AN ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS OF Michael S. Webster for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Zoology presented on September 11,2001. Title: Factors Affecting the Dynamics and Regulation of Coral-reef Fish Populations Abstract approved: Redacted for Privacy MarK A. 1-lixon Ecologists have long questioned why fluctuating populations tend to persist rather than go extinct. Populations that persist indefinitely are regulated by mechanisms that cause demographic density dependence, which works to bound fluctuation above zero. In a series of studies, I have sought to determine the processes and mechanisms that regulate local populations of coral-reef fish. In the Exunia Keys, Bahamas, fairy basslets (Gramma loreto) live in aggregations on the undersides of coral-reef ledges. These aggregations often constitute local populations because movement between aggregations is rare. The largest individuals occupy prime feeding positions near the front of ledges and force smaller individuals remain near the back where they have lower feeding rates. Based on these initial observations, I designed two experimental studies of the demographic consequences of variation in basslet density. In the first study, I manipulated the density of newly-settled fish to explore the effects of high recruitment on population size. Populations with experimentally elevated recruitment converged in density with unmanipulated populations, primarily due to density-dependent mortality. I found no evidence that density dependence was caused by intraspecific competition; rather it appeared to be due to a short-term behavioral response by predators (aggregative andlor type 3 functional response). In a second study, I manipulated the densities of adults among populations with a standard average density of newly-settled fish. Two measures indicated that the intensity of competition increased at higher densities of adults, which likely made small fish more susceptible to predation, thereby causing density-dependent mortality. Long-term observations indicated that basslet populations were regulated at temporal scales exceeding two generations. At Lizard Island on the Great Barrier Reef, I also examined how patterns of recruitment of coral-reef fishes were modified across a range of natural recruit densities in the presence and absence of resident predators. Predators decreased recruitment and increased mortality for all species, but these effects varied considerably among species. The results of each of these studies stress the importance of both competitive and predatory mechanisms in modiIying patterns of abundance established at the time of larval settlement, as well as regulating local population size. ght by Michael S. Webster ;eptember 11, 2001 11 Rights Reserved Factors Affecting the Dynamics and Regulation of Coral-Reef Fish Populations by Michael S. Webster A THESIS submitted to Oregon State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Presented September 11, 2001 Commencement June 2002 Doctor of Philosophy thesis of Michael S. Webster presented on September 11, 2001 APPROVED: Redacted for Privacy Redacted for Privacy Redacted for Privacy Dean of I understand that my thesis will become part of the permanent collection of Oregon State University libraries. My signature below authorizes release of my thesis to any reader on request. Redacted for Privacy Michael S. Webster, Author Acknowledgments My thesis benefited most significantly from three people: Mark Hixon, Glenn Almany and Tess Freidenburg. As my advisor, Mark played a central role in my development as a scientist from conducting fieldwork, to writing papers, to giving talks. I thank him for his immense patience listening to my research ideas, and wading through my rough drafts, and for his endless good suggestions. With any luck some of his skill has rubbed off in the last five years. Glenn has been my primary scientific peer from the day I started graduate school. I acknowledge him for the hours of help underwater, in the boat, revising papers and discussing ideas, but most of all I thank him for being a true friend. I look forward to being colleagues and friends for the rest of our lives. Thank you Glenn, may you never again run face first into fire coral while chasing a basslet. I met Tess when I first came to graduate school. Since then we've been nearly inseparable (barring field seasons). I thank her for help and support at so many different levels that I don't know where to start. Perhaps it will suffice to thank her for being my dearest friend and companion. The graduate students of OSU, and especially those on the fifth floor, have been a fantastic source of advice and friendship. Karen Overholtzer and Barb Byrne have been especially important as colleagues and friends. I thank Barb for always being sunshine in the Bahamas, and Karen for the unique experience of building Overkill. My graduate committee has played an active role in the preparation of my thesis. I am grateful to all of you. In particular, I thank Bruce Menge for teaching me so much about science and for being a friend, Fred Ramsey for helping me muddle through a stats minor and for answering my endless stats questions, Sue Sogard for constant good advice on my research, Paul Risser for always taking the time to read my papers and discuss my progress, and Alix Gitelman for joining my committee one week before my final defense. I thank G. Almany, T. Anderson, B. Byrne, T. Freidenburg, E. Kast, J. Lubchenco, K. Overholtzer and my graduate committee for constructive reviews on manuscripts. I am very grateful to A. Kaltenberg, who was instrumental in gathering the data for Chapter 2. Many thanks to the staff of the Caribbean Marine Research Center, Lizard Island Research Station and the OSU Zoology Department. Thanks also to all who helped me with fieldwork. Financial support was provided by an NSF Pre-Doctoral Fellowship, Zorf grants to the author, and NSF grants (OCE-96-17483 and OCE-00-93976) and NURPNOAA grants (CMRC-95-3042 and 97-3 109) to M. Hixon. Contribution of Authors Dr. Mark A. Hixon was directly involved in the data collection, analysis and writing of Chapter 2 and is therefore included as an author. I Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction. 1 Chapter 2: Mechanisms and Individual Consequences of Intraspecific Competition in a Coral-reef Fish .............................................................................................................. 6 Abstract............................................................................................................. 6 Introduction...................................................................................................... 7 Methods .......................................................................................................... 10 Fish Size and Feeding Position................................................................... 10 Removal Experiment .................................................................................. 11 Results............................................................................................................ 16 Fish Size and Feeding Position................................................................... 16 Removal Experiment .................................................................................. 16 Discussion....................................................................................................... 24 Chapter 3: Temporal Density Dependence and Population Regulation in a Marine Fish ............................................................................................................................. 31 MainText ....................................................................................................... 31 Methods .......................................................................................................... 37 DensityExperiment .................................................................................... 37 VideoMonitoring ....................................................................................... 38 GenerationTime ......................................................................................... 39 TimeSeries ................................................................................................. 40 Chapter 4: Regulatory Effects of Intraspecific Competition in a Coral-reef Fish ...... 41 Abstract ........................................................................................................... 41 Introduction.................................................................................................... 42 Methods ............................................................................................................ 44 Table of Contents, continued StudySpecies .............................................................................................. 44 Monitoring .................................................................................................. 45 1999 Experiment ........................................................................................ 45 2000 Experiment ........................................................................................ 47 Video.......................................................................................................... 50 Results............................................................................................................ 50 Monitoring .................................................................................................. 50 1999 Experiment ........................................................................................ 51 2000 Experiment ........................................................................................ 51 Video.......................................................................................................... 59 Discussion ....................................................................................................... 59 Chapter 5: Role of Rredators in the Early Post-settlement Demography of Coral-reef Fishes .......................................................................................................................... 66 Abstract ........................................................................................................... 66 Introduction.................................................................................................... 67 Methods .......................................................................................................... 70 StudySystem .............................................................................................. 70 ExperimentalDesign .................................................................................. 71 DataAnalysis .............................................................................................. 74 Results............................................................................................................ 76 Recruitment ................................................................................................ Mortality ..................................................................................................... Abundance .................................................................................................. Recruitmentlabundance Relationships ....................................................... Recruitment/mortality Relationships .......................................................... 76 80 82 83 86 Discussion....................................................................................................... 86 Chapter 6: General Conclusions ................................................................................. 92 LiteratureCited .......................................................................................................... 97 List of Figures Figure Page 2.1 Feeding positions of Gramma loreto on a typical reef 12 2.2 The relative feeding position ( ± SE) of each size class of Gramma loreto. 17 Aggression between size classes of Gramma loreto on control ledges. 19 The average relative feeding position and relative position when chased for each size class of Gramma loreto on control ledges (± SE, N=7 ledges each). 20 The frequency of aggressive interactions directed toward smaller size classes of Gramma loreto on control and removal ledges ( + SE, N=7 ledges each). 21 The relative feeding position (± SE, N=7 ledges each) of smaller size classes of Gramma loreto before and after removal of larger fish on (a) removal ledges versus (b) unmanipulated control ledges. 22 The average change in feeding position and difference in feeding rate for 3-cm Gramma loreto, after experimental removals of larger fish, relative to unmanipulated controls. 25 3.1 Summary of demographic rates and predator behavior. 34 3.2 Gramma density (± SE) in density-increase and unmanipulated control populations (n = 8 each) over three years. 36 The density of adult basslets (fish >4cm) versus the size of ledges in June 1998, 1999, and 2000. 48 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 4.1 ledge. List of figures, continued Figure 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 Page Net per capita mortality of transplanted, recentlyrecruited basslets versus the density (A) and population size (B) of resident fish from a pilot study in 1999. 52 The change in density (± SE) of transplanted recruits in each treatment during the 2000 experiment. 53 Final density (A) and net per capita mortality (B) of new recruits as a function of adult density. 55 The average per capita rate of aggressive chases (+SE) involving transplanted recruits in each treatment. 56 The relative frequency of feeding positions of transplanted recruits in each adult treatment. 57 The size frequency of N transplanted recruits from each treatment at the end of the 2000 experiment. 58 The average densities of new fish (+SE) that recruited to each of the three experimental treatments and to five additional ledges from which all basslets were removed. The relative frequency (+SE) of spatial positions of (A) all basslet predators, (B) trumeptfish, Aulostomus maculatus, and the groupers, (C) Cephalopholisfulva, and (D) C. cruentata, on unmanipulated ledges. Map of Lizard Island, Great Barrier Reef, Australia showing the location and spatial arrangement of the experimental array of transplanted Porites cylindrica reefs. The total number of new recruits observed on 18 experimental reefs over a 50-day period. 60 61 71 79 List of Figures, continued Figure 5.3 5.4 6.1 Page The effect of predators on a total recruitment, b mortality, and c final abundance (mean ± SE) or all species and families over 50 days. 82 The relationship between recruitment and both final abundance and net per capita mortality for a,b N. cyanomos, c,d P. amboinensis, and e,f all pomacentrids using least squares regression. 85 Qualitative summary of density-dependent factors affecting population dynamics of basslets. 94 List of Tables Table 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 Page Total number of recruits observed during the 50-day sampling period of each species from three families and the number of reefs on which they were observed (N = 18 reefs total). 78 Summary statistics for the effect of predators on recruitment, mortality, and abundance of each species and family. 81 Summary statistics for slopes from multiple linear regressions of final abundance as a function of the number of recruits. 84 Summary statistics for slopes from multiple linear regressions of per capita mortality as a function of the number of recruits. 