech, and evergreen shrubs in the wetter, more densely vegetated lower elevations [Means, 1981]. Soil transport appears to occur through a combination of bioturbation, small slumps and raveling events, and, less commonly, shallow landslides. Hillslopes at valley heads are concave down and typically grade smoothly into the level plain (Figure 6), which is qualitatively consistent with the analytical model. 4.2. Topographic Measurements and Determination of L [22] To enable a quantitative comparison, we measured hillslope elevation profiles above channel tips throughout 6 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 Figure 5. Aerial image of groundwater sapping valley networks in the Apalachicola Bluffs near Bristol, Florida. Sapping valleys are easily identified by denser, darker green vegetation. The black rectangle marks the area shown in Figure 9. The Apalachicola River, at the far left, flows south. Image is from the National Agriculture Imagery Program. the valley networks. An airborne laser altimetry map of the Bristol site was produced by the National Center for Airborne Laser Mapping (NCALM). The raw point cloud was filtered to remove laser returns from vegetation and gridded to a horizontal point spacing of 1 m. We used elevation and slope maps to estimate the locations of spring sapping sites at the heads of valleys. A spring site was identified as a break in slope at the base of a headwall. From each spring, we drew a linear transect extending upslope in a direction parallel to the valley until the elevations reached a nearly constant value, and then interpolated elevations along each profile at a spacing of approximately 1 m. We inspected each profile and removed concave-up portions at the downslope end, which can result from small errors in our estimate of the spring location, and portions at the upslope end where the surface sloped away from the spring, which were usually associated with human modification of the topography or deviations of the plain from a perfectly level surface. The coordinates of the first point in the profile were set to x = 0, z = 0, and the other coordinates were measured relative to this point. The profiles were then examined for obvious signs that the hillslopes were not in a steady state, such as major breaks in slope, inflections in curvature, or large bumps or dips. Profiles containing such features were discarded. After this screening, 201 profiles remained for analysis, including most of the major valley heads visible in the laser altimetry as well as many smaller valleys that extend only a short distance from the main valleys. Locations, directions, and lengths of the transects are listed in Table 1. [23] The expressions derived in section 2 allow us to obtain an estimate of L, and therefore K/v, for each channel tip. We used equation (9) to determine the best fit value of L. Although equation (9) is strictly only valid for the linear 7 of 18 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 F01027 Table 1. Hillslope Profile Data Profile Eastinga (m) Northinga (m) Length (m) Directionb (deg) Lc (m) Estimatedd R2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 693413 695120 694644 696138 698157 694068 694528 694349 695179 694541 697169 694108 695418 696985 694040 695635 695566 693798 695210 694491 694872 694295 696927 694804 694015 698106 697051 695327 696871 695082 695202 695720 695594 697719 698856 698787 693788 696354 693557 696989 695027 696839 695644 695251 696812 696111 696301 693922 696477 695557 695348 695561 697194 694993 694928 695768 695239 695456 694646 694154 696361 693510 695314 694016 695191 693799 694148 694997 693795 695010 694435 693758 3372435 3374711 3375406 3374388 3373164 3374435 3374268 3375375 3372476 3375370 3374982 3374144 3374423 3375821 3375361 3375100 3372569 3375513 3374715 3375394 3374330 3375394 3374693 3375549 3375891 3374153 3375802 3374477 3374756 3374730 3372547 3375199 3374415 3374768 3374145 3374131 3375839 3375109 3375313 3375299 3373018 3375847 3375168 3372494 3374824 3374999 3373825 3375443 3375225 3372417 3373397 3372629 3374020 3372948 3373052 3372977 3375761 3372660 3374983 3373054 3374018 3372132 3373416 3373706 3375097 3372739 3374452 3374386 3375804 3373141 3374306 3372767 126.4 39.8 112.5 111.4 80.7 66.4 80.4 119.3 62.8 154.5 114.3 126.3 112.6 176.7 127.3 118.8 57.2 121.9 38.7 124.6 118.5 112.5 105.6 96.2 71.0 75.5 168.7 104.5 81.7 49.9 87.1 117.6 113.2 155.6 109.3 85.8 49.8 141.9 117.6 87.1 141.2 145.8 115.1 74.0 113.2 156.8 117.7 97.1 165.1 77.0 71.0 103.8 150.4 117.6 120.2 107.5 96.5 108.7 107.4 