W. Allen Miller, Gennadiy Koev, and B. R. Mohan Iowa State University, Ames !RE 4HERE 2ISKS !SSOCIATED WITH 4RANSGENIC 2ESISTANCE TO ,UTEOVIRUSES Engineering crops for disease resistance is one of the first and most successful examples of the application of plant genetic engineering for crop improvement. Numerous, diverse approaches have been used to genetically engineer virus resistance in plants. These will not be reviewed in this article; instead the reader is advised to read other reviews (4,25,49,78). By far the most common and successful general strategy has been pathogen-derived resistance, in which plants are transformed with a gene or sequence from the virus. These plants show varying levels of resistance, by a variety of mechanisms, to the virus from which the gene was derived. The two most common viral genes used are those coding for the coat protein and the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase. The polymerase, also known as replicase, is the enzyme that copies the viral genome. (Although the two terms differ somewhat in meaning, for the purposes of this review they will be used interchangeably.) The coat protein gene Dr. Miller’s address is: Plant Pathology Department, 351 Bessey Hall, Iowa State University, Ames 50011; 515/294-2436, Fax: 515/294-9420, E-mail: wamiller@iastate.edu, W3: http://www. public.iastate.edu/~wamiller/ Publication no. D-1997-0523-04F © 1997 The American Phytopathological Society 700 Plant Disease / Vol. 81 No. 7 tends to confer resistance to a broader range of related viruses, but resistance is often incomplete, with the plant showing delayed and milder symptoms than the untransformed plant. Resistance can be overcome by extremely high levels of inoculum or by inoculation with naked viral RNA (31). In contrast, polymerase (replicase) gene-mediated resistance can confer complete immunity, but only to virus strains with very high sequence homology to the one from which the transgene was derived (28). Because transgenic resistance using these two viral genes is the most widely used, including against luteoviruses, most of the discussion of risk will deal with these two approaches. Like many other major technological advances, transgenic resistance to pathogens offers not only advantages but also potential risks (71). These potential risks have aroused controversy (18,35). We use a simple definition of risk paraphrased from Goy and Duesing (29): (probability of an event occurring) × (potential damage or loss resulting from the event) = risk. Throughout the paper, we will distinguish between probability of an event happening and the potential damage, because they are separate aspects of any interaction. This review is predicated on the notion that (i) comparison of luteoviral genome sequences, (ii) understanding the replication mechanisms, (iii) observation of interac- tions of luteoviruses with each other and with their hosts, and (iv) observation of cross-hybridization between luteovirus host plants and weedy relatives allow prediction of potential risks in virus-derived transgenic resistance strategies. We discuss three categories involving risk. The first comprises interactions that do not involve any genomic rearrangements between the transgene product and an invading virus. The second category is recombination between the transgene and the invading virus that can create new strains or viruses. The third category is the potential escape of the transgene via pollen to weedy relatives of the transgenic host. Discussion of the first two points is particularly relevant because we will provide evidence that the probability of these events occurring may be greater for luteoviruses than for most other plant viruses. Luteoviruses. Luteoviruses represent one of the most economically significant groups of plant viruses. The most-studied members include barley yellow dwarf viruses (BYDVs), beet western yellows virus (BWYV), and potato leafroll virus (PLRV), all of which cause serious losses on their hosts and are worldwide in distribution (44,47). Luteoviruses (62) are phloem-limited, spherical viruses that often cause yellowing, reddening, and/or stunting of their hosts (47) (Fig. 1). They are not mechanically transmissible. Instead, they are transmitted by aphids (Fig. 2) in a circulative, nonpropagative manner only by certain aphid species. Intimate interactions between luteoviruses and their vectors have co-evolved (59). The viral genome consists of a single RNA molecule that is about 5.5 kb long and codes for 5 to 6 proteins (46,48). Efforts are under way to genetically engineer resistance to these three viruses and to other luteoviruses such as beet mild yellowing virus, cucurbit aphid-borne yellows virus, and groundnut rosette assistor virus. Based on cytopathology, serology, and genome sequences, luteoviruses have been divided into two distinct subgroups. This distinction is revealed when the genome organizations of the subgroups are compared (Fig. 3). Two essential genes, those coding for the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase and the coat protein, have very different origins, depending on the subgroup (26,48). The polymerase genes of subgroup I luteoviruses are more closely related to those of the dianthovirus (e.g., red clover necrotic mosaic virus), umbravirus (e.g., carrot mottle virus), and carmovirus (e.g., carnation mottle virus) groups than they are to genes of the subgroup II luteovirus polymerases. The