Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Aquatic Botany journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/aquabot The potential role of climate in the distribution and zonation of the introduced seagrass Zostera japonica in North America Deborah J. Shafer a,*, Sandy Wyllie-Echeverria b, Timothy D. Sherman c a Engineer Research and Development Center, 3909 Halls Ferry Road, Vicksburg, MS 39180, USA University of Washington, Friday Harbor Laboratories, 620 University Road, Friday Harbor, WA 98250, USA c University of South Alabama, Department of Biological Sciences, Life Sciences Building, Room 124, Mobile, AL 36688, USA b A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T Article history: Received 6 November 2006 Received in revised form 20 February 2008 Accepted 7 March 2008 Available online 14 March 2008 The current distribution of the introduced seagrass Zostera japonica is restricted to the mid- to upper intertidal zone in the coastal Pacific Northwest region of North America. The climate in this region is cool and wet, becoming hotter and dryer with increasing distance southward. Since temperature is likely to be an important factor affecting distribution of this species, growth of two populations located near the northern and southern limits of its established range along the Pacific Coast of North America were measured in an experimental setting across a range of temperatures typical of those in the field during the growing season (10, 20, and 30 8C). The effects of temperature and population were both significant. Leaf elongation, growth, and areal productivity rates of the northern population were consistently lower than those of the southern population. Across the range of temperatures, mean leaf elongation rates ranged from 0.47 to 1.40 cm2 shoot1 d1; mean growth rates ranged from 0.19 to 0.52 mg dry wt shoot1 d1. Mean areal productivity ranged from 0.54 to 1.92 g dry wt m2 d1. Maximum rates of leaf elongation, growth, and areal productivity for both populations were observed at 20 8C. However, leaf elongation, growth, and areal productivity of the northern population declined markedly at 30 8C, whereas no comparable declines were observed for the southern population. This suggests that Z. japonica populations near the southern limits of its established range may be better adapted to warmer temperatures than populations near the northern range limits and further range extensions southward along the California coast may be likely. These differences could be important in predicting the outcome of competitive interactions between native and introduced seagrass species, and in determining future patterns of distribution and zonation of Pacific Coast seagrasses. ß 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Zostera japonica Temperature Growth Distribution Exotic species Climate change 1. Introduction The presence of the non-indigenous seagrass Zostera japonica Asch. & Graebn. in North America was first documented in 1957 (Hitchcock et al., 1969), although it is likely to have been introduced decades earlier. For more than 50 years, distribution of this species was limited to southern Oregon and Washington, United States, and southern British Columbia, Canada (Fig. 1). Within this range, dramatic expansions have occurred in some areas (Posey, 1988; Baldwin and Lovvorn, 1994; Dumbauld and Wyllie-Echeverria, 2003). However, the recent discovery of a small population in Humboldt Bay near Eureka, California (Fig. 1), represents a southerly extension of the range. Harrison and Bigley (1982) suggested that this species had only colonized a small * Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 601 634 3650; fax: +1 601 634 3205. E-mail address: Shaferd@wes.army.mil (D.J. Shafer). 0304-3770/$ – see front matter ß 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.aquabot.2008.03.005 fraction of the available suitable habitat, and that dramatic changes in the ecology of the intertidal flats were likely to result from continued spread of this species throughout its potential range. Concerns have been expressed regarding the potential for displacement of the native eelgrass, Zostera marina, by Z. japonica, and the impacts of this displacement on ecosystem structure and function (Bando, 2006). In the case of Z. japonica, management decisions are complicated by the shortage of information available for this species either in its native range or on the Pacific Coast of North America (Green and Short, 2003). This study is one of the first to investigate the potential role of climate and temperature in the distribution of an introduced marine plant. Poleward expansion of species is