111 Landscape Ecology 13: 111–131, 1998. c 1998 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. Analysis of fine-scale spatial pattern of a grassland from remotely-sensed imagery and field collected data Agustín Lobo1, Kirk Moloney2, Oscar Chic3 and Nona Chiariello4 1 Institut de Ciències de la Terra (CSIC), Martí Franqués s/n, 08028 Barcelona, Spain; 2 Department of Botany, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011-10220, USA; 3 Institut de Ciències del Mar, P. Juan de Borbón s/n, 08039 Barcelona, Spain; 4 Department of Biological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305, USA (Received: 3 July 1997; accepted 2 August 1997) Keywords: vegetation pattern, serpentine grassland, disturbance, Thomomys bottae, geostatistics, remote sensing, fractal, spatial simulation, NDVI, Fast Fourier Transform Abstract An important practical problem in the analysis of spatial pattern in ecological systems is that requires spatiallyintensive data, with both fine resolution and large extent. Such information is often difficult to obtain from field-measured variables. Digital imagery can offer a valuable, alternative source of information in the analysis of ecological pattern. In the present paper, we use remotely-sensed imagery to provide a link between field-based information and spatially-explicit modeling of ecological processes. We analyzed one digitized color infrared aerial photograph of a serpentine grassland to develop a detailed digital map of land cover categories (31.24 m 50.04 m of extent and 135 mm of resolution), and an image of vegetation index (proportional to the amount of green biomass cover in the field). We conducted a variogram analysis of the spatial pattern of both field-measured (microtopography, soil depth) and image-derived (land cover map, vegetation index, gopher disturbance) landscape variables, and used a statistical simulation method to produce random realizations of the image of vegetation index based upon our characterization of its spatial structure. The analysis revealed strong relationships in the spatial distribution of the ecological variables (e.g., gopher mounds and perennial grasses are found primarily on deeper soils) and a non-fractal nested spatial pattern in the distribution of green biomass as measured by the vegetation index. The spatial pattern of the vegetation index was composed of three basic components: an exponential trend from 0 m to 4 m, which is related to local ecological processes, a linear trend at broader scales, which is related to a general change in topography across the study site, and a superimposed periodic structure, which is related to the regular spacing of deeper soils within the study site. Simulations of the image of vegetation index confirmed our interpretation of the variograms. The simulations also illustrated the limits of statistical analysis and interpolations based solely on the semivariogram, because they cannot adequately characterize spatial discontinuities. Introduction Spatial patterns in ecological systems are the result of an interaction among dynamical processes operating across a range of spatial and temporal scales (Wiens 1989; Urban et al. 1987). Spatial issues have interested ecologists for a long time (i.e., the concept of the Address for correspondence: Agustín Lobo, Institut de Ciències de la Terra (CSIC), Martí Franqués s/n, 08028 Barcelona, Spain; Tel. 34 3 330 2716; Fax. 34 3 411 0012; E-mail: alobo@ija.csic.es, alobo@eno.princeton.edu landscape as a shifting mosaic of patches can be traced at least as far back as Watt’s (1947) seminal work on pattern and process), and have been receiving increasing attention by ecologists over the last several years. For instance, the idea of the landscape as a shifting mosaic began to receive serious theoretical and experimental attention in the mid-1970’s (Levin and Paine 1974; Whittaker and Levin 1977; Steele 1978). More recently, landscape ecology has developed this concept further to view the landscape as a complex, hierarchically organized, spatio-temporal mosaic, where 112 there are strong relationships coupling spatial pattern to process (Forman and Godron 1986; Turner 1989; Turner et al. 1991). This work has shown that, not only does the spatial pattern of a landscape result from dynamic ecological processes, but landscape pattern can also directly influence the dynamics of the system (Turner 1989; Levin 1992): biogeochemical cycling is modified by landscape structure (Pastor and Post 1988; Turner 1987); many life history traits can be interpreted as being an evolutionary response to spatial heterogeneity (Levin 1992); and the ecology of mobile organisms is dependent on the spatial pattern of the landscape (i.e., O’Niell et al. 1988; Milne et al. 1989; and Palmer 1992), a fact with profound consequences for conservation ecology and the design of natural preserves. As Milne (1992) notes, “the functional roles of landscape patches may vary markedly as a consequence of patch mosaic structure”. The spatial analysis of environmental variables leads to the conclusion that they are scale dependent, a point that is well illustrated by Richardson’s simple examples of the dependence of estimates of the length of coastlines and frontiers on the unit length used (in Mandelbrot 1983). Because of this apparent scale dependence, the analysis of the spatial pattern of ecological variables is best conducted over a range of scales, as has been effectively demonstrated in a number of recent studies. For example, Johnson et al. (1992) examined the constraining effects of the spatial structure of vegetation in a semi-arid grassland on beetle movement and found that beetles exhibit a complex behavioral response that varies across a range of spatial and temporal scales, depending in part on the spatial structure of the local plant community. Reed et al. (1993) have effectively demonstrated that the correlation between the state of an environmental variable and plant community composition may appear to be significant when sampled at some spatial scales and not at others. They further caution that our interpretation of the importance of a particular environmental factor in determining community composition may depend in a critical way upon the sample scale we choose to use in any given study. Also, Biondini and Grygiel (1994) have shown in a modeling study that the outcome of interspecific competition among plant species in a natural landscape may depend upon an interplay between the scaling relationships of nutrient acquisition and the spatial distribution of critical soil nutrients, such as nitrogen. An important practical problem for the analysis of spatial scale dependence is that requires spatiallyintensive data. Spatial statistics, which have experi- enced a