Glass.txt <time begin="00:00:00.50"/><clear/>[ Silence ]<br/> <time begin="00:00:28.35"/><clear/>>> Welcome to the third

advertisement
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:00:00.50"/><clear/>[ Silence ]<br/>
<time begin="00:00:28.35"/><clear/>>> Welcome to the third
lecture in the series<br/>
Global Diseases Voices from the Vanguard.<br/>
<time begin="00:00:36.57"/><clear/>Voices from the Vanguard is a
joint<br/>
effort between the Center for Tropical<br/>
<time begin="00:00:46.57"/><clear/>and Emerging Global Diseases
and the Knight<br/>
Chair in Health and Medical Journalism,<br/>
<time begin="00:00:53.48"/><clear/>Pat Thomas for the Grady
College<br/>
of Journalism and Mass Communications<br/>
<time begin="00:00:55.83"/><clear/>with assistance from the
office<br/>
of Provost and I'm very glad<br/>
<time begin="00:00:57.45"/><clear/>that all of you are here
tonight.<br/>
<time begin="00:00:58.35"/><clear/>Thank you for coming, it<br/>
is a very lovely spring evening.<br/>
<time begin="00:01:00.61"/><clear/>As most of you know this
lecture<br/>
series is intended to help create<br/>
<time begin="00:01:04.75"/><clear/>and strengthen the
interest<br/>
in global health that exists<br/>
<time begin="00:01:09.74"/><clear/>across the breadth of the UGA
campus.<br/>
<time begin="00:01:13.87"/><clear/>Both speakers thus far
in<br/>
this year's series Eric Gotteson<br/>
<time begin="00:01:18.22"/><clear/>and Zeda Rosenberg have
provided their front line<br/>
visions of how they think people can make a<br/>
<time begin="00:01:25.48"/><clear/>difference in global health
and<br/>
<time begin="00:01:28.05"/><clear/>tonight Dr. Roger Glass the
director of<br/>
the NIH's Fogarty International Center<br/>
<time begin="00:01:34.48"/><clear/>and a world renown expert on
rotaviruses is<br/>
here to share his insights into the realities,<br/>
<time begin="00:01:46.80"/><clear/>the challenges and the
opportunities<br/>
to improve global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:01:53.53"/><clear/>Before I ask Dr. Phil
Page 1
Glass.txt
Williamson the dean of UGA's<br/>
College of Public Health to introduce Dr. Glass,<br/>
<time begin="00:02:01.52"/><clear/>I'd like to first remind you
of<br/>
two things, actually three things<br/>
<time begin="00:02:03.14"/><clear/>and one is this is a blue
card event and<br/>
so seek out the person for that,<br/>
<time begin="00:02:05.27"/><clear/>second on April 24th we will
wind up this<br/>
years Voices from the Vanguard with one<br/>
<time begin="00:02:11.68"/><clear/>of the actual voices, someone
who speaks<br/>
on this, Nick Thompson the spokesperson<br/>
<time begin="00:02:18.01"/><clear/>for the World Health
Organization in the area<br/>
of global infectious diseases will be here,<br/>
<time begin="00:02:25.83"/><clear/>that's April 24th and I hope
you will all<br/>
plan to be here and just respect him.<br/>
<time begin="00:02:36.80"/><clear/>And then the last thing is as
always<br/>
there will be a reception next door<br/>
<time begin="00:02:38.60"/><clear/>and that will be following
tonight's lecture.<br/>
<time begin="00:02:39.65"/><clear/>Now I am pleased to ask
Dean<br/>
Williams to introduce our speaker.<br/>
<time begin="00:02:41.51"/><clear/>[ Pause ]<br/>
<time begin="00:02:47.69"/><clear/>>> We are very pleased to
have Dr.<br/>
Roger Glass visit UGA and I would<br/>
<time begin="00:02:52.36"/><clear/>like to tell you just a
little bit about him.<br/>
<time begin="00:02:56.92"/><clear/>He received his undergraduate
degree<br/>
from Harvard College and his MD degree<br/>
<time begin="00:03:03.88"/><clear/>from Harvard Medical
School<br/>
and his Masters of Public Health<br/>
<time begin="00:03:07.17"/><clear/>from Harvard School of Public
Health.<br/>
<time begin="00:03:08.51"/><clear/>He also earned a PhD in
microbiology in Sweden.<br/>
<time begin="00:03:09.81"/><clear/>He has spent the last 30
years working in<br/>
several positions between the CDC and NIH.<br/>
Page 2
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:03:12.62"/><clear/>Through both the good times
and the bad<br/>
times Dr. Glass has been on the front line<br/>
<time begin="00:03:16.83"/><clear/>of rotavirus research and
provided [inaudible]<br/>
public health including working with [inaudible] scientists<br/>
<time begin="00:03:24.20"/><clear/>and epidemiologists and some
public health policy majors.<br/>
<time begin="00:03:27.86"/><clear/>His research is targeted at
the<br/>
neurological studies for the introduction<br/>
<time begin="00:03:30.93"/><clear/>of rotavirus vaccine and he
has maintained field<br/>
studies throughout the world including studies<br/>
<time begin="00:03:37.25"/><clear/>in countries such as
India,<br/>
Bangladesh, Brazil, Mexico,<br/>
<time begin="00:03:41.36"/><clear/>Russia, Vietnam, and China
just to name a few.<br/>
<time begin="00:03:45.06"/><clear/>A complete listing of his
awards and memberships<br/>
would be too extensive to do here tonight.<br/>
<time begin="00:03:52.03"/><clear/>But just to give you a few of
them,<br/>
<time begin="00:03:54.78"/><clear/>he is a member of the
Institute<br/>
of Medicine and National Academy,<br/>
<time begin="00:03:56.58"/><clear/>a member of the American
Academy of Microbiology<br/>
and he received the outstanding service medal<br/>
<time begin="00:03:59.07"/><clear/>from the US Public Health
Service.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:01.18"/><clear/>He has authored and
coauthored over 400 publications and<br/>
he is fluent in lectures in five languages.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:07.72"/><clear/>Last June, Dr. Glass began
his current duties as<br/>
Director for the Fogarty International Center<br/>
<time begin="00:04:13.08"/><clear/>and Associate Director
for<br/>
International research at NIH.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:18.93"/><clear/>As many of you know the<br/>
Fogarty International Center,<br/>
<time begin="00:04:23.85"/><clear/>is the international
component of the NIH<br/>
and address global health challenges.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:27.88"/><clear/>Tonight Dr. Glass will be
Page 3
Glass.txt
discussing global<br/>
health and the 21st Century: Lessons from Rotavirus.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:29.95"/><clear/>Please join me in welcoming
Dr. Glass.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:31.51"/><clear/>[ Applause ]<br/>
<time begin="00:04:37.27"/><clear/>>> Thank you.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:39.43"/><clear/>Thank you very much dean. I'm
delighted to be<br/>
here today particularly because when I came<br/>
<time begin="00:04:44.19"/><clear/>in the door I saw the writing
in chalk on the<br/>
door step that said, "For Everything in Love."<br/>
<time begin="00:04:50.52"/><clear/>Is that why you came?<br/>
<time begin="00:04:53.04"/><clear/>How many of you have
actually<br/>
heard of rotavirus?<br/>
<time begin="00:04:55.86"/><clear/>Raise your hands, oh my gosh
I'm amazed.<br/>
<time begin="00:04:59.23"/><clear/>You know when I went back
to<br/>
the CDC in 1986 to talk about,<br/>
<time begin="00:05:03.27"/><clear/>to having worked in
Bangladesh and NIH.<br/>
<time begin="00:05:06.27"/><clear/>I went to the director of the
CDC and I asked<br/>
him about rotavirus and he was welcoming me back<br/>
<time begin="00:05:11.59"/><clear/>and I spent an hour telling
him all<br/>
about rotavirus the disease and its prevention<br/>
<time begin="00:05:15.71"/><clear/>with my work in Bangladesh
and afterwards he<br/>
wrote me a note welcoming me back and he wrote<br/>
<time begin="00:05:21.75"/><clear/>to me as the chief of the
retrovirus laboratory.<br/>
<time begin="00:05:25.53"/><clear/>He didn't know the
difference<br/>
between a retrovirus and a rotavirus<br/>
<time begin="00:05:28.38"/><clear/>and when they both start with
R and I realized<br/>
that I had an upward battle to attack.<br/>
<time begin="00:05:33.95"/><clear/>So I am going to talk to you
a little bit<br/>
about my love of rotavirus if you will.<br/>
<time begin="00:05:39.91"/><clear/>The lessons that I've learned
from rotavirus<br/>
and global health and how that's led me<br/>
<time begin="00:05:44.36"/><clear/>to my current job, but before
Page 4
Glass.txt
I begin,<br/>
I'm amazed that you've all come to hear<br/>
<time begin="00:05:50.73"/><clear/>about diarrheal diseases
before<br/>
dinner so we'll move on.<br/>
<time begin="00:05:55.49"/><clear/>My undergraduate major was in
the history of medicine and<br/>
history of science and I was very interested<br/>
<time begin="00:06:01.24"/><clear/>in the epidemiology of
Cholera because cholera<br/>
is at the basis of epidemiology and global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:06:08.46"/><clear/>You know the quarantine
system and the public<br/>
health service hospitals in the US were all based<br/>
<time begin="00:06:13.52"/><clear/>around cholera and
epidemiology really came from<br/>
John Snow identifying the broad street pump here<br/>
<time begin="00:06:20.22"/><clear/>in London in 1854 plotting
out these little cases of Cholera<br/>
and showing that epidemiology could link these<br/>
<time begin="00:06:26.92"/><clear/>to the pump and that by
removing the pump<br/>
handle you could actually stop the disease<br/>
<time begin="00:06:31.98"/><clear/>and stop an epidemic.<br/>
<time begin="00:06:33.68"/><clear/>So I figured that
epidemiology was really simple<br/>
and I should go off and study cholera<br/>
<time begin="00:06:38.72"/><clear/>and see why we still had a
problem of cholera in<br/>
the world today and also from the early studies<br/>
<time begin="00:06:47.48"/><clear/>of cholera there was a first
vaccine for enteric<br/>
disease, a cholera vaccine here developed<br/>
<time begin="00:06:53.54"/><clear/>in 1893, never very effective
but it was still<br/>
the basis of immunology of an enteric disease<br/>
<time begin="00:07:01.54"/><clear/>of a potentially vaccine
preventable disease<br/>
and finally it was because of this pump<br/>
<time begin="00:07:07.76"/><clear/>that I thought that if I went
to a<br/>
cholera endemic area like Bangladesh,<br/>
<time begin="00:07:11.74"/><clear/>like Ganges Delta I might
actually be able<br/>
<time begin="00:07:14.61"/><clear/>to take the handle off the
pump<br/>
if you will and stop cholera.<br/>
Page 5
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:07:19.52"/><clear/>So after I was at CDC for a
couple of<br/>
years I went off to Bangladesh with my wife<br/>
<time begin="00:07:24.80"/><clear/>to see what we could do
to<br/>
stop cholera in the world.<br/>
<time begin="00:07:27.12"/><clear/>This was a naive mission of a
young<br/>
person, so it's not so bad to be naive<br/>
<time begin="00:07:32.55"/><clear/>and young and here's what we
saw.<br/>
<time begin="00:07:35.32"/><clear/>It's basically the same pump
and<br/>
the same children getting the same water and getting cholera<br/>
<time begin="00:07:40.74"/><clear/>so I figured that this would
be an easy match.<br/>
<time begin="00:07:44.87"/><clear/>A patient with cholera has
severe<br/>
dehydrating diarrhea, they can lose 10 percent<br/>
<time begin="00:07:50.45"/><clear/>of their weight in liquids in
12 to 24 hours.<br/>
<time begin="00:07:54.66"/><clear/>So if you're a 60 kg person
and you<br/>
lose 6 liters you're on deaths doorstep<br/>
<time begin="00:08:01.13"/><clear/>and this is what happens with
the disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:08:03.45"/><clear/>It's now completely treatable
by rehydration<br/>
with intravenous fluids and water<br/>
<time begin="00:08:08.01"/><clear/>and salt solutions but in
1960 this was<br/>
not so, it was a highly fatal disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:08:13.94"/><clear/>So here's a young girl and
you can see<br/>
that she is so depleted that she's shocky,<br/>
<time begin="00:08:18.77"/><clear/>her eyes are sunkin, she<br/>
has tinting of her skin<br/>