generally thought to be limited by the effects of freezing on cellular structures (Woodward, 1987). The predominantly annual life history and high frequency and intensity of reproductive effort characteristic of Z. japonica populations in the extreme northern limits of its established range along the Pacific Coast (Harrison, 1979) may be 298 D.J. Shafer et al. / Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 Fig. 1. Distribution of the introduced seagrass Z. japonica along the Pacific Coast of North America. indicative of low temperature stress (Keddy and Patriquin, 1978; Phillips and Backman, 1983; Phillips et al., 1983); therefore further range extensions towards the north may be limited. Climatic controls exerted on population expansion in a southerly direction are less clear (Woodward, 1987). There are strong correlations between plant physiognomy and two particular aspects of climate, e.g. temperature and water availability (Woodward, 1987). Although aquatic plants are not subject to the same limitations on water supply as terrestrial plants, intertidal seagrasses can become desiccated when exposed to air and sunlight during low tide. Along the Pacific Coast of North America, the area from southern British Columbia, Canada to Humboldt Bay in northwestern California is known as the Pacific Northwest region (Fig. 1) (Phillips, 1984). This area also defines the current limits of distribution for Z. japonica (Fig. 1). In general, the climate in this region is cool and wet, becoming progressively hotter and dryer southward along the California Coast (Emmett et al., 2000; Fig. 2). Average summer high temperatures in San Diego, California are about 25 8C, while in Newport, Oregon, summer high temperatures are only around 15 8C (Fig. 2). The relationship between temperature and seagrass distribution patterns on a latitudinal scale was shown by McMillan (1979, 1984). The relatively narrow geographic range of Z. japonica along the Pacific Coast of North America suggests there may be a physiological basis for its distribution. Temperature is known to exert a profound effect on rates of photosynthesis and growth in seagrasses (Marsh et al., 1986; Bulthuis, 1987; Masini et al., 1995). Lee et al. (2005) reported that growth of Z. japonica is regulated by water temperature, and it has been suggested that distribution of Z. japonica in the western Pacific is limited by high summer water temperatures (Aioi and Nakaoka, 2003). However, the temperature responses of this species have not been investigated. The objectives of this study were to describe the range of temperatures typical of Pacific Northwest intertidal Z. japonica meadows during the growing season, and compare the growth responses of two Z. japonica populations located near the northern and southern limits of its established range in North America, across Fig. 2. Monthly mean maximum air temperature (A), minimum air temperature (B), and rainfall (C) at five selected sites along the Pacific Coast of North America (site locations shown in Fig. 1). the range of temperatures experienced by plants in situ during the growing season. Since populations near the limits of their range may exhibit different temperature tolerances (McMillan, 1979), experiments conducted at the boundaries of species’ distribution are critical to understanding factors limiting the spread of introduced species (Byers et al., 2002). The results of this study can be used to predict the potential for further range extensions of this species towards the south along the Pacific Coast of North America. 2. Methods 2.1. In situ temperature In situ temperature data were collected in Padilla Bay, Washington, in order to characterize the range of temperatures typical of northern Z. japonica populations during the growing season. Small temperature sensors (Vemco Mini-Log TDR and HOBO Water Temp PRO) were attached to PVC stakes in mid- to upper intertidal Z. japonica meadows. The instruments were set to record D.J. Shafer et al. / Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 temperature every 15 min over a period of several weeks in order to capture the full range of tidal and weather conditions. Because the plants are alternately submerged at high tide and exposed to air at low tide on a daily basis, the data represent the full range of temperatures experienced by the leaves of intertidal plants in situ (in air during the daylight low tides, and in water during high tides). Annual variability of in situ temperature for a southern population of Z. japonica in Yaquina Bay, Oregon is described in Kaldy (2006). These data provide a basis for subsequent laboratory experiments that examined the effects of temperature on growth. 