Progress on
the Strategic Plan Goal
Progress since 2012-13
for Fall 13 & Fall 14 new students
Which student educational goal groups
are making progress – and why?
Presentation to PRBC
December 9, 2015
Carolyn Arnold
Coordinator, Institutional Research
Chabot College
Chabot Strategic Plan Goal
n
n
Increase the number of students who achieve
their educational goal in a reasonable time
(outcomes)
à Institutional Research measures that number
…by clarifying pathways and providing more
information and support (methods)
àCollege initiatives provide methods
to increase that number
So……..
Have we increased that number?
It’s Not One Number!
Why we created distinct student groups
n
Allow for different educational goals, speed,
and starting places
n
Target initiatives/services to different groups
n
See which groups are reached by initiatives
Created 10 educational goal
groups for new students
Groups based on
Their educational goal
n  Self-reported educational goal
Their speed:
n  Number of units they are taking (FT/PT)
Their starting place:
n  Assessment in English (College or Basic Skills)
Creating
educational goal groups
Ed Goal
Transfer
or
Degree
(GE)
Units
Fulltime
Parttime
English
Assessment
College
Basic Skills
Not Assessed
College
Basic Skills
Not Assessed
Undecided
Certificate or
Job training
6+ units
Cert/Job/Und/
Pers Dev/Othr
Under 6 units
Full-time
Part-time 6-11 units
Student Ed Goal Groups
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n
n
n
n
n
n
n
Laser (FT) College
Laser (FT) Basic Skills
Laser (FT) Not Assessed
Seeker (PT) College
Seeker (PT) Basic Skills
Seeker (PT) Not Assessed
Explorer
Career-builder FT
Career-builder PT
Skills-builder
10 student ed goal groups:
What percentage of each are at Chabot?
Are the percentages changing?
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n
n
n
n
n
n
n
n
n
Laser (FT) College
Laser (FT) Basic Skills
Laser (FT) Not Assessed
Seeker (PT) College
Seeker (PT) Basic Skills
Seeker (PT) Not Assessed
Explorer
Career-builder FT
Career-builder PT
Skills-builder
Chabot Fall 2014 New Students
Percentage in each Educational Goal Group
3%
1%
7%
9%
(192)
11%
Explorers
9%
26%
(535)
Lasers
Seekers
(509)
(103)
25%
5%
4%
Laser FT College
Laser FT BasSkls
Laser FT NoAssess
Seeker PT College
Seeker PT BasSkls
Seeker PT NoAssess
Explorer
Career Builder FT
Career Builder PT
Skills Builder
Chabot Fall 2015 New Students
More students are Laser FT College!
13%
14%
3%
2%
8%
9%
Laser FT College
Laser FT BasSkls
(341)
Explorers
Seekers
(510)
20%
Laser FT NoAssess
Lasers
Seeker PT College
20%
Seeker PT BasSkls
Seeker PT NoAssess
(538)
Explorer
Career Builder FT
Career Builder PT
(211)
3%
8%
Skills Builder
Chabot Fall 2015 New Students
More students are Laser FT College!
400
350
300
Number of
Laser College
students
341
(341)
•  More students in this group
means more will successfully
complete
250
200
166
192
150
100
50
0
Fall 2013
Fall 2014
•  Laser FT College group
is Ed goal group with the
highest completion rates
Fall 2015
•  Strategic plan initiatives
encourage more students to
attend full-time (Lasers).
•  And they are! à à à
More new transfer/degree students
are attending as Lasers (full-time)!
Total with Transfer/degree goal
2,250
2,000
1,750
1,926
1,661
Seekers (part-time)
Lasers (full-time)
1,942
1,721
1,689
1,892
1,562
1,602
857
872
1,604
1,500
1,250
1,000
750
500
864
879
797
810
Fall 06
Fall 08
988
938
983
959
1,077
644
957
804
705
730
800
Fall 12
Fall 13
Fall 14
935
250
0
Fall 09
Fall 10
Fall 11
Fall 15
(census)
Higher percentages of new transfer/degree
students are attending as Lasers (full-time)!
Total with Transfer/degree goal
Seekers (part-time)
Lasers (full-time)
100%
80%
61%
60%
64%
67%
71%
20%
32%
71%
39%
39%
73%
72%
37%
36%
36%
36%
Fall 14
Fall 15
(census)
57%
44%
40%
71%
30%
29%
28%
Fall 06
Fall 08
33%
34%
31%
33%
Fall 09
Fall 10
26%
32%
32%
0%
Fall 11
Fall 12
Fall 13
Student ed goal groups:
Progress towards their goal
Four major groups with transfer/degree goals
(Laser FT College, Laser FT Basic Skills,
Seeker PT College, & Seeker PT Basic Skills)
à How do we know whether each group
is making progress
towards their educational goal
in a reasonable time?