notable advance in the last decade, are being assimilated into the ecological literature (Matheron 1965; Journel and Huijbregts 1978; Clif and Ord 1981; Ripley 1981; Diggle 1983; Upton and Fingleton 1985; Cressie 1993; see Turner et al. 1991 for an ecologically-oriented review). However, no matter how sophisticated the methods and tools may be, they cannot counteract the paucity of spatial data that often exists in ecological studies. Appropriate data for the analysis of spatial-dependence needs to have both a fine resolution and a broad extent. Such information is difficult to obtain for field-measured variables. Therefore, related variables that can be derived from digital imagery become a valuable source of data in characterizing spatial dependence in ecological systems. We use this approach in the present paper to study the relationship between pattern and processs in a serpentine, annual grassland located at Jasper Ridge, San Mateo County, California, USA. One reason for using this as a study site is that grasslands, particularly annual grasslands, are good objects for studying scaling issues because they are more accessible and have simpler vertical dimension than other terrestrial ecosystems. In an earlier paper (Lobo et al., in press), we focused on the development of a vegetation map from high resolution remotely-sensed imagery, using a method based on image segmentation and discriminant analysis. We showed that this method was able to discriminate among complex, ecologically meaningful land cover categories that were not identifiable with more conventional image classification methods. Here, we develop the use of remotely-sensed imagery to provide a link between field-based information and spatiallyexplicit modeling, which is done through a comparative study of the fine-scale spatial structure of several ecological variables measured in a small portion of the serpentine grasssland at Jasper Ridge. We compare spatial relationships across a range of scales of both field-measured (microtopography, soil depth, disturbance) and image-derived (land cover map, vegetation index) landscape variables and use a statistical simulation method to produce random realizations of the spatial pattern of the vegetation index based upon our characterization of spatial structure. Results of these analyses provide deeper insight into the spatial components of the ecology of this site than could be gained by studying field-measured or image-derived variables alone. The serpentine grassland represents an ideal model system for studying changes in vegetation at the land- 113 scape scale, as community composition shifts over relatively short distances. As many as 25,000 plants can be found per m2 (Huenneke et al 1990) and, as shown here, environmental conditions affecting species distributions (primarily soil depth, disturbance rates, and moisture availabilty) can change significantly over distances of less than a meter. As a consequence, although we are only studying a small area of the grassland, this represents a broad range of conditions across the serpentine landscape and our approach could be easily used at a much broader scale for ecological systems that are coarser grained than the Jasper Ridge serpentine grassland. The primary advantage of our approach is that it provides valuable insights into the spatial relationships structuring ecological systems by coupling very detailed, spatially-complete, and easily obtained data (remotely sensed imagery) to sparse, and often hard to collect, field data. Study site Our study site was located in the Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve of Stanford University (for a detailed description of the ecology of this site, see Hobbs 1985; Hobbs and Hobbs 1987; Moloney et al. 1991; Hobbs and Mooney 1991; Moloney 1993; Wu and Levin 1994; Moloney and Levin 1996). Jasper Ridge is a low lying ridge (maximum elevation of 189 m) situated in the foothills of the Santa Cruz Mountains of California on the San Francisco Peninsula. The climate is Mediterranean with an average annual rainfall of 500 mm and very little or no precipitation from May to September. The crest of the ridge is bisected by serpentine soils, which are shallow, nutrient-poor soils high in some heavy metals (Walker 1954; McNaughton 1968; Hobbs and Mooney 1991). The serpentine soils support a grassland community that is dominated by a diverse array of native annual forbs, but also includes perennial forbs, bunch grasses, and annual grasses most of which are also native. Dominance by annuals that have little seed carry-over from year to year results in rapidly changing population dynamics. Similar grassland communities occur on serpentine soils throughout west-central California and are considered remnants of native grassland that once occurred on more fertile soils (Murphy and Ehrlich 1989). The role of pocket gopher (Thomomys bottae) disturbance in the serpentine grassland of Jasper Ridge has been studied in the field by Hobbs and Mooney (1985 and 1991), who found that gophers turn over a significant proportion of the grassland soil each year, that distribution of gopher mounds is clumped and that this type of disturbance has a large impact on the spatial structure of the plant community. Methods For our analyses, we derived three spatial variables from aerial photographs of the Jasper Ridge serpentine grassland: a land cover classification of 4 discrete vegetation types for 1994, a vegetation index for 1994, and location of gopher disturbances for the period 1988–1991. In addition, topographic height and soil depth were measured in the field at discrete points arranged in a regular (hexagonal) grid. Contingency table analysis and spatial statistics were used to determine the spatial relationships among these variables and an inverse Fourier transform method was used to simulate the spatial structure of the vegetation index. Image processing and Geographic Information System operations were performed with Grass 4.0 (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 1991). Statistical analyses, with the exception of calculation of crosscorrelograms, were performed with S-PLUS (Statistical Sciences 1993). Cross-correlograms were computed using GSLIB (Deutsch and Journel 1992). Land cover Digitized color infrared (CIR) aerial photographs of the Jasper Ridge serpentine grassland were used to develop a detailed digital map of land cover categories in a small area of the grassland, as well as an image of a vegetation index and a map of gopher disturbance (see Sections 4.2 and 4.3). A detailed explanation of the image processing methods is presented elsewhere (Lobo et al., in press). We used a series of aerial photographs taken from 1988 to 1992 during the Spring. Dates of the flights used in acquiring the photographs (29 March 1988, 10 April 1989, 9 April 1990 and 24 April 1992) were set to capture vegetation at a similar phenological state. After digitizing a section of the scene for each year, images were georectified. The region intersected by all 4 georectified digital CIR images became the area of study, covering a 31.24 m 50.04 m region with a spatial resolution of 135 mm. The 1992 image was classified into four land cover cateogories, using processing methods based on image segmentation and discriminant analysis (Lobo 1997). 