<time begin="00:08:21.38"/><clear/>under the doctor's hand
and<br/>
she's at death's doorstep.<br/>
<time begin="00:08:25.21"/><clear/>With oral rehydration she can
get up and<br/>
walk away, so it's with this that I got<br/>
<time begin="00:08:30.32"/><clear/>into diarrheal diseases and
tried to look at<br/>
how important were diarrheal diseases in the world today.<br/>
<time begin="00:08:37.04"/><clear/>Now when you listen to CDC
Page 6
Glass.txt
and<br/>
our spokesmen around the country,<br/>
<time begin="00:08:42.12"/><clear/>every year we have had a
different<br/>
epidemic, Smallpox, Ebola, West Nile fever,<br/>
<time begin="00:08:47.34"/><clear/>and the like, anthrax. But in
fact these<br/>
are not the real killers in the world.<br/>
<time begin="00:08:53.33"/><clear/>The real killers are the
diarrheal<br/>
diseases, Malaria, Tuberculosis,<br/>
<time begin="00:08:58.19"/><clear/>acute respiratory diseases,
things that are<br/>
much less sexy but much more important.<br/>
<time begin="00:09:04.28"/><clear/>So here I began to look at
where diarrhea fit<br/>
into the, into the leading causes of mortality<br/>
<time begin="00:09:11.54"/><clear/>and after ARI in children,
diarrhea is the next<br/>
major cause of disease in the world and of these<br/>
<time begin="00:09:19.10"/><clear/>about 20 to 45 percent of
these diarrheal deaths<br/>
are from rotavirus, much more them cholera.<br/>
<time begin="00:09:25.89"/><clear/>So I scratch my head and I
think a lesson for<br/>
you all is where's your next job going to take you<br/>
<time begin="00:09:30.58"/><clear/>and how are you going to earn
money and<br/>
I decided that if I was going to work<br/>
<time begin="00:09:33.84"/><clear/>on cholera it would be hard
to find a<br/>
lot of cholera cases when I came back<br/>
<time begin="00:09:37.77"/><clear/>to the United States, I
better work on something<br/>
that was global and that which is global is rotavirus.<br/>
<time begin="00:09:44.06"/><clear/>So this background really led
me to go to NIH<br/>
and then to begin to work on rotaviruses.<br/>
<time begin="00:09:50.52"/><clear/>Well and the one feature
of<br/>
rotavirus which is very important is<br/>
<time begin="00:09:56.89"/><clear/>that it's a democratic
disease,<br/>
and what do I mean by democratic?<br/>
<time begin="00:10:01.23"/><clear/>It affects blacks and whites,
rich<br/>
and poor, everyone gets rotavirus.<br/>
Page 7
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:10:07.15"/><clear/>In fact every one of you in
the audience has<br/>
had rotavirus in your first few years of life<br/>
<time begin="00:10:12.39"/><clear/>and probably have been
infected multiple<br/>
times since, although without any symptoms.<br/>
<time begin="00:10:16.80"/><clear/>But that first infection can
cause a severe<br/>
dehydrating diarrhea that can be lethal<br/>
<time begin="00:10:22.40"/><clear/>in a small percentage of
cases, well<br/>
here's rotavirus, it's the most common cause<br/>
<time begin="00:10:28.91"/><clear/>of severe diarrhea in
children, it's<br/>
a democratic virus and of course<br/>
<time begin="00:10:33.21"/><clear/>in this republican
administration, I was<br/>
advised that I should call it an equal opportunity virus,<br/>
<time begin="00:10:39.69"/><clear/>not a democratic virus
so<br/>
I have to change this slide<br/>
<time begin="00:10:44.08"/><clear/>or leave it till the
next<br/>
administration perhaps.<br/>
<time begin="00:10:46.90"/><clear/>First infections are
asymptomatic, there's<br/>
good evidence of natural immunity,<br/>
<time begin="00:10:51.79"/><clear/>there're limited strains in
circulation and of course<br/>
my son got rotavirus the day I started the<br/>
<time begin="00:10:57.14"/><clear/>rotavirus lab at the CDC and
why would my son<br/>
get rotavirus, you know we have a clean house,<br/>
<time begin="00:11:03.67"/><clear/>we wash our hands,
there's<br/>
clean water, there's good food.<br/>
<time begin="00:11:08.18"/><clear/>Why does my son get
rotavirus?<br/>
<time begin="00:11:10.41"/><clear/>It's not clearly from clean
water,<br/>
poor sanitation or anything like that,<br/>
<time begin="00:11:15.08"/><clear/>we really don't know enough
about<br/>
transmission of this virus but we do know<br/>
<time begin="00:11:19.02"/><clear/>that because we can't stop it
in our<br/>
country with clean water and clean food,<br/>
Page 8
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:11:23.50"/><clear/>that vaccines represent
a<br/>
way to prevent this disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:11:27.73"/><clear/>So here's a child in Mexico
with, a<br/>
cute, unhappy child who had for 12 hours,<br/>
<time begin="00:11:37.21"/><clear/>severe vomiting episodes, 8
episodes of<br/>
vomiting, couldn't hold a thing down.<br/>
<time begin="00:11:42.02"/><clear/>Followed by diarrheal
episodes,<br/>
about 20 in the 12 hour period<br/>
<time begin="00:11:47.26"/><clear/>and here the child is getting
IV's to<br/>
prevent shock and to be rehydrated.<br/>
<time begin="00:11:53.16"/><clear/>It's a very severe disease in
the small<br/>
number of children and here when this child,<br/>
<time begin="00:11:59.43"/><clear/>this is an autopsy from a
child who died and the<br/>
intestine is all broken up and what you see<br/>
<time begin="00:12:05.93"/><clear/>in the intestinal cells, all
of these<br/>
little dots here are the viruses,<br/>
<time begin="00:12:10.07"/><clear/>they completely invaded and
taken over the<br/>
cell of this child's intestine causing death.<br/>
<time begin="00:12:16.45"/><clear/>So it can be a very severe
and fatal disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:12:20.09"/><clear/>Well where does rotavirus
kill?<br/>
<time begin="00:12:22.92"/><clear/>And here is the distribution
of diarrheal deaths<br/>
from rotavirus and you can see that there are<br/>
<time begin="00:12:28.89"/><clear/>about a 100 thousand in India
alone.<br/>
<time begin="00:12:31.72"/><clear/>Most of the deaths are in
South Asia about<br/>
150 thousand in Sub Saharan Africa,<br/>
<time begin="00:12:37.15"/><clear/>about 20 thousand in Latin
America.<br/>
<time begin="00:12:39.55"/><clear/>So if we had a vaccine and we
have vaccines now.<br/>
<time begin="00:12:43.37"/><clear/>These vaccines will be most
helpful to prevent<br/>
death in Sub Saharan Africak, Asia, South Asia.<br/>
Page 9
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:12:50.23"/><clear/>But in the US and Europe and
Australia, Japan,<br/>
they would really not stop diarrheal deaths,<br/>
<time begin="00:12:56.34"/><clear/>we don't have them, but they
would<br/>
stop hospitalizations, clinic visits,<br/>
<time begin="00:13:00.90"/><clear/>doctor visits and the cost
incurred.<br/>
<time begin="00:13:05.18"/><clear/>Well here's the disease
burden and as<br/>
I look around now at the importance<br/>
<time begin="00:13:11.95"/><clear/>of diarrheal diseases in
general,<br/>
this is really key<br/>
<time begin="00:13:16.88"/><clear/>Every child here, gets
rotavirus. About 114 million episodes a<br/>
year of rotavirus diarrhea.<br/>
<time begin="00:13:23.53"/><clear/>About one in five children
will have to go<br/>
to a doctor or clinic to get rehydrated<br/>
<time begin="00:13:28.18"/><clear/>because the disease is that
severe.<br/>
<time begin="00:13:30.88"/><clear/>About one in fifty or so will
need treatment as<br/>
inpatients because the disease is severe enough<br/>
<time begin="00:13:36.92"/><clear/>to require intravenous and
about<br/>
1 in 200 to 1 in 300 will die<br/>
<time begin="00:13:41.70"/><clear/>of their disease in their
developing world.<br/>
<time begin="00:13:44.37"/><clear/>So this is clearly an
important cause of death,<br/>
about five percent of all deaths in children<br/>
<time begin="00:13:49.84"/><clear/>under five will be from
rotavirus, so<br/>
it's because of this huge disease burden<br/>
<time begin="00:13:56.44"/><clear/>that I really saw this as a
priority.<br/>
<time begin="00:13:59.28"/><clear/>Well when I went back to CDC
we had no<br/>
data on rotavirus in the United States,<br/>
<time begin="00:14:05.44"/><clear/>and you know in the
government if you can't document<br/>
how important your disease is compared<br/>
<time begin="00:14:09.68"/><clear/>to someone else's disease,
you know, you're<br/>
Page 10
Glass.txt
cooked, you just can't make it.<br/>
<time begin="00:14:15.20"/><clear/>So we had to go out with few
resources<br/>
and few people and figure out what the burden<br/>
<time begin="00:14:20.36"/><clear/>of rotavirus was in the
US,<br/>
so here's what we did.<br/>
<time begin="00:14:24.43"/><clear/>We looked at hospitalizations
for children under<br/>
five years of age, here you see it here by month<br/>
<time begin="00:14:31.31"/><clear/>for a 20 year period from
about 1979 to, 79 to<br/>
1998, 1997 and you can see each year there are<br/>
<time begin="00:14:41.14"/><clear/>about 200 thousand
children<br/>
hospitalized for diarrheal diseases,<br/>
<time begin="00:14:45.22"/><clear/>that's about 10 to 12 percent
of all<br/>
hospitalizations of children in the US,<br/>
<time begin="00:14:50.11"/><clear/>a huge number. And of those
there's this winter<br/>
seasonal pattern each year in children<br/>
<time begin="00:14:56.50"/><clear/>under 5 and that's
seasonality is most<br/>
apparent in children from 6 months,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:01.56"/><clear/>7 months, to 2 years of
age<br/>
and there's a little bit at two2br/>
<time begin="00:15:05.25"/><clear/>to 3 years and then it goes
away.<br/>
<time begin="00:15:07.18"/><clear/>So a big seasonal peak
in<br/>
winter, and we've now learned that,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:11.27"/><clear/>that seasonal peak of
winter<br/>
diarrhea is rotavirus.<br/>
<time begin="00:15:15.68"/><clear/>Well if we were to have a
vaccine, and we have<br/>
a vaccine this year 2006 for the first time,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:21.72"/><clear/>what would we expect to
happen in a few<br/>
years. Well if we're right and you can watch this<br/>
<time begin="00:15:27.75"/><clear/>in the next few years, we
would<br/>
expect this curve to flatten out,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:32.80"/><clear/>those big winter seasonal
peaks of<br/>
Page 11
Glass.txt
diarrhea hospitalizations to go away<br/>
<time begin="00:15:37.96"/><clear/>and we would have a nice
flat<br/>
line where a third lesser,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:41.25"/><clear/>40 percent fewer cases,<br/>
hospitalization for diarrhea.<br/>
<time begin="00:15:45.46"/><clear/>Furthermore in the first year
of this program<br/>
we hope that these, this light blue curve of children<br/>
<time begin="00:15:51.89"/><clear/>under 1 year will go away by
the end<br/>
of this year or sometime next year,<br/>
<time begin="00:15:57.26"/><clear/>so this is one of the ways
we<br/>
are going to monitor the impact<br/>
<time begin="00:16:00.52"/><clear/>of a national immunization
program.<br/>
<time begin="00:16:03.16"/><clear/>So our disease burden in the
US has very<br/>
few deaths but lots of hospitalizations<br/>
<time begin="00:16:10.13"/><clear/>at an incredible cost about,
over a billion<br/>
dollars a year. And it's with this type of data<br/>
<time begin="00:16:17.50"/><clear/>that we were able to convince
American<br/>
pediatricians and the advisory committee<br/>
<time begin="00:16:22.10"/><clear/>on immunization policy in the
US<br/>
to take rotavirus vaccines for,<br/>
<time begin="00:16:27.07"/><clear/>as a program for a globe, for
US immunization,<br/>
universal immunization of all children,<br/>
<time begin="00:16:33.13"/><clear/>so if any of you have small
brothers or<br/>
sisters or nieces or nephews who are just born<br/>
<time begin="00:16:37.80"/><clear/>or under 1 they should be
getting<br/>
a rotavirus vaccine this year.<br/>
<time begin="00:16:42.85"/><clear/>Well let's go on to the
virology and<br/>
how we get to this, the vaccines.<br/>
<time begin="00:16:47.24"/><clear/>Here's a picture of a