à We compare each group to itself over time
Milestones towards ed goal
for transfer/degree groups
(Lasers FT & Seekers PT)
n
Early Engagement
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Momentum
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Completed Basic Skills
Enrolled in any Math or College English
Progress
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n
Enrolled in Basic Skills
Completed any Math or College English
Persistence for one year
Completion
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Earned degrees, certificates, transfer ready, transferred
n
Will be able to see these next year for our cohorts
Milestone check points
for transfer/degree groups
(Lasers FT & Seekers PT)
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n
By first Fall
By end of first year
By end of second and fourth year
Milestones
for transfer/degree groups
(Lasers FT & Seekers PT)
This presentation focuses on:
n  Fall 2014 cohort of new students
st
n  Percent who met milestones in 1 year
n  Compared to past cohorts:
* Average of 2010-12 Cohorts (our baseline)
•  Fall 2013
•
Rising percentages à more completions
Progress : Who and why?
n
Which groups made the MOST progress?
à Why?
à Which initiatives helped?
n
Which groups made the LEAST progress?
à Why?
à What initiatives or support services
are still needed to help these students?
Milestones: How to interpret
n
Percentages enrolling in English courses
n
n
n
Reflect available seats AND…
That group’s access to those seats
Percentages completing English courses
n
n
n
Reflect available seats and access AND…
That group’s success in those courses
Higher percentages completing College English
lead to more earning a degree or transferring
Milestone by First Year
Enrolled* in Basic Skills English
*Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
Average F10-F12
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Fall 13
Fall 14
86%
83%
80%
62%
54%
41%
Full-time Basic Skills
Part-time Basic Skills
46% 46% 49%
Explorer
Milestone by First Year
Completed Basic Skills English
100%
Average F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
60%
55% 56%
59%
40%
28% 30%
27% 28% 30%
18%
20%
0%
Full-time Basic Skills
Part-time Basic Skills
Explorer
Milestone by First Year
Enrolled* in College English
*Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
Average F10-F12
100%
80%
77%
83%
Fall 13
Fall 14
87%
64%
69%
60%
46%
40%
21%
20%
25%
29%
0%
Full-time College
Part-time College
Explorer
Milestone by First Year
Completed College English
Average F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
100%
80%
60%
69%
62%64%
40%
34%
29%
24%
42%41%
29%
20%
0%
12%13%
5%
FT College
FT Basic Skills
PT College
PT Basic Skills
21%19%
16%
Explorer
Milestones: How to interpret
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Enrolling/succeeding in ANY Math course
n
n
n
n
n
Whatever their assessed math level, they have
enrolled in math early and completed math early,
which will help complete their math sequence early
Reflects available seats in math classes AND
Each group’s access to those seats AND
That group’s success in any math courses
Percentages completing College Math
n
n
Higher percentages completing College Math
lead to more transferring to 4-year colleges
Only 22% assess into and start in College Math.
Milestone by First Year
Enrolled* in Any Math Course
*Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
100%
80%
Average F10-F12
81%
77%76%
Fall 13
Fall 14
78%77%77%
60%
46%
40%
52% 54%
48%
46%
35%
40%38%40%
20%
0%
FT College
FT Basic Skills
PT College
PT Basic Skills
Explorer
Milestone by First Year
Succeeded in Any Math Course
Average F10-F12
100%
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
60%
58%
53%
48%
42%42% 42%
40%
28%
20%
23%
18%
27%29% 28%
17%15% 15%
0%
FT College
FT Basic Skills
PT College
PT Basic Skills
Explorer
Milestone by First Year
Completed College Math
100%
Average F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
60%
40%
20%
37% 34%
33%
18%
16%
13%
9% 8%
3%
2%3%3%
6%8%7%
0%
FT College FT Basic Skills PT College PT Basic Skills
Explorer
Milestones: How to interpret
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Persistence from first Fall to second Fall
n
n
If Laser/Seeker students are here the following Fall,
they are making progress towards their educational goal.
Milestone by First Year
Persistence from first Fall to second Fall
Baseline: 2010-12
100%
88%
83% 84%
80%
Fall 2013
Fall 2014
77%76%77%
57%59%58%
60%
58%58%
66%65%
59%
47%
40%
20%
0%
FT College
FT Basic
Skills
PT College
PT Basic
Skills
Explorer
So……..
Did we increase that number?
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First Year English milestones
Basic Skills: YES — continue to rise
n  College Level: FT: YES!