114 These methods discriminate among natural cover classes characterized by a highly textured surface and produce results superior to conventional “per-pixel” classification methods. As a result of this analysis, the following categories were identified in the digitized CIR image (Fig. 1): 1. “Bunchgrasses”: sites dominated by the annual plant species Linanthus, and the tarweeds (genera Calycadenia and Hemizonia); tall, perennial bunchgrasses present; and less than 1% cover by exposed rocks. 2. “Dense annuals”: sites dominated by a dense carpet of short-lived, early flowering annuals, few tarweeds and no perennial grasses present; 1% to 10% cover by small exposed rocks. 3. “Sparse annuals”: sites with only sparsely distributed annual plant species, no perennial grasses present; gravely terrain. 4. “Bare soil”: no flowering plants present; terrain composed of gravel, small stones and rocks. Information from this map was then used to study the distribution of other ecological variables with respect to the four general cover categories. image-recognizable gopher disturbances in the study area for 1992, although some were visible in the image outside the study area. The disturbance map was produced by combining the locations of disturbances for 1988–1990 into a single digital map. We analyzed the distribution of gopher mounds with respect to the four cover categories through a contingency table analysis. Microtopography and soil depth Soil depth and topographic height were determined for 481 sample points arranged as a hexagonal array in the aforementioned 30 m 30 m experimental plot. Soil depth was determined at each point by pushing a soil probe into the soil until it hit bedrock. Topographic height was determined by conventional surveying techniques using a theodolite and a metric pole. The microtopography within the experimental plot consisted of two elements: a slope and a number of small ridges. The slope was treated as a trend and filtered out prior to analyzing the relationship between the spatial structure of local topography and other ecological variables, such as soil depth and vegetation structure (Fig. 2). Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Spatial analysis A Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) map, coinciding with the land cover map, was constructed by computing the normalized difference of the infrared and red components of the digitized CIR image from 1992. NDVI strongly contrasts green vegetation against non-vegetated areas because of the large difference in reflectivity shown by green biomass between the red and near-infrared wave lengths. Since the images from Jasper Ridge have not been radiometrically calibrated, the NDVI values presented here are not directly comparable to NDVI values found elsewhere. Nevertheless, since we have calculated NDVI using linear transforms of near infrared and red reflectance, the essential physical meaning of NDVI as a proxy to projected green area cover remains unchanged (Price and Bausch 1995). Gopher disturbance A digital map of gopher disturbances, coincident with the land cover and NDVI maps, was produced by interactive classification of disturbances in the color infrared photographs of the Jasper Ridge grassland. Recently produced gopher disturbances were easily recognized in the 1988–1990 images. There were no We studied the spatial structure of NDVI, soil depth and topographic height by calculating their semivariograms. Semivariograms are plots of the average square difference between the values of a spatial variable at pairs of points separated by a lag distance, against the lag. Semivariograms are now being commonly employed in the analysis of remotely sensed imagery (Curran 1988; Jupp et al. 1988a and b; Woodcock et al. 1988a and b; Curran and Dungan 1989; Ramstein and Rafy 1989; Webster et al. 1989; Cohen et al. 1990) and in ecological studies (Robertson 1987; Robertson et al. 1988; Rossi et al. 1992; Biondini and Grygiel 1994; Palmer 1990). We refer the reader to Rossi et al. 1992 for an introduction to the use of geostatistics in an ecological context and for the basic terminology. In this paper semivariograms were computed with two methods. The first method was used to compute semivariograms for data that were available for all map locations (NDVI). In this case, 200 pairs of points were randomly selected over the image for each lag distance, and the average square difference of the corresponding NDVI values was computed. Distances ranged from 1 to 220 pixels (0.135 m to 29.7 m) by steps of 1 115 Figure 1. Image-derived map of 1992 with the perimeters of gopher disturbances for the period 1988–1991 overlaid. Dark grey: tall bunchgrasses; grey: dense annuals; light grey: sparse annuals; white: gravel, small stones and rocks. pixel (0.135 m). Semivariograms were independently computed 30 times, and the average of the 30 means and their 95% confidence intervals were plotted. In total, each semivariogram consisted of 6000 pairs of points per lag (Fig 3). Separate NDVI semivariograms were also calculated for each land cover category. Usual methods were used to calculate semivariograms for data available only from the 481 field sample points (soil depth and topographic height), which were available as (x,y,z) coordinates. For each pair of points, the distance lag between them in the (x,y) plane and the square differences for soil depth and topographic height were computed. Pairs of points were grouped according to lag distance intervals of 1.467 m. The resulting lags ranged from 1.467 m to 20.533 m. The same method for calculating semivariograms was also applied to NDVI data corresponding to the 481 data locations used in calculating soil depth and topographic height in the field. We examined the importance of directional anisotropy in the spatial distributions of soil depth, topographic height, and NDVI by calculating 4 separate directional semivariograms (0–180, 90–270, 45–225 and 135–325, with the 0–180 direction being the horizontal axis of the map). The directional semivariograms were calculated with a tolerance of 22 300 . Spatial relationships between different pairs of variables have been studied by means of crosscorrelograms to facilitate the interpretation of spatial statistics calculated with variables measured in different units. Simulation of landscape variables We have used a form of stochastic simulation to study more fully the components making up spatial pattern in the Jasper Ridge grassland image, focusing on an 116 Figure 2. 