AN EXAMINATION OF HOTEL REPOSITIONING STRATEGIES: THREE CASE STUDIES By Lily K. Ng B.S. Hotel and Restaurant Management University of Houston, 1989 Submitted to the Department of Urban Studies and Planning in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science In Real Estate Development At the Massachusetts Institute of Technology September 1998 0 1998 Lily K. Ng All rights reserved The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly paper and electronic copies of this the is document in whole or in part Signature of Author ...... Departmen\of Ur n)Studies and Planning A -- A11 1998 ------.. - 2---- -- --. ---.. Lawrence S. Bacow Lee and Geraldine Martin Professor of Environmental Studies Thesis Supervisor Certified by ............................... Accepted by ....................-. S- -...................................-- -- - - - William C. Wheaton Chairman Development Estate Interdepartmental Program in Real MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY OCT 2 3 1998 LIBRARIES AN EXAMINATION OF HOTEL REPOSITIONING STRATEGIES: THREE CASE STUDIES By Lily K. Ng SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF URBAN STUDIES AND PLANNING ON AUGUST 1, 1998 IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT Abstract Hotels differ from ordinary commercial real estate in that lodgings require extensive management to maintain daily operations to generate revenue and cash flow. Also, hotels do not have defined income streams, such as long-term tenant leases that are typical in other types of real estate. A fluctuation of income reflects both daily room rental characteristics and the timing of economic cycles. A hotel's assets encompass its locational and physical attributes, as well as the business value generated by the hotel's cash flow, which relies heavily on the management's expertise and marketing abilities. When a hotel's image and product quality no longer match its desired position, the owner has the option to reposition the property. Repositioning is often triggered when a property is under-performing, suffering from financial distress and/or experiencing changes in ownership. The primary objective of repositioning is to improve the property's performance. The objective of this thesis is to explore the core issues and areas of concern which owners should be aware of when repositioning a hotel property. Specifically, Chapter One of this thesis sets up the parameters by which repositioning strategies can be evaluated. The chapter establishes the framework of the "resource-based" view of strategies, suggesting that the basis of a sound strategy starts with an entity's resources. Building on this view, this thesis will discuss the role that economic life cycles, branding, segmentation and externalities play on repositioning. The underlying strategies, applications and results of each case are discussed and examined. Finally, Chapter Five presents the implications of the cases and the main lessons learned from them. Thesis Advisor: Title: Lawrence S. Bacow Lee and Geralding Martin Professor of Environmental Studies Table of Contents ABSTRACT 2 PREFACE 5 10 CHAPTER ONE - RESPOSITIONING STRATEGY 1.1 INTRODUCTION 10 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 OWNERSHIP AND OPERATION STRUCTURE ECONOMIC LIFE CYCLE RENOVATIONS EXTERNALITIES BRANDING SEGMENTATION VERTICAL AND LATERAL POSITIONING MEASURING SUCCESS CONCLUSIONS 14 16 19 20 21 27 28 29 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.10 CHAPTER 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.10 2.11 32 Two - CASE STUDY: THE FAIRMONT COPLEY PLAZA BACKGROUND REPOSITIONING STRATEGY FAIRMONT HOTELS PURCHASING THE COPLEY PLAZA HOTEL RENOVATIONS ESTABLISHING PRESENCE IN BOSTON IMPROVE SERVICE QUALITY - STAFFING LOCAL MARKET PERFORMANCE PERFORMANCE ESTIMATES ESTIMATED RETURN ON INVESTMENTS CONCLUSIONS CHAPTER THREE - CASE STUDY: THE 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.10 30 32 33 34 37 38 40 41 42 45 48 50 54 D/FW LAKEs HILTON BACKGROUND REPOSITIONING STRATEGY MARKET NICHE - CONFERENCE CENTERS EXPERT MANAGEMENT - DOLCE INTERNATIONAL D/FW LAKES HILTON HOTEL FACILITIES MARKET PENETRATION BRAND AFFILIATION PERFORMANCE ETIMATES ESTIMATED RETURN ON INVESTMENTS CONCLUSIONS 54 54 55 60 63 65 66 67 69 70 73 CHAPTER FOUR - CASE STUDY: FAIRFIELD INN SCOTTSDALE 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 BACKGROUND PERFORMANCE ESTIMATES ESTIMATED RETURN ON INVESTMENTS 73 73 73 75 79 82 83 85 87 4.10 CONCLUSIONS 88 BRISTOL HOTEL COMPANY REPOSITIONING STRATEGY COMPETITIVE MARKET PROFILE FAIRFIELD INN COMPETITIVE POSITION RENOVATIONS BRANDING 90 CHAPTER FIVE - CONCLUSIONS 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 INTRODUCTION HOW DOES OWNERSHIP TYPE AFFECT A REPOSITIONING STRATEGY? HOW DOES BRANDING AFFECT A REPOSITIONING STRATEGY? HOW DO MARKET FORCES IMPACT A REPOSITIONING STRATEGY? HOW DOES MANAGEMENT AFFECT A REPOSITIONING STRATEGY? PRODUCT KNOWLEDGE WHAT IS THE RIGHT PRICE AND HOW MUCH TO RENOVATE? 90 91 93 95 98 99 100 5.8 CONCLUSIONS 103 APPENDIX: REECNT PERFORMANCE OF THE US HOTEL MARKET 105 REFERENCES 107 Preface Hotels differ from ordinary commercial real estate in that lodging properties require extensive management to maintain daily operations and generate revenue and cash flow. Hotels also do not have defined income streams, such as long-term tenant leases, that are typical in other types of real estate. A fluctuation of income reflects both daily room rental characteristics and the timing of economic cycles. A hotel's assets encompass its locational and physical attributes, as well as the business value generated by the hotel's cash flow, which relies heavily on the management's expertise and marketing abilities. In addition, the going-concern value that a brand or flag contributes to the hotel is a part of the overall valuation. The unique brand qualities of a hotel, which influence customers' decisions to choose one hotel over another, is known as market positioning. Owners should be aware of, and concerned about, their hotel's market position, as it establishes the property's marketing strategy, which directly influences the performance and value of the real asset. In addition to the physical life cycle of a building, a hotel, as a business entity, is subject to business cycles, including development, growth, stabilization and deterioration (or rejuvenation), that are affected by economic and management factors. A product or brand that works well at one time may become unattractive or obsolete when it no longer meets market demand. Coupled with ongoing changes in hotel ownership and management, market positioning is an evolving process, which requires constant monitoring and evaluation. When a hotel's image and product quality no longer match its desired market position, the owner has the option to reposition the property. Repositioning is often triggered when a property is under-performing, suffering from financial distress and/or experiencing changes in ownership. The primary objective of repositioning is to improve the property's performance. According to Kamer and DeMyer, there are four alternatives that owners can consider for turning around troubled hotels: (1) additional equity investment; (2) repositioning the hotel property, either with the existing hotel management or in conjunction with the replacement of the existing hotel operator; (3) the sale of the property; or (4) a loan workout or the refinancing of the existing debt. Repositioning represents a plan or action that will assist an under-performing hotel to be more responsive to market dynamics and regain its competitiveness in the market, and thus maximize financial returns to its owners1 . The goal of repositioning is to create competitive advantages, thus allowing the property to expand its market share by either increasing penetration in the existing customer base or venturing into new markets. Repositioning implies the re-doing or improving of an existing condition. The crucial idea is to create differences in the customers' perception of the repositioned property. If customers are unable to disassociate their impression of the pre-repositioned property, the strategy will likely fail to achieve the results it desires. To achieve differences, whether they are actual or perceived, repositioning often involves drastic changes in the property's tangible and/or intangible assets. The changes may include the changing of facilities, 1Bohan, Gregory T. Bohan and Cahill, Michael, 1992. "Determining the Feasibility of Hotel Market Positioning." Real Estate Review Volume 22, No.1 / Spring 1992 furniture, fixtures, brand affiliation, management, pricing strategy, and market orientation. The initial outlay of capital to achieve these changes can be substantial. Repositioning is not only an important decision; sometimes it is the last viable option for a property in distress. Therefore, it is in the owner's interest to ensure that proper repositioning strategies are planned, executed and implemented. However, many institution and independent owners do not have the knowledge or expertise in hotel operations to make the best repositioning decision. Additionally, today's hotel market is flooded with many lodging products and brands that all claim to have a unique market niche, which makes repositioning a difficult, and often confusing, task. The objective of this thesis is to explore the core issues and areas of concerns which owners should be aware of when repositioning a hotel property. Specifically, Chapter one of the thesis sets up the parameters by repositioning strategies can be evaluated. The chapter establishes the frameworks of the "resource-based" view 2 of strategies, suggesting that the basis of a sound strategy starts with an entity's resources. Building on this view, the thesis will discuss the role that economic life cycles, branding, segmentation and externalities play in repositioning. Chapters two, three, and four include case studies of hotels that went through various degrees of repositioning. The underlying strategies, applications and results of each case are discussed and examined. Finally, Chapter five presents the implications of the cases and the main lessons learnt from them. 2 Collis, Davis J. and Montgomery, Cynthia A., 1998. "Corporate Strategy: A Resource-Based Approach." Irwin/McGraw-Hill Inc. 1998 Data for the thesis was collected through literature reviews and through interviews with hotel asset managers, management companies, owners, operators and consultants. Case Studies The first case illustrates how a new owner converted the business orientation of a historic property from the mid-price market to an upscale segment by capitalizing on a well-established brand name. Although the hotel was not in financial distress prior to acquisition, the new owner improved the property's facilities and service quality. Two years after the acquisition, the hotel has improved its overall revenue, although it is trailing the competitive luxury hotels in room rate. More importantly, the hotel has achieved a significant entry into the Northeast market, which aligns with the brand's expansion strategy. The second case is an example of how a hotel transformed from a transient property to a conference center by focusing on a market niche and the hotel's location and unique conference facilities. The hotel was not in financial distress prior to repositioning. In fact, the hotel was performing well in its class, given the property's condition and market potentials. The repositioning plan allowed the hotel to capture a fast-growing conference market. The property's RevPAR (revenue per available room) increased over 30 percent after the repositioning. purchase price. The hotel was sold three years later at over twice its original The third case contains analysis of the impact and penetration of a limited-service property located in a market pressured by an influx of new competition. A repositioning and renovation plan was necessary before new products came online and the property's market share completely eroded. The hotel's renovation budget and its projected performance were evaluated and measured against the actual operating results. Acknowledgments I would like to express my sincere thanks to Faimont Hotel Management, Jones Lang Wootton Realty Advisors, Dolce International and Bristol Hotel Company for contributing information to the case studies. Special thanks to Florida Booth and John Keeling of PKF Consulting, from whom I learned valuable consulting skills and gained the good experience needed to complete this thesis. I also want to thank all the hotel professionals, most of them good friends, who openly shared with me their knowledge and experience. Finally, I owe the deepest gratitude to Professor Lawrence Bacow for his untiring advice and patience that has guided me through this thesis. Chapter One: Repositioning Strategies 1.1 Introduction This thesis will examine the fundamentals of repositioning strategies, borrowing concepts from the resource-based approach. Although the approach primarily addresses a firm's competitive advantage in a single business unit, and corporate advantages across various businesses, the approach provides a basic framework for identifying the core elements that define a sound strategy. The premise behind hotel properties needing to be repositioned is that the market is imperfect: for instance, the products are heterogeneous (i.e., there are many types of hotels, differentiated by service levels and product quality); asymmetric information is held by each competitor in the market; and there is limited demand. Repositioning is a means for properties that have lost, or are losing, their competitive edge, to regain a competitive advantage. A well-defined repositioning strategy should allow a property to explore market inefficiencies and thus maximize profit. According to Learned, Chistensen and Andrews (1965), a strategy fulfills two important purposes: the external positioning of a firm in relation to its competitors, and the internal alignment of the firm's activities and investments. The first case study, of the Fairmont hotel purchasing a mid-priced property and converting it into an upscale hotel, is an example of a company investing in a property that is aligned with the company's product orientation, thus providing advantages for the overall company. The resource-based view3 assumes that each firm (within the context of this thesis, this also includes the property and operator) is different from others because each firm has a unique bundle of resources. "Resources, (therefore), are the substance of strategy, the very essence of sustainable competitive advantage." Some resources can be seen and touched, such as the building's location and furnishings, while other resources exist as concepts and ideas, like talents and brand reputation. Some resources have a terminal life, some require an accumulation over time, and some can cross borders and cultures. Resources can be grouped into three general categories: tangible assets, intangible assets and organizational capabilities. Tangible assets, in the context of a hotel, include all physical resources, such as the hotel, meeting facilities, kitchen equipment, sleeping rooms and swimming pools. Not all tangible assets are sources of competitive advantage. Standard furnishings in a hotel room, such as a bed, a writing desk and chair, are expected in all hotels. It is the quality of the furnishings and added features, that distinguishes one hotel from another. For instance, a hotel that has a large ballroom will be able to host larger events than a hotel which has a small ballroom. ballroom gives that hotel a competitive advantage. The larger size of the A hotel's location is also considered a tangible asset. A hotel that is adjacent to a convention center, for example, has an advantage over its competitor five blocks away. Some tangible 3 Discussions on "resource-based view" of strategy are drawn heavily from works by Collis, Davis J. and Montgomery, Cynthia A., 1998. "Corporate Strategy: A Resource-Based Approach." Irwin/McGraw-Hill Inc. 1998. Quotes are direct translations from the same work unless otherwise noted. assets are consumable, and need to be replaced or replenished periodically, hence, the need for hotel renovations. Intangible assets of a hotel include such things as the hotel's reputation, brand recognition and management expertise. Internationally recognized brands, such as Hilton, Marriott and Sheraton, typically have the ability to attract a larger customer base than a local, independently operated hotel. Certain companies are able to appeal to some travel groups more than to others. Intangible assets are flexible and change over time. Although they cannot be consumed when used, intangible assets can grow, improve or diminish. Organizational capabilities are "complex combinations of assets, people, and processes that organizations use to transform inputs and outputs." Organizational capabilities refer to the efficiency and effectiveness of an organization, which allow the organization to perform better and faster and be more responsive. A hotel company that has fewer divisions and reporting channels may have an advantage over another company that has a bureaucratic structure. Similarly, if a hotel has an empowerment policy, which allows front-line staff to resolve guests' problems without going through layers of supervisors and approvals, the hotel can be more responsive to customers' complaints. advantage. This would give the hotel a competitive However, a hotel must have the appropriate resources, such as the budget for staff training, to implement such a policy. A good strategy starts with a thorough understanding of the resources existing in the hotel, operator and owning entity. However, since not all resources contribute to a strategy, the owner should pinpoint those resources that are valuable, and invest in them, upgrade and leverage them, to formulate a sound strategy. What constitutes a resource to be valuable depends on three factors that exist between the firm and the competitive environment: demand, scarcity and appropriability (Exhibit 1). As Brandenburger and Stuart (1996) explained, "value is created in the intersection of three sets: when a resource is demanded by customers, when it cannot be replicated by competitors and when the profits it generates are captured by the firm." Exhibit 1: What makes a resource valuable? The dynamic interplay of three fundamental market forces. Source: Collis, Davis J. and Montgomery, CynthiaA, 1995. "Competing on Resources: Strategy in the 1990s." Harvard Business Review: July-August 1995. The concept of valuable resources, when applied to a hotel's repositioning strategy, forces the property to not only look inwardly into what resources the entity possesses, but also take into consideration the competition and market dynamics. For repositioning strategies, the owner has to decide which of the existing resources should be retained and which should be eliminated or altered, and which of the resources would provide the property with future competitive advantages. For instance, a property planning to reposition from a limited-service hotel into an extended-stay property may decide to change the plan if several new extended-stay products are slated to open. New competition entering the market signifies that scarcity of supply will diminish. Unless demand is increasing at the same rate as supply, and offsets the impact of increasing competition, an additional product targeting the same market segment may not generate the results to justify any repositioning plan. In summary, the purpose of a strategy is to fulfill the goals of externally positioning a firm in relation to its competitors, and internally aligning the firm's activities and investments. A sound resource-based strategy that will fulfill these two purposes requires owners to identify, invest in, upgrade and leverage the valuable resources available and surrounding the property, owner and operator. However, it is almost impossible to identify all resources. This thesis will focus on six issues that are pertinent and commonly considered in a hotel-repositioning situation. 