Reviews/Comptes rendus Gendered States: Women, Unemployment Insurance and the Political Economy of the Welfare State in Canada, 1945–1997 by Ann Porter. Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2003. The system of unemployment insurance (UI) established immediately following the Second World War was based on a household income model, reflecting the notion that a married female was dependent on a male breadwinner. Married women collecting unemployment insurance were felt to be defrauding the system. As a result, structures were put in place to deny some females the same level of benefits and coverage that were available to their male counterparts. In addition to this, the system supported the belief that women who were pregnant or postpartum were unemployable, independent of the reason for their recent job separation. Starting in the 1960s, and continuing through to the end of the century, the household income model was replaced with one in which male and female workers were treated equally, but “different.” Equal treatment could ensure that workers with similar patterns of employment received equal benefits. Female workers, however, were more likely than male workers to work part-time with frequent job interruptions. Limited access to UI benefits to these types of workers, relative to workers in full-time, stable employment, meant that women were experiencing “inequality in results.” Consequently, the mean female worker received less coverage and benefits than the mean male worker, who worked longer hours in more stable employment. At the same time, accommodating female workers’ differences led to the establishment of maternity benefits, which again mainly benefited full-time employees. Gendered States is a comprehensive history of unemployment insurance reform from 1945 to 1997, placed within the context of a feminist political economy. The goal of the research is threefold: to set out a theoretical framework for understanding the role of gender in the formation of social policy; to understand how changes to UI have affected 453 women over time; and to document the contributors and conditions that have shaped UI reform. The analysis is divided into parts representing the periods 1945–71 and 1971–97. Part I is a well-structured examination of UI in a period marked for the expansion of the social safety net. The author achieves all three of her goals, and is particularly successful at bringing the experience of women into the analysis. This part is readable and will be of interest to historians and policymakers alike. Part II is more complex, covering a longer period of intense political, as well as economic activity. The focus is much more on the process of change than on the experience of women themselves. In fact, the nexus of state, household and firm that makes the first part so rich is largely replaced by movements of political players (including women’s organizations and industry groups) in Part II. There is a return to the earlier treatment in the last chapter, which deals with the 1995 UI to EI reform. It comes at the cost, however, of oversimplifying the issues surrounding reform at that time. Part of the problem with Porter’s approach is that it only deals with the effect of UI policy on a worker once she has been separated from her employment. If the gender-based inequality in the UI program stems from the female dominance of part-time, contingent employment, then the contribution the program has made to create or resolve these structural employment differences (from either a demand or supply perspective) is critical to the analysis. Despite this, there is no discussion of the incentives created by policy (through either payroll taxes or expected future benefits) on either the type of employment workers find it profitable to engage in or that firms find it profitable to create. To give an example, prior to 1997 firms were exempt from paying premiums on workers working less than 15 hours a week. This created an incentive for firms to employ two or three part-time workers in place of one full-time worker. Likewise, firms in sectors in which access to UI is part of the workers’ remuneration package have no incentive to increase the length of CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, VOL. XXX , NO. 4 2004 454 Reviews/Comptes rendus their employee’s work week, as long as workers working short weeks have the same access to benefits as workers working long weeks. Specifically, UI policy changes in the 1990s were directed at reducing the incentives to create part-time employment. Porter stresses that female workers mainly engage in part-time work because it is the only type CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, of work available, and would prefer to work longer hours. Yet the question of how policy affects their access to full-time employment is absent in this work. M A R I NA A D S H A D E , Department of Economics, Dalhousie University VOL . XXX, NO . 4 2004 Reviews/Comptes rendus Continentalizing Canadian Telecommunications: The Politics of Regulatory Reform by Vanda Rideout. Kingston and Montreal: McGillQueen’s University Press, 2003. Continentalizing Canadian Telecommunications is a guide to identifying stakeholders in the process of telecommunications deregulation. The author’s position is that telecom deregulation was motivated by Canada’s pursuit of closer trade integration with the United States, that the process ignored popular dissent, and that resulting changes in cross-subsidies among telecom services have injured low-income Canadians. The author’s focus is on identifying the groups involved in some official capacity in the regulatory process, discussing the motivations of those promoting deregulation and highlighting the position and constituents of those opposing the process. Her view is that those promoting deregulation represent a narrow interest while those opposing represent a broader group defending the public interest. The story unfolds in eight chapters plus an introduction: chapters 1 and 2 provide the historical background, chapters 3 to 6 are mostly a chronological ordering of the description of the deregulation process with identification of competing interests and their relative influence, and chapter 7 