VOLUME 65, NUMBER 1 • THE UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA • FIRST QUARTER 2005 Still growing...growing...growing Beata D. Kochut Ian Armit In 2000 the Office of Management and Budget announced new guidelines for defining metropolitan areas. At the center of the new definitions is the concept of the Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA), defined as a county or group of counties associated with an urban core of at least 10,000 population by a “high degree of social and economic integration, as measured through commuting ties.” An employment interchange between the urban area and a surrounding county has to reach at least 25 percent for the county to be classified as a part of the Core Based Statistical Area. The definitions divide the CBSA into two groups, based on the size of the urban core: Metropolitan Areas are centered around a core of at least 50,000 inhabitants, whereas Micropolitan Areas are centered around clusters of at least 10,000 population. Core Based Statistical Areas can be grouped together, based on economic ties, into Combined Statistical Areas (two or more Core Based Statistical Areas with employment interchange of at least 15 percent). Overview According to the most recent Metropolitan Statistical Area definitions, 70 counties in Georgia have qualified as parts of the 15 Metropolitan Statistical Areas, and 28 counties qualified as parts of the 22 Micropolitan Statistical Areas. The number of MSAs in Georgia almost doubled between 1990 and 2000, fromeight metro areas in 1990 to 15 in 2000. The number of metropolitan counties climbed from 42 in the 1990s to 70 in 2000. In 2003, over 90 percent of Georgia’s population lived in Core Based Statistical Areas (over 80 percent, or 6,973,801 people in metro, and over 10 percent or 871,784 people in micro areas), and only 9.7 percent (839,130) lived in non- Core Based Statistical Areas. Core Based Statistical Areas are most concentrated across the northern stretch of the state, especially in the northwestern quarter, where most of the counties are classified as parts of either metropolitan or micropolitan areas. The Chattanooga and Atlanta Combined Statistical Areas span across state borders, and, together with the Dalton and Rome metro areas sandwiched between them, form an uninterrupted string of metropolitan area counties stretching from Athens and Gainesville into Tennessee and Alabama. In eastern Georgia, the Augusta MSA is separated from the contiguous metro areas of Savannah, Fort Stewart, and Brunswick by just one rural county. The five-county Savannah and Hinesville-Fort Stewart MSAs noware classified as a Combined Statistical Area, in place of just three counties (Bryan, Chatham and Effingham) that were classified as metro counties in 1990. Directly south, and adjacent to the Savannah-Hinesville-Fort Stewart Combined Statistical Area, three more counties have qualified as metro counties, and now constitute the Brunswick Metropolitan Area. 2 West from Brunswick, the string of micropolitan statistical areas of Jesup, Waycross, Douglas, Fitzgerald, Tifton, Moultrie, and Thomasville roughly follows the South Georgia Parkway and connects to the new Valdosta Metropolitan Area in the center of the state’s southern edge, and to the Albany MSA. Most of these micropolitan areas experienced a population increase of at least 13 percent in the last decade. The Americus Micropolitan Statistical Area connects the Albany and Columbus MSAs, which, in turn touches the southern edge of the Atlanta MSA; and only one rural county separates it from the Macon-Warner RobinsFort Valley Combined Statistical Area to the east. Although metropolitan area designation is related to the urban-rural classification, the two are not equivalent. In fact, metropolitan counties clustered around urban areas may themselves be rural, or suburban with large rural areas. Moreover, many metropolitan areas contain relatively small urban clusters and much larger rural areas that are bound to the urban core by commuting patterns. Metropolitan county designation may point both to the economic vitality of the urban core, but also to the lack of employment opportunities in the county itself. GEORGIA BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS First Quarter 2005 Volume 65, number 1 SELIG CENTER FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH P. George Benson Dean Jeffrey M. Humphreys Director Lorena M. Akioka Editor Beata D. Kochut Research Coordinator Ian Armit Information Analyst GEORGIA BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS (ISSN 0297-3857) is published quarterly by the Simon S. Selig, Jr. Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia, as a service to the business and academic communities. Signed articles reflect the author’s opinion but not necessarily those of the Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business , or The University of Georgia. This publication is sent free of charge upon request. Manuscripts and letters to the Editor should be sent directly to us. Postmaster send address changes to: Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602-6269. Periodicals postage paid at Athens, Georgia As metropolitan area designations tie together demographic and economic patterns, they reveal the outlines of fast growing areas, which derive their economic vitality from a significant degree of integration with urban cores. With at least 25 percent of employment interchange with a core county, and a generally accepted multiplier effect of 2 to 3 jobs created by any one job in the metropolitan county, over 50 percent of income in metropolitan counties stems from the integration with surrounding areas. Population Georgia’s metropolitan areas, Atlanta is, by A mong far, the most populous and the most densely populated. The 28-county metro area had 4,610,032 inhabitants in 2003, and registered a 7.7 percent increase from 2000. Georgia’s portion of the Augusta MSA is the second largest metropolitan area in the state, with the 2003 population of 340,048 (growth of 2.1 percent). Savannah’s, Columbus’s, and Macon’s populations ranged from 304,325 to 226,022 (Savannah’s growth at 3.8 percent, Columbus at 2.4 percent, and Macon at 1.6 percent). Athens, Albany, Gainesville, Chattanooga, Dalton, Valdosta, and Warner Robins ranged from 172,232 (Athens) to 120,434 (Warner Robins). But the sharpest growth among the state’s metropolitan areas occurred in the single-county MSA of Gainesville, which increased its population by 10.8 percent in the last two years. Warner Robins and Dalton also grew quickly: jumping by 8.2 and 5.3 percent, respectively, the second and third fastest population growth among the state’s MSAs. Athens increased by 3.3 percent while Albany, and Valdosta grew by 2.1 percent each. Brunswick, Rome, and Hinesville-Fort Stewart all have populations under 100,000. Brunswick and Rome increased their populations by 3.3 and 2.8 percent, respectively, while the number of people in the HinesvilleFort Stewart MSA dropped by 2.8 percent. Among the metropolitan counties, Henry and Newton in the southeast, and Forsyth, Cherokee, Pickens, and Paulding in the north and northwest of the Atlanta MSA saw the fastest population growth, ranging from 23.3 percent in Henry County to 15.1 percent in Pickens County. Barrow and Dawson were also growing fast, with 14.9 percent and 14.1 percent increase, respectively. Chattahoochee County (Columbus MSA) and Lee County (Albany MSA) belonged to the fastest growing MSA counties in the state, with the 2000-2003 rate of growth of 29 percent and 14.1 percent, respectively. In contrast to the fast growing Lee County, however, Albany’s Terrell, Worth, and Dougherty counties lost population between 2000 and 2003. Although population in Georgia was historically characterized as mostly white, with a large black minority, the ethnic composition of the state’s population is undergoing significant changes. Most notably, Georgia, and its continued on page 7 Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 3 Georgia's Metropolitan Statistical Areas (2000 definition) New MSA counties (2000 Census) (29) Existing MSA counties (40) 0 20 40 60 277 Ì Î Í Miles Î Í ÌÌ Î Í Î Í Ì 85 124 24N 24 Ì Î Í Ì Î Í 85F 585 TOWNS Dalton CATOOSA DADE Chattanooga FANNIN RABUN UNION WHITFIELD MURRAY 185 Ì Î Í WALKER 59 Ì Î Í 77 Ì Î Í GILMER 75 Ì Î Í WHITE HABERSHAM LUMPKIN 385 Ì Î Í STEPHENS GORDON CHATTOOGA PICKENS FLOYD DAWSON 575 Ì Î Í Rome Î Í Í Ì 85 Ì Î FORSYTH 26 Ì Î Í JACKSON POLK MADISON ELBERT 26N 126 Ì Î Í Î Í Ì Athens BARROW GWINNETT COBB HART 985 Atlanta PAULDING FRANKLIN BANKS HALL CHEROKEE BARTOW Gainesville CLARKE OGLETHORPE OCONEE HARALSON FULTON DEKALB Ì Î Í Î Í Ì 285 675 DOUGLAS 20 Ì Î Í CARROLL 20 Ì Î Í ROCKDALE 20 Ì Î Í MORGAN NEWTON CLAYTON GREENE TALIAFERRO COLUMBIA MCDUFFIE HENRY FAYETTE 520 Ì Î Í WARREN RICHMOND COWETA HEARD 85 Ì Î Í 185 Î Í Ì HANCOCK LAMAR 75 BALDWIN Macon Î Í Ì WASHINGTON 475 BIBB WILKINSON JOHNSON 16 Ì Î Í TWIGGS PEACH TAYLOR 95 Ì Î Í JENKINS SCREVEN CRAWFORD TALBOT Columbus BURKE JEFFERSON JONES MONROE UPSON HARRIS Augusta GLASCOCK Î Í Ì PIKE MERIWETHER PUTNAM JASPER BUTTS SPALDING TROUP LINCOLN WILKES WALTON EMANUEL MUSCOGEE HOUSTON MACON CHATTAHOOCHEEMARION Warner-Robins SCHLEY BLECKLEY WEBSTER TREUTLEN CANDLER BULLOCH PULASKI MONTGOMERY TOOMBS WHEELER DODGE DOOLY STEWART LAURENS EVANS EFFINGHAM Savannah TATTNALL SUMTER BRYAN WILCOX TELFAIR CRISP Hinesville-Fort Stewart QUITMAN RANDOLPH TERRELL BEN HILL DOUGHERTY CALHOUN LONG APPLING TURNER Albany CLAY LIBERTY JEFF DAVIS LEE IRWIN WORTH COFFEE BACON WAYNE MCINTOSH TIFT PIERCE BAKER EARLY BERRIEN MITCHELL MILLER GLYNN COLQUITT BRANTLEY COOK WARE LANIER SEMINOLE DECATUR 95 Ì Î Í CAMDEN CLINCH GRADY THOMAS BROOKS LOWNDES Valdosta 10 Ì Î Í Brunswick ATKINSON GEORGIA CHARLTON Î Í Ì 75 ECHOLS Î Í Ì First Quarter 2005 16 516 Ì Î Í Î Í Ì CHATHAM 4 Table 1 Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, Population by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2003, July Estimates Albany 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 79,351 79,288 416 1,181 30 838 159,099 2,005 161,104 Athens-Clarke County Percent of Total 49.3 49.