1.2 Ownership and Operation Structure Hotels, unlike other real estate, often involve separate ownership and management. With the exceptions of small properties, such as a bed-and-breakfast, most hotels employ managers to run the property. (Many hotel companies also own hotels; however, the actual owners are usually shareholders, who are not involved in the daily operations of the hotel). The arrangements between the owning and managing entities give rise to different kinds of resources that need to be considered in a repositioning plan. However, the structure may not have a direct impact on the success or failure of the plan. For instance, if a property is targeting a market that is deteriorating, the hotel is going to perform poorly regardless of the ownership/management structure. On the other hand, a hotel owned and operated by the same entity can implement a plan more directly, and avoid unnecessary procedures of approvals and authorization. Since the operator has full control to make the changes necessary to achieve the desired position, results can be measured more readily and the owner can make decisions quickly and be responsive to customers' needs. To the extent the structure can provide competitive advantages, such as reduced management and franchise fees, it is a resource that should be accounted for when forming a repositioning strategy. Separate ownership and management may give rise to conflicting ideas about the property's new identity. Owners may have pre-conceived ideas of the kind of hotel they want, which could be different from what the operator can deliver or what the operator sees as the market niche. Owners can also have chain preferences that are not appropriate for the property or target market. These conflicts tend to be minimized if the hotel owner and operator are the same entity. 1.3 Economic Life Cycle The economic life cycle of a hotel, an important aspect of a tangible asset, goes through four stages: Youth (1-5 years), Maturity (3-10 years), Middle Age (8-17 years) and Senior Citizen (15-35 years), according to Gregory and Cahill. The chart in Exhibit 2 illustrates the characteristics and repositioning strategies at each stage of the hotel's life cycle. At each stage, a hotel's physical and business characteristics give rise to a different repositioning strategy. At an early age, since a hotel's facilities and still in good condition, the property's challenge is usually related to management. However, there could also have been a mismatching of market and improvements since the hotel's inception. A hotel can be built too lavishly for a market that does not support high-end products, or a hotel's facilities can be inferior in quality, which gives the property a competitive disadvantage. In either scenario, there is a mismatch of product and market demand which requires some retooling. At this stage, owners are less inclined to put additional capital into changing the facility; repositioning typically takes place by changing management or through market and sales efforts. The owner should be aware that it takes a few years, typically between two to four, for a new property to stabilize operations. Repositioning can prolong the stabilization period. When a hotel reaches a more mature stage, repositioning almost always includes renovations. Approximately five years after a hotel has opened, some of the soft goods, such as furnishings and carpeting, require replacement. Depending on how the property has been maintained, it displays various degrees of deterioration. As the property continues to age, its market position becomes increasingly vulnerable to the condition of its facilities, in addition to market and economic factors. Owners neglecting reinvestment in the hotel may eventually find their property less competitive and losing market share. Exhibit 2: Economic Life Cycle of A Hotel Considerations and Possible Problems Typical Identify Characteristics of Repositioning Possible Repositioning Strategies Candidate Should management spend uneconomic None Hotel may be over-improved dollars to maintain an overimprovement Phase of Economic Life Youth (1 to 5 years) Hotel may have built with inappropriate market orientation Shift hotel's marketing strategy May have to restaff entire marketing department Inexperienced management of inefficient marketing Change management company New management must be able to operate more efficiently. There may be costly buyout provisions in the existing management contract Maturity Precedingcharacteristics,PLUS (3 to 10 years) Facilities showing minor to substantial wear and tear Renovate property Check adequacy of Reserve for Replacement amounts and capital expenditures External obsolescence Often limited alternatives Property may be helpless victim of forces beyond its control Middle Age Precedingcharacteristics,PLUS (8 to 17 years) Extensive physical deterioration Extensive renovation or complete rehabilitation program Will the renovation be cost effective? Functional obsolescence Renovate or downgrade property Newer hotels may be coming into market with modern, better designed facilities Declining market shares and average room rates Downgrade property to lower ADR niche What should be done with in-needed facilities (eg restaurants, lounges, and meeting space)? Senior Precedingcharacteristics,PLUS Citizens (15 to 35 years) Extensive deferred maintenance and physical deterioration Completely renovate property May not have economic justification Rapid loss of market penetration; External obsolescence Complete repositioning program External factors usually cannot be controlled by management Blatant and overwhelming functional obsolescence Downgrading property or convert to alternative use (eg retirement center) Lower ADR market segments overbuilt; conversion alternative limited or nonexistent Value of the land, as if vacant, exceeds value of property as improved (after demolition costs) Demolition of hotel to make way for better use Realization that the property is worth only the value of the land ~,ure:lohn,(reo~ TI Source: Bohan, Gregory IY~ naLahiMinat Cahl, Michae, 1992. and errmnigin De th& PULUU~CJ IV~iIIUI~ v';.11w u&iivs vi"n 1.4 Renovations Renovation is one of the main considerations in a repositioning plan. It is sometimes the most crucial factor in giving a hotel competitive advantage and determining the property's capability to penetrate the targeted markets. The biggest question that owners always have is "How much to spend?" Sometimes it is not the size of the capital budget that determines the success of a repositioning plan, but how effective the use of the budget is. The amount spent on renovations should be evaluated against the hotel's estimated improved performance. For instance, a property can measure the per-room EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) before and after renovations to compare the incremental value contributed by renovations. A word of advice from an industry expert: "Do not commit more than you can spend." In addition to a well thought-out renovation plan, the owner should be prepared for budget contingencies occurring during renovations. Hidden costs, such as asbestos removal (typical for hotels built in the 70s), are common and substantially inflate the total renovation budget. If the owner is depending on tax credits, such as those available to historic restorations, the owner should be aware of the restrictions, qualifications and cost overrun common when renovating older buildings. In the case of the Fairmont Copley Plaza, for example, management decided not to register the hotel with the Historic Registry after comparing the mild economic benefits with high on-going maintenance costs. Most importantly, the owner should have a realistic idea about what he is getting with the planned budget. If a hotel's repositioning objective is to compete with luxury properties, the renovation plan and budget should reflect that goal. If the owner's ability to fund a renovation plan does not support the repositioning strategy, the owner should revise the strategy. A half-executed renovation plan will hinder the property from achieving the targeted results. 1.5 Externalities A hotel is subject to external factors that may force the property out of its competitive position. Factors such as economic downturn, increasing supply, decreasing demand, and growing pressure from competitors negatively affect the property's performance. These factors are typically unforeseeable and beyond the control of the owner and/or operator. When there are fundamental shifts in the economic and market dynamics, repositioning may not be effective. This has been evident in the last decade of the U.S. hotel market. The hotel development boom in the mid 80s, followed by the economic downturn in the early 90s, forced many hotels into financial distress. (See Appendix A for a brief discussion of the recent performance of the hotel industry) While some hotels were able to reposition and remain in business, many closed because there was insufficient demand to support the level of supply, and marginal reserves did not cover the costs of operations. Ironically, the U.S. hotel market's conditions during the last decade created excellent repositioning opportunities in the mid 90s. Investors took the opportunities of an improved economy and management efficiencies to devise repositioning plans for existing and closed properties. Adding to the fact that many hotels were purchased at deep discounts in the early 90s, investors could afford to invest in improving facilities to complement the appropriate repositioning strategies. Eager to improve a property's performance during bad economic times, investors often commit the common mistake of "throwing good money after bad money." Many investors are led to believe that, by renovating the property, changing brand affiliation, or targeting a niche market, the hotel's occupancy will turn around and revenue will improve. Investors must understand the macro economic conditions, such as the employment trends and disposable income levels, and recognize the sources and depth of hotel demand before justifying a repositioning plan. Repositioning does not answer all performance problems. 1.6 Branding Branding encompasses studies of consumer behaviors that are key to understanding consumer goods marketing. A hotels in many ways is a consumer product, in that each guestroom is "consumed" upon sale, and a customer purchases the product for immediate (or near-term) enjoyment. The commodity, a hotel room night, is exhaustible, i.e., a room night that is not used today will be gone tomorrow. A hotel as a business entity has a name and/or brand affiliation. Hotels that are independent, or non-chain affiliated, have created brands of their own, only that the brands are unique to the specific properties. As such, all hotels face the issues of branding to varying degrees. Although a hotel's market position constitutes more than its brand or chain affiliation, the brand's marketing abilities, and the perception of customers, have a direct impact on the hotel's overall repositioning strategy. Smith Travel Research suggests that the hotel industry averages about 1,500 brandchanges annually, which is a ten-fold increase over 1987. This reflects increasing competition among the brands, as more brands are available on the market; each brand promises something different to the customers, a unique market niche, and each brand is competitive in its fees. To the extent that owners and franchisees associate a property with a brand is to take advantage of the brand's marketing abilities to generate and increase business. Owners should ask these questions concerning branding in a repositioning strategy: How will the property benefit from brand "X"? What are the costs and benefits of selecting a particular brand? All else being equal, which brand is the most appropriate for the property? Before an owner or franchisee selects a brand, he should have an understanding of the basic concepts of branding strategy. Dr. Nykiel (1998) suggested seven basic concepts, and the roles they play in the overall branding strategy. These include: brand equity, loyalty, awareness, perceived awareness, association, position and name/symbol. Brand equity is the "net result of all the positives and negatives linked to the brand." Brand equity can increase or decrease over a short-or long-term period, depending activities the brand is involved in. A brand's value can be derived from the price premium, the impact of the name on customer preference, the replacement cost of the brand and the stock price. Brand loyalty refers to the level, or degree, that customers are committed to a brand. Marketing programs, such as those that promote frequent use, are a good way to boost brand loyalty. For instance, business travelers tend to select hotels that offer "points" or "credits" for each hotel stay. This incentive often influences a customer's decision. A solid base of loyal customers is a valuable resource and provides positive marketing and brand awareness. Brand awareness is typically built over time. Marketing campaigns, advertising and slogans can increase brand awareness. Brand awareness can be a result of positive and negative publicity. Brands that tend to have higher exposure and extensions are easily recognized and have a higher awareness among customers. If a property has a small target market, general public awareness of the brand may only have a small impact on generating business. Perceived quality is the expectation of the customers based on their subjective experiences, and is derived from the tangible and intangible qualities such as hotel facilities and service. Perceived quality is often what customers rely on to make purchasing decisions. Perceived quality is often tied to price/value. Brand associations refer to anything that "mentally links" to the brand. It is the trigger-point to which guests refer when making a purchase decision. For instance, customers recalling having a good time, or with good memories of an event at a certain hotel, have positive associations with the property, and are likely to use the hotel again. Consumers generate many associations with a property even in one visit. The more memorable the experience, the easier the customer is persuaded to use the hotel again. Brandposition reflects the appropriate "place" which one brand differentiates from the other. Studies on brand positioning suggest that a position consists of a "bundle of attributes." There are two perspectives on brand positioning: the brand's management and the guests' impressions. These can be viewed as the internal and external factors of branding. A brand's position reflects how it is managed, and vice versa. If the management of an upscale brand is unable to deliver services to support the intended brand image, the brand's reputation will be downgraded. This brings up the second factor, which is the perception of the customers. Customers' perceptions are often based on their expectations. Consumer behavior theory states that customers' perception of, and preference for, a brand or business is what influences their consumption decisions. It was found that consumers of hospitality services tend to include a range of emotional and functional attributes of the product (or service) they consume. Similar to the resource-based view of strategy discussed earlier in this thesis, attributes that shape the position of a brand are either tangible (the physical property) or intangible (services offered). It has been suggested that a successful position comprises three elements: it differentiates the brand; it locates the brand's specific benefit dimensions and it creates an image. A successful brand position should align the property's actual qualities with the image it tries to attain. It should also provide associations that add value and/or persuade customers to make purchasing decisions. Brand name and symbol are the tangible assets that give associations to the brand. A proper name or symbol can communicate the product's type and quality. For instance, extended-stay hotels, such as Residence Inns, or Homestead Village, typically select names that convey the idea of home comfort and convenience. Properties that include "suites" intends to promote the suite product, and target customers who use suites. Some brands venture out different products, but have these products maintain association with the same brand in order to capitalize on the positive perceptions of the main brand. For instance, Hilton rolled out the Garden Inns and Hilton Suites brands, and Marriott has Residence Inn by Marriott, Courtyard by Marriott and Fairfield Inn by Marriott. While some of the brand extensions are successful in identifying product differences, others created confusion with the main brand and product. Therefore, hotel owners should be careful when selecting a brand name that can best represent the product. Based on these branding concepts, owners can conduct a simple analysis, such as the "Brand Strategy Rating" developed by Dr. Nykiel (see Exhibit 3), to evaluate how the brand is performing in a hotel. A low rating suggests that the brand is not providing full value to the hotel, and owners should consider changing to another brand. Exhibit 3: Brand Strategy Rating Components ____ _ _ __ _ ___ Poor _ __ _ __ _ _ 1 Fair 2 Average Good Outstanding 3 4 5 Loyalty Awareness Perceived Quality/Value * Positive Position Within Category Differentiating Characteristics Name Recognition Brand Symbol Recognizable Slogan Marketing Programs Compatibility Relative to Your Competitive Segment I * Relative to your competitive segment Add up the score and multiply by two to see how your brand performs on 100% scale. Source: Dr. Ronald Nykiel In the context of repositioning, owners, in order to create a "new" image may consider switching to another brand that offers comparable value, even if the existing brand has a high rating. If customers' predisposed perceptions are too deep or have been formed for a long time, it may be too costly and time consuming to re-educate the market about the advantages of the new property. Sometimes it is better to start fresh by introducing a new brand. As such, in addition to rating the effectiveness of the existing brand, the owner should also consider the positive and negative attributes of the brand after repositioning. Owners should also be aware of all costs associated with changing brands. In addition to the actual management and franchise fees and one-time initiation fees, terminating an existing franchise or management contract can be costly. If these contracts prove too expensive to terminate, the owner may have no choice but to retain them, which may impact the overall outcome of the repositioning strategy. 1.7 Segmentation Segmentation in the lodging industry has proliferated in the last ten to twenty years with new products and brands entering the market. Each product assumes that it markets to and captures a particular segment, thus making it different than others. Segmentation, in many ways, is a marketing concept. Segmentation is typically achieved through product differences, such as limited service vs. full service vs. resort properties. Segmentation can also be achieved through brand associations. For instance, Ritz Carlton hotels are known to be luxury, full-service properties that have at least a formal dining room and a lounge, and a Motel Six is recognized as an economy motor-hotel that has external entrances and no on-site food facilities. The client base and market mixes for these two brands can be very different. A study conducted by PKF Consulting in 1997 compared the trends of market mix for five major lodging product segments between 1990 and 1996. (See Exhibit 4) With the exceptions of limited service and resort properties, there was no significant change in market mix in any segment. The report concluded that economic factors have a larger influence on travelers' choice of hotels than other attributes such as facilities and management efficiency. In 1990 and in the early 90s, many companies reduced travel budgets, which forced many business travelers to switch to the less expensive limitedservice hotels. When the economy improved, more business travelers returned to full- service properties, and companies returned to staying at resorts to conduct meetings. The report suggested that "niche products tend to show their strengths not in times of prosperity, but in times of recession." During times of rising occupancy and room rate, there are fewer choices for consumers. Customers are likely to stay at any hotel that is available. In this regard, segmentation has little impact. However, during a depressed market and when competition is tight, properties accentuate their competitive strengths, and product differentiation play a larger role in influencing consumers' purchase decisions. Exhibit 4: Mix Of Demand Business 1990 1996 Leisure 1990 1996 Small Meetings 1990 1996 Full Service 45.0% 41.0% 26.0% 26.7% 13.0% Limited Service 58.0% 46.9% 34.0% 50.0% 2.0% Resort All-Suite Convention All Hotels 7.0% 47.0% 24.0% 39.5% 11.5% 49.7% 23.0% 39.3% 62.0% 27.0% 22.0% 30.4% 55.8% 28.2% 21.2% 34.1% 11.0% 10.0% 24.0% 12.8% Conventions 1990 1996 Other 1990 1996 12.1% 10.0% 15.4% 6.0% 4.