Japan and the World Economy 16 (2004) 331–335 Discussion Perspectives on Weitzman’s stationary equivalent Discussion of Kazuo Mino’s ‘‘Weitzman’s Rule with Market Distortions’’1 Geir B. Asheim* Department of Economics, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1095 Blindern, NO-0317 Oslo, Norway 1. Introduction Weitzman’s Rule—as established by Martin Weitzman in his seminal contributions (Weitzman, 1970, 1976)—is the point of departure for the well-written and interesting paper by Kazuo Mino. Weitzman’s Rule can be stated as follows. Under a stationary technology, in the sense that the set of feasible utility–investment–capital triples2 ðu; z; kÞ; does not depend directly on time t, an assumption that is associated with the term ‘‘green’’ accounting, signifying that the vector of current capital stocks captures all variable determinants of current productive capacity; discounted utilitarianism, in the sense that the dynamic welfare of the economy at time t is given by Z 1 erðstÞ uðsÞ ds; t where r is a positive utility discount rate; optimality, in the sense that the economy has an optimal resource allocation mechanism which implements a path that maximizes dynamic welfare; 1 Based on comments given at the Technical Symposium ‘‘Economic Conservation Laws and Optimizing Behavior of Individuals: Conventional and Differential Geometric Approaches,’’ held at Center for Japan–US Business and Economic Studies, Stern School of Business, New York University, 4 April 2003. * Tel.: þ47-22855498; fax: þ47-22855035. E-mail address: g.b.asheim@econ.uio.no (G.B. Asheim). 2 Weitzman (1976) as well as Mino assume that u (which Weitzman, 1976, refers to as composite ‘‘consumption’’) is an observable measure of cardinal utility. 0922-1425/$ – see front matter # 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.japwor.2003.12.002 332 G.B. Asheim / Japan and the World Economy 16 (2004) 331–335 it holds that YðtÞ ¼ uðtÞ þ pðtÞzðtÞ ¼ r Z 1 erðstÞ uðsÞ ds; (1) t where p(t) is the vector of investment prices in terms of utility. Eq. (1) states the Hamiltonian, Y(t)—consisting of utility plus the value of net investments in utility terms—equals the utility discount rate, r, times dynamic welfare under discounted utilitarianism. Hence, ‘‘utility income’’¼‘‘utility interest rate’’ ‘‘utility wealth’’: Mino’s paper poses the following questions. How to adjust Weitzman’s Rule if 1. the assumption of a stationary technology is relaxed due to exogenous technical change; or 2. the assumption of optimality is relaxed due to externalities, arising either from spillovers from knowledge capital, or from constrained policy intervention. 2. A fundamental conservation law Following the work of Paul Samuelson, Ryuzo Sato has spurred an interest in uncovering economic conservation laws or invariance principles in dynamic models (see Sato, 1981, 1985, and some of his later contributions). Let me use this opportunity to suggest that such conservation laws or invariance principles are most easily uncovered if they are expressed in terms of present value prices. In particular, under a stationary technology, discounted utilitarianism, and optimality it holds that _ þ ert uðtÞ d rt ðe pðtÞzðtÞÞ ¼ 0; dt (2) i.e., the change in utility valued in present value prices plus the change in the present value of net investments is equal to zero. By integrating, we get that the present value of utility changes from 0 to t plus the present value of net investments at t does not vary with time, and is thus conserved. It is straightforward to see that Eq. (2) is identical to Weitzman (1976) Eq. (14), which has also appeared prominently in Ryuzo Sato’s work. Through their Theorem 1, Dixit et al. (1980) show that discounted utilitarianism is not needed for Eq. (2). Rather, it holds along any efficient path that is supported by a path of rt present value prices of utility, fmðtÞg1 in Eq. (2), even t¼0 , that m(t) can be substituted for e when m(t) is not an exponentially decreasing function. Then it follows directly that utility, u(t), is constant if and only if the present value of net investments, m(t)p(t)z(t), is constant, a result that Dixit et al. (1980) refer to as a ‘‘generalized Hartwick’s Rule’’ (since it generalizes the result of Hartwick, 1977). Furthermore, in Ramsey (1928) analysis of