and the conclusion offer some additional interpretation. Rideout provides a decent chronology of the process of telecom deregulation, useful to any reader with a modest interest in the regulatory process generally or in the telecom sector specifically. There is good detail on the structure of telecom regulation and its changes, though because the book’s focus is not strictly on only federal government policy and regulation, these details are nowhere summarized systematically. Rideout’s focus is on key regulatory decisions and she details the positions of those who made formal submissions or who had formal standing. Rideout’s use of sociological theory to describe changes to policy regimes makes this book less use- 455 ful for a general audience. This approach seems to substitute jargon for detail. Policy in place after World War II is described as having been able to “expand capital accumulation, contain social unrest, and develop a hegemonic environment of consent” (p. 31). As a reader without background in critical sociology, I found this theoretical approach opaque; those parts of the book read like a doctoral thesis. Further, this approach does not provide much explanation of the shifts in the relative power of the stakeholders that led to a disequilibrium in the “hegemonic environment of consent” and motivated policy changes. Rideout identifies changes in regulatory policy as having originated in the US with the shift in ideology to “neo-liberal regulation” and imported into Canada through lobbying by multinationals. She suggests further that Canadian policymakers were particularly sympathetic to the views of academic supporters of deregulation. She does discuss in some detail dissenting views and identifies groups holding those views. Rideout seems to completely ignore changes in communications technology, a significant oversight. The first major policy change since the Depression occurred in the late 1960s with the creation of the Department of Communications (now part of Industry Canada) and the shift in regulatory power over telecoms from the Board of Transport Commissioners to the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) seemingly motivated by the federal government’s demand for a domestic communications satellite system (p. 42), that is, the introduction of a new technology. Regarding deregulation, while Rideout does discuss changes in the US regulatory environment in the 1960s and 1970s and the resultant policy shifts in Canada they provoked, she does not explicitly link these changes to need for policy reform in response to technological change. It is interesting that she identifies the first major regulatory challenge in Canada coming from an application to the CRTC by Canadian National Canadian Pacific Telecommu- CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, VOL. XXX , NO. 4 2004 456 Reviews/Comptes rendus nications (CNCP Telecom) to connect its data network to Bell Canada’s public switched telephone network. Further deregulation occurs as rulings by the CRTC on various applications to utilize telecom infrastructure to offer value-added services, like long-distance; services made possible only due to continued technological change. The other drawback to the book is the manner in which it deals with the fundamental issue for consumers — cross-subsidies among telecom services. Rideout devotes significant attention to the identity and arguments of those opposed to deregulation because she contends that the increase in local telephone rates resulting from Bell’s loss of longdistance revenue, which subsidized local service, has injured lower-income households. Rideout even argues that the shift of the burden for local calls away from long-distance revenue is a form of subsidy to the heavy users of long-distance service (p. 98). CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, Rideout offers no direct evidence on the significance of this injury, and the supporting studies she has cited are too narrowly-focused. Someone who does not make long-distance calls, or who does not use any of the various enhanced services, will have been made worse off from deregulation unless local phone rates have declined in real terms, which is unlikely. However, Rideout gives no evidence as to how large this group might be. Further, her dismissal of Bell’s proposal for local service to be charged by usage rather than as a flat rate per period seems at odds with her classification of a phone as an essential service. The household with a phone for emergency use only is currently subsidizing the household with the teenager who uses local service intensively. The welfare effects of regulatory changes in the cross-subsidization of services in telecommunications can only be resolved with more detail than is outlined in this study. B YRON L EW , Department of Economics, Trent University VOL . XXX, NO . 4 2004 Reviews/Comptes rendus Trade and the Environment: Theory and Evidence by Brian R. Copeland and M. Scott Taylor. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003. This book is a welcome addition to the economic literature on trade and environment and an essential text for anyone teaching on this topic. In this succinct volume, Copeland and Taylor provide a comprehensive theoretical framework for addressing a variety of issues central to the trade and environment debate. They then go on to provide an empirical test of their theory and arrive at provocative conclusions regarding how trade liberalization and growth are likely to impact the environment. This book will be of interest to academics and policymakers alike. Copeland and Taylor organize their book around the three channels through which trade liberalization impacts the environment: the composition, scale and technique effects. These channels can be summarized as follows. Trade liberalization induces countries to produce and export goods in which they have a comparative advantage. Accordingly, countries with a comparative advantage in dirty goods should, other things being equal, see their industrial emissions rise when trade is liberalized. This is the “composition” effect of trade. Trade liberalization will also have “scale” effects. Both because trade allows countries to take advantage of scale economies, and because resources are allocated more efficiently in open economies, trade liberalization should also raise the scale of economic activity. And if output and emissions move in lock-step, then this scale effect should raise total pollution. Finally, there is substantial evidence that trade liberalization not only raises output but also incomes. Raising incomes in turn raises demand for normal goods such as environmental quality. And although environmental quality can’t be bought on eBay, citizens can demand that their governments supply it via stricter environmental regulations and cleaner production “techniques.” 