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 5.0% 1.0% 12.2% 10.1% 12.4% 9.6% 15.0% 9.0% 25.1% 11.8% 17.2% 9.7% 40.6% 13.7% 5.0% 7.0% 5.0% 5.5% 3.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% Source: PKF Consulting 1.8 Vertical and Lateral Repositioning Perceptual maps are graphical representations of the attributes on how customers perceive a brand. By plotting along coordinate axes, hotels can compare a brand's position in relation to its competitors and illustrate the change of the brand over time. Using a similar approach, we can assess a property's market position by plotting the product segment against price categories. The "position grid" (Exhibit 5) can be used as a gauge to identify a repositioning strategy, and for budget planning purposes. The grid can also be used after repositioning takes place for evaluating and comparing the property's achieved market position. The horizontal axis of the grid reflects the product segment based on facilities, such as limited-service hotel, full-service hotel and resort. The vertical axis indicates the quality level based on price points, such as economy, mid-priced or upscale. Vertical positioning implies that the property remains in the same product category, but moves up or down along the price scale and becomes more or less expensive. Horizontal positioning means that a property moves from one product category to another. For instance, when a midpriced, full-service Holiday Inn converts into a limited-service Courtyard by Marriott, although the hotel remains in the same price category (or the same vertical position) the property has shifted laterally from one product category to another. Positioning can cross several categories, diagonally, or take place in several stages. As a property moves across more categories, typically, more capital investments and marketing efforts are required. Exhibit 5: Position Grid Luxury Upscale Mid-priced Upper-end Economy - a Increase magnitude of facilities changes, marketing efforts, and market mix Low-end Economy Limited Service 1.9 All Suite Extended Stay Full Service Conference Center Convention Hotel Resort Measuring Success A good strategy is the right start towards a successful strategy, which is commonly measured by financial success. However, a good strategy, as discussed earlier in the thesis, is to achieve an external positioning of a firm in relation to its competitors, and an internal alignment of the firm's activities and investments. In that essence, a good strategy encompasses more than financial success. Benchmarks of success for a repositioning strategy include an improved market share, penetration, rate-premium and brand recognition. It depends on the firm to define what the short-and long-term intent of the strategy is and what the strategy should accomplish. A good strategy should also draw on the trends and changes in the competitive environment and prepare for the future competitive landscape. The success of a repositioning strategy is ultimately measured by the return on the investment, or ROI. Although each investor has a different investment objectives, level of return and tolerance of risks, a properly repositioned property should provide positive returns that justify the costs of investment. A good strategy may not generate the highest returns. An investor's ROI should be measured against the circumstances surrounding the timing and environment when the repositioning takes place, and his short-and long-term investment objectives. For instance, a hotel company (which is also the owner) may take advantage of a repositioning opportunity to build presence in a market. In this case, the owner may be willing to accept lower returns in exchange for the ability to penetrate a market that has strategic value to the overall company. However, very rarely would owners be willing to take a loss leader. 1.10 Conclusions This chapter described the anatomy of a good strategy that is pertinent to repositioning a hotel. A hotel as a business entity relies on management and marketing efforts to generate operation cash flows and profits; whereas a hotel as a real estate asset benefits from proper acquisition and disposition decisions to capitalize on market economic cycles. These qualities of hotels give rise to complex decision making by owners to execute and deliver successful repositioning strategies. The following chapters will discuss examples of hotel repositioning strategies and the extent of success in each case. Chapter Two - Case Study: The Fairmont Copley Plaza 2.1 Background The Fairmont Copley Plaza has 379 rooms, including 53 suites, two full-service restaurants and 19,000 square feet of meeting space. The hotel offers a range of facilities and amenities commensurate with an upscale, full-service hotel. The hotel is seven stories and has a stone and brick fagade. The hotel building was constructed in 1912 on the original site of the Museum of Fine Arts. The hotel was designed by Henry Janeway Hardenberg, and is considered one of the landmarks in Boston. Between 1912 and 1996, the hotel went through a number of owners, including ITT Sheraton, John Hancock Mutual Life Insurance Company and Harvard University. Management changes were prevalent. The hotel was managed under the Sheraton flag for some time, then became an independently managed property with no brand affiliation, followed by management by Wyndham Hotels. The hotel became a Fairmont hotel when it was purchased in mid-1996 by a partnership including Prince al-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz al Saud of Saudi Arabia, who also has a 50 percent ownership of the Fairmont Hotel Management Company. The unconfirmed purchase price of the hotel, according to Travel Weekly, was estimated to be $60 million. As part of the purchase agreement, the new owner was responsible for implementing a $10 million renovation program for the hotel. Under Wyndham's management, the property's marketing focus targeted midpriced businesses, including discounted groups and volume transient demand. Although the hotel was achieving reasonable occupancy levels and RevPAR, the hotel was achieving low average daily rates (ADR). The hotel also suffered from deferred maintenance. 2.2 Repositioning Strategy Fairmont Copley Plaza's repositioning strategy involved vertically positioning the property from the lower to higher price categories, while remaining in the same full-service product group. In order to accomplish this, the hotel needed to upgrade the hotel's image, which is conveyed through the quality of its facilities and service. customers' perception that ultimately positions a product, Since it is the Fairmont's primary repositioning challenge was to change local perceptions of the hotel after many years of neglect. The property's was, and is, to compete with the top luxury hotels in Boston. The focus of the repositioning strategy was to accentuate the brand's strong equity and recognition, and the property's historic significance, while improving the real asset's conditions. 2.3 Fairmont Hotels Fairmont Copley Place's repositioning strategy relied heavily on Fairmont's investment initiatives and corporate culture. The hotel was purchased with the intent to be managed by Fairmont, and no third-party management company or brand was considered. In order to evaluate the repositioning strategy, it is important to first understand the history of Fairmont Hotels. The first Fairmont Hotel opened in 1907 in San Francisco. The hotel has a celebrated history and has hosted many royalties as well as foreign dignitaries. The hotel and the Fairmont name have gained international recognition and reputation as a first class hotel of prestige and quality. The San Francisco Fairmont was bought by Benjamin Swig in the mid 1940s. Leveraging the strong brand recognition, the Swig family added two properties in New Orleans and Dallas in the 60s and opened two more properties in 1987. Not unlike other hotels in the late 80s/early 90s, several Fairmont Hotels suffered negative performances during the downturn of the hotel market. The new properties opened in 1987 added substantial debt liabilities to the company. Fairmont Hotels Management Company, the owning and management entity, was in financial difficulty by 1989. Recognizing difficult times ahead, Fairmont Hotels went through an overall reorganization, including improving its cash flow by laying off excess staff at both the corporate and property levels, and increasing top-line revenue by implementing more efficient marketing and management approaches. The reorganization was spearheaded by the newly hired CEO, Robert Small. While Small was credited with bringing more professionalism to the organization, he was criticized for his aggressive price reduction to attract business. Small's primary objectives included: (1) immediately improvement of occupancy (i.e., increase top-line revenues); (2) to outpace the market in occupancy growth; (3) to build a brand; and (4) to enhance shareholder value by attracting outside investors. Under Small's directions, Fairmont overcame its arrogant reputation and became more client-friendly and was creative in working with corporate clients to attract business. The company also redefined its market niche by capitalizing on the hotels' grand architecture, rich history and superior level of service. The company wanted to set itself apart from its competitors, primarily Four Seasons and Ritz Carlton, by offering added amenities and services. The company defined a grand hotel niche, by providing services similar to luxury hotels, while at the same time offering a wider variety of restaurant choices, meeting room configurations and entertainment. The hotels' target market mix consists of 50 percent corporate and association groups and 50 percent individual corporate and leisure travelers. Fairmont defines grand heritage niche as follows: (1) Heritage - The hotel shows a sense of history, stories, famous events, visitors and long-term colleagues that create a unique experience even if the property itself is fairly new. (2) Center of activities - The excitement of the community is felt in a microcosm of the hotel. Local people and guests enjoy themselves; activities are observed in all areas of the hotel; and people are celebrating events, "spilling" their celebrations into the overall picture of activity. (3) Large, dramatic lobbies - People are awed by the lobby's grandeur, creating an "invitation" to become involved in experiencing the services available. (4) Hospitality in the American Tradition - Guests are excited not only by their stay, but by the genuine sincere warmth they receive from colleagues who are proud to be an integral part of the guest's experience. (5) Varieties ofservices and experience - Each "grand" hotel has a large number and a wide variety of services available to meet guest needs, which not only vary with different guests but also with the same guest, depending on the purpose of his or her stay. (6) A sense of theater,flair andpanache - Combining the heritage with a flair for the dramatic, the hotel is essentially a dramatic event, a play, in which the guest is an involved participant and part of the "grand experience." Chefs prepare food with an eye for presentation, and the waitstaff serves the presentation with a flair. Under the reorganization plan, the company survived the early 90s and performance improved, including occupancy and RevPAR. In 1994, Prince al-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz al Saud of Saudi Arabia became a major shareholder of Fairmont Hotel Management L.P. The new shareholder added much needed capital for renovations and expansion. In 1998, there are seven Fairmont Hotels in the United States, as listed in Exhibit 6. The The The The The The The Exhibit 6: List of Fairmont Hotels Fairmont Copley Plaza in Boston 379 Rooms Fairmont Hotel in Chicago 692 Rooms Fairmont Hotel in Dallas 550 Rooms Fairmont Hotel in New Orleans 700 Rooms Plaza Hotel in New York 806 Rooms Fairmont Hotel in San Francisco 596 Rooms Fairmont Hotel in San Jose 541 Rooms Source: Fairmont Hotel Management LP The company's portfolio consists of historic hotels as well as "new" properties that are less than fifteen years old. With the exception of the Fairmont Copley Plaza, all the properties are over 500 rooms. This is important to note, as Fairmont believes that part of their market niche is to focus on hotels that are larger than what are typically perceived as luxury hotels (between 250 and 450 rooms). The smaller-sized Fairmont Copley Plaza might require different sales and marketing strategies than its sister properties. Limited by size, the hotel has difficulties attracting larger groups, which suggests why it is considered an overflow property for conventions, and trailing occupancy. 2.4 Purchasing the Copley Plaza Hotel The purchase of the Copley Plaza hotel was part of Fairmont's expansion plan, after new capital was injected into the company in 1994. Prior to the purchase, Fairmont also purchased the Plaza Hotel in New York, establishing its presence in the Northeastern market. Hotels that Fairmont targets must fit the company's grand heritage niche profile. The company was searching for hotels with a rich history, turnaround potential and location in gateway cities. Boston was one of the targeted cities. In 1995, Fairmont approached Harvard University, expressing interest in purchasing the hotel. The hotel was not for sale at the time. Fairmont also considered other properties including The Tremont House Hotel, Hotel Meridien and Park Plaza. Fairmont had to convince Harvard University that Fairmont was a more appropriate operator, and that it had long-term strategic objectives to operate and maintain an equity position in the property. As part of the sales package, Fairmont committed $10 million to renovating the hotel. The process from property selection to finalizing the purchase of Copley Plaza took approximately 12 months. At an estimated $188,000 per room ($60 million purchase price plus $10 million renovations), the hotel was not exactly a bargain. The price reflected the circumstances of the purchase. The company had considered building a new hotel. However, in the mid 90s, the hotel market was just beginning to improve, and adding a new property to the market could be risky. In addition, a new property at the level of quality required by Fairmont would be very expensive, and would take approximately two years to complete. The company could have missed the window of opportunity. Purchasing an existing hotel provided instant access to the market. Fairmont is pleased with the purchase. More importantly, the addition of the Boston property has strengthened the company's presence in the Northeast market. 2.5 Renovations After many years of neglect, the Copley Plaza hotel was in poor condition and suffered from deferred maintenance. Previous operators, in order to reduce maintenance costs, boarded up much of the hotel's fine art work and architectural details, such as cherry wood columns and decorated vaulted ceilings. The first order of renovations was to return the hotel to its original grandeur. Renovations were implemented in a two-phase program, which took place during the winters of 1996 and 1997. In order to bring the hotel up to Fairmont standards, the hotel replaced soft goods, such as carpeting and bedspreads, and installed a modern infrastructure, including new computer systems and electronic locks. Most of the original architecture and artwork are back in their original condition and are on full display at the hotel. Despite extensive renovations, much work is still needed at the hotel. The building was constructed over 80 years ago and parts of it are structurally obsolete. For example, the hotel was originally built with 500 rooms, including some small service quarters without bathrooms. Although some of the rooms were reconfigured prior to Fairmont's ownership, a majority of them are small by today's standards, which is a marketing disadvantage. Additionally, the hotel lacks modem amenities to effectively compete with the newer properties. Management at the hotel commented that the hotel is "after all, an old hotel" and there are ongoing system issues which require additional capital expenditure. However, for the money spent, management felt that the renovation was on the target. The renovation's highlight was restoring the hotel's historic past and returning the hotel to its original glamour, which aligned with the goals of the repositioning. The renovations also focused on public areas and guestrooms, which have the most impact on guests' perceptions of the hotel. If customers have to pay more for the same hotel, they have to "feel" that there is a good price/value. The hotel has achieved reasonable success in this regard. From the management and sales perspectives, the decision to conduct renovations in two phases was most challenging. Ideally, it would have been best to present a "new product" in its entirety, for example by closing down the property completely during renovations. However, Fairmont decided to conduct renovations during the slow winter seasons in order to capture the growing hotel demand and maximize revenue during peak seasons. This approach has its pros and cons and the effectiveness in this case is yet to be determined. Because renovations took place during operations, there were inconveniences to guests as well as to hotel staff. Additionally, since not all rooms were ready after the first phase of renovations, the hotel had trouble increasing the room rate on unrenovated rooms. This was reflected in the hotel's overall room revenue in the first year. 2.6 Establishing Presence in Boston In order to establish the Fairmont as the "center of activities," one of the grand heritage qualities, the hotel put out an aggressive sales, marketing and public relations campaign targeting local business, political and social elite communities. The hotel made a clear objective and commitment to being a responsible corporate citizen, providing a good environment for employees and the business community. Fairmont needed to change local perceptions of the property after years of it being an under-priced volume house. In order to penetrate the local social and political circles, the hotel hired new sales associates who were networked and familiar with the local environment. Their efforts paid off. The hotel began hosting political events, which brought the Fairmont name to the press. Capitalizing on the reputation of the Fairmont brand and the hotel's dramatic setting, the hotel also targeted social events, such as weddings and charitable balls. Although these events do not always bring in room demand, they were good for public relations and added mystique and prestige to the hotel. The hotel is pleased with the accomplishments of the sales and marketing efforts in such a short time. The decision to add new staff to target local social and political markets was crucial. The new staff was effective in generating and promoting the hotel's upscale image. Guests staying at upscale properties are willing to pay more for image, indulgence and an elegant appeal. Fairmont created these qualities at the early stage after purchase, which set the tone for the property. 