Mapping Nutritional Resources Across Landscapes: Why, How, Results John and Rachel Cook Photo: Scott McCorquodale Elk Herds Declined (1990s) _ Herd _Blue Mountains (WA) Olympics (WA) Nooksack (WA) North Rainier (WA) South Rainier (WA) Blue Mountains (OR) Clearwater Basin (ID) Change 30% Decline 30% Decline 80% Decline 50-70% Decline 30-50% Decline 25% Decline 25% Decline Cow Summer Body Fat Dynamics 18 2.9 Kcal DE /g (64% DDM) Percent Body Fat 16 14 Began Nutrition Treatments Began nutrition treatments 12 2.65 Kcal DE/g (58% DDM) 10 8 6 2.40 Kcal DE/g (53% DDM) High Medium Low 4 2 March June October Cumulative Breeding (%) Autumn Breeding Dynamics 100 High Nutr. 80 60 Medium Nutr. 40 20 Low Nutr. 0 20 Sep 4 Oct 18 Oct 1 Nov 27 Sep 11 Oct 25 Oct 8 Nov Breeding Date (Julian day) 300 Probability of Breeding 1.0 0.8 0.6 1997 0.4 1996 0.2 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 Total Body Fat (%) 25 y = 266.7 x 1.5543 (1/x) 290 280 270 260 5 10 15 20 Total Body Fat (%) 25 Calf Growth and Winter Survival 1997 100 80 High Nutr. Body Mass (kg) 120 100 Medium Nutr. 80 Low Nutr. 60 40 20 27 Aug 26 Oct 60 40 20 y = -109.9 + 3.1656x - 0.0120088x 2 2 r = 0.63; P < 0.001 0 60 80 100 120 140 120 140 1998 100 80 y = 4.1 + 0.479x r 2 = 0.38; P < 0.001 60 40 20 Weaned 1 Jul Days of Winter Survived (no.) 140 26 Dec 0 60 80 100 Beginning Body Mass (kg) Documenting Patterns of Nutritional Limitations in Wild Herds 22 elk herds in 5 states 12 years (1998 to 2010) Twice/year captures ~ 3,000 elk sampled Wild Elk Capture Nooksack Forks Chehalis Val. Wynoochee Green River White River Pe Ell Data Collected: Colockum Ø Body fat Ø Age Ø Pregnancy status Ø Lactation status Ø Weight Ø Blood, fecal samples Yakima South Rainier Hanford Mount St. Helens Wenaha Sled Springs Springfield Roseburg Yellowstone Cody, Wyoming Black Hills, South Dakota Rocky Mtn Nat’l Park, Colorado Rocky Mtn National Park San Luis Valley, Colorado Autumn Body Fat of Lactating Wild Elk Cows Autumn body fat (%) 15 Coastal Plains and Foothills Cascade Foothills and Mountains Inland Northwest Central Rocky Mountains Adequate nutrition Adequate nutrition Adequate nutrition Adequate nutrition Highly deficient nutrition Highly deficient nutrition 10 5 Highly deficient nutrition Highly deficient nutrition 0 Rectangle denotes 1 herd; Each dot represents 1 year of data; Vertical lines are + 1 S.E. Pregnancy Rates of Lactating Cow Elk 95%(3) 64%(2) 53%(2) 74%(2) Black Hills, SD: 82% (all,1) 66%(all,4) 78%(7) 80%(2) Rocky Mtn. NP, CO: 78% (1) San Luis Val., CO: 88% (2) 86%(3) 86%(2) 79%(4) 50% (all,2) 80%(2) 89%(2) 71%(2) 90%(6) 88%(2) Reject the hypothesis that nutritional influences are of little or no practical relevance and the hypothesis that summer nutrition is ubiquitously satisfactory and thus is of little or no practical relevance Instead, The relevant questions are how severe, where, why, and what can be done about it? General DDE – Animal Performance Relationships Percent of maximum 120 Poor Poor Marginal Marginal Good Good Excellent Excellent <2.4 (53% DDM) 2.4-2.7 2.7-2.9 >2.9 (64% DDM) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Digestible energy of diets (kcal/gram of food) Calf growth Yearling growth Yearling preg Adult fat Adult preg Breeding times Winter survival Digestible Energy Content of Consumed Forage: Our Nutrition Variable for Resource Mapping DE plays a key, usually dominant role in virtually all life processes and it greatly affects how much food ruminants