Part I Security Environment Surrounding Japan Section 5. Southeast Asia 1 General Situation Southeast Asia is encompassed by the Straits of Malacca, the South China Sea, and the waters around Indonesia and the Philippines, thus occupying a key strategic position for traffic by linking the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The countries of this region have worked to achieve political stability and sound economic progress while striving to deepen relations of interdependence with other countries both inside and outside the region. However, this region still has unstable factors, including the territorial dispute over the Spratly Islands, minority ethnic issues, separatist and independent movements, and Islamic extremist groups. Also, there are incidents such as piracy by which the safe passage of ships was menaced. In response to these situations, the countries in the region are trying to build sufficient military capabilities to deal with their security issues, including antiterrorism measures and vigilance against pirates and armed robberies on the water. Also, they have been modernizing their military forces, including the introduction of new warships to improve their naval forces as well as the introduction of new-type fighters94. (See Fig. I-2-5-1) Fig. I-2-5-1 Military Powers in Southeast Asia (approximate) 350,000 troops 80 vessels 20,000 tons 130 aircraft 410,000 troops 80 vessels 29,000 tons 230 aircraft Myanmar 190,000 troops 190 vessels 103,000 tons Laos Thailand Vietnam The Philippines Cambodia 200 aircraft Spratly Islands 80,000 troops 10 vessels 500 tons 30 aircraft 80,000 troops 90 vessels 35,000 tons 70 aircraft Malaysia Singapore Legends Brunei 30,000 troops 20 aircraft Indonesia 230,000 troops 190 vessels 238,000 tons 120 aircraft 50,000 troops 160 vessels 48,000 tons 170 aircraft Ground forces (100,000 troops) 70,000 troops 80 vessels 46,000 tons 30 aircraft 5,000 troops 10 vessels 6,000 tons Notes: 1. Source: Military Balance (2007) and others 2. Combat aircraft includes naval aircraft. Naval vessels (50,000 tons) Combat aircraft (100 aircraft) In the region, multinational cooperation has also been promoted in order to deal with cross-border problems as represented by terrorism and piracy. ASEAN countries have been continuously discussing terrorism issues at various occasions. At the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Ministerial Meeting in July 2006, the ministers adopted the ARF Statement on Cooperation in Fighting Cyber Attack and Terrorist Misuse of Cyber Space. In July 2004, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore started the Trilateral Coordinated Patrols for — 75 — vigilance against pirates and armed robberies in the Straits of Malacca and Singapore. For the patrols, the naval forces of the three countries patrol their own territories while exchanging information. Subsequently in September 2005, the countries launched their joint airborne patrols codenamed Eyes in the Sky. Since 2004, Malaysia, Singapore, the United Kingdom, Australia, and New Zealand have conducted combined joint exercises including maritime interdiction training every year within the framework of the Five Powers Defence Arrangements (FPDA). In addition, the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery against Ships in Asia (ReCAAP)95, which was proposed and promoted by Japan, entered into force in September 2006 and the ReCAAP Information Sharing Centre was established in November 2006 in Singapore based on the agreement. 2. Cooperation with the United States in Security Issues Many Southeast Asian countries have conducted joint exercises with other countries both inside and outside the region, including FPDA-based joint exercises. In addition, they have built cooperative relations in security with the United States. The United States regards Singapore as a Major Security Cooperation Partner. In July 2005, the two nations signed the Strategic Framework Agreement between the United States of America and the Republic of Singapore for a Closer Cooperation Partnership in Defense and Security, in order to strengthen the cooperation in areas such as counter-terrorism, counter-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, defense technology, joint military exercises and training, and policy dialogues. The Philippines and the United States resumed their large-scale joint military exercise Balikatan in 2000. In Balikatan 07 in February through March 2006 participated by about 1,200 Philippine military personnel and about 400 U.S. military personnel, the two nations conducted command post exercises as well as support activities for civilian reconstruction efforts in the areas such as the Sulu Archipelago. Thailand and the United States started to hold a large-scale bilateral military exercise Cobra Gold in 1982. This exercise has become multinational since 2000. In response to the military coup in Thailand in September 2006, the United States announced the suspension of military aid of about $24 million to Thailand. However, the military exercise Cobra Gold 07 for 2007 was jointly organized by the United States and Thailand as usual. In Cobra Gold 07 held in this May, the scope of the exercise includes a Field Training Exercise between the Royal Thai Armed Forces and the U.S. Armed Forces and a non-combat purpose exercise such as Command Post Exercise for PKO activities and Humanitarian/Civic Assistance around the exercise area96. In 2003, the United States granted Major Non-NATO Ally97 status to the Philippines and Thailand. For Indonesia, in response to Sumatra Earthquake and subsequent tsunami in the Indian Ocean, which occurred in December 2004, the United States promptly dispatched USS Abraham Lincoln Carter Strike Group to the devastated area, and played a key role in the relief activities conducted by many countries, in cooperation with the Indonesian