86 Dedication I dedicate my thesis to E.J. Kast. She taught me to love nature and she always encouraged me to follow my dreams. Factors Affecting the Dynamics and Regulation of Coral-reef Fish Populations Chapter 1: Introduction For more than a century, ecologists and fisheries biologists have tried to understand the factors that determine the abundance of marine fishes (Smith, 1994). This issue is particularly pertinent today since the majority of the world's fisheries are already either fully or over exploited (Botsford et al., 1997). In the studies below, my goal was to better understand the mechanisms driving the population dynamics of marine fishes by studying fishes on coral reefs, which are both easy to observe directly and manipulate. Coral reef fishes can serve as model systems for understanding demersal marine fishes in general because they are likely subject to similar factors that determine abundance. The study of the ecology of coral-reef fishes began in earnest in the 1960's with the beginnings of widespread use of SCUBA. In the subsequent four decades, marine ecologists have participated in a lively debate about the relative importance of processes that drive population and community dynamics of coral-reef fishes. Some of the earliest studies of coral-reef fishes argued that competition was the predominant factor affecting the abundance and distribution of fishes (Smith and Tyler, 1972, Roughgarden, 1974, Ehrlich, 1975, Smith, 1978), which was consistent with the prevailing view among ecologists that populations and communities were structured 2 by competition. Proponents of this model argued that the rate of arrival of new individuals was relatively unimportant because post-settlement competition modified settlement patterns. In the 1970's this view was challenged by the lottery model, which contended that, while reef fish communities were still subject to intense competition, community structure changed via the chance process of new recruits locating vacant habitat patches (Sale, 1974, 1977, 1 978b). In this model, prior residency, not competitive dominance, was the primary determinant of population and community dynamics. While the lottery model did fit some data sets (e.g. Sale and Dybdahl, 1975, 1978, Sale, 1 978a, 1979), its assumption that reef-fish communities were saturated was questioned in the 1980's by researchers who argued that population sizes were limited by chronically low levels of larval settlement (Williams, 1980, Doherty, 1981). Subsequently, a flurry of studies documented apparent cases of such recruitment limitation (e.g. Doherty, 1982, 1983, Victor, 1983, 1986, Doherty and Fowler, 1994ab, review by Doherty and Williams, 1988). However, many of these studies suffered from methodological limitations (Caley et al., 1996, Can, 1998, Forrester, 1998, Hixon, 1998). Furthermore, a series of well-executed studies did not support the central tenet of the recruitment limitation model that populations were undersaturated (e.g. Jones, 1987a, 1990, Forrester, 1990). In light of this new evidence, researchers more thoroughly explored other potentially important factors, most notably predation (review by Hixon, 1991). Most recently, reef-fish ecologists have largely shifted their focus away from single-process explanations of population and community dynamics in favor of a 3 pluralistic view that recognizes the importance of multiple processes (e.g. Hixon, 1991, Jones, 1991, Caley et al., 1996, Schmitt and Holbrook, 1999b). This change has been fueled in part by the observation that factors that are important in one place or time seem relatively unimportant in another even for the same species. Several examples illustrate the potential for the relative importance of a given factor to vary in space including studies of post-settlement mortality of the damselfish Pomacentrus moluccensis (Doherty and Fowler, 1 994a,b vs. Beukers and Jones, 1997) and the wrasse Thalassoma bfasciatum (Victor, 1986 vs. Hunt von Herbing and Hunte, 1991, Tupper and Hunte, 1994, Caselle, 1999). Variability in time is best exemplified by researchers that repeat the same or similar studies over subsequent field seasons. For example, Booth (1995) found that group size and probability of survival to adulthood were positively related one year and showed no relationship another year for the damselfish Dascyllus albisella. The lesson learned from observations such as these is that a single simple model is insufficient to explain population and community dynamics on coral reefs. In the studies below, I have combined methods to explore the roles of competition, recruitment and predation in an attempt to more thoroughly understand the population dynamics of coral-reef fish. By maintaining a multifactorial perspective, I have found that populations are driven by a suite of factors that vary in importance depending on a host of factors including density, size-structure, recruitment rate, and the presence of predators. 4 In Chapter 2, I described the social organization of populations of fairy basslets (Gramma loreto) in the Bahamas. Basslets live on the undersides of caves and coralreef ledges where they feed on zooplankton while swimming upside-down. Within basslet populations, fish are arranged according to size, with the largest individuals towards the front and progressively smaller individuals towards the back. Larger fish maintain this size segregation by forcing smaller fish to the back, which reduces the feeding rate of smaller fish. In Chapter 3, I examined how the rate of recruitment of new basslets affected population dynamics. By experimentally manipulating recruit density, I determined that higher recruitment did not lead to an increase in the subsequent population density because density-dependent mortality dampened variability among populations. Density-dependent mortality was not correlated with increases in the intensity of within-species competition. Using automated time-lapse video, I examined whether predators were responsible for density dependence by undergoing either an aggregative or type 3 functional response. I found the predators were more common in populations with higher densities of recruits and that when present, these predators spent a greater proportion of time hunting in these populations. These results implicated predators as the cause of density dependence, which contributed to population regulation. I observed further evidence for population regulation in a longterm (two generation) time series of basslet population dynamics, which showed regular annual and inter-annual cycles of abundance. 5 I explored the demographic consequences of variation in adult density in Chapter 4. I found that new recruits suffered from intraspecific competition with adults. Competition likely contributed to higher mortality rates by making new recruits more susceptible to predators. Hence intraspecific competition also led to density-dependent mortality, which may have helped regulate these populations. In Chapter 5, I examined the effects of recruit density and predator presence on the early post-settlement demography of coral-reef fishes on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Predators both decreased recruitment and increased post-recruitment mortality for every species that I studied. However, the magnitude of these effects varied widely among species. The most common species in this study suffered from density-dependent mortality while another abundant species did not. The common thread linking each of these studies is that interactions both within and among species drive and regulate population and community dynamics of fishes on coral reefs. Predators played a key role in post-settlement modification of local abundance in both the Bahamas and Australia, although the mechanisms by which mortality rates changed differed among studies and species. These studies contribute to a growing awareness of the multifactorial nature of population and conmiunity dynamics of marine fishes. Chapter 2: Mechanisms and Individual Consequences of Intraspecific Competition in a Coral-reef Fish Abstract Species of coral-reef fish that exhibit dominance hierarchies provide opportunities for experimental studies of intraspecific competition within discrete social groups. The fairy basslet, Gramma loreto (Grarnmatidae), lives in dominance hierarchies that occupy the undersides of open reef ledges in the Caribbean region. Each hierarchy is maintained by aggression between size classes such that larger fish occupy prime plankton-feeding positions closer to the outer edge of the ledge. We conducted a removal experiment in the central Bahamas to determine the role of larger fish in maintaining the hierarchy and the resultant consequences to smaller fish. When larger fish were removed, smaller individuals quickly occupied these prime feeding positions and were the recipients of less aggression compared to controls. As a result, the average feeding rates of smaller fish were more than 60% higher in aggregations in which larger fish had been removed. Differences in feeding rates were the result of two types of competitive effects: between-position and within-position. The betweenposition effect was the result of differential feeding rates associated with different feeding positions within an aggregation. The within-position effect was due to interactions within a given feeding position. Although both effects strongly influenced basslet feeding rate, the magnitude of the within-position effect was roughly three times that of the between position effect. Together, these two components of competition may affect demographic rates and ultimately contribute to local population regulation. Introduction The role of competition for limiting resources in the ecology of coral-reef fishes is controversial, and the prevailing view on the importance of competition has shifted historically (reviews by Ebeling and Hixon, 1991, Jones, 1991). Before the mid-i 970s most reef fish ecologists accepted the then dominant view of terrestrial ecologists that competition was ubiquitous and substantial (e.g., Smith and Tyler, 1972). By the mid-i 980s, this conventional wisdom was overturned and the paradigm became that competition was unimportant. This view, the recruitment limitation hypothesis, asserted that larval supply is so low that populations rarely reach levels where resources become limiting (e.g., Doherty, 1981, Doherty and Williams, 1988). Reviewing the empirical evidence, Jones (1991) noted that, even for territorial or obviously aggressive reef fishes, the role of interference competition in limiting adult numbers or structuring populations was uncertain. He concluded that the major effect of competition in general is to limit individual growth rates (Jones 199 i). In the past decade, evidence for ecological consequences of competition in reef fishes has increased, but has mostly involved territorial species. For example, Robertson (1996) demonstrated experimentally that interspecific competition affects 8 the abundance and habitat use of territorial Caribbean damselfishes. Unlike competition between species, intraspecific competition may be most pronounced when individuals form social groups. Although membership in an aggregation may enhance feeding success and predator avoidance, intraspecific competition between group members for food or other resources may partially offset these benefits (Betram, 1978, Rubenstein, 1978, Mange!, 1990, Pitcher, 1993). Intraspecific competition may be manifest as size or dominance hierarchies, whereby the largest or most aggressive individuals utilize a greater proportion of a resource than smaller or subordinate individuals. Among reef fishes, dominance hierarchies have been documented primarily in several species of damselfish (e.g. Coates, 1980, Doherty, 1982, Shulman, 1985, Forrester, 1991, Booth, 1995). Competitive hierarchies can occur when access to food resources is determined by relative position within a group. Among planktivorous coral reef fishes, individuals may maintain relatively fixed positions in currents and feed on passing plankton (Hobson, 1978, Coates, 1980, Booth, 1991, Forrester, 1991, Hobson, 1991). This pattern is often explained in terms of predator avoidance, where feeding position is based on an individual's ability to reach shelter quickly as a predator approaches. Larger fish swim faster, so they can feed farther from the reef with no increase in the time required to reach shelter relative to smaller, slower fish that remain closer to the reef (Hobson, 1978, 1991). The fairy basslet (Gramma loreto, family Granimatidae) is a common coral reef fish in the Caribbean and Bahamas (Bohlke, 1993). Basslets range in size from about 1.0 cm standard length (SL) at settlement to large adults about 7 cm SL. G. loreto are typically found oriented upside-down on the ceilings of open caves and ledges, where they feed on passing zooplankton (Randall, 1967, Luckhurst, 1977, Bohike, 1993). This species occurs in size-structured aggregations, with the largest individuals near the front of an aggregation and progressively smaller individuals toward the back (Freeman, 1983). Within aggregations, the largest individuals chase smaller individuals, and each fish tends to remain within a restricted area (Freeman, 1983). The goal of this study was to examine the competitive mechanisms that maintain size hierarchies, and the consequences of these hierarchies for small fish within Gramma loreto aggregations. Specifically, we examined the size structure of aggregations and the role of aggressive interactions in maintaining a size-based dominance hierarchy. We hypothesized that feeding position was related to feeding rate, whereby individuals closer to the front of an aggregation have first access to planktonic food, depleting this resource and leading to depressed feeding rates for individuals toward the back of an aggregation. To test this hypothesis, we experimentally measured how feeding behavior of smaller individuals within an aggregation was affected by the removal of larger individuals. We measured two types of competitive effects: between-position and within-position. The between-position effect is manifest as differential feeding rates associated with different feeding positions within an aggregation. The within-position effect is due to interactions within a given feeding position. We assessed the relative magnitude of these two 10 effects of competition and then determined the net costs to smaller individuals in terms of feeding rate. Methods This study was conducted during August and September 1994 in an area of continuous coral reef (6-10 m deep) in the Exuma Keys, Bahamas, near the Caribbean Marine Research Station on Lee Stocking Island. Fourteen ledges (rock overhangs) were chosen based on their relatively large size, their isolation from other ledges, and the presence of Gramma loreto aggregations. Ledges were 1 to 2 m deep, ledge surface area ranged from 1.4 to 10.4 m2 and G. loreto aggregation size ranged from 17 to 71 individuals. Aggregation size was strongly related to ledge area (Webster, unpublished data). Because these ledges were not identical in terms of their area, size distributions or densities of fish, any patterns that were consistent across ledges were likely to be fairly general for a wide range of ledges. Fish Size and Feeding Position On each ledge, we visually assigned each fish to a 1-cm SL size class for a total of 7 size classes (1.0-1.9 cm, 2.0-2.9 cm, etc.). For our first survey, we used 0.5 cm size classes (1.0-1.4 cm, 1.5-1.9 cm, etc.). Periodic tests of the accuracy of visual censuses were conducted by estimating the size and then capturing individual fish. In 11 every case, these fish could be estimated accurately within 0.5 cm of their actual length. On each ledge, the feeding position of each Gramma loreto was measured on three consecutive days. Absolute feeding position was measured as the distance between a fish and the front of a ledge. Absolute position thus ranged from 0, at the front of the ledge, to 0.8-1.7 m (the range observed) at the back of the ledge (Fig. 2.1). We standardized absolute position by calculating relative feeding position as 1 - (absolute position / ledge depth). This permitted us to make comparisons among ledges that were not influenced by differences in ledge size or shape. For example, a fish at the back of a small ledge could have had the same absolute position as a fish near the middle of a large ledge. The relative positions of these two fish better reflect their positions with respect to the dominance hierarchy at their home ledge. Removal Experiment To examine the effects of larger Gramma loreto on smaller individuals, we conducted a controlled removal of larger fish. Each ledge was randomly assigned to one of two treatments: unmanipulated control (N=7 ledges) and removal (N=7 ledges). On removal ledges, all fairy basslets 4-cm standard length or larger were removed by divers using hand nets and the anaesthetic quinaldine. To maintain statistical 12 \ \ Front Ledge Figure 2.1. Feeding positions of Gramma loreto on a typical reef ledge. Relative position = 1 - (absolute position / ledge depth). Therefore, relative position equals 1 at the front of a ledge and 0 at the back. independence, ledges were treated as experimental units; therefore, throughout the analysis we combined multiple measurements taken from a given ledge into a single mean response for that ledge. The statistical comparisons throughout the analysis were directional (except when comparing regression slopes between treatments), thus we examined one-tailed p-values. However, for completeness, we also calculated twotailed p-values. Using one-tailed tests affected only one of our conclusions: that regarding the location of aggressive interactions (see Results). During the experiment, 13 we made comparative observations of aggressive interactions, feeding positions and feeding rates. Aggressive Interactions Aggressive interactions were observed on each ledge for three days. Each day, all chases between individuals on each ledge were noted during a six-minute observation period conducted during midday. We recorded absolute position at the initiation of the interaction as well as the size class of the aggressor (individual chasing) and the recipient (individual being chased). We used these estimates to compare how the relative frequency of aggressive interactions varied with fish size and experimental treatment, and to determine whether the chase frequency rate of small fish (1, 2, and 3 cm SL) varied on control and fish-removal ledges. To determine whether smaller fish were chased more often when they were closer to the front of a ledge, we calculated relative position chased for size classes 2, 3, 4, and 5 cm SL for each control ledge (size classes 1, 6, and 7 cm SL were not used due to small sample sizes; N 1, 3 and 0 respectively). This value was then subtracted from the average feeding position (from the initial survey) for these size classes on each control ledge. Values from each size class were then averaged for each ledge, providing a single measurement describing where individuals were chased relative to where they were typically found. Values greater than zero indicated that fish were chased more frequently than average when they were closer to the front of a ledge. 