457 Of these three effects of trade liberalization, the composition effect has been the most studied and perhaps the most misunderstood. Observers often point to the disparity in environmental standards between rich and poor nations and claim that this gives poor countries a comparative advantage in dirty goods production. This gives rise to the Pollution Haven hypothesis: weak regulation in poor countries will drive polluting industries to developing nations, and trade liberalization will exacerbate this problem. One of the things that Copeland and Taylor do so successfully with this book is remind readers that there are cross-country differences other than just environmental regulations that also influence comparative advantage. Most notably, comparative advantage also depends on factor endowments: if you have lots of capital, you are likely to export capital-intensive goods. This is particularly important in the case of industrial pollution, as many pollution-intensive industries are also capital-intensive industries. And it is the rich, highly regulated countries that have much of the capital. Moreover, as abatement costs are small compared to other production costs, weak environmental regulation is unlikely to overturn the more traditional determinants of comparative advantage. This is borne out in the empirical portion of their book. Copeland and Taylor use panel data on urban sulphur dioxide concentrations across countries and over time to examine the impacts of openness on trade patterns and the environment. Regarding the composition effect, they indeed find that factor endowments dominate regulatory differences, rendering resource-rich countries like Canada the most likely to see the composition of their output become more pollution intensive with trade liberalization. Should we conclude then that further trade liberalization will make Canada a dirtier place to live? No. Recall that change in the composition of industrial output is just one of the channels through which trade liberalization affects the environment: there are also scale and technique effects. One of the most provocative results of Copeland and Taylor’s em- CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, VOL. XXX , NO. 4 2004 458 Reviews/Comptes rendus pirical work is their finding of a very strong technique effect. They calculate a technique elasticity of between –0.9 and –1.5. This elasticity is interpreted as follows: if incomes rise by 1 percent but all other variables remain constant, then sulphur dioxide concentrations should fall by between ninetenths and one and a half percent. Conversely, their estimates indicate that the elasticity of pollution concentrations with respect to the scale of economic activity is comparatively small, between 0.1 and 0.4. Interpreted, this elasticity suggests that simply scaling up economic activity by 1 percent (but holding industrial composition and policy constant) should raise concentration levels by between one- and fourtenths of a percent. Putting these estimates together, Copeland and Taylor conclude that free trade will be good for the environment in many countries: although the composition effect may cause rich countries to substitute toward dirtier industries, increased demand for cleaner production techniques should dominate. When pollution policy is flexible, and follows the preferences of its citizenry, then pollution levels in both rich and poor countries should ultimately fall with trade. CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, Copeland and Taylor also contribute to the lingering debate over growth’s impact on the environment. They provide a full chapter exploring the theoretical underpinnings of the income-growthenvironment relationship. They follow up by employing their elasticity estimates to argue that whether growth harms the environment depends on how much that growth is biased in favour of dirty industry. For example, if countries grow by accumulating factors of production most useful in producing clean goods, like knowledge, then both the composition and technique effects will promote a cleaner environment. But if income growth is instead fueled by industrial capital accumulation, then Copeland and Taylor’s estimates suggest that the environment will instead deteriorate. In short, whether income growth helps or hurts the environment depends on the underlying source of that growth. CAROL MCAUSLAND, Economics, University of California Santa Barbara VOL . XXX, NO . 4 2004 Reviews/Comptes rendus In the Long Run We’re All Dead: The Canadian Turn to Fiscal Restraint by Timothy Lewis. Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press, 2003. Everyone knows the frustration of reading an author who is struggling to master an analytical framework that exceeds his or her intellectual capacity. Timothy Lewis’s In the Long Run We’re All Dead: The Canadian Turn to Fiscal Restraint presents the opposite spectacle, in many ways more painful: an evidently capable mind bent on applying a paradigm that ultimately dooms his attempt to illuminate the subject. Lewis’s exploration of federal budgeting in Canada from the mid-1970s to the late 1990s was motivated, he says in his preface, by a conviction that “an adequate account of deficit’s disrepute required much better theorizing and deeper historicizing than analysts had provided.” “Theory that could allow us to understand immediate events was notable only by its absence” Lewis charges, and goes on: “One reason to historicize deficit finance was to reveal the contemporary contempt in which fiscal deficits are held as historically contingent rather than objectively