Partial equilibrium analysis: Some game theory Game theory studies multi-person decision

advertisement

07.07.2010

Partial equilibrium analysis:

Some game theory

Lectures in Microeconomic Theory

Fall 2010, Part 19

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 1

Game theory studies multi-person decision problems, and analyzes agents that

 are rational (have well-defined preferences)

 reason strategically (take into account their knowledge and beliefs about what others do)

07.07.2010

Industrial organization (incl. oligopoly theory)

Bargaining and auction theory

Labor market and financial economics

Macro economics

International economics

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 2

Game matrix

The players choose strategies .

Each player’s payoff depends on the strategy profile.

1

2

Demand for self

1 Demand for the

3 other

Demand 1 for self 1, 1 4, 0

Demand for the

3 other

0, 4 3, 3

Prisoners’ dilemma

If the players do not choose strictly dominated strategies, both will demand 1 for themselves.

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 3

1

Solving games through iterated elimination of strongly dominated strategies

1, 1

0, 0

1, 0

0, 1

The game is solved through iter. elimi. of str. dom. strat.

 1 chooses 1 does not choose a str dom.

2

2 believes does sexes not that 1 does not choose

Battle of the

T

B

2, 1

0, 0 choose a str.

a str.

 dom.

0,

1, r strat.

0

2

 dom.

strat.

2 chooses 

&

No strategy is str. dominated. for any of the players!

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 4

Nash equilibrium

Are there strategies for the two players so that no player will regret his own choice when being told of the other player’s choice?

If yes, then such a strategy profile is a

Nash equilibrium .

Battle of the sexes 2, 1 0, 0

0, 0 1, 2

( T ,  ) and ( B , r ) are Nash equilibria.

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 5

The strategic form specifies

Players : {1, ... , i , ... , n }

For each player, a strategy set : S i

For each player, a payoff function : u i and where

G

( S

1

,  , S n

; ; u

1

,  , u n

Payoff for each player i : u i

( s

1

,

 where,

, s for n

)

 all j u i

, s

( s i j

, s

 i

S j

)

, we write s

 i

( s

1

,

, s i

1

, s i

1

,

, s n

)

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 6

2

Definitions

Definition u i

( s i

, s

 i

)

 u

: s i

 is strongly dominated i

( s i



, s

 i

) for all s

 i

.

by s i

 if

Iterated elimination of str. dom. strategies requires that it is commonly believed that players are rational.

Definition : ( s

1

,

, s n

) is a Nash equilibriu m

G it

( S

1

,

, S n

; u

1

,

, u n

) if, for each player i holds that u i

( s i

, s

 i

)

 u i

( s i

, s

 i

) for all s i

.

for

,

Nash equilibrium requires that players are rational and have correct conjectures conc. the opponents’ choices.

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 7

Examples

1, 0

0, 3

1, 2

0, 1

0, 1

2, 0

Iterated elimination of strongly dominated strategies works well in some examples.

07.07.2010

0, 4

4, 0

3, 5

4, 0 5, 3

0, 4 5, 3

3, 5 6, 6 strategy is str. dom.

Even in games w/only one Nash equil., incorr. conjectures can be held.

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 8

Some games have no Nash equilibrium

Monitoring (of traffic)

Legal

Monitoring

1, 0

Illegal

1, -

I

Player 2’s best response fn monitoring

0, 0 3, 1

1

3

Player 1’s best response fn

Such games have a

Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies.

L

N 1

5

M

Interpretation as a steady state.

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 9

3

Some games have multiple equilibria

Will the players coordinate, and if yes, on which

A game of trust equilibrium?

Each of you is to choose 1 or 2 indep. of each other.

A player who chooses 1 , receives 100 kr from UofO.

A player who chooses 2 , receives 200 kr from UofO if all others also choose 2 , but must pay 500 kr if at least one other player chooses 1 .

Write 1 or 2 on a piece of paper!

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 10

Multiple equilibria (cont.)

A game of trust 1

2

Choose 1 Choose 2

Choose 1 100, 100

Choose 2

110 100 200

Will a guarantee help?

Conclusion : Some games (e.g., the battle of the sexes and the game of trust) have multiple Nash equilibria.

Will the players coordinate on a particular Nash equil.?

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 11

Multiple equilibria (cont.)

In some games the Nash equilibria require that the players choose differently.

Chicken 2

1

Not R & D

R

Not

& D

2, 2

R & D

0, 3

R & D

3, 0 1, 1

Will the players coordinate on a particular Nash equil.?

07.07.2010

G.B. Asheim, ECON4230-35, #19 12

4

Download