rotavirus, a schematic of<br/>
a rotavirus here and it's a virus that's made<br/>
<time begin="00:16:53.15"/><clear/>up of a shell, a protein
shell, an outer coat<br/>
like a basketball and inside are 11 segments<br/>
<time begin="00:17:01.95"/><clear/>of double stranded RNA,
Page 12
Glass.txt
nucleic acid and<br/>
each of these can be separated on a gel<br/>
<time begin="00:17:08.13"/><clear/>and each one codes for a
separate<br/>
protein, a different protein.<br/>
<time begin="00:17:12.34"/><clear/>Well what does your body<br/>
see when it sees this virus,<br/>
<time begin="00:17:15.00"/><clear/>what does your gut see when
it sees this virus?<br/>
<time begin="00:17:17.53"/><clear/>It sees what's on the outer
coat just<br/>
like what I see when I look at you<br/>
<time begin="00:17:21.97"/><clear/>is I see your outer clothing,
I see your<br/>
clothes, I don't see anything underneath, okay.<br/>
<time begin="00:17:26.63"/><clear/>What your body sees to get an
immune<br/>
response is a reaction to your clothes,<br/>
<time begin="00:17:30.83"/><clear/>an antibody to your clothes
if you will. And<br/>
in this virus those clothes are on the outside,<br/>
<time begin="00:17:36.29"/><clear/>this bright yellow, the VP7,
it's a<br/>
neutralization intergen and these little spikes<br/>
<time begin="00:17:41.28"/><clear/>that allow the virus to
attach to<br/>
your intestine and go to work.<br/>
<time begin="00:17:45.99"/><clear/>Well this is important
because it's against<br/>
this outer coat that your body makes antibodies<br/>
<time begin="00:17:51.15"/><clear/>and if we want to develop a
vaccine we<br/>
have to entice your body to make antibodies<br/>
<time begin="00:17:58.41"/><clear/>to these two proteins. And if
we can do<br/>
that then when your body sees the virus<br/>
<time begin="00:18:05.16"/><clear/>from the natural setting<br/>
it will neutralize that,<br/>
<time begin="00:18:09.05"/><clear/>it'll kill it and you won't
get the disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:18:11.67"/><clear/>So that's the idea of a live
oral vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:18:15.36"/><clear/>So the vaccines that we'll
talk about are<br/>
live viruses that have been attentuated,<br/>
<time begin="00:18:20.77"/><clear/>they're not pathogenic,
they're given orally<br/>
Page 13
Glass.txt
and they give you a good immune response.<br/>
<time begin="00:18:26.22"/><clear/>Well the other thing that's
important to know<br/>
is that rotavirus comes in different flavors<br/>
<time begin="00:18:31.98"/><clear/>that we call serotypes and
these serotypes are<br/>
defined by the clothing that the virus wears, again<br/>
<time begin="00:18:38.23"/><clear/>that VP7, the G protein and
the P protein and<br/>
they're basically four different types of flavors<br/>
<time begin="00:18:44.59"/><clear/>of rotavirus, one, two,
three, and four,<br/>
they're very creative names, okay,<br/>
<time begin="00:18:50.39"/><clear/>and if we have a vaccine
against these<br/>
four strains we think we'll have a vaccine<br/>
<time begin="00:18:55.44"/><clear/>against most
rotaviruses.<br/>
<time begin="00:18:57.37"/><clear/>Just like Polio vaccine,
includes three<br/>
serotypes of rotavirus, three flavors.<br/>
<time begin="00:19:02.88"/><clear/>But also rotaviruses can
evolve and<br/>
new strains can always come into the,<br/>
<time begin="00:19:08.34"/><clear/>into the virus from
rotaviruses from pigs,<br/>
rabbits, cows, monkeys, dogs, and cats and the like.<br/>
<time begin="00:19:15.37"/><clear/>So even if we have a vaccine
there's<br/>
the possibility of new viruses evolving,<br/>
<time begin="00:19:21.26"/><clear/>and in fact in places like
Argentina, all<br/>
the cows are immunized against rotavirus<br/>
<time begin="00:19:28.06"/><clear/>to prevent neonatal calf
diarrhea<br/>
virus, a disease that kills<br/>
<time begin="00:19:32.23"/><clear/>about 10 percent of calves
that are infected.<br/>
<time begin="00:19:34.85"/><clear/>So there are already vaccines
for cows,<br/>
now we're working on vaccines for people.<br/>
<time begin="00:19:39.73"/><clear/>Well we're going to go on and
talk<br/>
about vaccines, and when I was at NIH<br/>
<time begin="00:19:45.54"/><clear/>in the early 80's my mentor
Dr. Kapikian<br/>
was working on his first rotavirus vaccine.<br/>
Page 14
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:19:52.73"/><clear/>He took a strain of rotavirus
from a monkey,<br/>
<time begin="00:19:57.39"/><clear/>he re-assorted it so that it
would have the<br/>
outer coat from different serotypes<br/>
<time begin="00:20:03.88"/><clear/>of human rotaviruses, one,
two and four, and<br/>
he made up a re-assortment vaccine<br/>
<time begin="00:20:08.64"/><clear/>of four different strains
that<br/>
was called a rhesus tetravalent vaccine<br/>
<time begin="00:20:12.68"/><clear/>and that was the first
vaccine<br/>
licensed in the US.<br/>
<time begin="00:20:16.50"/><clear/>It took 20 years, about
almost 20 years to develop<br/>
this vaccine from isolation of the strains<br/>
<time begin="00:20:22.58"/><clear/>to understanding the
principles<br/>
of vaccine development.<br/>
<time begin="00:20:25.59"/><clear/>As soon as it was licensed,
August of<br/>
1998, it went right into approved by FDA,<br/>
<time begin="00:20:33.16"/><clear/>the Food and Drug
Administration.<br/>
<time begin="00:20:35.91"/><clear/>It was heralded as the first
vaccine to stop<br/>
those half a million deaths from diarrhea<br/>
<time begin="00:20:41.58"/><clear/>around the world and the<br/>
about 5 percent of children<br/>
<time begin="00:20:45.02"/><clear/>in the U.S. hospitalized for
rotavirus.<br/>
<time begin="00:20:47.34"/><clear/>It was a big thing.<br/>
<time begin="00:20:49.81"/><clear/>It went right, immediately
into the routine<br/>
schedule for childhood immunizations at 2,<br/>
<time begin="00:20:55.24"/><clear/>4 and 6 months of age so that
every child<br/>
would get this and we were really ecstatic.<br/>
<time begin="00:21:01.39"/><clear/>Dr. Kapikian and Ruth Bishop,
who discovered<br/>
the vaccine, and myself, we were overjoyed<br/>
<time begin="00:21:07.83"/><clear/>and we received the Pasteur
Award<br/>
of the Children's Vaccine Initiative.<br/>
<time begin="00:21:12.26"/><clear/>And we really thought we had
won the world<br/>
Page 15
Glass.txt
with a great vaccine and with the ability<br/>
<time begin="00:21:17.80"/><clear/>to have a new tool to stop
a<br/>
half a million deaths a year.<br/>
<time begin="00:21:22.35"/><clear/>It was an exhilarating
moment.<br/>
<time begin="00:21:24.63"/><clear/>Well, you know, you can't
be<br/>
exhilarated for too long and in 1999<br/>
<time begin="00:21:28.74"/><clear/>when this happened, I had a
full head of hair.<br/>
<time begin="00:21:31.53"/><clear/>I want you to know, I was
really, you<br/>
know, almost an afro, it was huge,<br/>
<time begin="00:21:36.75"/><clear/>I lost it all in the next
two<br/>
years, and this is why I lost it,<br/>
<time begin="00:21:42.55"/><clear/>after 9 months of immunizing
the<br/>
U.S. public, 600,000 children immunized,<br/>
<time begin="00:21:48.51"/><clear/>a million and a half doses
distributed,<br/>
a great success in this program,<br/>
<time begin="00:21:53.59"/><clear/>we identified fifteen cases
of a rare, adverse<br/>
event called inteceception<br/>
<time begin="00:21:59.95"/><clear/>in a few children in the two
weeks<br/>
after they had received this vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:22:04.68"/><clear/>Half a million kids,
600,000<br/>
kids, 15 adverse events,<br/>
<time begin="00:22:09.49"/><clear/>and everybody raised the red
flag<br/>
and said, what's going on here?<br/>
<time begin="00:22:14.18"/><clear/>Well, inteceception here
caused, main cause of<br/>
intestinal obstruction in small children.<br/>
<time begin="00:22:20.40"/><clear/>Their bowel gets blocked
at<br/>
the ileocecal junction.<br/>
<time begin="00:22:23.51"/><clear/>It telescopes on itself,
becomes<br/>
obstructed and can be a lethal complication.<br/>
<time begin="00:22:29.67"/><clear/>You don't want this to happen
in the<br/>
U.S., let alone in a developing country.<br/>
Page 16
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:22:33.72"/><clear/>So we did an investigation to
find<br/>
out if this was linked to the vaccine,<br/>
<time begin="00:22:38.03"/><clear/>if so what we could do about
it, and<br/>
whether we could get around this problem.<br/>
<time begin="00:22:42.27"/><clear/>And in the investigation,
there was a<br/>
cluster of cases of inteceception right<br/>
<time begin="00:22:46.96"/><clear/>after the two weeks after the
first dose of the<br/>
vaccine, a smaller, but insignificant cluster<br/>
<time begin="00:22:53.10"/><clear/>after the second, and we
really<br/>
knew the association was real,<br/>
<time begin="00:22:57.65"/><clear/>but we didn't know the level
of risk,<br/>
whether this was one in 2,000 here,<br/>
<time begin="00:23:02.47"/><clear/>as it was first thought, or
one<br/>
in 28,000 as it was later thought.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:06.57"/><clear/>A very important
difference.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:08.94"/><clear/>Why is it important?<br/>
<time begin="00:23:10.68"/><clear/>Well, in developing countries
where one and two<br/>
hundred children will die of rotavirus,<br/>
<time begin="00:23:15.60"/><clear/>to have an adverse event of
one in 30,000 would<br/>
mean that if you save 150 children's lives<br/>
<time begin="00:23:22.52"/><clear/>for every case of
inteceception<br/>
that might occur.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:25.33"/><clear/>So it's, it might be that in
a developing world<br/>
this would still be a very useful vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:33.00"/><clear/>Well, my real target was the
developing<br/>
world that I lived in, Bangladesh,<br/>
<time begin="00:23:36.64"/><clear/>and this is where I was
interested<br/>
in protecting children primarily.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:43.43"/><clear/>So we called the ministers
of<br/>
many developing countries together<br/>
<time begin="00:23:46.70"/><clear/>to say we've got this
rotavirus<br/>
Page 17
Glass.txt
vaccine, fabulous vaccine for protecting kids<br/>
<time begin="00:23:51.85"/><clear/>against diarrheal diseases,
rotavirus<br/>
virus, but it has this rare, adverse event.<br/>
<time begin="00:23:57.14"/><clear/>Would you still use it?<br/>
<time begin="00:23:58.69"/><clear/>Would you still see the
benefit<br/>
of this for your population?<br/>
<time begin="00:24:02.81"/><clear/>What would you say?<br/>
<time begin="00:24:05.11"/><clear/>You'd save a couple
hundred<br/>
children for every adverse event?<br/>
<time begin="00:24:08.93"/><clear/>Clearly in the U.S. where the
disease is<br/>
not fatal, the adverse event that might lead<br/>
<time begin="00:24:14.07"/><clear/>to surgery or obstruction is
pretty bad,<br/>
but in a country where one in 200 kids dies<br/>
<time begin="00:24:19.62"/><clear/>of the disease, where there'd
be<br/>
thousands of hospitalizations.<br/>
<time begin="00:24:23.73"/><clear/>Well the ministers thought
there and scratched<br/>
their head and finally one of them, from India,<br/>
<time begin="00:24:27.95"/><clear/>came back to me and said
Roger, great vaccine,<br/>
we would love to use it tomorrow, but,<br/>
<time begin="00:24:34.35"/><clear/>but the first time we
identify a case<br/>
of inteceception in one of our children<br/>
<time begin="00:24:39.83"/><clear/>who was vaccinated, the
newspapers<br/>
will be all over me<br/>
<time begin="00:24:43.66"/><clear/>and they'll ask the question
how could I permit<br/>
this vaccine to be used when it was withdrawn<br/>
<time begin="00:24:49.78"/><clear/>from use in the United
States<br/>
for this very complication.<br/>
<time begin="00:24:53.65"/><clear/>If it had been tested here
and<br/>
licensed it would be one thing,<br/>
<time begin="00:24:56.16"/><clear/>but it hadn't been used, so I