polymerases of subgroup II luteoviruses are most closely related to those of the sobemoviruses (e.g., southern bean mosaic virus). Phylogenetic analyses reveal that the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase genes of subgroup I and subgroup II luteoviruses are as different as such genes can get (40,80). No other virus group in any kingdom has such an extreme dichotomy in polymerase gene origins (40,80). In contrast, the coat protein genes of all luteoviruses are much more closely related to each other than to the coat protein genes of viruses in any other group. The blue shading in Figure 3 demarcates the region of similarity between the subgroups. The other luteovirus genes that share intragroup homology include an extension to the coat protein that is probably required for aphid transmission (AT, Fig. 3) (6,9) and possibly cell-to-cell movement (MP?) (6), and an overlapping gene (MP?, Fig. 3) that is required for systemic infection by BYDV (9) but not by BWYV (82). It is likely that these genes in this common region confer on luteoviruses their distinctive properties, including icosahedral particle shape, circulative, nonpropagative transmission by aphids, serological cross-reactivity, and confinement to the phloem. Interactions Between Transgene Products and Virus Heterologous encapsidation. Coat protein–mediated resistance is probably the most widely used form of virus-derived transgenic resistance (4). This strategy has been applied successfully against viruses of many groups, including the luteoviruses (38). The first virus-resistant transgenic plant to be marketed was squash expressing coat protein of zucchini yellow mosaic virus (2), and it is likely that coat protein– mediated resistance will be used widely in the near future. In addition to its obvious roles in encapsidating and protecting the viral genome, plant virus coat proteins can Fig. 1. Luteovirus disease symptoms and synergistic interactions. H indicates uninoculated plants. (A) Natural field infection of oats (Avena sativa) by unidentified strain(s) of barley yellow dwarf virus (BYDV). Severely infected plant on left; moderate symptoms on right. Note the sterile florets (white, wispy “dead heads”) that produce no grain and the reddening or yellowing of leaves. (B and C) Oats infected with different strains of RPV (R), PAV (P), or both (R+P) BYDVs. In panel B, the host is GAF/Park oats on which the RPV-NY isolate is mild, and the PAV-IL isolate is so severe that the mixed infection is only slightly more severe than PAV alone. In panel C, on an Australian cultivar, stunting is the most obvious symptom caused by Australian isolates, and the mixed infection causes more stunting than either isolate alone (photo by P. M. Waterhouse). (D and E) Carrot motley dwarf disease caused by mixed infection of carrot red leaf luteovirus and carrot mottle umbravirus (photos by B. W. Falk). (F) Shepherd’s purse (Capsella bursa-pastoris) plants infected with a mild strain of beet western yellows virus (BWYV) (B) or the ST9 strain which contains mild BWYV RNA plus ST9-associated RNA (B+ST9a) (photo by B. W. Falk). Plant Disease / July 1997 701 affect important biological properties. The coat protein plays a role in virus movement within the plant, in manifestation of disease symptoms, and in determining aphid transmission properties. Does expression of a viral coat protein in transgenic plants pose a risk? One possibility is heterologous encapsidation (Fig. 4). If a transgenic plant expressing a coat protein of virus A becomes infected with virus B, there is a chance that genomic RNA of virus B can get encapsidated in the transgenically expressed virus A coat protein and thereby acquire characteristics determined by virus A coat protein, including the ability to move in the plant or altered vector specificity. Examples that support this scenario are known. When coat protein–defective mutants of tobacco mosaic virus (TMV) were complemented by the coat protein produced in transgenic tobacco plants, the mutant acquired the ability to spread systemically in the plant, which the nonencapsidated mutant virus was unable to do alone (55). Also, an aphid-nontransmissible mutant of zucchini yellow mosaic virus acquired aphid transmissibility due to heterologous encapsidation upon inoculation to a plum pox virus coat protein–expressing plant (42). Heterologous encapsidation Fig. 2. Rhopalosiphum padi (oat bird-cherry aphid), the vector for PAV and RPV barley yellow dwarf viruses. Fig. 3. Genome organizations of luteovirus subgroups. Representative members of each subgroup are listed below each map. Solid black lines represent the viral genomic RNA. Boxes indicate genes. Blue shading, genes with sequence similarities between subgroups; yellow, sequence similarity to umbra-, diantho-, and carmoviruses; green, sequence similarity to sobemoviruses. POL, RNA-dependent RNA polymerase; PRO, putative protease; CP, coat protein; MP?, putative movement protein; AT, read-through domain of the coat protein gene required for aphid transmission. BYDV, barley yellow dwarf virus; SDV, soybean dwarf virus; SCRLV, subterranean clover red leaf virus; BWYV, beet western yellows virus; BMYV, beet mild yellowing virus; CABYV, cucurbit aphid-borne virus; PLRV, potato leafroll virus; GRAV, groundnut rosette assistor virus; CRLV, carrot red leaf virus. 