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Historical temporal trends of hydro-climatic variables and runoff response to climate variability
and their relevance in water resource management in the Hanjiang basin
By: Chen, H (Chen, Hua); Guo, SL (Guo, Shenglian); Xu, CY (Xu, Chong-Yu); Singh, VP (Singh, Vijay P.)
110 Times Cited
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45 Cited References
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JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
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Volume: 344 Issue: 3-4 Pages: 171-184
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.06.034
(data from Web of Science TM Core
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Published: OCT 15 2007
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Abstract
The Danjiangkou reservoir lies in the upper Hanjiang basin and is the source of water for the middle route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project
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(SNWDP) in China. Any significant change in the magnitude or timing of runoff from the Danjiangkou reservoir induced by changes in climatic variables
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would have significant implications for the economic prosperity of the area in the Hanjiang basin as well as for the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.
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In this paper the following issues are investigated: (1) Temporal trends of annual and seasonal precipitation and temperature from 1951 to 2003 in the
43 in BIOSIS Citation Index
Hanjiang basin are analyzed using the Mann-Kendall and the linear regression methods; spatial distributions of precipitation and temperature are
17 in Chinese Science Citation
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interpolated by the inverse distance weighted interpolation method. (2) Temporal trends of runoff, precipitation and temperature from 1951 to 2003 in the
Danjiangkou reservoir, an upper stream basin of the Hanjiang River, are further tested. (3) To assess the impact of climate change on water resources and
0 in Data Citation Index
predict the future runoff change in the Danjiangkou reservoir basin, a two-parameter water balance model is used to simulate the hydrological response for
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the climate change predicted by GCMs for the region for the period of 2021-2050.
1 in SciELO Citation Index
The results indicate that (1) at the alpha= 0.05 significance level precipitation in the Hanjiang basin has no trend, but the temperature in the same region
has significant upward trends in most parts of the Hanjiang basin. (2) The mean annual, spring, and winter run-offs in the Danjiangkou reservoir basin have
decreasing trends. (3) The results simulated for the period 2021-2050 show that runoff of the Danjiangkou reservoir would increase in all the seasons,
mainly in response to the predicted precipitation increase in the region. Sensitivity analysis shows that a 1 degrees C and 2 degrees C increase in
temperature would reduce the mean annual runoff to about 3.5% and 7%, respectively. A decrease/ increase of the mean monthly precipitation of 20% and
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10% would decrease/ increase the mean annual runoff to about 30% and 15%, respectively. The results of this study provide a scientific reference not only
for assessing the impact of the climate change on water resources and the flood prevention in the Hanjiang basin, but also for dimensioning the middle
route of the SNWDP in China. (c) 2007 Published by Elsevier B.V.
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Last 180 Days: 21
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Keywords
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Author Keywords: trends analysis; Mann-Kendall; climate variability; water balance model; Danjiangkou reservoir; south-to-north water; diversion project
KeyWords Plus: BALANCE MODEL; RIVER-BASIN; YANGTZE-RIVER; MANN-KENDALL; CHINA; TEMPERATURE; STREAMFLOW; QUALITY;
SERIES; TESTS
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Amirataee, Babak. Trends analysis of
quantitative and qualitative changes in
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Web of Science [v.5.21.1] - All Databases Full Record
Reprint Address: Guo, SL (reprint author)
Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Donghunanlu 8, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China.
groundwater with considering the
autocorrelation coefficients in west of
Lake Urmia, Iran . ENVIRONMENTAL
EARTH SCIENCES, MAR 2016.
Addresses:
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[ 1 ] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China
[ 2 ] Univ Oslo, Dept Geosci, NO-0316 Oslo, Norway
[ 3 ] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
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[ 4 ] Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, S-75105 Uppsala, Sweden
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E-mail Addresses: slguo@whu.edu.cn
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ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
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Categories / Classification
Research Areas: Engineering; Geology; Water Resources
Web of Science Categories: Engineering, Civil; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Water Resources
Document Information
Document Type: Article
Language: English
Accession Number: WOS:000250690800002
ISSN: 0022-1694
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Other Information
IDS Number: 227XI
Cited References in Web of Science Core Collection: 45
Times Cited in Web of Science Core Collection: 110
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