Andy Isaacson Economic Rationality: Adaptive Artifice Herbert Simon Simon’s why-question: Why is it impossible for humans to select the optimal course of action in any situation? Simon’s motivational mechanism: Humans are self-interested. Given that humans have bounded rationality based upon: o The uncertainty of the outer environment o The imperfectness of expertise (expert knowledge is based upon history) o The inability of humans to compute very much information at one time. It is in a person’s interest to attach to groups (identification) to protect oneself from the uncertainty of the outer environment and to conserve information/calculation. Key concepts: Outer Environment (p. 25): the behavior of other – individuals, firms, markets, economies Inner Environment (p. 25): Individual’s, firm’s, market’s, economy’s – goals and capabilities for rational adaptive behavior Procedural Rationality (p. 25): Asks how? Evaluates Satisficing solutions (what humans do in reality) – given that the inner environment cannot possibly sort out all potentially useful information about the outer environment, the method that the inner environment goes through to perceive the outer environment and determine a satisfactory course of action Substantive Rationality (p. 25): Asks what? Evaluates Optimal solutions (what economists calculate) – given that the inner environment is able to sort out all potential useful information about the outer environment, the determination of the best course of action. Aspiration Level (p. 30): how satisfactory decisions are determined. Aspirations have many separate dimensions (i.e., work satisfaction, love, travel, etc.) These dimensions are not transitory (i.e., no universal utility function, thus satisfaction in one area does not balance out dissatisfaction in another area) Aspirations are based upon expectations (which are based upon history). Thus, expectations define satisfactory outcomes. 1 Market: Where inner environments meet to interact with their outer environments Mutual expectations (p. 36): When interacting in a market, the process of trying to outguess competitors. Organization: A hierarchical inner environment that operates within the group’s perception of the outer environment. “Collecting Points” (p. 41): Within an organization, where “matters of fact” (determined wherever the most skill and information is located) relevant to an issue accumulate so that a decision can be made. Docility (p. 45): the tendency to accept information and advice from the social groups [such as organizations] to which one belongs [identifies]. “Taxing” Docility = Altruism (p. 45): Influencing people to take actions that are not personally beneficial, but beneficial to the group. Benefits of docility must exceed costs: Benefit (conservation of information/calculation) > Cost (altruistic action) Generator (p. 46): Creation of innovative actions Test (p. 46): Feedback to innovative actions Borrowing (p. 48): implementing schemas that have been successful for other organizations Costs: learning time Limitations: Patent protection & commercial secrecy (people want to maintain a competitive advantage) 2 Outer Environment = Uncertainty Market = Area of Uncertainty Area where inner environments interact with other inner environments Org. – Inner Environment A place of certainty based upon perception of the outer environment Generator Innovative action (incorporates mutual expectations) Market Org A Individual – Inner Environment Bounded Rationality makes it difficult to deal with outer environment individually Docility Benefit Conservation of information and computation Org B Test Feedback from action Hobbesian War ALL AGAINST ALL CP CP CP CP Collecting Points Where decisions are made, based upon information gathered from many different locations. Identification Leads to docility CP CP CP Borrowing Incorporate successful schemas from other organizations Leave Organization if: “Taxing” of Docility > Benefits of Docility Docility Cost Altruistic actions for the organization (“taxing” docility) 3 Aspiration Level Inner environments goals are based upon expectations (derived from history). Aspiration (Satisfaction) Thermometer Positive: (E)xpectations < (A)chievements Neutral: E = A (long-term equilibrium) Negative: E > A