better step back.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:01.55"/><clear/>And so we lost the first
vaccine almost<br/>
10 years ago and in that 10 years<br/>
<time begin="00:25:07.51"/><clear/>about four million children
Page 18
Glass.txt
have died of this<br/>
diseases who might have been saved by a vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:14.35"/><clear/>Well, what we learned in the
process<br/>
was that inteceception spares children<br/>
<time begin="00:25:19.91"/><clear/>in the first 3 months of
life<br/>
and then part of our problem was<br/>
<time begin="00:25:23.47"/><clear/>that we vaccinated children
up to six months.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:26.62"/><clear/>From three to six months the
rate of<br/>
inteceception for whatever reason<br/>
<time begin="00:25:31.30"/><clear/>in natural goes up about 10
fold.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:34.70"/><clear/>Half the children we
vaccinated<br/>
were over 4 months of age,<br/>
<time begin="00:25:39.16"/><clear/>they were in catch up phase,
half were under.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:41.61"/><clear/>And most of the
intececeptions, 80<br/>
percent, were in these older children.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:45.78"/><clear/>So we told the other
manufacturers that if<br/>
they ever wanted to use a live oral vaccine,<br/>
<time begin="00:25:50.77"/><clear/>they should probably restrict
its use to<br/>
those children under 3 months of age,<br/>
<time begin="00:25:55.33"/><clear/>for reasons that were not
completely obvious.<br/>
<time begin="00:25:58.55"/><clear/>So here was our balance, our
scale,<br/>
should we use the vaccine or not?<br/>
<time begin="00:26:04.92"/><clear/>One death in 250
children,<br/>
lots of deaths and admissions<br/>
<time begin="00:26:08.85"/><clear/>or intececeptions and we
threw the vaccine out.<br/>
<time begin="00:26:12.99"/><clear/>Well this has been an
incredible year for<br/>
rotavirus and in 2006, last year,<br/>
<time begin="00:26:18.51"/><clear/>two new vaccines were
finally<br/>
came forward and were licensed.<br/>
<time begin="00:26:24.08"/><clear/>And these are, one is a
Page 19
Glass.txt
single strain<br/>
rotavirus, common human strain,<br/>
<time begin="00:26:30.73"/><clear/>that was attenuated
because<br/>
it was passage for a long time.<br/>
<time begin="00:26:34.21"/><clear/>The other was a strain, a
vaccine just<br/>
like the rhesus strain, the first vaccine,<br/>
<time begin="00:26:39.77"/><clear/>but made with a bovine
rotavirus virus that<br/>
was much weaker and didn't cause, we think,<br/>
<time begin="00:26:44.84"/><clear/>the same, wouldn't cause the
same problems,<br/>
and so these were both licensed in January<br/>
<time begin="00:26:52.89"/><clear/>of last year, 2006, major
clinical trials<br/>
<time begin="00:26:57.33"/><clear/>of over 60,000 children
were<br/>
published in the New England Journal.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:01.34"/><clear/>For each of these, the
pentavalent vaccine<br/>
here and the monovalent vaccine here,<br/>
<time begin="00:27:07.25"/><clear/>and they were really success
and a beginning.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:11.16"/><clear/>And these were nominated by
Lancet as the best<br/>
papers of last year in the medical literature.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:16.89"/><clear/>Well, let's look at
these<br/>
two and see where we are.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:19.96"/><clear/>The pentavalent, just like
the rhesus is given<br/>
in actually three doses, grows poorly<br/>
<time begin="00:27:25.96"/><clear/>and was highly successful, 98
percent<br/>
protection against severe disease<br/>
<time begin="00:27:31.24"/><clear/>in Finnish children and
American children.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:33.96"/><clear/>So it was a good vaccine and
it was safe.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:36.97"/><clear/>The other vaccine, a
monovalent,<br/>
also grows well and it was very safe<br/>
<time begin="00:27:43.82"/><clear/>as well, and this one was
tested<br/>
in Latin American and Finland,<br/>
Page 20
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:27:48.40"/><clear/>so it's gone, it could go
forward.<br/>
<time begin="00:27:54.48"/><clear/>In March of last year,
here's<br/>
the president of Panama roling<br/>
<time begin="00:27:58.05"/><clear/>out the first national
immunization<br/>
program for rotavirus in Panama.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:02.31"/><clear/>Another program took place in
Brazil last year.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:06.04"/><clear/>So now there're over 90
countries that<br/>
have a licensed rotavirus vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:11.36"/><clear/>But are we home yet?<br/>
<time begin="00:28:12.29"/><clear/>Do we raise the flag again
and greet success?<br/>
<time begin="00:28:15.43"/><clear/>Even though I don't have much
of my<br/>
hair left, is it time to celebrate?<br/>
<time begin="00:28:21.18"/><clear/>Well, the vaccines are
licensed in many countries,<br/>
but we still can't celebrate completely.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:27.38"/><clear/>Well, why not?<br/>
<time begin="00:28:28.37"/><clear/>You know? As I get older
you'd always<br/>
like to move the celebration date up,<br/>
<time begin="00:28:32.24"/><clear/>but sometimes it's hard.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:34.33"/><clear/>We've tested these
vaccines<br/>
in the U.S. and Latin America.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:38.93"/><clear/>We haven't tested them on
African<br/>
children or on Asian children,<br/>
<time begin="00:28:42.97"/><clear/>for instance in Bangladesh or
India.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:45.27"/><clear/>And for oral vaccines, for
parenteral vaccines,<br/>
injectable vaccines, all children behave more<br/>
<time begin="00:28:51.42"/><clear/>or less the same in
their<br/>
immune response and the routine vaccines<br/>
<time begin="00:28:55.15"/><clear/>that we give to children<br/>
are all work pretty well.<br/>
<time begin="00:28:59.01"/><clear/>Oral vaccines are
different.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:00.90"/><clear/>You know, the virus has to be
swallowed, it has to<br/>
Page 21
Glass.txt
go through the stomach's acid and survive,<br/>
<time begin="00:29:06.68"/><clear/>it has to be given in the
presence of breast<br/>
milk, in breast milk and neutralize the virus.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:13.32"/><clear/>Mothers in Bangladesh and in
South Africa<br/>
have high titers of maternal antibody<br/>
<time begin="00:29:18.15"/><clear/>that can make the immune<br/>
response work less well.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:21.37"/><clear/>So until we get a global<br/>
recommendation for these vaccines,<br/>
<time begin="00:29:25.77"/><clear/>we really have to know if
they work.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:28.12"/><clear/>Trials of the Merck vaccine
are just starting<br/>
in five countries in Africa and Asia,<br/>
<time begin="00:29:32.89"/><clear/>Bangladesh, Vietnam, Kenya,
Mali and Ghana.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:38.25"/><clear/>And trials of the GSK
vaccine, that monovalent,<br/>
has just been completed in South Africa.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:43.95"/><clear/>So we hope that these will
work, but the<br/>
immune response in the South African trial is<br/>
<time begin="00:29:50.00"/><clear/>about half of what it is in
Finland, and<br/>
that suggested the efficacy may be less<br/>
<time begin="00:29:56.19"/><clear/>than we want, less than
anticipated.<br/>
<time begin="00:29:59.50"/><clear/>If we have a vaccine
that's<br/>
only 50 percent protective,<br/>
<time begin="00:30:03.81"/><clear/>30 percent protective, would
we use it?<br/>
<time begin="00:30:07.19"/><clear/>And what could we do to
improve it?<br/>
<time begin="00:30:09.31"/><clear/>So that's the next challenge
before us now<br/>
and whether by withholding breast feeding,<br/>
<time begin="00:30:14.27"/><clear/>by raising the dose of the
vaccine by<br/>
giving it a little bit later, we can do,<br/>
<time begin="00:30:19.28"/><clear/>by changing the buffer, by
changing<br/>
the dose, we might make it better.<br/>
<time begin="00:30:24.36"/><clear/>Alternatively, like with
polio, we might try<br/>
Page 22
Glass.txt
a parenteral vaccine, an inactivated vaccine,<br/>
<time begin="00:30:30.40"/><clear/>and see if we can induce the
same<br/>
immunity that we get with polio<br/>
<time begin="00:30:34.54"/><clear/>with an inactivated
parenteral vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:30:37.50"/><clear/>So here's where we are now
with vaccines,<br/>
we have two vaccines, the Merck and the GSK<br/>
<time begin="00:30:44.84"/><clear/>that have been tested and
licensed but<br/>
they still are waiting a WHO recommendation<br/>
<time begin="00:30:49.95"/><clear/>for global use until these
trials are completed.<br/>
<time begin="00:30:53.45"/><clear/>And a bunch of other trials
of other<br/>
vaccines that are in development and we hope<br/>
<time begin="00:30:59.22"/><clear/>that by having vaccines made
in China<br/>
and Australia and India, in Germany,<br/>
<time begin="00:31:05.22"/><clear/>that we might have cheaper
vaccines that<br/>
would be suitable for the world's children.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:09.93"/><clear/>So we have now six candidate
vaccines being made<br/>
by 12 companies in five countries with a hope<br/>
<time begin="00:31:16.75"/><clear/>that in a few years, we might
have vaccines for<br/>
the world that will be cheap and affordable.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:22.16"/><clear/>And that's our current
research agenda.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:25.44"/><clear/>Well, when I went to ask
ministers of health<br/>
if rotavirus was important for them,<br/>
<time begin="00:31:31.77"/><clear/>most of them had never
heard<br/>
of rotavirus.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:35.05"/><clear/>So in Vietnam, I went in
1978,<br/>
1998 and I asked the minister<br/>
<time begin="00:31:41.95"/><clear/>if he was interested in<br/>
rotavirus vaccine.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:44.17"/><clear/>He said we don't have
rotavirus here.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:46.71"/><clear/>I said have you ever
tested<br/>
for rotavirus?<br/>
Page 23
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:31:49.37"/><clear/>He said no.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:50.07"/><clear/>So he said well, why don't we
do a little study<br/>
and we got a grant from WHO to do this study.<br/>
<time begin="00:31:56.83"/><clear/>We looked at four cities of
Vietnam, north<br/>
and south, six hospitals, and we went out<br/>
<time begin="00:32:02.75"/><clear/>and we screened 5700 children
under<br/>
five who came in with diarrheal disease<br/>
<time begin="00:32:09.16"/><clear/>for rotavirus with a<br/>
very simple, but sensitive test.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:12.74"/><clear/>56 percent of those children
were positive.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:16.75"/><clear/>So the minister saw this and
he<br/>
scratched his head and he said this means<br/>
<time begin="00:32:21.57"/><clear/>that if I use the vaccine, I
could decrease<br/>
my diarrhea hospitalizations in half.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:27.44"/><clear/>I could cut my diarrhea
mortality<br/>
in half or some fraction of that.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:31.56"/><clear/>So this would be a
fabulous<br/>
and important vaccine for us.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:36.17"/><clear/>So part of our efforts at CDC
was then to go out<br/>