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.5 98.8 1.2 100.0 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 3,025,383 1,346,977 13,926 169,377 2,399 51,970 4,257,021 353,011 4,610,032 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 72,126 22,620 246 503 20 780 93,714 2,581 96,295 76.8 19.8 0.2 2.2 0.0 0.9 94.4 5.6 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total Brunswick 2003 132,231 34,167 389 3,768 65 1,612 162,668 9,564 172,232 Augusta-Richmond County Percent of Total 65.6 29.2 0.3 3.7 0.1 1.1 92.3 7.7 100.0 Percent of Total Percent of Total 195,678 131,890 990 6,367 369 4,754 332,620 7,428 340,048 57.5 38.8 0.3 1.9 0.1 1.4 97.8 2.2 100.0 Chattanooga Percent of Total 74.9 23.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 97.3 2.7 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 131,181 3,104 438 807 8 1,041 135,134 1,445 136,579 Percent of Total 96.0 2.3 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.8 98.9 1.1 100.0 (continued) Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 5 Table 1 (Continued) Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, Population by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2003, July Estimates Columbus 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 134,279 94,809 1,051 3,774 520 3,663 229,078 9,018 238,096 Dalton Percent of Total 56.4 39.8 0.4 1.6 0.2 1.5 96.2 3.8 100.0 Gainesville 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 141,008 10,746 588 2,182 543 1,034 120,775 35,326 156,101 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 126,699 95,174 505 2,274 19 1,351 223,019 3,003 226,022 95.0 2.8 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.8 80.0 20.0 100.0 Hinesville-Fort Stewart Percent of Total 90.3 6.9 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.7 77.4 22.6 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total Macon 2003 120,961 3,528 544 1,072 111 1,063 101,803 25,476 127,279 Percent of Total 38,642 26,882 472 1,327 336 2,046 65,239 4,466 69,705 Percent of Total 55.4 38.6 0.7 1.9 0.5 2.9 93.6 6.4 100.0 Rome Percent of Total 56.1 42.1 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.6 98.7 1.3 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 78,898 12,344 303 966 180 677 87,324 6,044 93,368 Percent of Total 84.5 13.2 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.7 93.5 6.5 100.0 (continued) First Quarter 2005 6 Table 1 (Continued) Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, Population by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2003, July Estimates Savannah 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 190,410 104,551 892 5,025 191 3,256 298,325 6,000 304,325 Valdosta Percent of Total 62.6 34.4 0.3 1.7 0.1 1.1 98.0 2.0 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total Warner Robins 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 85,787 30,116 425 2,166 105 1,835 116,883 3,551 120,434 79,387 39,769 549 1,242 46 1,188 118,480 3,701 122,181 Percent of Total 65.0 32.5 0.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 97.0 3.0 100.0 Georgia Percent of Total 71.2 25.0 0.4 1.8 0.1 1.5 97.1 2.9 100.0 2003 White Black American Indian Asian Native Hawaiian Multiracial Non Hispanic Hispanic Total 5,858,716 2,496,525 26,583 211,589 6,222 85,080 8,143,592 541,123 8,684,715 Percent of Total 67.5 28.7 0.3 2.4 0.1 1.0 93.8 6.2 100.0 Note: MSA totals compiled from county data by the Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia, and include Georgia parts of MSAs only. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates. Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 7 Table 2 Population of Georgia Metropolitan Statistical Areas, In Order of Population Size, 2000, 2003 MSA Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta Augusta-Richmond County Savannah Columbus Macon Athens-Clarke County Albany Gainesville Chattanooga Dalton Valdosta Warner Robins Brunswick Rome Hinesville-Fort Stewart 2000 4,281,967 332,947 293,314 232,464 222,407 166,767 157,743 140,875 129,970 120,899 119,659 111,309 93,259 90,795 71,721 2003 2000-2003 Percent Change 4,610,032 340,048 304,325 238,096 226,022 172,232 161,104 156,101 136,579 127,279 122,181 120,434 96,295 93,368 69,705 7.7 2.1 3.8 2.4 1.6 3.3 2.1 10.8 5.1 5.3 2.1 8.2 3.3 2.8 -2.8 Note: MSA totals compiled from county data by the Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia, and include Georgia parts of MSAs only. Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Estimates. metropolitan areas, has one of the largest and fastest growing Hispanic populations in the country. In addition, while still relatively small, the Asian population has become the third largest population group in Georgia. Albany, Columbus, Augusta, and Hinesville have the largest black population among Georgia’s metropolitan areas, ranging from 49.2 percent of total population in Albany to 38.6 percent in Hinesville. In the northwest metropolitan counties, the black population makes up less than 3 percent of the total in Chattanooga and Dalton, and 6.9 percent in Gainesville. Dalton and Gainesville, however, have the state’s largest percentages of Hispanic population (22.6 percent of the total in Gainesville and 20 percent in Dalton). Atlanta and Athens, on the other hand, have the largest concentration of Asians, almost 4 percent in Atlanta, and over 2 percent in Athens. Labor Force and Unemployment labor force of 2,501,514 accounts for more A tlanta’s than half of the labor force in Georgia in 2003. Georgia’s portion of the Augusta MSA has the second largest labor force, (150,298) followed closely by Savannah’s 149,022. The Savannah-Hinesville-Fort Stewart First Quarter 2005 Combined Statistical Area, however, has a labor force of 173,574, second only to Atlanta. Columbus and Macon each have a labor force of over 106,000. Both are centers of combined statistical areas. Athens, Gainesville, Albany, Chattanooga (Georgia portion only), and Dalton range from 86,841 (Athens) to 70,072 (Dalton), while Valdosta, Warner Robins, Brunswick and Rome fall within the range of 60,695 to 48,176. Unemployment rates fell in all of metropolitan areas in Georgia in 2003. For the second consecutive year, Albany’s 5.1 percent unemployment was the highest among the state’s metropolitan areas. Albany’s unemployment rate fell to 4.6 percent between January and September 2004. Augusta followed Albany with a 5 percent unemployment rate in 2003, and a 4.8 percent average in 2004. On the other end of the scale, Athens, Valdosta, and Warner Robins all had unemployment rates of about 3 percent in 2003. In the first nine months of 2004, these rates dropped to 2.8 percent in Athens, 2.4 percent in Valdosta, and to 2.9 percent in Warner Robins. Dalton, Gainesville, and Savannah all had 2003 unemployment rates below 4 percent (Dalton and Gainesville at 3.5 percent each, and Savannah at 3.9 percent). Between January and September of 2004, the average unemployment rate in Dalton dropped to 2.8 percent, in Gainesville to 3 8 percent, and in Savannah to 3.5 percent. In the middle of the scale, unemployment rates in Brunswick, Rome, and Macon averaged from 4 to 4.4 percent in 2003. In 2004, Brunswick’s unemployment dropped to 3.5 percent, Rome’s averaged 3.8 percent, and Macon’s 4.1 percent. Unemployment rates in Columbus, Atlanta, and Hinesville fell just under 5 percent in 2003 (Columbus stood at 4.8 percent, and Atlanta and Hinesville at 4.9 percent each). In the first nine months of 2004, the average unemployment was down in all of these areas (Columbus at 4.3 percent, Atlanta with 4.1 percent, and Hinesville at 4.7 percent). In 2003, 14 of Atlanta’s 28 metropolitan counties registered unemployment rates at or below the state’s average level, but unemployment levels in several metro Atlanta counties averaged between 5.8 and 6.8 percent, a full percentage point or more above the state average (the populous Clayton and Fulton counties in the center of Atlanta, and Meriwether and Lamar counties on the outskirts, among them). The Georgia portion of the Augusta MSA also exceeded the state’s average with an unemployment rate of 5 percent, the second highest in the state. Income and Earnings surprisingly, metro Atlanta’s per capita personal N otincome (PCPI), or the portion of the area’s total income averaged by one person, surpasses the state’s average. Atlanta’s 2002 PCPI of $33,257 exceeds the average PCPI of $30,563 in Georgia’s metropolitan areas, towers over the state average of $28,821, and totally overshadows the state’s non-metropolitan counties’ average of $21,781. Among metropolitan areas, Savannah’s, Macon’s, and Brunswick’s PCPI ($28,054, $27,635, and $27,409 respectively) fall slightly below the state’s average. Columbus, Warner Robins, Augusta, Rome and Gainesville fall within the $25,040-to-$25,899 range, while Dalton and Athens registered PCPI of $24,609 and $24,171, respectively. The 2003 PCPI in Valdosta, Albany, and Hinesville ranged between $23,059 (Valdosta) and $17,919 (Hinesville), much closer to—or actually below—the non-metro average of $21,781. On the other hand, smaller metropolitan areas saw their per capita income increase between 2001 and 2002, with the steepest gains registered in Valdosta and Albany (6.2 percent and 4.4 percent increase, respectively), while Atlanta’s PCPI actually decreased by 0.5 percent. Compared to other MSAs in Georgia, the largest portion of personal income in Atlanta comes from earnings, and far less is provided by government; therefore, the area’s income responds quickly to the employment market’s ups and downs. Relatively rapid population growth, paired with