James J. Worrall, Suzanne Bethers, Leanne Egeland, Roy A. Mask and Thomas Eager Sudden aspen decline in southwest Colorado US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Region, Forest Health Management, Gunnison, Colorado, USA (INT-EM-07-01, year 2) Note the elevation gradient: healthy aspen above, increasing crown loss at lower elevations. Note that regenerated clearcuts are healthy, surrounded by dead and dying residual overstory Preliminary results 25 §Worrall JJ, Egeland L, Eager T, Mask RA, Johnson EW, Kemp PA, 300,000 R2 = 0.0008 P = 0.71 15 10 15 10 5 Average regen. in uncut, intact stands in SW Colorado: 2,500 ha-1 5 Dead roots 0 Damaged plots 0 0 200,000 40 60 Recent crown loss (%) 80 100 2006 2007 Year 2008 a 80 R2 = 0.002 P = 0.418 60 40 20 40 30 20 25 50 75 100 125 150 Mean age of stems in plot (years) 0 Galleries and adult of an aspen bark beetle, Trypophloeus populi. Backslope Shoulder Summit 10 There is a clear trend of increasing crown loss from toeslopes to summits, but the differences are not significant. Bronze poplar borer galleries and larva in live bark. Cytospora canker Footslope Slope Position Biotic agents significantly associated with SAD Armillaria root disease on aspen. Photo by Jim Blodgett. 40 0 175 Despite the widespread belief that SAD is related to age structure, neither age nor DBH of over-story stems are related to SAD. 60 20 Toeslope R2 = 0.100 P < 0.001 80 10 0 1. Location, elevation, topographic position, slope, and aspect 2. Understory vegetation 3. Soil pit (soil class, mollic depth, texture, waterholding capacity, stoniness, etc.) 4. Root trench (quantifying live and dead aspen roots) 5. Tree data (prism plot, stand structure, crown loss, damage agents, increment cores) 6. Regeneration plot Damaged plots have significantly fewer live roots and significantly more dead roots than healthy plots. 100 100 2005 In 2007 and 2008, we completed 162 intensive field plots (81 pairs) in southwestern Colorado to identify additional causes and stand impacts of SAD. We randomly selected damaged plots (>25% crown loss) in aerial survey polygons and nearby, paired healthy plots (≤25% crown loss). Measurements included: 20 No significant regeneration response to crown loss (including mortality) associated with SAD. This confirms earlier results from two sites.§ 100,000 Methods 30 50 70 90 Site index Site index is significantly related to crown loss, but this explains a small part of the variation in crown loss. Preliminary Conclusions 1. Two sources of data indicate that regeneration is not responding to recent crown loss and mortality. 2. Poor regeneration in damaged stands is associated with dying root systems. 3. Within the overstory (stems ≥12 cm DBH), neither age nor DBH are related to crown loss and mortality, on either a plot basis or a tree basis. 4. Regeneration (stems <12 cm DBH) is generally healthier than the overstory. 5. Each biotic agent associated with SAD (left) has distinct patterns of occurrence in healthy vs. damaged plots, host DBH, contagion, etc. Early summer field work Soil pit analysis 20 Healthy plots 0 and Shepperd WD. 2008. Rapid mortality of Populus tremuloides in southwestern Colorado, USA. Forest Ecology and Management 255: 686-696. Mean # of roots Live aspen regen. (103 stems ha -1) 400,000 20 Recent crown loss Work has been in two phases. The results of the first phase, including landscape and stand factors associated with damage and a hypothesis on the causes, are published§ and are not presented here. 500,000 Live roots Average regeneration one year after clearcutting aspen in SW Colorado: 76,600 ha-1 Recent crown loss (%) We initiated a project in 2007 to determine the severity, site/stand factors and causes of SAD. As of 2008, over 17% of Colorado’s aspen acreage was affected Recent crown loss (%) In 2004, foresters in south-west Colorado began to report unusual, rapid dieback and mortality of aspen. Mortality has increased rapidly in Colorado and has attracted intense media interest and concern from wildlife officials, forest managers, forest products industry, environmentalists, and others. We have named the syndrome sudden aspen decline (SAD). Aspen damage in CO (aerial survey acres) Background and earlier work 25 Poplar borer 6. Many site variables contribute small parts of the variation in crown loss (a measure of SAD).