Canada’s national interest benefits from a renewal of the North American wartime relationship Tom Velk and Todd Fox* Canada should take advantage of the present crisis to restore her typical wartime relationship with the United States. Why? If our political leaders at such times have sufficient imagination and daring, international emergencies create a state of domestic affairs in which we are better prepared to frame and then pursue our fundamental national interest, while improving our international stature. The precipitous rise in military, social and economic pressure common to such moments loosens Canada's otherwise too-restrictive Constitutional constraints, and allows innovative politicians to operate at a level of authority unknown in normal times. Canada's independent national interest is served, and her economic and political evolution toward serious statehood is and has been advanced by an association, typically cooperative, with the United States, during moments of high drama and significance, involving the international interests of the Americans. At times in the past, Canada's strings were pulled by European powers, whose purpose was to limit, cripple or even destroy the then still-growing power of the US. We think this period created, in Canada, a kind of anti-Americanism that still exists, but that hardly ever really served to better Canadian development. Canadian cooperation right now, we say, while the Americans are involved in yet another crucial interval should be planned with North American national interest foremost, and we should shed all remnants of that legacy of a European strategy of diminishing the power of a united American continent. Europe needed to remain active in this realm if North American union was to be avoided. We believe that subtle European diplomacy has often succeeded in leading Canada into the erroneous belief that they shared the overseas interest in stifling the emergence of a United North America. Sometimes out of a naïve simplicity, and other times out of a narrow or even personal interest, Canadian leaders in particular have been induced to do the work of their European puppet masters in this respect. The result of Anti-Americanism – erosion of individual liberty One erroneous belief in Canada has been that a sharing in some of the purposes and national aims of the United States would mean a sacrifice of Canadian national interest. Tom Velk is a professor of economics and the Director of the North American Studies Program at McGill University. Todd Fox is a J. William Fulbright Scholar with the North American Studies Department at McGill and the Centre for Fiscal Studies at the Fraser Institute. Gordon Gibson, writing in Fraser Forum earlier this year accurately explained the anxiety associated with continentalism. With regard to the proposed North American Security Perimeter he wrote: “There is a concern by some that an enhancement of our common perimeter will facilitate Canadians voluntarily becoming more like Americans. The hidden agenda is that we should be denied that choice. “In the end sovereignty lies in the individual. National states are mere public utilities for the collective exercise of individual sovereignty. So if our individual choices bring us closer to the Americans (or they closer to us) who is to say that is wrong?” The dominant American national interest has always been to achieve its full potential as a united country, having continental dimensions, and possessing worldwide influence and authority sufficient to prevent other powers from significantly altering American projects at home or abroad. The Canadian national interest has been (should be?) to share the fruits of American power and prestige, while paying a discount price for doing so. In economic matters, this end has been achieved by the high price typically paid in the United States for Canadian exports, especially commodities. The advantages of low transport costs, a common language and heritage, common legal traditions, common assets such as the Great Lakes, the St. Lawrence, the fishery and even the border-mobile population, all combined with a degree of Canadian monopoly power in markets like energy, transportation and the defensive value of Canada's geography, have allowed Canada to free-ride on many American investments, without a need to carry all the related costs. Some commentators in Canada interpret this situation as one suggesting that Canada's interest is to remain "independent" of the United States. Since that is manifestly impossible, we submit that even these analysts are really saying that it is in Canada's national interest to reap as many of the benefits that come from the unavoidable reality of North America's shared history, interdependent economy and common legal and political heritage, while avoiding whatever costs can be shifted or safely ignored. What we do not accept is a corollary view, held by Canadians actively opposed to American welfare, who suggest or imply that it is in Canada's interest to frustrate the American interest wherever possible, or at least to refuse to enter into common efforts with the United States, for fear that the largest gains from such actions will go to the Americans, even though no specific Canadian losses are anticipated. Advocates of this Dog-in-the-Manger strategy, we think, merely serve the