Stand level impacts of Ips and Dendroctonus bark beetles in pine forest types of Northern Arizona Joel McMillin1, John Anhold1, Neil Cobb2, Jose Negrón3, Jesse Anderson2 1USFS Region 3 FHP, Flagstaff, AZ; 2MPCER, NAU, Flagstaff, AZ; 3USFS RMRS, Ft. Collins, CO METHODS INTRODUCTION OBJECTIVES Record low precipitation, increased temperatures, and dense forests have led to tremendous bark beetle incidence across the Southwest. Aerial Detection Surveys detected bark beetle activity on more than 2 million acres, killing more than 20 million pine trees in Arizona during 2002 and 2003 (Figures 1 & 2). The extent and severity of this mortality, and site factors contributing to mortality, remain undetermined at the Forest and stand level. This information is needed to accurately describe ecosystem changes that are occurring and to develop predictive models for future disturbance events. 1. Quantify stand level impacts of bark beetles on ponderosa and piňon pine ecosystems in Arizona’s National Forests. 1. GIS maps used to determine plot location on 5 National Forests (Figures 3 & 4 show Coconino NF). Coconino, Kaibab & Prescott NF’s completed 2003. Tonto and Apache-Sitgreaves NF’s completed 2004. All plots on all Forests will be revisited in 2005. 2. Describe the forest and site conditions that have experienced tree mortality caused by drought and bark beetles. 2. Single (measures extent of outbreaks) and three plot clusters (stand level impacts) installed. Plots are 1/20th acre fixed radius (Figure 5). 3. Mensurational (tree size, density and damages) and regeneration (species and abundance) data collected from plots. 3. Determine correlations between stand and site conditions and pine mortality. 4. Bark beetle-attacked trees tallied in 1-ac swath between plot centers. BarkBeetlePlotsinPinyonPineForest Type, CoconinoNational Forest May 17, 2003 North of San Francisco Peaks September 20, 2003 North of San Francisco Peaks # S $ T TS# $ BarkBeetleActivityin PonderosaPineandPinyonPine (2003Aerial DetectionSurvey) TS# $ TS# $ # S # S T $ # S T $ # S # S T $ # S # S T $$ T T $ T## S# $ T #$ S S S # S # S Figure 3. Plots installed within a 3 mile grid over piňon pine stands. # S # S T $ $$ T T T $ # S T $ # S T# T$ $ S $ S# T T $ # S # S $ T T $ # S T $ # S T $ T $ # S T $ #$ T #S # S S # S # S T $ T $ # S T $ T $ $$ T T # S T $ # S T $ T $ $# T S T $ # S # S March 6, 2002 Horsethief Basin, Prescott NF August 21, 2002 Horsethief Basin, Prescott NF T $ T$ T $ $ T S# # S # S BarkBeetlePlotsinPonderosaPineForest Type CoconinoNational Forest # S $ T T $ # S Tri-cluster Plots SinglePlots BarkBeetleActivity2002/2003 PinyonPineRange T $ T $ # S T $ # S # S T $ # S T $ # S S T# $ T $ # S # S T $ T # S T $ $ # S T $ T $ T $ # TS $ T# $ S T #$ S # S TS# $ T $ T #$ S # S T $ # S # S # S # S # S # S T T$ $ # S T $ T $ # S $S# T PinyonPineBarkBeetleActivity PonderosaPineBarkBeetleActivity PinyonPineRange PonderosaPineRange Figure 1. Bark beetle-caused tree mortality in piňon (top) and ponderosa (bottom) pine forests in Arizona. Although engraver beetles are infesting most pine species (center-top), western pine beetle (center-bottom) is also contributing to ponderosa pine mortality. T $ T $ # S # S T $ # S # S T $ T $ T $ # S S # #$ S T T $ #$ S T National Forest Boundary ReservationBoundary # S TS# $ T $ T $ T $ TS# $ # S T # S T$ $ # S TS# $ # S #$ S T T $ TS# $ # $ T S T #$ S # S # S Figure 4. Plots installed within a 3 mile grid over ponderosa pine stands. # S # S T $ # S # S # S # $ S TS# # S T $ T $ END PRODUCTS Plots established by National Forest in Arizona 1.Results will be incorporated into Regional strategic communication plan to provide land managers and the public with better and consistent information. # S T $ 2. All 1,181 plots will be revisited in 2005. 172 180 Pine Bark Beetle Infestation FINAL DRAFT - May 30, 2003 Public Affairs Office Southwest Region USDA Forest Service Account Manager: Jim Payne (602) 225-5291 jwpayne@fs.fed.us 2324 E. McDowell Road Phoenix, Arizona 85006 Forest Health Monitoring Evaluation Monitoring grant INT-EM-03-01 Prescott Coconino Tonto # S Kaibab A-S # S T $ # S Tri-plot Clusters SinglePlots BarkBeetleActivity(2002/2003) PonderosaPineRange Prescott Kaibab Coconino 160 300 A-S 274 Tonto 140 250 120 88 100 80 188 200 147 65 10 chains, 660 ft, 200 m 150 = infested tree tally, 1 chain wide 60 40 40 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS T $ $ T # #S T $ S T $ 1.There have been 402 Piňon pine and 779 Ponderosa pine plots established on five National Forests in Arizona during 2003 & 2004. 2.Development of predictive models relating stand and site conditions to bark beetle-caused tree mortality. Strategic Communication Plan Southwestern Region T $ # S TS# $ # S TS# $ $ T 100 88 82 = 1/20th acre fixed radius plot 27 20 0 Kelly Barton, Steve McKelvey, Brian Howell, Joleen Atencio, Ally & Atom for field work, data entry and GIS maps Figure 7. Number of Piňon pine plots established on each Arizona National Forest 50 0 Figure 6. Number of Ponderosa pine plots established on each Arizona National Forest Figure 5. 3-plot cluster with dead tree tally transects.