702 Plant Disease / Vol. 81 No. 7 was also observed in transgenic potato plants expressing the coat protein gene of the O strain of potato virus Y (PVY O) upon infection with the N strain of the same virus (PVYN) (20). In natural and laboratory settings, heterologous encapsidation has been observed in mixed luteovirus infections (barley yellow dwarf luteoviruses) which resulted in altered vector specificities (64,77). The numerous and widespread examples of heterologous encapsidation interactions among luteoviruses suggest that this may be a natural determinant of luteovirus epidemiology (65). Thus, it has been speculated that transgenic heterologous encapsidation interactions might occur between a genome of an infecting luteovirus (or other virus) and the transgenically expressed coat protein of another luteovirus or serotype (Fig. 4). The risk of transgenic heterologous encapsidation is extremely low, in both the probability and potential damage variables of the risk equation. Regarding probability, in all reported cases of transgenic expression of luteovirus coat protein, the level of coat protein is so low as to be undetectable or nearly so (3,38,39). The coat protein produced by the invading virus would be orders of magnitude greater in concentration and would thus overwhelmingly favor encapsidation in the invading virus’s own coat protein. Secondly, it is possible that the coat protein does not confer all of the aphid specificity determinants. A lowabundance form of the coat protein that contains a long extension at one end, produced by read-through of the stop codon during translation, is probably required for aphid transmission (6,10,21,36,75) (Fig. 1). The extended region may also confer vector specificity. This extended form has not been used in constructs employing coat protein–mediated resistance. Thus, any heterologously encapsidated RNA may not acquire the vector specificity of the virus from which the transgene is derived. Even if the invading RNA did acquire new vector specificity from the transgenic coat protein, the potential damage is low; the heterologously encapsidated virus could be transmitted only once by the new aphid vector because the genetic material (RNA) in the heterologously encapsidated virus still encodes its own vector specificity. The spread would be limited to a rare transmission event (which could happen anyway because aphid vector specificity is not absolute) within the field of transgenic plants and adjacent plants. Additional research is forthcoming to determine whether vector specificity is determined by the coat protein or by the fused read-through protein. Future research strategies could then further minimize risk by deleting or altering the vector transmission determinant(s) in the transgenic coat protein gene. An intriguing new perceived risk has come to light with the observation that mixed infections of potato spindle tuber viroid (PSTVd, an infectious RNA with no coat protein) and PLRV can result in encapsidation of PSTVd RNA in PLRV virions and subsequent aphid transmission of PSTVd (61). This could potentially increase the spread of PSTVd, which has no natural vector and is transmitted only by mechanical means. However, the encapsidation is highly inefficient, with one PSTVd molecule encapsidated for every 3,000 to 5,000 PLRV genomes (61). Furthermore, due to the nearly undetectable levels of transgenically expressed coat protein and to the absence of the coat protein read-through domain, such an event need not be considered a significant risk. Synergistic interactions. Of greater concern should be the possibility for synergistic interactions between the virusderived transgene product and a challenging virus. In certain combinations, mixed infections of two viruses produce symptoms much more severe than those caused by either of the viruses alone. Generally, these viruses are unrelated or distantly related, as closely related viruses tend to cross-protect against one another (24). Such synergisms are quite common among luteoviruses and their relatives. As previously described, luteoviruses can be divided into two subgroups based on the homologies of the polymerase genes (Fig. 1). This dichotomy can be extended to related luteo-like viruses and RNAs. These include the umbraviruses, the enamoviruses, and the ST9-associated (ST9a) RNA that is associated with the ST9 isolate of BWYV. ST9a RNA enhances BWYV replication and greatly exacerbates disease symptoms (Fig. 1F) (19). This RNA codes for a subgroup I–like polymerase (11) and can replicate autonomously in laboratory experiments (56), but it lacks genes for many luteoviral functions, including a coat protein. The coat-proteinless umbraviruses also have subgroup I–like polymerase genes, are capable of autonomous replication, and are invariably found associated with subgroup II luteoviruses, upon which they depend for aphid transmission (54). Carrot motley dwarf disease results from a mixed infection of carrot mottle umbravirus and carrot red leaf luteovirus (Fig. 1D and E). The only known enamovirus is pea enation mosaic virus (PEMV). PEMV contains two RNAs, each of which can replicate autonomously in plant cells, but which depend on each other for cell-to-cell movement and encapsidation functions (13). All of these viruses and RNAs have been found in various pairs in which an RNA coding for a subgroup I–like RNA polymerase enhances replication of an RNA coding for a subgroup II–like polymerase which, in turn, benefits the subgroup I–like RNA (Table 1). These viruses and RNAs seem