Space Policy and Architecture Conference Space Industrial Base Panel
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Space Policy and Architecture Conference Space Industrial Base Panel Edward Swallow Chair, NDIA Space Division & Chair, Industry Study on Critical Workforce Issues, supporting Dr. Ron Sega, Director of Defense Research and Engineering Industry Study Members Broad range of companies participating in study analysis 14 Companies represented on panels Broader range of companies providing data and anecdotal evidence 30 of 1130 NDIA member companies responded to survey – Representative sample Study Chair Ed Swallow NDIA Coordinator Dr. Supriya Banerjee SAIC GOVERNMENT LIAISON QUANTITATIVE Dr. Bob Buchanan SAIC QUALITATIVE Karl Arunski Raytheon Tom Gannon Lockheed Martin TECHNICAL LEAD Alan Dunham Northrop Grumman PREVIOUS ANALYSIS MGEN (ret.) "Mitch" Mitchell Arrowhead Name Company W es Clark, MajGen.(ret) SAIC Bob Buchanan SAIC W illiam Ayen UCCS Gayle W hite CSC Sue W oida AF/ret Chris Andrews BAH George Ullrich SAIC Steve Kimmel AlionSCi Harvey Dahljelm ITT Phil Ramos P. Int'l Dee Goodwyn AlionSCi G. Douglass, MajGen.(ret) l UT Michael Stewart Kodak Dale Ramezani Boeing Dave Broden ATK PROPOSED ACTIONS John Williams Booz Allen Hamilton U.S. University Trends in DefenseEngineering Disciplines Graduate Student Enrollment (1994-2001) 20000 Aliens with Temporary Visas U.S. Citizens + Perm. Resident Aliens U.S. Citizen 8 Yr. Delta 15000 1994 / 2001 Aerospace Aerospace Chemical Chemical Electrical Electrical Engineering EngineeringScience Science 10000 Industrial/Manufacturing Industrial/Manufacturing Mechanical Mechanical 5000 NSF Data Nuclear Metallurgy/ Materials Mechanical Engineering Sciences Industrial/ Mfg. Electrical Chemical Aerospace Nuclear Metallurgy/ Materials Mechanical Industrial/ Mfg. Electrical Chemical Engineering Sciences -5000 -18.9% Aerospace 0 Metallurgical/Materials Metallurgical/Materials Nuclear Nuclear -33.0% -26.2% -29.7% -32.1% -49.1% -24.7% -21.7% Table III Industry Demand Data 60% 50% 40% 30% 1000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 3500.00 US Citizen Science & Engineering Specialist Retirements Outlook* Nu c M at Ch h /M at Ph ys at ec h M M d 0.00 In *-NDIA Quick Look Survey -Small random sample -Spring 2004 data only UNFILLED REQUISITIONS FOR US CITIZENS by FIELD OF STUDY* Ae ro Ch em H/ W S/ W El ec Overwhelming consensus Thousands of unfilled science & engineering positions for US citizens Getting worse 1200.00 UNFILLED REQUISITIONS for US CITIZEN SCIENCE & ENGINEERING SPECIALISTS by DEGREE* 3000.00 2500.00 2000.00 1500.00 20% 1000.00 10% 500.00 0% Same as Today Slightly Worse than Today Significantly Worse than Today 0.00 BS MS PhD Demand Drivers SEE – Significant Emotional Event (or Significant Technological Event) for change in demand is mismatched with supply Sputnik – NDEA 58 Invention of the integrated circuit – Led by DARPA investments Personal (Distributed) Computing explosion -- System integration capabilities drawn from DOD experience Internet – ARPANET “Space Transformation” ???? Weather prediction – Perfect Storm1 appears to be forming from unprecedented conjunction of trends Retirement of the post-Sputnik generation Decline in clearance-eligible S&E workforce Diminishing U.S. technological dominance due to globalization of R&D Need to ensure the internal S&E capability to maintain technological advantage for next/follow-on generation operational capabilities 1 From Speech “The Perfect Storm” presented by Dr. Shirley Ann Jackson, Ph.D, .President, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, to the National Society of Black Engineers, Dallas, Texas, Wednesday, March 17, 2004 Notional NDEA 2006 Strategy Elementary School Middle School High School Undergraduate Graduate School Government and Industry Employment Time Excite Attract Educate and Assist Recruit Retain Continually Monitor and Assess NDEA Education Initiatives NDEA 2006 recommendations reflect a strategy which sets preconditions for an adequate S&E workforce pipeline based upon providing S&E-related educational opportunities Recommendations Overall solution(s) are complex and multifaceted: Better use of existing workforce Retraining, mentoring, work/life balance, increase diversity, etc. Financial support for knowledge transfer Increased government support for R&D – robust and balanced 6.1 through 6.4 program On supply side, DoD/USG must recognize that the market itself is not sufficient to ensure the ready supply of technologically trained workers We must constantly be aware of current attitudes and propensity towards engineering by measuring youth attitudes Allow us to counter negatives; reinforce positives Military equivalent is Youth Attitude Tracking Survey To attract and retain sufficient engineers, we must adopt some aspects of the military recruiting model We cannot count on a volunteer force, but rather a recruited force Recruited in the sense that the concept of becoming an engineer is introduced at an early age, reinforced by compelling media and mentorship, and properly incentivized by educational scholarships Necessary to counter other social messages This will require a national effort to fund, monitor and influence on a sustained basis Should be a part of NDEA 2006 How Can Industry Help? Take a “systems view” of the problem Support NDEA 2006 Link to elementary, middle and secondary education Excite, Attract, Stimulate Strengthen partnerships with universities and other academics—joint activity in key technologies Nanotechnolgy initiatives seem to be working NDIA work with DOD to establish technology excellence awards Integrate efforts across government and industry to recruit and retain high value S&T workers Continuing industry association involvement Expand corporate and industry association educational outreach programs Identify ways to focus IRAD development across industry within competitive limits Make the dollars we have go farther Increase emphasis on Industrial Base Issues
