Stat 104 – Homework 6 Due Thursday October 28, 2010 October 12 – October 21 October 26 – November 2 Reading: Chapter 6 Chapter 7 Assignment: 1. Complete the following problems from the text: 6.3, 6.4, 6.7, 6.8, 6.23, 6.24, 6.27, 6.28, 6.43, and 6.44. 2. Have you ever noticed that some dogs seem to look like their owners? Michael Roy and Nicholas Christenfeld, Psychology professors at the University of California San Diego conducted a study 1 to see if people could match a dog with its owner. Pictures of 25 purebred dogs and separate pictures of their owners were taken at dog parks in Southern California. The pictures were taken so that the backgrounds were different for the dog and its owner. Study participants were shown three pictures, one of the owner and two of dogs. One of the dog pictures was actually that of the owner’s dog and the other was of another random selected dog from the study. Study participants were asked to indicate which of the two dogs most resembled the owner. Of the 25 owners of purebred dogs, 16 were matched with the correct dog. If dogs don’t resemble their owners then the probability that an owner is matched with the correct dog is 0.5 (participants are guessing). It is reasonable to assume that matching one dog to one owner is independent of matching another dog to another owner. a) Was this study an observational study or and experiment? Explain briefly. b) Use JMP to calculate the probability distribution for the number of correct matches for the set of 25 owners of purebred dogs. Have JMP round probabilities to 4 decimal places. c) Have JMP create a histogram of the probability distribution. Be sure the histogram has a probability axis. d) Describe the shape of the probability distribution. e) What is the probability that there are exactly 16 owners are matched with the correct dog? f) What is the probability that 16 or more owners are matched with the correct dog? g) What is the probability that 10 or fewer owners are matched with the correct dog? h) What is the probability that 10 or fewer owners are matched with the incorrect dog? i) What is the mean number of owners matched with the correct dog, round to 1 decimal place? Explain how the mean number can be a fraction, even though the number of correct matches is a whole number. 1 Roy and Christenfeld (2004), “Do Dogs Resemble their Owners?”, Psychological Science, 15 (5), 361363. 1 j) What is the standard deviation of the number of owners matched with the correct dog, round to 2 decimal places? k) What is the probability that the number of number of owners matched with the correct dog falls between the mean minus two standard deviations and the mean plus two standard deviations? l) Turn in the JMP data table that contains the binomial probabilities as well as the JMP output summarizing the distribution. 3. In the first lab data on the weights of unopened Fun Size bags of M&Ms were collected. In fall 2008, data on the weight of contents, just the M&Ms with no bag, were collected. Below is a histogram of weights of contents of Fun Size bags. 40 Count 60 20 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Weight of Contents (g) a) Describe the shape of the histogram. Why is it reasonable to use a normal model for the distribution of the weight of contents for all Fun Size bags of M&M’s? b) Use a normal model with μ = 18.5 g, and σ = 1.25 g for the distribution of weight of contents for Fun Size bags of M&M’s. i. What is the probability that a Fun Size bag will have a weight of contents less than 16 g? ii. What is the probability that a Fun Size bag will have a weight of contents greater than 22 g? iii. What is the probability that a Fun Size bag will have a weight of contents between 17 g and 20 g? iv. We wish to label the Fun Size bag such that 97% of all Fun Size bags will contain at least the labeled weight. What should the label weight be? 2