3-D representations of topographic height and soil depth data. The trend was obtained by 2-D smoothing and then substracted from the raw topography to produce the detrended topography. Note the visual correspondence between the detrended topography and the soil depth. analysis of NDVI. Stochastic simulation approaches are being used increasingly in studies employing geostatistics, both as a complement to interpolation techniques (such as kriging) and as an alternative method for studying 2-dimensional (2-D) spatial patterns (see Deutsch and Journel 1992 for a practical introduction to the topic). Here we use the Fourier integral method because of its simplicity and its ability to generate stochastic 2-D fields of a spatial variable from the semivariogram. The Fourier integral method is described by Pardo-Igúzquiza and Chica-Olmo (1993), to whom we refer the reader for an extended explanation. A brief description of the method is given in Appendix I. The method is based on the facts that (i) the Fourier transform (FT) of a real function (an image is a 2-D real function) produces a complex spectrum, which can be decomposed into an amplitude and a phase spec- trum (which are 2-D as well); (ii) the FT of the autocorrelation function (a.c.f.) of the same real function produces the square of the amplitude spectrum, also known as the spectral density function; and (iii) the FT is reversible, hence the inverse FT (FT,1 ) applied to an amplitude and phase spectra pair of an image would reproduce the original image. We take advantage of these three facts to combine different pairs of amplitude and phase spectra and backtransform them to create different simulated images. Modeled a.c.f. can be produced from particular components of the modeled semivariogram and thus be used to clarify the interpretation of these components by visualizing their corresponding patterns (Fig. 4). As it is common with digital imagery, the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) algorithm is used here (Gonzalez and Wintz 1977, Richards 1993). 117 Figure 3. Omnidirectional semivariogram of NDVI. white dots: observed values with the dipole method; thin solid lines: 95% confidence interval; black dots (appear as a thick solid line): observed values using all possible pairs for each lag. See Section 4.5. Results Associations among landscape variables Several interesting spatial relationships among cover categories can be observed in the vegetation map of the study site (Fig. 1c). Areas that were classified as “bunchgrass” form long narrow bands running perpendicular to the overall slope of the site, with “dense annuals” appearing to be mostly distributed around the “bunchgrass” category. “Sparse annuals”, on the other hand, appear to occupy other broad areas of the site. Our analysis shows that gopher disturbances departed significantly from the general null hypothesis of random association among the four 1992 cover categories (Table 1; X2 = 257.515, d.f = 3, p < 0.001). Areas identified as bunchgrasses in the 1992 image were more highly disturbed, based on proportional representation, than the other areas in the 1988– 1990 period: 1.79 times the rate expected at random. Areas covered by the remaining categories had fewer disturbances than expected. Bunchgrasses also significantly differed from the rest of land cover categories in terms of NDVI, soil depth and detrended topography (Table 2). The same results are observed for disturbed areas, which is to be expected given the high degree of coincidence with Table 1. Contingency table between gopher disturbance and terrain categories. Values in brackets are the expectations under the null hypothesis of non interaction. This hypothesis is rejected by the X2 test (X2 = 257.515, d.f. = 3, n = 2000, p < 0.001). Terrain category Gopher disturbance No gopher disturbance Bunch grasses Annuals 1 Annuals 2 Bare soil 482 (269.328) 288 (378.289) 219 (314.562) 29 (55.786) 2164 (2376.637) 3428 (3337.711) 2871 (2775.438) 519 (492.214) the bunchgrass areas (Table 3). Bunchgrasses (and disturbances) occurred on deeper soils with higher topographic relief than the other vegetation categories (Tables 2 and 3). NDVI values were also higher on areas classified as bunchgrass or disturbed (Tables 2 and 3). The latter result indicates that there is greater aboveground biomass in bunchgrass areas, as would be expected for this ecosystem, and that the vegetation recovers rapidly from localized disturbances, which is not surprising for a community predominantly comprised of annual plant species. NDVI and soil depth were linearly correlated (r2 = 0.17, p < 0.00001; Fig. 5a) although with a large degree of scatter. The correlation increases if NDVI and soil depth values are averaged by patches of the 118 Figure 4. Flow chart of the simulations. Images (a), (b), (c) and (d) correspond to the ones represented in Fig. 11. Table 2. Significance test comparing average values of NDVI, soil depth and detrended topography for a subset of cells from the areas assigned to the terrain category “Bunchgrass” versus the remaining terrain categories (“Other”). (Standard deviations are indicated in parentheses). Table 3. Significance test comparing average values of NDVI, soil depth and detrended topography for a subset of cells from areas identified as “disturbed” versus “undisturbed”. (Standard deviations are indicated in parentheses.) Variable df Bunchgrass Other t-value p Variable d.f. NDVI 390 < 0.001 NDVI 479 390 –188.526 (157.828) 209.687 (131.459) –0.771 (3.821) 13.726 Soil depth (mm) Detrended topography (mm) 73.634 (137.347) 365.805 (202.871) 2.563 (3.006) 8.430 < 0.001 7.323 < 0.001 Soil depth (mm) Detrended topography (mm) 390 Disturbed –49.750 (182.474) 479 339.278 (215.194) 479 2.643 (4.305) Undisturbed t-value p –136.593 (179.676) 239.187 (162.890) –0.181 (3.702) 2.786 < 0.0055 3.453 < 0.0006 4.348 < 0.001 119 same land cover type according to the map of Fig. 1 (r2 = 0.61, p < 0.00001; Fig. 5b), which is a consequence of both variables being spatially autocorrelated at a local scale. Spatial analysis Visual inspection of the omnidirectional semivariogram of NDVI reveals that it is composed of 3 basic components: (1) an exponential trend dominating at small scales, with a range of approximately 4 m, (2) a linear trend dominating at broader scales, and (3) a superimposed periodic structure, indicated in part by the local minimum seen at 7.5 m (Fig. 6). The exponential and linear components can be modeled (Fig. 6a) as: ^(h) = 0 for h = 