The Economic Importance of Food and Fiber A Spotlight on Candler County, Georgia Prepared for Candler County Cooperative Extension October, 2010 by: The Center for Agribusiness and Economic Development College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences The University of Georgia Total Population Candler County 14,216 12,561 10,680 9,577 2020 OPB Proj. 2015 OPB Proj. 2009 Estimate 2000 7,744 7,518 1990 1980 6,412 6,672 8,063 1970 1960 1950 9,103 8,991 1940 1930 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 Primary data sources: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses & estimate; GA Office of Planning & Budget projections. Population Change: 1930-2009 30 25 Percentage Change 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 1930-40 1940-50 1950-60 U.S. Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau 1960-70 1970-80 Georgia 1980-90 1990-00 2000-09 Candler Co. Population Change: 2000-2009 LOSS 0 – 9.1% 9.1 – 20.1% 20.1 – 40.0% 40.0 – 77.4% Candler Co. = 11.5% Avg. GA County = 12.0% GA = 20.1% US = 9.1% Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau (3/10) % of Land in Cropland & Timberland 14 - 64% 64 - 75% 75 - 83% 83 - 92% 92 - 99% Candler Co. = 74% GA Avg. Co. = 76% GA Total = 78% GA Metro = 68% GA Nonmetro = 83% Primary data sources: U.S. Census of Agriculture, 2007 USDA Forest Service, 2007 Graphic by Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA Components of 2009 Property Tax Gross Digest Candler County Ag-PreferentialEnviron-Conserv 40.7% Residential 29.3% Timber * 0.4% Mobile Home 0.9% Motor Vehicle 8.5% Public Utility 3.4% Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue Industrial 1.8% Commercial 14.9% 40% Assessment Value of Property Gross Digest = $293,080,563 Homestead & Property Exemptions = $52,858,949 Net M&O Digest = $240,221,614 Value of exempt property = $32,314,265 * Timber taxed at 100% based on previous year sales County Property Tax Digest Comparisons: 2009 % Industrial % Mo% % % UtilMotor bile Timity Veh Home ber CANDLER 29.3 40.7 14.9 1.8 3.4 8.5 0.9 0.4 BULLOCH 43.2 13.0 23.1 10.2 2.4 7.0 1.0 0.2 EVANS 41.1 21.8 13.6 8.3 2.6 10.9 1.1 0.7 TATTNALL 38.8 31.4 10.2 2.8 4.7 9.1 1.8 1.2 TOOMBS 36.9 15.7 24.0 7.7 4.0 10.2 1.2 0.4 EMANUEL 32.2 32.7 11.7 6.2 3.4 10.2 1.6 2.0 Avg. GA Co.* 42.2 24.7 12.9 6.7 4.8 7.2 0.9 0.7 County % Resi- % Agri- % Comdential cultural mercial Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue (* as of Oct. 2010 Avg. GA county figure preliminary until all county digests are verified. Revenue : Expenditure Ratios $ of Revenue for Each $ of Expenditure $1.92 $2.86 Farm/Forest $1.01 $1.18 $2.70 $3.19 $1.17 Commercial $1.93 $1.25 $3.45 Residential $0.00 Cherokee Jones Carroll Oconee US Avg $0.64 $0.87 $0.83 $0.90 $0.87 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 Dorfman, Jeffery, The Economics of Growth, Sprawl and Land Use Decisions (presentation), Dept. of Ag & Applied Economics, UGA, January 2004. $4.00 Agriculture in Georgia ¾ Georgia's 2008 Farm Gate Value was $11.9 billion. Adding the value of landscape services increased the total agricultural production value to $14 billion. ¾ Total food and fiber production and directly related businesses account for a $63 billion output impact on Georgia's $771 billion economy. Production Agriculture: 2008 Georgia Total Agricultural Production Value $11.9 Billion Landscape services 15.4% Poultry & Eggs 40.1% Fruits & Nuts 1.9% Forestry & Products 4.1% Other Income 4.4% Ornamental Horticulture 4.9% Vegetables 6.0% Livestock & Aqua-culture 9.0% Row & Forage Crops 14.3% $0 - $20 $20 - $45 $45 - $80 $80 - $200 $200 - $442 2008 Farm Gate Value by County in Millions of Dollars What We Know about Candler County ¾ 2008 Farm Gate Value in Candler Co. was $43.2 million. Adding $431 thousand of landscape services increased the total agricultural production value to $43.7 million. ¾ The highest value commodity group was row & forage crops, representing 50% of the total agricultural production value. Candler County 2008 Agricultural Production Value 2008 Agricultural Production Fruits-Nuts 4.1% Landscape services 0.8% Other 8.4% Orn Hort 5.1% PoultryEggs 3.6% 2008 Top Farm Gate Commodities Rest of commodities 31.8% Onions 16.3% Cotton 13.3% Vegetables 14.4% Forestry 5.1% LivestockAquaculture 8.6% Row-Forage crops 49.9% Wheat 2.6% Beef 2.6% Tobacco 3.8% Timber Pecans Greenhouse 3.9% 4.3% 4.4% Total AG Value = $43.7 million Pork 4.9% Peanuts 12.0% Trends in Candler County: Number of Farms & Average Farm Size Number of Farms, Candler County Average Farm Size Candler Co. Georgia 1200 1000 212 Acres 200 800 600 100 283 200 Source: 1945-2007 (quinquennial) Censuses of Agriculture 07 02 20 20 97 92 19 87 19 19 82 78 19 19 74 69 19 64 19 19 59 54 19 19 1945 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1978 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 19 45 0 49 0 19 400 261 300 1400 Trends in Candler County: Land in Farms, Harvested Cropland & Farms by Size 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Land in farms Percent of Farms by Size, 2007 40 Candler Co. Harvested cropland Georgia 30 73.9 29.0 19 45 19 50 19 54 19 59 19 64 19 69 19 74 19 78 19 82 19 87 19 92 19 97 20 02 20 07 Acres X 1,000 Land in Farms & Harvested Cropland Candler County 20 10 0 1-9 acres Source: 1945-2007 (quinquennial) Censuses of Agriculture 10-49 acres 50-179 acres 180-499 500-999 acres acres 1000+ acres How Do We Compare ? Georgia, Candler and Surrounding Counties 2008 Farm Gate Value $ Per Farm (thousands) $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 $ Per Acre $1,893 $1,139 $1,176 $1,016 $739 $372 $705 $249 $184 $218 ia CH g LER r O o D L L N Ge BU CA $283 S AN V E $436 L AL N TT TA $268 $101 S L UE MB N O A TO EM Sources: 2007 Census of Agriculture and 2008 Farm Gate Value Report What We Did County Economy Modeled ¾ The Center for Agribusiness and Economic Development performed an analysis of the county’s economy, focusing on the role of food and fiber. ¾ How much of the county’s total current economic output comes from food and fiber production and directly related processing? (A Snapshot of the Economy) ¾ What is the total (direct and indirect) Impact of food and fiber production and directly related industries? Candler County Economy Agriculture OUTPUT Output in millions $ Agriculture Percent 10.4 43.652 Construction 9.4 39.625 Manufacturing 57.471 13.7 Trans-Utilities-Info 97.931 23.3 Trade 9.3 39.222 Finance-Ins-RE 39.225 9.3 Services 64.964 15.5 Govt & non-NAICS 37.926 9.0 Total County Economic Output = $420 million Candler County Economy Agriculture + Directly Related Businesses OUTPUT Output in millions $ Percent 16.3 68.335 Agriculture + Direct 9.4 39.625 Construction 7.8 32.787 Manufacturing 23.3 97.931 Trans-Utilities-Info 9.3 39.222 Trade 9.3 39.225 Finance-Ins-Real Est 64.964 15.5 Services Govt & non-NAICS 37.926 9.0 Total County Economic Output = $420 million Candler County 2008 Employment Total Jobs = 4,426 AG + Directly Related 759 17.1% Construction 365 8.2% Manufacturing 165 3.7% Trans-Utilities-Info 375 8.5% Trade 583 13.2% State & Federal Government 391 8.8% Public Education 372 8.4% Other Services 706 16.0% Professional Services 590 13.3% Primary data source: Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA Finance-Ins- Real Est 120 2.7% An Economic Snapshot of Candler County ¾ How much of Candler County’s total economic output comes from food and