STAT542 HW4 SOLUTION 2.25

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STAT542 HW4 SOLUTION

2.25

a. Let Y = g(X) = X. Since g(X) is a monotone function, we have g f

Y

(y) = f

X

(g 1 (y))j d dy g 1 (y)j = f

X

( y)j 1j = f

X

(y) for every y.

1 (y) = y: And b. To show that M for all " > 0.

X

(t) is symmetric about 0 we must show that M

X

(0 + ") = M

X

(0 ")

Z

1

M

X

(0 + ") = e 0+" f

X

(x)dx

=

1 e "y

=

Z

1

1

= M

X e "y f

X

1

(0 ") f

X

( y)dy

(y)dy (f

X

(chage variable x = y) is even)

1

2.28

a.

3

=

Z

Z

=

Z

=

= 0

0

1

0

1

(x a) 3 y 3 f(x)dx = f(y + a)dy +

Z

1

1 y

Z a

1

(x a) 3 f(x)dx +

1 y 3 f(y + a)dy

3

0 Z

1 f( y + a)dy + y 3 f(y + a)dy

0

(f( y + a) = f(y + a))

Z a

1

(x a) 3 f(x)dx

(change variable y = x a) b. For f(x) = e

3 x ,

1

Z

=

1

2

= 1, therefore

3

Z

1

(x 1) 3

=

3

.

= e x dx = (x 3 3x 2 + 3x 1)e x dx

0 0

= (4) 3 (3) + 3 (2) (1) = 3! 3 2! + 3 1 1 = 3: c. Each distribution has

1

= 0, therefore we must calculate

2

= EX 2 and

4

= EX 4 .

(a) f(x) = p

1

2 e x 2 =2 ; 1 < x < 1

Note that it is the density function for standard normal N(0; 1). Thus the mgf is given by

M x

(t) = e ut+ 2 t 2 =2 = e t 2 =2

1

= d dt

M x

(t)j t=0

= e t2

2

tj t=0

= 0

4

2

= d 2 dt 2

M x

(t)j t=0

= e

3

=

= d dt

4 d 3 dt 3

4

M

M x x

(t)j

(t)j t=0 t=0

= e

= e t2

2

4

= 4

2

= t2

2 t2

2

(t 4

3

1

(t 2

(t 3

+ 6t

= 3

+ 1)j t=0

+ 3t)j t=0

2 + 3)j

= 1

= 0 t=0

= 3

2

(b)

2

4 f(x) =

Z

1

= x 2

1

1

1

2

;

=

Z x 4

1

1

2

1 < x < 1 dx =

1

2 dx = x x

6

3

5

10 j j

1

1

1

1

=

=

4

=

4

2

=

( 1

3

1

5

) 2

=

9

5

1

3

1

5

(c)

2

=

Z

4

=

Z

1

1 x 2

1

2 e

1

1 x 4

1

2 e jxj dx = jxj dx =

1

2

1

2 f(x) =

Z

0

Z

0

1

1

2 e jxj ; x 2 e x dx+

1

2

1 x 4 e x dx+

1

2

4

=

4

2

1 < x < 1

=

Z

1 x 2 e

Z

0

1 x 4 e

0

24

4

= 6 x x dx = dx =

Z

1 x 2 e

Z

0

1 x 4 e

0 x dx = (3) = 2 x dx = (5) = 24

Thus (c) is most peaked, (a) is next, and (b) is least peaked.

2.32

d 2 dt 2 d dt

S(t)j t=0

S(t)j t=0

=

= d dt d dt log[M x

(t)]j t=0

=

M

M x

(t)

(t) j t=0

= d dt

M

M x x

(t)

(t) j t=0

=

EX

M x

(t)M (t) [M

[M x

(t)] 2

1

= EX (since M

(t)] 2 j t=0

=

1 EX 2 x

1

(0) = Ee 0

(EX) 2

= 1)

= VarX.

3.2

Let X = number of defective parts in the sample. Then X is hypergeometric(N = 100; M; K) where M = number of defectives in the lot and K = sample size.

3 a. If there are 6 or more defectives in the lot, then the probability that the lot is accepted

(X = 0) is at most

P (X = 0jN = 100; M = 6; K) =

6

0

94

K

=

100

K

(100 K):::(100 K 5)

100:::95

By trial and error we nd P (X = 0) = 0:10056 for K = 31 and P (X = 0) = :09182 for K = 32. So the sample size must be at least 32.

b. Now P (accept lot) = P (X = 0 or 1), and, for 6 or more defectives, the probability is at most

P (X = 0 or 1jN = 100; M = 6; K) =

6

0

94

K

+

6

1

94

K 1

100

K

100

K

By trial and error we nd P (X = 0 or 1) = :10220 for K = 50 and P (X = 0 or 1) =

:09331 for K = 51. So the sample size must be at least 51.

3.10

a. The ways to choose 4 cocaine packets and then 2 nonconcaine packets are

The ways to choose 4 packets and then 2 more parckets are

N + M

4

Hence

P (defendant is innocent) =

N + M

4

N

4

M

2

N + M

2

4

N

4

M

2

N + M 4

2 b. Note that M = 496 N, then

P

N

=

N + M

4

N

4

M

2

N + M 4

2

=

N

4

496

4

496 N

2

; N = 4; :::; 496

492

2

.

.

Since P

N+1

P

N for large N s

=

0

@

N + 1

0

@

4

N

4 trial and error we nd

1 0

A @

1 0

A @

P

330

496 N

496 N

2

=

2

330

4

496

4

1

A

1

1

A

, the ratio> 1 for small N

. Compute numerically, we could get P

166

2

492

2

N+1

=P

N

= 0:0220809 s

4 and the ratio< 1

= 1 , N 330:33. By

P

331

=

331

4

496

4

165

2

492

2

= 0:0220817

Thus when N = 331, P

N attains its maximum and P

N

= P

331

= 0:0221.

Additional Problems

1

Var[3X(X 1) + 5] = Var[3X(X

= 9(EX 4

1)] = E[3X(X

2EX 3 + EX 2 E 2 X

1)]

2

2 E

+ 2EX

2

2

[(3X(X 1)]

EX E 2 X)

2

E() = E

(X EX)

VarX

=

Var() = Var

(X EX)

VarX

EX EX

VarX

=

VarX

VarX

= 0

= 1

3

M y

(t) = Ee ty = Ee (ax+b)t = Ee atx e bt = e bt Ee atx = e bt M x

(at)

4

M v

M u

(t) =

(t) = e t t

1

;

1

1 t

; t < 1:

Let X p

Varu

= p

12u p

3, Y p

Varv

= v 1. Using the result of equation 3, we have

M

X

(t) = e p

3t

2 p e

3t p

3t

;

5

M

Y

(t) = e t

1 t

; t < 1:

Mu(t)

Mv(t)

Mx(t)

My(t)

−6 −4 −2 0 t

2 4 6

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