0 ^(h) = a + c1 (1 , exp(,h=r)) + c2 h for h > 0 (1) where ^ stands for the semivariance, h for the lag distance and the parameters are estimated by non-linear weighted least-squares (Table 4). The residuals, after removal of the exponential and linear components, clearly exhibit a periodic structure (Fig. 6b). The latter can be modeled approximately using trigonometric functions (Table 4): ^ (h) = c3 (2h=b) + c4 sin(2h=b) (2) Figure 6 also includes a power (fractal) model, which provided a poorer fit than model (1) (Table 4): ^ (h) = a2 hb2 (3) The exponential trend in the NDVI semivariogram, which dominates at short distances, is indicative of strong local spatial correlation in the distribution of biomass that extends over distances up to about 4 m. Similar patterns at that distance can be observed in the correlograms (approximately equal to 1, ^(h)) for soil depth and detrended topography (Fig. 7). Although the spatial patterns of these three variables – NDVI, soil depth and detrended topography – are similar in structure between lags of 0 and 4 m, they could be totally independent of one another. However, crosscorrelation analysis among these three variables shows that there is a strong correspondence in their spatial structure, at least at the local scale (Fig. 7). The lat- ter result extends the results of the contingency table analyses of the previous section into a spatial context, demonstrating again the strong correlation between soil depth, detrended topography and NDVI. The linear trend dominating the semivariogram of NDVI at distances greater than 4 m is closely associated with the topographic relief of the study site, as can be seen in an analysis of directional semivariograms of NDVI (Fig. 8). (There is a distinct anisotropy in the spatial distribution of NDVI values.) The linear trend observed in the global semivariogram was not present in the 90–270 and 45–225 directions, but is a strong element in the 0–180 and the 135–315 directions. Comparing these results to a plot of raw topography shows that the linear trend in the semivariogram dominates in a direction parallel to the slope, indicating a systematic change in NDVI values in this direction (Fig. 2). The periodic component of the NDVI semivariogram derives from the fact that NDVI values are higher on bunchgrass-dominated ridges, which are more or less evenly distributed as strips along the vertical axis of the image (oriented primarily in the 90–270 direction as seen in Fig. 1). This interpretation is strengthened by the fact that the period estimated for (2) is 10 m, which corresponds closely to the distances between topographic ridges at the study site (cf., Fig. 1 and Table 4). Also, inspection of semivariograms for NDVI calculated for individual land cover types (Fig. 9) indicates that semivariograms of NDVI computed for the “dense annuals” and “sparse annuals” do not exhibit the periodic structure found in the omnidirectional semivariogram computed across all cover categories (Fig. 9). However, the semivariogram for the “bunchgrass” cover category, which is closely associated with the topographic ridges, does contain a within-category periodicity. More evidence for the interpretation of the periodic structure of the NDVI semivariogram comes from the simulation results presented in the next section, and from the fact that the periodic structure is more evident in directional semivariograms of NDVI computed parallel to the slope (0–180) rather than perpendicular to the slope (90–270) (Fig. 8). The periodic element was also present in the omnidirectional semivariograms for soil depth and detrended topographic height (Fig. 10). This is consistent with the observed co-occurrence of bunchgrasses, deeper soils and higher NDVI values on ridges, as described earlier. The semivariogram of the raw topographic height was totally dominated by the slope, which appears in the semivariogram as a parabola. 120 Figure 5. Scatter plot of NDVI vs. soil depth values. (a), plot of observed soil depth values vs. the corresponding individual pixel NDVI value; (b), plot of per-patch means, where patches are defined by the classified image (Fig. 1). 1, bunchgrass patches; 2, patches of dense annuals; patches of sparse annuals. Only patches with more than 5 soil depth observations are used to compute the means. Patches of bare soil were too small to contain more than 5 observations of soil depth and are not represented. Table 4. Parameters and statistics of the models fitted by weighted non-linear least squares to the semivariograms. NDVI Soil depth Parameter Model [1] (image) (grid) Model [2] parameter (image) Model [3] parameter (grid) Model [4] a1 c1 c2 r1 R2 DF 0.0066 0.0276 0.0001 1.1469 0.999 219 0.0089 0.2487 0.0024 1.6654 0.925 14 c3 c4 b – R2 DF 0.0005 –0.0001 10.0840 – 0.202 219 a2 b2 – – R2 DF 0.024 0.144 – – 0.689 219 – c5 – r2 R2 DF – 29258.0 – 0.832 0.844 14 121 , , Figure 6. (a) Omnidirectional semivariogram of NDVI. dots: observed values; solid line: model [1] ( ^ (h) = a + c1 (1 exp( h=r )) + c2 h for h > 0) fit to the data; dashed line, power (fractal) model [3] (^ (h) = a2 hb2 ) fit to the data. (b) Residuals of the previous model [1] ^ (h) = c3 cos(2h=b) + c4 sin(2h=b)) fit to the residuals (solid line). See Table 4 for values and statistics. (dots), and periodic model [2] ( The semivariogram of soil depth does not exhibit a linear trend and its non-periodic component can be modeled by (Table 4): ^(h) = 0 for h = 0 ^(h) = a2 + c4 (1 , exp(,h=r2 )) for h > 0 (4) NDVI was the only variable for which a resolution of 0.135 m per pixel was available. For soil depth and topography only sample points arranged in the sample grid were available. In order to assess the impact of the loss of spatial precision in computing semivariograms for these variables, NDVI values were sampled from the image at the same grid positions as soil depth and topographic height and the semivariogram of this “sampled NDVI” was computed (Fig. 10). The global omnidirectional semivariogram for “sampled NDVI” was a good approximation to the “full resolution” semivariogram. The same was true for semivariograms of “sampled NDVI” computed over categories corresponding to “dense annuals” and “sparse annuals”, but not for the ones computed with sampled NDVI values over the “bunch grasses” category. As a consequence, “per category” semivariograms of soil depth and topography are not presented. 