relatively high unemployment, also helps explain the drop in the area’s per capita income. The situation is likely to improve, however, with metro Atlanta’s unemployment rates falling from 5.3 percent in 2002 to 4.9 in 2003, and an average of 4.1 percent in the first nine months of 2004. This is good news for Atlanta, which comprises over a half of the state’s population and labor force. Atlanta’s earnings are remarkably evenly distributed among several large sectors, with a relatively small government sector providing 12 percent of earnings, and professional and technical services, trade, manufacturing, information, and financial services each providing between 7 and 11 percent. All of these sectors were especially vulnerable during the post-2001 economic slowdown, and, except for professional services and information, were still losing jobs between August of 2003 and August 2004. The number of jobs in health care, which provides 7 percent of jobs in Atlanta, increased by 2.3 percent, however. Albany, Athens, Macon, Rome, and Savannah are characterized by a large portion of earnings provided by the government, manufacturing, and health care sectors, with Rome distinguished among this group by large portions of earnings provided by manufacturing and health service sectors (27 and 17 percent, respectively). Rome’s PCPI of $25,337 ranks eighth among the 15 Georgia’s MSAs, and its unemployment level is below the state average. Manufacturing wages per job also are relatively high here. Compared to other MSAs, Rome derives the second largest portion of its personal income from transfer payments, which consist mainly of medical benefits (Medicare), income maintenance payments (such as family assistance and food stamps), general assistance benefits to low-income families, unemployment insurance benefits, veterans’ benefits, and other government and business payments to individuals and nonprofit organizations. The Athens MSA derives 33 percent of its earnings from government employment (University of Georgia). Its relatively low PCPI ranks eleventh among the metropolitan areas, but the area enjoys consistently low unemployment— 3 percent average in 2003, and 2.8 percent in the first nine months of 2004. Personal Income in Athens includes a relatively large portion provided by dividends, interest, and rent, which include payments by retirement plans, and other investment and property income. The portion provided by transfer payments is relatively low. Albany, on the other hand, ranks thirteenth in per capita personal income, consistently has the highest unemployment rates among Georgia’s metropolitan areas, and derives over 20 percent of income from transfer payments. In contrast, Macon’s and Savannah’s PCPIs rank second and third, respectively, among Georgia’s MSAs, and their unemployment rates fall well below the state average. The portions of earnings derived from manufacturing in Macon and Savannah are the highest among the state’s MSAs, and the dividends, interest, and rent portion of personal income in Savannah is the second highest. Warner Robins and Hinesville are notable because over half of their metropolitan area’s earnings provided by government—80 percent and 61 percent, respectively. In continued on page 18 Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 9 Table 3 Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in Georgia’s Metropolitan Areas, 2003 MSA County Labor Force Employment Number Unemployment Rate Rank* Albany Baker County Dougherty County Lee County Terrell County Worth County MSA Total 1,707 43,724 13,786 4,093 9,722 73,032 1,629 41,262 13,373 3,809 9,231 69,304 78 2,462 413 284 491 3,728 4.6 5.6 3.0 6.9 5.1 5.1 32 13 63 3 25 1 Athens-Clarke County Clarke County Madison County Oconee County Oglethorpe County MSA Total 51,327 14,045 14,554 6,915 86,841 49,758 13,535 14,275 6,646 84,214 1,569 510 279 269 2,627 3.1 3.6 1.9 3.9 3.0 61 48 70 46 14 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta Barrow County 25,035 Bartow County 42,687 Butts County 9,800 Carroll County 47,846 Cherokee County 88,446 Clayton County 142,733 Cobb County 383,262 Coweta County 48,663 Dawson County 11,476 DeKalb County 392,478 Douglas County 54,380 Fayette County 50,721 Forsyth County 63,722 Fulton County 431,182 Gwinnett County 389,991 Haralson County 10,775 Heard County 5,242 Henry County 74,722 Jasper County 5,390 Lamar County 6,612 Meriwether County 9,360 Newton County 34,720 Paulding County 48,795 Pickens County 12,942 Pike County 8,195 Rockdale County 40,423 Spalding County 29,172 Walton County 32,744 MSA Total 2,501,514 23,754 40,341 9,348 45,313 84,963 134,182 367,306 46,414 11,133 370,709 51,785 49,163 61,549 406,260 374,072 10,210 4,949 71,571 5,094 6,193 8,722 32,736 46,804 12,399 7,812 38,573 27,219 31,372 2,379,946 1,281 2,346 452 2,533 3,483 8,551 15,956 2,249 343 21,769 2,595 1,558 2,173 24,922 15,919 565 293 3,151 296 419 638 1,984 1,991 543 383 1,850 1,953 1,372 121,568 