14 Feeding Position Following the removal of larger basslets, the absolute feeding position of all remaining fish on each ledge was again measured on three subsequent dates. We converted these measurements to the average relative feeding position for each size class for each ledge. Pre-removal feeding position was then subtracted from postremoval position for size classes 1, 2 and 3 cm SL. These values were then averaged, providing a single value describing any change in feeding position for each ledge. Feeding Rate To examine the effects of larger fish on the feeding rates of smaller fish, we compared feeding rates of small fish on control and removal ledges. Focal fish feeding rates (sensu Forrester, 1991) were observed for 3-cm SL basslets on each ledge on three days. Feeding was defined as bites directed at planktonic organisms in the water colunm. On each occasion, feeding rate was measured for four individuals distributed throughout each ledge (for a total of 12 observations per ledge). Individuals were chosen to represent the full range of possible feeding positions. Each ledge was roughly divided into four sections (front, front-mid, back-mid, and back), and one individual was chosen haphazardly from each of these four sections for observation. When no individuals were present in a given section, the closest 15 individual in a neighboring section was observed. Once an individual was chosen, its absolute position was recorded, and a diver observed its feeding frequency for 1-2 minutes. To combine individual feeding rate measurements within a given ledge into a single parameter, we fit simple linear regression models (feeding rate as a function of relative position) separately for each ledge. Because there was a positive linear relationship between feeding position and feeding rate, a simple ledge average would not accurately describe all feeding rates on a given ledge. Therefore, we used the slopes as our parameter to test whether the relationship between feeding rate and relative position varied between treatments, i.e., an interactive treatment effect. Note that if there were no differences in slope, a difference in the intercept would indicate an additive treatment effect. We then used the linear regression models to estimate feeding rates for each treatment. From each regression model, we calculated point estimates of feeding rate at various feeding positions. The seven resulting estimates of feeding rate per treatment (one from each ledge) were then used to estimate mean feeding rate and variance for a given feeding position. Note that the confidence intervals reported are based on the variance in our point estimates, not the variance in individual measurements of feeding rate at that position. By using average regression parameters, we constructed linear estimates of the relationship between feeding rate and feeding position for control and removal ledges. 16 Results Fish Size and Feeding Position There was a strong relationship between fish size and relative feeding position on a ledge (Fig. 2.2). Individuals larger than approximately 5 cm SL were more likely to be found near the front of the ledge. Below 5 cm, feeding position decreased dramatically with decreasing individual size. Removal Experiment Aggressive Interactions Aggressive interactions were strongly size-dependent. During every observed aggressive interaction, the aggressor was the same size or larger than the recipient (Fig. 2.3a). Virtually all aggression was directed toward fish of the same size as the aggressor or of the next smaller size class. Nearly all aggressive interactions were directed toward fish smaller than 5 cm SL; the majority were toward 3-cm and 4-cm fish. Three-cm to 6-cm fish were the most frequent aggressors. Between 4 and 5 cm SL, fish shifted from being primarily recipients to being primarily aggressors (Fig. 2.3b). 17 1.0 Front '4 :08 0.2 Back 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Size Class (cm SL) Figure 2.2. The relative feeding position (X ± SE) of each size class of Gramma loreto. Error bars are based on mean position measurements from each ledge (N = 14 ledges). Aggressive interactions tended to occur when fish were further forward on a ledge than their average feeding position (Fig. 2.4). While not statistically significant (one tailed paired t-test: t61 .80, p=O.O63), this trend was consistent for all size classes. 18 The frequency at which 3-cm SL fish received aggression was significantly higher on control ledges than on ledges where larger fish had been removed (Fig. 2.5, one-tailed t-test: t123.42, p0.003). The 3-cm fish were recipients of aggression more than twice as frequently on control ledges than on removal ledges. There was no difference between treatments for 1-cm or 2-cm fish (one-tailed t-test: t12=-0.74, p=O.23 for 1 cm fish and t12=-O.46, p=O.32 for 2 cm fish). Feeding Position Fish 3 cm SL and smaller moved forward on ledges following the removal of larger fish (Fig. 2.6a, one-tailed paired t-test: t63.55, p = 0.006). On average, the fish remaining on removal ledges moved forward 11% of the ledge depth (95% CI: 3 to 17%, N=7); 3-cm fish, in particular, moved forward 14% (95% CI: 9% to 23%, N=7). All remaining fish continued to maintain distinct size segregation (Fig. 2.6a). There was no evidence of any movement forward for fish 3 cm and smaller on control ledges (Fig. 2.6b, one-tailed paired t-test: t6=1 .27, p = 0.13). 19 (a) 1 u Aggressor (b) N=0 U Recipient rID '-3 N=72 (.) cd N=55 I N=127 I N=4 '1 I 1 2 3 4 5 6 Recipient Size Class (cm SL) 7 0.1 I _ I 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Relative Frequency Figure 2.3. Aggression between size classes of Gramma loreto on control ledges. (a) Each plot is the relative frequency of N chases by a single size class (aggressor) directed toward each size class (recipient). For each plot the total area of the bars equals one (except for size class 1, which was never observed as an aggressor). (b) The relative frequency at which each size class acted as an aggressor and as a recipient of aggression (X + SE, N=7 ledges each). 20 1.0 Front C .,- 0 .a) a) iI 0.7 -.- Position chased a) Average position Back 2 3 4 5 Size Class (cm SL) Figure 2.4. The average relative feeding position and relative position when chased for each size class of Gramma loreto on control ledges (X ± SE, N=7 ledges each). Points are offset to clarify error bars. 21 p=O.003 control removal ,- 0.10 p=0.32 r rfj 0 0.05 pO.23 :ixii 2 3 Size Class (cm SL) Figure 2.5. The frequency of aggressive interactions directed toward smaller size classes of Gramma loreto on control and removal ledges (X + SE, N=7 ledges each). 22 1.0 (a) Removal Front 0.8 0.6 0.4 -o-- Post-removal -.-- Pre-removal 0 .. rd) 0 V Back 1.0 (b) Control Front I. I, j4 1 2 3 Size Class (cm SL) Figure 2.6. The relative feeding position (X ± SE, N=7 ledges each) of smaller size classes of Gramma loreto before and after removal of larger fish on (a) removal ledges versus (b) unmanipulated control ledges. The points are offset to clarify error bars. 23 Feeding Rate The slope of the relationship between feeding rate and relative feeding position differed between control and removal ledges (two-tailed t-test: t12=2.89, p=O.Ol 4). The slope estimates were positive for all aggregations, indicating that feeding rate invariably increased with distance toward the front of the ledge. For both treatments, average slope values were significantly larger than zero (one-tailed t-test: t6=8.42, p<O.0001 for control and t6=13.36, p<O.0001 for removal). We used the regression results to estimate feeding rate for 3-cm fish in each treatment. We estimated the between-position effect of competition on feeding rate by calculating the change in feeding rate associated with movement forward on a ledge. By moving forward 14% of the ledge depth (as was observed for 3-cm fish), the average feeding rate of a 3-cm fish increased an estimated 0.62 bites per minute (Fig. 2.7, 95% CI: 0.28 to 1.22, N=7). We also used regression point estimates to evaluate the within-position effect by calculating the difference in feeding rate between control and removal ledges. At the average post-removal feeding position of 3-cm fish on removal ledges, feeding rate was estimated to be 2.12 bites per minute greater on removal ledges than on control ledges (Fig. 2.7, 95% CI: 1.17 to 3.07, N=14). Considering both increased feeding rates within a position (2.12 bites/minute), and increased feeding rate between positions (0.62 bites/minute), an average 3-cm fish on a removal ledge fed an estimated 2.74 bites per minute (95% CI: 1.86 to 3.62 bites per minute, N=14) or 63% (95% CI: 43 to 84%, N14) more frequently than an average 3cm fish on a control ledge (Fig. 2.7). 24 Discussion Dominance hierarchies provide opportunities to examine experimentally the mechanisms and consequences of intraspecific competition in reef fish (e.g. Coates, 1980, Forrester, 1991, Booth, 1995). We measured the magnitude of intraspecific competition in basslets directly in terms of effects on feeding rate, as well as the relative contribution of two different components of competition. Reduced feeding rate of smaller fish was caused by larger, dominant individuals. Similar patterns may be widespread in fishes where dominance is often function of size and related to foraging success (e.g. Coates, 1980, Koebele, 1985, Forrester, 1991, Robertson, 1998). For example, Coates (1980) and Forrester (1991) found that the feeding rate of a damselfish (Dacyllus aruanus) was partially determined by individual position within an aggregation, which in turn was related to individual size. The largest, most dominant individuals tended to remain at the up-current edge of the aggregation, presumably acquiring first access to planktonic food. Koebele (1985) observed that dominant cichlids consumed a greater proportion of available prey, thereby exploitatively depressing the food supply of subordinates. Further, dominant individuals behaviorally inhibited the feeding rate of subordinates. Jenkins (1969) observed that, like basslets, feeding position among stream salmonids was determined by social dominance. When dominant individuals were removed, subordinate individuals quickly occupied the vacant feeding positions. 25 8 Post-removal - ,_6 63%: .E4 42% 14% 0E 2 0 0 Control I 0.0 Back I 0.2 0.4 I I 0.6 tO.8 t Pre-removal 1.0 Front Post-Removal Relative Feeding Position Figure 2.7. The average change in feeding position and difference in feeding rate for 3-cm Gramma loreto, after experimental removals of larger fish, relative to unmanipulated controls. Control and removal regression lines are each based on the average parameters from seven aggregations (for control ledges feeding rate = 1.36 + 6.26 * [feeding position]; for removal ledges feeding rate = 1.05 + 4.28 * [feeding position]). On average, 3-cm fish were 14% closer to the front of a ledge after the removal of larger fish. Moving this distance on a control ledge is estimated to have resulted in a 14% increase in feeding rate (between-position effect). However, at the mean post-removal position, individuals on removal ledges were estimated to feed 42% more frequently than on control ledges (within-position effect). The net result is an average increase of 63% in the feeding rate of 3-cm fish on ledges where larger fish were removed. 26 Within fairy basslet aggregations, we found a strong relationship between individual size and feeding position on a ledge: larger fish were closer to the front of the ledge, where they apparently had first access to passing planktonic food. Our results indicate that aggressive interactions maintained this relationship through a rigid dominance hierarchy. Consequently, smaller fish were prevented from moving forward, thus reducing crowding at a given feeding position on a ledge. However, individuals larger than 4 cm SL were typically at the front of the ledge. The range of 4-5 cm SL appeared to be a transitional size, where fish switched from primarily receiving aggression to being aggressors. This is roughly the size at which individuals become reproductively mature (Asoh, 1 992b). Therefore, it appears that aggressive interactions prevent individuals from gaining access to the front of the ledge until they are adults. We observed a decrease in the frequency of aggressive interactions after larger fish were experimentally removed. However, a decrease was evident only for 3-cm fish, not for 1-cm or 2-cm fish. This is consistent with observations that individuals usually chase fish of equal size or one size class smaller. When all fish were present, 3-cm, 4-cm and 5-cm fish were the primary aggressors towards 3-cm fish. Removals of fish 4 cm and larger eliminated the between-size-class component of aggressive interactions, leaving only within-size-class effects. As a result, 3-cm fish were chased far less frequently where larger fish were removed. The frequency at which 1-cm and 2-cm fish were chased did not differ between control and removal ledges because the size classes most frequently aggressive towards these individuals (2 and 3 cm, 27 respectively) remained after the removal of 4-cm and larger fish. After the removal of larger fish, smaller fish moved toward the front of the ledge, a pattern that was not observed on control ledges. The removal of larger fish facilitated forward movement by eliminating between-size-class aggression directed towards 3-cm fish. This shift, in turn, permitted the forward movement of 1-cm and 2cm fish behind the 3-cm fish. Size segregation was maintained for these individuals because the between-size-class component of competition was not reduced for 1-cm and 2-cm fish. This pattern further supports the hypothesis that an individual's position on a ledge is determined by aggressive interactions between size classes. The behavioral interactions observed between fairy basslets imply that maintaining a position near the front of a ledge affords some advantage and that crowding at a given position results in a disadvantage. Our results implicate intraspecific competition for feeding positions as the driving force behind these patterns. Intraspecific competition in fairy basslet aggregations is probably a consequence of their feeding mode. Basslets maintain relatively fixed positions under ledges and feed on passing plankton (Randall, 1967, Luckhurst, 1977, Bohlke, 1993). Water masses containing relatively abundant zooplankters are likely to first pass the front of a ledge via surge or tidal currents in the same way that they first pass reef edges (Hobson, 1978, 1991). As the water moves toward the back of the ledge, zooplankters are probably depleted by the largest basslets (see Coates, 1980, Forrester, 1991). This situation likely creates a gradient of decreased food abundance towards the back of the ledge. Consistent with our results, such a pattern would create an 28 advantage for individuals near the front of the ledge and an incentive to prevent others from moving forward. We measured two effects of intraspecific competition, between and within feeding positions. The between-position effect is the result of differential feeding rates based