Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Market power & product differentiation Applications of game theory 1 Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Geir B. Asheim Department of Economics, University of Oslo ECON5200 Fall 2009 Introduction Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Strategic commitment 3 lectures where game theory is applied: 13 October Market power & product differentiation. 20 October Adverse selection, signaling and screening. 27 October Principal-agent problems. 4 November Seminar. To be covered under Market power & product differentiation Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Pricing behavior by a monopoly firm Pricing behavior by two (or more) firm with identical and constant unit costs (Bertrand oligopoly model) Are two firms are sufficient for a perfectly competitive outcome? Competition can be relaxed by Capacity constraints (Cournot oligopoly model) Product differentiation Repeated interaction Another topic: Strategic commitment to affect future competition Pricing behavior by a profit-maximizing monopolist Market power Geir B. Asheim x(·): continuous and strictly decreasing demand function for all p with x(p) > 0; x(p) = 0 for p ≥ p̄ max px(p) − c(x(p)) Pricing behavior Monopoly Duopoly p p(·) = x −1 (·): inverse demand function; with p(0) = p̄. Relaxing competition max p(q)q − c(q) Strategic commitment q First-order condition: p (q m )q m + p(q m ) ≤ c (q m ) with equality if q m > 0 If q m > 0, then p(q m ) > c (q m ): Price under monopoly exceeds marginal cost; this leads to quantity distortion and welfare loss. Other distortions; investment in cost reductions & quality choice. Pricing behavior by profit-maximizing duopolists Bertrand model with homogeneous products (1) Market power Structure: (1) Prices set (2) Demand determines quantities Geir B. Asheim x(·): continuous and strictly decreasing demand function for all p with x(p) > 0; x(p) = 0 for p ≥ p̄. Firms 1 and 2 have constant unit cost c and set prices p1 and p2 simultaneously. Sales are given by: ⎧ ⎪ if pj < pk ⎨ x(pj ) 1 xj (pj , pk ) = x(pj ) if pj = pk 2 ⎪ ⎩ 0 if pj > pk Pricing behavior Monopoly Duopoly Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Proposition There is a unique Nash equilibrium (p1∗ , p2∗ ) in the Bertrand duopoly model. In this equilibrium, both firms set their prices equal to cost: p1∗ = p2∗ = c. Pricing behavior by profit-maximizing duopolists Bertrand model with homogeneous products (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Monopoly Duopoly Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Proof. Part 1: (p1∗ , p2∗ ) = (c, c) is a Nash equilibrium. Assume that pk = c. If firm j chooses pj = c, then profit equals 0. If firm j chooses pj < c, then profit is negative. If firm j chooses pj > c, then profit is 0. Therefore, pj = c is best response to pk = c. Part 2: (p1 , p2 ) is not a Nash equil. if (p1 , p2 ) = (c, c). Case 1: min{p1 , p2 } < c. At least one firm j has negative profit. Zero profit by setting pj ≥ 0. Case 2: pk > pj = c. Firm j can increase its profit by setting pj = 12 (pk + c). Case 3: pk ≥ pj > c. Firm k can increase its profit by setting pk = pj − ε, for ε > 0 sufficiently small. Conclusion: If J firms have constant unit cost c, then all firms set price equal to c, provided J ≥ 2. Relaxing competition Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Firms set prices. But the conclusion of the Bertrand model — that two firms are sufficient for perfectly competitive outcomes – is unrealistic. Competition can be relaxed by Not no capacity contraints, but capacity constraints (Cournot oligopoly model) Not homogeneous products, but product differentiation Not a static game, but repeated interaction Quantity choices by profit-maximizing duopolists Cournot duopoly model (1) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Structure: (1) Quantities set (2) Demand determines price Assume firms first choose quantities q1 and q2 and that these are sold at price p(q1 + q2 ) in the market. Each firm j’s problem: max p(qj + q̄k )qj − cqj qj First-order condition: Strategic commitment p (qj + q̄k )qj + p(qj + q̄k ) ≤ c with equality if qj > 0 For each q̄k , let bj (q̄k ) denote j’s best response. Quantity