to represent an evolutionary continuum ranging from (i) luteoviruses that replicate on their own but repli- cate even better when combined with a synergistic partner of the other subgroup, to (ii) symbiotic RNAs that rely on a luteovirus for a function such as encapsidation and in exchange somehow enhance the luteovirus’s accumulation (ST9a RNA and umbraviruses), to (iii) two luteoviruslike RNAs that have become so interdependent that they have become a single bipartite virus (PEMV). Can individual viral transgenes that confer resistance to one virus act synergistically with unrelated infecting viruses to exacerbate symptoms? This is not yet known for luteoviruses, but the work of Vance et al. (74) demonstrates clearly that this can occur for a different set of synergistically interacting viruses. The mixed infection of two unrelated viruses, potato virus X (PVX, a potexvirus) and a potyvirus such as potato virus Y (PVY), tobacco vein mottling virus (TVMV), or tobacco etch virus (TEV), is more severe in to- bacco plants than infection by either virus alone (74). Transgenic plants expressing a specific portion of either the TEV or the TVMV genome showed the severe symptoms characteristic of the synergistic mixed infection upon inoculation with PVX alone. Thus, plants expressing a transgene from one virus actually were more severely affected when infected by an unrelated virus. This type of risk could be controlled by simply removing the transgenic crop variety from production. However, the consequences are by no means trivial. The widespread use of crop plants that contained a susceptibility gene analogous to the described synergy events led to one of the worst epiphytotics in U.S. history. The 1970 southern corn leaf blight epidemic resulted from millions of acres being planted with corn containing the T-cytoplasm, which confers cytoplasmic male sterility (cms). Unfortunately, the same gene that confers cms (t-urf13) also con- Fig. 4. Potential heterologous encapsidation of an invading virus by a transgenically expressed coat protein. Colored lines represent RNA of invading virus (green) or transgenically expressed coat protein message (red). Ribosomes (gray spheres) translate coat protein mRNA (colored lines) to produce coat protein subunits (colored spheres), which assemble on viral RNA to form virions shown at the bottom. As an example, subgroup II barley yellow dwarf virus (BYDV)-RPV (green) could probably infect a plant transformed with subgroup I BYDV-PAV coat protein gene (red), because coat protein amino acid sequences of these viruses are only about 50% identical. If an RPV RNA was encapsidated in enough PAV coat protein, it could acquire the ability to be transmitted by the English grain aphid, Sitobion avenae, which is a vector for PAV but not for RPV. Drawing indicates how coat protein expressed from abundant replicating viral mRNA would be predicted to accumulate at much higher levels than transgenically expressed coat protein. Thus, phenotypic mixing and transcapsidation with significant levels of transgenic coat protein would be rare (indicated by <). Plant Disease / July 1997 703 fers high susceptibility to the T-toxin of Cochliobolus heterostrophus (60). Favorable weather conditions allowed the pathogen to spread across the Midwest, devastating crops. The problem was “solved” by discontinuing the use of T-cytoplasm maize. Theoretically, a similar type of event could occur if millions of acres were planted with any crop expressing a viral gene that confers extra susceptibility to an unanticipated virus or other pathogen. It should be noted that the southern corn leaf blight epidemic actually demonstrates the risks that can arise even with nontransgenic crop plants when a single genotype is planted too widely. What about luteoviruses? The region of the potyviral genome that conferred synergy did not include the polymerase gene (74). In contrast, the one feature common to the luteoviral synergistic interactions is the paired polymerases of divergent origin (Table 1). Thus, the most likely candidate gene for the synergy is the polymerase gene. Because the most extreme transgenic resistance to plant viruses, including luteoviruses (72), is in transgenic plants encoding the polymerase (28), synergistic interactions between a polymerase transgene derived from a luteovirus of one subgroup and an invading virus from the other subgroup may be possible. However, as described below, these risks can be minimized. New pathogenic RNAs? Transgenic plants expressing the viral replicase present a host of fascinating possibilities in addition to the synergism described above. For example, many otherwise nonviable deletion mutants of the viral genome could now be replicated and thus be pathogenic. The replicase (expressed as a fusion of open reading frames [ORFs] 1 and 2, Fig. 1) is the only viral gene product needed for luteoviral RNA replication in plant cells (51,63). The termini of the viral genome are also needed, presumably because they contain the replication origins. Owing to recombination and the high mutation rate in RNA replication, many RNA molecules in a given virus infection are likely noninfectious, but just “go along for the ride” and get copied if they contain appropriate replication origins (14). Such defective interfering (DI) RNAs have been found in the tombusvirus group (34), which is related to luteovirus subgroup I. They usually attenuate, but can exacerbate (43) disease symptoms. Transgenic plants expressing the replicase in every plant cell could replicate these defective RNAs and greatly increase the effective population of viable RNAs. This has been demonstrated in transgenic plants expressing a tombusvirus replicase (66). Taking this one step further, it is conceivable that a functional replicase in an uninfected transgenic plant may copy host RNAs with some very low efficiency in the absence of the much more competitive natural viral template. Given enough time, these host-derived RNAs could evolve into efficient templates. This resembles the proposed origin of variant subviral bacteriophage RNAs (73) and of plant satellite RNAs (23). These RNAs could be new pathogens specific for the transgenic plants, but could also be acquired by an infecting virus. Acquisition of new, replicating RNAs by a virus could effectively generate new virus strains. Steps to avoid synergistic and related risks. The possibility that a luteovirus- derived transgene that confers resistance to one virus would confer enhanced susceptibility to its synergistic partner virus is real, but it may depend on the gene used to confer resistance. It is unlikely that the coat protein is involved directly in synergy because several of the subgroup I–like RNAs (e.g., ST9a RNA) that enhance subgroup II RNA (e.g., BWYV RNA) replication lack coat proteins. In contrast, polymerase-mediated resistance could pose a risk if the above hypothesis proposing involvement of this gene product in synergy is correct or if the scenario of RNA amplification occurs. Unfortunately from this viewpoint, in the case of PLRV, transgenic plants expressing the full polymerase gene showed far more complete resistance than did those transformed with the coat protein gene (72). On the bright side, resistance in transgenic plants transformed with the coat protein or polymerase genes often is not due to the gene product, but rather is due to an unsolved mechanism in which presence of the transgenic RNA somehow suppresses both its own accumulation and that of the invading virus (52,69). These plants express very little viral transgene product and thus would not be likely to interact synergistically with an invading virus. If it turns out that this mechanism applies to luteoviruses, the possibility of polymerase-mediated synergistic interaction would be very remote. Another safety valve would be to mutate or truncate the polymerase transgene so that the encoded protein is inactive in replication but the gene still confers resistance. This has been achieved for several viruses (7,28,45). Recombination Table 1. Continuum of synergistically interacting pairs of viruses and RNAa Polymerase homology Subgroup II (-like) Subgroup I (-like) Host BYDV-RPV BYDV-PAV Cereals BWYV ST9a RNA CRLV CMoV (umbra) Beet, lettuce, Shepherd’s purse, others Carrot GRAV GRV (umbra) Groundnut (peanut) PEMV RNA1 (enamo) PEMV RNA2 (enamo) Legumes a 704 Effect More severe stunting, yellowing, reddening, sterility (Fig. 1). Higher virus titer More severe stunting, necrosis in Shepherd’s purse (Fig. 1). Higher virus titer (19) Carrot motley dwarf disease (Fig. 1). More severe symptoms, aphid transmission of CMoV (76) GRAV alone is symptomless. Presence of GRV and its satellite RNA causes rosette symptoms (53). GRAV allows aphid transmission of these RNAs Ability to infect plants. These are two components of a bipartite virus, but each RNA is capable of independent replication in plant cells (13) Virus group assigned to the nonluteovirus or RNA is in parentheses. BYDV, barley yellow dwarf virus; BWYV, beet western yellows virus; CRLV, carrot red leaf virus; CMoV, carrot mottle virus; GRAV, groundnut rosette assistor virus; GRV, groundnut rosette virus; PEMV, pea enation mosaic virus. Plant Disease / Vol. 81 No. 7 Recombination is the joining or splicing together of two separate RNA molecules to create a molecule with a new sequence. In theory, recombination between a transgenically expressed mRNA with a luteoviral sequence and the genomic RNA of an infecting virus could create a new viral RNA with new properties. Such events have been observed for other viruses. Transgenic Nicotiana benthamiana plants expressing a portion of the coat protein gene of cowpea chlorotic mottle virus were inoculated with a mutant form of the virus in which a part of the coat protein gene corresponding to the transgene was deleted (30). Progeny virus was recovered in which the coat protein gene defect was repaired by recombination with the transgenic RNA. Some of the progeny had mutations that allowed them to cause more severe chlorosis in indicator plants than did the parental virus (1). In a second example, transgenic tobacco (Nicotiana bigelovii) plants expressing gene VI from a strain of cauliflower mosaic virus (CaMV) capable of infecting N. bigelovii were inoculated with a different strain of CaMV that was unable to infect nontransgenic N. bigelovii (67). Two weeks after inoculation, the originally nonpathogenic strain acquired the ability to accumulate in the transgenic N. bigelovii plants because it acquired the transgenic gene VI by recombination. The recombinant progeny virus could now infect nontransgenic N. bigelovii plants, and it caused new, including more severe, symptoms in some hosts (67). The ability of this virus to acquire a new host range and symptomatology may be a cause for concern. However, the investigators think that the probability