on an individual's distance from the front of a ledge. Such an effect is likely a result of depletion of food by larger fish that aggressively deny smaller fish access to the front of a ledge. The within-position effect is due to interactions between larger fish and smaller fish at a given position on a ledge. Thus both between-position and within-position effects can involve both non-aggressive exploitative and aggressive interference competition (sensu Schoener, 1983). Although both components strongly affected basslet feeding rate, the magnitude of the within-position effect was roughly three times that of between- position effect. This result indicates that the competitive effect of larger fish is due mostly to aggressively reducing the feeding rates of smaller fish at a given position rather than preventing smaller fish from moving their feeding positions forward on a ledge. However, smaller fish are not likely to be able to reduce the within-position effect, whereas they may be able to reduce the between-position effect. A reduction in the within-position effect would require a reduction in the number of larger fish toward the front of a ledge. A smaller fish could accomplish this only by emigrating to a ledge with a lower density of larger fish. However, the habitat requirements of basslets are quite specific (Randall, 1967, Luckhurst, 1977, Bohlke, 1993) and suitable habitat is patchy. Consequently, emigrating individuals would need to cross 29 considerable distances to find suitable habitat of uncertain quality, all the while being relatively vulnerable to predation. In fact, emigration is rare (Webster, unpublished data). It appears to be more advantageous for individuals to remain on a ledge in the presence of strong competition than to risk predation and uncertain habitat quality associated with emigration. Unlike the within-position effect, individual basslets may reduce the betweenposition effect simply by moving toward the front of a ledge. Such movement explains our behavioral observations. It appears that smaller fish consistently initiated movements toward the front of a ledge, thereby gaining access to greater food availability. At the same time, larger fish prevented this movement, thereby monopolizing passing prey. It is unclear whether fish simply move forward as they grow larger or if fish that maintain better feeding positions grow faster. Growth and change in position are likely a combination of these two processes. The effects of intraspecific competition on small basslet feeding rates were large: in the absence of both components of intraspecific competition, the average feeding rate of a 3-cm basslet was over 60% higher. Ultimately, such a strong effect may regulate fairy basslet populations by leading to density-dependent changes in demographic rates. Strong intraspecific competition for food can indirectly regulate adult populations of damselfish by affecting growth rate and maturation time (Jones, 1987a, 1990, Forrester, 1990, Jones and Hixon in prep.). Indirect density regulation could occur in fairy basslets if larger individuals negatively affect the rates at which smaller fish grow and mature. Intense competition could also lead directly to density- 30 dependent changes in demographic rates by influencing immigration and emigration, or by increasing susceptibility to predators. We are currently investigating such possibilities. 31 Chapter 3: Temporal Density Dependence and Population Regulation in a Marine Fish Main Text Accelerated loss of species and populations worldwide has led to renewed focus on understanding and conserving the natural mechanisms regulating populations. Losses of biodiversity are particularly severe on coral reefs, which are the ocean's most diverse ecosystems (Shenk et al., 1998). Approximately 27% of coral reefs are already degraded worldwide, and an additional 32% are at high risk of degradation during the next three decades (Wilkinson, 2000). Ultimately, species persistence depends on mechanisms that regulate populations by causing demographic density dependence, the negative feedback loops necessary to bound population fluctuations above zero (Murdoch, 1994, Turchin, 1995). One likely regulating process in reef fish is density-dependent mortality, whereby the per capita death rate increases with population size. Although there is ample evidence for spatial density dependence based on comparisons of mortality rates of multiple local populations at the same time (Hixon and Webster, in press), population regulation requires temporal density dependence within a single population through multiple generations (Stewart-Oaten and Murdoch, 1990, Myers and Rothman, 1995). Here, I provide the first experimental demonstration of strong temporal density dependence in a coral-reef fish, as well as evidence for the mechanism causing density dependence. 32 The fairy basslet (Gramma loreto) is a common planktivorous fish in the Caribbean and Bahamas. Gramma live on the ceilings of reef caves and ledges in local populations that range in size from about ten to more than a hundred individuals. Movement between isolated aggregations in the Bahamas is sufficiently rare that each aggregation can be considered a separate local population (approximately 0.7% of tagged residents emigrated per month during the experiment, indicating that site fidelity was extremely high). I used 16 replicate populations to determine whether any demographic rates were spatially density-dependent by comparing unmanipulated populations with populations in which I experimentally increased recruitment. All individuals in each population were tagged subcutaneously using elastomer (Buckley et al., 1994, Beukers et al., 1995) and demographic rates were monitored over 50 days. When examined as total rates (per area rather than per capita see Hixon and Webster, in press), natural recruitment and immigration were independent of density (Recruitment: paired T7 = 0.42, one-sided P = 0.35; immigration: paired T7 = 0.13, one-sided P = 0.45.). In contrast, per capita mortality and emigration rates were significantly density-dependent (Fig. 3.1A, B). Differences in mortality between unmanipulated and experimentally increased populations were 5.9 times greater than differences in emigration, indicating that mortality was the major source of density dependence. Density-dependent mortality could have been an artifact of the experimental design if either transplanted fish were more prone to mortality or augmented populations had higher mortality because they had a greater proportion of small fish 33 than control ledges. However, four lines of evidence argue that density-dependent mortality was not an artifact: (i) a transplant-effect experiment revealed no increase in mortality rates for transplanted relative to resident fish at the same density (T57 = 0.07, one-sided P = 0.47), (ii) the proportion of transplanted fish in augmented populations did not change between the beginning of the experiment in June 1998, August of 1998, and spring of 1999 (F2,21 = 0.70, P = 0.51) indicating that these fish did not suffer disproportionately from predation, (iii) mortality rates tended to increase for prior resident fish in augmented populations (paired T7 = 1.44; one-sided P = 0.096) indicating that the negative effects of density extended beyond transplanted fish, and (iv) the observational pattern in 1999/2000 was identical to the experimental pattern the previous year except that natural recruitment was relatively high on reefs that were previously used as controls (Fig. 3.2, see below). What mechanism resulted in increased mortality at high densities? Based on previous evidence, the candidate processes were within-species competition (Freeman, 1983, Webster and Hixon, 2000) or predation (Hixon, 1991, Hixon and Carr, 1997). Competition was discounted because neither of two potential manifestations occurred at high densities (at higher densities, aggression rates did not increase (T7 = 0.17, one- sided P = 0.43) and growth rates did not decrease (T7 = 0.05, one-sided P = 0.48). I therefore designed an additional experiment to determine whether predators induced density dependence by behaviorally responding to different densities of Gramma. Using automated time-lapse video, I observed that predators, primarily the groupers Cephalopholisfulva and C. cruentata, and the trumpetfish Aulostomus maculatus, 34 spent significantly more time in populations with experimentally elevated recruitment (Fig. 3.1 C). When present, predators also spent a significantly greater proportion of time hunting in these populations (Fig. 3.1D). Together, these observations implicated predators as the cause of spatial density dependence over the relatively short time period of this experiment. 0.012 0.10 O.08c A 0.008 8) 0.06 0.04 0.004 (0 (0 a- 0.0 12 B (0 0 0.008 0.004 ii ii 0.02 0 0.000 0.00 E0 0.5 a. 0.3 04 D 0.2 0.1 0 000 0.0 Control Control Increase Increase Treatment Figure. 3.1 Summary of demographic rates and predator behavior. Daily per capita rates (+SE) of(a) emigration (paired T7 = 2.12, one-sided P = 0.036) and (b) mortality aired T7 = 2.12, one-sided P = 0.03 6) of Gramma in control and density-increase populations (n = 8 each) over 50 days. Proportion of time (+SE) that predators were (c) present (paired T8 = 2.01, one-sided P = 0.04) and (d) hunting while present (paired T8 = 3.01, one-sided P = 0.008) in control and density-increase populations (n 9 each). By examining fluctuations in these populations over multiple generations, patterns emerged that indicated temporal regulation. Over three years generations roughly 2 Gramma density showed a consistent annual cycle in which density 35 increased in late spring and summer with the arrival of newly settling larvae and then declined gradually until reaching an annual minimum by the beginning of the following spring (Fig. 3.2). Prior to any experimental manipulation, 16 populations tracked each other closely. Densities diverged sharply when I experimentally increased recruitment in half of the populations in 1998. Subsequently, density declined steadily in the augmented populations resulting in convergence with control populations during the ensuing months. By the following spring, when all fish that recruited during the previous summer were large enough to be reproductively mature (Asoh, 1 992a), there was no difference in density between augmented and control populations (Test for differences in density in spring 1999: T7 = 0.48, two-sided P = 0.65). Since Gramma spawn in spring and early summer (Asoh, 1 992a), enhanced recruitment the previous summer had no impact on either the density of spawning adults or, consequently, reproductive output. In the spring of 1999, density naturally rose higher in populations previously used as unmanipulated controls due to spatial variability in larval recruitment. Nonetheless, just as in 1998, densities later converged until the two sets of populations were again indistinguishable the following spring (Test for differences in density in spring 2000: T5 = 0.07, two-sided P = 0.95.). The regularity of these annual cycles is due in part to the seasonality of recruitment in the Bahamas. However, density early each spring was virtually identical for both manipulated and control populations both within years (stats spring density among years: F2,36 above) and among years (Test for differences in = 0.47, P = 0.63.). This offers compelling evidence 36 that these populations were subject to strong density dependence that regulated adult population size over generations. 16 Increase o Control 12 E 0 U, C aa, 4 o 4- 7-97 1-98 7-98 1-99 7-99 1-00 7-00 Time Figure 3.2. Gramma density (±SE) in density-increase and unmanipulated control populations (n 8 each) over three years. The dotted line in July 1998 represents experimental enhancement of recruitment. Some dates include data from fewer than 8 populations in each treatment because all populations were not censused on all dates: control n = 2 on 7/15/97 and 9/7/97, n = 5 on 5/1/98, and n = 6 on 5/1/00 and 6/10/00; increase n = 3 on 7/15/97 and 9/7/97, n = 6 on 5/1/98, 5/1/00 and 6/10/00. Evidence for density dependence comes primarily from two types of studies: observational time series analyses and manipulative experiments. Time series analysis tests for temporal density dependence statistically, but is both problematic operationally (Shenk et al., 1998) and provides no causative mechanisms (Myers and Rothman, 1995). In contrast, experiments allow determination of causal mechanisms, 37 but are typically spatial in design (Harrison and Cappuccino, 1995). This study combined these approaches by experimentally demonstrating spatial density dependence and its likely mechanism, while concurrently providing evidence for temporal density dependence. Any attempt by natural resource managers to ensure the long-term persistence of populations must preserve mechanisms responsible for natural regulatory feedback loops. Since population regulation of this fish species, and potentially many others, appears to hinge on the maintenance of an intact food web, an ecosystem approach may be necessary to meet conservation goals. Piscivores have an important regulatory role in this and other systems (Hixon, 1991). Because piscivores are often primary targets for fisheries exploitation (Pauly et al., 1998), efforts to conserve coral-reef species may be in direct conflict with fishing practices, so that effective management will require careful balancing of fishery and conservation goals. Methods Density Experiment I identified 8 pairs of similar-sized reef ledges near the Caribbean Marine Research Center, Bahamas, that ranged in population size from 8 to 55 individuals and in area from 0.8 to 7.3 m2. One ledge in each pair was randomly assigned to an unmanipulated control treatment. On the other ledge, I incrementally increased density 38 by transplanting small groups of tagged, recently-settled fish (S20 mm TL) daily for two weeks to mimic a natural settlement pulse. I began monitoring demographic rates in each population 24 hours after the final addition of recently-settled fish. Recruitment was measured by searching for newly-settled, untagged fish in each population every morning. I measured emigration by conducting weekly searches for tagged fish within -40m of each experimental Gramma population. When emigrants were found, they were invariably <3m away, so it is unlikely fish emigrated beyond the 1 Om search radius. I measured both net immigration and net mortality by recapturing all fish in each population at the end of the experiment, and comparing that census to my original, pre-manipulation census. Untagged fish that were present at the end of the experiment, but had not recruited during the experiment, were considered immigrants. Mortality was measured as the disappearance of tagged fish that could not be located during emigration searches. Aggressive interactions were measured weekly as chases between Gramma and were recorded for each population over a four-minute observation period during each of four weeks. I measured growth by recapturing tagged individuals at the end of the experiment. Video Monitoring I reestablished the treatments from the experiment in 1998 on 9 pairs of populations, 4 in 1999 and 5 in 2000. Each population was filmed from morning to evening over a two-day period with a digital camcorder in an underwater housing. The 39 camera filmed for 2 seconds every 30 seconds over an 8-10 hour period daily. The video was then analyzed by identifying what proportion of time Gramma predators were present. I also distinguished between predators that were simply present and predators that appeared to be actively hunting Gramma. This distinction was based largely on the orientation of the predators relative to Gramma: those predators associated with the floor of the ledge or swimming past the ledge were scored as present, while predators positioned on the ceiling of the ledge facing Gramma were scored as present and hunting. Generation Time The three-year time series spanned approximately two generations based on a standard life-table estimate of mean generation time of 1.44 years. Since population growth via recruitment occurs during a relatively brief period each year, generation time was estimated based on annual time intervals with all individuals reaching reproductive maturity at age 1 (see Asoh 1992). Calculation of mean generation time requires two sets of parameters: age-specific survivorship and relative fecundity. Annual survivorship for each age class was estimated using empirically derived growth rates and size-specific survivorship. The relative fecundity of females of different ages is known to be directly related to body volume, which varies with the cube of age-specific length. 