COSYNA-Workshop Review Part II and Future Plans The Cosynnians 26./27. November 2014 / Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht From Measurements to Products, Information, and Science An integrated approach: • Measurement data • from a variety of platforms • Products • from a combination of measurements and numerical models (data assimilation • Data • publically available through data portals • Information • provided in usable form for stakeholders and the public • Science • use of all of the above to tackle scientific questions COSYNA –Products (synoptic maps) Observations Model Assimilation Real Time Mon. Means Mod.Only Obs..&Model Products Currents Sea State Temperature Salinity Wind Susp. Matter ( ) Chlorophyll ( ) CDOM ( ) Experimental Products POC, POM DOC Produktivity Ship Recognition Existing Med.-Term Long-Term Transects along FBox-Routes Data System COSYNA Data Portal Introduce a user questionnaire that users who access the COSYNA web-portal have to fill in to provide information on institutional background and intended data use 5 Architektur des Datenportals DOD/BSH COSYNA AWI-Bathy Data Portal German Marine Research Data Access Datenprovider PANGAEA GEOMAR HZG MARUM DOIs → Elsevier Harvester PublikationsRepositorien epic-AWI Index Feature Catalogue * Expedition Catalogue Interfaces * Harmonisierung von Vokabularien, Ontologien Data Usage Download of COSYNA Data per Country for 2012 Interaktion mit Nutzern: Ziel & Konzept Bessere Nutzbarmachung von Messungen & Modellfelder in Daten, verschiedener räumlicher & Produkten zeitlicher Auflösung Informationen Wissen Mögliche Nutzer Analyse von Prozessen, Verständnis von Wirkungspfaden über mehrere Skalen • Wissenschaft • Ämter und Behörden • Fischerei • Windparkbetreiber • Naturschutz • Tourismus • Allgemeinheit: Bildung Konzept Interaktion mit Nutzern: COSYNA als Ganzes Interaktion mit Nutzern Machbarkeitsstudien zu Beginn regelmäßige Workshops (2/a) Windpark Workshops 2 Workshops organisiert mit BSH und DWD. Beteiligung von Windpark-Firmen, Wissenschaft und Behörden o Allgemeiner Nutzerworkshop, Nov. 2014 o Workshop zum Thema Seegang und Strömung, Mai 2015 Ziel: o Entwicklung von Produkten zur Unterstützung der OffshoreWindenergie o Zusammenarbeit bei Messungen, Nutzung von Infrastruktur, Entwicklung von Messsystemen Christiane Eschenbach (HZG) Mitteilungen nach innen und außen W e b s i t e R e l a COSYNA App Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht: www.cosyna.de Earth System Knowledge Platform (ESKP): www.eskp.de To be added Natureum Website Relaunch Informationsprodukte Folien von Jochen/Götz – Schiffserkennung etc. HF-Radar Ship Detection AIS reports HF tracks Integrated Approach Data Access Introduce a user questionnaire that users who access the COSYNA web-portal have to fill in to provide information on institutional background and intended data use COSYNA-App for apple and android devices: launch 24.11.2014 Topic 4 WP2: COSYNA/coastDat Dialog with users • Windforce 2014 in Bremen • Offshore Wind Workshop, November 2013 and September 2014 • Query with selected users (COSYNA) • REKLIM-Tagung 2014 in Berlin • Tag der Klimawissenschaft, Hamburg • Meeting with coastDat-clients December 2014 and January 2015 17 Offshore Windparks BARD 1 http://www.4coffshore.com Focus on the „Global Coast“ Example: Oxygen-depleted Areas Nordsee Land-Meer-Interaktionen Räumliche und zeitliche Variabilität Trends Events, Risiken 2.2 Milliarden Menschen leben an der Küste (100 km) Photo: NASA www.thedailygreen.com The Global Coast Mission: To evaluate selected typical coastal water bodies in different world regions and their relevance for global processes in cooperation with local partner institutions using a combination of measurements and models adapted to the regions’ characteristic problems and research questions. Methods: Tailored monitoring and analysis strategy using a combination of automated time series (point measurements from buoys, under water nodes or from shore), remote sensing (satellite and radar based) and selected ship cruises, as well as hydrographical and biogeochemical modelling (with adapted complexity, e.g. grid sizes and form, processes etc.). Why a DFG-research group “Beyond 6bft” Recent global projections on the development of the frequency and intensity of strong wind and storm events with severe storm floods predict an 10-20 fold increase of storm surges until 2070 (IPCC, 2007a, b……). Recent local projections (Central Europe and North Sea area) do not show such a development (DWD). Projected temperature changes Projected wind speed Why a project “Beyond 6 bft.” in the area of the North Sea and Baltic? Because of the very difficult methodology of experimental in situ work under high-energy conditions, the knowledge on the environmental status, system behavior and system dynamic of marine coastal ecosystems during phases > 6 Bft. is quite restricted and often based on projections and assumptions. > 6Bft. is the normal status, not the exception! 65 days 300 days http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/helgoland Why a project “Beyond 6 bft.” in the North Sea Coastal area? Optimal pre-requisit for a resilient research project to “high-energy” - environments. 1. Strong wind- and storm events at the German coast are the normality rather than an exception. 2. The frequency and strength of strong wind and storm events at German coastlines is not (yet?) affected by global warming (DWD – but see IPPC). 3. Allows to study basic mechanisms of high-energy environments not (yet?) confounded by the effects of global change? COSYNA pre-operational wave forecasts Since the 11th of November 2014 the forecast period for the COSYNA wave predictions for North Sea and German Bight, that are running twice a day at 0 and 12 UTC, have been extended from one to three days 26 Daily Enhanced Forecast and Model Error Prediction for the German Bight's Noon Temperature and Salinity OSTIA SST Analysis ~5 km (GHRSST) L.2P AVHRR Data 1-5 km (PODAC) Annual Salinity RMSE (w/wo) AVHRR Assim. Daily SST Model Forecast Error Method Background statistics and model estimates from the GETM pre-operational setup Assimilation tool combines OSTIA SST comprehensive analysis with sparse L.2P AVHRR data also included in OSTIA Correlation lengths for localization and influence on temperature profiles are online adapted to changing observation availability Products Daily Noon Temperature 24h Forecast for the next day (~1km) Daily Noon Temperature Model Forecast Error of the Surface drift forecasts • Langrangian surface drifter trajectories are computed based on product 1 • In a first step daily maps including 18 hours hindcast and 6 hours forecast will be provided Future Plans • • • • COSYNA as infrastructure provider COSYNA as quality seal for data COSYNA Free cookies for everyone 29