of recombination was much greater for the cauliflower mosaic virus group (caulimoviruses) than for other groups because the replication enzymes must perform a recombination-like event during normal caulimoviral genome replication. Falk and Bruening (18) argued that recombination between viruses has occurred throughout evolutionary history and that natural selection has generated the most fit viruses. All the recombination events described occurred under strong artificial selective pressure favoring the recombinants. In the field, this is less likely to be the case. Thus, any new viruses generated by recombination with transgenes would be selected against, unable to compete with “natural” viruses that have been honed by millions of years of evolution. However, agricultural practices generally are not at evolutionary equilibrium. Thus, the chances of new viruses being generated and spreading, at least transiently, are worth considering. How do luteoviruses measure up in terms of the probability of recombination occurring? We predict that it is more likely than for most viruses, based on the clear evidence that recombination has occurred more recently in the evolution of luteoviruses than in other plant viruses (26,48). The probable sites of recombination are the regions of the genome sequence at which the similarity between subgroups begins and ends (Fig. 5). It turns out that these boundaries, one located between the polymerase (POL) and coat protein (CP) genes and another located after the aphid transmission gene (AT), coincide with the start sites for synthesis of subgenomic mRNAs (48). A half-genome-length subgenomic mRNA is the message for translation of the coat protein and neighboring genes (Fig. 5, in blue) of all luteoviruses, and a smaller one may serve for translation of the smaller gene near the end of the genome of BYDV-PAV. During replication, the viral polymerase not only copies the whole genome, but also synthesizes these subgenomic mRNAs. Based on work on other viruses (15), we propose that it recognizes a specific RNA sequence, binds the RNA there, and then begins copying to make new RNA. Such recognition sites are likely to be located at the end of the genomic RNA for full-length genome rep- lication and also internally at the subgenomic mRNA start sites. Indeed, a conserved nucleotide sequence is present at these locations (48). We propose that, occasionally during evolution, mixed infections occurred in which the replicase fell off in the process of copying a template RNA. Then, without releasing the nascent strand, it bound the RNA of another virus at the subgenomic mRNA promoter sequence for which it has affinity. After this strand switch, it would resume copying until it completed the new template, resulting in a hybrid virus (Fig 5). The subgenomic mRNA start sites of subgroup I–like dianthoviruses and subgroup II luteoviruses are known to have homology (48,81), so the model in Figure 5A is particularly feasible. This would create a hybrid virus with a polymerase gene of a dianthovirus and the coat protein and neighboring genes of a subgroup II luteovirus. After a subsequent recombination occurring downstream of the aphid transmission gene at the next subgenomic RNA promoter, the resulting progeny Fig. 5. Model for origin of luteovirus subgroups. Solid black lines represent viral genomic RNA. Dashed lines indicate subgenomic RNAs. Boxes indicate genes. Blue shading, genes with sequence similarities between subgroups; yellow, sequence similarity to umbra-, diantho-, and carmoviruses; green, sequence similarity to sobemoviruses. Gray boxes represent putative origins of replication and subgenomic mRNA promoters. POL, RNA-dependent RNA polymerase; PRO, putative protease; CP, coat protein; MP?, putative movement protein; AT, read-through domain of the coat protein gene required for aphid transmission. Pink line shows the proposed path of the replicase as it switched strands during copying of viral RNAs in a mixed infection. Plant Disease / July 1997 705 would be a subgroup I luteovirus. A reciprocal recombination between a sobemovirus similar to cocksfoot mottle virus (CfMV) and a subgroup I luteovirus would require only a single crossing over event followed by premature termination to generate a subgroup II luteovirus. Recombination at the predicted sequences has not been observed directly in luteoviruses but has occurred between an invading virus and a transgene of a closely related virus. Tobacco plants were constructed to express RNA2 of red clover necrotic mosaic dianthovirus (RCNMV) lacking its 5′ terminus, including the proposed replication origin that is shared with subgroup II luteoviruses. After inoculation of RNA1, which is not infectious on its own, infectious progeny viruses were obtained in which recombination allowed transgenic RNA2 to acquire the putative origin of replication sequence either from the end of RNA1 or from a sequence in the middle of the RNA (79), both of which have sequence homology to the predicted origin (48,81). The original transgenic RNAs had the 3′ replication origin, which may have allowed replicase access to facilitate the recombination event. Thus, the risk could be greatly reduced by ensuring that no replication origins are included in the transgene. To aid in this design, our lab is in the process of identifying replicase recognition sites. Transgene Escape Many cultivated plants have relatives that are weeds. Some of