40 Time Series For each of the three years, the spring minimum population size was estimated from adult densities in June. Size distributions in June were bimodal with no overlap between modes, which corresponded to adults that recruited the previous year or earlier (>35mm) and new recruits from that year (<35mm). Therefore, the density of adults in June was likely to closely reflect the density in the aggregations prior to any spring recruitment. I estimated May 1 as the pre-recruitment date because most of the new recruits observed in June were <1 month post-recruitment based on their size. While this technique does slightly underestimate pre-recruitment density, it was unbiased among years and treatments. 41 Chapter 4: Regulatory Effects of Intraspecific Competition in a Coral-reef Fish Abstract Within-species competition is inherently density-dependent, and thus it is likely to have regulatory effects on local population dynamics. In this study, I examined how intraspecific competition between adult and newly recruited individuals of a coral-reef fish, the fairy basslet (Gramma loreto), affected the demography of new recruits. In an initial experiment, I manipulated the density of resident adults and juveniles by thinning some populations by 1/3 or 2/3, while leaving others unmanipulated. Once I had established a range of resident densities, I transplanted a standard density of recent recruits. The results suggested that residents negatively affected recruit survival, but the results were equivocal due to high between-population variability. Therefore, I conducted a second experiment in which I transplanted a cohort of new recruits to local populations with three treatments of adult density: adults absent, average adult density, and high adult density (2x average). By following the fate of the transplanted recruits, I determined that recruit mortality increased as a function of adult density; in high-density aggregations mortality rates were more than double those in aggregations without adults. Increased mortality rates were correlated with two manifestations of intraspecific competition: (1) adults forced new recruits to the back of aggregations where (2) they experienced slower growth. Using automated time-lapse video, I observed that predators were found most frequently toward the back of aggregations. I 42 conclude that competition ultimately increased predation risk for new recruits both through depressed growth rates and by forcing recruits to overlap spatially with predators. Thus, intraspecific competition between new recruits and adults influenced the demography of subsequent generations in ways that promoted local population regulation. Introduction Ecological studies of competition have largely focused on the consequences of competition between species (e.g. reviews by Connell, 1983, Schoener, 1983). While intraspecific competition has perhaps received less attention, its intensity is often comparable to that of interspecific competition (Goldberg and Barton, 1992, Gurevitch et al., 1992). Intraspecific competition is an inherently density-dependent process whereby the magnitude of its negative effects tends to intensify at progressively higher densities (Begon et al., 1996). Thus intraspecific competition can help regulate populations if it is sufficiently strong that it translates into density-dependent changes in the birth or death rate (see Cappuccino and Price, 1995). Competition was once thought to be the predominant factor determining community and population dynamics for fishes on coral reefs (e.g. Smith and Tyler, 1972, Roughgarden, 1974, Ehrlich, 1975, Smith, 1978). Recently, marine ecologists have begun to explore other potentially important factors, notably recruitment (review by Doherty, 1991) and predation (review by Hixon, 1991). Despite this shift in focus, 43 studies have continued to identify important competitive interactions between (e.g. Jones, 1988, Robertson, 1996) and within (e.g. Jones, 1987a,b, 1988, Forrester, 1990, Booth, 1995) species. The most commonly observed consequence of intraspecific competition is reduced growth rates of small individuals (Doherty, 1982, 1983, Victor, 1986, Jones, 1987a,b, 1988, 1990, Forrester, 1990, Booth, 1995, review by Jones, 1991). For example, Jones (1987a,b, 1990) observed depressed growth due to competition within aggregations of the damselfish Pomacentrus amboinensis that tended to delay the maturation ofjuveniles and thus contributed to the regulation of adult population size. For fishes on coral reefs, the proximate source of mortality is likely to be predation (Hixon, 1991). Therefore, density-dependent mortality due to intraspecific competition in reef fishes is likely to be mediated via increased susceptibility to predators. However, few studies have shown that intraspecific competition among coral reef fish results in decreased survivorship. Forrester (1990) detected weak density-dependent mortality in aggregations of the damselfish Dascyllus aruanus, but it is unclear whether this was due to competition because adults actually enhanced the survival of new recruits. Several recent studies by Schmitt and Holbrook have explored the effects of density on survivorship of three species of damselfish (Schmitt and Holbrook, 1996, 1 999a,b). While the mechanism responsible for decreased survivorship at high densities is uncertain, their observation that mortality rates of new recruits increased more rapidly in the presence of older conspecifics (Schmitt and 44 Holbrook, 1 999a) suggests that intraspecific competition was at least partly responsible for density-dependent mortality. Most studies of intraspecific competition in coral-reef fish have focused on aggregating damselfish. This taxonomic specificity raises the question of whether similar interactions occur in other families. The goal of this study was to explore how intraspecific competition between adult and new recruit fairy basslets (Gramma loreto; Grammatidae) affected the demography of new recruits. Specifically I asked four questions: (1) Is there evidence of intraspecific competition between adult and new recruits basslets? (2) Does the density of adults affect the recruitment of new individuals? (3) Is survivorship of new recruits a function of adult density? (4) By what mechanism does adult density affect recruit survival? Methods Study Species Fairy basslets are common coral-reef fish found throughout the Caribbean and the Bahamas (Randall, 1967, Bohlke, 1993). Basslets are small (<8 cm) planktivorous fish that are usually found in aggregations along vertical drop-offs, in caves or under ledges (Randall, 1967, Luckhurst and Luckhurst, 1978, Bohlke, 1993). Near the Caribbean Marine Research Center in the Bahamas, basslets are found on discrete ledges in aggregations that typically range from 10 to 70 fish. Isolated ledges 45 constitute local populations because movement between ledges is rare (Webster, thesis). Under ledges, basslets typically swim inverted, with their ventrum aligned with the ceiling. From this position, they feed diurnally on planktonic organisms that flow past the ledge (Randall, 1967, Freeman, 1983, Bohike, 1993). Basslets are social, living in strongly size-structured aggregations (Freeman, 1983, Webster and Hixon, 2000). Large individuals remain near the front of the ledge, where they have first access to passing zooplankton prey, while smaller fish are forced through aggressive interactions to remain near the back (Webster and Hixon, 2000). For smaller fish, the consequence of segregation is a lower feeding rate. Feeding rate is further depressed by the presence of larger fish, presumably due to food exploitation by larger fish and reduced feeding time as a result of aggressive interactions. Monitoring I measured the density of a variable number of basslet populations in June 1998, 1999, and 2000. In each year, the size distribution of basslets was bimodal. The larger mode (including fish 4-7 cm TL) was comprised of adults that settled the previous year or earlier while the smaller mode (fish <4 cm) was comprised of fish that had probably settled in May or June of that year. 1999 Experiment In June 1999, I identified 15 isolated populations that are part of a continuous coral reef near Lee Stocking Island in the Bahamas. These populations were in 5-7m of water and they ranged in surface area from 1.5 to 4.1 m2. To examine the effects of conspecifics on the survival of recent recruits, I established a range of conspecific densities. I randomly assigned the populations to one of three treatments: ambient density, 1/3 and 2/3 resident removal. In removal populations, I removed individuals of all sizes based on their relative abundance to maintain the pre-existing size distribution, which included both adults (>4 cm TL) and juveniles (2-4 cm TL). Because initial density varied between populations, density did not conform to three discrete treatments, but rather density was a continuous variable that ranged from 0.76 to 14.2 fishlm2. Once I had thinned resident conspecific density, I introduced a cohort of recently-recruited (<2.0 cm) basslets. These fish were captured nearby, tagged subcutaneously using elastomer (see Buckley et al., 1994, Beukers etal., 1995), measured and released on experimental ledges. I added new fish each day until I achieved a density of approximately 3.0 recruits/rn2, which was roughly the density of new recruits present in these populations prior to any manipulation. At the same time, I removed any similarly sized individuals that were already present on each ledge to avoid confusing them with transplanted fish. By June 26 the densities of transplanted fish had remained near target densities for 24 hours, marking the beginning of the experiment. I censused the reefs every week until August 14, for a total of 49 days. During each census, I recorded both the 47 total population size and the number of tagged recruits. I conducted emigration searches for tagged recruits on all surrounding populations. Any new recruits that appeared during the experiment were removed during each census to ensure that differential recruitment between populations did not confound the results. Net per capita mortality rate was calculated as the proportion of the original cohort that disappeared from each experimental population, but was not located in emigration searches. 2000 Experiment In June 2000, I identified 20 additional isolated populations on continuous coral reefs near Lee Stocking Island in the Bahamas. These ledges were in 5-7m of water and they were larger than those used in 1999, ranging in surface area from 2.1 to 7.0m2. I excluded all populations occupying ledges with a surface area smaller than 2m2 because they are more variable than larger populations (Figure 4.1). I randomly assigned five populations to each of four treatments: total removal, adults absent, average adult density and high adult density. All resident adults were removed from the total removal and adult absent treatments. I manipulated adult densities in the remaining two treatments by adding or removing fish until I established an intermediate density of 2 fishlm2 or a high density of 4 fish/rn2. These densities were chosen to span the range of densities that I observed during censuses in 48 12 10 A. June 1998 I S 8 6 4 2 I. S I..' I 0 ("I a B. June 1999 12 10 >8 Cl) C a) 4 <0 :. S . . SI .S !. C. June2000 12 10 8 .1 6 SI 4 2 U I I 5 $5 ir :. 2 4 6 8 Ledge area (m2) Figure 4.1. The density of adult basslets (fish >4cm) versus the size of ledges in June 1998, 1999, and 2000. The dashed line at 2m2 represents an arbitrary division between small, variable populations and larger, less-variable populations. 49 June 1998, 1999, and 2000 (Figure 4.1). In addition to manipulating adult density, I also removed all recent recruits and juveniles from each population. Once I established the adult density treatments, I introduced a cohort of recently-recruited (<2.0 cm) basslets to all populations except those in the total removal treatment. Total removal populations were used to determine whether basslets require cues from conspecifics while settling. Basslets recruit at about 1.5 cm. The recruits that I added were approximately 1-2 weeks post-settlement based on their average size of 1.7 cm. These fish were captured nearby, tagged, measured and released in experimental populations. I added new fish each day until I achieved a density of approximately 3.7 recruits/rn2, the average density of recruits in these populations prior to any manipulation. I began the experiment 24 hours after the final addition of new fish. I censused each population every two days for 36 days, from June 21 to July 27. During each census I recorded the number of tagged basslets and the number of larger adults. Tagged basslets could disappear from a population through either mortality or emigration. To determine if transplanted fish had emigrated, I searched all populations within a 5m radius of each experimental population every week. I also recorded and removed any newly settled basslets during each census. I measured net per capita mortality as above. I examined three potential manifestations of intraspecific competition between adults and new recruits. First, I measured the feeding position of each transplanted recruit relative to the ledge depth every four days (see Webster and Hixon 2000). Second, I recorded all aggressive chases involving tagged fish during four-minute observation periods in each population every four days. Finally, I recaptured all of the tagged fish in late July to determine if the adult treatments had any effect on the growth of survivors. Video I measured the within-population spatial distribution of basslet predators using automated time-lapse video. I filmed 9 unmanipulated populations (4 in 1999 and 5 in 2000) for two days each. Each day, the camera filmed for two seconds every 30 seconds over a total of 8 -10 hours. I analyzed the film noting the species of all basslet predators and their location relative to the front and back of the ledge. Whether or not a given species was likely to prey on basslets was determined based on published accounts of piscivory (Randall, 1967) and personal observations of feeding strikes towards basslets. Results Monitoring In June of 1998, 1999 and 2000, the density of adult basslets was typically between 0 and 4 fishlm2 in populations with an area greater than 2m2 (Figure 4.1). Smaller populations had much greater variability in density. 51 1999 Experiment Thinning of conspecific density had weak effects on the survivorship of new recruits (Figure 4.2). The mortality rate of new recruits increased slightly at high densities of larger conspecifics. However, this relationship was not statistically significant and conspecific density explained little variation in mortality rate. The number, rather than the density, of larger conspecifics better predicted the mortality rate of new recruits. No emigration of tagged recruits was observed during the experiment 2000 Experiment Population change Recruit density declined steadily in each treatment following the start of the 2000 experiment (Figure 4.3). The sharpest decline occurred in populations with high densities of adults. In contrast, recruit density changed the least in populations where adults were absent. Consequently, there was a significant negative relationship 52 [IL] IA. 0.4 I.. a)0.2 I.. n_fl I- 0 4 2 6 8 10 12 14 16 Density of larger conspecifics 0.8 0.6 a) 0.4 r037 0.2 0.0k 0 5 10 15 20 25 Number of larger conspecifics Figure 4.2. Net per capita mortality of transplanted, recently-recruited basslets versus the density (A) and population size (B) of resident fish from a pilot study in 1999. Lines were fit using least-squares regression. 53 4.0 (N 3.5 0 C 3.0 U) C a) I... C.) a) 1.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Time (d) Figure 4.3. The change in density (± SE) of transplanted recruits in each treatment during the 2000 experiment. 54 between final recruit and adult density (Figure 4.4A). The net per capita mortality rate of new recruits was positively related to adult density although mortality varied considerably within each treatment (Figure 4.4B). Aggressive interactions Aggressive chases involving new recruits were more common in populations with adults, however the differences between treatments were not statistically significant (Figure 4.5). Overall rates of aggression were low in all treatments. Feeding position The density of adults negatively affected the feeding position of new recruits (Figure 4.6). When adults were present, new recruits fed significantly farther back on the ledge and this was most pronounced at high densities of adults. Growth rates Relative growth rates of new recruits were estimated by examining the lengths of recruits at the end of the experiment. The average size of transplanted recruits was comparable among populations, thus differences in final length should be indicative of differences in growth. Growth rates were highest in the absence of adults (Figure 4.7). While some new recruits in populations without adults had growth rates comparable to 55 4 >, 4-, Cl) ('4 I- 1 r2=0.30 P=O.036 Li 1.0 12=0. 