can eat each day…the “multiplier effect”. There is considerable precedence…National Research Council presents livestock nutritional requirements guidelines several ways, including DE content of food. Integrating Plant Succession, Disturbance, and Elk Nutrition Habitat predictor variables Stand/site characteristics Stand age Animal response variables Understory vegetation characteristics Canopy cover Animal foraging outcomes Bite mass Composition Bite rate BA, QMD, TPH, HT Repro, Surv Biomass Season DDP, DDE DP, DE Climate Foraging time Palatability Soils Performance outcomes Integrating Plant Succession, Disturbance, and Elk Nutrition Macroplots: n = 349 total n = 89 w/elk Nooksack S.A. Willipa Hills S.A. Springfield S.A. Examples of Accepted/Avoided Forage Accepted Forage Selected Forage Neutral Forage Avoided Forage Deciduous shrubs: Big leaf maple Hazelnut Cascara Forbs: Queen’s cup beadlily Northern bedstraw False Solomon’s seal Oxalis Most grasses Deciduous shrubs: Alder Elderberry Salmonberry Many forbs Ferns: Lady fern Evergreen shrubs: Salal Oregon grape Rhododendron Ferns: Deerfern Swordfern Most conifers Digestible Energy of Elk Diets 3.4 Digestible energy (kcal/g) r2 = 0.50-0.55; 3.2 P < 0.001 3.0 2.8 2.6 Maintenance = 2.7 kcal/g 2.4 2.2 MHZ & PSFZ WHZ 2.0 1.8 0 300 600 900 1200 Neutral + selected biomass (kg/ha) 1500 Equations to Predict Dietary Digestible Energy (DDE) n r2adj P MHZ & PSZ Habitats, All Study Areas DDE = a + b1(NeuB) + b2(SelB) – b3(NeuB*SelB) 14 0.43 0.036 WHZ Habitats, Nooksack DDE = a + b1(NeuB) + b2(SelB) – b3(NeuB*SelB) 19 0.39 0.015 WHZ Habitats, Willipa Hills DDE = a + b1(NeuB) + b2(SelB) – b3(NeuB*SelB) 26 0.46 0.001 WHZ Habitats, Springfield DDE = a + b1(NeuB) + b2(SelB) – b3(NeuB*SelB) 28 0.57 0.0001 Equationsa,b a NeuB = Neutral spp biomass; SelB = Selected spp biomass b P < 0.075 individually for each predictor variable. 3.2 Observed DDE (kcal/g) Dietary DE (kcal/g) Prediction Accuracy of DDE Equations Observed Predicted 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 0 25 50 Stand age (years) 75 3.4 r 2 = 0.62 3.2 b = 0.98 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 Predicted DDE (kcal/g) 3.2 All study 3.0 areas 2.8 Observed Nooksack Predicted Willipa Hills 2.6 Springfield All study areas 2.4 2.2 10 10 16 12 16 12 15 Thi nne d Unt hin ned 10 LwCCF LwESS 13 LwCCF LwESS 2 LwCCF LwESS 2.0 Hi-C CF Hi-E SS Dietary DE (kcal/g) Prediction Accuracy of DDE Equations CCF = Closed canopy forest (>65% CC); ESS = Early Seral Stage (<65% CC Hi = High elevation MHZ & PSZ habitats; Lw = Low elevation WHZ habitats) Overstory canopy cover (%) Overstory canopy cover (%) Overstory Canopy Cover Development 100 80 60 Western hemlock zone 40 20 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 100 80 Pacific fir zone 60 40 Mountain hemlock zone 20 0 0 100 200 300 Stand age (years) 400 500 Understory Production (kg/ha) Understory Production (kg/ha) 3,500 Springfield, OR 3,000 Conifer E. Shrub For. Ferns PTAQ Sedge Grass Forb D.Shrub 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1 6 9 3,500 14 18 21 24 30 34 37 40 44 55 58 63 73 92 153 307 479 642 Springfield, OR 3,000 Age > 50 years, Mean “accepted” biomass = 50 kg/ha 2,500 2,000 Avoided Neutral Selected 1,500 1,000 500 0 1 6 9 14 18 21 24 30 34 37 40 44 55 58 63 73 92 153 307 479 642 Stand Age (years) Digestible Energy of Elk Diets Digestible energy (kcal/g) 3.4 Age > 50 years, Mean “accepted” biomass = 50 kg/ha 3.2 3.0 2.8 Maintenance 2.6 