Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 1 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 2 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 3 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 4 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 5 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Loeppke R, Taitel M, Richling D, Parry T, Kessler RC, Hymel P, Konicki D. Health and productivity as a business strategy. J Occup Environ Med 2007; 49(7):712-21. These data were obtained from medical and pharmacy claims data over 12 months from four companies, and included about 58,000 employees. Survey data about health and work performance were obtained from about 15,000 of these. The 27 most common conditions were selected and recorded if they were the primary diagnosis on the claims form. This chart identifies the top ten health conditions occurring on medical claims and pharmacy claims. Conditions costing the most in terms of medical and pharmacy costs are in the left column; all but two are conventional biomedical diagnoses. The middle column shows that the most costly conditions in terms of lost productivity are primarily symptoms or signs; only three are conventional diagnoses. Lost productivity costs were more than four times medical and pharmacy costs. As a result, total costs reflected the occurrence of symptoms and signs rather than conventional medical conditions. That is, the mostly costly problems to employers are people’s problems, not their diagnoses. 6 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Sources: Chin J. The AIDS Pandemic: the Collision of Epidemiology with Political Correctness. Oxon, UK: Radcliffe Publishing, 2007. De Maeseneer J, Willems S, De Sutter A, Van de Geuchte I, Billings M. Primary Health Care as a Strategy for Achieving Equitable Care: a Literature Review Commissioned by the Health Systems Knowledge Network. WHO Health Systems Knowledge Network ( http://www.who.int/social_determinants/resources/csdh_media/ primary_health_care_2007_en.pdf, accessed December 7, 2009), 2007. Mangin D, Sweeney K, Heath I. Preventive health care in elderly people needs rethinking. BMJ 2007; 335(7614):285-287. Murray CJ, Lopez AD, Wibulpolprasert S. Monitoring global health: time for new solutions. BMJ 2004; 329(7474):1096-1100. Tinetti ME, Fried T. The end of the disease era. Am J Med 2004; 116(3): 179-185. Walker N, Bryce J, Black RE. Interpreting health statistics for policymaking: the story behind the headlines. Lancet 2007; 369(9565):956-963. Rosenberg CE. The tyranny of diagnosis: specific entities and individual experience. Milbank Q 2002;80:237-60. Moynihan R, Henry D. The fight against disease mongering: generating knowledge for action. PLoS Med 2006;3:e191. 7 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Davidoff F. Heterogeneity is not always noise: lessons from improvement. JAMA 2009; 302(23):2580-2586. 8 D Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Mensah GA, Brown DW. An overview of cardiovascular disease burden in the United States. Health Aff 2007; 26(1):38-48. 9 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Topol EJ, Murray SS, Frazer KA. The genomics gold rush. JAMA 2007; 298(2):218-221. 10 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Dixon JB, O’Brien PE, Playfair J, Chapman L, Schachter LM, Skinner S, Proietto J, Bailey M, Anderson M. Adjustable gastric banding and conventional therapy for type 2 diabetes: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA 2008; 299(3):316-23. 11 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Jones OAH, Maguire ML, Griffin JL. Environmental pollution and diabetes: a neglected association. Lancet 2008; 371(9609):287-288. 12 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Kolata G. Diabetes study partially halted after deaths. Seattle, WA: University of Washington press release, February 2, 2008. 13 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Begg CB, Haile RW, Borg A et al. Variation of breast cancer risk among BRCA1/2 carriers. JAMA 2008; 299(2):194-201. 14 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 15 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Franco EL, Duarte-Franco E. Ovarian cancer and oral contraceptives. Lancet 2008; 371(9609):277-278. 16 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Sources: Fabbri LM, Rabe KF. From COPD to chronic systemic inflammatory syndrome? Lancet 2007; 370(9589):797-799. Calverley PMA, Rennard SI. What have we learned from large drug treatment trials in COPD? Lancet 2007; 370(9589):774-785. Beasley R, Weatherall M, Travers J, Shirtcliffe P. Time to define the disorders of the syndrome of COPD. Lancet 2009;374:670-2. 17 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Michel JP, Newton JL, Kirkwood TB. Medical challenges of improving the quality of a longer life. JAMA 2008; 299(6):688-90. 18 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Raterman HG, van Halm VP, Voskuyl AE, Simsek S, Dijkmans BA, Nurmohamed MT. Rheumatoid arthritis is associated with a high prevalence of hypothyroidism that amplifies its cardiovascular risk. Ann Rheum Dis 2008; 67 (2):229-32. 19 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 20 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare. Indicators for Chronic Diseases and Their Determinants, 2008. Canberra, Australia: AIHW, 2008. 21 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 22 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Beaglehole R, Ebrahim S, Reddy S, Voute J, Leeder S, Chronic Disease Action Group. Prevention of chronic diseases: a call to action. Lancet 2007; 370(9605):2152-2157. 23 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 24 24 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 25 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 26 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 The challenges in primary care practice are person-focused rather than disease-focused. Most people have more than one health problem, increasingly as they age. Therefore, attention to health needs in primary care requires an awareness of the simultaneous presence of more than one health problem, which must be taken into account in providing person-focused care, at the very least in order to avoid conflicting management strategies. 