26 0.8 P=0.051 ( 0.6 0 0.4 E S 0 2 4 Adult density (noim2) Figure 4.4. Final density (A) and net per capita mortality (B) of new recruits as a function of adult density. Lines were fit using least-squares regression. 56 a) 4-. C E 0.04 0.03 Cl) II 0.02 I-C.) D) 0.01 <a. 0.00 1: Adults density (no./m2) Figure 4.5. The average per capita rate of aggressive chases (+SE) involving transplanted recruits in each treatment. Differences between treatments were not statistically significant (ANOVA: F2,12 = 1.74, P = 0.22). 57 !A1 0.2 0.1 0.0 C) L1 0.2 L. 0.1 0.0 C. 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Front Back Feeding position Figure 4.6. The relative frequency of feeding positions of transplanted recruits in each adult treatment. Dashed lines represent the average feeding position. A feeding position of 0 is at the very back of the ledge, while 1 is at the very front. N is the number of individual observations in each treatment. Average feeding position differed significantly between treatments (ANOVA: F2,12 = 3.89, P = 0.047). 58 0.2 0.1 >. C) 0.0 0.2 a) ci) I-. 4- a, > 0.1 (5 ci) 0.0 0.2 0.1 20 25 30 35 40 Total length (mm) Figure 4.7. The size frequency of N transplanted recruits from each treatment at the end of the 2000 experiment. The dashed line represents the average size in each treatment. Growth rate was significantly different between populations with and without adults (T13 = 2.03, P = 0.03), however, a regression between adult density and average size was not significant (R2 = 0.33, P = 0.24). those of recruits in populations with adults, the fastest growing recruits were all in populations where adults were absent (Figure 4.7). Recruitment rates Recruitment did not differ between the three treatments with experimental additions of new recruits, nor did recruitment to these populations differ from populations with no conspecifics (Figure 4.8) Video Overall, predators of basslets were found most frequently towards the back of ledges (Figure 4.9A). Trumpetfish (Aulostomus maculatus), and two groupers, the coney (Cephalopholisfulva) and the graysby (C. cruentata), were the most commonly observed predators. All were most frequently observed in the back half of ledges (Figure 4.9B,C,D). Discussion Adult basslets negatively affected new recruits both through intraspecific competition and by increasing new recruit mortality rates. These two phenomena were probably not independent; competition with adults likely translated into greater susceptibility to predators. Both of the manifestations of intraspecific competition c1 E 0 4 conspecifics' absent : conspecifics present > Cl) U) 2 0 I- U) 0 0 Adults density 2 4 (no./m2) Figure 4.8. The average densities of new fish (+SE) that recruited to each of the three experimental treatments and to five additional ledges from which all basslets were removed. Differences in recruitment between treatments were not significant (ANOVA: F2,12 = 3.24, P = 0.50). 61 0.6 A. All Predators 0.4 0.2 I 0.0 0.6 B. A. maculatus C. C. fulva D. C. cruentata 0.4 > C-) ) 0.2 a9- 0.0 a) > 0.6 CI) 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Back Front Location on ledge Figure 4.9. The relative frequency (+SE) of spatial positions of (A) all basslet predators, (B) trumeptfish, Aulostomus maculatus, and the groupers, (C) Cephalopholisfulva, and (D) C. cruentata, on unmanipulated ledges. 62 observed in this study, changes in growth rate and feeding position, likely contributed to increased mortality rates of new recruits at high adult densities. Since smaller fish are generally more susceptible to predators (Shepherd and Cushing, 1980, Houde, 1987, Sogard, 1997), depressed growth rates can result in higher mortality rates. For new recruit basslets, this effect may have been exacerbated by their spatial distribution; in the presence of adults, recruits were forced farther back on the ledge, where predators were most abundant. While increased spatial overlap with piscivores alone may have caused higher mortality rates, basslets may have been at an additional disadvantage due to relatively dim light near the back of ledges. Piscivores tend to have a visual advantage over their prey only at dawn and dusk (McFarland, 1991), conditions that may be approximated diurnally at the back of ledges. Adults increased recruit mortality during both a pilot study in 1999 and a more thorough study in 2000. The results in 1999 were equivocal, probably for at least two reasons. First, in 1999 the resident fish population was composed of both juveniles and adults. Differences in the relative proportion of adults and juveniles may have increased among-population variability in the response of new recruits. Second, the study in 1999 included small ledges, which can support much higher densities of fish than large ledges (Figure 4.1). Therefore, it is not clear whether a given density is comparable between very small and large ledges. In the 2000 experiment, I sought to address these two issues by using only relatively large ledges and by manipulating only adults. Despite the differences in methods, both studies observed the same general pattern: recruit mortality increased as a function of adult density. 63 Basslets could attempt to minimize the negative effects of intraspecific competition by settling disproportionately to low-density populations. However, such density-dependent recruitment was not observed. Instead, recruitment of new basslets was independent of both the presence of conspecifics and the density of adults, suggesting that basslets identify settlement sites based on habitat type rather than cues from conspecifics. Since adult density can vary substantially among populations, the intensity of intraspecific competition experienced by new recruits is also likely to vary spatially. As with the basslets, the majority of published examples have not observed density-dependent recruitment, but rather they have observed either no relationship or a positive relationship between recruitment and adult density (review by Hixon and Webster, in press). The latter pattern of recruitment facilitation would tend to intensify, rather than dampen, intraspecific competition. In this study, the outcome of intraspecific competition was a dampening of between-population variation in basslet density. As a consequence, intraspecific competition may work to help regulate population size in basslet aggregations. Intraspecific competition is not the only mechanism by which basslet populations may be regulated. Predators, in particular, may help regulate populations by altering their behavior to consume a disproportionately large number of prey in high-density patches. However, in this study, predator behavior was not monitored, so it is uncertain whether increases in mortality at high adult density were partly due to behavioral responses by predators. Whether or not predators responded to basslet density, competition likely played an important role in increasing basslet mortality rates by making fish more susceptible to predators. In a related study (Webster unpublished manuscript), I demonstrated that predators did respond to different densities of new recruit basslets, apparently causing density dependence. However, altering the density of new recruits did not intensify intraspecific competition with adults. Apparently, only increasing adult density, not recruit density, intensifies competition within the ranges of densities used. By working in concert, these two mechanisms of density dependence, intraspecific competition and responses by predators, likely impart a strong regulatory effect on local basslet populations. Most of the published demonstrations intraspecific competition in coral-reef fish involve aggregating damselfish (e.g. Doherty, 1982, 1983, Jones, 1987a,b, 1988, 1990, Forrester, 1990, Booth, 1995). Whether or not this indicates that damselfishes are particularly prone to experience intraspecific competition is unclear because of the relative dearth of studies involving species from other taxonomic families. There is evidence for intraspecific competition in other families of coral-reef fishes, but most of it is indirect. Victor (1986) found evidence for decreased growth of bluehead wrasses at high densities using otolith ageing techniques. For a species of blenny in the Caribbean, individuals appear to compete for shelter holes (Buchheim and Hixon, 1992). Two studies of gobies suggested that residents may competitively inhibit the recruitment of new fishes (Forrester, 1995, Steele et al., 1998). However, the study by Forrester (1995) detected no post-recruitment effects of residents on new recruits. 65 Combined with the current study, these examples suggest that intraspecific competition does occur across a wide range of coral-reef fish species. This study demonstrated intraspecific competition in basslet populations that was sufficiently severe that it led to differences in growth and density-dependent mortality. As a consequence, intraspecific competition may help regulate local basslet populations. These results extend our understanding of intraspecific competition in coral-reef fishes beyond the damselfishes and raise the question of how frequently similar interactions occur among the multitude of species on coral reefs. Chapter 5: Role of Predators in the Early Post-settlement Demography of Coral-reef Fishes Abstract Populations with dispersive larvae are often demographically open such that local reproduction and subsequent larval settlement are not linked. Thus, understanding whether and how settlement patterns are established and subsequently modified is central to understanding local demography. Settlement is typically not measured directly, but rather it is estimated by recruitment, which is the observation of new individuals sometime after settlement. At Lizard Island on the Great Barrier Reef, I examined how patterns of recruitment of coral-reef fishes were modified across a range of natural recruit densities in the presence and absence of resident predators. Resident predators decreased recruitment and increased mortality for all species, but these effects varied considerably among species. The effects of predators on recruitment were at least partly due to mortality within two days after settlement. At their most extreme, predators caused recruitment failure of several species of butterflyfish. For one species of damselfish (Pomacentrus amboinensis), predators both induced weak density-dependent mortality and obscured any relationship between recruitment and subsequent abundance, while for another damselfish (Neopomacentrus cyanomos) mortality was density-independent and subsequent abundance was a function of recruitment. These contrasting results may reflect differences in prey 67 behavior. P. amboinensis tended to feed near or within the branches of coral inhabited by resident predators, while N. cyanomos tended to feed higher in the water column above the reefs, and thus farther away from resident predators. These results highlight the speed and extent to which patterns of settlement are modified, indicating that caution should be exercised when attributing patterns of recruitment to patterns of settlement. Tremendous between-species variation in how patterns of recruitment, and presumably settlement, were modified by predation indicates that generalizations or between-species extrapolations about the magnitude of these effects may be unwarranted. Introduction Many marine organisms have a bipartite life history in which individuals have a planktonic larval stage before settling to habitats on or near the sea floor. This phenomenon can result in demographically open populations at spatial scales that are small relative to dispersal distances. In such local populations, the birth rate is not a function of local reproduction, but instead depends on the settlement of new individuals that originated elsewhere. This situation presents unique challenges for understanding population dynamics, especially regarding how patterns of settlement are established, and whether and how these patterns are subsequently modified (Keough and Downes, 1982, Luckenbach, 1984, Connell, 1985). While settlement typically cannot be measured directly, it can be estimated by measuring recruitment, which is the observation of individuals shortly after settlement. Because settlement 68 patterns can be modified before the observation of recruitment, it is impossible to say with certainty whether recruitment accurately reflects settlement. It is therefore unknown whether the observed distribution of new recruits reflects patterns established at settlement or sometime thereafter (Hixon, 1998). There has been considerable debate among marine ecologists about the role of post-settlement processes in either maintaining or modifying settlement patterns. While some have observed that settlement patterns persist, and thus proportionally determine adult abundance (e.g. Doherty and Williams, 1988, Gotelli, 1988, Sutherland, 1990), others have documented modification of settlement patterns (e.g. Luckenbach, 1984, Forrester, 1995, Hixon and Carr, 1997). Recently, ecologists have explored the relative importance of settlement patterns and post-settlement modification rather than simply focusing on one factor or the other (e.g. Jones, 1991, Caley et al., 1996, Steele, 1997, Schmitt and Holbrook, 1999a,b). This shift in focus has been spurred by the increasingly common observation that patterns established at settlement tend to persist at lower settlement rates, but are modified by post-settlement processes when settlement rates are relatively high (e.g. Gaines and Roughgarden, 1985, Jones, 1987a, Minchinton and Scheibling, 1991, Bertness et al., 1992, Forrester, 1995, Menge, 2000). For local populations where emigration is negligible, any modification of settlement patterns is due to mortality. Rigorously identifying which sources of mortality are important requires experimental manipulation of putative sources. Predation is often implicated as the most important source of post-settlement mortality for coral-reef fishes (e.g. Shulman et al., 1983, Hixon, 1991, Connell, 1996, 1997, 2000, Nemeth, 1998). However, studies that manipulated the presence and absence of predators have shown varied results. Shpigel and Fishelson (1991) suggested that the removal of Cephalopholis spp. had little effect on reef fish communities in the Red Sea. In this case, however, once these predators were removed, other predator species promptly took their place. Steele et al. (1998) found that resident predators had either a positive or no effect on gobies while transient predators had no effect. Hixon and Carr (1997) observed density-dependent mortality of a damselfish in the presence of both resident and transient predators, but not when either or both suites of predators was excluded. Other studies have consistently shown negative effects of predators on abundance (Caley, 1993, Can and Hixon, 1995, Beukers and Jones, 1997, Eggleston et al., 1997, Connell, 1998), recruitment (Shulman et al., 1983) and species richness (Caley, 1993, Eggleston et al., 1997). The goal of this study was to understand how patterns of recruitment of coral- reef fishes were modified by predation. Specifically, I asked four questions: (1) Is there evidence that settlement patterns are modified before recruitment is observed? (2) What is the net effect of resident predators on recruitment rates, per capita mortality rates, and subsequent abundance? (3) Is there evidence for density-dependent mortality for coral-reef fishes in either the presence or absence of resident predators? (4) Are patterns of recruitment good predictors of subsequent abundance? 