and set up surveillance and let many ministers<br/>
<time begin="00:32:42.27"/><clear/>of health, like the minister
in Vietnam know<br/>
the importance of this disease in his setting.<br/>
<time begin="00:32:48.23"/><clear/>We started out with nine
countries<br/>
of Asia and again, Myanmar,Malaysia,<br/>
<time begin="00:32:53.29"/><clear/>56 percent of their children
had rotavirus<br/>
as a cause of diarrhea hospitalizations.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:00.66"/><clear/>And the like high rates from
39 to<br/>
60 percent all around Asia.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:05.81"/><clear/>We now have surveillance all
around<br/>
the world in more than 50 countries<br/>
<time begin="00:33:10.26"/><clear/>that report monthly
their<br/>
rate of rotavirus detection<br/>
<time begin="00:33:14.33"/><clear/>and their rates are averaging
Page 24
Glass.txt
40 to 50 percent.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:17.32"/><clear/>So this is clearly a global
disease and just<br/>
by doing surveillance we've educated ministers<br/>
<time begin="00:33:23.72"/><clear/>and pediatricians of the
importance<br/>
of this disease in their setting.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:28.68"/><clear/>We've also educated Bill
Gates.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:31.57"/><clear/>You know, Bill Gates in 1997
was trying<br/>
to figure out what to do with his money.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:37.48"/><clear/>He read the World Development
Report and in<br/>
<time begin="00:33:40.48"/><clear/>that report it said
rotavirus<br/>
kills a half a million people a year.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:45.41"/><clear/>Our data from CDC put
into<br/>
the World Development Report.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:50.27"/><clear/>He says I don't believe
rotavirus<br/>
can, well, what's rotavirus?<br/>
<time begin="00:33:52.67"/><clear/>I've never heard of it.<br/>
<time begin="00:33:53.53"/><clear/>How can it kill this many
people?<br/>
<time begin="00:33:55.33"/><clear/>What's going on here?<br/>
<time begin="00:33:57.27"/><clear/>He also said if a 747 crashed
today,<br/>
you'd hear it around the world.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:03.48"/><clear/>If rotavirus kills a
half<br/>
a million, no one hears about it.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:08.35"/><clear/>What's wrong with this
picture?<br/>
<time begin="00:34:10.35"/><clear/>And so it was rotavirus
that<br/>
got him to invest the first time<br/>
<time begin="00:34:14.13"/><clear/>in the accelerated
development<br/>
and introduction of four vaccines.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:19.22"/><clear/>Well, after Bill and
Melinda<br/>
Gates got interested in this,<br/>
<time begin="00:34:22.37"/><clear/>they put some of their money,
750 million<br/>
Page 25
Glass.txt
dollars into the Global Alliance for Vaccines.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:27.98"/><clear/>And that went to, and
rotavirus<br/>
was prioritized with pneumococcal vaccine,<br/>
<time begin="00:34:32.98"/><clear/>as one of two vaccines for
accelerated<br/>
development and introduction.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:37.01"/><clear/>And, of course, the
international<br/>
finance committee, Gordon Brown,<br/>
<time begin="00:34:40.77"/><clear/>Tony Blair have gotten
the<br/>
Europeans behind financing this.<br/>
<time begin="00:34:45.64"/><clear/>So we've gone from an
impoverished<br/>
activity for a very important global disease<br/>
<time begin="00:34:50.64"/><clear/>to an activity now which is
well<br/>
funded for further development<br/>
<time begin="00:34:54.66"/><clear/>and introduction, should the
vaccine<br/>
test show that the vaccine is effective<br/>
<time begin="00:34:59.79"/><clear/>in those poor, developing
countries.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:01.99"/><clear/>So that answer is gonna wait
for us all to see.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:05.78"/><clear/>So we're beginning now a
great experiment<br/>
now to see if we can control<br/>
<time begin="00:35:08.87"/><clear/>and perhaps eliminate
rotavirus<br/>
through the use of vaccines.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:13.08"/><clear/>And for future funding, I
thought we might<br/>
call upon the Rotarians, for instance.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:18.18"/><clear/>Doesn't that look like a
Rotary sign?<br/>
<time begin="00:35:21.03"/><clear/>I thought that after the
polio<br/>
eradication, I need your approval on this,<br/>
<time begin="00:35:24.63"/><clear/>because I haven't shown this
to the<br/>
Rotarians yet, but they've done so well<br/>
<time begin="00:35:28.01"/><clear/>with polio eradication that I
thought we might<br/>
just change it to the Rotary Virus<br/>
<time begin="00:35:32.76"/><clear/>and continue their global
Page 26
Glass.txt
efforts.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:35.62"/><clear/>Now, with that said, I wanted
to go on and<br/>
just give you a little, I've made a change<br/>
<time begin="00:35:42.06"/><clear/>of careers this year, and I'm
still<br/>
working on rotavirus at CDC,<br/>
<time begin="00:35:46.51"/><clear/>but I've decided after 30
years of<br/>
CDC, I should try to, I was an inch wide<br/>
<time begin="00:35:52.29"/><clear/>in rotavirus and a mile
deep.<br/>
<time begin="00:35:55.04"/><clear/>We've worked on
rotavirus<br/>
and we've gotten it into national use<br/>
<time begin="00:35:58.37"/><clear/>in the U.S. It was licensed
and used now.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:01.23"/><clear/>We have global clinical
trials.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:04.11"/><clear/>What else could I do to
improve<br/>
the impact of global health<br/>
<time begin="00:36:08.43"/><clear/>and to make global health an
important<br/>
study, even on the campus of UGA,<br/>
<time begin="00:36:15.50"/><clear/>what could you do for global
health here?<br/>
<time begin="00:36:17.45"/><clear/>I think part of the reason
I'm here is to<br/>
get you all excited about global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:20.89"/><clear/>I hope I can do this.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:22.65"/><clear/>So I went on to, I went on to
the<br/>
Fogarty position, where I'm the director<br/>
<time begin="00:36:28.07"/><clear/>of the Fogarty International
Center at NIH.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:30.91"/><clear/>This center is really
dedicated to address<br/>
global health challenges through innovative<br/>
<time begin="00:36:35.95"/><clear/>and collaborative
programs<br/>
for research and training.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:38.98"/><clear/>All stemming from the work of
a bricklayer,<br/>
John Fogarty, who became a union representative<br/>
<time begin="00:36:45.94"/><clear/>and then went to congress,
Page 27
Glass.txt
and his passion was<br/>
global health, for reasons we don't understand.<br/>
<time begin="00:36:52.15"/><clear/>But because of him, we got a
program 39<br/>
years ago at the Fogarty on the NIH campus<br/>
<time begin="00:36:58.52"/><clear/>that addressed issues of
global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:01.87"/><clear/>Well on the campus at NIH
there<br/>
are 27 institutes and centers<br/>
<time begin="00:37:05.87"/><clear/>like the National Cancer
Center,<br/>
the Heart and Lung Institute.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:10.64"/><clear/>Fogarty is the smallest,
oops, let's see,<br/>
Fogarty is the smallest of all the centers.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:17.85"/><clear/>We have a budget of about 70
million dollars,<br/>
which represents, get this, for global health,<br/>
<time begin="00:37:23.93"/><clear/>one quarter of one percent of
our NIH budget.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:28.56"/><clear/>This is global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:29.63"/><clear/>This is what we have for
global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:31.34"/><clear/>So it's a nice budget, but it
really<br/>
means that we have to be pointed<br/>
<time begin="00:37:34.83"/><clear/>in what we do and how we
address this.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:37.40"/><clear/>And we also have to work with
all the other<br/>
centers because what part of healthcare<br/>
<time begin="00:37:43.15"/><clear/>and health research is
not<br/>
global in some aspect.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:46.39"/><clear/>It's gotta be
everything.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:48.15"/><clear/>So we have to deal with
everyone<br/>
and be really creative and partner.<br/>
<time begin="00:37:51.92"/><clear/>Well, we have research
activities in over 100<br/>
foreign institutions and 60 US institutions,<br/>
<time begin="00:37:59.40"/><clear/>but ours are primarily in the
developing world.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:02.71"/><clear/>Well, I got to Fogarty in
Page 28
Glass.txt
June of<br/>
last year and I was greeted<br/>
<time begin="00:38:06.22"/><clear/>by this portfolio that I call
alphabet soup.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:09.27"/><clear/>You see all these
different<br/>
letters and acronyms in here,<br/>
<time begin="00:38:13.49"/><clear/>I didn't know what they all
were<br/>
and you probably won't either.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:16.92"/><clear/>But I did know that coming
out of<br/>
this soup was collaborative research,<br/>
<time begin="00:38:20.56"/><clear/>research training for
foreigners in the U.S.,<br/>
research training for U.S. students overseas<br/>
<time begin="00:38:27.51"/><clear/>and development of
institutional capacities.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:30.08"/><clear/>About 68 million dollars
in<br/>
budget with 400 grants overall.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:35.51"/><clear/>So I said well, what does
this mean?<br/>
<time begin="00:38:37.09"/><clear/>Let me put some flesh on to
all<br/>
of these alphabet soups, okay?<br/>
<time begin="00:38:43.85"/><clear/>And so the first thing we did
was to<br/>
look at the first program that we started<br/>
<time begin="00:38:47.93"/><clear/>in 1988, which was called the
AITRP.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:50.59"/><clear/>I didn't know what AITRP
meant either.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:51.96"/><clear/>But it's our Aids
International<br/>
Training and Research Program.<br/>
<time begin="00:38:56.13"/><clear/>We started in 1988, if you'll
remember,<br/>
maybe before some of you were aware of AIDS,<br/>
<time begin="00:39:02.76"/><clear/>AIDS was a disease of the
United States,<br/>
of Haitians, of homosexuals and of hemophiliacs.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:10.31"/><clear/>And we don't think
beyond<br/>
our borders of the important,<br/>
<time begin="00:39:13.65"/><clear/>that AIDS would have that we
Page 29
Glass.txt
know today.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:16.57"/><clear/>So Fogarty, as a center for
global health,<br/>
got a grant to invest in AIDS education<br/>
<time begin="00:39:23.55"/><clear/>and the importance of AIDS
overseas.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:26.80"/><clear/>And we invested in some
of<br/>
these young researchers.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:29.70"/><clear/>Well these researchers have
stayed with AIDS<br/>
<time begin="00:39:31.80"/><clear/>and AIDS has become an
incredibly<br/>
important disease globally, as you all know.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:36.40"/><clear/>And these youngsters who we
invested in 18<br/>
years ago have really become the leaders<br/>