these crop species can cross-pollinate with their weedy relatives and thereby exchange genetic information. Thus, there is a possibility that viral genes that confer resistance on transgenic crops might escape with the pollen and end up in weeds. The transgene transfer probability is determined by the biological characteristics of the species, whereas the consequences are a subject for speculation. Although pollen escape is not an environmental risk peculiar to transgenic plants (37) or to luteovirus hosts, the fact that some plants from the luteovirus host range readily cross-pollinate with their wild relatives should be considered. For instance, important hosts of BWYV, lettuce (Lactuca sativa), and cultivated beets (Beta vulgaris) have weedy relatives with which they can cross-pollinate (5,37). On the other hand, all weedy relatives with which cultivated beets can hybridize are from the same species, Beta vulgaris, which does not seem to serve as a virus reservoir (17). There is also a possibility of transgene escape from transformed, PLRV-resistant potatoes to some wild species of the family Solanaceae. Twenty-four species have been identified that can successfully cross with seven potato cultivars (32). However, the closest wild potato relatives in Europe would be highly unlikely to be fertilized with potato pollen (16). Regarding hosts of BYDVs, related weeds also exist. For cultivated oat (Avena sativa), the outcrossing rate with its wild relative A. sterilis has been shown to vary from 1.8 to 8.7% (68). We transferred transgenes from A. sativa to the weed A. fatua by manual pollination of emasculated A. fatua plants. Fertilization and germination rates were very low, but the A. sativa × A. fatua hybrid plants that were recovered were transgenic and fertile (G. Koev, unpublished). Whether such an outcrossing event is likely to occur in the field in this self-pollinating species remains to be determined. Another BYDV host, cultivated rice, was found to hybridize with the weed red rice at rates between 1 and 52%, depending on the cultivar, under fairly natural conditions (41). With luteoviruses, there are two potential scenarios. First, having acquired genes for resistance, the weeds could become more of a problem if the virus had been a natural limiting factor for their growth. There is no evidence to support this. On the other hand, resistant weeds could reduce the natural reservoir of the virus and lower the infection pressure on the crop. BYDVs can infect a wide range of host plants in the Poaceae. However, the importance of wild relatives as an inoculum resource has not been clearly determined for BYDVs. Some scientists do not con- An advertisement appears in the printed journal in this space. 706 Plant Disease / Vol. 81 No. 7 sider weedy Poaceae species an important reservoir of the virus, at least not in North America (33). However, adjacent reservoirs have been reported to be important sources for infection by BYDV (8). Recent field surveys suggest that wild grasses have a very high incidence of BYDVs, but infection is often symptomless (58). Thus, wild species are at least tolerant of BYDV. In fact, some wild Poaceae such as Thinopyron (Agropyron) and others have been used as resistance sources for cereal breeding (12). Because virus infection can positively or negatively affect seed production of wild grasses (58), the escape of a transgene that confers high resistance or immunity to BYDV could affect the ecology of native grasses and weeds if it were to spread through the population. This could also reduce the reservoir of BYDV that could serve as an inoculum source. Conclusions Most of this article is speculative because more knowledge is needed. Areas of research that would be particularly relevant include the following: 1. Identification of the sequences in the coat protein and aphid transmission genes that are required for aphid transmission and that confer vector specificity would be valuable in predicting the likelihood of heterologous encapsidation conferring new vector specificity. If such regions could be omitted while still conferring resistance, the probability would be reduced. 2. Identification of the viral genes that confer the ability to synergistically enhance accumulation of other virus(es) would be important to avoid or predict the possibility of particular invading viruses causing more severe symptoms. 3. In the established and soon-to-be constructed transgenic, luteovirus-resistant plants, it would be valuable to determine whether the resistance is conferred by the “homology-dependent” suppression identified by Mueller et al. (52). This would be indicated if resistant lines show less transgene RNA accumulation than do some more susceptible transgenic lines, and if low RNA accumulation and resistance co-segregate in a dominant fashion. If so, one of the most exciting fundamental questions in plant molecular biology should be asked: what is the mechanism of this homology-dependent, RNA-based suppression? This is an example of a plant pathology study that may lead to the discovery of new mechanisms of gene expression regulation in general. 4. A better understanding of the mechanism of replication is essential to allow prediction of recombination probability. Mapping the origins of replication and the subgenomic mRNA promoters would be a good start. Such sequences 5. 6. 7. 