70 Methods Study System This study was conducted at the Lizard Island Research Station in the northern Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Previously, researchers consolidated patches of live Porites cylindrica coral in the 9m deep sandy area of the lagoon, creating an array of 54 patch reefs of similar size and isolation (Figure 5.1, Jones and Hixon in prep.). Each reef was approximately 3.2m (SE = 0.05m) long by O.6m (SE = 0.Olm) wide with a surface area of 2.0m2 (SE = O.05m2) and was 30m from both the nearest transplanted reef and the source reef. Prior to this experiment, these reefs were left unmanipulated for several years. I assumed that fish did not move between reefs in this study because similar isolation distances have been shown to effectively hinder between-reef movements of small fishes (Doherty, 1982, Hixon and Beets, 1989). I also assumed that isolation of this magnitude did not affect larval supply (i.e. larval supply was even among reefs). It is possible that some regions of the array experienced higher larval supply due to their relative proximity to pelagic sources of larvae (Figure 5.1). If this were the case, recruitment should vary spatially, which was not observed during this study. Furthermore, since treatments were assigned randomly to reefs, any spatial patterns would not be likely to impact the results systematically. 71 N Lizard 1km IsIand o Land o Shallow reef(<5m) fl Lagoon and open ocean Experimental reef C?ExPenm.ntaij i / */ Om Figure 5.1. Map of Lizard Island, Great Barrier Reef, Australia showing the location and spatial arrangement of the experimental array of transplanted Porites cylindrica reefs. Experimental Design In November 1999 I censused the resident fish community of 34 of the patch reefs. I randomly selected 18 of these reefs and assigned them to one of two treatments: control (n = 9 reefs) and resident predator removal (n = 9 reefs). On 72 predator-removal reefs, I captured all resident piscivores (primarily Cephalopholis boenak and Pseudochromis fuscus using clove oil and hand nets (see Munday and Wilson, 1997). On control reefs, I manipulated predator abundance to a standard density of 4-6 C. boenak and 1-2 P. fuscus per reef. This assemblage represents a density slightly above the average (2.8 C. boenak and 0.9 P. fuscus) but below the maximum (9 C. boenak and 3 P. fuscus) that I observed during the initial census. During every subsequent census (see below), I searched each reef for piscivores. Any immigrant or newly recruited predators were promptly captured on predator removal reefs to maintain predator-free treatments. On control reefs, I censused piscivores to ensure that densities remained similar to the standard initially established. During the initial census of the reefs, I noted considerable variation in the number of cardinalfishes (Apogonidae) between reefs. On some reefs cardinalfishes were absent, while on others there were as many as 2000 individuals, primarily Apogonfragilis and A. doederleini. Since cardinalfishes represented a potentially important alternate source of prey for predators, variation in abundance of these species could cause between-reef differences in the effect of predators on other species (Stewart 1998). To minimize this possibility, I removed all cardinalfish initially and once each week thereafter using a BINCKE net (Anderson and Carr, 1998). Prior to beginning this experiment, I removed all recently-recruited fishes from each reef using hand nets and clove oil. By removing these fishes, I could more accurately distinguish fishes that settled once the experiment began from those already present on each reef. Moreover, starting the experiment with all reefs recruit-free 73 ensured that any prior residency effects did not confound subsequent patterns of settlement between predator treatments. Once the experiment began on 26 November 1999, I censused the recently-recruited fishes on each reef every two days until 15 January, 2000 (50 days total). During each census, I carefully examined the reef for recently-recruited fishes, noting new recruits, previously-recruited fishes, and disappearances. Therefore the operational definition of recruitment in this study is the observation of a new fish within 48 hours of settlement to the reef. Note that because of the time interval between settlement and subsequent recruitment, settlement patterns may have been modified by the time I first observed new recruits (see Discussion). Any previously-recruited individuals that were missing were recorded as mortalities because, given the isolation distances between reefs, emigration was likely tantamount to mortality for newly recruited fish. This census method is prone to errors if a fish disappears and is replaced by a new recruit of the same species and size on the same reef between censuses. This type of replacement error would tend to underestimate both recruitment and mortality. I attempted to minimize such replacement errors in two ways. First, I sought to distinguish between new recruits and previously recruited individuals by size and coloration; new recruits are frequently lightly pigmented and visibly smaller than individuals that recruited only a few days earlier (Victor, 1991). Second, for siteattached species, I marked the location of each new recruit with labeled flagging tape. If one fish did replace another, it would not likely occupy the exact same location as the missing fish and could therefore be distinguished. These census techniques 74 worked well for damselfishes (Pomacentridae), and reasonably well for more vagile butterflyfishes (Chaetodontidae) and surgeonfishes (Acanthuridae). Therefore, data were examined only for these three families. Data Analysis Comparisons were made for both individual species and taxonomic families, using reefs as replicates. The family-level comparisons assumed that common factors influenced the demography of species within a family. Typically all the species within a family had recruits of similar size and trophic status. Exceptions to this included a few species of pomacentrids that are largely herbivorous as adults rather than planktivorous like the majority of pomacentrid species that I observed. I have included these herbivorous species in pomacentrid-level comparisons because, as new recruits, they likely had similar diets to planktivorous species; herbivorous fishes may pass through a period of carnivory as juveniles and later make a transition to herbivory (Choat, 1991). Furthermore, these species were relatively rare (Table 5.1), so they did not strongly impact any of the comparisons. Census data were used to calculate total recruitment and net per capita mortality rates for each reef for the 50-day duration of the study. Total recruitment is simply the number of new recruits counted on a reef during the study. The "net per capita mortality rate" was calculated by dividing the total number of disappearances by the total recruitment during the study for each reef. Because individuals were 75 continuously arriving to and disappearing from reefs, the density of new recruits (number per reef) varied through time. Consequently, total recruitment provides a fairly coarse measure of density, limiting the power of tests for spatial density dependence. I examined relationships between recruitment and both per capita mortality and final abundance for two species (Pomacentrus amboinensis and Neopomacentrus cyanomos) and one family (Pomacentridae). I excluded such comparisons for all other taxa for two reasons. First, I excluded all comparisons with a sample size smaller than five reefs in either treatment. Although I often observed recruitment of a species or family to a sufficient number of reefs where predators were removed, I also usually observed too few reefs with recruits where predators were present. Second, I excluded comparisons where the range of recruitment values was insufficient to warrant fitting a linear relationship between recruitment and either mortality or abundance. For example, P. nagasakiensis recruited to many reefs in both treatments; however, I observed a maximum recruitment of three individuals on predator-present reefs. I fit multiple linear regression models to determine whether final abundance was a function of recruitment both in the presence and absence of predators. Theoretically, these relationships pass through the origin when recruitment equals zero subsequent abundance will also equal zero. However, if the relationship is curved, a simple linear regression could predict a non-zero y-intercept. Based on initial data analysis, there was no evidence that these relationships were either curved or linear with positive intercepts, with the exception of P. amboinensis when predators 76 were present (see Results). Therefore, I forced the intercept to be zero in all but one comparison and used straight lines in all analyses. I examined the data for evidence of density dependence between total recruitment and net per capita mortality. I fit multiple linear regression models with net per capita mortality as the response variable and recruitment, predator treatment, and an interaction of the two as explanatory variables. In this model, a significant effect of either recruitment or the recruitment by treatment interaction would indicate that mortality rate varied with recruitment for at least one of the treatments. Results Recniitment Over the 50-day duration of the experiment, 686 new recruits were observed from the families Pomacentridae, Chaetodontidae and Acanthuridae. I observed 12 pomacentrid species, totaling 552 new recruits (Table 5.1). Only the most abundant species, Pomacentrus amboinensis, recruited to all 18 reefs. Recruits in the family Chaetodontidae were the next most abundant, totaling 69 individuals from six species. I observed 65 individuals from the family Acanthuridae. Acanthurids were considered only at the family level because I could not accurately distinguish between the recruits of several species. Overall, I examined 7 of the most abundant species (Pomacentrus pavo, Pomacentrus nagasakiensis, P. amboinensis, Neopomacentrus 77 cyanomos, Hemiglyphidodon plagiometopon, Chaetodon auriga, Chaetodon ephippium) as well as all 3 families. Temporal patterns of recruitment varied substantially among species and families (Figure 5.2). Some species recruited primarily during a single pulse (P. pavo, H plagiometopon, N cyanomos), while others showed a more bimodal recruitment pattern (P. nagasakiensis, P. amboinensis) during the 50 days of the study. Chaetodontids and acanthurids recruited at low levels throughout the study period. The majority of pomacentrids recruited in pulses during the first half of the study. Therefore, the mortality rates observed after recruitment were largely estimates for relatively discrete cohorts, and thus were probably not strongly affected by differences in the timing of recruitment between reefs. In contrast to pomacentrids, chaetodontids and acanthurids recruited at low rates throughout the study. Consequently, age distributions may have differed substantially among reefs, which could amplify between-reef variability in mortality rates. However, since so few chaetodontids and acanthurids recruited to predator-present reefs, between-treatment comparisons of survivorship were impossible. While the timing of recruitment may have affected final abundance, such temporal variation probably did not bias any general conclusions in light of the clear differences in abundance between the two treatments (Table 5.2, Figure 5.3). 78 Table 5.1. Total number of recruits observed during the 50-day sampling period of each species from three families and the number of reefs on which they were observed (N = 18 reefs total). Family Species Recruits Reefs Pomacentridae Dascyllus Irimaculatus 1 1 Dascyllus aruanus 3 2 Dischistodus prosopotaenia 3 2 Pomacentrus moluccensis 3 3 5 4 Pomacentrus wardii Dischistodus perspicillalus 13 8 Neopomacentrus azysron 21 6 Pomacentrus pavo 22 12 Hemiglyphidodonpiagionwlopon 47 17 Pomacentrus nagasakiensis 108 16 Neopomacentrus cyanomos 128 15 Pomacentrus amboinensis 198 18 All Pomacentrids 552 18 Chaetodontid Chaetodon melanotus 1 1 Chaeiodon ulitensis 2 2 Chaetodon lunulatus 4 3 Heniochus acuminulatug 4 3 Chaetodon auriga 13 8 Chaetodon ephippium 45 9 All Chaetodontids 69 12 65 11 686 18 Acanthuridae All Acanthurids Total 79 L1 16 15 10 5 0 2C 10 P. nagasa ns 20 10 5 30 0 P. amboinensis 20 10 a) 9- 0 :AUpomaceoUds 0 60 40 a) .0 20 E Z 0 C. aunga 2 0 6 C. ephippium 4 2 0 6 Lilthaetodonis 4 0 10 0 10 jIIanthus 20 30 40 Day Figure 5.2. The total number of new recruits observed on 18 experimental reefs over a 50-day period. Each panel represents a different species or family. Circles in the top panel denote moon phase: closed circles represent the new moon and the open circle represents the full moon. Note that the scale of the y-axis changes between panels. 80 For all species and families, recruitment was higher in the absence of predators (Table 5.2, Figure 5.3 a). This difference was significant for all but three species (P. pavo, H plagiometopon, N. cyanomos). The magnitude of the effect of predators on recruitment was calculated as the ratio of the number of recruits in the absence and presence of predators (Table 5.2). For example, there were 22.0 times as many chaetodontid recruits on predator removal than control reefs; however, there were only 1.4 times as many P. pavo. Mortality Net per capita mortality rates were higher in the presence of predators for all species of pomacentrids (Table 5.2, Figure 5.3b). Similar comparisons could not be made for chaetodontids or acanthurids because too few individuals recruited to predator reefs to calculate mortality rates. Among the pomacentrids, the differences in mortality rates were significant for all comparisons except H plagiometopon and P. pavo, which were the least abundant pomacentrid recruits analyzed (Table 5.1). The effect of predators on mortality, examined as the ratio of the net per capita mortality rate in the presence and absence of predators, ranged from 1.1 times higher mortality for H plagiometopon to 3.7 times higher mortality for P. nagasakiensis (Table 5.2). For all pomacentrids combined, mortality rates were 2.3 times higher in the presence versus absence of resident predators. 81 Table 5.2. Summary statistics for the effect of predators on recruitment, mortality, and abundance of each species and family. Family Species Pomacentridae P. pavo H. plagiomelopon P. nagasakiensis N. cwnomos P. amboinensis All pomacentnds Chaetodontidae C. auriga C. ephippium All chaetodontids Acanthuridae All acanthurida P+ Recruitment PRatio P-value P+ P- 0.244 0.072 <0.001 0.129 <0.001 <0.001 0.70 0.90 0.90 0.82 0.62 0.74 0.29 0.79 0.24 0.38 0.22 -- 22.0 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 - 0.16 0.37 4.9 0.002 ---- 0.42 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.0 3.2 1.6 1.6 10.4 6.7 5.1 9.1 1.8 6.0 16.7 16.0 44.7 2.7 2.7 0.1 1.3 12.0 0.0 0.3 5.0 7.3 l.2 6.0 0.31 0.81 Mortality Ratio P-value 2.4 1.1 3.7 2.2 2.8 2.3 --- N 0.064 0.221 <0.001 0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P+ 0.2 0.3 0.2 Abundance Ratio P- P-value 0.006 0.260 <0.001 0.038 <0.001 <0.001 1.0 4.5 0.6 1.7 18 2.1 1.9 8.1 6.1 12.7 18 5.2 31.2 36.5 2.9 6.7 6.0 - - 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 4.2 4.8 21.5 0.031 <0.001 <0.001 -- 0.6 3.6 6.4 0.003 12 17 16 15 - ----- - Note: P+ denotes the predator present treatment and P- denotes the predator removal treatment. Recruitment values given are the average number of new recruits per reef over the entire study. Mortality was calculated as the average net per capita mortality with and without predators. Abundance is the average number of recruits per reef at the end study with and without predators. Ratios are P-/P+ for recruitment and abundance and P+/P- for mortality. All P-values are from two-sample t-tests (N=l 8 for each test except as noted for mortality). Missing values indicate calculations that were not possible due to insufficient data. In total, five species of pomacentrids were sufficiently abundant to calculate both recruitment and mortality rates. For these species, the effects (expressed as ratios) of predators on recruitment were positively, although not quite significantly, correlated with effects on mortality (correlation coefficient = 0.82; p=O.O86). The suggested trend is that the species for which recruitment was most strongly modified by predators were the same species that suffered the greatest post-recruitment mortality due to predation. 82 50 (I) 2 40 - 30 0 a) 9- 0 j3 a. Predators: present absent 20 10 0 1 00 075 0. 