78.8 85.8 150.6 85.9 121.8 95.0 102.4 170.6 157.4 58.1 115.9 111.8 101.8 356.1 0.0 325.8 272.7 1.6 276.0 291.7 286.8 160.0 269.3 248.7 276.3 258.8 221.8 268.3 169.1 3.8 267.4 183.3 262.5 268.8 203.8 311.1 302.3 265.6 260.5 294.7 180.0 206.5 221.4 137.1 32.4 254.9 249.2 325.9 269.1 190.4 128.7 289.7 131.7 16.9 256.0 155.1 49.2 225.0 89.5 215.0 218.2 168.8 14.7 260.2 358.6 127.7 238.4 202.5 309.2 237.3 154.1 163.1 287.8 139.3 47.2 229.7 188.0 13.7 230.0 292.1 261.1 180.0 0.1 270.0 202.4 3.9 0.4 5.6 0.2 6.8 0.5 7.1 0.4 7.5 0.7 8.0 0.6 8.1 0.4 8.2 0.4 10.4 0.6 10.5 0.8 10.5 1.0 10.8 0.7 10.8 0.5 10.9 0.5 11.2 0.9 11.4 1.0 11.4 0.9 11.5 0.4 11.5 1.0 11.6 0.6 11.7 0.5 12.0 0.7 12.0 0.8 12.3 0.5 12.4 1.6 12.5 0.9 12.5 1.2 12.6 0.4 12.7 0.6 12.7 0.7 12.7 0.6 12.8 0.9 12.9 0.8 13.1 0.8 13.3 1.2 13.5 0.6 14.0 0.9 14.2 0.6 14.2 0.6 14.3 1.1 14.5 0.9 14.6 0.5 14.7 0.6 14.7 1.0 14.8 0.6 14.8 1.0 14.9 0.7 15.0 0.5 15.0 0.7 15.2 1.1 15.4 1.2 15.6 1.6 15.6 1.2 15.8 1.0 16.0 0.9 16.3 1.7 16.6 2.3 16.7 0.7 16.9 0.8 17.0 0.8 17.0 1.3 17.2 0.8 17.5 0.7 17.7 1.0 17.9 0.9 17.9 1.3 18.0 0.7 18.1 0.9 18.2 1.0 18.3 2.1 18.5 0.9 18.6 1.0 0.89 0.98 0.91 0.92 0.86 0.87 0.94 0.91 0.94 0.85 0.78 0.88 0.93 0.93 0.79 0.83 0.84 0.95 0.88 0.93 0.93 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.64 0.86 0.78 0.95 0.92 0.94 0.91 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.81 0.90 0.90 0.93 0.92 0.83 0.86 0.95 0.92 0.95 0.92 0.82 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.79 0.84 0.68 0.82 0.86 0.88 0.76 0.57 0.91 0.87 0.93 0.80 0.90 0.94 0.85 0.90 0.78 0.92 0.87 0.90 0.64 0.87 0.87 8 of 18 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 F01027 Table 1. (continued) Profile Eastinga (m) Northinga (m) Length (m) Directionb (deg) 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 694902 694778 697632 695978 697263 696294 695678 696431 693702 695378 695570 695100 695981 695889 695222 695914 695678 694019 695577 694570 698322 696529 695757 694305 695616 697473 696924 696458 694184 695382 697321 695492 693658 697096 694040 694528 695543 694615 693855 693739 693857 695769 693751 694955 694260 693794 697731 695575 693874 697127 695015 695645 694367 695886 693941 694242 694866 696850 694385 693746 697521 694300 695708 695519 694927 695970 694984 693693 693970 695511 695132 695052 3373761 3374417 3374033 3375009 3375024 3374595 3374493 3374761 3374429 3375682 3373064 3374707 3375002 3375819 3374702 3374497 3374497 3374874 3372707 3374304 3374226 3373944 3375866 3374302 3372690 3375122 3372927 3374788 3374452 3373387 3375967 3372696 3374855 3375838 3374219 3373081 3374720 3373240 3372760 3372815 3374414 3373883 3374438 3372405 3375742 3374785 3374846 3373283 3374345 3375107 3374714 3374791 3375926 3373977 3374276 3375835 3373431 3373883 3372832 3375004 3374042 3375528 3374802 3372707 3374707 3373089 3373890 3374686 3372641 3373884 3374705 3375161 88.5 144.1 161.4 72.1 74.3 79.4 119.8 116.1 85.4 136.8 128.1 95.3 135.0 199.2 52.8 109.3 99.1 119.9 79.6 90.8 165.3 107.7 200.9 94.1 80.0 87.8 108.0 122.8 64.2 127.4 114.5 95.8 54.2 87.5 80.2 117.4 65.2 109.1 70.4 93.1 45.8 85.5 105.0 92.2 89.0 130.3 148.9 124.2 91.3 116.5 90.1 96.8 85.7 124.9 105.1 76.3 50.6 150.6 91.9 102.3 88.0 102.5 100.1 103.6 94.8 158.5 163.3 61.0 123.1 100.0 101.3 84.1 154.2 265.9 358.5 105.5 329.9 19.9 345.1 279.5 273.5 310.8 183.2 256.8 106.0 272.6 275.7 220.2 37.6 310.8 86.5 322.5 276.4 358.8 185.7 272.1 5.2 253.6 273.6 344.3 289.0 279.8 189.5 114.4 141.1 331.7 204.3 306.6 274.3 305.1 264.1 211.2 188.8 175.3 275.7 173.9 179.8 325.9 168.1 187.9 219.2 213.9 278.9 283.8 276.1 85.6 241.3 180.0 87.2 116.5 87.0 156.8 95.8 173.0 283.0 85.2 282.5 352.8 93.4 178.6 239.4 352.0 275.9 82.9 9 of 18 Lc (m) 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.9 18.9 18.9 19.0 19.3 19.7 19.8 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.9 21.0 21.1 21.1 21.2 21.2 21.3 21.3 21.8 22.3 22.3 22.4 22.5 22.5 22.6 22.7 22.8 22.8 22.9 22.9 23.0 23.0 23.1 23.2 23.2 23.4 23.6 23.8 24.1 24.4 24.9 25.2 25.6 26.1 26.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 26.5 26.7 26.7 26.8 26.9 26.9 27.3 27.4 27.4 27.5 27.8 28.4 28.5 28.7 28.9 29.0 29.2 1.2 0.7 1.