Status
2009 Fraser River Sockeye In-season Status
Week of: Nov. 1 - Nov. 7, 2009
Date: Nov. 4, 2009
Sockeye
Early
Early
Birken
Stuart Summer Summer -head
Late
Fraser
Pinks
Total
Run Size
Pre-season Forecast
In-season Estimate
165,000 739,000 8,677,000 334,000 573,000 10,488,000 17,535,000
85,000 175,000
650,000 60,000 400,000 1,370,000 19,500,000
Catch excluding Fraser River Aboriginal (FSC & EO) and Fraser R. Recreational
"Outside" Catch
2,110
7,610
24,160
250
850
82,460 186,420
82,710 187,270
85,000 175,000
84,820 194,880
3,130
11,160
48,170
3,706,520
2,960
616,280
619,240
650,000
810
2,690
67,050 351,240
67,860 353,930
55,770 374,760
7,560
1,303,450
1,311,010
1,340,530
n/a
n/a
n/a
6,052,000
643,400
70,990 365,090
1,359,180
n/a
41,690
n/a
Gross Escapement
FRA Catch Below Mission (incld. FSC & EO)
Escapement-to-date @ Mission
Potential Gross Escapement
Adjusted Gross Esc. Target *
Accounted-to-date
Catch + Escapement to Mission
Potential Remaining To Come
Potential En-route
180
0
6,600
0
34,910
Catch Excluding Fraser R. Aboriginal and Above-Mission Recreational Catch
Canadian Commercial (inclds selective)
U.S. Commercial
Marine Area Aboriginal
Test Fishing
Canadian Charter (Albion & Qualark TF)
Canadian Marine Recreational
U.S. TI Ceremonial
U.S. Recreational
Total
0
0
110
1,940
60
0
0
0
2,110
0
0
1,350
5,520
260
0
480
0
7,610
0
0
5,060
15,760
1,260
0
2,080
0
24,160
0
0
830
1,580
60
0
660
0
3,130
0
0
2,570
7,340
260
0
990
0
11,160
0
0
9,920
32,140
1,900
0
4,210
0
48,170
919,730
2,722,330
10,210
13,670
2,790
33,890
700
3,200
3,706,520
Fraser R. Aboriginal and Above-Mission Recreational Catch
Canadian Fraser R. Recreational
Fraser R. Aboriginal Catch Reported-to-date
Catch Below Mission (incld. FSC & EO)
Catch Above Mission (incld. FSC & EO)
Total
Total In-river Catch
0
0
0
0
0
0
42,020
250
6,230
6,480
6,480
850
10,380
11,230
11,230
2,960
32,210
35,170
35,170
810
30
840
840
2,690
2,520
5,210
5,210
7,560
51,370
58,930
58,930
32,300
492,450
524,750
566,770
8,590
18,840
59,330
3,970
16,370
107,100
4,273,290
Total Catch in All Areas
Total
Timing and Diversion Assumptions
Area 20 Timing
Mission Timing
JS Diversion Rate - current
JS Diversion Rate - to date
29-Jun
5-Jul
30-Jul
5-Aug
4-Aug
10-Aug
12-Aug
10-Aug
18-Aug
29-Aug
28%
37%
* Adjusted gross escapement target = adjusted spawning escapement target plus expected catch in Fraser
River aboriginal, recreational and charter fisheries.