050 0 a) 025 aa) Z 000 40 0 C. a) C 0 Co 30 20 Co 10 U0 ,' cf Figure 5.3. The effect of predators on a total recruitment, b mortality, and c final abundance (mean ± SE) or all species and families over 50 days. Dotted vertical lines separate taxonomic families. A "0" indicates that net per capita mortality values could not be calculated due to insufficient data. Abundance The combined effects of predators on both recruitment and net per capita mortality resulted in substantial differences in final abundance (Table 5.2, Figure 5 .3c). For all species and families, the final abundance of recruits was higher in the 83 absence of predators. This pattern was statistically significant for all families and all species except H plagiometopon. The ratios of abundance in the presence versus the absence of predators varied considerably: P. nagasakiensis was most affected, resulting in 36.5 times as many individuals in the absence of predators, whereas H plagiometopon was the least affected, with only 1.7 times as many individuals in the absence of predators. The ratio could not be calculated for C. auriga or C. ephippium because no individuals were present on reefs with resident predators. Recruitment/abundance Relationships Initially, I fit each abundance versus recruitment regression using a full model that included both y-intercepts and slopes. For the family Pomacentridae and for N cyanomos, there was little evidence for non-zero intercepts, and since final abundance must equal zero when recruitment equals zero, I re-fit the models forcing the lines through the origin. This adjustment had little impact on the fit of the model or the slopes (Table 5.3, Figure 5.4), and allowed the ratio of the slope in the presence and absence of resident predators to be used as a measure of how intensely recruitment patterns were modified. During the 50-day study period, predators reduced the final abundance of N. cyanomos by 25% and the final abundance of all pomacentrids combined by 49%. For P. amboinensis, the slope in the predator-present treatment was not significantly different from zero, indicating that predators eliminated any relationship between recruitment and subsequent abundance (Table 5.3, Figure 5.4). 84 Table 5.3. Summary statistics for slopes from multiple linear regressions of final abundance as a function of the number of recruits Predators present Predators absent Species Slope P-value n Slope P-value n Predator effect N. cyanomos 0.71 <0.001 6 0.54 <0.001 8 0.25 P. amboinensis 0.88 <0.001 9 0.11 0.453 9 n/a All Pomacentrids 0.72 <0.001 9 0.37 <0.001 9 0.49 Note: Reported P-values test for differences from a slope of zero. The "predator effect" on abundance is the proportion of recruits lost due to the presence of predators [1- (slope in the presence of predators / slope in the absence of predators)] in models where both lines pass through the origin. 85 N cyanomos N. cyariomos 30 25 20 1£ a. Predators: 0 absent b. O S o present 0.6 0 0. O--- _______ 0.2 0 0.0 o 20 25 30 0 P. amboinensis 5 10 20 15 25 30 P. amboinensis 25 ci 20 d. 0.6 cø 0 ioF 0.4 Th 20 25 0 All pomacentrids 80 60 o. - 0.2 5 10 15 0 0 20 25 Alt pomacentrids e. 1.0 0.8 S.. 0.6 40 oo 0 0.4 20 000 0.2 01020304050607080 0.0 0 1020304050607080 Number of recruits Figure 5.4. The relationship between recruitment and both final abundance and net per capita mortality for a,b N. cyanomos, c,d P. amboinensis, and e,f all pomacentrids using least squares regression. Dashed lines indicate relationships with non-significant slopes. Note that the scale of the y-axis changes between panels. 86 Recruitment/mortality Relationships I found no evidence for density dependence for N. cyanomos, or pomacentrids as a whole in either treatment (Table 5.4, Figure 5.4). For P. amboinensis mortality was density-independent in the absence of predators, but weakly density-dependent in their presence. Although statistically significant, the strength of this relationship was dependent on a single influential data point. Table 5.4. Summary statistics for slopes from multiple linear regressions of per capita mortality as a function of the number of recruits. Predators absent Species Slope P-value Predators present ii Slope P-value a N cyanomos -0.006 0.696 6 -0.020 0.092 8 P. amboinensis -0.013 0.4 16 9 0.046 0.042 9 All Pomacentrids -0.004 0.098 9 -0.001 0.710 9 Note: Reported P-values test for differences from a slope of zero. Discussion The substantial effect of predators on recruit abundance occurred via two demographic rates: predators both decreased recruitment rates and increased post- recruitment mortality rates. Negative effects on recruitment were species-specific, ranging from little effect on Hemiglyphidodonpiagiometopon to apparent recruitment failure for Chaetodon ephippium. Predators may have affected recruitment rates in 87 two ways: indirectly, by altering the behavior of settling fishes such that they preferentially settled on predator-removal reefs, or directly, by preying on fish after settlement, but before recruitment was measured. The former settler-avoidance hypothesis would require that settlers detect a cue from predators prior to settlement and use this information to select a settlement site. Some coral-reef fishes can apparently detect the presence of conspecifics (Sweatman, 1988, Booth, 1992), potential competitors (Sweatman, 1988), and settlement habitat (Elliott et al., 1995, Danilowicz, 1996). However, few studies have examined whether settling larvae detect the presence of predators. Recent work by Almany (in prep.) demonstrates that settlers do not respond to cues from caged predators on Bahamian coral reefs. If predators are ubiquitous on coral reefs (see Hixon, 1991), then there may be few predator-free patches at the time of settlement. Even if predator-free patches could be detected and found, they would not likely remain predator-free for long since predators are far more mobile than newly settled fish and tend to aggregate where predators are abundant (Hixon and Can, 1997, Hixon, 1998). Therefore, settlement to predator-free patches would be a relatively short-term strategy. It may be more advantageous to make settlement choices on the basis of longer-term characteristics of a site such as habitat type (including prey refugia) or the presence of site-attached conspecifics (with associated reproductive and prey-defense benefits). Alternatively, the differences in recruitment that I observed between reefs with and without predators may have resulted from differential mortality between the time of settlement and the time I censused the reefs (recruitment) up to 48 hours later. 88 Because mortality rates were substantially higher in the presence of predators after recruitment, one would predict that mortality rates were also higher after settlement but before recruitment. This extrapolation explains at least some of the differences in recruitment rates. However, for this predation hypothesis to explain all of the observed differences in recruitment, mortality must have been much higher within the first day or two on the reef than during subsequent weeks. Since mortality rates are often highest immediately following settlement (Doherty and Sale, 1985, Victor, 1986, Meekan, 1988, Sale and Ferrell, 1988, Booth, 1991, Hixon and Carr, 1997, Schmitt and Holbrook, 1 999a), the hypothesis that differences in recruitment were entirely due to post-settlement mortality remains viable. A direct effect of predators on recruitment is further supported by the observation that, among pomacentrids, the magnitude of the effect of predators on recruitment was weakly correlated with the magnitude of their effect on mortality. In other words, the species that were most affected by predators after recruitment were the same species that were most affected before recruitment. In the presence of resident predators, mortality rates were high for all species (62-90% over 50 days). While the magnitude of the effect of predators varied considerably, resident predators increased mortality rates for all species and families. Mortality rates were always greater than zero on predator-removal reefs, which indicates these reefs were subject to predation by species other than those manipulated. These piscivores may include highly cryptic scorpionfishes (Scorpaenidae), invertebrate predators such as stomatopods, or transient predators such as jacks (Carangidae) or lizardfishes (Synodontidae). The reefs in this experiment were 89 frequented by jacks and lizardfishes, which probably represented a substantial source of predation (see Hixon and Carr, 1997). Mortality was always density-independent in the absence of resident predators. However, with resident predators present, the effect of recruit density on mortality was density-dependent for P. amboinensis, but not for N cyanomos or for all pomacentrids combined. While the evidence for density-dependent mortality of P. amboinensis was weak, predators nonetheless eliminated any relationship between recruitment and final abundance for this species. This paftern is especially noteworthy given that relationships between recruitment and subsequent abundance tend to be significantly positive whether mortality is density-dependent or not (McGuinness and Davis, 1989, Caley et al., 1996, Hixon, 1998). Different responses by P. amboinensis and N cyanomos to resident predators may reflect ecological differences between these species. N cyanomos recruits typically fed above the reef in schools that mixed with adult damselfishes and cardinalfishes. Feeding in this exposed location may have made them more susceptible to transient predators, especially jacks, and less susceptible to the resident predators that were manipulated in this experiment. In contrast, P. amboinensis recruits typically remained closely associated with the branches of the coral, which probably made them more susceptible to resident rather than transient predators. Resident predators may have reacted with a type III (sigmoid) functional response to higher densities of P. amboinensis, thus inducing weak density dependence and obscuring any relationship between recruitment and abundance (see Murdoch and Oaten, 1975). Why then did transient predators not have a similar effect on N cyanomos? Based on qualitative observations, transient predators may have responded primarily to densities of cardinalfishes, which varied independently of N cyanomos densities and were often far more abundant than N cyanomos despite repeated removals (see Stewart, 1998). Because predators strongly modified the abundance of recruits in both speciesand family-dependent ways, caution should be exercised when interpreting end-of- season recruitment patterns as an index of settlement (e.g. Doherty and Fowler, 1 994a,b). These results echo similar findings in other systems (e.g. Eggleston and Armstrong, 1995). In contrast to these results, Williams et al. (1994) found that recruitment was a good predictor of end of season abundance for many species of reef fish. I believe that these two opposing conclusions are due largely to differences in methods, especially the measurement of recruitment. Williams et al. (1994) defined recruitment as the maximum number of recruits observed on a reef during one of four censuses over an entire recruitment season. This estimate did not incorporate any measure of persistence or mortality of individual recruits. In this experiment, I estimated settlement more accurately by measuring recruitment every two days and by distinguishing between new and previously observed fish. Despite sampling every 48 hours, I still probably underestimated settlement, as evidenced by differences in recruitment between predator present and removal reefs. The speed and magnitude by which predators affected abundance highlights the inherent danger in hindcasting the magnitude of settlement based on abundance ofjuveniles or adults. 91 The results of this study underscore the importance of predators to both recruitment and post-recruitment mortality of coral-reef fishes. Although predators negatively affected all species in this study, the magnitude of these effects varied tremendously among species. Furthermore, while early post-settlement densitydependent mortality is emerging as a common feature of the population dynamics of coral reef fishes (reviewed by Hixon and Webster, in press), this study highlights that mortality patterns can be variable between species subject to the same suites of predators on the same reefs. 92 Chapter 6: General Conclusions In the above studies, a variety of factors affected the population dynamics of coral-reef fishes. In Chapter 2, I described the social structure of basslet populations. Adult basslets had strong effects on new recruits, forcing them to the back of ledges where they experienced depressed feeding rates. Feeding rate was depressed by both interference and exploitation competition that combined to reduce feeding rate by over 60%. This study raised the question of whether these competitive effects regulate population dynamics. In Chapter 3, I explored how high recruitment affected local population dynamics of fairy basslets. Prior to conducting this experiment, I anticipated that during periods of high recruitment, competition with adults would intensify, thus leading to demographic density dependence. While strong density-dependent mortality was observed, I found no evidence that intraspecific competition was the source. Using automated time-lapse video, I determined that predators spent more time present and hunting while present in high-density populations, apparently causing density dependence. Density dependence was sufficiently strong to eliminate any effect of increased recruitment by the following spring. A similar pattern was observed the following year in unmanipulated populations, suggesting that density dependence acts on these populations consistently through time. 93 In Chapter 4, I further examined the effects of competition within basslet populations. By manipulating adult density while holding recruit density constant, I observed that adults negatively affected recruits. Competition with adults apparently increased the susceptibility of new recruits to predators, resulting in density-dependent mortality. Predation risk probably increased for at least two reasons: (1) recruits grew more slowly in the presence of adults, and (2) adults forced recruits to the back of ledges where predators were most common. The above studies identified two likely mechanisms for density-dependent mortality: (1) increased susceptibility to predation due to competition with adults, and (2) behavioral responses by predators during periods of high larval sefflement. These two mechanisms probably work in concert to stabilize basslet populations. Competition with adults may cause a convergence in total density among populations throughout the recruitment season in spring and summer (Figure 6.1). Subsequent variability among populations in recruitment may be dampened by behavioral responses by predators that cause convergence among populations (Figure 6.1). The combined effects of these two processes likely results in the regular annual cycles of abundance that I observed in basslet populations. 94 HI > Cl) a) a C 0 0 0 HI 0 AV( LO Winter 1?:-. Summer Spring Fall Time Figure 6.1. Qualitative summary of density-dependent factors affecting population dynamics of basslets. Bold arrows represent experimental manipulations of density and dashed lines represent the trajectories of post-manipulation populations. Competition with adults in spring leads to a convergence in density among populations and variability due to differential recruitment in summer is dampened by behavioral responses by predators. The population dynamics of basslets are complex, depending on interactions both within species (competition) and among species (predation). While my studies have identified some key factors influencing and regulating population dynamics, they likely oversimplify the complete suite of mechanisms and processes that determine population size. In particular, social organization may have more widespread consequences br local and metapopulation dynamics. Promising avenues for future study include examining whether behavioral interactions work to determine the density of adults each spring and how these interactions affect reproductive output. During the years of these studies, recruitment was consistently high. Years of low recruitment are virtually certain affect basslet population dynamics. Finally, the interaction between competition and susceptibility to predation could be further explored by designing experiments that can effectively exclude predators (a manipulation that I was unable to manifest). In Chapter 5, I examined the role of recruitment and resident piscivores on the demography of a variety of species of coral-reef fish on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Resident predators decreased recruitment and increased mortality for all species, but these effects varied considerably among species. These results highlight the speed and extent to which patterns of settlement are modified, indicating that caution should be exercised when attributing patterns of recruitment to patterns of settlement. Each of these chapters addressed the factors that determine the dynamics and regulation of marine fish populations. 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