2.7 Improve Service Qualities - Staffing Having the same owner and operator, there were few misunderstandings between the owners' investment objectives and the operators' management approach. Their interests were aligned - both wanted to increase market share and generate positive operating results. A key to the hotel's repositioning success was an efficiently managed hotel, which would deliver a product that consistent with the hotel's intended position. When Fairmont took over the property, it replaced almost all of the management staff, including the General Manager. However, most of the line employees from previous management remained due to union contracts. One of the challenges of working with an existing staff was to put inplace Fairmont standards of quality and service, which require paying attention to details. Since employees were used to the previous operation as an mid-priced property, the hotel took on extensive orientation and training programs to retain all line employees. Most of these programs are ongoing. Those who were unwilling or unable to be retrained were replaced. Some of the department heads, including the Director of Human Resources, Comptroller and Director of Engineering were retained from management. They were familiar with the employees, the hotel and the local environment, which assisted in the transition. However, they had to adapt to new management and systems, which was challenging at times. Hotel management attributed the success of the repositioning to the full commitment of the staff at the corporate and property levels. During the initial period after the take-over, Small was on site to oversee the transition, which conveyed a sense of urgency and dedication. This was effective as employees understood the commitment to succeed. Employees were clear about the hotel's identity and the quality level the hotel desired to achieve. Hotel management commented that taking an aggressive approach at the beginning of the repositioning was critical. It would have been difficult to sell the Fairmont to the upper-segment if the hotel could not deliver the service. 2.8 Local Market Performance Boston's hotel market is one of the few in the nation that has both strong business and leisure demand. On the weekdays, Monday through Thursday, hotel demand is primarily generated by transient business travelers and groups such as corporate meetings and conventions. Leisure travelers, both local residents and tourists, fill up many hotel rooms on the weekends and holidays. Although hotels in Boston suffer from seasonal demand (low occupancy during the winter), the market experiences annual occupancy levels close to stabilization, indicating capacity constraints during peak seasons. With few new hotels entering the market, Boston's hotel market has experienced positive growth in occupancy and room rate during the past five years. PKF Consulting's data indicates that greater Boston hotel demand and room rate levels have been increasing steadily since 1993, making Boston one of the top hotel markets in the United States. The trend is estimated to continue in 1998. Exhibit 7 illustrates hotel performance in the greater Boston area. Exhibit 7: Greater Boston Hotel Performance 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 (est.) Occupancy 77.0% 78.0% 78.3% 79.3% 80.0% ADR $127.50 $135.00 $147.00 $163.00 $172.50 RevPAR $ 98.18 $ 105.30 $ 115.10 $ 129.26 $ 138.00 Source: PKF Consulting In addition to a generally healthy market, Fairmont saw an opportunity in the Boston market in the social and upper-segment of hotel demand. Management saw a Fairmont hotel, with the grandheritage niche to be an ideal product for the market place. Prior to Fairmont's ownership, the Copley Plaza competed primarily with mid-range properties in the Boston Back Bay area. Fairmont's repositioning strategy was to redirect market orientation away from volume discount business toward upper-end transient business, group and leisure travelers. Fairmont believed that Boston has a strong demand for upscale properties, but not enough quality products in the market to meet the needs. In the luxury segment, the Fairmont considers the Ritz Carlton and Four Seasons Hotel, both located in the Boston Common area downtown, as competitive. Fairmont believed that the hotel's location, historic appeal and positive brand reputation would allow the hotel to penetrate the upscale market and compete with these two properties. However, constrained by facility inefficiencies, Fairmont has had difficulties competing directly with these properties. This is reflected in the hotel's average room rate, which is $50 to $100 less than these hotels. The Fairmont also competes with four hotels in the Back Bay area for group and transient business. These hotels include Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston Hotel and Towers, Westin - Copley Place, and Boston Back Bay Hilton. The Fairmont considers the absence of a frequent traveler program and other amenities that business travelers typically enjoy as a disadvantage. The hotel absorbs much of the overflow group demand from these properties, which suggests the lower occupancy. However, the Fairmont is able to capture a larger share of weekend leisure demand, which makes up for the hotel's occupancy discrepancies between the weekdays and the weekend. After the repositioning, the Fairmont has a market mix of approximately 50 percent group business related to the Hynes Convention Center and 50 percent from a mixture of transient business and leisure travelers. When compared to the overall competitive set (which includes the Ritz Carlton, Four Seasons, Marriott, Hilton, Sheraton and Westin), Fairmont's average rate as of May 1998 was approximately $2.00 ahead, but one to two points behind in occupancy. Part of the repositioning plan was to gradually replace the existing discount clientbase with less price-sensitive customers. Fairmont continued to honor contracts committed to by the previous management. However, the hotel also shifted marketing efforts to groups that were willing to pay higher rates for better service and facilities, as well as to transient business and leisure travelers who were familiar with the Fairmont brand. One obstacle, commented on by the company, was that since renovations were conducted in a two-phase process, some of the rooms were not up to Fairmont standards during the first year. Without upgraded facilities, the hotel had difficulties demanding higher room rates. The problem was gradually resolved as renovated rooms became available. The hotel reported a 20 percent increase in room rate in May 1998, when compared to 1997's results. 2.9 Performance Estimates The following comparisons were constructed based on interviews with Fairmont, and on the author's estimates. Since actual figures were not available, the figures presented are percentage differences between pre-reposition and mid-1998 performances. Exhibit 8: Performance Estimates - Fairmont Hotel Percentage Difference Occupancy 5 -10% decrease ADR 20 -25% increase RevPAR 10 -20% increase Market Mix Group: 20-25% increase Transient: 10-15% decrease Leisure: 5 % increase The difference in market mix is not as important as the sources of business for Fairmont's repositioning strategy. Although transient demand is estimated to have gone down 10 to 15 percent, the volume of discounted demand was replaced by higher-priced business. Hence, the overall RevPAR reflected increases. Examining room revenue reveals only part of the picture. With more expensive restaurants, the hotel is estimated to generate higher food and beverage revenue under Fairmont's management. On the other hand, a full-service hotel tends to be more expensive to operate, which would negatively impact the bottom line. A general investment assessment was conducted based on information collected during interviews with Fairmont personnel, projections based on market trends and estimates according to industry averages. The results are not necessarily representative of the actual investment results and/or objectives of Fairmont hotels. This exercise presents only one possible result of the hotel's repositioning strategy. Performance Assumptions (The assumptions presented following are based on Trends in the Hotel Industry USA Edition, 1997 published by PKF Consulting. Each year PKF Consulting surveys over 2,800 hotels concerning operation and financial results. In addition, some of the assumptions draw upon information provided by the hotel and reasonable estimates accordingto market trends.) (1) Estimates for 1996 reflect only half-year results, since the hotel was purchased during the middle of 1996. The hotel is estimated to stabilize operations in 1999. (2) The average daily rate for the hotel is estimated to be $140.00, $165.00 and $173.00 for the years 1996, 1997 and 1998, respectively. These estimates are in line with the performance of hotels in the Boston area during the same period. (Refer to Exhibit 7). The room rate in 1999 is estimated to increase 4 percent, and 3 percent thereafter, to reflect market conditions with potential new hotels opening. (3) Occupancy for the hotel is estimated to stabilize at 78 percent in 1998 and throughout the projection period. The hotel is estimated to have experienced lower occupancies during the start-up period in 1996 and 1997. (4) PKF Consulting indicated that its sample set of full-service hotels belonging to the rate group above $100.00 experienced an average room rate of $148.36 in 1996. This same group indicated an income before other fixed charges (including management fees, insurance and property taxes), or EBITDA, to be 24.9% of the total revenue. EBITDA for the Fairmont is estimated to be scaled, starting at 5 percent in 1996, 12 percent in 1997, 20 percent in 1998 and 23 percent in 1999 and thereafter. The lower stabilized percent reflects the higher cost of operation in Boston, and the added amenities offered by the hotel. (5) Additionally, the same sample group indicated that room revenue made up 60.6 percent of total revenues. For the Fairmont hotel, room revenue is estimated to be 60 percent of total revenue due to the market's overall high room rate level. Investment Assumptions (The primary source for investment assumptions is the Hotel Investment Outlook 1998 a biannual investment survey published by LandauerHospitality Group.) (1) Landauer Hospitality Group's survey indicated that equity participants in luxury hotels have an average holding period of 6.25 years and a terminal capitalization rate of 9.5 percent. The yield rate for this group was 12 percent. (2) Parameters for discounted cash flow for the surveyed indicated an inflation rate averaging 3.1 percent, with a range between three and five percent. Other Assumptions (1) The hotel's $10 million renovation was estimated to have been spent evenly over the two year, 1996 and 1997. No major capital expenditure would be spent on the hotel during the projection period. (2) Cash flow is forecasted from 1996 to 2002, six and a half years after purchase, reflecting the average holding period for luxury hotels. Estimated Return on Investments 2.10 The aforementioned assumptions generate an internal rate of return of 12.5 percent, which is comparable to the industry average. Detailed calculations are presented in the following exhibit. Exhibit 9: Fairmont Hotel Investment Analysis Est. Occupancy 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 74% 76% 78% 78% 78% 78% 78% $140 Est. ADR $ 165 $173 $180 $ 186 $191 Est. % of Room Revenue Est. Total Revenue 60% 60% 60% 60% $ 11,942,922 $ 28,947,060 $ 31,194,266 $ 32,442,036 Est. % of EBITDA 5.0% 12.0% 20.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% $5,97,146 $3,473,647 $6,238,853 $7,461,668 $7,685,518 $7,916,084 $ (65,000,000) $ (5,000,000) -- -- -- Est. EBITDA Initial Investment 60% $ 197 60% 60% $ 33,415,298 $ 34,417,756 $ 35,450,289 23.0% $8,153,567 -- - Terminal Value $ 85,827,016 (9.5% Cap Rate) Est. Total Cash Flow $(64,402,854) Investment Return in Nominal Term $(1,526,353) $6,238,853 $7,461,668 $7,685,518 $7,916,084 $93,980,582 12.5% However, if market conditions were less than expected, as the hotel's occupancy is negatively impacted due to pressure from new properties entering the market and/or a slow-down of the economy, returns on investment would be lower. Additionally, if the hotel is not evaluated as a true luxury product, but as an upscale full-service hotel, the capitalization rate would increase (Landauer's average for full-service hotels was 10.16 percent) A sensitive analysis (Exhibit 10) based on these assumptions yields an internal rate of return of 11.8 percent, which is marginally comparable to the industry average. Exhibit 10: Fairmont Hotel Investment Sensitivity Analysis Est. Occupancy Est. ADR Est. % of Room Revenue Est. Total Revenue Est. % of NOL After Fixed Est. Net Income after Fixed Charges Initial Investment 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 74% 76% 78% 77% 77% 77% 77% $ 140 $ 165 $ 173 $ 180 $ 186 $ 191 $ 197 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% $32,986,896 $33,976,503 $34,995,798 23.0% 23.0% $32,026,113 $11,942,922 $28,947,060 $31,194,266 5.0% 12.0% 20.0% 23.0% 23.0% $597,146 $3,473,647 $6,238,853 $7,366,006 $7,586,986 $ (65,000,000) $ (5,000,000) $7,814,596 Terminal Value (9.8% Cap Rate) Total Cash Flow $8,049,034 $82,132,996 $ (64,402,854) Investment Return in Nominal Terms $ (1,526,353) $6,238,853 $7,366,006 $7,586,986 $7,814,596 $90,182,030 11.8% Since most of the information is based on reasonable estimates, no actual figures being available, the resulting returns only provide a framework to evaluate the Fairmont investment. The results in both scenarios appear to indicate that the repositioning strategy is feasible. However, the sensitivity analysis suggests that the property is susceptible to pressure from competition. This could also reflect the hotel's high acquisition cost and/or the low room rate due to property condition. Since the owners have long-term interests in the hotel, they may not be pressured, like many institutional owners, to sell the hotel in a depressed market. This would allow the owners the option to wait until a high resale price is reached, enabling them to generate higher investment yields. 2.11 Conclusions The purchase of the Copley Plaza was a long-term strategic positioning for the company, Fairmont Hotels. It is difficult to assess the financial success of the strategy since the hotel has been managed by Fairmont for less than 24 months. Hotel management commented that the hotel will take another year to stabilize operations. Therefore, evaluating the Fairmont repositioning strategy requires examining a number of issues beyond return on investment, such as market entry, branding strategy and plan execution. Fairmont's repositioning strategy has its strength and weaknesses. The hotel was purchased at a time when the Boston hotel market was on the road to recovery from the economic downturn in the early 90s. Market occupancy was on the rise and no new property was entering the market, particularly in the upscale segment; this created entry opportunities. The buyer frenzy was also not as heated as it is today, which provided certain leverage to the Fairmont. The depth of the business and leisure markets also provided the hotel with flexibility, and options for changing its market orientation. Under these market conditions, almost any repositioning plan would work. Fairmont chose the right time to enter the market. However, under the circumstances that led to the hotel's purchase, it is not unreasonable to suspect that the purchase price reflected more favorable terms to the seller. The Copley Plaza was purchased as part of Fairmont's expansion plan. Fairmont wanted presence in Boston for the company's overall positioning strategy. There were not too many properties in Boston that met Fairmont's grand heritage profile. Fairmont handpicked the Copley Plaza and conducted a silent sale. At an estimated $188,000 per room ($60 million purchase price plus $10 million renovations), the hotel is considered expensive when compared to a newly constructed, full-service hotel. However, the cost is at the low end for building a new luxury product. Fairmont opted to acquire an existing property because it was less risky than building a new one, and because there would be no waiting time to enter the market. Despite these advantages, working with an old property has many drawbacks, most of which come from the property's physical condition. The hotel has to change any predisposed negative perceptions of the hotel. From the perspective of improving public relations and increasing visibility, the hotel was very successful. In a short time, the hotel has gain substantial recognition in local communities, and gained a presence in the Northeast market. The hotel was also successful in handling service quality issues and introducing a product that was consistent with the Fairmont brand. However, the hotel suffered from aged facilities and interiors that were difficult to rectify without a complete makeover. Although $10 million was spent on the property, the hotel could use more capital expenditure to bring the property up to modem standards. Some of the inefficiencies at the hotel remain, such as small rooms, and continue to be a competitive disadvantage for the property. Another repositioning challenge was to deliver a product that was not complete. Renovations took place during two winters, which added pressure to selling rooms at higher rates. As a result, the room rate did not increase significantly in the first year. An alternative to the phased renovation was to close down the hotel completely. However, this would have meant missing the prime business season. Renovating during the winter was the best use of the hotel's production time. The period between the time of purchase and the completion of the first phase of renovation provided the property a warm-up period. However, operating a hotel that was under its prime condition ultimately had a toll on performance. Some customers might not have perceived the changes and been discouraged from using the hotel again. The hotel was purchased with the intent to be managed by Fairmont, and no thirdparty management company was considered. The unique ownership arrangement of the hotel and Fairmont Hotels Management L.P. provided a depth of resources for the hotel's overall repositioning strategy. Another strength of the repositioning strategy lay in the plan's execution. Right from the inception, there were full cooperation and commitment from all levels of the company, both corporate and property. This sent a strong message to local communities and customers, and made a positive and persuasive introduction for the hotel. Although the hotel is still lagging behind the luxury properties in rate, it is gradually building a strong customer base, and increasing the room rate. The hotel is about 12 to 18 months away from stabilized operations. The hotel's RevPAR in mid-1998 ranks tenth among hotels in the Boston area. The hotel's goal is to be in fourth place. While optimistic, management commented that the gap between the hotel and a "true luxury" product remains a challenge because of the age of the hotel and the potential competition of new properties coming on line in the near future. At an estimated investment return of 12.5 percent, the repositioning strategy appears to be feasible. In addition, given other intangible benefits generated by the hotel, the overall market strategy is a good deployment of resources. The acquisition and repositioning of the property has increased the chain's overall competitive strength. Furthermore, the addition is aligned with Fairmont's internal investment objective and brand expansion. Chapter Three - Case Study: The D/FW Lakes Hilton 3.1 Background Located in Grapevine, Texas, the D/FW Hilton Lakes hotel is situated on a 40-acre land in the heart of the Dallas/Fort Worth (D/FW) Metroplex. The hotel is located one and a half miles from the D/FW Airport's northern boundary and four miles north of the main terminals. The hotel has 395 rooms and was built in 1983. Several facilities additions and upgrades have taken place between 1990 and 1998, including the addition of conference dining facilities. The hotel was owned and managed by Metro Hotels at its opening. Prior to the hotel's purchase by ERE Yarmouth (then The Yarmouth Group) in 1995, Jones Lang Wootton Pension Fund Advisory was an equity partner in the property. The hotel was sold for $44 million and went through a $8 million renovation program after it was purchased. The hotel has been a Hilton franchise since its opening. The franchise remains after the purchase; however, Dolce International was brought in to manage the property. The hotel was recently sold to Hilton Hotels Corporation for an unconfirmed amount of $103 million, 2.3 times over its original purchase price. 