8. should be avoided in transgenic plants. A more empirical approach of seeking recombination hot spots is to simply sequence more luteovirus isolates. This has allowed identification of recombination sites not predicted by our subgenomic promoter model (27). This information is also useful to get an idea of how much variation exists in the field. This would allow more informed predictions of the effectiveness of a particular transgene and of the probability of a more distantly related luteovirus being available to act synergistically or recombine with the transgene. Actual observation of recombination between virus and transgene, such as the work begun by Xiong et al. (79) with the related dianthoviruses, is obviously valuable. An intriguing extension of this work would be to look for recombination between viruses of different groups to test the models in Figure 5. Outcrossing rates of luteovirus hosts and weedy relatives under field conditions must be determined. Currently, only anecdotes of such events exist for most luteovirus hosts. Data that would allow estimates of probability of hybridization occurring are insufficient. Ecological effects of resistant weeds need to be tested. If the probability of transgene escape is determined, then the potential consequences of such an event must also be determined in a reasonably quantitative way. Finally, despite all possible predictions and knowledge, we will never fully know the risks until transgenic crops are planted widely. Events too rare to detect in lab or field trials may show up only after many years of planting millions of acres. Thus, we must continue to be aware of the possibility that unexpected diseases or weeds that arise from time to time may be a consequence of transgenic, pathogen-derived resistance. If the suggested areas of research have been pursued in advance, an explanation for and thus a means of prevention of such a transgene-induced outbreak could be applied quickly. In addition to the measures we described to avoid risks of pathogen-derived resistance, other novel strategies could be tried to induce transgenic resistance, for example, expression of antiviral antibodies in plants (70) or the use of human antiviral pathways such as the interferon-induced RNase L system, which has been adapted to plants (50). Engineering aphid resistance would effectively provide resistance to luteoviruses. However, these approaches may pose their own new risks and, being less developed, are likely to be available only in the next generation of transgenic resistant plants. Finally, although this review is on the risks and not the benefits of transgenic resistance, we would like to finish with a brief but very important mention of the latter. We think that virtually all of the above scenarios have a very low probability and would cause less damage than if no transgenic resistance is pursued. Few natural resistance genes to luteoviruses exist. Current means of controlling luteoviruses involve eliminating reservoir species and aphicidal spraying, which is expensive and more harmful to the environment than the risk scenarios. Incidents of waterfowl kills owing to insecticide spraying in order to control aphids in wheat have been documented (22). The more common alternative to pesticides is simply living with occasional luteovirus outbreaks. Thus, in the present situation, the probability of either insecticide use or luteovirus infection is high. The damage of either is evident. The worst consequences of transgenic resistance discussed in this article would be less damaging than the luteovirus outbreaks we currently live with. Thus, the risks would certainly be outweighed by the benefits and, in most cases, readily controlled. This will be tested soon. NatureMark’s NewLeaf potatoes (developed by Monsanto Company) with combined replicase-mediated resistance to PLRV (72) and Bt-resistance to Colorado potato beetle are being marketed with the promise of greatly reduced pesticide inputs (57). Acknowledgments We thank Bryce Falk for valuable comments on the manuscript, Peter Waterhouse and Bryce Falk for providing photographs, and Zhongguo Xiong for providing unpublished data. This work was funded by USDA Risk Assessment Research Grants Program, grant no. 94392100531. This is paper J-17141 of the Iowa State University Agricultural and Home Economics Experiment Station Project 3270 and is supported by Hatch Act and State of Iowa funds. Literature Cited 1. 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He received his B.A. in biology at Carleton College in 1978 and his Ph.D. in molecular biology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison in 1984, where he studied replication of brome mosaic virus RNA in the laboratory of Tim Hall. He worked with Peter Waterhouse and Wayne Gerlach at the CSIRO Division of Plant Industry, Canberra, Australia, from 1984 to 1988, where he determined the first complete nucleotide sequence of a luteovirus, BYDV-PAV, and codiscovered a satellite RNA of BYDV-RPV. He has been at Iowa State since 1988 studying replication of BYDV and its satellite RNA, novel translation mechanisms, and transgenic resistance in oats. Mr. Koev is a graduate student in the Plant Pathology Department of Iowa State University. In 1994, he received his Specialist degree at the National Agricultural University, Kiev, Ukraine, majoring in plant protection. The same year he started his M.S. program at Iowa State in the laboratory of W. Allen Miller. 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