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.3 0.8 2.0 1.4 1.3 0.7 2.7 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.7 0.8 1.3 1.0 1.8 1.4 2.1 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 Estimatedd R2 0.79 0.94 0.70 0.87 0.82 0.77 0.86 0.81 0.93 0.67 0.78 0.80 0.93 0.67 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.83 0.74 0.92 0.81 0.88 0.79 0.76 0.65 0.85 0.76 0.87 0.95 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.94 0.90 0.91 0.88 0.82 0.94 0.90 0.87 0.92 0.92 0.81 0.71 0.65 0.94 0.86 0.81 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.95 0.77 0.76 0.78 0.88 0.86 0.96 0.86 0.83 0.91 0.84 0.82 0.82 0.85 0.91 0.84 0.91 0.85 0.87 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 F01027 Table 1. (continued) Profile Eastinga (m) Northinga (m) Length (m) Directionb (deg) Lc (m) Estimatedd R2 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 694085 696346 695153 693725 694111 695423 697213 698063 697786 693888 694806 694455 694993 694170 693785 695414 698574 696449 694307 697909 695036 693963 697369 694473 696119 697203 694955 697326 695255 693679 694079 695911 693897 694303 695276 696762 698217 694662 694282 696086 694054 697102 694058 693823 697811 698688 698728 696499 693960 695958 695287 693555 694174 696852 696415 694552 698172 3375586 3373895 3373352 3374952 3374195 3374592 3375354 3374277 3374798 3372699 3375130 3372557 3372948 3374967 3375079 3373969 3374245 3374029 3375579 3374926 3374393 3375055 3375458 3374609 3373497 3373642 3372577 3375434 3373873 3374741 3372477 3373928 3375764 3374736 3374905 3375111 3374284 3374543 3374701 3374848 3375658 3375291 3375659 3372839 3375059 3374271 3374274 3375017 3372786 3373398 3374905 3375466 3374600 3373361 3373224 3374772 3374932 98.3 147.8 112.5 114.1 67.2 109.1 95.7 124.3 106.1 94.0 70.8 154.4 122.7 63.9 120.5 126.8 157.7 107.3 100.5 97.3 108.6 94.6 107.5 48.6 96.2 175.7 106.2 86.4 213.3 92.4 166.2 150.8 97.9 93.0 102.7 103.0 81.6 100.0 122.9 79.0 117.6 97.9 98.9 101.0 123.6 97.4 71.7 95.8 128.7 116.4 93.4 118.0 128.8 133.5 126.5 123.1 102.2 25.0 183.1 326.9 158.5 5.3 194.9 133.9 180.7 327.8 228.2 123.1 0.0 280.2 1.1 88.8 80.4 254.2 66.6 173.7 298.2 338.4 53.9 90.0 94.1 276.9 315.0 115.4 118.7 128.5 176.9 189.3 11.9 15.1 149.5 124.4 30.5 288.8 277.0 153.2 276.4 82.3 99.8 48.6 33.2 190.3 258.5 262.2 299.4 45.8 323.2 75.8 24.7 91.6 24.9 247.0 98.4 248.0 29.6 2.0 29.7 0.8 30.3 1.1 30.5 1.0 30.5 1.8 31.0 0.8 31.3 1.4 31.4 1.6 32.0 2.1 32.5 1.4 32.5 2.3 32.8 4.7 33.4 3.1 33.4 1.4 33.5 1.2 33.6 2.1 33.8 1.7 33.9 2.2 34.1 1.8 34.2 2.4 34.5 1.4 35.2 1.8 35.3 2.3 36.2 2.8 36.7 1.6 36.7 2.9 36.9 4.0 38.1 2.7 38.3 2.7 39.3 1.4 39.5 2.3 39.6 1.4 41.3 1.9 44.0 3.1 45.8 3.7 46.6 5.3 47.1 4.2 47.7 2.6 49.0 2.8 49.0 4.6 51.8 3.8 52.2 3.1 52.8 4.8 54.3 2.5 55.9 3.0 58.1 3.2 58.4 4.5 62.4 4.1 64.1 3.9 68.8 5.9 70.8 6.0 71.3 4.3 73.0 5.2 73.6 5.0 75.9 8.3 107.3 7.5 149.6 26.1 0.76 0.92 0.89 0.95 0.85 0.95 0.87 0.88 0.73 0.90 0.79 0.51 0.75 0.93 0.91 0.81 0.80 0.77 0.83 0.74 0.87 0.84 0.73 0.82 0.86 0.68 0.54 0.73 0.75 0.91 0.80 0.87 0.84 0.74 0.67 0.55 0.70 0.79 0.80 0.66 0.71 0.77 0.63 0.85 0.75 0.80 0.78 0.75 0.72 0.60 0.64 0.71 0.66 0.67 0.48 0.64 0.28 a UTM zone 16N. Measured counterclockwise from east. c Mean standard error. d The correlation coefficient is undefined for robust regression. The estimated R2 listed here is less than or equal to the value that would be obtained from ordinary least squares regression. b transport law, the exercise in Figure 4 demonstrates that this approach can yield good estimates of L even for profiles in which nonlinear effects are significant. Moreover, preliminary analyses not presented here indicated that the curvature values required to apply equation (16), which is valid for the nonlinear transport law, were sufficiently noisy that they introduced a larger source of uncertainty in our estimates of L than the use of equation (9). [24] We used the procedure described in section 3.2 to determine L for each profile. Slopes were calculated at each point, except profile endpoints, with second-order finite difference approximations, and 1/L was determined from the 10 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES Figure 6. Photographs of hillslopes above sapping channel tips in the Apalachicola Bluffs near Bristol, Florida. (a) Sandy slopes more than 100 m from the channel are concave down and slope gently toward the channel. Timber farming has altered the vegetation cover. (b) Slopes closer to the channel are steeper. Note people for scale on the right in the middle distance of both images. slope of an iteratively reweighted least squares regression of ln S against x. The standard error of the regression slope provided an estimate of the uncertainty in 1/L. Steep sections with nearly constant slope at the downslope ends of some of the profiles suggested significant nonlinear transport effects, and were excluded from the regressions. Sections with nearly constant slopes of approximately