3.2 Repositioning Strategy D/FW Lakes Hilton's repositioning encompasses a lateral transition of property types (from a transient full-service hotel to a conference center), and a vertical climb in rate range to reflect improved quality. Since the property was already improved with sufficient meeting space, no new meeting facility was added. The core strategies of the repositioning involved identifying a market niche, focusing on the property's unique facilities and location, and hiring a competent management team to create competitive advantages. The following paragraphs discuss each of these factors, which collectively formulated a strategy that not only was considered a financial success, but also expanded the property's marketability and economic longevity. 3.3 Market Niche - Conference Centers In order to examine the rationale of the repositioning strategy, it is necessary to understand the unique market characteristics of conference demand and facilities. Conference centers are considered "purpose built" hotels. According to the International Association of Conference Centers (IACC), a conference center is defined as "a facility whose primary purpose is to accommodate small-to-medium-sized meetings." A conference center differs from other hotel types with regards to meeting space in that the primary purpose of a conference center is to satisfy and accommodate groups by offering a self-contained, full-service meeting environment. The average size of conference centers is about 300 sleeping rooms. Conference centers should create an intimate setting and be serviced by operators who are experienced in coordinating meetings. Group meetings, either generated by corporations or associations, make up at least 60 percent of conference centers' overall demand. Due to their dedication to meetings, conference centers tailor their facilities and services primarily to the needs of meeting planners and attendees. For instance, meeting rooms are designed for the comfort of attendees who typically spend nearly eight hours a day in a conference room. There is a high demand for state-of-the-art audio/visual equipment for presentations. With set meeting schedules, meal and recreation times are usually predetermined. Conference centers require facilities that can handle large volumes during peak demand hours. Dining room configuration at conference centers is usually different than that of a typical hotel. It is not uncommon for conference centers to set up separate dining facilities and special conference meal packages for meeting attendees. Meetings are typically charged per person on a package basis, often referred to as a CMP, Complete Meeting Package. A CMP usually includes lodging, meals, breaks, meeting services and equipment fees. The IACC defines six types of conference centers, distinguished by the following characteristics: Executive Conference Center - groups are typically composed of corporations, associations, and other organizations that emphasize the quality of accommodations and services over price. This type of facility was developed primarily to satisfy upper-level management meetings and education/training seminars. Facilities usually include sophisticated equipment and are staffed with professional conference coordinators. Corporate-Owned Conference Center - an increasing number of corporations are designing their own conference centers for in-house use. Size and facilities vary according to the corporation's need for meeting and lodging rooms. Resort Conference Center - meetings held here are similar to those held at executive or corporate-owned conference centers but with a greater emphasis on recreation and social activities for conferees, located in a resort environment. Resort conference centers include a major recreation component, most frequently golf. Not-for-Profit/Educational Conference Center-these facilities are developed by and/or associated with a major educational institution or nonprofit organization. Meetings held at centers owned by a University are held primarily by organizations that are technically oriented, or academic or university-related. These groups are typically more price-sensitive than those in the executive, corporate or resort markets. Nonresidential Conference Center - this category was recently added to the IACC's classification to describe conference centers that may have the attributes of executive and resort centers, but do not have sleeping accommodations. Ancillary Conference Center - this type of conference center does not have its own sleeping rooms and is usually adjacent to a hotel, which offers sleeping facilities. Like conference centers with overnight accommodations, these facilities offer a complete package of room and services. The special-niche quality of conference centers requires different sales and marketing approaches and skills to attract business. Unlike transient hotels, it is not necessary for conference centers to be affiliated with a franchise. Business is usually booked directly by meeting planners, or through group marketing. The relationship and confidence built between the meeting planners and the conference center's sales staff is what drives business. Conference centers also do not require high visibility, or location, in a downtown business district. However, a well-located conference center should be easily accessible via auto transportation and have good regional access, such as the convenience of an airline-hub. The follow exhibit lists the selection criteria considered important to corporate and association meeting planners when choosing a meeting facility. Exhibit 11: Facility selection criteria considered very important for corporate and association meeting planners Selection Factors Considered Very Important Cost of facility/hotel Number, size and quality of meeting rooms Quality of food service Negotiable food, beverage and room rates Efficiency of billing procedures Number, size and quality of sleeping rooms Meeting support services and equipment Efficiency of check-in and check-out procedures Previous experience in dealing with faculty and staff Assignment of one staff person to handle meetings Convenience to modes to transportation Availability of exhibit space Proximity of shopping, restaurant, off-site entertainment Number, size and quality of suites On-site recreational facilities, i.e. Swimming, tennis Special meeting service such as pre-registration On-site golf course Proximity to airport Source: 1996 Meeting Market Study Corporate Meetings 73% 72% 71% 66% 56% 55% 53% 52% 41% 38% 34% 21% 19% 18% 15% 12% 9% N/A Association Meetings 75% 62% 66% 72% 52% 41% 44% 40% 38% 37% 23% 12% 16% 9% 6% 6% 3% 22% Another unique quality of conference centers is that they attract business from three levels - local, regional and national. At the local level, conference centers compete with other like properties, whether they are conference centers or full service properties, in almost all segments. As the market area expands, conference centers are likely to compete with conference centers in different regions for groups that use multiple sites. For instance, a national professional group may decide to rotate their meetings around the country in order to attract members from different locations to attend. Since the survey indicates that one of the top meeting-site selection criteria for groups, including corporate, association and conventions, is the size and type of facilities available, conference facilities compete with properties having similar facilities across regions. The size of the market area depends on the property's facilities, location and accessibility. One of the most valuable resources of D/FW Lakes Hilton is its location. The property is within minutes of the international hub for American Airlines, which provides great accessibility for conference attendees. Although a typical full-service hotel would benefit from this locational advantage, transient travelers usually prefer staying at a hotel close to where they conduct business, such as downtown business districts, and value the airport-hub attribute less than conference attendees. According to IACC's classification, D/FW Lakes Hilton is an executive conference center. This sector experienced the fastest growing demand among all types of conference centers in the last 10 years. Executive conference centers, overall, experienced an occupancy increase from 50 percent in 1985 to 65.3 percent inn 1995. Annualized average rates for executive centers during the same period indicate a 4.3 percent compounded growth from $79.33 to $121.39. Daily revenue per occupied room (RevPOR), a measure of total revenue which includes day-meeting revenue and CMPs, for executive centers more than doubled from $152.00 in 1985 to $315.00 in 1995. While demand and revenue were increasing, supply was lagging. This was the result of the hotel industry's downturn in the early 90s and the expensive construction costs of new conference centers. These market dynamics indicated the opportunities and strength of the executive conference center market. D/FW Lakes Hilton's repositioning strategy was to capture these growing trends with a product that was most appropriate for the target market. 3.4 Expert Management - Dolce International Different from the Fairmont case, The Yarmouth Group is an institutional owner and does not operate any hotel. Yarmouth intended to maintain a third-party management company to operate the hotel. The owner realized that for the hotel to penetrate the conference market, it needed an experienced management team with a solid track record. The existing management, Metro Hotels, was competent; however, it did not specialize in conference centers. In addition to Metro Hotels, the owner considered two conference center management companies: Dolce International and International Conference and Resort (ICR). These two companies have solid conference center management experience and have their respective strengths and weaknesses in capturing demand. Yarmouth finally selected Dolce International as part of Yarmouth's potential expansion plan. Dolce International also manages a conference center in Austin, Texas (approximately 150 miles southwest of Dallas). Having a sister property in the same state provides many competitive advantages for Dolce International and the properties, as it can gain economies of scale and offer alternative property choices to meeting planners. Established in 1981 and headquartered in Montvale, New Jersey, Dolce International is a global conference center and resort management company. The company was started by Andy Dolce, who serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Office. In late 1997, Dolce International formed an alliance with AEW Partners L.P., which funded an estimated $200 million in investment capital for acquisitions and development. The partnership, Dolce/AEW, wants to increase equity participation in properties that are already managed by Dolce, and expands its management and ownership portfolio in conference centers in the United States and Europe. The intent of the partnership is to allow Dolce International to move away from strictly managing hotels and increase equity participation, thus allowing more long-term planning. This strategy, according to Andy Dolce, will give the company and its clients more continuity and provide a firmer foothold for managing business. Dolce International currently manages 11 properties, eight of which are in the United States and three overseas. Three of the 11 conference centers are private properties, for which Dolce International holds a third-party management contract. In addition, Dolce International is also in a strategic alliance with Scanticon Comwell Properties to manage overseas properties owned by Scanticon. The following exhibit provides a list of all the properties managed and/or owned by Dolce International. Exhibit 12: Conference Centers Managed (and/or Owned) by Dolce International Hamilton Park Tarrytown House The Heritage Lakeway Inn D/FW Lakes Hilton Salishan Lodge Skamanian Lodge Hotel de Fregate Spencer Hall * Bank of Montreal Institute of Learning * GE Crotonville Learning Center *Ossining, Scanticon Kolding Florham Park, NJ Tarrytown, NY Southbury, CT Austin, TX Grapevine, TX Gleneden Beach, OR Stevenson, WA Cote D'Azur, France London, Ontario Scarborough, Ontario NY Kolding Denmark 219 Rooms 148 Rooms 163 Rooms 240 Rooms 395 Rooms 205 Rooms 195 Rooms 100 Rooms 125 Rooms 160 Rooms Not disclosed 160 Rooms Scanticon Elsinore Properties Alliance with Scanticon Kolding Helsingor, Denmark G vPrivate eStrategic 149 Rooms Source: Dolce International Dolce International is considered one of the premium companies specializing in managing conference centers. Conference centers are niche-type meeting facilities and require in-depth knowledge and networking to build up a customer base. The company has a substantial presence in the lodging, hospitality and meetings industries, and properties under its management have earned numerous prestige awards. Dolce International is organized into five major divisions, which include North American Operations, Europe Operations, Sales and Marketing, Finance and Administration and Acquisitions and Development. The company's culture is embodied in the Acronym TASTES, which stands for: * That we expect Truthful communications with each other; * That each associate is Accountable for individual and team success; * That we Support each other in achieving our goals; * That we Trust each other; * That every associate is Empowered to do whatever is necessary to serve our clients; and * That we make a decision or take action with Speed. When Dolce International took over management, they replaced the General Manager and Director of Marketing, but retained most of the management and line staff. Dolce International saw the need for an upper management team that was familiar with Dolce's management philosophies and experience, and a hotel staff which was knowledgeable about the local environment. Selecting a strong operator for the property was one of the key and early decisions of the repositioning plan. As indicated by the improved operating results and the effectiveness in gaining penetration in the conference market, the strategy paid off. 3.5 D/FW Lakes Hilton Hotel Facilities The quality and layout of meeting facilities at the D/FW Lakes Hilton played a key role in the repositioning. As discussed previously, special amenities and the facilities' layout are important for attracting conference business. For instance, meeting attendees prefer an auditorium setting over regular meeting rooms. Additionally, facilities such as rear-screen projectors, a dedicated business center and a separate conference dining room, are preferred by meeting planners and attendees. Meeting rooms that are concentrated in one part of the building, as opposed to being spread all over the campus, make it easy for companies to conduct meetings and manage attendees. These subtle attributes are examples of what set conference centers apart from regular full-service hotels. The D/FW Lakes Hilton was built as a conference center and the hotel already possessed conferencequality facilities when purchased, which was important in the repositioning strategy. The D/FW Lakes Hilton consists of two rectangular, nine-story guestroom towers, with an attached, three-level facility containing the main lobby, five food and beverage outlets, meeting rooms, an indoor pool and recreational facilities. Conference facilities include 45,000 square feet of meeting space, including three tiered amphitheaters, a 9,300 square foot ballroom, six conference suites, an executive boardroom, several outdoor terraces and two indoor tennis courts which can be transformed into 14,400 square feet of exhibition space. There is also a fitness center, which includes indoor racquetball courts, two indoor and six outdoor tennis courts, a fully equipped health club with Nautilus equipment and pro shop, and indoor and outdoor swimming pools. The property offers a specialty restaurant, an all-day restaurant, an entertainment lounge, an informal lounge and a dining room for the exclusive use of conferees. The hotel's three restaurants, state-ofthe-art conference technology and full service business center all cater to conference attendees. Most of the facilities were in place prior to Yarmouth's purchase. The owner did not want to spend more than the budgeted $8 million on renovations. As such, the renovation covered most of the soft goods, including carpeting, wallpaper and drapes, to create a fresh look for the property. These were areas which would provide a high return on a renovation dollar spent. The only major new construction was to design the dining room. Dolce's experience indicated that in order to be an efficient conference center, the hotel needed to separate regular hotel guests and conference attendees into different dining facilities. As a result, the hotel configured a dining room with retractable walls that can be used to partition the dining room to meet the needs of the hotel. The design has proved successful and was effective in servicing both conference and transient guests. According to the operator, redesigning the dining room was a priority in the renovation and proved to be a wise use of investment. The hotel plans to add an 18-hole golf course on the property's 40-arce vacant land. Golf facilities are popular among conference attendees, and one here would allow the hotel to expand its marketability. According to the 1996 Meeting Market Study conducted by Meetings and Conventions magazine, 13 percent of corporate meetings and seven percent of association meetings used golf resorts for their meetings. Golf resorts have the ability to draw business with higher room rates. Yarmouth conducted feasibility studies for the golf course, but did not follow through with the plan. It is rumored that the new owner will add golf facilities, which would support a higher room rate and generate revenue from concession sales. 3.6 Market Penetration In the north D/FW airport area, there are a number of full-service and limited- service hotels. Most of these hotels are performing well and experience occupancies in the high 70/low 80-percentage range. The main driving force of demand in the market is access to the D/FW airport. Transient business travelers, as well as groups, enjoy staying in these hotels because of their convenient access to the D/FW airport. There is also demand generated by airlines, such as crew and delayed-flight travelers. This demand typically generates a stable, high volume but at deeply discounted room rates. Prior to repositioning, the D/FW Lakes Hilton was competing with a number of full-service hotels in the area for a similar demand base. Although the hotel was performing at a low 80 percent occupancy rate, the hotel's room rate was in the low $90s due to airline crews. At such high occupancy, which indicated capacity constraints and sold-out evenings, the way to improve income was to increase the room rate. The first objective of the repositioning plan was to reduce the airline crew demand. New capital for renovations improved the hotel's overall quality and provided a selling tool to market the more lucrative transient and group businesses. The transition faced low resistance since Dallas's hotel market has been booming since the mid 90s. Hotels are often sold out and the overall outlook of the D/FW airport hotel market is positive. 