Armed Forces. Also, in February 2005, the United States expressed its intention to resume the International Military Education and Training (IMET) program for Indonesia98, which had been suspended since 1992. Subsequently in November 2005, the United States decided to resume the exportation of weapons to Indonesia. For Vietnam, then Vietnamese Prime Minister Phan Van Khai visited the United States in June 2005 and agreed with U.S. President George W. Bush to develop the bilateral relations to a new phase. In addition, the leaders concluded an IMET agreement. The prime minister’s visit thus led to a great progress in military cooperation between the two countries. In June 2006, then U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld visited Vietnam and agreed with then Vietnamese Defense Minister Pham Van Tra to expand military exchanges between the two countries. — 76 — Part I Security Environment Surrounding Japan Since 2000, the Multinational Planning and Argumentation Team (MPAT) program organized by the U.S. Pacific Command, in which Southeast Asian nations, the United Nations and other international organizations participate, has been conducted. This program is designed to prepare for contingencies such as large-scale disasters where many countries would dispatch their troops for rescue operations. The purpose of the program is to promote personnel exchanges and discussions on standard operating procedure in advance among those who are expected to be dispatched. It is said that lessons learned from the MPAT program contributed to the relief activities following Sumatra Earthquake and subsequent tsunami in the Indian Ocean. 3. East Timor Situation In the East Timor, unfair treatment of soldiers from the western side had developed into a political and social conflict, which caused riot incidents in its capital Dili in April 2006. Subsequently, in May 2006, military policemen deserted the national army and attacked the national army headquarters to aggravate the security. In response to the request from the East Timor government, four countries, i.e. Australia, New Zealand, Portugal, and Malaysia, dispatched international security forces there at the end of May 2006. Based on the adoption of Security Council Resolution 1704, the United Nations Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste (UNMIT), having a mandate for such as support for presidential and national parliament elections, recovery and maintenance of public order, and support for the reconstruction of the security sector, was established in August 2006. The Mission is conducting activities in cooperation with international security forces99. In April 2007, the first presidential election since the independence of the country was held, and as a result of the subsequent runoff vote in May then Prime Minister Ramos Horta was elected President. 4. Spratly Islands The Spratly Islands are located in the central part of the South China Sea and comprise some 100 islets and reefs. Undersea resources such as oil and natural gas are thought to exist in areas around the islands, besides abundant fishery resources. The islands also occupy an important strategic position for maritime traffic. At present, China, Taiwan, and Vietnam are laying territorial claim to the whole of the Spratly Islands, and the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei are claiming part of them. In 1988, the Chinese and Vietnamese navies had armed clashes over rights to the Spratly Islands. Although the clashes temporarily raised tensions, there have been no major military clashes since then. Chinese actions, however, such as the enactment of the Territorial Waters Law in 1992, the building of structures on Mischief Reef in 1995, and the subsequent extension of work on the buildings on Mischief Reef have drawn strong opposition from the countries involved. Also, there are many differences in opinions among ASEAN member countries, as exemplified by the Philippines’ protest in 1999 against Malaysia building new structures on the reefs of the islands. China had previously insisted on bilateral negotiations on this issue, but recently, there have been signs of an impetus to find a peaceful solution to the dispute among all of the countries involved. The ARF Ministerial Conference each year has adopted a chairman’s statement to the effect that it welcomes efforts by all sides to find a peaceful solution to the problem, and ASEAN member countries drafted the Regional Code of Conduct — 77 — in the South China Sea that includes prohibition of any new occupation of uninhabited features in the sea100. On the other hand, at the ASEAN-China Summit Meeting held in November 2002, ASEAN member countries and China signed the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea101, which aims for a peaceful settlement of the territorial issues of the South China Sea through dialogue. Recently, China has aggressively proposed to the related countries that they give priority to the development of resources in the sea areas surrounding the Spratly Islands, apart from the territorial issue. For example, in September 2004, China agreed with the Philippines on the joint oil field survey in the sea areas, and in March 2005, China, the Philippines, and Vietnam reached an agreement on the launch of joint survey on oil and natural gas in the South China Sea. Furthermore, ASEAN and China agreed to establish a joint working group on resources development in the South China Sea and the agreement was approved by the ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting held in July 2005. The countries concerned, however, still have conflicting opinions regarding the territorial rights over the South China Sea including the Spratly Islands, and attention must be given to the actions of the countries involved and the developments on consultations to resolve the issue. — 78 —