27 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 28 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 In a general non-elderly population of patients, at least 50% have more than one type of diagnosis in a year. At least 10% have 5 or more types of different diagnoses in a year. Source: HMO health plan with 500K members. 29 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 30 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Source: Thorpe KE, Florence CS, Howard DH, Joski P. The rising prevalence of treated disease: effects on private health insurance spending. Health Aff 2005; W5: 317-25 (http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/reprint/hlthaff.w5.317v1). With progressively decreasing thresholds for diagnosis of disease, and possibly with real increases in some diseases, the prevalence of diseases under treatment is increasing rapidly throughout the world. This chart shows the very large increases in prevalence of particular diseases in the US in the fifteen years between 1987 and 2002. As this information comes from populations with private insurance, the estimates of prevalence undoubtedly understate the true prevalence of disease in the entire population, as people without insurance have more illness. In five of the 10 conditions, the prevalence has more than doubled in the fifteen years; in the case of hyperlipidemia, the prevalence has increased over four-fold. Thus, at the same time that mortality rates have been increasing, the treated prevalence of major illnesses has been increasing. 31 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Socially disadvantaged people are more likely to have a large number of different diagnoses as compared with those who are more socially advantaged. This diagram shows that those enrolled in community health clinics for low-income people in the US are at least 3 times more likely to have more than 5 different types of diagnoses in a year. As socially disadvantaged people are less likely to receive adequate health care, the greater health disadvantage shown in this diagram is likely to be an underestimation of the increased morbidity among socially disadvantaged people. 32 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 The data in this chart, based on experiences in the United States, show that the best predictor of subsequent costs of care is the ACG morbidity burden measure (number of different types of diagnosed morbidity – ADGS – or number of different types of serious (major) morbidity types). Neither hospitalization nor costs in the prior year predicted subsequent resource use as well as the morbidity measure. (Not shown is the ACG measure of combinations of types of morbidity – which does as well or better for uses of the ACG system that concern utilization of different types of morbidity and prediction of subsequent morbidity.) 33 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 This graph, concerning people of age 65 and over in the US, shows that rates of hospitalization for causes that should be preventable by good primary care, rates of complications during hospitalization, and costs of care increase rapidly with increases in comorbidity (as measured by the number of types of chronic condition per person). That is, comorbidity is associated with higher costs, higher hospitalization for preventable conditions, and more adverse effects. Source: Wolff JL, Starfield B, Anderson G. Prevalence, expenditures, and complications of multiple chronic conditions in the elderly. Arch Intern Med 2002; 162(20):2269-2276. 34 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 35 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 This diagram shows that as comorbidity increases, so does the likelihood of a repeat diagnosis of urinary tract infection (UTI) (which is generally not considered a chronic disease) in the year after a previous diagnosis. Those with a diagnosis of UTI in one year are not very likely to have it diagnosed in the subsequent year if they have little or no comorbidity, but are more likely to have a repeat diagnosis with increasing comorbidity. The same is the case for other conditions. That is, persistence of a health condition is more likely in the presence of other health conditions. 36 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 These data, from one province in Canada, show that there is little difference in resource use for people with only acute conditions, people with any chronic conditions, or people with only serious chronic conditions when the morbidity burden is the same. However, increasingly higher morbidity burden (i.e., more multimorbidity) is associated with progressively higher resource use, and the increase is the same regardless of the type of diagnosis (acute, chronic, major chronic). Chronic conditions alone do not, by themselves, imply high need for resources. Source: Broemeling A-M, Watson D, Black C. Chronic Conditions and Comorbidity among Residents of British Columbia. Vancouver, BC: University of British Columbia, 2005. 37 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Calculated from Table 2 in Sibley LM, Moineddin R, Agha MM, Glazier RH. Risk adjustment using administrative data-based and survey-derived methods for explaining physician utilization. Med Care 2010;48:175-82. In a study of adults of ages 20-79 seen over a two-year period, the number of different types of morbidity was the leading influence on both the number of primary care and specialist visits. The second most important influence was the extent of morbidity, that is, the pattern of different combinations of different kinds of diagnoses as reflected in resource use. Other influences were weaker. 38 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 39 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 40 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 41 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 42 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 43 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 44 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 45 Diseases, Chronic Care, and PC 1/7/11 Sources: IBRD/World Bank, April 8, 2008. King CH, Bertino AM. Asymmetries of poverty: why global burden of disease valuations underestimate the burden of neglected tropical diseases. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2008;2:e209. 46