3.7 Brand Affiliation The hotel remained a Hilton franchise after the acquisition. The owner kept the franchise due to contractual reasons. Conference centers are unique in that they do not require brand names to attract business. In fact, sometimes having a brand can be negative for conference centers, since some meeting planners like to select properties that are less "commercial." While it is difficult to quantify the amount of business generated by the brand verse that generated by Dolce, the Hilton affiliation has been a positive to the property's overall marketability. The affiliation allows the hotel to capture demand during low conference seasons, which is during the summer and the winter. According to management, transient travelers make up about 30 percent of the hotel's overall demand. This is the hotel's second largest market segment, one that enjoys conveniences and amenities offered by a brand such as Hilton, which is well known to business travelers. 3.8 Performance Estimates The following comparisons were constructed based management of the property, and on the author's estimates. on interviews with Actual figures were not released. The figures presented reflect reasonable estimates based on the D/FW Airport market and conference center performances. Post-reposition figures refer to 1998 year-end estimates. Exhibit 13: Estimated Performance - D/FW Lakes Hilton Occupancy ADR RevPAR Market Mix Pre-reposition Low 80% $80 -$100 $65-$80 Group: Transient*: Leisure: 25-30% 60% 10-15% Post-reposition Low 80% $120 - $140 $100 Group: 50%; * - $125 Transient: 30%, Leisure: 20% Included low-rated airline crew demand In addition to an improved room rate and improved RevPAR, the hotel's overall revenue also increased. Since most of the conference attendees participated in CMPs, the hotel's food and beverage and conference revenues went up as well. The hotel also catered to day-meeting guests, who do not stay overnight at the hotel. Revenue generated by these guests is not allocated to the food and beverage and conference departments, and is not reflected in the room rate or occupancy. A general investment assessment was conducted based on information collected during interviews with Fairmont personnel, projections based on market trends and estimates according to industry averages. The results are not necessarily representative of the actual investment results of The Yarmouth Group. This exercise presents only one possible result of the hotel's repositioning strategy with respect to recent transactions. Performance Assumptions (The following assumptions are based on Trends in the Hotel Industry USA Edition, 1997 published by PKF Consulting. Each year PKF Consulting surveys over 2,800 hotels concerning operation and financial results. Data from several private studies on conference centers is also used to establish operation parameters. Some of the assumptions draw upon informationprovided by the hotel, and upon reasonable estimates accordingto market trends.) (1) Estimates for 1995 reflect only quarter-year results, since the hotel was purchased during the middle of 1995 and rooms were removed from availability for the rehabilitation program. (2) The average daily rate for the hotel is estimated to be $95.00, $125.00 $130.00 and $135.00 for the years 1995, 1996, 1997 and 1998, respectively. These estimates are based on performances of full-service hotels in the D/FW Airport area and conference centers during the same period. (3) Occupancy for the hotel is estimated to be 82 percent in 1995, and it stabilized at 81 percent from 1996 to 1998. The small decline in occupancy reflected capacity constraints during peak seasons and conference travel tendencies. (4) Properties managed by Dolce International indicated room revenue to be between 40 and 50 percent of total revenues. A sample set of conference centers with occupancy and average room rate similar to the D/FW Lakes Hilton experienced approximately 56 percent of room revenue to total income. These two groups indicated income before fixed charges, or EBITDA, to be between 20 and 30 percent of total revenue. Using these ranges, the D/FW Lakes Hilton's projection is 24 percent in 1998. Room revenue is estimated to be 48 percent of the total revenue, reflecting the efficiency of Dolce's management. Other Assumptions (1) The hotel was reported sold at an unconfirmed price of $103 million in mid-1998. This price was used as the terminal value to calculate the return rate. (2) $8 million renovation was estimated spent in 1995. No other major capital expenditure took place between 1996 and 1998. (3) Cash flow is forecasted from 1996 to mid-1998, the reported time of sales. Income projections for 1998 reflect only six months of operations. 3.9 Estimated Return on Investments The aforementioned assumptions generate an internal rate of return of 34.5 percent, which well exceeds industry averages. Detailed calculations are presented in the following exhibit. Exhibit 14: D/FW Lakes Hilton Investment Analysis 1995 1996 1997 Est. Occupancy Est. ADR 82% $95 81% $120 81% $ 130 1998 81% $ 135 Est. % of Room Revenue 60% 50% 48% 48% $27,957,551 $31,743,469 $16,325,843 10.0% 18.0% 22.0% 24.0% $ 467,968 $5,032,359 $6,983,563 $3,918,202 $ (52,000,000) --- --- --- Est. Total Revenue Est. % of EBITDA Est. EBITDA Initial Investment $4,679,680 $ 103,000,000 Terminal Value Total Cash Flow $ (51,532,032) Internal Rate of Return In Nominal Terms $5032359 $6,983,563 $10,6918,202 34.5% Unlike Fairmont Hotels, The Yarmouth Group is an institutional owner and did not intend to own the hotel for a long period. The property was sold in the mid-1998, at a time when the market and hotel's fundamentals were strong. The holding period for the D/FW Lakes Hilton was approximately three years, which was below the industry average. Judging from the return on investment, the repositioning strategy was a financial success. 3.10 Conclusions D/FW Lakes Hilton's repositioning plan was considered an overall success, financially and strategically. The property's good position in the conference market is likely to continue to be recognized and capitalized on by the new owner. The new owner has the option to develop an 18-hole golf course, which would add to the hotel's amenity and its ability to attract the more lucrative golf-related meetings. Dolce International has a five-year management contract on the property. It is unclear whether it will continue to operate the hotel, or whether Hilton will take over management of the property when the contract expires. The success of the repositioning plan can be attributed to the following facts and conditions: - Market timing - At the time of purchase, there were not too many buyers, thus Yarmouth was able to purchase the hotel at a reasonable price. At approximately $130,000 per room ($44 million purchase price plus $8 million renovations), it was less expensive to acquire than constructing a new property. Yarmouth also chose a peak of the hotel market at which to dispose of the property. These timing factors, combined, created a favorable economic environment for the investment. - Demand and supply - This also relates to market timing. When the property was purchased in June 1995, the hotel market was recovering and there was a disparity between supply and demand for conference centers. Increasing demand coupled with limited new supply (due to the high project cost for new conference centers) created an unsatisfied market demand, and therefore opportunities for repositioning. - Dolce International - An experienced operator who is able to attract and run conferences efficiently. These business qualities gave the property "instant" access to the market and a provided competitive advantage to the property. - Execution of renovation program - The owner was committed to the renovation budget and adhered to the budget and process closely. The owner prioritized areas that had the most and direct impact on room rates improving. - Location - There are no comparable conference centers in the near market area; however, there are a number of hotels - full-and limited-service, competing for similar business. Close and easy access to the D/FW airport provides tremendous advantages to the property. - Facilities and setting - The D/FW Lakes Hilton has one of the best meeting facilities and layouts among conference centers. Although the hotel is a few minutes from the airport, it is surrounded by 40 acres of open space and has a campus-like atmosphere. The only drawback is that the hotel does not have an onsite golf course, but the new owner has an option to develop one. In addition to these factors, The Yarmouth Group was credited for recognizing market fundamentals and understanding the operation characteristics of conference centers. The financial success of the repositioning strategy illustrated Yarmouth's keen ability to capture favorable investment timing and opportunities. From a broader perspective, the D/FW Lakes Hilton repositioning strategy was aligned with Yarmouth's overall investment strategy and increased the company's external competitive position. Chapter Four - Case Study: Fairfield Inn Scottsdale 4.1 Background The 218-room Fairfield Inn was acquired by Bristol Hotel Company in late 1994 as part of a portfolio purchase of United Inn Inc. The purchase, which closed in January 1995, included more than 10,000 rooms in properties located in Texas, Georgia, Mississippi, Arizona, California and Colorado. The purchase price for the portfolio was $67 million. The Fairfield Inn is approximately 25 years old. Prior to Bristol's purchase, it went through two franchises: Holiday Inn followed by Howard Johnson. The hotel is located in downtown Scottsdale, Arizona. The property had suffered from severe deferred maintenance and operation neglect, and had performed poorly. After Bristol took over ownership, it conducted a $4.7 million (approximately $21,000 per room) overhaul of the hotel. The renovations took place in 1996 between June and August, and the hotel was closed during that period. 4.2 Bristol Hotel Company Bristol Hotel Company, formerly known as Harvey Hotel Company, owns and operates over 120 mid-priced to upscale hotels throughout the continental United States. The company gained most of its portfolio through acquisitions. In mid 1990, Bristol acquired 60 company-owned and managed Holiday Inn hotels from Bass PLC of the United Kingdom for $665 million. Bristol also acquired Omaha Hotels, Inc. (transaction pending to complete by the second quarter of 1998), which owns and operates 89 Crowne Plaza and Holiday Inn properties. Bristol is the largest franchisee of Holiday Hospitality, and specializes in redeveloping older properties. By the year 2000, Bristol will have invested over $400 million in hotel redevelopment. In March 1998, Bristol Hotel Company announced a merger with FelCor Suite Hotels, a real estate investment trust (REIT) focusing on upscale, full-service hotels and suites. The merger calls for all real estate assets owned by Bristol to be acquired by FelCor and for the creation of a new operating company, Bristol Hotel Resorts, Inc. ("New Bristol"), to manage properties owned by FelCor. The agreement, which is pending approval, would create the largest non-paired hotel REIT and the largest independent hotel operating company. As the owner and operator, Bristol brought a tremendous amount of operation expertise to the Fairfield Inn and improved the property's performance in a short time. Bristol also provided substantial capital to support the level of renovations required for the property's desired market position. These resources are valuable to the hotel and critical to enhancing the property's competitiveness and economic life. 4.3 Repositioning Strategy The Fairfield Inn transformed from a low-end economy, full-service hotel to a upper-end, limited-service property with extended facilities. Due to the property's poor condition prior to repositioning, the hotel was performing well below market. With new properties entering the market, the erosion of market share at the Fairfield Inn was expected to continue and the hotel would eventually be displaced. The repositioning opportunity was to improve the hotel's condition and change its affiliate with a brand that is well received in the upper-economy market. This case study will examine the feasibility of the strategy, based on the Fairfield Inn's market share and competitive position in respect to the market's historic and future conditions, such as hotel demand and supply. The analysis will focus on a quantitative evaluation of the strategy for the period between 1992 and 2000. Data prior to 1997 reflects actual figures provided by Bristol Hotel. Data after 1997 includes projections based on Bristol's estimations and on market trends. 4.4 Competitive Market Profile The Fairfield Inn is located in downtown Scottsdale. Scottsdale has been undergoing tremendous growth in the past few years and is projected to become one the largest suburban markets in the greater Phoenix area. Scottsdale attracts commercial businesses, as well as tourists, due to the warm weather and vacation facilities. There are 12 hotels considered competitive to the Fairfield Inn, three of which did not open until November 1997. With the exception of a Holiday Inn, all of the hotels are limited service properties, i.e., without meeting space and no on-site food and beverage facilities. These 12 hotels are considered competitive due to their location, property type, room rate and brand affiliation. This market captures economy to mid-priced properties that typically attract price-conscious transient business and leisure travelers. The market is seasonal, with the highest occupancies reaching the upper 90-percent between late winter and early spring, and the lowest occupancies during the hot summer months. A list of competitive properties is illustrated in Exhibit 15. Exhibit 15: Competitive Set 218 Rooms Subject Fairfield Inn Scottsdale 289 Ramada Valley Ho 206 Holiday Inn Scottsdale Mall 167 Days Inn Fashion Square 188 Safari Resort 133 Fairfield Inn Scottsdale 132 Hampton Inn Scottsdale 60 Scottsdale Comfort Inn Suites 124 Hampton Inn Old Town 126 Homewood Suites 150 Sierra Suites (opened Nov 1997) 150 Fairfield Suites (opened Nov 1997) 172 Quality Inn (opened Nov 1997) 2,115 Source: Bristol Hotel Company From 1992 to 1997, the competitive set experienced a 7.5 percent (annually compounded) increase in room supply; most of the additions took place between 1995 and 1997. By the end of 1998, the market is expected to have experienced a 22.8 percent growth in room supply. No additional competitive supply is expected thereafter. Hotel demand from 1992 to 1997 increased at an annually compounded 9.4 percent. For 1998, hotel demand is expected to increase 16.0 percent, as a result of induced demand generated by new supply. With occupancies during peak seasons reaching over 90 percent, demand is likely to be turned away. New supply would capture this demand and expand the market size. Additionally, demand that was previously not marketed, such as families requiring suites, would be attracted to the market by the new products. On a percentage basis, hotel demand increased at a rate faster than supply from 1992 to 1997, but it is expected to slow down in 1998, reflecting the market's expanded supply base. Concern about new supply entering the market is estimated to pressure demand growth at between 3.8 and 2.5 percent in 1999 and 2000, respectively. The competitive set experienced steady increases in room rate from 1992 to 1997, reflecting a growing market, and new suite and renovated products in the market. Room rate is expected to continue to increase in 1998 and through year 2000. However, again, the concern about new supply is expected to pressure market room rate. As such, growth in room rate is estimated to reduce to between one and two percent in 1999 and 2000. Revenue per available room for the competitive market, according to the competitive set's occupancy and room rate, yielded an annual compounded growth rate of 9.5 percent, from $31.05 in 1992 to $48.85 in 1997. The impact of slower growth in occupancy is expected to pressure RevPAR to decline to an annual 1.0 percent increase in 1998. However, as new properties are absorbed and occupancy stabilizes, RevPAR is projected to regain growth at rates between 4.0 and 5.0 percent in 1999 and 2000. A summary of the competitive set's performance is illustrated in Exhibit 16. Exhibit 16: Competitive Set Performance Occupancy % % Change ($) ($) % Change $31.05 $35.24 $38.22 $43.03 $46.12 $48.85 $48.36 $50.81 $52.95 --13.5% 8.4% 12.6% 7.2% 5.9% -1.0% 5.1% 4.2% % Change --$49.06 --63.3% 1992 1.8% $49.97 7.3% 70.5% 1993 6.9% $53.43 1.0% 71.5% 1994 12.7% $60.24 -0.1% 71.4% 1995 11.6% $67.20 -2.8% 68.6% 1996 5.0% $70.54 0.6% 69.3% 1997 (est.) * 4.9% $73.97 -3.9% 65.4% 1998 (est.) ** 1.2% $74.84 2.5% 67.9% 1999 (est.) 2.0% $76.31 1.5% 69.4% 2000 (est.) Reflects 472 rooms of new properties opened in November 1997 ** RevPAR Average Daily Rate Reflects full opening of new hotels Source: BristolHotel Company The data suggests that the market has experienced strong growth since 1993. The competitive set experienced the highest annualized occupancy of 71.4 percent in 1995. Due to capacity constraints during peak seasons, the market's occupancy appeared to have reached its cap at that level. Although new supply has caused a downward pressure on market occupancy, which has reached an estimated low level of 65.4 percent in 1998, the actual hotel demand increased from 339,243 to an estimated 504,726 room nights during the same period. As new supply entered the market in 1997, the market was able to capture demand that was previously turned away or not marketed. As the size of the market expands, demand keeps up at a similar growth rate. This suggests a market with has growth potential. Another indication of the market's strength is the rate of absorption. By the year 2000, market occupancy is projected to stabilize at 69.4 percent, a level similar to 1997's. The most significant increase in the competitive market's ADR took place in 1995 and 1996. This was due to pressured hotel demand during peak seasons and the availability of improved properties. For instance, the subject Fairfield Inn almost doubled its room rate after renovations in 1995. Several hotels in the competitive set were also upgraded during that period. The improvement of hotel conditions, in addition to the increasing hotel demand, supported a double-digit growth of average room rates. This growth is not expected to continue as new supply mitigates the impact of rate inflation. The room rate growth is projected to stabilize to between 1.0 and 2.0 percent in 1999 and 2000. 