2.2. Effects of temperature on growth and production Two populations of Z. japonica, located in Padilla Bay, Washington (488340 latitude, 1228320 longitude) and Yaquina Bay, Oregon (448380 latitude, 1248030 longitude), located near the northern and southern limits of its established range in the eastern Pacific, respectively, were compared. For each population, three parameters, leaf elongation (cm2 shoot1 d1), growth (mg dry wt shoot1 d1), and areal productivity (g dry wt m2 d1), were evaluated. The leaf-clipping method (Kaldy, 2006) was used in an experimental setting to compare the effects of temperature on growth and production within and between populations. Using a PVC corer 7.6 cm in diameter, plugs containing intact plants with root material and associated sediments were harvested at low tide from intertidal beds of Z. japonica. Thirty plugs were harvested from Padilla Bay, Washington, transported to the laboratory facility at Newport, Oregon, and placed in prepared 95 L aquaria within 8 h of collection. An additional 30 plugs were collected from Yaquina Bay, Oregon and placed in aquaria within 1 h of collection. The shoot density of each core was recorded and used to calculate a mean shoot density for each population. Plants were allowed to acclimate at ambient temperature (22 8C) for 24–48 h prior to the beginning of the experiment. Growth rates were measured under controlled temperature conditions using a completely randomized split-plot experimental design. Four replicate 95 L aquaria were used in each of three temperature treatments (10, 20, and 30 8C). Ten samples from each location were exposed to each of the three temperature treatments. Within each temperature treatment, individual samples were randomly assigned to one of the four replicate aquaria. The aquaria were supplied with flow-through filtered seawater with an average temperature of 10 8C and a salinity of 35 psu. Submersible aquarium heaters were used to maintain appropriate temperatures (1 8C) in the 20 and 30 8C treatments. Metal halide lights (1000 W; Sunlight Supply, Inc.) above each set of four aquaria supplied illumination at an average irradiance of 400 mmol m2 s1 at the water surface for a period of 12 h each day. At the beginning of the experiment, all plants were clipped just above the top of the leaf sheath and temperatures adjusted to the appropriate level for each treatment. Re-growth was monitored for a period of 14 d. During this period, accumulations of epiphytes were gently wiped from the leaves on a daily basis, as needed. At the end of the growth period, the number of shoots in each core was counted; samples were clipped again at the same point and tissue collected for further analysis. The length and width of each leaf was measured to the nearest mm and recorded. The lengths of all leaves in each core were summed and divided by the number of shoots per core to estimate leaf elongation rates (cm2 shoot1 d1). Samples were dried at 65 8C for 48 h to obtain dry wt biomass measurements. Growth rates were calculated by dividing the total biomass per core by the number of shoots per core (mg dry wt shoot1 d1). These growth rates were used along with estimates of mean shoot density for each population to express production on an areal basis (g dry wt m2 d1). 299 3. Data analysis The data failed to meet the assumption of homogeneity of variances required for standard Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) techniques, due to the positive relationship between increasing temperature and sample variance. A number of transformations were applied, but all failed to successfully stabilize the group variances. Therefore, the final analysis was conducted using a weighted nested factorial ANOVA design, in which the reciprocals of the within-group sample variances were used as weighting factors (Freund and Wilson, 1993); a group was defined as each Temperature Population combination. The ANOVA model was constructed with Temperature and Population as the main effects. Aquaria and Aquaria Population were both included in the model as nested effects within Temperature to estimate the proportion of the variance attributable to individual aquaria effects. A series of five orthogonal linear and quadratic contrasts were used to compare differences between groups. Significance was interpreted as a 0.05. Values between 0.05 and 0.10 are reported as marginally significant. 