necessary.” Readers familiar with the powerful intellectual tools economists and political scientists bring to fiscal policy analysis, or with the fashionable postmodern deconstructionism that makes much of the discourse inside universities an object of amusement outside them, may encounter these words with suspicion. And rightly so: the journey they launch through an interesting and important period turns out to be peculiarly uninformative. Lewis’s opening chapter, “Fiscal Politics,” begins with Keynes’s dictum that the power of vested interests is exaggerated compared with the gradual encroachment of ideas, and proceeds — with no apparent irony — to argue that interest-driven politics shape not just the result but the terms of de- 459 bates over budgetary policy. Chapters 2 and 3 begin the narrative, covering Canada’s pre-World War II experience and the first postwar quarter-century. Chapter 4 deals with Trudeau, Mulroney gets chapters 5, 6, and 7, and chapter 8 deals with deficit elimination under Chrétien. Chapter 9, entitled “Maynard Where art Thou?” looks ahead to the gradual dissipation of neoliberalism, and speculates: “If circumstances emerge in which these ideas once again serve political ends, we can imagine the beginnings of a process by which Keynes might be gradually disinterred from his Canadian coffin.” If a lack of theories to understand Canada’s recent fiscal history inspired this book, it is natural to ask how much further ahead in this respect readers will be by its end. If by theory one means a model that highlights essential elements of human behaviour and makes predictions that past or future evidence could potentially falsify, this reviewer’s answer is “not much.” Problematically, Lewis’s definitions of Keynesianism itself are derivative, and often conflict: whether Keynes’s followers would run surpluses during periods when demand is outrunning the economy’s productive capacity, for example, is never clear for long. (Some more precisely demarcated frameworks get as rough treatment: readers are told, for example, that monetarism — a line of analysis whose essential feature is the presumption of stable relationships governing the economy’s demand for money — is about tax cuts.) His account of interest-based ideology’s role in determining policy is similarly elastic. The Mulroney government, implementer of free trade, the GST and sectoral deregulation, is such an archetype of Thatcherite neoliberalism that its non-budgetary policies dominate the middle 50-odd pages of the book. Yet Lewis’s paradigm apparently accommodates Mulroney’s failure to balance the budget as readily as it would have accommodated success — hardly a convincing demonstration of analytic power. CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, VOL. XXX , NO. 4 2004 460 Reviews/Comptes rendus Lewis is clearly uncomfortable with the strong “subjectivist” positions held by many opponents of deficit reduction. He stresses that budget numbers and other measures of fiscal position are concocted to serve political ends. Yet close by, he presents economic measures relating to national income, the labour force, and productivity growth with no such warnings. Passages such as those describing how interest payments were crowding out other elements in Ottawa’s budget, the ways mounting debt can affect expectations about future programs and taxes, and deficit reduction’s role in bringing about lower interest rates, are all lucid. But, as though on cue from an academic advisory team, the postmodern jargon soon crowds in again, leaving no room for the economic theories that might support or refute these interpretations, nor for the public choice theories that might help explain how it all came about. A related problem is the remarkable narrowness of Lewis’s historical context. Heavy state borrowing, currency debasement, and default are as old as recorded history and as widespread as the inhabited globe. Canada — notwithstanding the province of Alberta’s default in the 1930s, an episode Lewis ignores — is remarkable for its governments’ relative reliability in honouring their obligations. An exploration of fiscal history that starts on the intellectual side with Keynes, and draws selectively from the experience of a country where unmanageable government borrowing has been rare, will tend to make light of the orthodox fiscal thinking Keynes reacted against, and underestimate the force of the arguments against letting public debt grow consistently faster than taxpayers’ willingness and ability to service it. CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY – ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES, The environment became less congenial for chronic debtors after the late 1970s, partly because governments everywhere were borrowing heavily, and inflation and defaults again entered common experience. People who see their savings disappear in loans to heavily indebted governments tend to lend more carefully and demand higher interest rates the next time. Lewis makes passing reference to the peso crisis in describing fiscal policy during the mid1990s, but the writings of Canadian political scientists on such matters as the roots of secessionist pressure in Quebec and the rise of the Reform Party dominate the account. One reference to, say, Argentina would have added much to his attempt to make sense of the environment that supported fiscal consolidation in Canada. Canadian fiscal history, of course, is a work in progress, and the final chapter of this book, in which Lewis looks ahead, encapsulates this reviewer’s frustrations. A framework that accommodates just about any facts gives little guidance about what may happen next. With Canadian governments unwilling to talk straightforwardly about the long-term result of health-care budgets that persistently outpace the tax base that finances them, Canadians’ tolerance for chronic deficits will likely be tested before long. My guess is that a casual conversation with Timothy Lewis over a beer would yield some insightful speculations about the outcome. An attempt at formal analysis would need a different paradigm to do the same. WILLIAM ROBSON, Senior Vice President and Director of Research, C.D. Howe Institute VOL . XXX, NO . 4 2004