2.4 2.2 MHZ & PSFZ WHZ 2.0 1.8 0 300 600 900 1200 Neutral + selected biomass (kg/ha) 1500 Equations to Predict Forage Biomass Groups Equationsa,b n r2adj P MHZ & PSZ Habitats, All Study Areas AccB = a - b1(CC) + b2(CC2) + b3(HWd) 70 0.70 <0.001 NeuB = a - b1(CC) + b3(HWd) 70 0.72 <0.001 SelB = 1/(a + b1*CC) 70 0.30 <0.001 a AccB = accepted spp biomass; NeuB = neutral spp biomass; SelB = selected spp biomass; CC = canopy cover; HWd = hardwood stems. b P < 0.05 individually for each predictor variable. Equations to Predict Forage Biomass Groups n r2adj AccB = a - b1(CC) + b2(CC2) + b3(HWd) 276 0.68 <0.001 NeuB = a - b1(CC) + b2(CC2) + b3(HWd) 276 0.65 <0.001 SelB = a - b1(CC) + b3(HWd) 276 0.46 <0.001 Equationsa,b P WHZ Habitats, By Study Area a AccB = accepted spp biomass; NeuB = neutral spp biomass; SelB = selected spp biomass; CC = canopy cover; HWd = hardwood stems. b P < 0.05 individually for each predictor variable. Western Hemlock Habitats Accepted biomass (kg/ha) 2,500 Nooksack Willipa Hills Springfield 2,000 1,500 Hardwood-riparian stands 1,000 500 0 0 20 40 60 80 Overstory canopy cover (%) 100 Prediction Accuracy of Forage Equations 1,800 Observed Predicted 600 400 200 0 1 5 9 200 100 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 63 69 73 82 107 146 192 307 494 Stand age (years) 900 600 300 0 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 63 69 73 82 107 146 192 307 494 300 r 2 = 0.68 b = 1.00 1,200 600 Observed (kg/ha) Selected spp (kg/ha) 1,500 Stand age (years) 400 0 Observed (kg/ha) Neutral spp (kg/ha) 800 500 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Predicted (kg/ha) 2 r = 0.45 b = 1.00 400 300 200 100 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Predicted (kg/ha) Prediction Accuracy of Forage Equations Observed Predicted-1 Predicted-2 3.0 All study areas 2.8 Nooksack Willipa Hills 2.6 Springfield All study areas Thinn ed Unth inned Lw-E SS Lw-C CF Lw-E SS Lw-C CF Lw-E SS Lw-C CF 2.2 Hi-ES S 2.4 Hi-CC F Dietary DE (kcal/g) 3.2 CCF = Closed canopy forest (>65% CC); ESS = Early Seral Stage (<65% CC) Hi = High elevation MHZ & PSZ habitats; Lw = Low elevation WHZ habitats) Nutrition Succession Trajectories Western Hemlock-Salal Habitats Dietary DE (kcal/g) 3.4 Nooksack 3.2 3.0 Willipa Hills 2.8 Springfield Maintenance 2.6 2.4 2.2 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 Stand Age (years) Nutrition Succession Trajectories Western Hemlock-swordfern Habitats Dietary DE (kcal/g) 3.6 Nooksack 3.4 3.2 Hardwood-riparian 3.0 2.8 Maintenance Springfield Willipa Hills 2.6 2.4 2.2 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Stand Age (years) 400 450 500 550 600 Nutrition Succession Trajectories Mountain Hemlock & Pacific Fir Habitats Dietary DE (kcal/g) 3.4 Nooksack 3.2 3.0 2.8 Willipa Hills Maintenance Springfield 2.6 2.4 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Stand Age (years) 350 400 450 500 Pacific Fir & Mtn Hemlock Zones Percent of Area 80 60 40 20 Percent of Area 0 Percent of Area Poor 80 Marginal Good Excellent Oregon Cascades 60 40 20 0 80 Poor Marginal Good Excellent Washington Coast Range 60 40 20 0 Percent of Area Washington Cascades Poor 80 Marginal Good Excellent Oregon Coast Range 60 40 20 0 Poor Marginal Good Excellent Location: Preg%; BF% Nooksack: 95%; 13% Forks: 64%; 6% Wynoochee: 53%; 6% Green River: 78%; 10% White River: 86%; 11% Willipa Hills: 74%; 6% Mount St. Helens: 70%; ?% Springfield: 80%; 10% Suislaw: 50%; ~5% Steamboat: 88%; 7% Toketee: 69%; 9%