4.5 Fairfield Inn Competitive Position A property's competitiveness can be measured by the penetration rate with respect to the property's fair market share. Fair market share is the proportion of a given hotel's room count to the total available rooms on the market. For example, the subject Fairfield Inn has 218 rooms. This represents a fair market share of 10.3 percent (218 divided by 2,115 rooms). All factors being equal, the hotel should capture 10.3 percent of the market's total hotel demand. Penetration rate is the percentage of a given hotel's captured room nights compared to its fair share. For instance, the hotel's occupancy in 1996 was 42.4 percent, or 33,700 room nights. The competitive market captured 376,473 room nights in the same year. If the hotel were performing at its fair market share (at 100%), it would capture 38,776 room nights (376,473 multiplied by 10.3 percent). However, the hotel's inferior condition and management put it in a less competitive position, and the hotel only captured 33,700 room nights. This represents a penetration rate of 86.9 percent. The following exhibit summarizes the Fairfield Inn's occupancy and penetration from 1992 to 1997, and projections through the year 2000. Exhibit 17: Fairfield Inn Occupancy and Penetration Occupancy Penetration Occupied Available Rooms Rooms 77.8% 49.3% 39,298 79,788 1992 71.2% 50.2% 39,953 79,570 1993 62.8% 44.9% 35,732 79,570 1994 66.4% 47.5% 37,422 78,840 1995 61.8% 42.4% 33,700 79,484 1996* 98.5% 68.2% 54,292 79,570 1997 100.5% 65.7% 52,303 79,570 1998 (est.) 100.0% 67.9% 54,028 79,570 1999 (est.) 99.0% 68.9% 54,824 79,570 2000 (est.) * Renovation took place from June to August 1996. Source: Bristol Hotel Company It is clear that the property performed well below its fair share until 1997, the first full year after renovation. Despite the impact of new supply, the repositioned Fairfield Inn is expected to continue to improve its penetration in 1998. According to hotel management, the property's competitive advantages lie in its facilities and location. The property offers over 2,000 square feet of meeting space and a 150-seat restaurant. Most of the hotels in the competitive set do not have these facilities. Additionally, the Fairfield Inn is in close proximity to downtown Scottsdale, which is the center of activities and attractions for leisure travelers. These resources differentiate the Fairfield Inn from its competitors. The value created by these resources is reflected positively in the hotel's occupancy. Prior to 1997, the Fairfield Inn experienced an average rate higher than the market. However, when two suite products opened in late 1997, market room rate exceeded the hotel's, and that trend is expected to continue. The annual rate increase for the market is expected to be 5.7 percent from 1992 to 2000, and the Fairfield Inn is projected to experience a slower growth of 2.4 percent. This does not necessarily indicate that the property is less competitive in room rate. It only suggests that the market's ADR is inflated by more expensive suite products. Examining the Fairfield Inn's RevPAR, the hotel has actually improved (and is expected to continue to improve) its revenue. The hotel's RevPAR is level with the market after repositioning. The following exhibit illustrates the trend of the hotel's average room rate and RevPAR. Exhibit 18: Fairfield Inn ADR and RevPAR RevPAR Hotel ADR Hotel Penetration RevPAR Penetration ADR 93.2% $29.94 119.8% $58.75 1992 86.9% $30.62 122.1% $60.99 1993 75.7% $28.95 120.8% $64.55 1994 70.7% $30.11 105.3% $63.43 1995 65.1% $30.04 105.4% $70.86 1996 * 92.3% $45.08 93.7% $66.07 1997 92.7% $44.82 92.2% $68.19 1998 (est.) 92.6% $47.07 92.6% $69.33 1999 (est.) 92.3% $48.88 92.9% $70.93 2000 (est.) Source: Bristol Hotel Company The data presented in the previous paragraphs suggests that the hotel's repositioning strategy has been effective in improving the hotel's overall performance. However, new properties are expected to put pressure on the property and the market. These market conditions explain the leveling penetration as the property reaches stabilization. 4.6 Renovations The Fairfield Inn went through a complete overhaul. At approximately $21,000 per room, the hotel was "gutted." With the exception of the building structure, every detail was improved. The hotel maintained the restaurant and meeting space, but replaced the interior and all soft goods. The hotel did not intend to operate the restaurant, and leased it to a third-party operator. The extent of renovations required the hotel to close for operations. According to Bristol, it was a good decision, and it took advantage of the slow summer months. The closing also helped the property to re-enter the market with a fresh identity. The Fairfield Inn was purchased with the intention of being redeveloped and renovated. Even so, Bristol conducted projections for an unrenovated property, in order to compare the impact of the improvements. Bristol projected that if the property remained unrenovated, its occupancy in 1998 would decline to 51.2 percent (78.2 percent penetration), its ADR would decrease to $55.22 (74.6 percent penetration), and its RevPAR to $28.27. The following exhibit illustrates the impact of the planned renovations at the Fairfield Inn. Exhibit 19: Estimated Impact of Renovations at the Fairfield Inn Scottsdale Unrenovated ADR Occupancy 1996 1997 1998 (est.) 42.4% 63.1% 51.2% RevPAR $70.86 $61.83 $55.22 $30.04 $38.99 $28.25 Occupancy 42.4% 68.2% 65.7% Renovated ADR RevPAR $70.86 $66.07 $68.19 $30.04 $45.08 $44.82 Source: Bristol Hotel Company The effectiveness of the improvement can be evaluated by the return rate of renovation cost. At a total cost of $4.7 million, the internal rate of return on the renovation was -32.5 percent in January 1997, and -13.6 percent in December 1997. The negative returns reflect a short build-up period. The difference of returns in 12 months actually reflects an increment of 18.9 points. By extending the operation period to 1999, the return on renovation is estimated to reach 5.0 percent. These results suggest the renovation was a positive placement of investment capital. 4.7 Branding Fairfield Inn by Marriott is a limited-service product developed by Marriott Hotels that targets the price-sensitive leisure and transient markets. Fairfield Inns are positioned in the upper-segment of economy products and differentiate themselves from other brands by providing quality facilities and strong marketing and management support from Marriott. Other economy brands such as Hampton Inn, La Quinta Inn and Holiday Inn Express, are considered direct competitor to the Fairfield brand. Standard room rates at a Fairfield Inn range from $45.00 to $65.00. Most of the Fairfield Inns are built according to prototypes, which reduces the cost of new construction to between $29,000 and $36,000 per room. Fairfield Inns expand primarily through franchise. Marriott plans to expand the brand to 500 properties by the early 21"t century. There are over 200 Fairfield Inns in the United States, which provide strong presence and recognition to the brand. These marketing qualities are important for the economy segment, since most of the hotel room nights are booked through a central reservation system (such as a toll free number) and through walk-ins. Hotels in the economy segment often benefit from high visibility and easy access from major highways. Location to area attractions is also an important marketing factor for most economy hotels. Prior to being a Fairfield Inn franchise, the subject hotel was affiliated with the Howard Johnson brand. Howard Johnsons were popular in the 70s, but the brand has since declined in value. A lack of investment by the company and loose quality control has caused the brand to deteriorate. The number of Howard Johnson hotels has reduced in the last ten years and the brand has lost its competitiveness in the market place. All these factors contribute to Bristol's decision to replace the Howard Johnson brand with a Fairfield Inn. Bristol considered other comparable economy brands, but chose Fairfield Inn because Bristol has a greater familiarity with the Fairfield franchise and operation than with other brands. The selection process involved assessing all brands that are already represented in the market and their performances. Typically, an owner would select a brand that does not have presence in the market to avoid market infringement and performance impact. However, after evaluating the size of the market and the location of other Fairfield Inns, Bristol believed the impact would be insignificant. Bristol also believed that Fairfield Inns' performance is a strong indication of the chain's ability to achieve premiums in the market. Similar to the Fairmont case, the subject Fairfield Inn relied on the brand's clear market position to establish its own identity. By affiliating with a brand that has high equity and marketing value, the Fairfield Inn was able to increase its competitiveness, enhancing the repositioning results. 4.8 Performance Estimates The following table summarizes the before and after repositioning performance of the Fairfield Inn, based on information provided by Bristol Hotel. Exhibit 20: Estimated Performance - Fairfield Inn Pre-reposition (1995) Post-reposition (1997) Occupancy 47% ADR $63.43 RevPAR $30.11 68% $66.07 $45.08 Market Mix Leisure: Transient: Other Leisure: Transient: Other 60 -70% 25-35% 5% 65 -75% 15-25% 10% The market mix and source of demand did not change significantly as a result of repositioning. The hotel was able to command higher rates from the same demand sources; this suggests that the market is relatively rate insensitive. This is not unusual for seasonal markets. During peak seasons, hotels can typically increase rates with little resistance. This also explains the overall market's annual rate increase of 7.5 percent in the past five years. A general investment assessment was conducted based on information collected during interviews with Bristol personnel, projections based on market trends and estimates according to industry averages. The results are not necessarily representative of the actual investment results and/or the objectives of Bristol Hotel. This exercise presents only one possible result of the hotel's repositioning strategy. Performance Assumptions (The assumptions presentedfollowing are based on Trends in the Hotel Industry USA Edition, 1997 published by PKF Consulting. Each year PKF Consulting surveys over 2,800 hotels concerning operation and financial results. In addition, some of the assumptions draw upon information provided by the hotel, and upon reasonable estimates accordingto market trends.) (1) Data from 1995 to 1997 reflects actual operating results. Data for 1998 and thereafter are projections. (2) PKF Consulting indicated that in its sample set of limited-service hotels belonging to the rate group over $60.00 experienced an average room rate of $74.13 in 1996. This same group indicated an EBITDA of 44.5 percent of the total revenue, or approximately 47 percent of room revenue. (3) The Fairfield Inn's EBITDA was 32 percent, 31 percent and 43 percent of room revenue for 1995, 1996 and 1997, respectively. It is reasonable to assume that the hotel will improve its profit margin to 45 percent as operation stabilizes. Investment Assumptions (The primary source for investment assumptions is the Hotel Investment Outlook 1998, a biannualinvestment survey published by Landauer Hospitality Group.) (1) Landauer Hospitality Group's survey indicated that equity participants in limitedservice hotels have an average holding period of 7.0 years and a terminal capitalization rate of 11.63 percent. The yield rate for this group is 13.63 percent. Considering a growing concern about the overbuilding of limited-service hotels, the capitalization rate for the analysis will be 12.5 percent. (2) The hotel was acquired as part of a portfolio, which leads one to believe that the purchase price per hotel would be lower than what would be purchased individually. At $67 million for 10,000 rooms, each room costs $6,700. With 218 rooms, the purchase price for the Fairfield Inn was estimated to be $1.46 million (218 multiplied by $6,700). Other Assumptions (1) The hotel's $4.7 million renovation was spent in 1996. No major capital expenditure will be spent on the hotel during the projection period. (2) Cash flow is forecasted from 1995 to 2001, seven years after purchase, reflecting the average holding period for limited-service hotels. 4.9 Estimated Return on Investments The aforementioned assumptions generate an internal rate of return of 44.4 percent, which exceeds the industry's average of 13.63 percent. Detailed calculations are presented in the following exhibit. Exhibit 21: Fairfield Inn Scottsdale Investment Analysis Est. Occupancy Est. ADR Est. Rooms Revenue Est. EBITDA /32% Rooms Revenue Est. EBITDA Initial Investment 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 47% 42% 68% 66% 68% 69% 69% $ 63.43 $ 70.86 $ 66.07 $ 68.19 $ 69.33 $ 70.93 $ 72.57 $ 2,373,677 $ 2,387,982 $ 3,587,072 $ 3,566,542 $ 3,745,761 $ 3,888,666 $ 3,978,409 31% 43% 45% 45% 45% 45% $751,512 $325,113 $ 1,537,292 $ 1,604,944 $ 1,685,593 $ 1,749,900 $ 1,790,284 $ (1,460,600) $ (4,668,737) -- -- -- Terminal Value - -- -- $ 1,685,593 $ 1,749,900 (12.5% Cap Rate) Est. Total Cash Flow $ (709,088) Investment Return in Nominal Term $ (4,343,624) $ 1,537,292 $ 1,604,944 $ 14,322,273 $ 16,112.557 44.4% Based on the estimated investment return, the repositioning strategy was financially feasible. Bristol is a public company, whose company value is assessed by the public market with a forward-looking mentality. The company's ability to grow is an important factor in the company's capitalization. As such, in addition to generating positive financial returns, the repositioning strategy has allowed Bristol to enter a growing market, expand its portfolio of managed properties and demonstrate its redevelopment abilities. The intrinsic value created by the Fairfield Inn's repositioning success adds to the company's equity. Furthermore, the repositioning strategy was aligned with the company's internal and external investment objectives. 4.10 Conclusions This case illustrated another successful repositioning strategy that utilized internal resources and external market forces to create value. This case strongly demonstrated the impact of renovations and brand association in the repositioning plan. Although the market fundamentals were sound, there were concerns of new properties pressuring occupancy and room rate. With respect to the targeted leisure and transient markets, the property needed a strong national brand to enhance its marketing appeal. As the management at Bristol put it, "...these travelers want a safe, clean and new property..." Bristol identified the crucial qualities of the market and product, and executed a focused repositioning plan that was most suitable for the property and competitive environment. This is another example of the owner capitalizing on his knowledge of the market segment, as well as of hotel demand and supply trends. The overall financial success of the property also relied upon the owner/operator's ability to deliver a quality product that recaptured market share, and making incisive investment decisions in order to enter the market at the appropriate time. Chapter Five - Conclusions 5.1 Introduction A good repositioning strategy addresses a property's strengths and weaknesses, as well as identifies market opportunities, to create competitive advantage and generate desirable results. Repositioning is intended to provide a second chance for properties that are either in distress or stand to lose market share, and to increase their economic and physical life. Repositioning has a unique quality in that its objective is to "re-do," or start over. The challenge is to identify the key resources to focus, change and/or improve that will maximize value, given the constraints of time, budget, market conditions, operator's abilities, and owners' expectations. A sound strategy involves executing a number of actions and decisions. It is the aggregate of these actions that contributes to the overall improvement of a property's competitiveness. However, a sound strategy may steer a property to the desired market position, yet not yield the highest financial return. The owner must prioritize investment objectives and evaluate how these objectives affect the overall direction and results of the repositioning strategy. All of the cases studied in this thesis took place in the mid-1990s. The hotel market during this period was on the road to recovery, which provided good economic fundamentals to support even marginal repositioning strategies. As such, it was not easy to isolate the real impact of the strategy from the impact induced by economic factors. One way to measure a hotel's repositioned success is to compare its performance with the competitive market. In all three cases, the hotel performed at least at a par with the market. This suggests that each repositioning strategy was successful, although to various degrees. Despite the fact that the studied properties differed in location, product type, pricing and market orientation, they share common characteristics in their repositioning plans. This section highlights and compares the effectiveness of each strategy. It will also revisit some of the issues raised in the first chapter, and examine any validation to the general theory of strategy as relates to the cases. 5.2 How does ownership type affect a repositioning strategy? Whether a hotel is owned by a hotel chain or a private investor, the primary objective of repositioning is to generate positive investment returns and extend the hotel's economic life. To the extent that the type of ownership affects the owner's approach, ability and execution of a strategy to meet his investment objectives, the owner should examine and exploit the assets and limitations that are inherent in the ownership. In the Fairmont case, the hotel is owned by a private partnership whose intention is to own and operate luxury hotels. The owner has long-term and extended objectives to build and manage the Fairmont brand as well as the hotel. The owner was interested in changing the property's entire culture so that was consistent with the owner's overall business strategy. The repositioning and investment strategy of the Fairmont Copley Plaza carried duel objectives. As a private hotel owner and operator, Fairmont had flexibility in executing the management plans, renovation programs and disposition decisions. At the time of repositioning, the Fairfield Inn was owned by a publicly-held hotel owner/operator, whose intention was to retain long-term management and ownership of the property as well. As a public company, Bristol had easier access to capital than most privately-held entities, which provided valuable resources for quality renovations. In turn, the company's performance was closely monitored and evaluated by public investors. Since Bristol was building a reputation as a hotel operator, but not a brand like the Fairmont, Bristol had the option of selecting the most suitable brand for the hotel. The repositioning strategy of the Fairfield Inn clearly indicated Bristol's focus on generating positive results in a timely manner. The D/FW Lakes Hilton was owned by a private pension fund that did not operate hotels. Like many institutional owners, Yarmouth focused on maximizing financial returns by turning the property around and disposing of it at an optimal market price. It also had a shorter holding period than the other two types of owners. Yarmouth's repositioning strategy, such as executing renovations immediately after purchase, reflected these objectives. As suggested in Chapter one, although ownership structures may not affect the effectiveness of a repositioning strategy, ownership structures appear to impact the owner's approach and objectives. The type of ownership also offers a number of options that, if exercised, can add value to the outcome of the strategy. For instance, institutional owners have the option of hiring third-party operators who bring in expertise that does not exist in an owner/operator arrangement. An owner/operator who does not have a specific brand affiliation also has the option of selecting the most appropriate franchise to enhance the property's marketability. The relationship between the type of ownership and these options is summarized in Exhibit 22. Owners should examine their options and the options' values when deciding on a repositioning approach. Exhibit 22 Private Hotel Company (Same Owner/ Operator/Brand) Fairmont Hotel Company (Fairmont Copley Plaza) Public Hotel Company (Same Owner/ Operator/Brand) Private Hotel Owner and Operator Public Hotel Owner and Operator Bristol Hotel Company (Fairfield Inn Scottsdale) Least Options 5.3 Private or Public Hotel Owner The Yarmouth Group (D/FW Lakes Hilton) Most Options How does branding affect a repositioning strategy? A brand that represents a clear product image, price category, and customer recognition can not only facilitate a property's positioning, but also serve as the focal point of the strategy. As seen in the Fairmont case, the repositioning strategy was based on the Fairmont's upscale brand recognition, which gave the property instant recognition in the community. Hotels associated with the brand are known to be historic properties or to have an upscale appeal. Customers visiting the Fairmont in Boston expect the same level of service and quality of facilities as they do at other Fairmont properties. The brand name made an easy entry for the hotel into the upscale market. On the other hand, it also created expectations from customers that the hotel had to fulfill. If the hotel lagged in providing the level of quality consistent with its sister properties, the chain would risk its reputation. The brand's equity can be enhanced or damaged by every hotel in operation. If the brand is part of the owner's assets, he should evaluate the possible risks and benefits that a repositioning strategy can generate to a brand. In the Fairfield case, the hotel needed a strong brand to compete and penetrate the limited-service upper economy segment. A non-branded facility for this segment is often viewed negatively as an independent property. The Fairfield Inn by Marriott brand creates immediate recognition for the property and access to a national reservation network and quality marketing and management support. These factors add to the value of the property and enable it to gain advantages over its competitors. In this case, branding was essential to the repositioning strategy. However, brand recognition is only important if the target market values this attribute. In the D/FW Lakes Hilton case, for instance, since most conference businesses are booked through direct sale, branding did not play an important role in the repositioning strategy. The owner had considered operating the hotel with no brand affiliation, which is consistent with other Dolce-managed hotels. franchise because of contractual reasons. However, the owner kept the Hilton Using brands to position a property should be used with caution. Branding is not effective in all market segments. In addition, brand recognition and expectations from customers associated with brands can work for and against a property's image and marketing. Owners should first decide if the targeted markets require branding to be competitive. A hotel that has few unique characteristics is likely to benefit from branding to increase marketability. This explains why many limited-service properties are chainaffiliated. If branding is determined to be necessary, the owner should assess the effectiveness and the cost/value relationship of each brand before signing up. Owners can obtain reports that provide ratings and market share analysis to compare the efficiency of each hotel brand. Owners can also request booking reports to determine if central reservations and sales efforts generate sufficient business to justify the cost of chain affiliation. 