Review Part II and Future Plans COSYNA-Workshop The Cosynnians

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COSYNA-Workshop
Review Part II and Future Plans
The Cosynnians
26./27. November 2014 / Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht
From Measurements
to Products, Information, and Science
An integrated approach:
• Measurement data
• from a variety of platforms
• Products
• from a combination of measurements and numerical
models (data assimilation
• Data
• publically available through data portals
• Information
• provided in usable form for stakeholders and the public
• Science
• use of all of the above to tackle scientific questions
COSYNA –Products (synoptic maps)
Observations
Model
Assimilation
Real Time Mon. Means Mod.Only Obs..&Model
Products
Currents
Sea State
Temperature
Salinity
Wind
Susp. Matter
(
)
Chlorophyll
(
)
CDOM
(
)
Experimental Products
POC, POM
DOC
Produktivity
Ship Recognition
Existing
Med.-Term
Long-Term
Transects along FBox-Routes
Data System
COSYNA Data Portal
Introduce a user questionnaire that users who access
the COSYNA web-portal have to fill in to provide
information on institutional background and intended
data use
5
Architektur des Datenportals
DOD/BSH
COSYNA
AWI-Bathy
Data Portal
German Marine
Research
Data Access
Datenprovider
PANGAEA
GEOMAR
HZG
MARUM
DOIs → Elsevier
Harvester
PublikationsRepositorien
epic-AWI
Index
Feature
Catalogue
*
Expedition
Catalogue
Interfaces
* Harmonisierung von Vokabularien, Ontologien
Data Usage
Download of COSYNA Data
per Country for 2012
Interaktion mit Nutzern: Ziel & Konzept
Bessere Nutzbarmachung von
Messungen & Modellfelder in
Daten,
verschiedener räumlicher &
Produkten
zeitlicher Auflösung
Informationen
Wissen
Mögliche
Nutzer
Analyse von Prozessen,
Verständnis von Wirkungspfaden
über mehrere Skalen
• Wissenschaft
• Ämter und Behörden
• Fischerei
• Windparkbetreiber
• Naturschutz
• Tourismus
• Allgemeinheit: Bildung
Konzept
Interaktion mit Nutzern: COSYNA als Ganzes
Interaktion mit Nutzern
 Machbarkeitsstudien zu Beginn
 regelmäßige Workshops (2/a)
Windpark Workshops
2 Workshops
organisiert mit BSH und DWD.
Beteiligung von Windpark-Firmen,
Wissenschaft und Behörden
o Allgemeiner Nutzerworkshop,
Nov. 2014
o Workshop zum Thema Seegang
und Strömung, Mai 2015
Ziel:
o Entwicklung von Produkten zur
Unterstützung der OffshoreWindenergie
o Zusammenarbeit bei Messungen,
Nutzung von Infrastruktur,
Entwicklung von Messsystemen
Christiane Eschenbach (HZG)
Mitteilungen nach innen und außen
W
e
b
s
i
t
e
R
e
l
a
COSYNA App
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht: www.cosyna.de
Earth System Knowledge Platform (ESKP): www.eskp.de
To be added
Natureum
Website Relaunch
Informationsprodukte
Folien von Jochen/Götz – Schiffserkennung etc.
HF-Radar Ship Detection
AIS reports
HF tracks
Integrated Approach
Data Access
Introduce a user questionnaire that users who access
the COSYNA web-portal have to fill in to provide
information on institutional background and intended
data use
COSYNA-App for apple and android devices:
launch 24.11.2014
Topic 4 WP2: COSYNA/coastDat
Dialog with users
• Windforce 2014 in Bremen
• Offshore Wind Workshop, November 2013 and September
2014
• Query with selected users (COSYNA)
• REKLIM-Tagung 2014 in Berlin
• Tag der Klimawissenschaft, Hamburg
• Meeting with coastDat-clients December 2014 and January
2015
17
Offshore Windparks
BARD 1
http://www.4coffshore.com
Focus on the „Global Coast“
Example: Oxygen-depleted Areas
Nordsee
Land-Meer-Interaktionen
Räumliche und zeitliche
Variabilität
Trends
Events, Risiken
2.2 Milliarden Menschen
leben an der Küste (100 km)
Photo: NASA
www.thedailygreen.com
The Global Coast
Mission: To evaluate selected typical coastal water bodies in different world
regions and their relevance for global processes in cooperation with local
partner institutions using a combination of measurements and models
adapted to the regions’ characteristic problems and research questions.
Methods: Tailored monitoring and analysis strategy using a combination of
automated time series (point measurements from buoys, under water
nodes or from shore), remote sensing (satellite and radar based) and
selected ship cruises, as well as hydrographical and biogeochemical
modelling (with adapted complexity, e.g. grid sizes and form, processes
etc.).
Why a DFG-research group
“Beyond 6bft”
Recent global projections on the development of the frequency and intensity of strong wind and
storm events with severe storm floods predict an 10-20 fold increase of storm surges until 2070
(IPCC, 2007a, b……).
Recent local projections (Central Europe and North Sea area) do not show such a development
(DWD).
Projected temperature changes
Projected wind speed
Why a project “Beyond 6 bft.” in the area of the North
Sea and Baltic?
Because of the very difficult methodology of
experimental in situ work under high-energy
conditions, the knowledge on the environmental
status, system behavior and system dynamic of
marine coastal ecosystems during phases > 6 Bft.
is quite restricted and often based on projections
and assumptions.
> 6Bft. is the normal status, not the
exception!
65 days
300 days
http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/helgoland
Why a project “Beyond 6 bft.” in the North Sea Coastal
area?
Optimal pre-requisit for a resilient research project to
“high-energy” - environments.
1.
Strong wind- and storm events at the German coast are the
normality rather than an exception.
2.
The frequency and strength of strong wind and storm events
at German coastlines is not (yet?) affected by global
warming (DWD – but see IPPC).
3.
Allows to study basic mechanisms of high-energy
environments not (yet?) confounded by the effects of global
change?
COSYNA pre-operational wave forecasts
Since the 11th of November 2014 the forecast period for the COSYNA
wave predictions for North Sea and German Bight, that are running twice a
day at 0 and 12 UTC, have been extended from one to three days
26
Daily Enhanced Forecast and Model Error Prediction for
the German Bight's Noon Temperature and Salinity
OSTIA SST Analysis
~5 km (GHRSST)
L.2P AVHRR Data
1-5 km (PODAC)
Annual Salinity RMSE
(w/wo) AVHRR Assim.
Daily SST Model Forecast
Error
Method

Background statistics and
model estimates from the
GETM pre-operational setup

Assimilation tool combines
OSTIA SST comprehensive
analysis with sparse L.2P
AVHRR data also included in
OSTIA

Correlation
lengths
for
localization and influence on
temperature
profiles
are
online adapted to changing
observation availability
Products

Daily Noon Temperature 24h
Forecast for the next day
(~1km)

Daily
Noon
Temperature
Model Forecast Error of the
Surface drift forecasts
• Langrangian surface
drifter trajectories are
computed based on
product 1
• In a first step daily maps
including 18 hours
hindcast and 6 hours
forecast will be provided
Future Plans
•
•
•
•
COSYNA as infrastructure provider
COSYNA as quality seal for data
COSYNA
Free cookies for everyone
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