zero at the upslope ends of some profiles suggested that those portions of the plain have not responded significantly to the propagating channel tips, and were also excluded. Our approach for estimating L is conceptually similar to that of Abrams et al. [2009], who used the radius of curvature of the valley rim as an order-of-magnitude estimate of K/v. The expressions derived here demonstrate the basis for the ratio they obtained by dimensional analysis. [25] L values for the 201 analyzed profiles are listed in Table 1, and the frequency distribution is plotted in Figure 7. L is lognormally distributed, with a mode of =rs ¼ 1 , a reasonable approxiapproximately 20 m. For r mation for the sands of the Citronelle Formation, and a typical transport coefficient of K = 0.01 m2/yr for weakly cohesive sediment in a humid environment [Nash, 1980; F01027 Hanks et al., 1984; Rosenbloom and Anderson, 1994; Fernandes and Dietrich, 1997; Small et al., 1999; Hanks, 2000], this would correspond to a modal channel tip velocity of 0.5 mm/yr, with 95% of the velocities faster than 0.17 mm/yr and 95% slower than 0.95 mm/yr. Given the one-dimensional approximation used in our model, it is likely that our calculations underestimate L, and therefore overestimate channel tip velocities. However, the analysis in section 3 suggests that this systematic error is unlikely to exceed 10% (Figure 4). Our estimates of L may also be biased by channel tips that are slowing down or speeding up, resulting in hillslope profiles that are not representative of the present-day migration speed. However, the observation that most measured profiles follow the predicted log linear steady state relationship between slope and horizontal distance (see section 4.3) suggests that this bias is not substantial. Another way to assess the potential for nonsteady state profiles is to compare the response time of the hillslope profiles to the timescale for channel network growth. Using the values of K = 0.01 m2/yr and v = 0.5 mm/yr estimated above, the diffusion time for a hillslope with z∞ = 20 m is z2∞/K = 40 kyr, whereas the time required to grow a tributary with a length ‘ = 500 m (Figure 5) is ‘/v = 1 Myr. Hillslopes that experience nonlinear transport due to fast-moving tips have an even larger effective diffusivity, and a shorter diffusion time. We therefore expect that hillslopes respond rapidly compared with the growth of the channel network, and that hillslope profiles will be close to a steady state even for channel tips that are gradually slowing down or speeding up. As noted above, profiles that contained clear deviations from the predicted steady state form were not included in our analysis. [26] Abrams et al. [2009] used a growth model for the channel network based on a steady state groundwater flow field to estimate channel tip velocities. Their reconstruction suggests that tip velocities averaged over the entire 1 Myr history of the channel network were as fast as 5.3 mm/yr, but that channel tips have slowed to an average of about 0.5 mm/yr over the past 10 kyr as channel tips have approached one another and competition for groundwater Figure 7. Frequency distribution of L inferred from the 201 hillslope profiles in Figure 9. 11 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES Figure 8. Comparison of analytical solutions with topographic profiles upslope of channel tips. (a) Dimensionless elevation profiles (compare with Figure 2a). Profile 130 is compared with the solution for the linear transport law (equation (6), solid line), and profile 3 is compared with the solution for the nonlinear law (equation (12) with Sc = 1.2 and z∞ = 16.5 m, dashed line). Locations and statistics for the profiles are listed in Table 1. (b and c) Plots of ln S against horizontal distance, with horizontal scales chosen such that each point appears at the same horizontal position as it does in Figure 8a. Points with negative slope are not shown. Regression lines, which ignore constant-slope sections at the ends of the profiles, are used to determine L from equation (9). has intensified. Abrams et al. [2009] used a slightly higher transport coefficient of 0.02 m2/yr to arrive at their estimates. This K value would increase our modal channel tip velocity to 1 mm/yr. Thus, our estimates of channel tip velocities based on hillslope profiles are slightly faster than the estimates of Abrams et al. [2009] and an estimate of “an inch or two per century” for other Florida sapping channels cited by Schumm et al. [1995], but are still consistent with these previous