fiber production? ¾ AG value alone of $43.7 million consisting of Farm Gate Value and landscape services comprises 10.4% of the county’s economy. ¾ AG plus directly related businesses (ex. animal slaughtering, logging, ag services) comprise 16.3% of the county’s economy. Food and Fiber Production and Directly Related Manufacturing as % of Total Output 0 - 10% 10 - 20% 20 - 30% 30 - 50% 50 – 77% Candler Co. 16.3% What is the Impact? ¾What is the total (direct and indirect) impact of food and fiber production and directly related industries? ¾This scenario illustrates how other industries are affected by the presence of food and fiber in the county. The indirect impacts measure output created due to food and fiber production and processing in the county. What Impact Means: A Brief Explanation ¾ The impact numbers capture the ripple effects that food and fiber create in the county’s economy. Many other sectors rely in part on the existence of food and fiber for sales. Labor Seed Utilities Candler County Agriculture IMPACT Direct millions $ Indirect millions $ 43.652 0 Construction 0 .137 Manufacturing 0 .085 Trans-Utilities-Info 0 1.667 Trade 0 1.195 Finance-Ins-Real Est 0 2.363 Services 0 1.119 Govt & non-NAICS 0 .430 Agriculture 43.652 6.995 Total Total Impact of Production AG = $50.6 million 12.1% of total economy Candler County Production Agriculture + Directly Related Businesses IMPACT Agriculture + Direct Construction Manufacturing Trans-Utilities-Info Trade Finance-Ins-Real Est Services Govt & non-NAICS Total Direct millions $ Indirect millions $ 68.335 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 68.335 0 .189 .162 2.533 1.973 3.182 1.837 .525 10.402 Total Impact of AG + Directly Related = $78.7 million 18.8% of total economy Candler County Production Agriculture + Directly Related Industries Employment IMPACT Direct Indirect 759 0 Construction 0 3 Manufacturing 0 1 Trans-Utilities-Info 0 9 Trade 0 29 Finance-Ins-Real Est 0 11 Services 0 37 Agriculture + Direct 0 2 Government Total Impact of AG + Directly Related Employment = 852 Jobs 19.3% of total employment What These Numbers Mean: A Brief Explanation ¾ Direct impact is $68.3 million. This includes food and fiber production, processing and directly related manufacturing. ¾ Indirect impact from the Trade sector is $2 million. This captures the effects of farmers (direct source) buying supplies (seed, fertilizer, work boots) from local stores. These stores must increase their output to meet farmer demand. What These Numbers Mean: A Brief Explanation (continued) ¾ As local stores increase their output, they may demand more stock from local wholesalers (also in the Trade sector). Local wholesalers demand more from local manufacturers, thus increasing activity in the Manufacturing sector. ¾ Local stores also hire employees to assist farmers. They take home wages and buy groceries at the local store which increases demand there. Candler County Food and Fiber Impact Conclusions ¾ The total impact of food and fiber production, processing and direct manufacturing is $78.7 million. ¾ The total county output is $420 million. ¾ Thus, food and fiber (directly and indirectly) account for 18.8% of the total county output. Food and Fiber Production and Directly Related Manufacturing IMPACT as % of Total Output 0 - 7% 7 - 16% 16 - 29% 29 - 46% 46 - 76% Candler Co. 18.8% Contact Information Prepared by: Sue Boatright and Sharon Kane Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development “Adding Value to Georgia's Agricultural Economy Through Research and Extension“ To learn more about your county, go to: http://www.caed.uga.edu/ ...click on “Georgia Statistics System” Special County Area Report #10-25A October, 2010