4. Results 4.1. In situ temperature In situ temperatures in intertidal Pacific Northwest Z. japonica meadows are controlled by daily tidal cycles (Fig. 3). In late spring and summer, low tides occur during the day, and plants are exposed to extremely variable temperatures on a daily basis, ranging from near 10 8C when submerged, to more than 30 8C when exposed to air for several hours on a sunny day (Fig. 3). This daily range of temperature during the summer growing season formed the basis of subsequent laboratory experiments that compared growth of the two populations at 10, 20, and 30 8C. 4.2. The effects of temperature on growth and production Both temperature and population, the main effects in the weighted nested ANOVA model, were significant for all three response variables (i.e. leaf elongation, growth, and areal production rates) (Table 1). Due to a lack of significant interaction effects, conclusions regarding differences in populations also hold for each temperature treatment. Additional support for these results is Fig. 3. Variation in daily in situ temperatures and tidal elevation during the growing season in a northern population of Z. japonica in Padilla Bay, Washington. D.J. Shafer et al. / Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 300 Table 1 Results of the nested ANOVA comparing leaf elongation, growth, and production rates between populations across temperatures Source d.f. Leaf elongation (cm2 shoot1 d1) Growth (mg dw shoot1 d1) Areal production (g dw m2 d1) Temperature Aquarium [temperature] Population Temperature Population Aquarium Population [temperature] 2 9 1 2 9 p < 0.0001 p = 0.0920 p = 0.0004 p = 0.3665 p = 0.5342 p < 0.0001 p = 0.1263 p = 0.0217 p = 0.3453 p = 0.3706 p = 0.0028 p = 0.1832 p < 0.0001 p = 0.0752 p = 0.5364 Table 2 Results of orthogonal linear contrasts between populations across temperature and non-linear contrasts within populations Leaf elongation (cm2 shoot1 d1) Growth (mg dw shoot1 d1) Areal production (g dw m2 d1) Linear contrasts between populations across temperature Padilla vs. Yaquina @ 10 8C p < 0.0001 Padilla vs. Yaquina @ 20 8C p = 0.021 Padilla vs. Yaquina @ 30 8C p = 0.031 p = 0.0024 p = 0.6337 p = 0.0576 p = 0.0013 p = 0.0067 p = 0.0009 Non-linear (Quadratic) contrasts within populations Padilla Bay p < 0.0001 Yaquina Bay p = 0.0148 p = 0.0001 p = 0.3288 p = 0.0002 p = 0.0557 Contrast provided by the linear contrasts comparing populations at each of the three temperatures (Table 2). Across the range of temperatures, mean leaf elongation rates ranged from 0.47 to 1.40 cm2 shoot1 d1. Leaf elongation rates of the northern population, Padilla Bay, were 23–40% lower than those of the southern population, Yaquina Bay. Differences between populations were significant at all three temperatures (Table 2). Within each population, leaf elongation rates at 20 8C were roughly double those observed at 10 8C. Leaf elongation rates of both populations declined at 30 8C, as indicated by the quadratic contrast, although this trend was more pronounced in the Padilla Bay population (Table 2). Mean growth rates ranged from 0.19 to 0.52 mg dry wt shoot1 d1. Growth rates exhibited a slightly different pattern across the range of temperatures than leaf elongation rates. Growth rates of the northern population were significantly lower than the southern population at 10 8C. At 20 8C, no significant differences between populations could be detected. At 30 8C, differences in growth were marginally significant (Table 2). Unlike the northern Padilla Bay population, there was no apparent decline in growth of the Yaquina Bay population at 30 8C (Fig. 4). Patterns in areal productivity across the range of temperatures were similar to those of leaf elongation (Fig. 4C and A). Mean areal productivity ranged from 0.54 to 1.92 g dry wt m2 d1. Significant differences between populations were noted at all three temperatures (Table 2). Although productivity of both populations was generally lower at 30 8C, this trend was only significant for the Padilla Bay population. Although there are similarities in the temperature responses of both populations, at higher temperatures, differences became more apparent. Both populations exhibited low rates of growth at 10 8C. Maximum rates for both populations were observed at 20 8C. However, leaf elongation, growth, and areal productivity of the northern Padilla Bay population declined markedly at 30 8C, whereas no comparable declines were observed for the Yaquina Bay population (Fig. 4). 5. Discussion In situ temperatures recorded in Padilla Bay, Washington were similar to those reported from field studies in Yaquina Bay, Oregon (Kaldy, 2006), therefore we are reasonably confident that experimental treatment values correspond to the range of temperatures plants would experience in situ. Although other environmental conditions (e.g. continual submergence and fixed irradiance) are most likely different than plants would have experienced during the 14 d period of the experiment, leaf elongation and maximum growth rates reported here are similar to the range of values reported from the field evaluation of Z. japonica shoots in Yaquina Bay (Kaldy, 2006) and in Korea (Lee et al., 2005, 2006), which further supports our confidence that these results can inform assumptions regarding the response of Z. japonica leaf growth, from both sites, to temperature variation. Experiments designed to evaluate the response of exotic species to environmental conditions found at the boundaries of the invaded territory are critical to understand factors that may limit or augment spread (Byers et al., 2002). Moreover, Mau-Crimmins et al. (2006) demonstrate that models constructed to predict expansion of exotic species are more accurate if parameterized with data collected from within the invaded range. This may be especially true during periods of dynamic environmental change as studies in terrestrial systems demonstrate that the distribution and dispersal patterns of exotic plants can be affected by altered climate regimes (Sasek and Strain, 1990; Walther, 2000). An important finding of our study involves the apparent differences in temperature tolerances between populations near the established range limits of Z. japonica in North America. It has been suggested that high summer water temperatures limit Z. japonica distribution in its native range (Aioi and Nakaoka, 2003). The results of this study indicate that Z. japonica from northern and southern sites in North America exhibit different temperature tolerances. While plants from the northern site are stressed at temperatures of 30 8C, those from the south appear to be better adapted to warmer temperatures. This adaptation could lead to further expansion of Z. japonica along the California coast. The invasion rate of Z. japonica, defined as ‘the mean rate of linear expansion of an advancing colonization front in kilometers per year’, has been estimated at 6 km yr1 (Kinlan and Gaines, 2003; Shanks et al., 2003). However, it is possible that differences in climate along the Pacific Coast could alter this rate of advance. Just beyond the current southern limit of Z. japonica distribution, there is an abrupt climate transition from the cool, moist climate conditions of the Pacific Northwest, to the hotter, dryer climate conditions prevalent along the California Coast. While the relatively cool and damp climate of the Pacific Northwest region ameliorates the effects of temperature and desiccation to some D.J. Shafer et al. / Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 Fig. 4. Comparison of laboratory leaf elongation (A), growth (B), and areal production (C) rates of Z. japonica populations in Padilla Bay, Washington, and Yaquina Bay, Oregon across a range of temperatures (error bars represent least squares means standard errors (S.E.)). extent, expansion southward along the California Coast will expose plants to progressively hotter and dryer conditions. Because of the position of Z. japonica within the upper intertidal zone, exposure to high air temperatures during daylight low tides coincides with increased potential for desiccation. Since air and water temperature also limit the upper distribution limits of seagrass meadows (Campbell et al., 2006), this difference in climate could render the upper intertidal environment unsuitable for Z. japonica survival along the southern Pacific Coast, possibly resulting in a shift in species zonation into lower intertidal zones. Therefore, climate may affect zonation patterns as well as the distribution of this species on a latitudinal scale. If the zonation of Z. japonica is shifted lower in the intertidal and shallow subtidal zones as populations expand southward, this scenario could lead to increasing overlap and competition with the 301 native eelgrass, Z. marina. In the Pacific Northwest, Z. japonica often co-occurs with Z. marina, although these two species usually occupy different niches within the intertidal and upper subtidal zones. Z. marina occupies the lower intertidal to upper subtidal zones, and Z. japonica typically occupies the mid- to upper intertidal zone (Phillips, 1984; Thom, 1990; Bulthuis, 1995). Competitive interactions with Z. marina play a role in determining the boundary between the lower limit of Z. japonica and the upper limit of Z. marina where both species co-exist. Above-ground biomass and density of either species may be reduced in the presence of the other (Harrison, 1982; Hahn, 2003; Bando, 2006). However, Z. japonica remains limited to the upper and mid-intertidal zones even in the absence of Z. marina