5.1 5.5 4.6 5.3 3.9 6.0 4.2 4.6 3.0 5.5 4.8 3.1 3.4 5.8 4.1 5.2 5.6 4.2 5.5 6.3 6.8 5.7 4.1 4.2 4.7 4.6 6.7 4.2 4.9 24 16 30 21 45 9 40 29 64 15 27 58 53 11 43 22 14 37 17 7 4 12 44 38 28 31 6 39 4 (continued) First Quarter 2005 10 Table 3 (Continued) Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in Georgia’s Metropolitan Areas, 2003 MSA County Labor Force Augusta-Richmond County Burke County 9,463 Columbia County 46,609 McDuffie County 9,779 Richmond County 84,447 MSA Total 150,298 Employment Number Unemployment Rate 8,484 45,276 9,119 79,877 142,756 979 1,333 660 4,570 7,542 10.3 2.9 6.7 5.4 5.0 1 66 5 18 2 Rank* Brunswick Brantley County Glynn County McIntosh County MSA Total 7,167 36,657 5,079 48,903 6,746 35,358 4,856 46,960 421 1,299 223 1,943 5.9 3.5 4.4 4.0 10 49 34 8 Chattanooga Catoosa County Dade County Walker County MSA Total 30,250 7,940 32,209 70,399 29,463 7,660 31,099 68,222 787 280 1,110 2,177 2.6 3.5 3.4 3.1 68 50 52 12 Columbus Chattahoochee County 2,307 Harris County 13,742 Marion County 2,859 Muscogee County 89,672 MSA Total 108,580 2,132 13,304 2,679 85,248 103,363 175 438 180 4,424 5,217 7.6 3.2 6.3 4.9 4.8 2 56 8 26 5 Dalton Murray County Whitfield County MSA Total 19,028 51,044 70,072 18,222 49,391 67,613 806 1,653 2,459 4.2 3.2 3.5 36 55 11 Gainesville Hall County MSA Total 80,368 80,368 77,536 77,536 2,832 2,832 3.5 3.5 51 10 Hinesville-Fort Stewart Liberty County Long County MSA Total 19,529 5,023 24,552 18,480 4,870 23,350 1,049 153 1,202 5.4 3.0 4.9 20 62 3 74,848 6,378 13,069 7,997 4,508 106,800 71,556 6,116 12,636 7,567 4,275 102,150 3,292 262 433 430 233 4,650 4.4 4.1 3.3 5.4 5.2 4.4 33 41 54 19 23 6 Macon Bibb County Crawford County Jones County Monroe County Twiggs County MSA Total (continued) Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 11 Table 3 (Continued) Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in Georgia’s Metropolitan Areas, 2003 MSA County Rome Floyd County MSA Total Labor Force Employment Number Unemployment Rate Rank* 48,176 48,176 46,086 46,086 2,090 2,090 4.3 4.3 35 7 Savannah Bryan County Chatham County Effingham County MSA Total 12,207 115,990 20,825 149,022 11,825 111,252 20,066 143,143 382 4,738 759 5,879 3.1 4.1 3.6 3.9 57 42 47 9 Valdosta Brooks County Echols County Lanier County Lowndes County MSA Total 7,800 1,905 3,690 47,300 60,695 7,576 1,858 3,588 45,853 58,875 224 47 102 1,447 1,820 2.9 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 65 69 67 60 15 Warner Robins Houston County MSA Total 58,123 58,123 56,340 56,340 1,783 1,783 3.1 3.1 59 13 4,414,014 4,206,823 207,191 4.7 Georgia Note: MSA totals compiled from county data by the Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia. *Rank among the 78 counties, which are parts of metropolitan areas. MSA Total rank refers to the 15 Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Georgia, Georgia Parts only. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2003. First Quarter 2005 12 Power Source Upgrade The Multicultural Economy Minority Buying Power in 2004 The enormous economic clout of the nation’s Hispanics, African Americans, Asians, and Native Americans is detailed in the latest edition of the popular and widely-quoted study of minority buying power. Developed by the Selig Center for Economic Growth, this definitive data series for 1990-2004 and the projections for 2005 through 2009 are essential to business analysts, marketing specialists, product developers, advertisers, and researchers. Data are available for the U.S. and all fifty states; and county-level data are included for Georgia and Florida. Used by companies nationwide, the Minority Buying Power data series is quoted in Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times and USA TODAY. 왗 The data book-and-CD package also features buying power data by expenditure category for the total population, African Americans, and Hispanics. Includes Data Book To order the $125 package, call 706-425-2961 and CD or visit www.selig.uga.edu Want to Know More? copy of The Multicultural Economy 2004 @$125 Georgia residents ADD your applicable county tax tax rate County x purchase price TOTAL Name Phone Address Email State City AmEx Check enclosed ZIP VISA MasterCard Payable to Selig Center, UGA Card Number Expiration Date Name on Card Mail or fax to: Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business The University of Georgia P. O. Box 1764 Athens, GA 30603-1764 Phone (706) 425-2961 FAX (706) 425-2965 Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 13 Table 4 Per Capita Income in Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, 2001-2002 with percent change and rankings MSA County 2001 PCPI 2002 PCPI Percent change from previous year 2002 Rank* Albany Baker County Dougherty County Lee County Terrell County Worth County MSA Total 19,431 22,583 21,429 19,750 20,986 21,892 21,273 23,500 22,158 20,973 22,186 22,862 9.5 4.1 3.4 6.2 5.7 4.4 57 37 51 58 50 13 Athens-Clarke County