STATISTICS 402 - Assignment 3 Due February 15, 2008 1. An experiment is performed to see the effectiveness of different hand cleaning methods on eliminating bacteria from hands. There are three hand cleaning methods: washing with soap, washing with antibacterial soap, and spraying with an antibacterial spray (65% Ethanol). Volunteers are assigned to groups with each group using one of the hand cleaning methods. After hands are cleaned the right hand of each volunteer is placed on a sterile media plate. Bacteria still on the hand will be transferred to the media that is designed to facilitate bacterial growth. The plates are incubated for 2 days at 36o C. After incubation the number of bacterial colonies are counted. a) Why is this an experiment and not an observational study? b) Identify the response, conditions and experimental units. c) Give an example of an outside variable that is controlled in the study. How is the variable controlled? d) Give an example of an outside variable that is not controlled in the study? Explain briefly. e) If the experimenter wishes to detect a difference in mean bacterial counts as small as 1 standard deviation with Alpha=0.05 and Beta=0.10, how many volunteers are needed? f) The experimenter is only able to recruit 36 volunteers. Give two combinations Δ that correspond to this number of volunteers. Briefly of Alpha, Beta and σ explain the difference between your two choices. g) Describe in detail how you would randomly assign the volunteers to the three groups so that there are an equal number of volunteers in each group. Once you have described what you will do actually do the randomization. Include your randomized assignment of the 36 volunteers to the 3 groups. 2. A completely randomized experiment, as described in problem 1, is run with the following results. Mean, y Variance, s 2 Antibacterial Spray 47 48 42 33 30 35 37 30 29 43 32 38 37.0 44.54 Antibacterial Soap 96 92 82 97 96 91 101 104 87 100 99 101 95.5 41.36 Regular Soap 107 106 89 91 108 94 100 101 97 99 100 108 100.0 42.00 1 a) Plot the data. If you use a computer program to plot the data, cut and paste the output on your answer sheet. Based on the plot what can you say about the effectiveness of the various methods? What can you say about the consistency of the methods? b) Estimate the effect of each of the hand cleaning methods. c) Construct an analysis of variance table giving sources of variation, degrees of freedom, sums of squares, mean squares, the appropriate F statistic and associated P-value. If you use a computer package, you can copy the results from the output onto your answer sheet. d) Give the value of R2 and an interpretation of this value. e) Are there statistically significant differences amongst the three groups in terms of mean counts of bacterial colonies? Support your answer by referring to the appropriate test of the null hypothesis: H 0 : τ 1 = τ 2 = τ 3 = 0 . f) If there are statistically significant differences, which groups are different? Support your answer with a multiple comparisons method. g) Look at the distribution of residuals. What does this tell you about the conditions necessary for the analysis of variance? Be sure to tell me what you see in the plots and how that relates to the specific conditions. h) Write a brief summary (one or two sentences is enough) of the findings of the experiment. In this summary make a recommendation based on your analysis as to what hand cleaning method should be used. 2