122 Figure 7a. (a) Cross-correlograms. Open circles, NDVI and soil depth; filled circles, detrended topographic relief and soil depth; open diamonds, detrended topographic relief and NDVI. Figure 7b. (b) Autocorrelograms of soil depth (open squares) and NDVI (filled squares). In both cases the dashed lines indicate 95% confidence interval. Simulations Figure 11 shows results of the FFT method used to simulate patterns from the central part of the NDVI image (Fig. 11a). FFT of this image produced the observed phase and amplitude spectra. An FFT,1 applied to this pair of observed spectra renders the original image. Fig. 11b has been produced by applying FFT,1 to a pair composed of a randomized phase spectrum and the original amplitude spectrum. A modeled amplitude spectrum, along with the observed phase spectrum, has been used to produce Fig. 11c by FFT,1 . This modeled amplitude spectrum was computed from the exponential component of the semivariogram model fit to the observed omnidirectional semivariogram of NDVI (equation (1); Fig. 6): the exponential element was converted to an a.c.f. and then the a.c.f. was transformed by FFT to produce a power spectrum. The square root of the power spectrum was the amplitude spectrum used to produce Fig. 11c. 123 Figure 8a. (a) Directional semivariograms of NDVI. Dots, 0–180 direction; crosses, 90–270 direction. Figure 8b. (b) Fitted linear components of the model [1] for each global directional semivariogram. Note that the main spatial discontinuities of Fig. 11a can be recognized in Fig. 11c and not in Fig. 11b, which indicates that this important part of the spatial information is present in the phase spectrum and not in the power spectrum. Instead, the linear ridges are present in Fig. 11b and not in Fig. 11c, which is a consequence of not including the periodic component of the semivariogram in the calculation of Fig. 11c. The same modeled amplitude as in Fig. 11c was used in Fig. 11d, but in this case the second element of the pair, the phase spectrum, was a randomization of the observed phase spectrum. Fig. 11d is thus, a realization of a “generalized landscape” that corresponds to the exponential component of (1). Discussion The spatial structure of the grassland as described from the results presented above, can be summarized by 124 Figure 9. Omnidirectional semivariograms of NDVI within each cover category. (i) the co-occurrence of gopher disturbance, deeper soils, higher NDVI and bunchgrass-dominated vegetation; and by (ii) the nested structure of the semivariograms for NDVI, which are dominated by an exponential increase at short lags and a periodic structure at larger lags. Both features have to be considered in developing suitable models of the ecological dynamics of this system, particularly if spatial relationships are to be taken into account. Currently, a spatiallyexplicit model of the ecological dynamics of the Jasper Ridge serpentine grassland exists, which considers the demographic dynamics of a subset of the plant species 125 Figure 10. Omnidirectional semivariograms of NDVI and of the field – sampled variables soil depth (diamonds), topographic relief (triangles) and detrended topographic relief (squares). Values have been standardized for comparison. NDVI values (circles) have been sampled from the image at the same sampling locations. occurring at the site (all annuals) and has been used to study the impact of gopher mound production on the distribution of those species (Moloney and Levin 1996). Unlike the relationships reported here, disturbances in the model are generally distributed with equal probability throughout the landscape, although spatial and temporal autocorrelation within the disturbance regime have been accounted for. However, a subset of model runs has been conducted within which there were two distinct types of habitat, highly disturbed sites versus completely undisturbed sites (Moloney and Levin 1996). The results of the latter model runs were fundamentally different from the results of the standard model consisting of a homogeneous landscape, emphasizing the importance of considering the spatial distribution of ecological factors, such as those studied here. Our finding that gopher disturbances were concentrated on topographic ridges, suggests that there may be some very important constraints operating to restrict the activity of gophers, such as shallow soils and local availability of suitable food plants. A more realistic simulation model than is currently being employed would incorporate some of these relationships into its dynamics when predicting the distribution of plant species and disturbances. Although our estimates of gopher disturbance might be biased by easier detection on a bunchgrass background, our results indicate that the high diversity of annuals at Jasper Ridge that has been reported elsewhere (Huenneke et al. 1990) is not only the result of disturbances producing patches of different ages, but must also be the result of spatial variation in soil structure. Observations at a broader scale indicate that the occurrence of deeper soils on the ridges in the study site are most likely related to intrusions of non-serpentine lithologies from the surrounding landscape. The quality of soil in ridges is perhaps enhanced by intense gopher activity resulting in higher NDVI values. One effect of gopher activity is the removal of the soil crust, which enhances water penetration into the soil. Competition among plant species is also lower on mounds (Hobbs and Mooney 1985). However, mound soils on pure serpentine can actually reduce plant growth due 126 Figure 11. a. Subscene of the NDVI image obtained from the digitized CIR image. Light tones represent high NDVI values, dark tones represent low NDVI values. A Fourier transform of this scene renders the original phase and the original amplitude. The other 3 images were obtained by inverse Fourier transform as follows (see Sections 3.6 and 4.3). b. Using the original amplitude and a randomization of the original phase. c. Using the original phase and a modeled amplitude (from an exponential autocovariance function). d. Using a randomization of the original phase and the above modeled amplitude. to changes in soil chemistry, such as lowering N and P availability (Koide et al. 1987). All of these factors taken together indicate that there can be very complex relationships among patterns of disturbance, soil structure, and the distribution of plant species. However, what is clear from this study is that there is a close association between the distribution of bunchgrasses and deep soils and between annuals and shallow soils. These results indicate that it would be useful to include a resource-based approach in modeling the ecological dynamics of this system, in addition to the demographically based approach that is currently being employed (Moloney and Levin 1996). The semivariograms of NDVI facilitate a hierarchical analysis of the landscape that can aid in improving the design of the current spatially-explicit model of Jasper Ridge and are quite useful in suggesting the relevant spatial scales involved in determining the spatial structure