Emergence of a Pacific Climate Information System: Lessons Learned & Future Plans

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Emergence of a
Pacific Climate Information System:
Lessons Learned & Future Plans
Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center
and
James Weyman, NWS Pacific Region
CPASW, March 22, 2006
Climate Forecasting in the Pacific Region
PEAC Established August 1994
Pacific ENSO Applications Center
Some Lessons Learned for
Climate Information Services
ŽFocus on integrated climate-society system
ŽDecision-makers interested in information on
a continuum of timescales:
ŽAddressing today’s problems
ŽPlanning for the future
ŽEarly & continuous partnership with users
essential:
ŽShared learning & joint problem-solving
ŽOutreach & dialogue programs as priority activities
ŽBuilding trust & credibility a long-term endeavor
Some Lessons Learned for
Climate Information Services
ŽCollaborative, participatory process with
users:
ŽContinuous, interactive dialogue
ŽCo-production of knowledge
ŽDocument and share experiences
ŽProblem-focused approach:
ŽUnderstand place, context, history and decision
making process;
ŽUseful & usable information responsive to user needs
ŽContinuum of timescales
ŽClimate information system vs. event forecasting
Some Lessons Learned for
Climate Information Services
ŽAddress both process and products:
ŽIntegrated program of observations,
monitoring, forecasting, assessment,
education and applications – with continuous
evaluation and adjustment
ŽBuild on existing systems, institutions,
programs, relationships & networks:
ŽRecognize the vital role of trusted
information brokers
ŽPartnerships between science & operations
Evolution of a
Pacific Climate Information System
Ž 1997-1998 El Niño demonstrated needs & forecast
value
Ž 1999 Meeting of Pacific Regional Meteorological
Service Directors -- General agreement on PaCIS
vision, goal and objectives
Ž Discussions among likely partners:
ŽInitiation of monthly forecast calls
ŽPlanning for WMO Oceania Regional Climate Centre
Ž NWS Climate Services Division Activities
Ž PEAC First Decade Review
Ž Related Regional Activities:
ŽPI-GCOS
ŽPRiMO
ŽNOAA IDEA Center
PaCIS Vision
Resilient and sustainable Pacific
communities using climate
information to manage risks
and support practical decisionmaking in the context of climate
variability and change.
PaCIS Mission
ŽClarify climate information needs and
guide monitoring, research,
forecasting and assessment
ŽProvide access to critical data,
research and new climate information
products and services
ŽTranslate research and assessment
results into useful and usable climate
information
PaCIS Mission
ŽInterpret global and regional climate
forecasts for local applications
ŽEnhance regional and local
capabilities to manage risks and
support sustainable development in
the context of climate variability and
change
ŽEnhance collaboration among
national, regional and international
institutions and programs
PaCIS Program Elements
ŽEducation, Outreach and User
Information:
ŽUser dialogue and feedback
ŽEducational materials
ŽWSO’s as local experts/coordinators in partnership
with experts in key sectors
ŽOperational Products and Services:
ŽDevelop and evaluate PaCIS services
ŽRegional climate services testbed
ŽCross-regional coordination
ŽSupport regional observations and data management
systems (e.g., PI-GCOS, PI-GOOS, PacIOOS)
PaCIS Program Elements
ŽResearch and assessment to enhance
resilience:
ŽRegional downscaling and local
applications
ŽEnhanced understanding of nature and
consequences of climate variability and
change with a focus on extreme events
ŽSupport for regional vulnerability
assessment and adaptation programs
Emergence of PaCIS:
Next Steps and Timeline
ŽPrepare Draft Implementation Plan (Spring
2006)
ŽConvene Regional Steering Committee and
Working Groups (Summer 2006)
ŽEducation, Outreach, User Needs
ŽOperational Products and Services
ŽResearch and Assessment
ŽSteering Committee & Working Groups
complete Initial Implementation Plan (Fall
2006)
ŽLiving document with routine evaluation & revision
Observations, science & information services
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