estimates to within a factor of two. 4.3. Comparison With Analytical Models [27] Having estimated L for each profile, we calculated the corresponding analytical solution from equation (6) and compared it with the measured profile. For profiles with F01027 nearly straight sections at the downslope end, we also calculated the analytical solution for the nonlinear transport law, using the value of z∞ determined from the regression and a value of Sc = 1.2, which we estimated from the distribution of measured slopes. Figure 8a shows two endmember profiles: profile 130, with L = 26.7 1.0, which is well described by the solution for the linear law, and profile 3, with L = 6.8 0.5, one of the shortest measured L values, which is best described by the solution for the nonlinear law. Both profiles are very similar to the analytical solutions. When the profiles are plotted in dimensionless coordinates, the effect of L on the profile shape noted earlier in Figure 2a is apparent: profiles with longer L approach z/z∞ = 1 at smaller x/L, whereas profiles with shorter L have a straight section where S ≈ Sc that causes a more gradual approach to z/z∞ = 1. In dimensional coordinates (not shown in Figure 8), the profile with shorter L is steeper, and approaches z∞ at a shorter distance, as in the dashed profiles in Figure 2b. [28] In addition to the elevation profiles, another test of whether the analytical solutions are a good description of the measured profiles is the goodness of fit of the regression line used to determine 1/L. Figures 8b and 8c show the fits for profiles 130 and 3, respectively. Both profiles contain points that deviate from the predicted trend at one or both ends, as noted in section 4.2, and at slight irregularities in the profiles, but both contain a section that is reasonably well described by a linear trend in ln S versus x space. Table 1 lists estimated correlation coefficients, R2, for the linear fits. Although the example profiles shown in Figure 8 are among the “cleanest” matches to the analytical solutions, in the sense that they contain few topographic irregularities, the table shows that most of the other profiles have comparable goodness of fit. 5. Discussion 5.1. Analysis of Spatial Trends in Hillslope Form [29] The model proposed for sapping channel network development, in which channel growth and deflection of the groundwater flow field are linked though a positive feedback [Dunne, 1980; Howard, 1988; Abrams et al., 2009], implies that transient rates of channel growth may vary considerably across a groundwater sapping landscape. Our hillslope retreat model predicts that such variations in channel migration rates should be recorded in the morphology of hillslopes above channel heads. To search for such trends, we examined the spatial distribution of the L values determined in section 4.2. Figure 9 plots the quantity v r 1 ¼ L rs K ð19Þ over a shaded relief map of the sapping channel network. =rs is nearly constant across the site, a reaProvided that r sonable assumption for the uniform sands of the Citronelle Formation, larger values of 1/L indicate either rapidly advancing channel tips (fast v), or less efficient soil transport (small K). [30] Two main trends are apparent in Figure 9. First, adjacent valley networks can have different distributions of 1/L. For example, Figure 10a compares distributions of 1/L 12 of 18 Figure 9. Map of 1/L for hillslopes above channel tips. Black lines mark the locations of measured profiles and point in the inferred direction of channel propagation. Points mark the channel tips and have areas proportional to 1/L and colors proportional to log10 1/L. F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES 13 of 18 F01027 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES Figure 10. (a) Histograms of 1/L for hillslope profiles in the two complete valley networks in the study area (see Figures 5 and 9). The modes of the two distributions are similar, but the northern valley network has more hillslopes with very large 1/L. (b) Histograms of 1/L for north facing and south facing hillslope profiles in the study area. North facing slopes have a larger mean value of log10 (1/L) than south facing slopes (one-tailed t test, p = 0.00025). for the two networks that lie completely within the laser altimetry coverage. The northern network has a more lognormal distribution, with numerous hillslopes with large values of 1/L, whereas the southern network has a distribution skewed toward smaller 1/L. It is possible that variations in the characteristics of the