<time begin="00:39:41.91"/><clear/>in their field today.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:43.41"/><clear/>So when you look at PEFAR
programs, the<br/>
president's emergency fund for AIDS relief<br/>
<time begin="00:39:49.14"/><clear/>and many other AIDS research
activities,<br/>
these people who had early grants<br/>
<time begin="00:39:54.98"/><clear/>from Fogarty are now the
leaders.<br/>
<time begin="00:39:56.97"/><clear/>They were very important
grants.<br/>
<time begin="00:40:00.45"/><clear/>Well, when we look at
American leaders<br/>
today in global health, what do we see?<br/>
<time begin="00:40:05.98"/><clear/>There's a common feature<br/>
just like my own experience.<br/>
<time begin="00:40:09.59"/><clear/>One is that they all had what
I<br/>
call early childhood experience.<br/>
<time begin="00:40:13.60"/><clear/>And I would encourage all of
you, if you're<br/>
interested at all in global health, to travel,<br/>
<time begin="00:40:19.54"/><clear/>to find someplace to sit
yourself in an<br/>
international setting and spend some time<br/>
<time begin="00:40:25.31"/><clear/>to gain the experience of
what it<br/>
is to work in a developing country<br/>
<time begin="00:40:29.56"/><clear/>or to address a problem
Page 30
Glass.txt
that's really a<br/>
problem of child survival or adult survival,<br/>
<time begin="00:40:35.88"/><clear/>something that's really
important.<br/>
<time begin="00:40:37.91"/><clear/>That experience will open
your eyes, will<br/>
open your hearts, it will open your careers<br/>
<time begin="00:40:43.57"/><clear/>to opportunities that you
probably have<br/>
never thought about before and engage you.<br/>
<time begin="00:40:48.71"/><clear/>And I would, the first thing
I would say is<br/>
that all of the people who are now leaders<br/>
<time begin="00:40:52.38"/><clear/>in global health have had,
like Al Sommer, who<br/>
was the dean at Hopkins, spent a couple of years<br/>
<time begin="00:40:57.94"/><clear/>in Bangladesh and
Indonesia<br/>
before early on in his career.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:04.10"/><clear/>Jeff Koplan, the former head
of CDC<br/>
also spent time in Bangladesh early on.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:09.52"/><clear/>Helene Gayle was in Uganda as
a baby, as a<br/>
young physician epidemiologist working on HIV.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:17.23"/><clear/>So the first important point
is<br/>
that early childhood experience.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:21.85"/><clear/>You're all children, you're
all students.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:23.73"/><clear/>Look and seek for these
opportunities<br/>
because they will really change your career<br/>
<time begin="00:41:28.64"/><clear/>and what you wanna do,
especially<br/>
when you're trying<br/>
<time begin="00:41:31.35"/><clear/>to scratch what would be<br/>
important or interesting.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:33.88"/><clear/>These opportunities are huge
and<br/>
they will entertain you for a career.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:39.00"/><clear/>The second is that all of
these people<br/>
up here work in infectious diseases.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:43.59"/><clear/>Aren't there genetic diseases
overseas?<br/>
<time begin="00:41:46.19"/><clear/>How about cancers?<br/>
<time begin="00:41:47.63"/><clear/>How about heart disease?<br/>
Page 31
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:41:49.69"/><clear/>All of that.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:50.70"/><clear/>In the past, infectious
diseases have<br/>
been king of international health.<br/>
<time begin="00:41:55.51"/><clear/>But I'm gonna tell you why
that's<br/>
changing in the 21st century.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:00.17"/><clear/>And third, what's the
gender<br/>
of all these people?<br/>
<time begin="00:42:04.72"/><clear/>They're all men.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:05.42"/><clear/>And there are tremendous
opportunities today.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:08.81"/><clear/>When these people were in
medical school,<br/>
women were an incredible minority.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:13.65"/><clear/>Today, women are about half
of the medical<br/>
students we have around the country<br/>
<time begin="00:42:18.26"/><clear/>and so I expect that in the
future women will<br/>
play a much greater role in these activities.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:23.84"/><clear/>Well we have a program at
Fogarty to<br/>
send medical students between their third<br/>
<time begin="00:42:29.79"/><clear/>and fourth year overseas.
About 25 students a year<br/>
matched with a student in a developing country.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:36.38"/><clear/>16 placements in India, Asia,
Africa, Latin<br/>
America and these kids go off for a year<br/>
<time begin="00:42:42.90"/><clear/>to do a mentored research
project.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:45.95"/><clear/>When they come back,
they<br/>
are different students.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:49.64"/><clear/>Their orientation as to what
we can do to<br/>
go back and solve the problems we solved.<br/>
<time begin="00:42:54.68"/><clear/>So again, this is,
opportunities are<br/>
building and in fact, about 50 percent,<br/>
<time begin="00:42:59.73"/><clear/>over half of medical students
entering school<br/>
today want an international experience as well<br/>
<time begin="00:43:05.71"/><clear/>as many people in residencies
and fellowships.<br/>
Page 32
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:43:08.97"/><clear/>Well the second area that we
tried to build<br/>
up is to build up the constituency<br/>
<time begin="00:43:14.07"/><clear/>of universities around the
world.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:16.31"/><clear/>We have about 19 programs in
the U.S. and this<br/>
isn't the idea of bringing together schools<br/>
<time begin="00:43:21.84"/><clear/>of public health, schools of
nursing, graduate<br/>
schools, schools of veterinary medicine,<br/>
<time begin="00:43:27.03"/><clear/>journalism, medical schools,
all together<br/>
around the theme of global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:32.03"/><clear/>And I think this is an
incredibly important way<br/>
to build a constituency in the United States.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:37.59"/><clear/>Global health isn't just
medicine.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:39.74"/><clear/>If we want to deliver
vaccines, you need<br/>
a business approach, you need ethics<br/>
<time begin="00:43:44.00"/><clear/>and legal questions
addressed, you have<br/>
the ecology of these infectious diseases<br/>
<time begin="00:43:49.46"/><clear/>that requires ecologists and
you<br/>
need nurses to deal with the issue<br/>
<time begin="00:43:54.26"/><clear/>of administering anti-retro
virals.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:57.84"/><clear/>Everyone can be involved in
this.<br/>
<time begin="00:43:59.47"/><clear/>And journalists to take out
the messages<br/>
of advocacy and alert the public.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:04.42"/><clear/>Behavioral and social
scientists to figure<br/>
out why people won't take their AIDS drugs<br/>
<time begin="00:44:09.74"/><clear/>or how to deal with the
stigma of a disease<br/>
like AIDS, which is incredibly stigmatizing.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:16.39"/><clear/>Here's what one
physician<br/>
can do working overseas.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:20.47"/><clear/>Denis Burkitt, everyone
wonders<br/>
Page 33
Glass.txt
is it only infectious disease?<br/>
<time begin="00:44:25.27"/><clear/>Here, a surgeon went off to
Uganda in<br/>
the late 60's and discovered a disease,<br/>
<time begin="00:44:30.58"/><clear/>a big lymphoma, an African
lymphoma of children.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:34.33"/><clear/>He didn't know what it was,
but it was very<br/>
common and through going to scientific meetings,<br/>
<time begin="00:44:39.96"/><clear/>he was able to link this with
Ebstein Barr<br/>
virus, a new virus at the time.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:45.40"/><clear/>It's the first viral cause of
cancer identified.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:49.00"/><clear/>So he did a great thing
for<br/>
oncology and for cancer.<br/>
<time begin="00:44:52.30"/><clear/>He then went to a meeting at
Sloan Kettering<br/>
in New York and found out they were working<br/>
<time begin="00:44:56.71"/><clear/>on anti-cancer drugs in the
60's.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:00.31"/><clear/>Let's try it.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:01.10"/><clear/>He was in Africa.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:02.01"/><clear/>He tried them out.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:03.33"/><clear/>It melted the cancer away
in<br/>
a few weeks and was the first,<br/>
<time begin="00:45:07.48"/><clear/>one of the earliest
successful<br/>
uses of cancer chemotherapy.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:12.85"/><clear/>So a lot can be done.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:14.58"/><clear/>And where's Burkitt's
lymphoma now?<br/>
<time begin="00:45:17.34"/><clear/>Well, there's an African<br/>
lymphoma belt of Africa.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:20.39"/><clear/>These kids still fill
the<br/>
wards with Burkitt's lymphoma.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:24.32"/><clear/>He was disappointed that
this<br/>
lymphoma took his name, by the way.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:28.95"/><clear/>And we don't have a public
health approach to<br/>
treating the children with Burkitt's lymphoma<br/>
<time begin="00:45:34.33"/><clear/>or to understanding the
mechanisms<br/>
of their disease.<br/>
Page 34
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:45:37.29"/><clear/>So a lot can be done in other
aspects of<br/>
medicine, not only infectious diseases.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:43.88"/><clear/>So Fogarty is really
funding<br/>
other projects and trying<br/>
<time begin="00:45:47.39"/><clear/>to stimulate institutional
capacity<br/>
and long term collaborations.<br/>
<time begin="00:45:52.84"/><clear/>This year at Fogarty we asked
the<br/>
question, we completed a project<br/>
<time begin="00:45:57.46"/><clear/>that asked the question how
can the world<br/>
tackle it's most challenging problems?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:04.50"/><clear/>What would you do as a
minister of health<br/>
if you were given a million dollars?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:07.91"/><clear/>Where would you put your
money?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:09.89"/><clear/>Would you put it into
surgery?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:11.66"/><clear/>Would you put it into
treatment hospitals?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:13.66"/><clear/>Would you put it into
prevention programs?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:15.87"/><clear/>Where would you put your
money?<br/>
<time begin="00:46:17.86"/><clear/>Done by the World Bank, WHO,
population<br/>
reference bureau and centered at the Fogarty,<br/>
<time begin="00:46:24.48"/><clear/>this report came out and
behind<br/>
the report was this graph,<br/>
<time begin="00:46:29.74"/><clear/>which should be incredibly
encouraging to all of<br/>
you, it shows the aging of the U.S. population.<br/>
<time begin="00:46:36.20"/><clear/>If you're Japanese today, you
can<br/>
expect to live about 85 years.<br/>
<time begin="00:46:40.87"/><clear/>An American, somewhere
between 76 and<br/>
85, and in all the areas of the world,<br/>