optimal saving, then—since his application of undiscounted utilitarianism means that utility discount rate is zero—it follows directly from Eq. (2) that the Hamiltonian is constant. G.B. Asheim / Japan and the World Economy 16 (2004) 331–335 333 In the present setting, it is important to notice how Eq. (2) is the key to establishing Weitzman’s Rule. First, differentiate the present value of utility w.r.t. time: d rt _ ðe uðtÞÞ ¼ r ert uðtÞ þ ert uðtÞ: dt By integrating on both sides of Eq. (3), and rearranging terms, we obtain that Z 1 Z 1 _ dt; r ert uðtÞ dt ¼ uð0Þ þ ert uðtÞ 0 (3) (4) 0 a result that depends only on the constant utility discount rate that discounted utilitarianism entails. R 1Byrtalso invoking a stationary technology and optimality, it follows from Eq. (2) that _ uðtÞ—the present value of future changes in utility—is measured by p(0)z(0)—the 0 e value of net investments—provided that limt!1 ert pðtÞzðtÞ ¼ 0 holds as a investment value transversality condition. Hence, in combination with Eq. (4), this leads to Weitzman’s Rule: Z 1 r ert uðtÞ dt ¼ uð0Þ þ pð0Þzð0Þ: (WR) 0 However, if both the assumptions of Ra stationary technology and optimality do not 1 _ apply, then p(0)z(0) will not fully reflect 0 ert uðtÞ. So in models where one or both of these assumptions cannot be made, what must be added to p(0)z(0) in order to measure R 1 rt _ uðtÞ? This is the main question posed by Mino in his paper. 0 e 3. Comments and questions This is a nicely written paper that raises important questions. However, similar kinds of forward-looking terms have also been calculated in some earlier contributions, including Aronsson et al. (1997) book and a series of articles by Aronsson and Löfgren as well as, e.g., the contribution by Vellinga and Withagen (1996). On this background, it is helpful for the reader that the author signals in his introduction what the original results of the present paper are. Still, an even more detailed comparison with the relevant literature would have been interesting. Mino’s paper contains an intriguing numerical example, showing that a technical progress premium, as calculated by Weitzman (1997) in the case of exogenous technical change, can also be estimated when technical progress is caused by spillovers from knowledge capital. It seems that the size of the premium does not hinge on whether technical progress is exogenous or endogenous; rather, it depends in a non-trivial way on preferences and capital depreciation. In the part on optimal policy intervention, q(t), the social value of investment flows, is different from p(t), the private value of investment flows, due to policy constraints. The analysis thereby combines in an interesting manner an inefficient resource allocation mechanism (in the sense of Arrow et al., 2003) with constrained optimality. 334 G.B. Asheim / Japan and the World Economy 16 (2004) 331–335 The serious empirical problems associated with measuring utility are not addressed. However, the paper’s lack of emphasis on this issue can be defended, as the paper here follows a tradition that started with Weitzman (1976) seminal article. Recently, Weitzman (2001) has provided methods for satisfying the informational demands that the assumption of measurable utility involves; see also my discussion of this topic in Asheim (2003, Section 6). 4. Sustainability It follows from Eq. (4) that Z 1 Z 1 Z rt rt e uðtÞ dt ¼ e uð0Þ þ 0 0 0 0 1 e rs _ ds dt: uðsÞ (5) 0 R1 _ ds is a Hicks–Weitzman stationary equivalent. Moreover, we Hence, uð0Þ þ 0 ers uðsÞ have that if fuðtÞg1 t¼0 is (constrained) optimal under discounted utilitarianism, then Z 1 Z 1 ert uðtÞ dt ert uð0Þ dt; (6) where uð0Þ denotes the maximum sustainable utility, given the vector of capital stocks that are available at time zero. Because otherwise, the optimality of fuðtÞg1 t¼0 would have been contradicted (cf. Pezzey, 2004). Hence, under (constrained) discounted utilitarian optimality, Z 1 _ ds uð0Þ þ ers uðsÞ 0 is an upper bound for sustainable utility at time zero. In particular, it need not itself be sustainable R 1 (cf. Asheim, 1994).Therefore, it is nice that Mino attempts to avoid referring to _ ds as ‘‘sustainable utility,’’ as done by other contributors to this uð0Þ þ 0 ers uðsÞ literature. 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