sand cause a gradient in K across the site, but we observed no evidence of such differences in the field. The more likely explanation is that the northern network is growing faster, perhaps because the southern network developed earlier and its outermost channel tips slowed sooner. The fact that the northern network also appears to have a higher density of active channel tips, as indicated by the larger number of measurable profiles despite the smaller overall area of the network (Figures 9 and 10), also supports this idea. [31] The second and more surprising trend revealed by Figure 9 is that tips growing southward (which form F01027 hillslopes that face northward) have larger average 1/L. A comparison of distributions of 1/L between north facing and south facing hillslopes confirms this observation (Figure 10b). This could indicate either that channels grow southward faster than they grow northward, or that north facing hillslopes have less efficient hillslope transport than south facing hillslopes. The former explanation is less plausible. Although water availability appears to have a significant effect on channel tip propagation rates [Abrams et al., 2009; Petroff et al., 2011], it seems unlikely that differences in evaporation on the steep slopes immediately upslope of springs would have a large enough impact on spring discharge to slow northward migrating channels, because springs are fed by deeper flow from a larger area that is mostly flat. None of the recent studies of sapping valley networks in the Florida Panhandle have reported structural heterogeneities in the Citronelle Formation that would have driven asymmetric tributary growth. The orientation of the main valleys appears to be controlled by the overall direction of groundwater flow, which is toward the Apalachicola River and its tributaries (Figure 5). Moreover, the valley networks lack the asymmetry of tributary lengths one would expect to see if southern tributaries have been growing faster for a prolonged interval. [32] The more plausible explanation for the asymmetry is that K varies with slope aspect. Many studies have presented evidence that microclimates produced by differences in solar radiation can influence the long-term efficiencies of erosional processes [e.g., Kane, 1970; Pierce and Colman, 1986; Burnett et al., 2008; Istanbulluoglu et al., 2008; Yetemen et al., 2010], such that landscapes with strong microclimates often have asymmetric topography [e.g., Bass, 1929; Emery, 1947; Dohrenwend, 1978]. In particular, Pierce and Colman [1986] documented faster regolith creep rates on equator-facing terrace scarps on alluvial fans than on pole-facing scarps, the same sense of asymmetry in K implied by our measurements. In the Apalachicola Bluffs, we observed pronounced aspect-related differences in vegetation in some parts of the landscape, with south facing slopes dominated by an open canopy of conifers, and north facing slopes covered by deciduous trees with denser undergrowth. It is not certain how this difference in vegetation would affect soil transport rates, but the likely role of bioturbation and the potential inhibition of mass wasting by root cohesion suggest that there could be important effects [Dietrich and Perron, 2006]. A difference in K is also consistent with the asymmetric cross sections of east-west trending valleys, which typically have gentler northern side slopes and steeper southern side slopes (Figure 11). Although valley walls may experience some retreat because of minor seepage after they are initially created by an advancing channel tip, the dominant effect appears to be gradual relaxation of the initial walls, as recorded by the progressively gentler slopes on both sides of the valleys as they approach their junction with the Apalachicola floodplain (Figure 11). The asymmetric cross sections are therefore likely to be the product of different transport efficiencies rather than different seepage-driven retreat rates. 