Clarke County Madison County Oconee County Oglethorpe County MSA Total 21,840 23,882 29,869 22,900 23,513 22,860 23,762 30,263 22,624 24,171 4.7 -0.5 1.3 -1.2 2.8 42 34 10 45 11 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta Barrow County Bartow County Butts County Carroll County Cherokee County Clayton County Cobb County Coweta County Dawson County DeKalb County Douglas County Fayette County Forsyth County Fulton County Gwinnett County Haralson County Heard County Henry County Jasper County Lamar County Meriwether County Newton County Paulding County Pickens County Pike County Rockdale County Spalding County Walton County MSA Total 24,266 25,786 22,477 22,307 31,410 21,482 36,830 27,272 27,557 33,485 26,277 37,396 35,101 46,599 31,070 21,789 18,859 27,685 23,307 22,246 20,224 23,406 23,997 28,034 23,744 28,458 23,346 24,688 33,439 23,501 25,860 22,270 22,339 30,450 21,585 36,357 26,932 27,106 34,118 26,085 37,553 33,108 47,478 30,138 22,320 19,117 26,658 23,226 23,347 20,764 22,749 23,207 27,743 23,615 28,903 24,126 24,502 33,257 -3.2 0.3 -0.9 0.1 -3.1 0.5 -1.3 -1.2 -1.6 1.9 -0.7 0.4 -5.7 1.9 -3.0 2.4 1.4 -3.7 -0.3 4.9 2.7 -2.8 -3.3 -1.0 -0.5 1.6 3.3 -0.8 -0.5 36 23 48 46 8 54 3 18 17 4 21 2 5 1 11 47 64 19 39 38 59 44 40 16 35 14 30 29 1 (continued) First Quarter 2005 14 Table 4 (continued) Per Capita Income in Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, 2001-2002 with percent change and rankings MSA County 2001 PCPI 2002 PCPI Percent change from previous year 2002 Rank* Augusta-Richmond County Burke County Columbia County McDuffie County Richmond County MSA Total 17,854 30,109 23,765 22,749 24,504 18,300 30,345 24,529 23,994 25,431 2.5 0.8 3.2 5.5 3.8 66 9 28 32 7 Brunswick Brantley County Glynn County McIntosh County MSA Total 18,437 29,506 18,286 26,440 19,114 30,459 19,599 27,409 3.7 3.2 7.2 3.7 65 7 63 4 Chattanooga Catoosa County Dade County Walker County MSA Total 22,975 20,995 21,414 22,012 23,086 21,463 22,201 22,487 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.2 41 55 49 14 Columbus Chattahoochee County Harris County Marion County Muscogee County MSA Total 15,612 31,484 21,434 26,697 26,277 13,525 31,554 21,678 27,892 26,923 -13.4 0.2 1.1 4.5 2.5 70 6 52 15 5 Dalton Murray County Whitfield County MSA Total 19,985 25,895 24,083 20,400 26,485 24,609 2.1 2.3 2.2 61 20 10 Gainesville Hall County MSA Total 25,007 25,007 25,040 25,040 0.1 0.1 27 9 Hinesville-Fort Stewart Liberty County Long County MSA Total 17,709 15,732 17,416 18,210 16,265 17,919 2.8 3.4 2.9 67 69 15 (continued) Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 15 Table 4 (continued) Per Capita Income in Georgia’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas, 2001-2002 with percent change and rankings MSA County 2001 PCPI 2002 PCPI Percent change from previous year 2002 Rank* Macon Bibb County Crawford County Jones County Monroe County Twiggs County MSA Total 28,382 20,923 23,627 25,087 18,617 26,660 29,587 21,658 23,998 25,275 19,742 27,635 4.2 3.5 1.6 0.7 6.0 3.7 12 53 31 25 62 3 Rome Floyd County MSA Total 24,589 24,589 25,337 25,337 3.0 3.0 24 8 Savannah Bryan County Chatham County Effingham County MSA Total 25,171 28,383 22,882 27,389 25,235 29,274 22,802 28,054 0.3 3.1 -0.3 2.4 26 13 43 2 Valdosta Brooks County Echols County Lanier County Lowndes County MSA Total 20,514 15,584 19,191 22,379 21,716 21,308 16,661 20,693 23,808 23,059 3.9 6.9 7.8 6.4 6.2 56 68 60 33 12 Warner Robins Houston County MSA Total 24,910 24,910 25,876 25,876 3.9 3.9 22 6 Georgia 28,555 28,821 0.9 Note: MSA totals compiled from county data by the Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia. *Rank among the 78 counties, which are parts of metropolitan areas. MSA Total rank refers to the 15 Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Georgia, Georgia Parts only. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System, 2004. First Quarter 2005 16 Percent Distribution of Total Personal Income for Georgia's MSAs, by Source, 2002 Albany 63.4 Athens 16.0 66.2 Atlanta 20.6 19.5 75.5 Augusta-Aiken 15.2 64.9 Brunswick 55.8 Chattanooga 17.0 65.2 18.5 14.8 17.6 17.6 17.2 Dalton 68.3 15.9 Gainesville 67.6 18.6 Hinesville 71.1 Macon 64.6 Rome 62.5 Savannah 64.4 Valdosta 63.3 9.3 18.1 25.7 67.6 Columbus 14.3 13.4 17.1 15.7 13.8 15.5 18.3 17.3 20.3 19.5 16.0 17.3 19.4 Warner Robins 71.1 15.7 13.2 Georgia 70.6 16.1 13.3 0.0% Earnings 100.0% Dividends, Interest, Rent Transfer Payments Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System, June, 2004; Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia. Georgia Business and Economic Conditions 17 Percent Distribution of Earnings by Major Industry Group, 2002 Albany 23.6 23.7 49.2 Athens 19.2 32.9 41.3 Atlanta 14.3 11.6 71.5 Augusta-Aiken 22.0 26.9 44.4 Brunswick 49.7 17.9 26.2 Chattanooga 22.1 16.3 60.0 Columbus 16.9 32.7 44.4 Dalton 44.8 42.5 9.4 Gainesville 35.2 52.4 12.4 Hinesville 5.4 12.5 79.8 Macon 20.5 57.1 14.3 Rome 33.0 14.3 52.3 Savannah 21.2 19.7 57.2 Valdosta 43.2 18.1 34.9 Warner Robins 28.5 9.2 61.2 Georgia 21.4 0% Goods producing industries 63.0 Service producing industries 15.6 Government Percentages may not add to 100% because of withheld sectoral detail and/or rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, REIS, May, 2001; Selig Center for Economic Growth, Terry College of Business, The University of Georgia. First Quarter 2005 100% 18 continued from page 8 addition to government, Warner Robins derives a relatively large portion of its earnings from manufacturing (7 percent), and professional and technical services (6 percent). While the PCPI in Warner Robins ranks sixth among the MSAs, Hinesville is dead last at $17,191, well below the state, metro, and even non-metro area average. Earnings make up the second and third highest portions of income in Hinesville and Warner Robins, compared to other metropolitan areas in the state. But, while unemployment in Warner Robins is among the lowest in the state, it is relatively high in HinesvilleFort Stewart. Manufacturing provides the largest portion of earnings in Dalton and Gainesville (42 and 27 percent, respectively). Manufacturing earnings per job are relatively low in both areas, however. On the other hand, Dalton is right behind Atlanta with the second highest portion of earnings derived from the well-paid professional and technical services sector, while Gainesville’s relatively large government and health care sectors each provide 12 percent of the area’s earnings. Gainesville and Dalton rank ninth and tenth, respectively, in PCPI among the state’s 15 metropolitan areas. The unemployment rate in both areas averaged a low 3.5 percent in 2003, and declined to 2.8 percent in Dalton, and 3 percent in Gainesville in the first nine months of 2004. Columbus’s large government sector provides 33 percent of earnings, and the manufacturing sector provides 13 percent, which is relatively low among metropolitan areas in Georgia. Finance and insurance provides 7 percent of earnings in this MSA, one of the highest portions among the state’s MSAs, and the percentage of earnings from the information sector is—in relative size—second only to Atlanta’s. Columbus’s professional and technical services sector provides 6 percent of earnings, the third largest portion among metropolitan statistical areas after Atlanta and Dalton. The area’s PCPI is relatively high and ranks fifth in the state, but the 2003 average unemployment level of 4.8 percent slightly exceeds the state average. Like Columbus, Augusta’s government sector provides a relatively large—27 percent—portion of earnings. Manufacturing provides 14 percent of earnings, and administrative and waste services comprise 12 percent of earnings, by far the largest among MSAs. Augusta’s PCPI ranks seventh among the states 15 metropolitan areas, the lowest rank among the larger metro area. Augusta’s Columbia County, however, has one of the state’s highest per capita personal incomes. Conversely, this MSA has the second highest unemployment rate among the state’s metropolitan areas. In Brunswick and Valdosta, a relatively large portion of earnings is derived from government employment (26 percent in Brunswick, and 35 percent in Valdosta), and the rest of earnings comes from a diverse set of industries, with manufacturing, health care, and retail trade providing around 10 percent of earnings each, and the smaller sectors supplying the rest. Valdosta’s PCPI ranks relatively low among the metropolitan areas in Georgia, with only three MSAs ranked lower. A relatively low percentage of income in Valdosta comes from earnings, and a relatively high portion is derived from transfer payments. As is typical for an area with a large government employment, Valdosta’s unemployment rate averaged 3 percent in 2003, and 2.4 percent between January and September of 2004, which is by far the lowest in the state. Brunswick, the capital of the Golden Isles, derives 6 percent of earnings from the accommodations and food services sector, the highest proportion among metropolitan areas in Georgia. Brunswick has the fourth highest PCPI among Georgia’s MSAs, and, compared to other areas, derives by far the smallest portion of income from earnings. The size of the dividends, interest, and rent portion of income, however, is the highest in Brunswick, compared to other metropolitan areas in the state. On the opposite side of the picture, Brunswick’s transfer payments provide the fourth largest portion of income compared to other Georgia MSAs. The unemployment rate here is relatively low (an average of 4 percent in 2003, and 3.5 percent in the first three quarters of 2004), but in Brantley County, it reached 5.9 percent in 2003. Accordingly, while the PCPI in Brantley and McIntosh counties is below the state—and even non-metropolitan area—average, per capita income in Glynn County is among the highest in Georgia. Georgia Business and Economic Conditions