Bord Bia, Shanghai Office Asian Markets Presentation 2015 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Irish Exports to Asia (2013) Vietnam , €32.5, 6% Philippines , Thailand , €15.4, 3% €10.9, 2% Indonesia , €15.0, 3% China , €224.5, 40% Market China Hong Kong Malaysia Malaysia , €34.9, 6% Vietnam South Korea , €27.1, 5% Singapore Singapore , €31.5, 5% Japan Japan , €25.3, 4% South Korea Philippines Indonesia Thailand Hong Kong , €145.6, 26% Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture € Value €224.5 €145.6 €34.9 €32.5 €31.5 €27.1 €25.3 €15.4 €15.0 €10.9 Asia Breakdown: GDP Per Capita (Purchasing Power) Population China Philippines Indonesia Vietnam Malaysia Singapore Hong Kong Thailand South Korea Taiwan Japan USA ireland 1,355,692,576 107,668,231 253,609,643 93,421,835 30,073,353 5,567,301 7,112,688 67,741,401 49,039,986 23,359,928 127,103,388 318,892,103 4,832,765 $ GDP 2013 13.39 trillion 454 billion 1.2 trillion 358 billion 525 billion 339 billion 381 billion 673 billion 1.6 trillion 926 billion 4.7 trillion 16.7 trillion 190 billion GDP Growth 2013 7.7 6.8 5.3 5.3 4.7 4.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 2 2 1.6 0.6 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Figures do not account for Income distribution: Key where China considered Asia Breakdown: GDP Per Capita (Purchasing Power) Singapore USA Hong Kong Ireland Taiwan Japan South Korea Malaysia Thailand China Indonesia Philippines Vietnam GDP Per Capita (PPP) in US Dollars 2011 2012 2013 11-13% Growth $60,400 $60,800 $62,400 3.31% $51,400 $52,400 $52,800 2.72% $51,300 $51,600 $52,700 2.73% $41,300 $41,300 $41,300 0.00% $38,500 $38,900 $39,600 2.86% $35,600 $36,300 $37,100 4.21% $31,900 $32,400 $33,200 4.08% $16,400 $17,000 $17,500 6.71% $9,100 $9,600 $9,900 8.79% $8,300 $9,100 $9,800 18.07% $4,800 $5,000 $5,200 8.33% $4,200 $4,400 $4,700 11.90% $3,700 $3,800 $4,000 8.11% Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Figures do not account for Income distribution: Key where China considered Irish Exports to Asia (Country, Value, YOY Growth) China Beverages Dairy Pigmeat Prep foods Seafood 244,517,757 3,372,214 163,667,240 34,408,674 22,447,208 12,314,894 45 17 53 -6 Hong Kong Beef Beef Offal Beverages Dairy Pigmeat Poultry Prep foods Seafood Sheep 145,672,865 2,111,071 20,676,587 766,772 97,778,723 4,748,402 948,528 9,922,240 5,816,299 2,900,141 36 558 219 -27 24 -29 -14 Malaysia Beverages Dairy Prep foods Seafood 34,988,403 98,260 28,954,725 5,840,144 95,244 53 -29 62 57 59 118 Vietnam Beverages Dairy Poultry Prep foods Seafood Vietnam , €32.5, 6% Malaysia , €34.9, 6% Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Prepared Foods: Note: FFMP / Food Prep 32,676,618 423,059 29,194,278 44,396 1,449,655 1,565,230 108 110 121 -88 560 China , €224.5, 40% Hong Kong , €145.6, 26% Irish Exports to Asia (2013) Singapore Beef Beef Offal Dairy Pigmeat Prep foods Seafood 31,566,611 96,751 60,793 18,120,445 1,279,170 2,673,392 285,413 18 195 52 88 -47 South Korea Beverages Dairy Pigmeat Prep foods Seafood 27,147,838 1,545,189 6,684,122 2,440,429 4,739,740 11,679,225 13 33 -2 18 149 35 Indonesia Dairy Prep foods Seafood 15,022,464 13,946,616 710,159 365,669 -17 -18 Thailand Beverages Dairy Pigmeat Poultry Prep foods Seafood Sheep 10,903,978 498,088 7,212,442 55,081 153,783 1,961,452 929,955 93,177 -18 -36 -20 157 Indonesia , €15.0 Japan 25,380,525 -30 South Beverages 4,234,386 -26 Korea , Dairy 5,525,790 -32 €27.1 Ed Horticulture 12,574 Pigmeat 9,893,159 -31 Singapore Prep foods 1,734,996 , €31.5 Japan , Seafood 3,979,620 -38 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture €25.3 Thailand , €10.9 -41 422 China: Driving Irish Exports in Asia Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China: Driving Irish Exports in Asia Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China: The Macro Environment: Future Growth Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Macro Environment: Demographics Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Macro Environment: Demographics Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Macro Environment: Urbanisation Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Cities: Retail Spend Tier 1 Cities 4 Cities, 13% of Total Retail Sales, 3% of the Population Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou Shenzhen Tier 2 Cities 34 Cities, 26% of Total Retail Sales, 9% of the Population Tier 3 Cities 249 Cities, 9% of the Population Tier 4 Cities 371 Cities , 18% of the Population Other % population classed as Rural Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture The Emerging Middle & Affluent Middle Class Population Breakdown High-net worth Upper Affluent Disposable Income More than €1 million in assets Urban household annual disposable income of >€32,000 but less 1m Lower Affluent Urban household annual disposable income of >€15,000>€32,000 Middle Class Urban household annual disposable income of €9,080 – €15,000 Emerging Middle Urban household annual Class disposable income of €6,050€9,080 Poor and aspirants Urban household annual disposable income of €6,050 Rural Growing the success Ruralofresidents Irish food & horticulture Percentage of Households 2011 2020 Percentage of Private Consumption 2011 2012 0.1% 0.3% 3% 7% 3% 8% 9% 15% 6% 12% 14% 20% 8% 14% 14% 15% 12% 13% 16% 11% 22% 12% 18% 6% 49% 41% 25% 25% China’s Macro Environment: Urbanisation By 2011, China’s retail sales in several key provinces have risen to a level that is comparable to that of an entire country Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Consumer Trends: Retail & Foodservice Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Foodservice: Driver of Western Foods Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Consumer Market: Product Adaption China is the sum of many different regions with different consumer preferences and tastes; a lesson for product adaption Stark contrasts in disposable income levels between tier 1-4 consumers. Premium Imported foods such as seafood, confectionary, alcohol currently limited to Tier 1 with big multinationals now moving into Tier 2-3. Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Chinese Consumer Trends: Evolving Food Safety Taste Indulgence Food Choice Country of Origin Convenience Natural Production Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Health Retail Environment in China: “Extremely Fragmented” Traditional Supermarkets Growing MNC Hypermarkets Emerging Premium Supermarkets Serve “mass” market low income groups A platform with mixed success in China (failure to localize Serving burgeoning upper middle class and high income + expat Serving mass market with local and imported food products A key market for premium products such as imported shellfish Stocking local product, low opportunity for premium imported Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Online Retailing in China Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Seafood Market A Growing Import Market Offering Strong Opportunities for Premium Shellfish in Tier 1 but increasingly China’s relatively untapped Tier 2 cities Shellfish Market in “early” phase of developed. It is in high demand but remains niche (income restricted) The Premium Market is Growing!!! Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Seafood Market: Channel Selection Premium Supermarkets (Tier 1 & 2 Cities) Online Retailing Work with an Importer Look Outside Beijing & Shanghai Sales of Income Elastic Premium Shellfish increased 34% (2008-13) to reach 5.9m tons McKinsey Forecast: 40% of urban consumers will be lifted into the upper middle class bracket by 2022. (€12,000-€26,000 salary) What might this mean for shellfish imports? Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s Alcoholic Beverages Market Irish Beverage Exports to China 2013 (CSO 2014) Beer Cider Liqueurs Non Alcoholic Beverages Vodka Waters Whiskey Whiskey, €333,996 Waters, €53,041, 1% Vodka, €2,940, 0% Beer, €1,030,156, 25% Non Alcoholic Beverages, €804,069, 20% Cider, €204,464, 5% Liqueurs, €1,703,169, 41% Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture China’s “Developing” Whiskey Market Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Growth of Spirits in China % annual growth Spirits Wine & Sparkling Wines 41.9 34.3 28.2 41.9 34.3 28.2 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture 12.6 -2 6.4 2 Chocolate & Confectionary 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Chocolate confectionery value (RMB bn) 12.2 15.5 18.7 22.1 25.2 Chocolate confectionery % annual growth 30.3 26.8 20.9 18.4 14.0 46.4 55.5 69.6 76.3 84.8 14.1 19.6 25.3 9.7 11.1 Sugar & gum confectionery value (RMBbn) Sugar & gum confectionery % annual growth Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Getting From A to B (Market Regulations) Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Export F&B Products to China Does your partner / Customer have an import licence Look at Food Additives! Many legal in the EU are banned in China Ex certain sugars in confectionary Look at Marketing Claims Organic Labelling “Cost Restrictive” Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Gaining Inertia: Initial Steps Can Be A Challenge Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Market Entry Strategy in China: Gaining “Inertia” Having a Presence on the ground! Understand the market Find the right partner Negotiate a win-win deal Execute! This does “not” happen overnight. It can take anywhere from 12-18 months to gain traction in the market! The most import step – Choosing the RIGHT PARTNER Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture 1) Having a Presence on the Ground! Fly-in and fly out almost always fails. Guanxi (networking / relationship building) is a fundamental element of doing business in China. Remember the working day is 7hrs ahead of Ireland in China your importers / distributors cannot address problems. Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Finding the Right Partner This isn't easy and this is not a short term process. This can average anywhere from a year to year and a half. This also requires a level of due diligence; getting accurate background information (credit checks) is real challenge in China. Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Finding the Right Partner Product Knowledge • Do you have experience in ____? • How are you going to support me (service proposal)? Management & Stability • Who are you currently working with? • What are you financial resources / credit rating? Compatibility & Location • What is the size of your business? • Where and what facilities do you have for you customers? Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Finding the Right Partner – The Contract 1) A clear definition of roles and responsibilities of your partner – no ambiguities 2) Set out all the terms and conditions of the contract 3) The product scope (target market, market strategy) 4) The geographical coverage 5) Payment conditions, % commission or amount 6) Reporting: monthly or quarterly 7) Brand management – control of your brand 8) Liabilities and termination of the contract Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Finding the Right Partner – Remember! Select your agent – don’t let them select you! Be on guard against agents proactively approaching you at a trade fair! Visit there offices! Check for licences – ensure they have the correct import licence Think about exclusivity – sometimes this works but lay out terms and conditions – timeframe of contract, volumes achieved, limit geographical coverage (very few cover all of China) Retain ownership of your trademark Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture