Budget Outlook - North Carolina's Public Schools March 1, 2010 For an overview of current revenue collections and forecasts, please visit the General Fund Revenue & Economic Outlook at the following link (prepared by the Fiscal Research Division of the North Carolina General Assembly): http://www.ncleg.net/fiscalresearch/generalfund_outlook/generalfund_outlook.shtml Review Current Year - FY 2009-10 Recurring Cuts: Negative Reserve Other Recurring Non-Recurring Cuts: Textbooks Noninstructional Support Other Non-recurring $225.0 105.4 $ 330.4 $ $ 48.0 379.6 22.2 449.8 Cuts in Budget for FY 2010-11: Additional Recurring Negative Reserve (+35.4%) Other Recurring * Non-Recurring Cuts: Textbooks Noninstructional Support Other Non-recurring Increase Total $79.8 $ 304.8 40.2 145.6 $ 120.0 $ 450.4 $ $ 67.4 $ (6.3) (0.6) 60.5 $ 115.4 373.3 21.6 510.3 * driver training ($33.3 m) not in FY 2010-11 Budget Total Cut (9.5%) $ Federal Recovery (ARRA): Stabilization $ ESEA Title I (27 months) IDEA VI-B (27 months) Total $ 780.2 Total Cut (12%) 379.6 247.1 314.4 941.1 Federal Recovery (ARRA): Stabilization ESEA Title I IDEA VI-B Total Retirement Rate 8.75% Hospitalization Cost $4,527 $ 180.5 $ 960.7 $ 373.3 0 0 373.3 carryover carryover $ Scheduled Retirement Rate 10.510% Scheduled Hospitalization Cost $4,929 Budget Forecast for FY 2010-11: At the end of December, the total revenue collection was $35 million below the target. This shortage was minimized due to some one-time revenue collections. The collections are projected to continue to lag behind forecasted levels and the deficit could reach $500 million. The budget for FY 2010-11 was built on a 3.2% projected growth. We should anticipate a revised growth percentage (which will be based on a lower actual collection). This revised percentage will create a budget hole for FY 2010-11 which will need to be corrected through additional revenue or additional reductions. For FY 2010-11's budget, the Office of State Budget and Management has requested additional possible reductions of 3% for the Public Schools ($214 million). Note: In FY 2011-12, the current federal ARRA funding will not exist. Public schools will be facing a budget hole that will exceed $1 billion. North Carolina Department of Public Instruction/Financial and Business Services