of this system. All three components – the exponential, the linear trend and the periodic structure – are present at all lags, but with very different impacts depending on the particular lag value considered. The fine scale correlations represented by the exponential component represent the approximate range over which ecological relationships are relatively homogeneous (+4 m). The landscape element that generates the periodic spatial component of the distribution of NDVI can be traced to the presence of topographic ridges consisting of significantly deeper soils that are more or less evenly distributed in narrow bands oriented perpendicular to the slope. In contrast, the mechanism producing the linear trend has not been identified. It is related to a systematic change in elevation within the study site, but the underlying ecological variables affecting NDVI values at different positions along the slope are not known at this time. Further investigation involving a larger extent of the grassland and more field information (in particular of water-related variables) is clearly required if we are to understand the factors producing this relationship. The parameters of the semivariogram model for NDVI (Table 5) reveal that most of the spatial variation at short lags is contained within the exponential term, while most of the variation at longer lags is contained 127 within the linear trend. A shift in structure such as this is coincident with a widely held view of complex semivariograms being the result of nested spatial processes (Burrough 1983b). Nested processes are often immediately interpreted as being fractal in structure, which would result in a linear semivariogram on a log-log scale (Burrough 1983a). However, plots in a log-log scale can often hide the inadequacy of a power law to fit an observed semivariogram. The arithmetic scale reveals that, in the case discussed here, an exponential model is not appropriate for characterizing the spatial structure in our study area. Fractals have become quite popular in landscape ecology, probably due in part to the impressive simulations of topographic relief using relatively simple fractal algorithms (Voss 1988; Saupe 1988). Palmer (1992) introduced the simulation of 2-D fields using fractal models as a method for generating landscapes as part of a spatially-explicit ecological model, and fractal geometry had been used by ecologists as a landscape metric (see Milne 1991 and 1992 for a review). Fractals are also theoretically appealing because they can be related to spatial processes through a generalization of the Bachelier-Wiener process that describes Brownian motion (Burrough 1983a; Oliver and Webster 1986). However, fractal models are rarely selected as an appropriate authorized model for kriging. Semivariograms computed from remotely-sensed digital imagery often do not conform to the fractal model (Curran 1988; Cohen et al. 1990; Webster et al. 1989; Ramstein and Raffy 1989; Woodcock et al. 1988b). Several examples of semivariograms that depart from a fractal model can be found in Burrough (1983b), Mark and Aronson (1984) and Armstrong (1986) for soil variables and Palmer (1988) and Leduc et al. (1994) for vegetation variables. In the latter two cases, spatial patterns were in fact defined as fractals because the slope of a straight line fitted to a log-log transform of the semivariogram yields a fractal dimension D between 1 and 2. This definition, which ignores self-similarity as a necessary condition, implies that a linear fit can be considered as a first approximation. Nevertheless, even if fractal models can be used as an approximation for some applications, it is important to stress that semivariograms of many environmental variables are not adequately described by fractal models. In other cases, assuming a fractal model can be of little use. As stated by Cressie (1993): “: : : it would be overly optimistic to expect that a complex physical process could be summarized by just the fractal dimension D : : : For more precise information over different spatial scales, one could use the semivariogram : : : However, estimated variograms usually demonstrate a much richer structure than a linear one in the log-log scale”. Multi-fractal models (in which different parameters are used for different lag segments; Burrough 1983b; Biondini and Grygiel 1994) can be fitted in some cases, but unless some empirical or theoretical indication of their appropriateness is available and/or sharp discontinuities in the variogram are observed, this procedure could be understood to be simply an attempt to approximate a curved line (on a log-log scale) by means of a number of straight segments. A spatial process that is characterized by an exponential semivariogram will correspond to a landscape that is divided into regions whose boundaries occur as a Poisson process (Burrough 1983b). Hence the exponential component for NDVI found in this study indicates that at shorter lags the different mechanisms creating pattern are not nested. Multifractal processes, on the other hand, are characterized by semivariograms that can be modeled by a sequence of power curves (in which each power corresponds to a different fractal dimension). It is important to note that, if the processes that generate the multifractal tend to overlap instead of having defined transitions, the multifractal semivariogram becomes more smoothed towards a single exponential. Therefore, it is normal to expect natural spatial patterns to lie in between these two extremes. Values of the intercept term a in (1), which account for what is called the “nugget” variance in the geostatistics literature, also have an ecological significance. The “nugget” represents unexplained variance at a scale below the resolution of the analysis and may represent either measurement error or variance attributable to processes occurring below the resolution of the analysis. Interpretation of the relative importance of the “nugget” variance can be obtained by dividing it by the “sill” to determine the proportion of the variance that is unexplained by the semivariogram model. (The “sill” is the maximum value for the semivariance in models that reach an asymptote at large lags and, in a system that is second order stationary, is equal to the variance in the system.) Exponential semivariograms are unbounded, but for practical reasons it is conventional in geostatistics to assume an “effective” range (3r) at which the semivariance is about 95% of c1 (Webster and Oliver 1990). With our parameters for the NDVI model [1] (Table 4), corresponds to a sill of 0.0328, and thus the ratio: nugget 0:00661 = = 0:201 sill 0:0328 128 implies that more than 20% of the spatial variance remains undescribed by the semivariogram of NDVI despite the high