<time begin="00:46:47.71"/><clear/>life expectancy has gotten
greater.<br/>
<time begin="00:46:50.40"/><clear/>Let me explain to you
Page 35
Glass.txt
what<br/>
this means in real terms.<br/>
<time begin="00:46:53.18"/><clear/>If you were born in China,
1960,<br/>
your life expectancy was 39 years.<br/>
<time begin="00:46:59.36"/><clear/>In the year 2000, your
life<br/>
expectancy, 71 years.<br/>
<time begin="00:47:04.70"/><clear/>Okay? So the Chinese have
gained eight years<br/>
<time begin="00:47:07.68"/><clear/>of life expectancy per
decade<br/>
for the last four decades, okay?<br/>
<time begin="00:47:13.11"/><clear/>The longest, largest
prolongation of<br/>
human life in the history of humanity.<br/>
<time begin="00:47:20.11"/><clear/>What does that mean for
disease<br/>
patterns and priorities?<br/>
<time begin="00:47:24.15"/><clear/>40 years ago, cancer wasn't a
problem in China,<br/>
<time begin="00:47:27.76"/><clear/>because many people
didn't<br/>
live long enough to get cancer.<br/>
<time begin="00:47:31.13"/><clear/>Today, if you're a smoker,
cancer will kill<br/>
an estimated third of the Chinese population<br/>
<time begin="00:47:38.45"/><clear/>by 2050, so as the population
ages, cancer,<br/>
heart disease, genetic diseases, obesity,<br/>
<time begin="00:47:47.60"/><clear/>traffic accidents will all
take a huge toll<br/>
on the population and the infectious diseases<br/>
<time begin="00:47:53.50"/><clear/>in that setting will become
less significant.<br/>
<time begin="00:47:57.65"/><clear/>The only place where
prolongation<br/>
of life has not occurred<br/>
<time begin="00:48:00.83"/><clear/>in the developing world is in
Africa.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:05.21"/><clear/>And it has gone down.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:06.86"/><clear/>And we were just in South
Africa,<br/>
life expectancy in 1975 was 53 years.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:14.78"/><clear/>By 1992 it had gone up to
62<br/>
Page 36
Glass.txt
years, 63 years, it's peak.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:21.24"/><clear/>And from 1993 to today, 2004,
it's dropped 18<br/>
years in the last 12 years, the biggest decline<br/>
<time begin="00:48:32.13"/><clear/>in life expectancy outside of
war.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:34.81"/><clear/>Okay? So clearly HIV has to
be<br/>
reckoned with as a major force<br/>
<time begin="00:48:40.17"/><clear/>in population dynamics and in
development.<br/>
<time begin="00:48:44.61"/><clear/>Well, this means that
when<br/>
we think about the best buys<br/>
<time begin="00:48:48.08"/><clear/>in this disease control
priority<br/>
project, some have an infectious basis<br/>
<time begin="00:48:52.53"/><clear/>like stopping the AIDS
pandemic<br/>
and tuberculosis, malaria,<br/>
<time begin="00:48:56.64"/><clear/>some that are very cheap are
combating<br/>
tobacco use, reducing injuries,<br/>
<time begin="00:49:02.68"/><clear/>reducing deaths from
cardiovascular disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:05.82"/><clear/>So we really need to think
about<br/>
new strategies for public health<br/>
<time begin="00:49:09.57"/><clear/>and global health as we think
forward.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:12.06"/><clear/>And the website for this
book, it's a 250 dollar<br/>
book, but you can get it for free by downloading it<br/>
<time begin="00:49:19.43"/><clear/>from the website and
reading<br/>
the chapters that you want.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:22.54"/><clear/>DCP2.org.<br/>
Lancet said in the October issue,<br/>
<time begin="00:49:30.18"/><clear/>health is now the most
important<br/>
foreign policy issue of our time.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:34.69"/><clear/>And I was struck by this,
because<br/>
here we're doing global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:38.06"/><clear/>Foreign policy, global
health, today?<br/>
<time begin="00:49:40.84"/><clear/>I mean, you think of
Page 37
Glass.txt
different<br/>
things for foreign policy.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:43.91"/><clear/>And then I began to think,
and actually,<br/>
<time begin="00:49:46.97"/><clear/>in this administration
there's<br/>
been the largest investment<br/>
<time begin="00:49:51.49"/><clear/>in major overseas programs
of<br/>
any administration ever.<br/>
<time begin="00:49:57.19"/><clear/>The PEPFAR program committed
15<br/>
billion dollars to treatment of AIDS.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:02.21"/><clear/>The President's Emergency
Program for AIDS<br/>
Research, AIDS relief, 15 billion dollars<br/>
<time begin="00:50:07.26"/><clear/>over five years to introduce
anti-retro<br/>
viral treatment throughout Africa.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:12.99"/><clear/>The president's malaria
initiative, 1.2 billion<br/>
dollars for malaria bed nets and treatment<br/>
<time begin="00:50:19.94"/><clear/>in Africa, efforts to
control<br/>
emerging infections in avian flu.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:24.61"/><clear/>So there have been tremendous
investments,<br/>
even by this government in global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:31.16"/><clear/>So where's this led us?<br/>
<time begin="00:50:32.89"/><clear/>We also have worked
intensively<br/>
with the Indians and the Chinese.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:37.50"/><clear/>These were countries, that
40<br/>
years ago, were impoverished.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:40.84"/><clear/>And today, tehy're major
economic middle income<br/>
countries with funds to invest in research.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:49.19"/><clear/>And the Indians and Chinese
are<br/>
both investing heavily in research.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:53.59"/><clear/>What they need are ideas and
direction.<br/>
<time begin="00:50:56.19"/><clear/>And so we have lots of
collaborations with both the<br/>
Indian government and with the Chinese to enrich<br/>
<time begin="00:51:02.54"/><clear/>and direct programs and
Page 38
Glass.txt
research priorities<br/>
in health, areas where we can all benefit.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:08.75"/><clear/>Here's a group of
Iranians.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:10.33"/><clear/>We had a delegation of
Iranians<br/>
who came to visit NIH,<br/>
<time begin="00:51:13.29"/><clear/>Arash Alaei was the leader of
the delegation.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:15.73"/><clear/>We discussed what are we
gonna do with research in Iran?<br/>
<time begin="00:51:23.31"/><clear/>We think about Iran in
different<br/>
terms, as you know.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:26.64"/><clear/>It turns out that they are
a<br/>
centerpiece for surveillance<br/>
<time begin="00:51:31.70"/><clear/>of extremely drug resistant
tuberculosis.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:35.08"/><clear/>It's the newest pandemic on
the<br/>
planet, tuberculosis strains<br/>
<time begin="00:51:39.96"/><clear/>that resist all antibiotics,
so if we had it<br/>
here we would have a hard time stopping its<br/>
<time begin="00:51:45.72"/><clear/>spread or getting rid of
it.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:47.08"/><clear/>No antibiotics work.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:49.07"/><clear/>In Iran they form a window on
the surrounding<br/>
countries, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan.<br/>
<time begin="00:51:58.58"/><clear/>They get refugees in and they
have<br/>
the diagnostic ability to make,<br/>
<time begin="00:52:02.55"/><clear/>to identify extremely drug
resistant<br/>
TB, make a diagnosis and think<br/>
<time begin="00:52:07.82"/><clear/>about clinical trials when
new antibiotics.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:10.74"/><clear/>If we wanna stop XTB in the
world, we<br/>
have to open up our eyes to all sentinels.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:17.17"/><clear/>And so whether this is in our
own<br/>
self interest to know where XTB is,<br/>
<time begin="00:52:22.01"/><clear/>or because of the
Page 39
Glass.txt
possibility<br/>
of research opportunities<br/>
<time begin="00:52:25.89"/><clear/>to test new antibiotics,<br/>
this would be a place to go.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:30.36"/><clear/>So even in places like Iran,
there're<br/>
opportunities for research.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:35.35"/><clear/>Well, Fogarty, I said, is not
a rounding<br/>
error of our budget, it's a , we have a budget<br/>
<time begin="00:52:40.05"/><clear/>but because it's small we
have to<br/>
work with all of these partners.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:43.96"/><clear/>And it's really through
partnerships with all<br/>
the money that's now going into global health<br/>
<time begin="00:52:49.08"/><clear/>that we can provide some<br/>
direction and some leadership.<br/>
<time begin="00:52:52.21"/><clear/>We have foundations like the
Gates<br/>
and the Wellcome, the private sector,<br/>
<time begin="00:52:56.85"/><clear/>multinationals working
overseas, government<br/>
agencies, universities, and the like,<br/>
<time begin="00:53:02.79"/><clear/>as well as our own institutes
on the NIH campus.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:06.12"/><clear/>So we are really trying
to<br/>
help, from our leadership<br/>
<time begin="00:53:09.20"/><clear/>and coordination for these
global efforts.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:14.36"/><clear/>Dr. Zerhouni, when he<br/>
recruited me, is an Algerian by birth.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:19.33"/><clear/>He speaks French and Arabic
and is<br/>
really committed to global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:23.10"/><clear/>And so I was delighted that
he has taken this<br/>
upon himself as a mission for the future.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:29.99"/><clear/>My own experience, will this
help?<br/>
<time begin="00:53:31.77"/><clear/>When I went to Bangladesh in
1980,<br/>
<time begin="00:53:35.83"/><clear/>under five mortality was
about 120 per 1000.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:39.50"/><clear/>One in six or seven children
died<br/>
Page 40
Glass.txt
before they reached the age of five.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:43.79"/><clear/>Family size was about six and
there were<br/>
over half a billion dollars invested<br/>
<time begin="00:53:50.23"/><clear/>in family planning programs
to no real avail.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:53.63"/><clear/>There was not having an
impact.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:56.26"/><clear/>Immunization coverage was
under five percent.<br/>
<time begin="00:53:59.27"/><clear/>Lots of diarrheal deaths
and<br/>
ARI deaths due to malnutrition.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:02.53"/><clear/>It was a terribly poor
developing country.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:07.25"/><clear/>I've been going back every
year or two<br/>
and working with Bangladeshis.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:12.07"/><clear/>In 2005, the pattern is quite
different.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:17.20"/><clear/>Under five mortality has
been<br/>
reduced almost in half in 25 years.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:21.89"/><clear/>Family size has gone from 6.3
to 2.6.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:27.15"/><clear/>how did that happen in 25
years in a<br/>
society where women have been kept indoors,<br/>
<time begin="00:54:32.93"/><clear/>they didn't go out after
menarche,<br/>
they stayed at home, they were uneducated.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:39.95"/><clear/>What happened? One thing that