5.4 How do market forces impact a repositioning strategy? Market dynamics are crucial to the success of a repositioning plan. At the macro and micro levels, economic factors, hotel supply and room-night demand provide the fundamentals for hotels' performances. Owners must recognize what is driving hotel demand and the outlook for the market. As one operator commented, "... sometimes, owners are too ego-driven ... they think they can make a difference and overlook the market's performance." More importantly, owners must recognize where the opportunities are in a growing market. Some industry experts believe that it is easier to identity potential in a down cycle. Disparity between supply and demand is one indication of market opportunities. The Yarmouth Group saw the potential for a conference hotel based on a overbuilt transient market in North Dallas and an under-served conference market in Texas. By repositioning the D/FW Lake Hilton as a conference center, the property differentiated itself from the transient competitors. It also created and captured new market segments. Since the hotel's occupancy was already reaching capacity, the hotel's opportunity was to increase overall revenue by improving room rate and operations. The hotel was successful in these ventures. On the other hand, the Fairfield Inn entered a market that was experiencing pressure from growing limited-service products, as indicated in the projected RevPAR growth rate. The opportunity in that market was to provide a quality product that allowed it to compete effectively. While the repositioned Fairfield Inn was able to attract new demand to the market, it was competing at all levels with the existing and new supply. As opposed to expanding the market, the Fairfield Inn focused its repositioning strategy on recapturing its deteriorating market share. The Fairmont case was similar to the Fairfield Inn. The luxury market already existed and demand was exceeding supply by a large margin as assessed by Fairmont. The Fairmont hotel did not create new demand. Market statistics suggested steady demand in the luxury segment, which presented a window of opportunity for Fairmont. New properties entering the market are likely to pressure the full-service market. If the property's penetration to the upper-segment was not secure, its performance could be threatened in the coming years. It is without dispute that economic fundamentals are crucial to the success of a repositioning strategy. Although good economic times provides certain levels of hotel demand, it does not guarantee repositioning success. Each hotel segment reacts to market cycles differently. As such, before repositioning, the owner should assess the viability of the product by examining the sources and depth of demand. If the market is overbuilt or if demand is slowing down, any repositioning strategy should proceed with caution. If the Fairmont were located in a city that could not support three luxury properties, i.e., if the luxury market were saturated, the hotel would have difficulties improving its performance, regardless of a strong brand and management. Sometimes the best decision is to wait until the market shows signs of growth. Owners should ask: What is driving demand? More importantly, owners should ask: What is driving demand for the segment that the new hotel is targeting? For example, improved local employment does not directly translate into increased local tourist demand. If the repositioning strategy of a leisure hotel focuses only on commercial or business growth, it may overestimate the market's tourist potentials. Owners should conduct two market studies: one for the hotel in the "as is" state without repositioning; and the other in the "as repositioned" state. In addition to considering market conditions for the existing hotel, performances of the "new" competitive market should also be studied. Quantitative analyses of historic and projected market performance, similar to the one discussed in the Fairfield Inn case, should be compared. The hotel's estimated performance based on market share and penetration in both scenarios would provide good indications of the market trend, and aid in decision making. In addition to economic factors, a property's repositioning strategy should also take into consideration the hotel's competitive strengths and weaknesses, such as location and facilities. If the D/FW Lakes Hilton had less meeting space, positioning it as a conference center might not have been an optimal decision. Its highest and best use might be to remain as a transient hotel. 5.5 How does management affect a repositioning strategy? For any good strategy to generate desirable results, it needs good execution and delivery. Competent management is essential. More crucial is competent management that is appropriate for the targeted market segment. Fairmont's management illustrated good understanding of the upscale market, and it was able to devise proper action plans, involving all levels, that would promote a product for the market. Similarly, the Fairfield Inn example displayed Bristol's efficient management and knowledge of the mid-priced market. The D/FW Lakes Hilton clearly demonstrated Dolce's strength in the conference market, which was the main driving force of the property's operation success. All these cases suggest that good management was a pertinent part of the repositioning strategies. Identifying the right match of product and management is often a daunting task. Owners should decide if the existing management is proper for the "new" hotel. Is the existing management able to deliver the "new" product and capture its market share? A skilled economy-hotel operator may be unable to manage upscale properties. Owners should isolate the causes of problems experienced by the property, and determine if management was a part of the problem. If management was incompetent, it is necessary to replace the management staff. Once an owner decides to change management, he needs to determine how much management should be replaced. A complete turnover of management staff can be disruptive to operations and can generate negative results. Local expertise can be valuable during transitional times. Owners who are also operators should be cautioned not to manage based on the status quo. If in-house management is not appropriate for the repositioned property, it is necessary to hire third-party operators or make management adjustments. These decisions encompass broad operation issues and the owner's overall business strategy, which should be addressed prior to finalizing an acquisition. 5.6 Product Knowledge The three cases demonstrated that owners and operators' keen knowledge of the product and market abilities is crucial in the repositioning strategy. In the Fairmont case, the owner/operator made a priority of upgrading the public's perception of the hotel by targeting local elite circles and hosting social events. Although these marketing efforts did not generate substantial room sales, they helped create a posh image for the hotel, which is important for penetrating the upscale market. The Fairfield Inn, on the other hand, is a limited-service property, which promotes value. The owner focused on the economy brand's marketability to attract business. Fairmont's extensive public relations campaign would have been inappropriate for the Fairfield Inn. For the D/FW Lakes Hilton, the owner did not focus on branding, knowing it was not the best approach to capture conference demand. Instead, the owner selected an experienced conference operator. All of these strategies exemplified the owners and operators' understanding of the respective products and market segments. If any of these strategies had exchanged places, the outcome would likely have been less optimal. 5.7 What is the right price and how much to renovate? What should the purchase price of a property reflect? The "as is" condition or "as repositioned" value? There is no consistent practice in the industry. Even the Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal suggests two definitions of value: "(1)The monetary worth of a property, good, or service to buyers and sellers at a given time; (2)The present worth of the future benefits that accrue to real property ownership." In essence, the value of the property reflects what it is worth to the buyer and seller, and the circumstances of the sale. At $174,000 per room, the Fairmont hotel was acquired close to the "as repositioned" price of an upscale hotel. On the other hand, the D/FW Lakes Hilton's purchase price of $111,000 suggested a value closer to its pre-repositioned condition. (The Fairfield Inn was purchased as part of a portfolio. Therefore, it is difficult to compare.) Purchase price is only an investor's cost of entry, and it does not predict the prospect of the investment or the overall return. However, the purchase price often has implications for the renovation budget. A lower purchase price often allows the owner to spend more on renovations, which may have a bigger impact on repositioning results. 100 Renovation is often an integral part of repositioning. increases with the property's age. The need for renovations The Fairmont spent approximately $10 million to upgrade the hotel, the D/FW Lakes Hilton spent about $8 million, and the Fairfield Inn invested $4.7 million. At a per room basis, the renovation budgets for these properties were very similar, at $26,000, $20,000, and $21,000 per room, respectively. One may suspect that, since the Fairmont was the oldest property, it would require a larger budget for improvement. If the renovation budget is adjusted to the property's age, it appears that the Fairfield Inn spent the most on renovations and the Fairmont spent the least. More important than the size of the renovation budget is the effectiveness of the money spent in achieving desirable repositioning results. In two of the cases, the property moved away from the original market position and property type to some degrees (the exception was the Fairfield Inn). One way to measure the effectiveness is to compare the property's pre-and post-renovation value to the cost of renovations. A summary of assumptions for estimating the value and returns on renovations is illustrated in Exhibit 23. 101 Exhibit 23: Summary of Renovation Returns Fairmont Copley Plaza D/FW Lakes Hilton 1996 1995 11.0% Fairfield Inn Property As Unrenovated Capitalized Year Cap Rate Unrenovated EBITDA Value Unrenovated * 9.5% $4,136,217 $43,539,121 1996 12.5% $751,512 $6,012,096 $1,871,872 $17,017,019 Property As Renovated Stabilized Year 1999 Cap Rate 9.5% Stabilized EBITDA Value as renovated Difference in Value Renovation Budget Return on Renovations * Annualized EBITDA ** Sold price $7,461,668 $78,543,878 $35,004,757 $10,000,000 51.8% 1998 1998 N/A $6,983,563 $17,010,000 $82,982,981 $8,000,000 $1,604,944 $12,839,550 $6,827,454 $4,668,737 118.0% 20.9% A higher return rate suggests better investment results. 12.5% However, examining renovation returns reveals only partial results of the repositioning effort. As stated earlier, the renovation budget is typically associated with the purchase price. If an owner pays too much for the property, he may not be able to afford a renovation budget complementary to the property's desired position. For instance, the Fairfield Inn spent over $21,000 per room in renovation. Total construction for a new Fairfield Inn costs between $28,000 and $35,000 per room. This shows that renovations at the Fairfield Inn were extensive, and the renovation budget made up a substantial portion of the total acquisition cost. In such an instance, simply comparing the returns on renovations would be unfair. As such, a comparison of the total investment returns was conducted. The total investment return, or ROI, took into consideration the purchase price, renovation costs, interim cash flow and terminal value. Based on the assumptions detailed in each case, the 102 ROI suggests that the Fairfield Inn would generate the highest returns on capital, followed by the D/FW Lake Hilton and then the Fairmont Copley Plaza. The following exhibit summarizes the results. Exhibit 24: Summary of ROI Est. Acquisition Cost Est. Terminal Value Est. ROI Fairmont Copley Plaza D/FW Lakes Hilton Fairfield Inn $70,000,000 $85,827,016 12.5% $52,000,000 $103,000,000 34.5% $6,129,337 $14,322,273 44.4% When determining how much to invest, owners should consider the total purchase price and the cost of renovations. The combined cost should be compared to the cost of constructing a new hotel that is comparable to the repositioned property. If the cost to reposition exceeds that of new construction, it says that the owner is overpaying for the asset. The analyses presented provide only a few ways to assess the effectiveness of capital deployment. The overall financial success should be compared to the owner's internal investment objectives and risk levels. 5.8 Conclusions The three cases included in the thesis provide only a small sample of market repositioning. From the resource-based view, all these cases were able to construct a sound strategy and create value based on the entity's tangible and intangible sources and organizational capabilities. The ultimate degree of success of each strategy remains to be judged by the respective owners and operators, each strategy fulfilled the important 103 purposes of externally positioning the property and firm in relation to their competitors, and internally aligning the property and firm's activities and investment. 104 Appendix: Recent Performance of the US Hotel Market Overbuilding in the mid-late 80s and the U.S. economic downturn in the early 90s contributed to the low occupancy and average daily rate for the US hotel market in the last decade. Hotel occupancy reached its lowest level in 1992, but has since recovered, and reached its peak in 1996. Mirroring the development trend in the 80s, the momentum of new supply, particularly in the limited hotel sector, is putting pressure on occupancy. Although hotel demand has been increasing since 1987, occupancy did not improve until 1992, when the new supply was absorbed. Data from Smith Travel Research indicates that industry room supply increased 3.4 percent in 1997, compared to 2.5 percent in demand growth for the same period. As a result, the U.S. hotel market in 1997 experienced a 0.8 percent decline to 64.5 percent from that of a year ago. As the development trend continues, new supply will continue to enter the market in the next five years. Reflecting this trend, U.S. hotel occupancies for 1998 and 1999 are expected to experience a continued decline, as illustrated in the following exhibit. STR* Segment Budget Economy Midprice Upscale Luxury Exhibit 25: US Hotel Occupancy 1998 1997 Occupancy (est.) Occupancy 58.5% 59.6% 59.1% 60.1% 63.5% 64.4% 66.1% 67.1% 73.4% 73.7% * Smith Travel Research Source: Coopersand Lybrand 105 1999 Occupancy (est.) 58.2% 58.0% 62.6% 65.0% 73.1% Although occupancy is experiencing stagnation, the average daily rate is continuing to rise. For five consecutive years, ADR in the United States experienced steady increases. In 1997, the US hotel market's ADR increased 6 percent to $75.16. Revenue per available room reached $48.50 in 1997, a more than five percent increase from that of a year ago. Industry statistics suggest that the U.S. hotel industry has fully recovered from the last downturn cycle. With occupancy and ADR increases, new supplies are attracted to the market. Growth in the limited-service sector has already shown signs of slowing down due to the development boom that started in the mid 90s. The development of full-service hotels has also started to pick up in the since 1997. Looking forward, new supply is likely to put pressure on hotel performance if the U.S. economy did sustain its growth levels. This could be create potential problems for less competitive properties and put them into financial distress. 106 References 1996 Conference Center Industry, PKF Consulting Bielski, Lauren, 1997. "Investors Target Conference Centers." Business Travel News, Oct 27, 1997, p 1 8 Bohan, Gregory T. and Cahill, Michael, 1992. "Determining the Feasibility of Hotel Market Positioning." Real Estate Review Volume 22, No.1 / Spring 1992 Brandenburger, Adam M and Stuart, H.W. Stuart, 1996. "Value-based business strategy." Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, Vol 5, Nol, Spring 1996, pp 524. Collins, Davis J. and Montgomery, Cynthia A, 1998. "Corporate Strategy: A ResourceBased Approach." Irwin/McGraw-Hill Inc. 1998 Del Russo, Laura, 1996. "Fairmont buys Copley Plaza Hotel, adding to holdings in the Northeast; Fairmont Hotel Management." Travel Weekly, Vol 55; No 49; ISSN: 0041-2082 DeMyer, I. Paul and Kamer, William, 1991. "Revisiting the management agreement in the troubled hotel project." The Real Estate Finance Journal, Fall 1991 Dev, Chekitan, Morgan, Michael and Shoemaker, Stowe, 1995. "A positioning analysis of hotel brands - based on travel manager perceptions." Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly December 1995 v36 n6 Nykiel, Ronald, 1998. "Before you invest, understand the "Value" of a brand strategy." Mazanec, Josef A, 1995. "Positioning analysis with self-organizing maps: an exploratory study on luxury hotels." Cornell Hotel & Administration Quarterly, Dec 1995 v36 n6 p8 0 (16) Quek, Patrick, 1998. "Has Segmentation Worked?" The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal Third Edition, Appraisal Institute Smith Travel Research Releases 1997 U.S. Lodging Industry Results, January 30, 1998 Umbriet, Terry, 1996. "Fairmont Hotels' turnaround strategy." Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, Vol 37; No 4; p5 0 ; ISSN: 0010-8804 Wolff, Carlo, 1997. "Carving out the productivity niche." Lodging Hospitality, July 1997, vol 53, n7, p3 6 (4), ISSN: 0148-0766 107