5.2. Broader Applications of Hillslope Retreat Models [33] Although the example of sapping channels is specific to a certain landscape, the model for retreating hillslopes 14 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 Figure 11. (a) Shaded relief map showing locations of transects across the two main valleys. (b) Elevation profiles along transects in Figure 11a. presented here has broader applicability. In principle, it can describe any sediment-mantled slope bounding a nearly level surface in which sediment that reaches the base of the slope is removed. This can include plateaus being dissected by growing drainage networks, valley walls or channel banks, and scarps of various scales. [34] We have demonstrated several applications of the model. First, it can describe the equilibrium shapes of retreating slopes (Figure 8a), and it provides a dimensionless framework that allows comparisons among slope forms with different absolute scales (Figures 2a and 8a). Second, it predicts relationships among horizontal distance, elevation, slope, and curvature that should occur at steady state (section 2). The linear trends in Figures 8b and 8c demonstrate one of these relationships. Third, these linear relationships can be used to infer the ratio of the soil transport coefficient to the base level retreat speed via the length scale L. If one of these two parameters can be constrained independently, the hillslope profile can be used to infer the other. Finally, we have demonstrated how variability in hillslope form throughout a landscape can reveal spatial trends in relative rates of landscape evolution, even if the absolute rates are unknown. In the case of the sapping valley networks of the Apalachicola Bluffs, the hillslope profiles above channel tips act as relative speedometers for valley network growth. The resulting map (Figure 9) provides a snapshot of transient channel network evolution, and also highlights variability in the hillslope response to this 15 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES F01027 that would be required to distinguish between these proposed formation mechanisms, particularly since valley networks with sapping-like characteristics have been shown to form through other mechanisms [Lamb et al., 2006, 2007, 2008]. [36] To determine whether it is possible to distinguish hillslopes driven by horizontal and vertical base level motion solely on the basis of morphology, we compared the steady state solutions derived in section 2 with a numerical model of transient hillslope evolution in response to vertical channel incision into a level plateau. Beginning with a level surface, the left boundary was lowered at a fixed rate, and the elevations of the other points on the grid evolved according to ∂z ∂q ¼ ; ∂t ∂x Figure 12. Comparison of steady state solutions for horizontally retreating hillslopes (solid black lines) with transient numerical solutions for hillslopes responding to vertical base level lowering (gray circles) for (a) the linear soil transport law, equation (2), and (b) the nonlinear soil transport law, equation (10). The dashed line is the initial condition for the numerical model and z∞ for the analytical solutions. Parameters used in the numerical model were K = 0.01 m2/yr, Dx = 1 m, Dt = 10 years, and a boundary lowering rate of 0.1 mm/yr, with profiles shown at t = 25, 50, 75, and 100 kyr (Figure 12a), and K = 0.01 m2/yr, Sc = 1, Dx = 1 m, Dt = 10 years, and a boundary lowering rate of 1 mm/yr, with profiles shown at t = 2.5, 5, 7.5, and 10 kyr (Figure 12b). The solid line in Figure 12a is equation (6) with L = 25 m, and the solid line in Figure 12b is equation (12) with L = 6 m. forcing, such as possible microclimatic control of soil transport coefficients. [35] Another potential application that we have not explored in this paper is determining whether a hillslope has developed in response to horizontal or vertical base level change. For example, an analysis of hillslope profiles like that in section 4 might be a way to test whether a valley network has been incised by vertical incision of stream profiles or by approximately horizontal propagation of channel tips by groundwater sapping. Such an approach would be particularly useful in planetary settings, where observations of erosional mechanisms are generally not available. It has been proposed, for example, that some of the fluvial networks on Saturn’s moon Titan, which appear to have short tributaries with orthogonal junction angles, formed through sapping erosion driven by subsurface flow of liquid hydrocarbons [Tomasko et al., 2005; Soderblom et al., 2007; Jaumann et al., 2010], whereas adjacent fluvial networks have characteristics more consistent with surface incision driven by channelized flow [Perron et al., 2006]. Although no topographic maps suitable for measuring high-resolution hillslope profiles currently exist for Titan, it is useful to consider the topographic measurements ð20Þ where q, the volume flux per unit width, is given by either the linear transport law, equation (2), or the nonlinear transport law, equation (10). Equation (20) was solved using a forward time, centered space (FTCS) finite difference method, producing the transient hillslope profiles in Figure 12. For each of the final profiles, we chose z∞ to be the total lowering of the base level below the initial plateau, and identified a value of L for which the steady state analytical solution for a horizontally retreating hillslope (equation (6) or (12)) closely matched the numerical solution. The comparison in Figure 12 demonstrates that the transient profiles driven by vertical base level lowering and the steady state solutions for horizontal retreat are difficult to distinguish from one another for both the linear and nonlinear transport laws. In principle, the two could be distinguished by subtle differences in slope and the second derivative, because the vertically lowering profiles do not follow the relationships in equations (7), (8), (16) and (17). In practice, these differences are sufficiently subtle that they would be difficult to resolve with field data. It is possible that the two-dimensional form of hillslopes responding to vertical lowering of a channel head may be more easily distinguished from hillslopes responding to a horizontally advancing channel head, but such a comparison is beyond the scope of this paper. [37] Given this difficulty, a more practical way to distinguish valleys formed by horizontally advancing channel networks from those formed by vertical incision would be to compare downstream trends in valley cross-sectional form. Valleys formed by horizontally advancing channel networks should have nearly uniform depth but progressive relaxation of valley sidewalls with downstream distance (Figure 11), because the valley floor experiences little erosion after the passage of advancing channel heads. In contrast, valleys formed by vertical incision should deepen more substantially downstream, because locations further downstream generally receive more fluid discharge and erode faster. 6. Conclusions [38] We have presented analytical solutions for the equilibrium topographic profiles of hillslopes retreating into a level plain in response to a horizontally migrating base level. The profiles have an exponential form, with the hillslope 16 of 18 F01027 PERRON AND HAMON: RETREATING HILLSLOPES grading up to the elevation of the plain at a rate described by an e-folding length L, which is proportional to the ratio of the soil diffusivity to the base level migration speed. The shape of the profile differs if soil transport rate increases nonlinearly with the topographic gradient, but the solutions converge as L increases. By transforming the analytical solutions into linear relationships among distance, elevation, slope and curvature, it is possible to infer L from regression analyses of measured hillslope profiles. We compared the analytical solutions with a numerical model of a retreating hillslope, and found that it is possible to estimate L to within 10% of the true value even if the migrating base level creates a two-dimensional hillslope form, such as a convergent hollow above an advancing channel tip. The growth of groundwater sapping channel networks in the Florida Panhandle has created many hillslopes with this form, and we used our analytical model to infer L for the hillslopes above 201 channel tips in an area adjacent to the Apalachicola River that has been surveyed by airborne laser altimetry. The measured profiles closely match the profiles predicted by the analytical model, and illustrate the transition between the forms predicted by the linear and nonlinear transport laws. By combining the measured L values with a typical soil diffusivity, we estimate a modal channel growth rate of 0.5 mm/yr, consistent with, but slightly faster than, previous estimates. A map of 1/L for all the surveyed hillslopes reveals that adjacent channel networks appear to be growing at different rates, and that south facing slopes experience more efficient soil transport. Beyond this specific example, the hillslope retreat model should apply to any retreating, sediment-mantled slope on the edge of a level surface where material reaching the base of the slope is removed. [40] Acknowledgments. We thank D. Rothman, A. Petroff, D. Abrams, A. Lobkovsky, and O. Devauchelle for the invitation to participate in fieldwork at the Apalachicola Bluffs and Ravines Preserve and for sharing the laser altimetry map, which was acquired under contract by the National Center for Airborne Laser Mapping (NCALM). We also thank the Nature Conservancy for granting access to the site. 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