choices by profit-maximizing duopolists Cournot duopoly model (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment (q1∗ , q2∗ ) is a Nash equilibrium if and only if for each j, qj∗ ∈ bj (qk∗ ). Hence, if (q1∗ , q2∗ ) is a Nash equilibrium, then p (q1∗ + q2∗ )q1∗ + p(q1∗ + q2∗ ) ≤ c with equality if q1∗ > 0 p (q1∗ + q2∗ )q2∗ + p(q1∗ + q2∗ ) ≤ c with equality if q2∗ > 0 If p(0) > c, then (q1∗ , q2∗ ) 0, implying that ∗ ∗ q +q ∗ ∗ p (q1 + q2 ) 1 2 2 + p(q1∗ + q2∗ ) = c Proposition In a Nash equilibrium of the Cournot duopoly model with p(0) > c > 0 and p (q) < 0 for all q > 0, the market price is greater than c (the competitive price) and smaller than p(q m ). Quantity choices by profit-maximizing duopolists Cournot duopoly model (3) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Proof. Part 1: p(q1∗ + q2∗ ) > c in a Nash equilibrium. Follows from the FOC and the assumption that p (q) < 0. Part 2: p(q1∗ + q2∗ ) < p(q m ) in a Nash equilibrium. Since p (q) < 0 for all q > 0, this is equivalent to q1∗ + q2∗ > q m . Subpart (i): q1∗ + q2∗ ≥ q m . Suppose q1∗ + q2∗ < q m . If one firm j increases quantity to q m − qk∗ , then total profit is increased and the profit of the other firm is decreased. Hence, firm j can do better. Subpart (ii): q1∗ + q2∗ = q m . Suppose q1∗ + q2∗ = q m . The FOCs for monopoly and Cournot duopoly cannot both be satisfied. Capacity choices followed by price competition Kreps & Scheinkman (1983) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Structure: (1) Capacities set (2) Prices set (3) Demand determines quantities In the subgames starting at stage (3), all possible profiles of capacities and prices must be considered. How are consumers rationed? 1 2 Proportional rationing: Any consumer willing to pay a good offered at p has an equal change of buying at p. Efficient rationing: A consumer with the highest willingness-to-pay is served first. Proposition With efficient rationing, the game considered by Kreps & Scheinkman (1983) leads to the Cournot outcome. Two issues Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment How does product differentiation affect price competition? Bertrand model where demanded quantity is a continuous function of the price profile Horizontal differentiation How do firms product differentiate to relax price competition? Not covered Pricing behavior by profit-maximizing duopolists Bertrand model with differentiated products (1) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Structure: (1) Prices set (2) Demand determines quantities Firms 1 and 2 have constant unit cost c and set prices p1 and p2 simultaneously. Sales are given by xj (pj , pk ), which is the continuous demand function for firm j. Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment max(pj − c)x(pj , pk ) pj Proposition If x1 (p1 , p2 ) > 0 when p1 ≤ min{c, p2 } and x2 (p2 , p1 ) > 0 when p2 ≤ min{c, p1 }, then in any Nash equilibrium (p1∗ , p2∗ ) we have that (p1∗ , p2∗ ) (c, c). Pricing behavior by profit-maximizing duopolists Bertrand model with differentiated products (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Proof. To be shown: (p1 , p2 ) is not a Nash equilibrium if min{p1 , p2 } ≤ c. Case 1: min{p1 , p2 } < c. At least one firm j has negative profit. Non-negative profit by setting pj ≥ 0. Case 2: min{p1 , p2 } = c. If pj = c and pk ≥ c, then by assumption xj (pj , pk ) > 0, and firm j’s profit is zero. Since xj (·, ·) is continuous, firm j can attain positive profit by setting pj = c + ε for ε > 0 sufficiently small. Horizontal product differentiation Linear city with linear transportation costs (1) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Assume that M consumers are distributed uniformly along the unit inverval: [0, 1]. Also, assume that firm 1 is located at 0 and firm 2 is located at 1. For a consumer located at z (∈ [0, 1]) the cost to buy from firm 1 is p1 + tz and the cost to buy from firm 2 is p2 + t(1 − z). Finally, assume that every consumer buys one (and only one) unit from a firm with lowest cost. Indifferent consumer ẑ: p1 + tẑ = p2 + t(1 − ẑ), which implies ẑ = t + p2 − p1 2t xj (pj , pk ) = and 1 − ẑ = ⎧ ⎪ ⎨M ⎪ ⎩ (t+pk −pj )M 2t 0 t + p1 − p2 2t if pj ≤ pk − t if pj ∈ (pk − t, pk + t) if pj ≥ pk + t Horizontal product