STATISTICS 402 - Assignment 3 Due February 16, 2007 1. An experiment is performed to see the effectiveness of different hand cleaning methods on eliminating bacteria from hands. The three hand cleaning methods are: washing with soap, washing with antibacterial soap, and spraying with an antibacterial spray (65% Ethanol). Volunteers will be assigned to groups with each group using one of the hand cleaning methods. After hands are cleaned the right hand of each volunteer is placed on a sterile media plate. Bacteria still on the hand will be transferred to the media that is designed to encourage bacterial growth. The plates are incubated for 2 days at 36oC. After incubation the number of bacterial colonies are counted. a) Why is this an experiment and not an observational study? b) Identify the response, conditions and experimental units. c) Give an example of an outside variable that is controlled in the study. How is it controlled? d) Give an example of an outside variable that is not controlled in the study? Explain briefly. e) If the experimenter wishes to detect a difference in mean bacterial counts as small as 0.9 standard deviations with Alpha=0.05 and Beta=0.10, how many volunteers are needed? f) The experimenter is only able to recruit 33 volunteers. Give two combinations of Alpha, Beta and ∆ σ that correspond to this number of volunteers. Briefly explain the difference between the two choices. g) Describe in detail how you would randomly assign the volunteers to the three groups so that there are an equal number of volunteers in each group. Do the randomization you describe. Include your randomized assignment of the 33 volunteers to the 3 groups. 2. The experiment described in problem 1 is run with the following results. Mean Variance 1. Antibacterial Spray 47 48 42 33 36 35 30 34 43 32 38 38.0 37.6 2. Antibacterial Soap 96 92 82 93 96 91 101 87 100 95 101 94.0 35.0 3. Regular Soap 103 104 89 91 105 94 101 97 99 100 106 99.0 32.4 1 a) Plot the data. Based on the plot what can you say about the effectiveness of the various methods? What can you say about the consistency of the methods? Remember to tell me what you see in the plot and how that relates to the answers to the questions. b) Estimate the effect of each of the hand cleaning methods. c) Construct an analysis of variance table giving sources of variation, degrees of freedom, sums of squares, mean squares, the appropriate F statistic and associated P-value. d) Give the value of R2 and an interpretation of this value. e) Are there statistically significant differences amongst the three groups in terms of mean counts of bacterial colonies? Support your answer by referring to the appropriate test of hypothesis. Include the null and alternative hypotheses, value of the test statistic, P-value, decision and reason for reaching that decision. f) If there are statistically significant differences, which groups are different? Support your answer with a multiple comparisons method. g) Look at the distribution of residuals. What does this tell you about the conditions necessary for the analysis of variance? Be sure to tell me what you see and what it means. h) Write a brief summary (one or two sentences is enough) of the findings of the experiment. 2