purposes of major European and other World powers, who sometimes benefit from reduced American strength. Contrary to the arguments of antiAmerican Canadian nationalists, we find in the historical record ample evidence to show that Canadian cooperation with the United States, particularly at watershed moments in the development and evolution of the American nation, has paid substantial independent dividends to Canada. Historical Overview - Anti-Americanism and the Balance of Power Two nations were created on July 4, 1976: the revolutionary US and the reactionary counterweight to the north. British North America was a large investment and London was not going to give up on the Western hemisphere over a tax revolt in the more populous southern colonies. Population and capital were redirected to the colonies that would become Canada. The loyalist reactionaries justified their contempt and separateness from the “mobocracy” of America. They could afford to. They were an appendage of the world’s greatest empire. In a utilitarian universe, the decline and fall of the British Empire would have propelled Canada directly into a common market with the United States. Whereas New Zealand, Australia and South Africa faced potentially rocky transitions into autonomy, Canada’s geography assured that she would always have a world power at her side if she so chose. Of course, ours is not a utilitarian world. Canada resisted continental integration. Anti-American balancing continued for one and one-half centuries to the benefit of no one (but the satisfaction of the British and French). A resource wealthy and population poor country with an economy suited for capital absorption and commodity export can shirk capital and markets only if it is willing to accept underdevelopment. Such policy was justified as being the “cost of being Canadian.” With the end of its Civil War, America became an internal common market and a net exporter of capital. American corporations made direct investments in the manufacturing sector in Europe, in the primary industries sector in Latin America, and made approximately equal direct investments in both of these sectors in Canada. The mysteries of trade and finance were penetrated, and New York challenged and surpassed the European money markets. External expansion was matched by accelerated economic development at home. This rising giant made it all the more imperative that Canada be the recipient of sufficient external capital so that it too, could build its cities and knit together a commodity and agricultural exporting economy. And so the railways as well as the lines of command ran east and west in Canada, even though such links already had been created only a few miles to the south. The north-south orientation that made the greater economic sense was resisted, on the grounds there was a sufficient national interest payoff that did not appear on the market's balance sheets. But such a strategy, so contrary to a market outcome, necessitated a role for government that, from the beginning of the Canadian counter-thrust to post-Civil War America laid the foundation for another long-lasting distinction between the two North American siblings. Wartime Convergence World War I was a modern war. It was fought in factories as well as fields. A belligerent from the earliest days, Canada needed industrial horsepower. Running a wartime economy with sufficient industrial capacity required organization and integration that was continental in scope. The extraordinary pressures of war swept away the ideological and political support for the artificial barriers that conflicted with economic logic by confining, burdening and hindering ordinary peacetime trade. Rather late in the game, but not negligently so, Prime Minister Borden realized the errors and costs of economic isolation, and he and President Wilson come to an understanding that allowed Canada some, but not all of the industrial gains that would come from war's integrating force. Through collaborative efforts such as the War Industries Board and the Canadian War Mission the Borden and Wilson governments "established through wartime administration what peacetime politics had made impossible."1 World War II The Second World War furnishes a clear example of the gains delivered by wartime convergence in homeland security and bilateral trade. When Canada and the United States actualize their cooperative potential, cut through the bureaucracy and trade barriers and integrate their economies on a North-South axis, Canadians win. The Ogdensburg Agreement established a permanent joint board on defense. Perhaps a more appropriate name for this would have been the “your borders are our borders” agreement. FDR and King met in private and without involving lobbyists and special interest groups set up a plan that would guarantee Canadian defense with American troops. It created a proto-security perimeter for the continent. The Hyde Park declaration followed the next year. It too was the product of informal, personal diplomacy. Hyde Park created a virtual open market in defense articles, guaranteed Canada $200M - $300M in defense contracts, solved Canada’s foreign exchange problem (which would have imploded the economy) and authorized Canada to sell these defense-related goods to the British under the terms of the Lend-Lease Act. Leslie Roberts quantifies the gains of Canada’s watime strategy in her biography of C.D. Howe. “By 1943,” Roberts writes: 1 Cuff and Granatstein, Ties that Bind Canada stood fourth among the United Nations in industrial output, overshadowed only by the United States, Russia and Britain. With the possible exception of the United Kingdom, its per capita production was the highest of all the nations allied against Hitler. This achievement had taken four years.2 Economic expansion continued in Canada even after the peace of 1945, and the great gains in industrial productivity (which were largely the result of Howe's North-South integrationist strategies) and development translated to unprecedented levels of international clout. Hillmer and Granatstein explain the the positive effects of continental integration upon Canadian identity in their analysis of Canada’s national evolution. Canada entered the war as an independent nation, but as late as 1938 the country seemed uncertain of its own strength. It appeared nearly colonial to the international community, although it actually possessed reasonable autonomy. The nation seemed far less British and much more serious after World War II. Canada emerged from the Crucible of war strengthened. While the fighting went on, the depression that had sapped the nation for a decade was replaced by full employment in booming war plants. Though some Canadians feared that the economy might turn down again with the peace, optimism was well founded. The gross national product had doubled to over $11 billion, there were jobs and overtime for everyone who wanted work, and Canadians' savings swelled. Factories and farms produced a cornucopia of goods; Canadian war production had amounted to 10 percent of the British Commonwealth total. Such abundance had helped to give Canada influence in wartime negotiations, as had the nation's military contribution. Canada had done its full share in fighting and winning the war. Its claim to be a "middle power" was justified.3 Perhaps more than a middle power, Canada became influential in the United Nations and made a member of the western world's two most elite clubs: NATO and the G7. The small nation had acted as a great power might have done and was perceived as such in the post war international system. CD Howe, Mackenzie King (and perhaps even FDR) had built a nation that was more significant than it had ever been in the past. She operated as an equal among nations that, by the measures of history, economics or strategic location, far outranked her. The alliance with the United States, the first to be undertaken after the demise of Britain's covert desire to thwart American influence, had catapulted Canada to the front rank of nations, measured by per capita income, national stature and political influence. Unfortunately, Canadian post-war diplomacy preferred to downplay (if not ignore entirely) the reality that it owed its new stature to wartime economic 2 3 Roberts, C.D. Howe Hillmer, Granatstein, From Empire to Umpire “Americanization.” Lester B. Pearson, the Canadian diplomat par excellence (and architect of Canada’s Cold War institutionalism) voiced his ingratitude to Howe in 1950 saying: In the turbulent post-war stream, the current seems to be carrying our boat rather far from its accustomed course, rather too close perhaps to the rocks on one side of the channel. Translation: Getting rich and powerful is nice, but let’s not get carried away. This is yankee money. Its gross. Let’s go back to being a British colony. Howe’s rebuttal is as meaningful today as it was half a century ago. With little patience for Pearson and his Department of External Affairs’ willingness to bite the hand that fed them, Howe remarked that they were, “a little too frightened of the American bogey and, therefore just a little too anxious to do everything to help the British.” Continuing his assault on the sentimental irrationality of antiAmericanism, Howe offered the future Prime Minister a lesson in commercial diplomacy: Our export policy should be to sell as much as possible wherever possible. The United States has become the healthiest and most receptive market in the world at a time when intense difficulties are being encountered elsewhere...It is not at all obvious that Canada’s sovereignty would be impaired, even by a large increase in the percentage of our exports going to the United States. The surest way to lose our sovereignty would be to get into financial insolvency...Selling our goods to the Americans is a much better alternative. (Granatstein, 1988, pp. 54-5)4 Unfortunately for Canada the next generation of Canadian policy makers (including Pearson) would not heed this advice. The War on Terrorism and Current Policy Options Canada's relationship with the United States is enlivened by a diversity of actors. A direct, unimpeded, immediate and effective decision-making axis running between Ottawa and Washington is decidedly not the norm. Subnational governments, multinational corporations, cross-border interest groups and their lobbies govern the economic partnership. This creates a condition of paradiplomatic stasis. The War on Terrorism and its attendant diplomacy provides the necessary political cover for Ottawa to circumvent paradiplomatic and sub-statal 4 Granatstein, How Britain’s Weakness Forced Canada into the Arms of