happened was that women<br/>
entered into the garment industry at the age of 13<br/>
<time begin="00:54:46.33"/><clear/>to 21, they had a job, they
had a reason to be<br/>
with other women, to talk, they had healthcare<br/>
<time begin="00:54:53.29"/><clear/>on the job, they had a reason
not to get<br/>
married at 13 because they had a salary.<br/>
<time begin="00:54:58.96"/><clear/>They had a reason not to
marry<br/>
a man who didn't have a salary.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:02.49"/><clear/>They had a way to say no,
because<br/>
they were empowered by a little money.<br/>
Page 41
Glass.txt
<time begin="00:55:06.01"/><clear/>They had a reason to delay
pregnancy<br/>
until they really wanted to get married.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:10.64"/><clear/>So I've seen this major
change in<br/>
Bangladesh society in 25 years,<br/>
<time begin="00:55:15.88"/><clear/>just watching. It's been
nothing<br/>
less than a real miracle.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:19.35"/><clear/>Diarrheal deaths have come
down.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:20.86"/><clear/>Women only have two or three
children.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:23.59"/><clear/>And the causes of death are
changing.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:25.87"/><clear/>And some of these
chronic<br/>
diseases are becoming important.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:29.59"/><clear/>So now, at Fogarty, we're
involved in<br/>
our strategic plan and it really is based<br/>
<time begin="00:55:34.16"/><clear/>on my own experience, as
I<br/>
told you, from Bangladesh.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:37.38"/><clear/>First, that we really see
what is critically<br/>
important is to train the next generation<br/>
<time begin="00:55:41.92"/><clear/>of American and foreign
researchers.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:44.19"/><clear/>And this is what I call
early<br/>
childhood education.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:47.63"/><clear/>This is all of you in the
audience.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:49.75"/><clear/>Okay? There is a future in
global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:55:52.58"/><clear/>There's a lot to be done in
the<br/>
developing world, and I would encourage you<br/>
<time begin="00:55:56.42"/><clear/>to seek opportunities, which
are<br/>
becoming more numerous, and funding,<br/>
<time begin="00:56:00.81"/><clear/>which is skimpy, but which is
available.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:02.93"/><clear/>Because these are
Page 42
Glass.txt
opportunities that'll<br/>
change the way you think about the world.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:07.30"/><clear/>We wanna build sustainable
capacity<br/>
<time begin="00:56:09.51"/><clear/>for health science research
in overseas,<br/>
building centers of excellence.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:14.20"/><clear/>In your group here at
UGA<br/>
are working intensively,<br/>
<time begin="00:56:17.55"/><clear/>for instance in Kenya on
parasitic diseases.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:20.76"/><clear/>And those centers of
excellence<br/>
will be wonderful places<br/>
<time begin="00:56:23.42"/><clear/>to be mentored for research
careers.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:26.60"/><clear/>Implementation, we have lots
of tools in<br/>
science that we don't use, new vaccines,<br/>
<time begin="00:56:32.86"/><clear/>an understanding of the
hazards of smoking,<br/>
<time begin="00:56:35.28"/><clear/>how to control
hypertension,<br/>
how to treat Burkitt's lymphoma.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:40.03"/><clear/>All of these need to be
implemented<br/>
if we're going to have their impact.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:43.98"/><clear/>If they don't come out of our
tool<br/>
chest, they're not of great use.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:48.97"/><clear/>We're trying to provide
reentry support<br/>
for foreign scientists to go home<br/>
<time begin="00:56:52.96"/><clear/>and make an impact in their
home countries.<br/>
<time begin="00:56:56.02"/><clear/>Training, institutional
capacity, and providing<br/>
leadership and collaboration for the future.<br/>
<time begin="00:57:02.05"/><clear/>Well, Tony Fauci, head of
allergy and infectious<br/>
disease has always said why do we get involved<br/>
<time begin="00:57:08.48"/><clear/>in global health, why should
we be<br/>
interested? And he presents this slide<br/>
<time begin="00:57:13.20"/><clear/>which is very important of
Page 43
Glass.txt
all the emerging<br/>
infections that have arisen around the world<br/>
<time begin="00:57:18.40"/><clear/>which are a threat to the
United States, to our<br/>
homeland and I've scratched my head with this<br/>
<time begin="00:57:23.22"/><clear/>because this is clearly a
high priority.<br/>
<time begin="00:57:26.36"/><clear/>But beyond that when we think
about<br/>
genes, if you look around at all<br/>
<time begin="00:57:31.37"/><clear/>of your neighbors and
students here.<br/>
<time begin="00:57:33.46"/><clear/>400 years ago there were very
few Americans<br/>
in Georgia, okay, all of us brought our genes<br/>
<time begin="00:57:41.03"/><clear/>from Africa, from Asia, from
Europe<br/>
and it's those genetic diseases<br/>
<time begin="00:57:45.33"/><clear/>that we're now understanding
are the basis<br/>
for many of the illnesses in our society today.<br/>
<time begin="00:57:50.14"/><clear/>If we're going to understand
these genetic<br/>
diseases, it's really through global health.<br/>
<time begin="00:57:56.59"/><clear/>If you think of one in
particular,<br/>
Huntington's chorea, a terrible genetic disease,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:01.73"/><clear/>spread in family, a dominant
gene.<br/>
<time begin="00:58:04.48"/><clear/>Where were the genes
identified?<br/>
Venezuela, offspring of a single woman<br/>
<time begin="00:58:11.61"/><clear/>who had Huntington's
genes<br/>
who went to Venezuela in 1824<br/>
<time begin="00:58:16.37"/><clear/>and has had several thousand
offspring,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:20.71"/><clear/>infected and expressing the
disease or not<br/>
infected and it's by understanding the gene<br/>
<time begin="00:58:27.63"/><clear/>in this type of population
that with<br/>
the sequencing of the human genome,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:32.20"/><clear/>we've actually been able to
identify the gene,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:34.77"/><clear/>begin to think about what
Page 44
Glass.txt
we<br/>
could do about the disease.<br/>
<time begin="00:58:39.50"/><clear/>When a therapy becomes
developed<br/>
and available for testing,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:43.71"/><clear/>Maracaibo area of Venezuela
may be one<br/>
of the first places to have an impact<br/>
<time begin="00:58:50.08"/><clear/>and see if it works, they are
genetic diseases.<br/>
<time begin="00:58:53.38"/><clear/>How about environmental
diseases? You know<br/>
when I worked in Bangladesh on that tube well,<br/>
<time begin="00:58:58.17"/><clear/>remember the tube well? We
put in the tube well<br/>
to stop cholera. It turns out that a quarter<br/>
<time begin="00:59:03.73"/><clear/>of those tube wells have high
levels of arsenic<br/>
in that water, heavy metal, that's a poison.<br/>
<time begin="00:59:10.21"/><clear/>We never thought of this 25
years<br/>
ago, but with arsenic in the water,<br/>
<time begin="00:59:15.22"/><clear/>if we ever want to study a
problem of<br/>
chronic arsenic poisoning and figure out how<br/>
<time begin="00:59:20.17"/><clear/>to address it, to cure it, to
remove<br/>
arsenic, to remove the risk in the water.<br/>
<time begin="00:59:26.71"/><clear/>Bangladesh is where we would
have to go<br/>
and this is true for many other diseases.<br/>
<time begin="00:59:31.70"/><clear/>Remember the problems in
Bhopal with<br/>
Chernobyl with the radiation disaster.<br/>
<time begin="00:59:38.45"/><clear/>Where disasters occur, we can
actually learn a<br/>
lot about the diseases that will be important<br/>
<time begin="00:59:43.93"/><clear/>for those people as well as
for ourselves.<br/>
<time begin="00:59:48.80"/><clear/>And of course adult cancers
that I just shaded<br/>
in the Burkitt's area red and as one<br/>
<time begin="00:59:53.91"/><clear/>of many cancers which have
high incidence,<br/>
high incidence areas, where by going<br/>
<time begin="00:59:59.08"/><clear/>to these areas and studying
high risk cancers,<br/>
Page 45
Glass.txt
we can understand the etiology of the cancer,<br/>
<time begin="01:00:04.09"/><clear/>whether it's genetic or
environmental and<br/>
we can think about new modes of treatment.<br/>
<time begin="01:00:09.35"/><clear/>10 years ago the Institute of
Medicine came<br/>
out with a report on America's Vital Interest<br/>
<time begin="01:00:14.05"/><clear/>in Global Health. We're back
with the IOM<br/>
updating this report because much has happened<br/>
<time begin="01:00:20.36"/><clear/>in the visibility of
global<br/>
health issues in the world today.<br/>
<time begin="01:00:24.40"/><clear/>We think that global health
is now at a tipping<br/>
point, a time when major things will happen<br/>
<time begin="01:00:32.33"/><clear/>because so much has changed
in the society.<br/>
The introduction of the Gates funding<br/>
<time begin="01:00:36.75"/><clear/>and the other foundation
funding,<br/>
of the rise of India and China<br/>
<time begin="01:00:40.73"/><clear/>as contributors to global
health research,<br/>
<time begin="01:00:43.39"/><clear/>the visibility of global
health<br/>
problems, the idealism of youth,<br/>
<time begin="01:00:47.43"/><clear/>that we can really make
things happen in global<br/>
health as we've never seen before.<br/>
<time begin="01:00:53.17"/><clear/>So some themes for Fogarty,
we've<br/>
been working on our strategic plan,<br/>
<time begin="01:00:57.48"/><clear/>one is that science
anywhere<br/>
helps people everywhere.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:00.28"/><clear/>Do you like that one or
should<br/>
we try the other one,<br/>
<time begin="01:01:03.28"/><clear/>take science where the
problems<br/>
are or science for global health.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:08.88"/><clear/>We're having an award for
whoever comes up<br/>
with our best brandname and we're trying to get<br/>
<time begin="01:01:13.37"/><clear/>our strategic plan done by
June or July of<br/>
Page 46
Glass.txt
this year, so any ideas will be accepted<br/>
<time begin="01:01:20.33"/><clear/>for brands and we'd be happy
to see them.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:22.79"/><clear/>This is my, I've lived in
Georgia for 30 years<br/>
and this is my first visit to UGA. So I want<br/>
<time begin="01:01:28.71"/><clear/>to thank all of you crazy
people who invited<br/>
me here to speak to you, I'm really delighted<br/>
<time begin="01:01:32.92"/><clear/>to be here and I'm amazed at
the<br/>
quality of the research and the efforts<br/>
<time begin="01:01:37.25"/><clear/>that are going on in global
health.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:39.09"/><clear/>I wish you well and I would
encourage all of you<br/>
to go over to that department and see the dean<br/>
<time begin="01:01:44.28"/><clear/>and make sure you sign up for
some kind of a<br/>
project in global health and most important,<br/>
<time begin="01:01:49.54"/><clear/>go overseas to some project
or some place where<br/>
you can actually learn from your experiences.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:54.72"/><clear/>Thanks so much for letting me
speak with you.<br/>
<time begin="01:01:57.51"/><clear/>[ Applause ]<br/>
Page 47
Download