differentiation Linear city with linear transportation costs (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment max (pj − c) pj ∈[pk −t,pk +t] (t + pk − pj )M 2t FOC if pj ∈ (pk − t, pk + t): t + pk + c − 2pj = 0 ⎧ ⎪ if pk ≥ c + 3t ⎨ p̄k − t t+pk +c bj (p̄k ) = if p̄k ∈ (c − t, c + 3t) 2 ⎪ ⎩ p̄k + t if p̄k ≤ c − t Unique Nash equilibrium, (p1∗ , p2∗ ) satisfies: p1∗ = p2∗ = c + t. Hence, price exceeds c. Do firms maximize product differentiate to relax price competition? Problematic to discuss choice of product differentiation with linear transportation costs. Why? What product differentiation maximizes welfare? Repeated Bertrand duopoly (1) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Firms 1 and 2 have constant unit cost c. In each stage, firms choose prices simultaneously. The chosen prices determine quantities in this stage and becomes observable for both firms before the next stage. Infinite number of stages. Payoff is profits discounted at constant discount factor δ ∈ (0, 1). Consider the following paths, where p ∈ (c, p m ]: (p(0)t ) = (p, p), (p, p), . . . Strategic commitment (p(1)t ) = (c, c), (c, c), . . . (p(2)t ) = (c, c), (c, c), . . . Proposition The simple strategy profile σ((p(0)t ), (p(1)t ), (p(2)t )) is a subgame-perfect equilibrium if and only if δ ≥ 12 . Repeated Bertrand duopoly (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Capacity competition Product differentiation Repeated interaction Strategic commitment Proof. Enough to consider unilateral one-period deviations. Why? Is a unilateral one-period deviation from (p, p) profitable? (1 − δ)(p − c)x(p) Supremum of payoff with deviation Not profitable if 1 − δ ≤ 1 2 ≤ 1 2 (p − c)x(p) Payoff without deviation or, equivalently, δ ≥ 12 . Is a unilateral one-period deviation from (c, c) profitable? Payoff with deviation is non-positive. Payoff without deviation equals zero. What if there are more than 2 firms? What if prices are not perfectly observable? Strategic commitment to affect future competition (1) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Structure: (1) Firm 1 makes strategic investment k. Observable. (2) Firms 1 and 2 play some oligopoly game, choosing s1 and s2 Payoffs: π1 (s1 , s2 , k) and π2 (s1 , s2 ) Actions are “aggressive”: ∂π1 (s1 , s2 , k)/∂s2 < 0 and ∂π2 (s1 , s2 )/∂s1 < 0. Best response functions: b1 (s2 , k) and b2 (s1 ). Assume unique Nash equilibrium: (s1∗ (k), s2∗ (k)). Assume sufficient differentiability. Strategic commitment to affect future competition (2) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior Relaxing competition Strategic commitment Identity: s2∗ = b2 (b1 (s2∗ , k)) db2 ds2∗ = ds1 db2 ∂b1 1− ds1 ∂s2 ds2∗ dk = ∂b1 ∗ ∂b1 ds + dk ∂s2 2 ∂k db2 ds1 ds2∗ = 1 db2 ∂b1 dk ds1 ∂k ∂b1 ∂k 2 ∂b1 − db ds1 ∂s2 Strategic commitment to affect future competition (3) Market power Geir B. Asheim Pricing behavior ds2∗ dk = db2 ds1 ∂b1 ∂k db ∂b 1− ds 2 ∂s 1 1 2 Relaxing competition Strategic commitment ∂b1 (·) ∂k ∂b1 (·) ∂k >0 <0 Strategic substitutes: Strategic complements: db2 (·) ds1 db2 (·) ds1 ds2∗ (k) dk ds2∗ (k) dk <0 >0 <0 ds2∗ (k) dk >0 >0 ds2∗ (k) dk <0 Strategic commitment to affect future competition (4) Market power Geir B. Asheim To Deter Pricing behavior Entry Relaxing competition Strategic commitment ∂b1 (·) ∂k ∂b1 (·) ∂k >0 Strategic substitutes: Strategic complements: db2 (·) ds1 db2 (·) ds1 <0 ds2∗ (k) dk < 0 Δk > 0 Top Dog >0 ds2∗ (k) dk > 0 Δk > 0 Top Dog big & strong to look big & strong to look tough & aggressive tough & aggressive <0 ds2∗ (k) dk > 0 Δk < 0 ds2∗ (k) dk < 0 Δk < 0 Mean & Hungry Look Mean & Hungry Look small & firm to look small & firm to look tough & aggressive tough & aggressive Strategic commitment to affect future competition (5) Market power Geir B. Asheim To AccommoPricing behavior date Entry Relaxing competition Strategic commitment ∂b1 (·) ∂k ∂b1 (·) ∂k >0 Strategic substitutes: Strategic complements: db2 (·) ds1 db2 (·) ds1 <0 ds2∗ (k) dk < 0 Δk > 0 Top Dog >0 ds2∗ (k) dk > 0 Δk < 0 Puppy Dog big & strong to look small & weak to look tough & aggressive soft & inoffensive <0 ds2∗ (k) dk > 0 Δk < 0 ds2∗ (k) dk < 0 Δk > 0 Fat Cat Mean & Hungry Look small & firm to look fat & mellow to look tough & aggressive soft & inoffensive