the United States entanglements and maximize the national self-interest through increased cooperation with the United States. September 11, 2001 should be recognized as a mandate for Chretien and Bush to set aside the official rhetoric and say, in the Spirit of Hyde Park, "come on down to my house and tell me what you really want." Such an overture would cut through the barbed wire of interest-group politics and empower Washington and Ottawa to act with the decisive rationality that the present crisis demands. Our specific suggestions Ottawa has let down the individual citizen in wartime by inverting its perennial peacetime folly. The federal government has inadvertently deregulated the one aspect of governance most contingent upon central planning. What should Canada do? First, stop carping and sniping, especially when it can have no effect on American policy. Canada should take a lesson in Public Relations and Brand Asset Management from Tony Blair and the UK. Perceptual politics go further than material assets in a unipolar global system. Once the attitude adjustment is made Canada can procede with a continental agenda. The American Ambassador calls it NAFTA plus. • • • • 5 Establish a Continental Security Perimeter Establish an interoperable Northern Command (NORTHCOM) – including Continental Missle Defense Restore the common market in defense (Continental Defense Market Treaty) Liberalize trade in energy5 Canada should be forthcoming with resources. Energy is an American import that the friends of the terrorists might very well use as an instrument of persuasion. Mr. Chretien should say - now when it might have an impact - that, insofar as Canadian resource endowments are able to make up any shortages whatsoever, they will be made available, at cost. To see just how unproductive Canada's actual current manipulation of the energy situation can be, consider the observations of Dr. Joseph Dukert of the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC. He reports the willingness of Liberal MP's to play "big time hardball" with the Bush administration. Those extraordinarily shortsighted policy makers suggest Canada should make unilateral cuts in energy exports to the US if the Americans refused to give ground on Softwood Lumber and Prince Edward Island Potatoes. These public servants - who, it seems, have not been reminded that "there is a war going on" - merely advocate the special interests of powerful constituencies. But in so doing, they take a great risk, not unlike a teenager on a bicycle that veers in front of an eighteen wheeler. If the truck driver is a man of good will, not in any hurry, having road room to spare, the kid will survive, because the truck will swerve. But should that big rig be running wide open, on a life or death mission, on a one-lane road, no harm will come to the fender because of the regrettable but inevitable contact. The Chretien government seems to recognize that the US needs Canada's energy, but appears uncertain as to how it ought to act. The temptation to play ordinary politics here is suicidal: silly as well as futile. Border efficiency, lumber exports and agricultural subsidies have been important foreign policy issues in Canada for decades. MP's and ministers who have spent careers seeking resolutions to these recurrent problems have not reacted irrationally in continuing to fight • • • Move toward a more open border6 Harmonize tariffs Currency Union The time has come to abandon irrational Anti-Americanism and make steps toward increasing wealth and individual sovereignty. Paradiplomatic stasis can not be disrupted unless Canada makes meaningful steps toward continental integration. So the real choice is not between security and sovereignty, but between improved peace and prosperity and inefficient symbolism of the Crown and Looney. for concessions now that they have the attention of their American counterparts. The failure has been the Prime Mini-Minister's. He must find a way to advance Canada's interests while associating himself - in a productive way - with the solution to the current crisis facing our American neighbors. Canada has the means to minimize, if not completely resolve, American dependence upon Middle Eastern oil. We can price our product to them at our domestic rates. We can open the taps. We can welcome their investment capital. We can encourage exploration. Above all, we must stop playing games with availability and price. We can then reasonably expect a proper reward. 6 Borders simply must be made secure, and at once. Canadian talk - something of which our Parliament should be more parsimonious -- of a common, serious and significant security perimeter around both went on without action until US Attorney General John Ashcroft called in the National Guard and on December 3, 2001, behind a figleaf bilateral consensus, announced the terms of the new border policy which he had most-likely dictated to the Canadians. In war, Will checkmates Talk. If the Alliance or the Liberals find any of their own recommendations in the border rules, it is coincidence not influence. Since we have quibbled away our chance to make the rules, we must at a minimum enforce them, and operate a truly effective filter on all international traffic and immigration. No more bombers caught by accident - we better build a record of real intercepts.