PT: Mixed
n
n
First Year Math Milestones
Laser FT College and FT Basic Skills: YES
n  All others: Steady or lower
n
n
First Year Persistence
Seeker PT Basic Skills: YES
n  All others: Steady or lower
n
Thoughts? Observations?
•  Will more Fall 2013 and Fall 2014
Lasers and Seekers reach their
educational goal of transfer or
degree?
•  Yes, based on English completion
•  Yes, if completion in Math increases
•  Yes, if persistence increases
Preview of Fall 15 Cohort
First Semester Progress:
Enrolled in Basic Skills English
Baseline: F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
Fall 15 (census)
100%
80%
60%
78%
74% 75%
58%
45%
35%
40%
41%
31%
36% 38%
21%
20%
0%
Laser FT Basic Skills
Seeker PT Basic Skills
Explorer
30%
Preview of Fall 15 Cohort
First Semester Progress:
Enrolled in College English
Baseline: F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
Fall 15 (census)
100%
78%
80%
75%
67%
60%
52% 52%
47%
44%
40%
22%
20%
5%
9%
13%
0%
Laser FT College
Seeker PT College
Explorer
17%
Preview of Fall 15 Cohort
First Semester Progress:
Enrolled in Any Math Course
Avg F10-12
Fall 13
Fall 14
Fall 15 (census)
100%
80%
67%65%
60%
56%54%
59%
56%54%56%
40%
34%
26%
20%
39%
36% 34%
32%
26%
27%
21%22%21%
12%
0%
Laser FT College Laser FT Basic Skills Seeker PT College Seeker PT Basic Skills
Explorer
Thoughts? Observations?
Equity in Milestones by First Year
Notice and ponder:
n  Which race-ethnicity groups are
making the MOST progress on major
milestones?
n  Which race-ethnicity groups are
making the LEAST progress?
n  Why?
Milestone by First Year
Laser Full-time Basic Skills
Completed Basic Skills English by Ethnicity
100%
Average F10-F12
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
69%
67%
66%
60%
59%
56%
56%
68%
63%
55%
54%
53%
59%
55%
49%
43%
57%
48%
41%
40%
20%
0%
Overall African Amer
Asian
Filipino
Latino
White
Milestone by First Year
Seeker Part-time Basic Skills
Completed Basic Skills English by Ethnicity
Average F10-F12
100%
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
60%
40%
20%
30%
28%
18%
42%
35%
35%
31%
27%
26% 28%
32%
30%
17%
16%
12%
34%
32%
20%
0%
Overall African Amer
Asian
Filipino
Latino
White
Did we increase the numbers
for all race-ethnicity groups?
n
Completing Basic Skills English
n
n
Laser Full-time Basic Skills Students
n  YES for African Amer, Asian, Latinos
n  NO - Filipinos and Whites declined
Seeker Part-time Basic Skills Students
n  YES – all groups increased
Milestone by First Year
Laser Full-time Basic Skills
Completed College English by Ethnicity
Average F10-F12
100%
Fall 13
Fall 14
80%
60%
40%
47%
47%
34%
29%
24%
20%
29% 31%
20%
20%
43%
38%
36%
27%
26%
23%
23%
22%
22%
0%
Overall
African
Amer
Asian
Filipino
Latino
White
Milestone by First Year
Laser Full-time College
Completed College English by Ethnicity
Average F10-F12
Fall 13
100%
80%
60%
40%
Fall 14
90%
78%
74%
70%
67%
69%
64%
63%
83%
62%
53%
67%
64%
62%
61%
56% 55%
41%
20%
0%
Overall African Amer Asian
Filipino
Latino
White
Did we increase the numbers
for all race-ethnicity groups?
n
Completing College English
n
n
Laser FT Basic Skills Students
n  YES – All groups increased
since baseline years
Laser FT College Students
n  Most groups increased a little
n  Highest increase: African Americans
n  No net increase: Latinos
Progress : Who and why?
n
For the groups that made progress:
à Which initiatives or other factors
could have helped?
Thoughts? Observations?
Student ed goal groups
allow us to:
n
Get beyond one number.
n
n
Measure progress along the way.
n
n
n
10 student groups (4 degree/transfer groups)
Progress milestones
Determine whether groups are making
progress compared to past cohorts
See the effect of initiatives.
Next steps:
n
n
Follow Fall 15 Cohort
FYE & other Learning Communities
n
n
n
Equity projects
n
n
Mostly Laser FT Basic Skills Students
How are these students progressing?
More initiatives to study!
Completions in Fall 13 and 14 cohorts
n
After 2 or 3 years.