PSC
[Status]Status
12:21 PM 11/4/2009
1/4
TAC
2009 Fraser River Sockeye Salmon: TAC, Catch Balance and Potential Escapement
Week of: Nov. 1 - Nov. 7, 2009
Date: Nov. 4, 2009
Fraser Sockeye
Early
Early
Birken
Stuart Summer Summer -head
Fraser Pinks
Late
Total
Total
RUN STATUS, ESCAPEMENT NEEDS & AVAILABLE SURPLUS
In-season Run Size Estimate
85,000 175,000
650,000
60,000 400,000
1,370,000
19,500,000
Adult Spawning Escapement Target (SET)
85,000 175,000
520,000
48,000 320,000
1,148,000
6,000,000
%SET from TAM rrules
les
100%
Management Adjustment (MA)
100%
80%
80%
32,300 105,000
145,600
0
n/a
0.60
0.28
0.00
6.04
85,000 175,000
1,740
5,000
0
0
650,000
18,000
0
48,000 320,000
1,500
6,000
10,500 74,000
1,278,000
32,240
84,500
6,000,000
10,000
13,490,000
35,000
0
668,000
0
10,500 74,000
10,500 74,000
60,000 400,000
0
0
138,500
84,500
1,394,740
0
0
0
6,010,000
13,490,000
Proportional MA (pMA)
0.38
Adjusted Spawning Escapement Target (SET) *
Test Fishing (TF)
Surplus above Adjusted SET & Test fishing
80%
31%
0
282,900
0.00
DEDUCTIONS & TAC FOR INTERNATIONAL SHARING
7,000 12,000
0
0
86,740 180,000
0
0
Aboriginal Fishery Exemption (AFE)
Available Aboriginal Fishery Exemption
Total Deductions (Adj. SET + TF + Available AFE)
Available TAC for International Sharing
UNITED STATES (Washington) TAC
U.S. Share **
U.S. Payback **
67.7%
32.3%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Canadian Allocation
83.5%
Available Aboriginal Fishery Exemption (AFE)
Total Canadian Share
Marine Area Aboriginal FSC
Fraser River Aboriginal FSC
First Nations Allocations (including AFE)
Planned Recreational Shares
Purse Seine B
47.5%
Gillnet D
21 5%
21.5%
Gillnet E
25.0%
Troll G
0.0%
Troll H
6.0%
Commercial Allocations (inclds BCI FN Demo) 100.0%
Fraser River Aboriginal Economic Opportunity)
Total Commercial
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,500
10,500
2,730
7,770
10,500
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
74,000
74,000
19,240
54,760
74,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
84,500
84,500
21,970
62,530
84,500
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
74.3% 10,023,070
0
10,023,070
25,000
52,000
77,000
150,000
70.0% 6,502,350
4 0%
4.0%
371 560
371,560
6.5%
603,790
6.5%
603,790
13.0% 1,207,580
100.0% 9,289,070
507,000
9,796,070
1,940
0
0
0
110
6,480
0
60
6,650
8,590
5,520
480
0
480
1,350
11,230
0
260
12,840
18,840
15,760
2
2,090
090
0
2,090
5,060
35,170
0
1,260
41,490
59,340
1,580
660
0
660
830
840
0
60
1,730
3,970
7,340
990
0
990
2,570
5,210
0
260
8,040
16,370
32,140
4
4,210
210
0
4,210
9,920
58,930
0
1,900
70,750
107,100
13,670
962
962,090
090
1,764,140
2,726,230
10,210
524,760
75,910
922,520
1,533,400
4,273,300
10%
11%
9%
7%
4%
8%
22%
0
-6,650
-6,650
-480
-12,840
-13,320
-2,090
-41,490
-43,580
-660
8,770
8,110
-990
65,960
64,970
-4,220
13,750
9,530
740,700
8,489,670
9,230,370
76,410 156,160
-28%
-38%
,
,
55,370
97,600
85,000 175,000
-29,630 -77,400
590,660
-22%
,
461,450
520,000
-58,550
56,030 383,630
0%
****
,
56,030
****
48,000 320,000
8,030
****
1,262,890
15,226,700
0%
,
,
15,226,700
6,000,000
9,226,700
Treaty Indian Share **
Non-Indian Share
16.5%
0.0%
Total
0 25.7% 3,466,930
0
0
0
3,466,930
0 50.0% 1,733,465
0 50.0% 1,733,465
CANADA TAC
CATCH-TO-DATE
Test
T t IIndian
Treaty
di (W
(Wash.)
h)
Non-Indian (Wash.)
Washington
Marine Area Aboriginal
Fraser River Aboriginal
Recreational
Commercial
Canada
Total Catch in All Fisheries
Exploitation Rate (catch-to-date
(catch to date / run size)
CATCH REMAINING (BALANCE)
Washington
Canada
Balance Remaining [ below share / -above share]
ESCAPEMENT RELATIVE TO TARGETS
Potential Spawning Escapement (PSE) ***
Predicted Difference Between Estimates (%DBE)
PSE with p
predicted DBE removed
Spawning Escapement Target (SET)
Potential deviation from SET [ <target / >target ]
1,148,000
*
**
The adjusted SET is the lesser of the run size or the sum of the MA + TAM-defined SET.
Washington sockeye and pink shares according to Annex IV of the Pacific Salmon Treaty.
Sockeye: 16.5% of the TAC - payback (maximum of 5% of share). Payback in 2009 to be taken from Treaty Indian share.
*** Potential spawning escapement = total run size minus catch-to-date.
**** pMA and DBE estimates are available only for non-Harrison component of Late run, and so are unavailable for Late-run aggregate.