at its lower boundary, suggesting that it is not interspecific competition that controls the lower limit of Z. japonica zonation. The mid- to upper intertidal zonation of Z. japonica cannot be explained by a higher desiccation tolerance, as we have shown that Z. japonica is physiologically more sensitive to desiccation than Z. marina (Shafer et al., 2007). Our preliminary data (unpublished) also suggest that photosynthetic efficiency is similar in both species; therefore light limitation is unlikely to control the lower limits of Z. japonica zonation. Since zonation patterns cannot be explained by interspecific competition, differences in desiccation tolerances, or light requirements, differences in their thermal optima may be responsible for the observed zonation patterns of these two species in the intertidal and shallow subtidal zones. The temperature optima of 20 8C for Z. japonica observed in this study is within the range of 18–23 8C reported by Lee et al. (2005) in Korea. In contrast, the optimum temperature for the native Z. marina in the Pacific Northwest ranges between 7.5 and 12.5 8C (Phillips, 1972), and may be as low as 5–8 8C (Thom et al., 2001). Above 15 8C, the productivity to respiration ratio of Z. marina becomes very low, suggesting thermal stress (Biebel and McRoy, 1971; Thom et al., 2001). Since optimum growth of Z. japonica occurs at temperatures that cause stress to Z. marina, and Z. japonica grows very slowly at the low temperatures where Z. marina thrives, differences in temperature optima may be responsible in part for the zonation patterns of these two species in the Pacific Northwest. Additional support for this hypothesis is provided by Harrison (1982), who noted that Z. marina was able to out-compete Z. japonica because it grew much more rapidly, and the shading produced by its larger leaves and canopy resulted in decreased density of Z. japonica. Therefore, as populations of Z. japonica continue to expand southward along the California coast, zonation patterns are likely to be affected by two factors: (1) the upper boundary may be shifted lower in the intertidal zone by increased desiccation associated with hotter and drier climate conditions, and (2) cold water temperatures and interspecific competition may limit expansion of the lower boundary into the lower intertidal and shallow subtidal zones. Results of this study also have important implications for predicting the response of seagrass species to large-scale climatic changes such as those associated with El Niño/La Niña events or global warming. Analysis of long-term northeast Pacific climate trends indicates that periods of relatively stable climate conditions, which may last decades, can be followed by abrupt transitions to a different set of stable conditions. These changes, known as regime shifts, are linked to the behavior of the Eastern Pacific Boundary Current system (Swartzman and Hickey, 2003). Regime shifts, which have probably been occurring for centuries, but only recently recognized (Francis and Hare, 1994), are characterized by large-scale fluctuation in climate, and associated variation in marine species abundance, community composition, and trophic organization (Swartzman and Hickey, 2003). The effect of regime shifts on marine fisheries has been relatively well- 302 D.J. Shafer et al. / Aquatic Botany 89 (2008) 297–302 documented (Benson and Trites, 2002); coastal and estuarine plant distribution, abundance, growth, and reproduction may also be affected. For example, climate changes associated with El Nino/La Nina periods influence Z. marina biomass and productivity (Nelson, 1997) as well as abundance and flowering in the Pacific Northwest (Thom et al., 2003). Decadal scale patterns associated with regime shifts may be superimposed on longer-term climate changes occurring due to global warming. Increased global temperatures will probably affect growth rates and other physiological processes within seagrass leaves (Short and Neckles, 1999). Distribution patterns are also likely to change as a result of thermal stress and altered reproductive fitness and output (Short and Neckles, 1999). The results presented here suggest that Z. japonica populations in northern and southern sites respond differently to temperature. These differences could be important in determining future patterns of distribution and abundance, and in predicting the outcome of competitive interactions with the native Z. marina. Acknowledgements This research was conducted under a Guest Worker Agreement with the Environmental Protection Agency, Pacific Coastal Ecology Branch, Newport, Oregon. 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