resolution, which means that there is a high degree of heterogeneity at scales below 0.135 m. Also, using the same 3 r criterion and the models fit to variograms computed with the more sparsely distributed grid values (Table 4), we find that soil depth reaches its sill at a shorter range (2.496 m) than NDVI (4.996 m). Hence the observed spatial pattern of plants has a coarser grain than that of soil depth. Heterogeneity of NDVI values associated with annual plant cover (“dense annuals” and “sparse annuals”) is also observed in the nugget values of the percategory semivariograms of NDVI, in which annuals and bunchgrasses show similar ranges (Fig. 9). Taking the smaller size of annual plants into account, it follows that the annuals show a high degree of patchiness at fine scales, with areas of higher biomass (and plant density) surrounded by areas of lower biomass. This is probably a consequence of poorer soils, which are commonly associated with higher biodiversity (Tilman 1982). The high biodiversity of the serpentine and its relationship with nutrient poverty (which makes efficient dominance impossible) has been reported previously by Huenneke et al. (1990). The simulation of landscape fields by FFT using the exponential component of the autocorrelation functions for NDVI has provided us with a tool for verifying our interpretation of the variograms. The simulations also demonstrate that statistical analysis and interpolations based solely on the semivariogram (or the a.c.f.) actually miss the information carried by the phase spectrum (Fig. 11b), which can be associated with spatial discontinuities. Interpolation techniques such as kriging commonly ignore the phase information, which can result in an oversmoothed view of the distribution of spatial variables that removes important information about spatial discontinuities in a pattern (Deutsch and Journel 1992). This in turn runs the risk of producing an oversmoothed view of spatial variation in the minds of vegetation scientists, paralleling the case of the presentation of smoothly changing distributions of species along complex one-dimensional gradients (e.g., see any classic textbook on community ecology, such as Whittaker 1975, Pianka 1978, Barbour et al. 1987). It is therefore critical that procedures for the interpolation of ecological variables explicitly include information on spatial discontinuities, either directly from remotely sensed images (assuming that the phase pattern in the image and in the ecological variables are equivalent) or indirectly, by sampling, with suffi- cient intensity, spatial variables in the field that have a known functional relationship with the variable of interest (assuming that the variable of interest is too hard or expensive to sample intensively in the field). Conclusions In this paper we have used digitized CIR imagery to obtain information on spatial variables at a scale of 30 30 m2 of extent and 0.135 m of resolution (grain). We have used this information in conjunction with more sparsely distributed data obtained in the field to develop a deeper understanding of the spatial relationships controlling the distribution of vegetation and disturbance activity at Jasper Ridge. From the analysis of these relationships we have gained valuable information that can be used in improving spatially-explicit models of the Jasper Ridge grassland. We have also evaluated our techniques and identified sources of environmental variation that we can explore over larger extents. Simulations of two-dimensional fields of NDVI using the FFT of modeled autocorrelation functions and both observed and randomized phase spectra prove to be useful in validating the interpretation of semivariograms and in generating spatial templates for spatially-explicit ecological models. The simulations also illustrate the limits of spatial analysis and interpolations of landscape variables based on semivariograms (or autocorrelation functions) solely, stressing the need to take spatial discontinuities into account. This study provides a good illustration of the dual nature of spatial pattern. Some aspects can be studied through a consideration of pattern as a continuous process coupling both deterministic and stochastic elements. However, there are also some aspects that need a discrete representation. Using continuous variables such as NDVI (or others related to it, such as green biomass), we focus on the continuous nature of vegetation. In contrast, mapping of different types of vegetation focuses on the discrete nature of the landscape produced by relatively abrupt changes in species and plant functional type composition. Both views are necessary in developing a complete understanding of landscape pattern. Acknowledgments This work was supported in part through grants from the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation and the National 129 Aeronautics and Space Administration (NAGW-3124) to Simon Levin, Princeton University. A. Lobo was supported by the Joint Program of the Ministry of Education and Science of Spain / The Fulbright Committee (FU91-50413540) as a visiting fellow in Cornell and Princeton Universities. The authors are grateful to facilities provided by the Administration of the Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve. Comments by Prof. Mario Chica Olmo and three anonymous reviewers significantly improved the original manuscript. References Armstrong, A.C. 1986. On the fractal dimensions of some transient soil properties, J. 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A spatial patch dynamic modeling approach to pattern and process in an annual grassland. Ecol. Monog. 64: 447–464. Appendix An image can be considered to be a discrete two-dimensional signal, i; j , and be expressed in terms of its discrete FT, r; s (Gonzalez and Wintz 1977; Richards 1993): ( ) ( ) ,1 X K ( ) = K12 i; j where =0 (r; s) is: (r; s) = K12 (r; s) exp[j 2(ir + js)=K ] (5) i ,1 KX ,1 X K =0 i,0 ( ) exp[,j 2(ir + js)=K ] i; j i (6) Note that the complex exponentials are a compact form of writing a sum of sines and cosines: 131 exp (jx) = cos(x) j sin(x) and thus the FT expresses the original function as a weighted sum of a series of sines and cosines. As the discrete FT (DFT) is a sum of complex exponentials, it consists of a real and a complex part and can be decomposed into one pair of series (spectra): the phase spectrum ( r; s ) and the amplitude spectrum ( r; s ), which in the case of images are two-dimensional: ( ) j( )j (r; s) = j(r; s)j exp[j (r; s)] 2 2 j(r; s)j = (Re(( h r; s)) +iIm((r; s)) )) (r; s) = tan,1 ImRe(( (( )) r;s r;s where Re( ) and Im( ) are the real and imaginary part operators. We note in the passing that the spectral density (P(r,s)) is the square of the amplitude spectrum ( r; s ). j( )j