PSC
[Status]TAC
12:21 PM 11/4/2009
2/4
Sockeye_Review
2009 Fraser River Panel Sockeye Review
Week of: Nov. 1 - Nov. 7, 2009
Area
Weekly
Catch
Gear
%Fraser
Date: Nov. 4, 2009
Fraser Sockeye
Weekly
Cumul.
Commercial Catch
Canada
A & C Areas 1-10
Net
F Areas 1-10
Troll
G Areas 123-127,11-12
Troll
B Areas 11-16
PS
D Areas 11-13
GN
H Areas 12-16
Troll
H Areas 18-29
Troll
B Area 20
PS
E Area 29
GN
FRA Econ. Opp. + BCI FN Demo
Canadian Total
United States
Alaska
Net&Troll
Washington
T.I. Areas 4B/5/6C
Net
T.I. Areas 6/7/7A
Net
N.I. Areas 7/7A
Net
Washington Total
U.S. Total
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Non-commercial Catch
PSC Panel Area Test
PSC non-Panel Area Test
Fraser River Aboriginal (FSC)
Areas 12-124 Aboriginal
Recreational
Charter (Albion & Qualark TF)
U.S. TI Ceremonial
Non-comm. Total
20,400
11,740
58,930
9,920
0
1,893
4,200
107,080
Catch and Escapement
Catch Accounted-to-date
Potential Spawning Escapement (Mission esc. less FN, sport & Qualark TF catch above Mission)
Total Accounted-to-date
107,080
1,251,200
1,358,280
Gross Escapement (includes Pitt R. sockeye)
Run
EStu
ESum
Summ
Late
Stock/Group
Early Stuart
Early Summer
Quesnel/Chilko
L.Stu./Stel.
Birkenhead
Adams/L.Shuswap
Weav/L.Misc.
Sub 1s
Adjusted
Target *
85,000
175,000
650,000
55,770
374,760
Mission
Esc.
82,500
186,400
454,500
161,800
67,100
52,000
74,100
225,200
FN Below
Mission
300
800
2,200
700
800
700
1,000
1,100
Gross
Esc.
82,800
187,200
619,200
%
Complete
97%
107%
95%
67,900
354,100
122%
94%
############# ############# ############# #############
Racial Analysis
Area/Gear
E.Stuart
Date
Early Summer
n
%Fraser
Stocks/Percentages
Summer
Late
Scale: FBE=Fe,Bo,EShu;
Bi=Birk; Ha=Harr;
ES=EStu
CQ=Chil/Ques; LS=LStu/Stel
GNR=Ga,Na,Ra,Pi,Cwk
AW=Adam/Weav
DNA EM EMi
ET= E
l T
* Adjusted gross escapement
target
adjusted
spawning escapement target plus expected catch in Fraser River aboriginal,
recreational and charter fisheries.
PSC
[Status]Sockeye_Review
12:21 PM 11/4/2009
3/4
Pink_Review
2009 Fraser River Panel Pink Salmon Review
Week of: Nov. 1 - Nov. 7, 2009
Area
Gear
Weekly
Catch
Date: Nov. 4, 2009
Fraser Pinks
%Fraser Weekly
Cumul.
Commercial Catch
Canada
A & C Areas 1-10
Net
F Areas 1-10
Troll
G Areas 123-127,11-12
Troll
B Areas 11-16
PS
D+E Areas 11-16
GN
H Areas 12-16
Troll
H Areas 18-29
Troll
B Area 20
PS
B Area 29
PS
E Area 29
GN
FRA Econ. Opp. + BCI FN Demo
Canadian Total
United States
Alaska
Net
Washington
T.I. Areas 4B/5/6C
Net
T.I. Areas 6/7/7A
Net
N.I. Areas 7/7A
Net
Washington Total
U.S. Total
0
0
0
827,580
0
8,270
190
0
83,690
0
523,110
1,442,840
0
0
100
961,290
1,760,940
2,722,330
2,722,330
0
0
Non-commercial Catch
11,800
1,870
1,650
10,210
75,910
2,790
700
3,200
108,130
PSC Panel Area Test
PSC non-Panel Area Test
Fraser River Aboriginal
Areas 12-124 Aboriginal
Canadian Recreational
Charter (Albion & Qualark TF)
U.S. Ceremonial
U.S. Recreational
Non-comm. Total
Catch and Escapement
Catch Accounted-to-date
Potential Net Escapement (run size minus catch-to-date)
Total
PSC
4,273,290
15,226,710
19,500,000
[Status]Pink_Review
12:21 PM 11/4/2009
4/4